Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election polling

←  2020 As of November 4, 2024 (2024-11-04) 2028 →
Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data. It is not a prediction for the election.
Kamala Harris ▼ Donald Trump 191 3 32 93 77 27 115 Legend Lead    >12%       8–12%       4–8%       <4%    Leads are based on the average of aggregate polls if available, otherwise on the most recent individual poll if available, otherwise on the result of the previous election.
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. ^[1]

Limitations

Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on last vote. This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election. ^[2]

Forecasts

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

• "tossup": no advantage
• "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
• "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
• "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
• "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

State	EVs	Last poll closing time (UTC−05:00) [3] [4]	PVI [5]	2020 result	2020 margin [6]	IE November 3, 2024 [7]	Cook November 4, 2024 [8]	CNalysis November 4, 2024 [9]	Sabato November 4, 2024 [10]	CNN November 4, 2024 [11]	DDHQ November 5, 2024 [12]	538 November 5, 2024 [13]	Economist November 5, 2024 [14]
Alaska	3	Nov 6 01:00 am	R+8	52.8% R	10.06%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R
Arizona	11	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+2	49.4% D	0.31%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)
Colorado	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	D+4	55.4% D	13.50%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Safe D
Florida	30	Nov 5 08:00 pm	R+3	51.2% R	3.36%	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Georgia	16	Nov 5 07:00 pm	R+3	49.5% D	0.24%	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Iowa	6	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+6	53.1% R	8.20%	Tilt R	Likely R	Tilt R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Kansas	6	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+10	56.1% R	14.63%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R
Maine [a]	2	Nov 5 08:00 pm	D+2	53.1% D	9.07%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
ME–02 [a]	1	Nov 5 08:00 pm	R+6 [b]	52.3% R [b]	7.44% [b]	Lean R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Michigan	15	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+1	50.6% D	2.78%	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D
Minnesota	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	D+1	52.4% D	7.11%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D
NE–01 [a]	1	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+9 [b]	56.0% R [b]	14.92% [b]	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Likely R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R
NE–02 [a]	1	Nov 5 09:00 pm	EVEN [b]	52.0% D [b]	6.50% [b]	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Nevada	6	Nov 5 10:00 pm	R+1	50.1% D	2.39%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
New Hampshire	4	Nov 5 08:00 pm	D+1	52.7% D	7.35%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
New Mexico	5	Nov 5 09:00 pm	D+3	54.3% D	10.79%	Solid D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
North Carolina	16	Nov 5 07:30 pm	R+3	49.9% R	1.35%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Ohio	17	Nov 5 07:30 pm	R+6	53.3% R	8.03%	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
Oregon	8	Nov 5 11:00 pm	D+6	56.4% D	16.08%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Lean D	Safe D	Solid D	Safe D
Pennsylvania	19	Nov 5 08:00 pm	R+2	50.0% D	1.16%	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Texas	40	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+5	52.1% R	5.58%	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Virginia	13	Nov 5 07:00 pm	D+3	54.1% D	10.11%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Wisconsin	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+2	49.5% D	0.63%	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Overall						D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 308 R – 230 0 tossup	D – 276 R – 262 0 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups	D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups

Alabama

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama

Alaska

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [15]	October 20–22, 2024	1,703 (LV)	± 2.4%	55%	45%	–
Alaska Survey Research [16]	October 8–9, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 2.9%	54%	46%	–
Cygnal (R) [17] [A]	August 30 – September 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	43%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research [15]	October 20–22, 2024	1,703 (LV)	± 2.4%	51%	43%	7%	–
Alaska Survey Research [16]	October 8–9, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	43%	7%	–
Alaska Survey Research [18]	September 27–29, 2024	1,182 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	43%	6%	–
Alaska Survey Research [19]	September 11–12, 2024	1,254 (LV)	–	47%	42%	5%	6%

Arizona

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [d]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.8%	48.4%	4.8%	Trump +1.6%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.8%	48.9%	4.3%	Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.9%	49.3%	3.8%	Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	49.9%	2.8%	Trump +2.6%
Average			47.0%	49.1%	3.9%	Trump +2.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,636 (RV)	± 2.4%	46%	47%	7%
				49% [e]	51%	–
		1,468 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
				49% [e]	51%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	52%	1%
Victory Insights [22]	November 2–3, 2024	750 (LV)	–	48%	49%	3% [f]
Trafalgar Group (R) [23]	November 1–3, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	49%	4% [g]
Patriot Polling [24]	November 1–3, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [25]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5% [f]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	967 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	52%	2%
Emerson College [27]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	50%	2% [h]
				48% [e]	51%	1% [h]
New York Times/Siena College [28]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
		1,025 (LV)		45%	49%	6%
ActiVote [29]	October 8 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
SoCal Strategies (R) [30] [B]	October 30–31, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [32]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	50%	3%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	880 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	50%	1%
		856 (LV)		49%	50%	1%
Morning Consult [34]	October 21−30, 2024	666 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [35] [D]	October 25–29, 2024	803 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6% [f]
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,458 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Mitchell Research & Communications [37]	October 28, 2024	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	2%
RABA Research [38]	October 25–27, 2024	589 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	12% [i]
Trafalgar Group (R) [39]	October 24–26, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6% [f]
CES/YouGov [40]	October 1–25, 2024	2,077 (A)	–	49%	49%	2%
		2,066 (LV)		47%	51%	2%
Marist College [41]	October 17–22, 2024	1,329 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2% [j]
		1,193 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	50%	1% [j]
InsiderAdvantage (R) [42]	October 20–21, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3% [g]
HighGround [43]	October 19–20, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	915 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
		861 (LV)		49%	49%	2%
University of Arizona/Truedot [45]	October 12–20, 2024	846 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	45%	9% [k]
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,440 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
CBS News/YouGov [47]	October 11−16, 2024	1,435 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	51%	1%
Morning Consult [34]	October 6−15, 2024	653 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School [48]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	580 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	50%	6%
		580 (LV)		46%	49%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [49]	October 10–13, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6% [l]
New York Times/Siena College [50]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	51%	4%
		808 (LV)		46%	51%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [51] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	49%	5%
Emerson College [52]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4% [h]
				48% [e]	51%	1% [h]
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	6%
ActiVote [54]	September 6 – October 8, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
SoCal Strategies (R) [55] [B]	October 5–7, 2024	735 (LV)	–	49%	48%	3%
RMG Research [56] [F]	September 30 – October 2, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	50%	4% [m]
				46%	50%	4%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [57] [G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [58] [H]	September 24 – October 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	2% [g]
InsiderAdvantage (R) [59]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1% [g]
HighGround [60] [I]	September 26–29, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
National Research [61] [J]	September 25–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College [63] [L]	September 27–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	50%	3% [h]
				48% [e]	52%	–
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	48%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
		926 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Fox News [67]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		764 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	51%	1%
Marist College [68]	September 19−24, 2024	1,416 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	50%	2% [j]
		1,264 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	50%	1% [j]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [69] [D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,030 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4% [f]
New York Times/Siena College [70]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	49%	6%
		713 (LV)		45%	50%	5%
Emerson College [71]	September 15–18, 2024	868 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3% [n]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [n]
Morning Consult [34]	September 9−18, 2024	862 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [72]	September 11–12, 2024	1,088 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7% [l]
Data Orbital [73] [M]	September 7–9, 2024	550 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	46%	8%
Morning Consult [34]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
TIPP Insights [74] [N]	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	8%
		949 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Patriot Polling [75]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	47%	49%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [76]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
University of Arizona/Truedot [77]	August 28–31, 2024	1,155 (RV)	–	42%	46%	12% [o]
Emerson College [78]	August 25–28, 2024	720 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	50%	7%
				48% [e]	51%	1% [h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [79]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
Spry Strategies (R) [81] [O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [82] [P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,187 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Noble Predictive Insights [83]	August 12–16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Focaldata [84]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	51%	–
Strategies 360 [85]	August 7–14, 2024	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	47%	46%	7%
New York Times/Siena College [86]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	7%
		677 (LV)		50%	45%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [87]	August 6–8, 2024	1,092 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%
Navigator Research (D) [88]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	49%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [89]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	435 (LV)	–	48%	46%	6%
HighGround [90]	July 30 – August 5, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	42%	14% [p]
Public Policy Polling (D) [91] [Q]	July 29–30, 2024	618 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	49%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [92] [R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	48%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [93]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College [94]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	49%	7%
				47% [e]	53%	–
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R) [95]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	48%	10%
Public Policy Polling (D) [96] [Q]	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	44%	52%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [97]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	51%	7%
Emerson College [98]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	48%	12%
New York Times/Siena College [99]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
		603 (LV)		43%	48%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 10, 2024	October 15, 2024	46.4%	48.8%	1.0%	—	0.8%	3.0%	Trump +2.4%
270toWin	October 2 – 12, 2024	October 12, 2024	47.4%	47.6%	1.0%	0.0%	0.5%	3.5%	Trump +0.2%
Average			46.9%	48.1%	1.0%	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,636 (RV)	± 2.4%	44%	47%	1%	1%	–	7%
				46% [e]	50%	2%	2%	–	–
		1,468 (LV)		46%	49%	1%	1%	–	3%
				47% [e]	50%	2%	1%	–	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	967 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	52%	–	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College [28]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	47%	–	3%	2%	6%
		1,025 (LV)		44%	48%	–	2%	1%	5%
Focaldata [100]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,779 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,603 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%
		1,779 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [101]	October 28–31, 2024	652 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	880 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	48%	0%	1%	–	4%
		856 (LV)		48%	48%	0%	0%	–	4%
Noble Predictive Insights [102]	October 28–30, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	–	2%	0%	3%
Data for Progress (D) [103]	October 25–30, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	0%	4%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,458 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
Mitchell Research & Communications [37]	October 28, 2024	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	–	0%	1%	1%
Data Orbital [104]	October 26–28, 2024	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	42%	50%	–	1%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [105]	October 25–27, 2024	901 (LV)	–	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
J.L. Partners [106]	October 24–26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	49%	–	0%	1%	2% [f]
CNN/SSRS [107]	October 21–26, 2024	781 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	47%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [108]	October 20–22, 2024	710 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	915 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
		861 (LV)		48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [109]	October 16–18, 2024	691 (LV)	–	46%	49%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,440 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [110]	October 12–14, 2024	1,141 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
New York Times/Siena College [50]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
		808 (LV)		45%	50%	–	1%	0%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [111]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	555 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [58] [S]	September 24 – October 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	0%	–	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	47%	–	1%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
		926 (LV)		49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News [67]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	1%	1%	2%	−
		764 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	50%	0%	1%	2%	−
Suffolk University/USA Today [112]	September 19−24, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	–	1%	1%	8%
New York Times/Siena College [70]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	47%	–	2%	3%	6%
		713 (LV)		43%	48%	–	2%	2%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [113]	September 16–19, 2024	789 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [114]	September 6–9, 2024	765 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
TIPP Insights [74] [N]	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	1%	1%	–	6%
		949 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
YouGov [115] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.2%	45%	47%	1%	1%	–	6% [f]
CNN/SSRS [116]	August 23–29, 2024	682 (LV)	± 4.7%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [117]	August 25–28, 2024	530 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [79]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	1%	1%	2%	1%

Arkansas

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Arkansas

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Hendrix College [118] [T]	September 5–6, 2024	696 (RV)	± 4.6%	55%	40%	1%	–	0%	1%	1%

California

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in California

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co. [119]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	64%	32%	4%
Competitive Edge Research [120]	October 28–30, 2024	517 (RV)	± 4.3%	53%	38%	8% [r]
UC Berkeley IGS [121]	October 22–28, 2024	4,341 (LV)	± 2.0%	57%	35%	8%
ActiVote [122]	October 7–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–
Rose Institute/YouGov [123]	October 7–17, 2024	1,139 (RV)	± 3.4%	60%	33%	7% [s]
				63% [e]	34%	3%
		1,139 (LV)		63%	34%	3%
Emerson College [124] [U]	October 12–14, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	35%	6% [n]
				61% [e]	37%	2% [n]
ActiVote [125]	September 22 – October 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63.5%	36.5%	–
ActiVote [126]	August 22 – September 21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	64%	36%	–
Emerson College [127]	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	60%	36%	4%
				61% [e]	38%	1% [t]
ActiVote [128]	August 2–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	65%	35%	–
UC Berkeley IGS [129]	July 31 – August 11, 2024	3,765 (LV)	± 2.0%	59%	34%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [130] [V]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	15%

Colorado

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Colorado

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Keating Research [131]	October 28−30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	41%	7% [u]
YouGov [132]	October 18−30, 2024	754 (LV)	± 4.54%	55%	41%	4%
ActiVote [133]	October 1−30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ActiVote [134]	September 15 − October 19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	512 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	5%
Keating Research [136]	September 11–14, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	53%	42%	5%
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	498 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	40%	5%

Connecticut

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group [137] [W]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	37%	3%	8%

Delaware

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Delaware

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D) [138] [X]	September 19–21, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	54%	37%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of Delaware [139]	September 11–19, 2024	383 (LV)	± 5.8%	56%	36%	3%	–	–	1%	4%

District of Columbia

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in the District of Columbia

Florida

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Florida

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [v]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	44.6%	51.1%	4.3%	Trump +6.5%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	44.6%	51.2%	4.2%	Trump +6.6%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.8%	51.3%	3.9%	Trump +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.9%	51.6%	3.2%	Trump +6.7%
Average			44.7%	51.3%	4.0%	Trump +6.6%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Research Co. [140]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	44%	5%
Victory Insights [141]	November 1–2, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	47%	2% [f]
Stetson University [142] [143]	October 25 – November 1, 2024	452 (LV)	± 5.0%	53%	46%	1% [w]
Morning Consult [135]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	2,022 (LV)	± 2.0%	51%	46%	3%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [144]	October 19–27, 2024	913 (RV)	± 3.2%	53%	44%	3% [x]
		897 (LV)		53%	44%	3% [x]
ActiVote [145]	October 11–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
St. Pete Polls [146] [Y]	October 23–25, 2024	1,227 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	45%	5% [k]
CES/YouGov [147]	October 1–25, 2024	5,952 (A)	–	51%	47%	2%
		5,916 (LV)		52%	46%	2%
Hunt Research [148] [Z]	October 16–22, 2024	1,234 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	45%	5%
Emerson College [149]	October 18–20, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	52%	44%	4% [h]
				54% [e]	46%	–
Cherry Communications (R) [150] [AA]	October 10–20, 2024	614 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	45%	4%
ActiVote [151]	October 7–20, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
University of North Florida [152]	October 7–18, 2024	977 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	43%	4% [y]
RMG Research [153] [F]	October 14–17, 2024	788 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	45%	3% [z]
				52% [e]	47%	1%
Rose Institute/YouGov [154]	October 7–17, 2024	1,094 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	45%	7% [aa]
		1,094 (RV)		51% [e]	46%	3%
		1,076 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
The Terrance Group (R) [155] [AB]	October 5–8, 2024	818 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	44%	5%
Marist College [156]	October 3–7, 2024	1,410 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%	47%	2% [j]
		1,257 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	47%	2% [j]
New York Times/Siena College [157]	September 29 – October 6, 2024	622 (LV)	± 5.0%	55%	41%	4%
ActiVote [158]	September 17 – October 6, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
Mason-Dixon [159] [AC]	October 1–4, 2024	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8% [ab]
RMG Research [160] [F]	September 25–27, 2024	774 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3% [z]
				50% [e]	48%	2%
Public Policy Polling (D) [161] [AD]	September 25–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%
Victory Insights [162]	September 22–25, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	45%	8%
The Bullfinch Group [163] [AE]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	2,948 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	3,182 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College [164]	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	45%	5%
				51% [e]	48%	1% [h]
ActiVote [165]	August 16–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
Cherry Communications (R) [166] [AA]	August 15–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	45%	3%
Public Policy Polling (D) [167] [AD]	August 21–22, 2024	837 (RV)	± 3.4%	51%	47%	2%
ActiVote [168]	August 5–15, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [169]	August 10–11, 2024	1,055 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5% [ac]
		1,040 (LV)		50%	47%	3% [x]
University of North Florida [170]	July 24–27, 2024	774 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	42%	9% [ad]
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R) [171] [AF]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12% [ae]
Suffolk University/USA Today [172]	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	46%	44%	10%
Victory Insights [173]	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Focaldata [174]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,250 (LV)	–	52%	45%	–	0%	0%	3%
		1,099 (RV)	± 2.8%	50%	46%	–	1%	0%	3%
		1,250 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	1%	0%	3%
Cygnal (R) [175]	October 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	43%	–	1%	1%	7% [af]
Hunt Research [148] [Z]	October 16–22, 2024	1,234 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	44%	–	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [176]	October 16–18, 2024	1,275 (LV)	–	49%	45%	–	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [177]	October 12–14, 2024	1,009 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	0%	5%
New York Times/Siena College [157]	September 29 – October 6, 2024	622 (LV)	± 5.0%	53%	40%	–	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [178]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	2,946 (LV)	–	49%	45%	–	1%	1%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [161] [AD]	September 25–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	0%	1%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [179]	September 16–19, 2024	1,602 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [180]	September 6–9, 2024	1,465 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	0%	0%	6%

Georgia

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [q]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	48.7%	3.8%	Trump +1.2%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	48.2%	4.3%	Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	48.9%	3.2%	Trump +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	49.6%	2.5%	Trump +1.7%
Average			47.7%	48.9%	3.4%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,880 (RV)	± 2.3%	45%	48%	7%
				49% [e]	51%	–
		1,659 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
				48% [e]	52%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,112 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [181]	November 2–3, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3% [g]
Patriot Polling [182]	November 1–3, 2024	818 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,174 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College [183]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	50%	1% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
New York Times/Siena College [184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,004 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	46%	8%
		1,004 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
ActiVote [185]	October 15 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,212 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	984 (RV)	± 3.9%	48%	50%	2%
		939 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
Morning Consult [186]	October 21–30, 2024	1,009 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,429 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [187] [D]	October 25–28, 2024	910 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	3% [f]
SoCal Strategies (R) [188] [B]	October 26–27, 2024	658 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	50%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R) [189]	October 24–26, 2024	1,087 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6% [g]
CES/YouGov [190]	October 1–25, 2024	2,682 (A)	–	48%	49%	3%
		2,663 (LV)		46%	51%	3%
National Public Affairs [191]	October 21–24, 2024	829 (LV)	± 3.4%	47%	49%	4%
Marist College [192]	October 17–22, 2024	1,356 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3% [j]
		1,193 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	49%	2% [j]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	914 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
		855 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,411 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
ActiVote [193]	October 1–17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
TIPP Insights [194] [N]	October 14–16, 2024	1,029 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5%
		813 (LV)		48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [195]	October 14–15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	49%	4% [f]
Morning Consult [186]	October 6–15, 2024	1,002 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School [196]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	730 (RV)	± 4.5%	50%	44%	6%
		730 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
Quinnipiac University [197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,328 (LV)	± 2.7%	46%	52%	2%
RMG Research [198] [F]	October 7–10, 2024	731 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	49%	4% [ag]
				47%	50%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [199] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	50%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [200]	October 7–8, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	46%	9% [ah]
Emerson College [201]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				50% [e]	50%	–
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	6%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [202] [G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	47%	9%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [203]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4% [g]
Quinnipiac University [204]	September 25–29, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	50%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	47%	6%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	47%	49%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	989 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
		913 (LV)		49%	49%	2%
Fox News [205]	September 20−24, 2024	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
		707 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1%
CBS News/YouGov [206]	September 20–24, 2024	1,441 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	51%	–
Marist College [207]	September 19−24, 2024	1,420 (RV)	± 3.6%	49%	48%	3% [j]
		1,220 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	50%	1% [j]
The Bullfinch Group [208] [AE]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [209] [D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,152 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
				47% [e]	51%	2%
New York Times/Siena College [210]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	48%	8%
		682 (LV)		45%	49%	6%
TIPP Insights [211] [N]	September 16–18, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	7%
		835 (LV)		48%	48%	9%
Emerson College [212]	September 15–18, 2024	975 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3% [n]
				48% [e]	50%	2% [n]
Morning Consult [186]	September 9−18, 2024	1,347 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [213]	September 11–13, 2024	1,098 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	46%	9%
ActiVote [214]	August 8 – September 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Quinnipiac University [215]	September 4–8, 2024	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	5%
Morning Consult [186]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,405 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [216]	September 5–6, 2024	647 (RV)	± 3.9%	44%	47%	9% [ai]
		567 (LV)		45%	47%	8% [aj]
Patriot Polling [217]	September 1–3, 2024	814 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [218]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4% [aj]
Emerson College [219]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	48%	3% [h]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [220]	August 23–26, 2024	737 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
		801 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Spry Strategies (R) [81] [O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
Focaldata [221]	August 6–16, 2024	651 (LV)	± 3.8%	48%	52%	–
New York Times/Siena College [222]	August 9–14, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	51%	5%
		661 (LV)		46%	50%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [223]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	405 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [224] [AG]	July 24–31, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R) [225]	July 29–30, 2024	– (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	49%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [226] [Q]	July 29–30, 2024	662 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	47%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [227]	July 24–28, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	5%
SoCal Strategies (R) [228] [AH]	July 25–26, 2024	505 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	50%	4%
Emerson College [229]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	48%	6%
				49% [e]	51%	–
Landmark Communications [230]	July 22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	48%	5%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [231] [AI]	July 9–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	51%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [232] [AJ]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	37%	47%	16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [233]	July 12–15, 2024	640 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	46%	12%
		549 (LV)		43%	49%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [234]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	49%	10%
Emerson College [235]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	51%	8%
New York Times/Siena College [236]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	45%	11%
		629 (LV)		44%	47%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH [237]	through October 22, 2024	October 22, 2024	47.4%	48.7%	0.8%	—	0.9%	2.2%	Trump +1.3%
270ToWin [238]	October 16–22, 2024	October 22, 2024	45.8%	49.2%	0.6%	0.0%	0.6%	3.8%	Trump +3.4%
Average			46.6%	49.0%	0.7%	0.0%	0.8%	2.9%	Trump +2.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,880 (RV)	± 2.3%	45%	47%	1%	1%	–	6%
				48% [e]	49%	2%	1%	–	–
		1,659 (LV)		47%	48%	1%	1%	–	3%
				48% [e]	50%	1%	1%	–	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,112 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2% [g]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,174 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	2%	1%	1% [g]
New York Times/Siena College [184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,004 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	43%	2%	0%	3%	8%
		1,004 (LV)		46%	46%	0%	0%	2%	6%
Focaldata [239]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,850 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,627 (RV)	± 2.3%	50%	47%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,850 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,212 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	2%	1%	1%
East Carolina University [240]	October 28–31, 2024	902 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	0%	1%	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [241]	October 28–31, 2024	1,779 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
Data for Progress (D) [242]	October 25–31, 2024	792 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	0%	0%	1%	2%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	984 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	48%	1%	1%	–	4%
		939 (LV)		47%	48%	0%	0%	–	5%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,429 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	–	1%	1%	1%
CNN/SSRS [243]	October 23–28, 2024	732 (LV)	± 4.7%	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [244]	October 25–27, 2024	1,112 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
The Citadel [245]	October 17–25, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 3.8%	47%	48%	1%	1%	0%	3%
		1,126 (LV)		47%	49%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [246]	October 20–22, 2024	1,168 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	914 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	2%	3%
		855 (LV)		48%	49%	–	0%	1%	2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [247] [AI]	October 7–16, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	43%	47%	–	0%	0%	10% [ak]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [248]	October 16–18, 2024	1,019 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,411 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	0%	0%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [249]	October 12–14, 2024	637 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	2%	1%	3%
Quinnipiac University [197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,328 (LV)	± 2.7%	45%	52%	–	1%	1%	1%
East Carolina University [250]	October 9–14, 2024	701 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	49%	–	1%	0%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [251]	October 8–9, 2024	608 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [252]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	3,783 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Quinnipiac University [204]	September 25–29, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	50%	1%	0%	1%	4% [al]
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	0%	–	0%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	–	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	989 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	3%	2%
		913 (LV)		48%	48%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News [205]	September 20−24, 2024	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
		707 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	48%	1%	1%	1%	−
New York Times/Siena College [210]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.6%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		682 (LV)		44%	47%	–	1%	2%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [253]	September 16–19, 2024	1,043 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
TIPP Insights [211] [N]	September 16–18, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	44%	2%	1%	–	7%
		835 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [254] [AI]	September 9–15, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	44%	47%	1%	0%	0%	7% [am]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [255]	September 6–9, 2024	562 (LV)	–	47%	49%	–	1%	0%	3%
Quinnipiac University [215]	September 4–8, 2024	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	49%	1%	0%	0%	6% [al]
YouGov [256] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	47%	0%	0%	–	8% [g]
CNN/SSRS [257]	August 23–29, 2024	617 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	47%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [258]	August 25–28, 2024	699 (LV)	–	42%	44%	–	1%	0%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [220]	August 23–26, 2024	737 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	3%	2%
		801 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	46%	–	1%	4%	2%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	1%	2%	2%	1%

Hawaii

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii

Idaho

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Idaho

Illinois

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Illinois

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [259]	October 4–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote [260]	September 3 – October 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
ActiVote [261]	August 6–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–

Indiana

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [an]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [262]	October 3–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote [263]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ARW Strategies [264] [AK]	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–	55%	39%	6%
Emerson College [265]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	57%	40%	3% [h]
				58% [e]	41%	1% [h]
Lake Research Partners (D) [266] [AL]	August 26 – September 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%

Iowa

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Iowa

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [q]	Margin
270ToWin	October 2 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	45.3%	50.0%	4.7%	Trump +4.7%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 4, 2024	45.4%	49.8%	4.8%	Trump +4.4%
Average			45.4%	49.9%	4.7%	Trump +4.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R) [267]	November 2–3, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	46%	2% [ao]
SoCal Strategies (R) [268] [AM]	November 2–3, 2024	501 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	7%
		435 (LV)		52%	44%	4%
Emerson College [269] [AN]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	53%	43%	4% [h]
				54% [e]	45%	1% [h]
Cygnal (R) [270] [AO]	September 27–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	45%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Selzer & Co. [271] [AP]	October 28–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 3.4%	44%	47%	3%	0%	6% [ap]
Selzer & Co. [272] [AP]	September 8–11, 2024	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	47%	43%	6%	1%	3% [h]

Kansas

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Kansas

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Fort Hays State University [273]	September 26 – October 16, 2024	656 (A)	–	46%	37%	17% [aq]
		608 (A)		50%	39%	11% [ar]
		517 (RV)		48%	43%	9% [as]

Kentucky

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky

Louisiana

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana

Maine

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [274]	August 15–19, 2024	951 (LV)	± 3.2%	58%	41%	1%
University of New Hampshire [275]	July 23–25, 2024	1,445 (LV)	± 2.6%	54%	45%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [276]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,485 (LV)	± 2.4%	52%	41%	1%	1%	1%	4% [x]
SurveyUSA [277] [AQ]	October 24–29, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	43%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Pan Atlantic Research [278]	September 5–15, 2024	812 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	41%	1%	1%	1%	6%

Maine's 1st congressional district

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research [278]	September 5–15, 2024	414 (LV)	–	58%	32%	10%
University of New Hampshire [274]	August 15–19, 2024	476 (LV)	–	64%	36%	–

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [276]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	801 (LV)	± 3.5%	60%	36%	0%	1%	1%	2% [x]
SurveyUSA [277] [AQ]	October 24–29, 2024	482 (LV)	–	58%	37%	1%	1%	0%	3%

Maine's 2nd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Axis Research [279] [AR]	October 17–20, 2024	411 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	41%	8% [at]
Pan Atlantic Research [278]	September 5–15, 2024	398 (LV)	–	49%	42%	9%
University of New Hampshire [274]	August 15–19, 2024	432 (LV)	–	47%	52%	1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [276]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	683 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	44%	1%	1%	1%	5% [x]
SurveyUSA [277] [AQ]	October 24–29, 2024	484 (LV)	–	49%	44%	1%	1%	1%	4%

Maryland

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [an]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Morning Consult	October 22–31, 2024	490 (LV)	± 5.0%	64%	31%	5%
ActiVote	October 6–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	64%	37%	–
Braun Research [AS]	October 17–22, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	61%	33%	7% [au]
		1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	59%	34%	7% [av]
Emerson College	October 19–21, 2024	865 (LV)	± 3.2%	64%	34%	2%
				63%	33%	4% [aw]
Morning Consult	October 10–15, 2024	490 (LV)	± 4.0%	64%	31%	4%
ActiVote	September 8 – October 14, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–
Braun Research [AS]	September 19–23, 2024	1,012 (LV)	± 3.5%	64%	32%	5% [ax]
		1,012 (RV)	± 3.5%	62%	32%	6% [ay]
Morning Consult	September 9–18, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	61%	33%	6%
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 16–17, 2024	543 (RV)	± 4.2%	64%	33%	3%
Emerson College	September 12–13, 2024	890 (LV)	± 3.2%	65%	33%	2%
				63%	32%	5%
Morning Consult	August 30 – September 8, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	62%	34%	4%
Gonzales Research	August 24–30, 2024	820 (RV)	± 3.5%	56%	35%	10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [AG]	August 14–20, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.0%	64%	32%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [an]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Undecided
Chism Strategies	October 28–30, 2024	510 (LV)	± 4.34%	56%	33%	0%	0%	1%	10% [az]
YouGov [ba]	October 23–27, 2024	500 (LV)	± 5.2%	61%	34%	–	0%	2%	5%
University of Maryland, Baltimore County	September 23–28, 2024	863 (LV)	± 3.3%	57%	35%	2%	0%	1%	5% [bb]
Braun Research [AS]	September 19–23, 2024	1,012 (LV)	± 3.5%	63%	31%	–	1%	1%	5% [bc]
		1,012 (RV)	± 3.5%	61%	31%	–	1%	1%	6% [bd]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [AG]	August 14–20, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.0%	59%	29%	5%	1%	1%	5%

Massachusetts

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [280]	October 2–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	66%	34%	–
Emerson College [281] [AT]	October 24–26, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	36%	5% [k]
				60% [e]	37%	3% [k]
ActiVote [282]	September 6 – October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	67%	33%	–
MassINC Polling Group [283] [AU]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	63%	35%	2% [be]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [284]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	744 (LV)	± 3.6%	60%	34%	–	2%	1%	3% [bf]
YouGov [285] [AV]	October 3–10, 2024	700 (A)	± 4.8%	56%	30%	–	2%	1%	11% [bg]
Suffolk University [286] [AW]	October 1–4, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	61%	32%	–	1%	0%	6% [bg]
University of New Hampshire [287]	September 12–16, 2024	546 (LV)	± 4.1%	62%	31%	–	2%	0%	5%

Michigan

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan

Kamala Harris vs. Donald TrumpAggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [bh]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.6%	46.8%	4.6%	Harris +1.8%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	47.0%	5.0%	Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.4%	47.2%	4.4%	Harris +1.2%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.7%	48.3%	3.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			48.4%	47.3%	4.3%	Harris 1.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,864 (RV)	± 2.3%	47%	46%	7%
				50.1% [e]	49.9%	–
		1,668 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
				50.3% [e]	49.7%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Research Co. [288]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	47%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [289]	November 1–3, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5% [f]
Patriot Polling [290]	November 1–3, 2024	858 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [291]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	6% [bi]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College [292]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	790 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2% [h]
				51% [e]	49%	–
Mitchell Research [293] [AX]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	48%	2%
New York Times/Siena College [294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	45%	45%	9%
		998 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [295]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	733 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	46%	6% [bj]
		714 (LV)		49%	47%	4% [bk]
ActiVote [296]	October 8 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R) [297] [D]	October 24 – November 1, 2024	908 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48.7%	49.3%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [298]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	50%	46%	4%
		942 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult [299]	October 22−31, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Marist College [300]	October 27–30, 2024	1,356 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%	48%	1% [j]
		1,214 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1% [j]
Echelon Insights [301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	48%	4%
Mitchell Research [302] [AX]	October 28–29, 2024	– (LV)	± 2.5%	47%	48%	5%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Quantus Insights (R) [303] [AY]	October 26–28, 2024	844 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	49%	2%
The Washington Post [304]	October 24–28, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.7%	45%	47%	8%
		1,003 (LV)		47%	46%	7%
Fox News [305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	50%	48%	2%
		988 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [306]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	48%	5% [l]
Emerson College [307] [AZ]	October 25–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				49%	50% [e]	1% [h]
Susquehanna Polling & Research [308]	October 23–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	47%	1%
Patriot Polling [309]	October 24–26, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
CES/YouGov [310]	October 1–25, 2024	2,347 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		2,336 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
Quinnipiac University [311]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [312]	October 18−20, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10% [bi]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
		705 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
The Bullfinch Group [313]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	45%	2%
				51%	43%	6% [bl]
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
RMG Research [314] [F]	October 10–16, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4% [bm]
				49% [e]	49%	2%
Morning Consult [299]	October 6−15, 2024	1,065 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Washington Post/Schar School [315]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	47%	7%
		687 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Mitchell Research [316] [AX]	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [317] [D]	October 9–14, 2024	1,058 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R) [318] [B]	October 10–13, 2024	692 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	48%	3%
Michigan State University/YouGov [319]	September 23 – October 10, 2024	845 (LV)	–	52%	48%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R) [320]	October 8–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6% [f]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [321] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [322] [AG]	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3% [g]
ActiVote [323]	September 15 – October 9, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Emerson College [324]	October 5–8, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	49%	49%	2% [h]
				50% [e]	50%	–
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	49%	47%	4%
Research Co. [325]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	46%	44%	10% [bn]
				51% [e]	48%	1% [bn]
Quinnipiac University [326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [327] [G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
Mitchell Research [328] [AX]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [329]	September 28–30, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	47%	9% [bi]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	49%	4%
RMG Research [330] [F]	September 24–27, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4% [n]
				50% [e]	47%	3%
New York Times/Siena College [331]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
		688 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
		800 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies [332] [BA]	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	45%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [333] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College [334]	September 15–18, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	4% [h]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
Morning Consult [299]	September 9−18, 2024	1,297 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Marist College [335]	September 12−17, 2024	1,282 (RV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3% [j]
		1,138 (LV)	± 3.4%	52%	47%	1% [j]
Quinnipiac University [336]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	46%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [337]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3% [g]
Mitchell Research [338] [AX]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Morning Consult [299]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,368 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R) [339]	September 4–6, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov [340]	September 3–6, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	49%	1%
Patriot Polling [341]	September 1–3, 2024	822 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Cygnal (R) [342]	August 28 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [343]	August 28–30, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6%
Emerson College [344]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	47%	3% [bo]
				51% [e]	48%	1% [bp]
ActiVote [345]	July 28 – August 28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
EPIC-MRA [346]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [347]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
		702 (RV)		49%	46%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov [348] [BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	44%	12% [bq]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	48%	5%
TIPP Insights [349] [N]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	46%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R) [350] [BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [351] [P]	August 13–19, 2024	1,093 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata [352]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	47%	–
The Bullfinch Group [353] [AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [354] [AG]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [355]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College [356]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	48%	7%
		619 (LV)		50%	46%	5%
Navigator Research (D) [357]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [358]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	49%	46%	6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [359] [R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [360]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R) [361] [BD]	July 25–26, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	49%	5%
Fox News [362]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College [363]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	46%	9%
				49% [e]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D) [364] [Q]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [365]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College [366]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
		616 (LV)		48%	46%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,864 (RV)	± 2.3%	46%	45%	1%	0%	–	8%
				48.6% [e]	48.3%	2.1%	1.0%	–	–
		1,668 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
				49.5% [e]	48.8%	1.1%	0.7%	–	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	–	2%	0%	–
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
New York Times/Siena College [294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	44%	1%	2%	2%	9%
		998 (LV)		45%	45%	0%	2%	1%	7%
Focaldata [367]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,092 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	1%	1%	3%
		1,941 (RV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%
		2,092 (A)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [368]	October 28–31, 2024	1,731 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	45%	0%	2%	–	6%
		942 (LV)		48%	45%	0%	2%	–	5%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [369]	October 25–27, 2024	728 (LV)	–	49%	48%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [370]	October 20–22, 2024	1,115 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Quinnipiac University [311]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	1%	1%	0%	3% [br]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	–	1%	2%	5%
		705 (LV)		49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [371]	October 16–18, 2024	1,008 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [372]	October 12–14, 2024	682 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University [326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	1% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [373]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	839 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
New York Times/Siena College [331]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		688 (LV)		46%	46%	–	2%	1%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	45%	–	1%	2%	3%
		800 (LV)		50%	46%	–	1%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R) [374] [BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	0%	1%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [375]	September 16–19, 2024	993 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	0%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University [336]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	45%	0%	2%	0%	3% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [376]	September 6–9, 2024	556 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	1%	5%
YouGov [377] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	43%	1%	1%	–	7% [g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [378]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	47%	44%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [347]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		702 (RV)		48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [bs] Natural Law	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 7, 2024	October 13, 2024	47.0%	46.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.6%	—	2.7%	Harris +0.1%
270toWin	October 7 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	47.0%	46.6%	2.3%	0.3%	1.0%	0.8%	2.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			47.0%	46.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.8%	0.8%	1.9%	Harris +0.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Mitchell Research [293] [AX]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	0%	1%	1%	1%	–
Echelon Insights [301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5%
EPIC-MRA [379] [BF]	October 24–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	3%	1%	3%	–	–
Fox News [305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	49%	45%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
		988 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
CNN/SSRS [380]	October 23–28, 2024	726 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%
Suffolk University/USA Today [381]	October 24–27, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3% [bt]
Glengariff Group [382] [BG]	October 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	4%	–	2%	1%	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [383]	October 16–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	45%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4% [bt]
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Mitchell Research [316] [AX]	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%
Marketing Resource Group [384]	October 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	3%	–	2%	–	6% [bu]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [322] [AG]	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Glengariff Group [385] [BG]	October 1–4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	5%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Mitchell Research [328] [AX]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2% [bt]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	0%	–	2%	0%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	49%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [386]	September 11–19, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	2%	–	2%	2%	3% [bv]
Suffolk University/USA Today [387]	September 16–18, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	45%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6% [bt]
Mitchell Research [338] [AX]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	2%	0%	1%	–	4% [bt]
CNN/SSRS [388]	August 23–29, 2024	708 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	43%	4%	–	1%	1%	3%
Z to A Research (D) [389] [BH]	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	3%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov [348] [BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	42%	5%	1%	0%	1%	7% [bw]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	46%	4%	0%	0%	0%	3%
TIPP Insights [349] [N]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	45%	5%	1%	1%	–	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [351] [P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,093 (LV)	–	47%	44%	4%	1%	1%	–	3%
Focaldata [352]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	–
		702 (RV)		50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (A)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [390]	August 12–15, 2024	530 (LV)	–	44%	45%	5%	–	1%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group [353] [AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	40%	7%	1%	1%	–	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [354] [AG]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	6%	1%	1%	0%	4%
New York Times/Siena College [356]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	43%	5%	0%	1%	0%	6%
		619 (LV)		48%	43%	4%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Navigator Research (D) [357]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	5%	1%	0%	0%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [358]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	46%	44%	6%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [391]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	771 (LV)	–	41%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [360]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	39%	5%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News [362]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	7%	1%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [392]	July 22–24, 2024	512 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	–	0%	0%	8%
Glengariff Group [393] [BG]	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	41%	10%	–	1%	1%	5%
Emerson College [363]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	44%	5%	1%	1%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Glengariff Group [394] [BG]	August 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	5%	1%	5%
EPIC-MRA [346]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	3%	1%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D) [395] [BI]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	41%	46%	5%	1%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R) [350] [BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	43%	5%	8%
Civiqs [396] [BH]	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	46%	46%	5%	3%

Minnesota

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Minnesota

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [bx]	Margin
270ToWin	October 16–November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	49.8%	43.6%	6.6%	Harris +6.2%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.0%	44.2%	5.8%	Harris +5.8%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	50.4%	43.9%	5.7%	Harris +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	49.9%	45.5%	4.6%	Harris +4.4%
Average			50.0%	44.3%	5.7%	Harris +5.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,065 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Research Co. [397]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	44%	5%
ActiVote [398]	October 9 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
SurveyUSA [399] [BJ]	October 24–28, 2024	728 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	43%	5% [f]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [400] [D]	October 24–26, 2024	959 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3% [f]
CES/YouGov [401]	October 1–25, 2024	1,278 (A)	–	52%	44%	4%
		1,275 (LV)		53%	43%	4%
Embold Research/MinnPost [402]	October 16–22, 2024	1,734 (LV)	± 2.4%	48%	45%	7% [aa]
ActiVote [403]	September 10 – October 9, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
SurveyUSA [404] [BJ]	September 23–26, 2024	646 (LV)	± 4.3%	50%	44%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [405] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	993 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
Mason-Dixon [406] [BK]	September 16−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	43%	9% [f]
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	517 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	43%	7%
Embold Research/MinnPost [407]	September 4–8, 2024	1,616 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	45%	6% [by]
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	501 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	44%	5%
SurveyUSA [408] [BJ]	August 27–29, 2024	635 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	43%	9%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
SurveyUSA [409] [BJ]	July 23–25, 2024	656 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	40%	10% [bz]
Fox News [410]	July 22–24, 2024	1,071 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,065 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1% [g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [411]	October 12–14, 2024	544 (LV)	–	51%	43%	–	1%	0%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [412]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	551 (LV)	–	51%	43%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [413]	September 16–19, 2024	703 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	0%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [414]	September 6–9, 2024	617 (LV)	–	51%	44%	–	0%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Chism Strategies [415]	October 28–30, 2024	534 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	43%	1%	–	1%	0%	7% [ca]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [416]	August 12–15, 2024	592 (LV)	–	47%	40%	3%	–	0%	0%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [417]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	538 (LV)	–	46%	41%	3%	–	0%	0%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [418]	July 22–24, 2024	475 (LV)	–	44%	41%	6%	–	1%	0%	8%
Fox News [410]	July 22–24, 2024	1,071 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	41%	7%	1%	1%	–	3%

Mississippi

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Mississippi

Missouri

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Missouri

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Research Co. [419]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	54%	39%	7%
ActiVote [420]	October 6–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote [421]	September 8 – October 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
Emerson College [422]	September 12–13, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	53%	43%	4% [h]
				55% [e]	43%	2% [h]
Change Research (D) [423]	September 11–13, 2024	1,237 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	41%	9%
GQR (D) [424]	September 6–12, 2024	645 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	44%	1%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
ActiVote [425]	July 25 – August 22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
YouGov/Saint Louis University [426]	August 8–16, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	41%	5% [cb]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout [427]	October 28–29, 2024	721 (LV)	± 3.6%	54%	40%	–	1%	1%	4%

Montana

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Montana

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	752 (LV)	± 4.0%	59%	39%	2%
Emerson College [428] [BL]	October 23–25, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	39%	3% [n]
				59% [e]	40%	1%
New York Times/Siena College [429]	October 5–8, 2024	656 (RV)	± 4.0%	57%	39%	4%
		656 (LV)		57%	40%	3%
RMG Research [430] [F]	September 12–19, 2024	491 (LV)	± 4.4%	59%	38%	3% [cc]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D) [431] [AG]	August 25–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	56%	41%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
Rasmussen Reports (R) [432] [P]	August 13–20, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	35%	7%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Emerson College [433]	August 5–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	3.0%	55%	40%	5%
				58% [e]	43%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	752 (LV)	± 4.0%	57%	37%	–	2%	0%	4% [l]
New York Times/Siena College [429]	October 5–8, 2024	656 (RV)	± 4.0%	56%	38%	–	0%	0%	6%
		656 (LV)		56%	39%	–	0%	0%	5%
Remington Research Group (R) [434] [BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	39%	–	2%	–	3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Montana State University Billings [435]	September 30 – October 16, 2024	760 (A)	± 3.6%	52%	34%	3%	–	1%	2%	8%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [432] [P]	August 13–20, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	31%	7%	0%	0%	0%	4%
American Pulse Research & Polling [436] [BM]	August 10–12, 2024	538 (LV)	± 4.2%	52%	38%	6%	0%	0%	2%	8%
Emerson College [433]	August 5–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	54%	39%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
RMG Research [437] [F]	August 6–14, 2024	540 (RV)	± 4.2%	57%	39%	2%	2%

Nebraska

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Nebraska

Statewide

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Change Research (D) [438] [BN]	October 30–31, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.3%	57%	39%	4%
Torchlight Strategies (R) [439] [BO]	October 25–28, 2024	605 (LV)	± 3.9%	56%	39%	5%
New York Times/Siena College [440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,194 (RV)	± 3.2%	55%	40%	5%
		1,194 (LV)		55%	40%	5%
Change Research (D) [441] [BN]	October 18–21, 2024	815 (LV)	–	55%	41%	4%
Torchlight Strategies (R) [442] [BO]	October 5–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	37%	6%
Change Research (D) [443] [BN]	October 3–8, 2024	895 (LV)	± 3.5%	58%	38%	4%
Impact Research (D) [444] [BN]	October 1–3, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	58%	38%	4%
The Bullfinch Group [445] [AE]	September 27 – October 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	42%	5%
				48%	38%	14% [cd]
SurveyUSA [446] [BN]	September 20–23, 2024	558 (LV)	± 4.8%	56%	40%	5% [ce]
Global Strategy Group (D) [447] [BP]	August 26–29, 2024	600 (LV)	–	54%	37%	9%
SurveyUSA [448] [BK]	August 23–27, 2024	1,293 (RV)	± 3.5%	54%	37%	9% [cf]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov [449]	October 21–28, 2024	1,206 (LV)	± 3.5%	55%	40%	0%	0%	1%	4% [g]
New York Times/Siena College [440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,194 (RV)	± 3.2%	53%	38%	0%	0%	1%	8%
		1,194 (LV)		53%	39%	0%	0%	1%	7%

Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov [449]	October 21–28, 2024	408 (LV)	–	51%	43%	0%	0%	3%	3% [g]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College [440]	October 23−26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.8%	54%	42%	4%
New York Times/Siena College [450]	September 24–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	42%	7%
		680 (LV)		52%	43%	5%
SurveyUSA [448] [BK]	August 23–27, 2024	507 (RV)	± 5.6%	47%	42%	11% [cg]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov [449]	October 21–28, 2024	393 (LV)	–	52%	44%	0%	1%	1%	2%
New York Times/Siena College [440]	October 23−26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.8%	53%	41%	0%	0%	1%	5%
New York Times/Siena College [450]	September 24–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	41%	–	2%	2%	6%
		680 (LV)		51%	42%	–	2%	1%	4%
CNN/SSRS [451]	September 20–25, 2024	794 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	1%	1%	1%	2%

Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov [449]	October 21–28, 2024	404 (LV)	–	70%	25%	0%	0%	0%	5%

Nevada

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [q]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.6%	48.2%	4.2%	Trump +0.6%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.4%	47.7%	4.8%	Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	48.5%	3.6%	Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	49.2%	3.3%	Trump +1.7%
Average			47.6%	48.3%	4.1%	Trump +0.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,260 (RV)	± 2.8%	47%	46%	7%
				51.6% [e]	48.5%	–
		1,125 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
				50.5% [e]	49.5%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	707 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	50%	3%
				47%	50%	3% [ch]
Patriot Polling [452]	November 1–3, 2024	792 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	782 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	52%	2% [ch]
				46%	51%	3%
Emerson College [453]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	840 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	48%	4% [ci]
				49% [e]	49%	1% [ci]
New York Times/Siena College [184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	46%	6%
		1,010 (LV)		49%	46%	5%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	845 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
				47%	51%	2% [g]
Emerson College [454] [BQ]	October 29–31, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	5% [cj]
				49% [e]	48%	3% [cj]
Noble Predictive Insights [455]	October 28–31, 2024	593 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research [456]	October 28–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	50%	6%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	790 (RV)	± 4.6%	50%	49%	1%
		773 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
Data for Progress (D) [457]	October 25–30, 2024	721 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [458] [D]	October 25–30, 2024	767 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4% [g]
AtlasIntel [459]	October 25–29, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
				48%	48%	4% [g]
Trafalgar Group (R) [460]	October 25–28, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	4% [f]
CES/YouGov [461]	October 1–25, 2024	940 (A)	–	53%	44%	3%
		933 (LV)		51%	47%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [462]	October 20–21, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4% [g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	449 (RV)	± 5.0%	49%	48%	3%
		420 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,171 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [463] [AG]	October 8−15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	4% [ck]
Morning Consult [135]	October 6−15, 2024	496 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Washington Post/Schar School [464]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	652 (RV)	± 4.8%	47%	44%	9%
		652 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [465] [D]	October 9–14, 2024	748 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4% [f]
Trafalgar Group (R) [466]	October 10–13, 2024	1,088 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	45%	9% [cl]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [467] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	50%	3%
Emerson College [468]	October 5–8, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	47%	5% [cm]
				49% [e]	48%	3% [cn]
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	43%	49%	8%
RMG Research [469] [F]	September 30 – October 3, 2024	782 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4% [co]
				49% [e]	49%	2% [cp]
OnMessage Inc. (R) [470] [G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [471]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1% [g]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	407 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
TIPP Insights [472] [N]	September 23−25, 2024	1,044 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	44%	8%
		736 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
Quantus Insights (R) [473] [AY]	September 23−25, 2024	628 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3% [cq]
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	858 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [474]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	48%	47%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	574 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
		516 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [475] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	738 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Remington Research Group (R) [476] [BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
The Tarrance Group (R) [477] [BR]	September 16–19, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	44%	9% [cr]
Emerson College [478]	September 15–18, 2024	895 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	48%	4% [n]
				49% [e]	49%	2% [n]
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	474 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	47%	2%
Noble Predictive Insights [479]	September 9−16, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	45%	7%
		692 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [480]	September 11–13, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	44%	11% [cs]
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Patriot Polling [481]	September 1–3, 2024	788 (RV)	–	47%	47%	6%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [482]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	5% [ct]
Emerson College [483]	August 25–28, 2024	1,168 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	48%	3% [cu]
				49% [e]	49%	1% [cv]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [484]	August 23–26, 2024	416 (LV)	± 5.0%	50%	46%	4%
		450 (RV)		49%	45%	6%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,026 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2% [g]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R) [485] [P]	August 13–18, 2024	980 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%
Focaldata [486]	August 6–16, 2024	678 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	46%	–
New York Times/Siena College [487]	August 12–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	48%	6%
		677 (LV)		47%	48%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [488]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	45%	48%	7%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [489] [R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	46%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [490]	July 24–28, 2024	454 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 18, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R) [491]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	50%	10%
	July 15, 2024	Republican National Convention begins
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [492]	May 7–13, 2024	459 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College [493]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	48%	13%
New York Times/Siena College [494]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%
		611 (LV)		42%	50%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein [cw] Green	Cornel West [cw] Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through November 2, 2024	November 3, 2024	47.9%	47.3%	—	—	1.2%	3.6%	Harris +0.6%
270toWin	October 22 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	47.8%	47.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%	3.8%	Harris +0.4%
Average			47.9%	47.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	3.7%	Harris +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West [cw] Independent	Jill Stein [cw] Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,260 (RV)	± 2.8%	46%	45%	2%	1%	–	6%
				50% [e]	46%	3%	1%	–	–
		1,125 (LV)		48%	47%	2%	1%	–	2%
				49% [e]	48%	2%	1%	–	–
New York Times/Siena College [184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	47%	44%	–	–	3%	6%
		1,010 (LV)		48%	46%	–	–	2%	4%
Focaldata [495]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,324 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
		1,197 (RV)	± 2.7%	49%	45%	–	0%	2%	4%
		1,324 (A)	–	48%	44%	–	0%	2%	1%
Noble Predictive Insights [455]	October 28–31, 2024	593 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	–	–	0%	3% [cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [496]	October 28–31, 2024	690 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	790 (RV)	± 4.6%	48%	47%	0%	0%	–	5%
		773 (LV)		48%	47%	0%	0%	–	5%
Data for Progress (D) [457]	October 25–30, 2024	721 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	–	1%	3% [cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [497]	October 25–27, 2024	531 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	–	1%	6%
CNN/SSRS [498]	October 21–26, 2024	683 (LV)	± 4.6%	47%	48%	–	–	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [499]	October 20–22, 2024	540 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	0%	0%	7%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [500] [BS]	October 19–22, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	50%	–	–	0%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	449 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	2%	3%
		420 (LV)		48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [501]	October 16–18, 2024	529 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,171 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	2%	0%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [463] [AG]	October 8−15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	–	–	1%	6% [ck]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [502]	October 12–14, 2024	838 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [503]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	514 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
TIPP Insights [472] [N]	September 23−25, 2024	1,044 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	43%	1%	0%	−	9%
		736 (LV)		50%	49%	0%	0%	−	1%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	858 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	–	1%	–	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	574 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	44%	–	3%	4%	3%
		516 (LV)		50%	44%	–	2%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [504]	September 16–19, 2024	652 (LV)	–	45%	45%	–	0%	1%	9%
Noble Predictive Insights [479]	September 9−16, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	43%	–	0%	1%	10% [cy]
		692 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5% [cz]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [505]	September 6–9, 2024	698 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
YouGov [506] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.7%	49%	46%	0%	1%	–	4% [g]
CNN/SSRS [507]	August 23–29, 2024	976 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [508]	August 25–28, 2024	490 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [484]	August 23–26, 2024	416 (LV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	–	2%	3%	1%
		450 (RV)		48%	45%	–	2%	4%	1%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,026 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	2%	1%	1%	2% [g]

New Hampshire

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [da]	Margin
270ToWin	October 24 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	50.5%	45.5%	4.0%	Harris +5.0%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.3%	45.4%	4.3%	Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.9%	46.3%	2.8%	Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	53.3%	42.5%	4.2%	Harris +10.8%
Average			51.3%	44.9%	3.8%	Harris +6.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Dartmouth College [509]	November 1–3, 2024	587 (LV)	± 4.0%	62%	34%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [510] [D]	October 24–28, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5% [l]
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal [511]	October 24–26, 2024	622 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
CES/YouGov [512]	October 1–25, 2024	380 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		375 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
Emerson College [513] [AT]	October 21–23, 2024	915 (LV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3% [n]
				51% [e]	47%	2% [n]
Dartmouth College [514]	October 5–18, 2024	2,211 (RV)	± 2.1%	59%	38%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire [515]	August 15–19, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.2%	52%	47%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College [516]	July 26–28, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	46%	4%
				52% [e]	48%	–
University of New Hampshire [517]	July 23–25, 2024	2,875 (LV)	± 1.8%	53%	46%	1%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R) [518]	December 10–12, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [519]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	2,814 (LV)	± 1.9%	51%	46%	–	0%	1%	2% [x]
Saint Anselm College [520]	October 28–29, 2024	2,791 (LV)	± 2.6%	51%	46%	0%	0%	1%	2% [h]
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [521]	October 10–23, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	–	1%	1%	5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [522]	October 2–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	41%	–	1%	1%	7%
Saint Anselm College [523]	October 1–2, 2024	2,104 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	0%	1%	1%	3% [h]
University of New Hampshire [524]	September 12–16, 2024	1,695 (LV)	± 2.4%	54%	43%	–	0%	1%	2% [x]
Saint Anselm College [525]	September 11–12, 2024	2,241 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	43%	0%	1%	1%	4%

New Jersey

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co. [526]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	57%	40%	3%
Rutgers-Eagleton [527]	October 15–22, 2024	451 (RV)	–	55%	35%	10% [db]
		478 (RV)		51% [dc]	37%	12% [dd]
ActiVote [528]	October 2–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
Cygnal (R) [529]	October 23–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	40%	8% [de]
ActiVote [530]	September 4 – October 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–

New Mexico

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New Mexico

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Victory Insights [531]	November 1–3, 2024	600 (LV)	–	49.6%	44.7%	5.7% [df]
SurveyUSA [532] [BT]	October 28–31, 2024	632 (LV)	± 5.5%	50%	44%	6% [l]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [533] [D]	October 24–26, 2024	749 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	44%	7% [bi]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [534] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	708 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	6%
SurveyUSA [535]	September 12–18, 2024	619 (LV)	± 5.4%	50%	42%	8%
	September 10, 2024	The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
Emerson College [536]	August 20–22, 2024	956 (RV)	± 3.1%	52%	42%	6%
				54% [e]	46%	–
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [537]	October 12–14, 2024	382 (LV)	–	49%	45%	–	2%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [538]	September 6–9, 2024	521 (LV)	–	49%	44%	–	1%	1%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Emerson College [539]	August 20–22, 2024	956 (RV)	± 3.1%	51%	40%	3%	0%	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [540]	August 12–15, 2024	592 (LV)	–	47%	41%	6%	–	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [541]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	493 (LV)	–	44%	37%	8%	–	0%	0%	11%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Research & Polling Inc. [542] [BU]	October 10–18, 2024	1,024 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	41%	3%	6%
Research & Polling Inc. [543] [BU]	September 6–13, 2024	532 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	39%	3%	9%

New York

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in New York

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co. [544]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	57%	41%	2%
ActiVote [545]	October 7–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
Siena College [546]	October 13–17, 2024	872 (LV)	± 4.1%	58%	39%	3%
ActiVote [547]	September 4–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	61%	39%	–
Emerson College [548] [BV]	September 23–25, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	54%	40%	6% [dg]
Siena College [549]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	55%	42%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote [550]	August 1–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Siena College [551]	July 28 – August 1, 2024	1,199 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	39%	8%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
SoCal Strategies (R) [552] [AH]	July 18–19, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	41%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Siena College [549]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	52%	40%	1%	2%	0%	5%

North Carolina

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [dh]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	48.6%	4.1%	Trump +1.3%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.4%	48.3%	4.3%	Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.7%	48.8%	3.5%	Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	49.4%	2.7%	Trump +1.5%
Average			47.6%	48.8%	3.6%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	47%	5%
				50.5% [e]	49.5%	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
				50.2% [e]	49.8%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Patriot Polling [553]	November 1–3, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	49%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R) [554]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	47%	4% [f]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
Emerson College [555]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3% [h]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
New York Times/Siena College [556]	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
		1,010 (LV)		46%	48%	6%
ActiVote [557]	October 17 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Morning Consult [135]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	1,056 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	49%	2%
		949 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [558] [D]	October 25–30, 2024	751 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3% [g]
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [559]	October 25–28, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	5% [g]
Fox News [305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,113 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
		872 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
SurveyUSA [560] [BW]	October 23–26, 2024	853 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	47%	6% [f]
CES/YouGov [561]	October 1–25, 2024	2,330 (A)	–	48%	49%	3%
		2,308 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Emerson College [562]	October 21–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	48%	2% [n]
				50% [e]	48%	2% [n]
Marist College [563]	October 17–22, 2024	1,410 (RV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3% [di]
		1,226 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	48%	2% [j]
SoCal Strategies (R) [564] [B]	October 20–21, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [565]	October 19–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4% [f]
High Point University/SurveyUSA [566]	October 17–20, 2024	1,164 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7% [g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
		702 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	51%	–
Elon University [567]	October 10–17, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	8% [dj]
Morning Consult [135]	October 6−15, 2024	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School [568]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	965 (RV)	± 3.9%	49%	45%	6%
		965 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Quinnipiac University [197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [569] [D]	October 9–14, 2024	1,042 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	46%	3% [g]
Trafalgar Group (R) [570]	October 10–13, 2024	1,085 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	45%	6% [bi]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [571] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College [572]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3% [h]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	47%	6%
ActiVote [573]	September 7 – October 6, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R) [574]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Quinnipiac University [204]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post [575]	September 25–29, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3% [h]
		1,001 (LV)		50%	48%	2% [h]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
High Point University [576]	September 20–29, 2024	814 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	48%	6% [n]
		589 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4% [n]
Emerson College [577] [BX]	September 27–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3% [h]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
RMG Research [578] [F]	September 25–27, 2024	780 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5% [dk]
				51% [e]	47%	2% [dl]
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
		828 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
Fox News [579]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Marist College [580]	September 19−24, 2024	1,507 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3% [j]
		1,348 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	49%	2% [j]
The Bullfinch Group [581] [AE]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [582] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5% [f]
New York Times/Siena College [583]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	5%
		682 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Meredith College [584]	September 18−20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4% [dm]
Victory Insights [585]	September 16−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Emerson College [586]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	1,314 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [587] [AG]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3% [g]
TIPP Insights [588] [N]	September 11–13, 2024	973 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	46%	5%
Elon University [589]	September 4−13, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	46%	9% [dn]
Trafalgar Group (R) [590]	September 11–12, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	46%	6% [f]
Quantus Insights (R) [591] [AY]	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5% [do]
				50%	48%	2% [dp]
Quinnipiac University [215]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	50%	3% [n]
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,369 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SurveyUSA [592] [BW]	September 4–7, 2024	900 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	49%	5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [593]	September 5–6, 2024	692 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	46%	7% [dn]
		619 (LV)		48%	47%	5% [aj]
Patriot Polling [594]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	50%	48%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [595]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3% [aj]
ActiVote [596]	August 6–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Emerson College [597]	August 25–28, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
SoCal Strategies (R) [598] [B]	August 26–27, 2024	612 (LV)	–	50%	46%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [599]	August 23–26, 2024	645 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
		700 (RV)		47%	49%	4%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1% [g]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA [600]	August 19–21, 2024	1,053 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	9%
		941 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Spry Strategies (R) [81] [O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata [601]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
New York Times/Siena College [602]	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	49%	5%
		655 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [603]	August 6–8, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	45%	6%
Navigator Research (D) [604]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [605]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [606]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [607]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	40%	10%
Emerson College [608]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	41%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 2, 2024	October 15, 2024	47.1%	47.8%	1.0%	0.8%	—	3.3%	Trump +0.8%
270toWin	October 1 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	46.6%	47.0%	0.8%	1.0%	0.5%	4.1%	Trump +0.4%
Average			47.0%	47.5%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	3.3%	Trump +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	46%	1%	1%	–	4%
				49.0% [e]	48.5%	1.6%	0.9%	–	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	1%	0%	–	2%
				49.2% [e]	49.0%	1.2%	0.6%	–	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	–	1%	0%	1% [g]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	–	1%	0%	2% [g]
New York Times/Siena College [556]	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	43%	47%	0%	0%	1%	9%
		1,010 (LV)		45%	48%	0%	0%	0%	7%
Focaldata [609]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,787 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,785 (RV)	± 2.2%	46%	50%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,987 (A)	–	46%	48%	–	2%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [610]	October 28–31, 2024	1,123 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	0%	1%	–	4%
		949 (LV)		49%	48%	0%	1%	–	2%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	0%	3% [g]
East Carolina University [611]	October 24–29, 2024	1,250 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	0%	0%	0%	2%
CNN/SSRS [612]	October 23–28, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [613]	October 25–27, 2024	770 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [614]	October 16–23, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	1%	1%	0%	6% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [615]	October 20–22, 2024	679 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	0%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	3%	1%
		702 (LV)		49%	48%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [616]	October 16–18, 2024	843 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	0%	6%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	50%	0%	1%	0%	–
Cygnal (R) [617] [BY]	October 6–15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	1%	0%	1%	4% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [618]	October 12–14, 2024	620 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University [197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	49%	0%	0%	1%	3% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [619]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	753 (LV)	–	47%	45%	–	1%	0%	7%
Quinnipiac University [204]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	1%	1%	0%	2% [br]
East Carolina University [620]	September 23–26, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	0%	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	1%	1%	0%	–
CNN/SSRS [621]	September 20–25, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	48%	1%	0%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	46%	49%	1%	2%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	–	1%	3%	2%
		828 (LV)		47%	49%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News [579]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College [583]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	46%	–	0%	1%	7%
		682 (LV)		47%	45%	–	0%	1%	7%
Meredith College [622]	September 18–20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	0%	1%	1%	2% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [623]	September 16–19, 2024	868 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	0%	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [587] [AG]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Cygnal (R) [624] [BY]	September 15–16, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	2%	0%	1%	6% [br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [625]	September 6–9, 2024	495 (LV)	–	44%	45%	–	0%	0%	11%
Quinnipiac University [215]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	0%	1%	0%	4% [h]
YouGov [626] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	46%	0%	1%	–	6% [g]
East Carolina University [627]	August 26–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [628]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	45%	44%	–	1%	1%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [599]	August 23–26, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	2%	2%
		645 (LV)		48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Fox News [80]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	2%	1%	1%	1% [g]

North Dakota

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in North Dakota

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL	Other / Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D) [629] [BZ]	September 23–26, 2024	500 (LV)	–	50%	40%	10%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R) [630] [CA]	September 28–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	59%	32%	1%	8%

Ohio

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [dq]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	44.3%	52.0%	3.7%	Trump +7.7%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	43.4%	52.3%	4.3%	Trump +8.8%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.6%	52.2%	3.2%	Trump +7.6%
Average			44.1%	52.2%	3.7%	Trump +8.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,022 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	45%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R) [631]	November 2–4, 2024	1,095 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	45%	3% [f]
Emerson College [632] [CB]	October 30 − November 2, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	54%	42%	4% [dr]
				54.7% [ds]	43.5%	1.9%
Morning Consult [135]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	44%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [633] [CC]	October 25–28, 2024	1,127 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	46%	2% [g]
ActiVote [634]	October 5−28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
CES/YouGov [635]	October 1–25, 2024	3,120 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		3,091 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
J.L. Partners [636]	October 22−24, 2024	997 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	44%	3%
University of Akron [637]	September 12 – October 24, 2024	1,241 (RV)	± 2.8%	51%	44%	5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov [638]	October 10−21, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	43%	5% [dt]
Morning Consult [135]	October 6−15, 2024	1,243 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	45%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [639] [D]	October 9−14, 2024	1,051 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5% [f]
Washington Post [640]	October 3–7, 2024	1,002 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	44%	5% [du]
		1,002 (LV)		51%	45%	4% [h]
Marist College [641]	October 3–7, 2024	1,511 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2% [j]
		1,327 (LV)	± 3.2%	52%	46%	2% [j]
ActiVote [642]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Bowling Green State University/YouGov [643]	September 18–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	44%	5% [dv]
New York Times/Siena College [644]	September 21–26, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
		687 (LV)		50%	44%	6%
RMG Research [645] [F]	September 18−20, 2024	757 (LV)	± 3.5%	54%	43%	3% [dw]
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	1,488 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	43%	5%
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,558 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Emerson College [646]	September 3–5, 2024	945 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	43%	4%
				54% [e]	45%	1% [h]
SoCal Strategies (R) [647] [B]	August 31 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	–	52%	43%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote [648]	August 2–22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R) [649] [P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,267 (LV)	–	51%	44%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [650] [AG]	July 23–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University [651]	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	38%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,022 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	45%	–	1%	0%	–
Focaldata [652]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,161 (LV)	–	53%	44%	–	0%	1%	2%
		1,867 (RV)	± 2.1%	52%	45%	–	0%	2%	1%
		2,161 (A)	–	53%	42%	–	0%	2%	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [653] [BS]	October 19–22, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	–	1%	1%	2% [g]
New York Times/Siena College [644]	September 21–26, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	–	2%	2%	5%
		687 (LV)		49%	43%	–	2%	2%	4%

Oklahoma

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [654]	October 3–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	67%	33%	–
ActiVote [655]	September 13 – October 19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	66%	34%	–
SoonerPoll [656]	August 24–31, 2024	323 (LV)	± 5.5%	56%	40%	4%

Oregon

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [657] [CD]	October 16–17, 2024	716 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	41%	6%
Hoffman Research [658]	July 24–26, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	44%	7%

Pennsylvania

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [dx]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.2%	48.2%	3.6%	Tie
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.9%	47.7%	4.4%	Harris +0.2%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	48.1%	3.9%	Trump +0.1%
Real Clear Politics	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.5%	48.9%	2.6%	Trump +0.4%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	48.8%	3.2%	Trump +0.8%
Average			48.12%	48.34%	3.8%	Trump +0.22%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	2,333 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	45%	6%
				52% [e]	48%	–
		2,103 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
				52% [e]	48%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,840 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	50%	1%
Research Co. [659]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [660]	November 1–3, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5% [l]
Patriot Polling [661]	November 1–3, 2024	903 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [662]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3% [f]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	2,049 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College [663]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer [294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,527 (RV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	5%
		1,527 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [664]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	46%	6% [dy]
		699 (LV)		49%	47%	4% [dz]
ActiVote [665]	October 10 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50.5%	49.5%	–
SoCal Strategies (R) [666] [B]	October 30–31, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	48%	2%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	49%	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [667]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	49%	4%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	982 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	48%	2%
		956 (LV)		51%	48%	1%
Morning Consult [135]	October 22−31, 2024	1,395 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [668]	October 27–30, 2024	460 (RV)	± 6.0%	49%	47%	4% [ea]
Marist College [669]	October 27–30, 2024	1,558 (RV)	± 3.2%	51%	47%	2% [j]
		1,400 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2% [j]
Echelon Insights [301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	52%	2%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,299 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [670] [D]	October 25–28, 2024	849 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4% [f]
Fox News [305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,310 (RV)	± 2.5%	50%	48%	2%
		1,057 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Quinnipiac University [671]	October 24–28, 2024	2,186 (LV)	± 2.1%	47%	49%	4%
CBS News/YouGov [672]	October 22–28, 2024	1,273 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	1% [eb]
InsiderAdvantage (R) [673]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	5% [l]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [674]	October 25–27, 2024	1,116 (LV)	± 2.8%	48%	48%	4% [f]
North Star Opinion Research (R) [487] [CE]	October 22–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6% [f]
CES/YouGov [675]	October 1–25, 2024	3,708 (A)	–	50%	47%	3%
		3,685 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
Emerson College [676] [BQ]	October 21–22, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	3%
				49% [e]	51%	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [677]	October 20–22, 2024	1,586 (LV)	± 2.3%	48%	47%	5% [f]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) [678] [CF]	October 18−22, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	46%	8%
Quantus Insights (R) [679] [CG]	October 17−20, 2024	840 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	866 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
		812 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Franklin & Marshall College [680]	October 9−20, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.3%	48%	44%	8%
		583 (LV)	± 5.0%	49%	50%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R) [681]	October 17−19, 2024	1,084 (LV)	± 2.9%	43%	46%	11% [ec]
The Bullfinch Group [682]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
				49%	48%	3% [ed]
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	50%	3%
Rose Institute/YouGov [683]	October 7–17, 2024	1,062 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	46%	6% [ee]
		1,043 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Morning Consult [135]	October 6−15, 2024	1,395 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School [684]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	707 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%	46%	5%
		707 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [685] [D]	October 9–13, 2024	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3% [g]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer [50]	October 7–10, 2024	857 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	4%
		857 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
American Pulse Research & Polling [686]	October 2–10, 2024	1,193 (LV)	± 2.8%	49.5%	50.5%	–
TIPP Insights [687] [CE]	October 7–9, 2024	1,079 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	6%
		803 (LV)		48%	49%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [688] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [689]	October 7–8, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	49%	4% [f]
Emerson College [690]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	46%	47%	7%
Research Co. [691]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	48%	47%	5% [bn]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [bn]
Quinnipiac University [326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,412 (LV)	± 2.6%	49%	47%	4%
Hunt Research [692] [CH]	October 2–7, 2024	1,037 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	5%
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov [693] [CI]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	8% [ef]
OnMessage Inc. (R) [694] [G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	46%	8%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [695] [CJ]	September 28–29, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	6% [l]
Patriot Polling [696]	September 27–29, 2024	816 (RV)	–	49%	50%	1%
The Bullfinch Group [697] [CK]	September 26–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [698]	September 26–29, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	48%	7% [l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	408 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College [699] [BQ]	September 27–28, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4% [n]
				49% [e]	49%	2% [n]
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,775 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	474 (LV)	–	50%	49%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	993 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
		924 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
ActiVote [700]	September 1–25, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
Fox News [701]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
		775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [702] [AG]	September 17–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies [703] [CL]	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [704] [D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,202 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4% [g]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [g]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R) [705] [CF]	September 16–22, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	46%	8% [g]
RMG Research [706] [F]	September 18–20, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5% [eg]
				49% [e]	49%	3% [eh]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call [707]	September 16–19, 2024	450 (RV)	± 6.0%	48%	48%	4% [ei]
Emerson College [708]	September 15–18, 2024	880 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	48%	5% [h]
				50% [e]	49%	1% [h]
MassINC Polling Group [709] [CM]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	47%	1%
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	1,756 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Marist College [710]	September 12−17, 2024	1,663 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3% [ej]
		1,476 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	49%	2% [j]
Washington Post [711]	September 12−16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	5% [eh]
		1,003 (LV)		48%	48%	4% [eh]
Quinnipiac University [336]	September 12−16, 2024	1,331 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	46%	2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer [712]	September 11−16, 2024	1,082 (RV)	± 3.8%	50%	46%	4%
		1,082 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
Suffolk University/USA Today [713]	September 11−16, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [714]	September 14−15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	50%	2% [g]
	September 10, 2024	The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,910 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R) [715]	September 4–6, 2024	889 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	48%	6%
CBS News/YouGov [716]	September 3–6, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	50%	–
Patriot Polling [717]	September 1–3, 2024	857 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R) [718]	August 28–30, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	47%	8% [l]
Wick Insights [719] [CN]	August 27–29, 2024	1,607 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College [720]	August 25–28, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	48%	4% [h]
				49% [e]	49%	1% [h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [721]	August 23–26, 2024	803 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	47%	2%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
SoCal Strategies (R) [722] [B]	August 23, 2024	713 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
		800 (RV)		47%	47%	6%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov [723] [BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.1%	43%	43%	14% [ek]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	47%	6% [el]
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote [724]	August 5–22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Fabrizio Ward (R) [725] [BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	47%	7%
Spry Strategies (R) [81] [O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [726]	August 18–19, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7% [l]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [649] [P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,312 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	47%	7%
Focaldata [601]	August 6–16, 2024	719 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
Cygnal (R) [727]	August 14–15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College [728] [BQ]	August 13–14, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
				49% [e]	51%	–
Quinnipiac University [729]	August 8–12, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.4%	50%	47%	3%
The Bullfinch Group [730] [AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	6%
New York Times/Siena College [488]	August 6–9, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	46%	5%
		693 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [731]	August 6–8, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10%
Navigator Research (D) [732]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	48%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [733]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	48%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [734] [CO]	July 29 – August 1, 2024	600 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D) [735] [Q]	July 29–30, 2024	627 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	48%	5%
GQR Research (D) [736]	July 26–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	46%	4% [em]
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [737] [R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	45%	7%
Quantus Insights (R) [738]	July 27–28, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [739]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	50%	4%
The Bullfinch Group [740] [CK]	July 23–25, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Fox News [741]	July 22–24, 2024	1,034 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College [742]	July 22–23, 2024	850 (RV)	± 3.3%	46%	48%	6%
				49% [e]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
North Star Opinion Research (R) [743] [CE]	July 20–23, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	9%
SoCal Strategies (R) [744] [AH]	July 20–21, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	50%	4%
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R) [745]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	47%	13%
	July 15, 2024	Republican National Convention begins
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D) [746] [Q]	July 11–12, 2024	537 (RV)	–	45%	51%	4%
New York Times/Siena College [747]	July 9–11, 2024	872 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6%
		872 (LV)		47%	48%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [748]	May 7–13, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	50%	7%
Emerson College [749]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	49%	11%
New York Times/Siena College [750]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	47%	9%
		600 (LV)		44%	48%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 28, 2024	November 2, 2024	48.0%	47.5%	1.0%	—	0.6%	2.9%	Harris +0.5%
270toWin	October 17 – 28, 2024	November 2, 2024	47.9%	47.9%	0.8%	—	0.7%	2.7%	Tie
Average			47.95%	47.7%	0.9%	—	0.65%	2.8%	Harris +0.25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	2,333 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	45%	1%	1%	–	5%
				50% [e]	47%	2%	1%	–	–
		2,103 (LV)		50%	46%	1%	0%	–	3%
				51.0% [e]	47.5%	1.0%	0.5%	–	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,840 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	2%
Survation [751]	November 1–4, 2024	941 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	47%	–	1%	1%	2%
		915 (LV)		50.6%	47.8%	–	0.9%	0.7%	–
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	2,049 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer [294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,527 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
		1,527 (LV)		47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Focaldata [752]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,373 (LV)	–	50%	48%	–	1%	1%	–
		2,119 (RV)	± 2.0%	51%	47%	–	1%	1%	–
		2,373 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
Data for Progress (D) [753]	October 25–31, 2024	908 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	–	1%	0%	2%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	982 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	46%	0%	1%	–	5%
		956 (LV)		49%	46%	0%	0%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [754]	October 28–31, 2024	1,596 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
Suffolk University/USA Today [755]	October 27–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	49%	–	0%	1%	1%
Echelon Insights [301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
Washington Post [756]	October 26–30, 2024	1,204 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3% [eh]
		1,204 (LV)		48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,299 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
Quinnipiac University [671]	October 24–28, 2024	2,186 (LV)	± 2.1%	46%	47%	–	2%	1%	4%
CNN/SSRS [757]	October 23–28, 2024	819 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [758]	October 25–27, 2024	1,116 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [487] [CE]	October 22–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [759]	October 16–23, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [760]	October 20–22, 2024	1,586 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	866 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	0%	2%	2%
		812 (LV)		50%	48%	–	0%	1%	1%
Franklin & Marshall College [680]	October 9–20, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%	45%	–	2%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [761]	October 16–18, 2024	1,256 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	50%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [762]	October 12–14, 2024	1,649 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer [50]	October 7–10, 2024	857 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	–	2%	1%	3%
		857 (LV)		49%	45%	–	1%	0%	5%
American Pulse Research & Polling [686]	October 2–10, 2024	1,193 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1% [g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [763]	October 8–9, 2024	707 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	0%	1%	5%
TIPP Insights [687] [CE]	October 7–9, 2024	1,079 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	1%	1%	–	4%
		803 (LV)		48%	49%	1%	0%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [764]	October 2–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	–	1%	0%	8%
J.L. Partners [765] [CP]	October 5–8, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Quinnipiac University [326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,412 (LV)	± 2.6%	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
Hunt Research [692] [CH]	October 2–7, 2024	1,037 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [766]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	5,686 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
The Bullfinch Group [697] [CK]	September 26–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	–	1%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,775 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	51%	–	0%	0%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	993 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	–	0%	4%	2%
		924 (LV)		51%	45%	–	0%	3%	1%
Fox News [701]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%
		775 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	–	2%	2%	1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [702] [AG]	September 17–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [767]	September 16–19, 2024	1,086 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov [768]	September 11–19, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
MassINC Polling Group [709] [CM]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	46%	−	1%	0%	3%
Quinnipiac University [336]	September 12−16, 2024	1,331 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	45%	−	1%	0%	3%
Franklin & Marshall College [769]	September 4–15, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.1%	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [770]	September 6–9, 2024	801 (LV)	–	45%	45%	–	0%	1%	9%
YouGov [771] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	45%	0%	1%	–	8% [g]
Wick Insights [719] [CN]	August 27–29, 2024	1,607 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
CNN/SSRS [772]	August 23–29, 2024	789 (LV)	± 4.7%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [773]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	1%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [721]	August 23–26, 2024	803 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	45%	–	2%	1%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	474 (LV)	–	49%	47%	1%	3%
Remington Research Group (R) [774] [BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	1%	4%
Washington Post [711]	September 12−16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	1%	4% [eh]
		1,003 (LV)		48%	47%	1%	4%

Rhode Island

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group [283] [CQ]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.9%	56%	43%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [775]	September 12–16, 2024	683 (LV)	± 3.7%	58%	38%	–	2%	0%	2% [en]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group [283] [CQ]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.9%	53%	40%	2%	0%	1%	–	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
University of Rhode Island/YouGov [776]	August 15 – September 8, 2024	500 (A)	± 6.0%	53%	27%	9%	11% [eo]

South Carolina

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in South Carolina

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [777]	October 5–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58.5%	41.5%	–
ActiVote [778]	September 9 – October 17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
Winthrop University [779]	September 21–29, 2024	1,068 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	42%	6% [ep]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Citadel [780]	October 17–25, 2024	1,241 (RV)	± 3.6%	53%	41%	0%	0%	0%	6%
		1,136 (LV)		54%	42%	0%	0%	0%	4%
East Carolina University [781]	October 18–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.0%	55%	42%	–	–	1%	2%

South Dakota

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in South Dakota

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College [782]	October 19–22, 2024	825 (LV)	± 3.3%	62%	35%	3% [n]
				62% [e]	37%	1% [h]

Tennessee

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [783]	October 5−28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	62%	38%	–
ActiVote [784]	September 24 – October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	62%	38%	–
ActiVote [785]	July 26 – August 29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Targoz Market Research [786] [CR]	September 27 – October 8, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	54%	35%	5%	–	1%	1%	4%
		971 (LV)		56%	35%	5%	–	0%	1%	3%

Texas

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Texas

Kamala Harris vs. Donald TrumpAggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [eq]	Margin
270ToWin	October 18 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.4%	51.8%	3.8%	Trump +7.4%
538	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	43.8%	51.7%	4.5%	Trump +7.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.3%	51.4%	4.3%	Trump +7.1%
The Hill/DDHQ	through October 29, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.2%	51.8%	4.0%	Trump +7.6%
Average			44.2%	51.7%	4.1%	Trump +7.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,434 (LV)	± 2.0%	55%	44%	1%
Morning Consult [135]	October 22−31, 2024	2,120 (LV)	± 2.0%	52%	45%	3%
ActiVote [787]	October 21−27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
New York Times/Siena College [440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,180 (RV)	± 3.3%	52%	41%	7%
		1,180 (LV)		52%	42%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [788] [D]	October 24–25, 2024	1,002 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	6% [g]
CES/YouGov [789]	October 1–25, 2024	6,526 (A)	–	51%	47%	2%
		6,473 (LV)		51%	47%	2%
Emerson College [790]	October 18−21, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	53%	46%	1% [h]
				53% [e]	46%	1% [h]
Rose Institute/YouGov [791]	October 7–17, 2024	1,108 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	44%	7% [s]
		1,108 (RV)		50% [e]	45%	5%
		1,075 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
ActiVote [792]	September 26 − October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
Morning Consult [135]	October 6−15, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	46%	4%
Marist College [793]	October 3–7, 2024	1,365 (RV)	± 3.3%	52%	46%	2% [er]
		1,186 (LV)	± 3.6%	53%	46%	1%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [794]	October 2–6, 2024	811 (RV)	± 3.4%	50%	45%	5% [aj]
		775 (LV)		50%	45%	5% [aj]
New York Times/Siena College [795]	September 29 – October 6, 2024	617 (LV)	± 5.0%	50%	44%	6%
RMG Research [796] [F]	September 25–27, 2024	779 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	45%	3% [es]
				53% [e]	46%	1%
Public Policy Polling (D) [161] [AD]	September 25–26, 2024	759 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	46%	3%
Emerson College [797]	September 22−24, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	46%	3% [h]
				52% [e]	47%	1% [h]
ActiVote [798]	September 7−24, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	2,716 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	46%	4%
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	2,940 (LV)	± 2.0%	52%	43%	5%
Emerson College [799]	September 3–5, 2024	845 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	46%	4%
				51% [e]	48%	1% [et]
YouGov [800] [CS]	August 23–31, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	7% [eu]
ActiVote [801]	August 14–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54.5%	45.5%	–
Quantus Insights (R) [802]	August 29–30, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	49%	42%	9% [ev]
				52%	44%	4% [ew]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D) [803] [AD]	August 21–22, 2024	725 (RV)	± 3.6%	49%	44%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
ActiVote [804]	July 31 – August 13, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov [805] [CT]	January 11–24, 2024	1,500 (RV)	± 2.5%	52%	39%	9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [806]	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	46%	39%	15% [ex]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,434 (LV)	± 2.0%	54%	44%	−	1%	0%	1%
Cygnal (R) [807]	October 26−28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	43%	−	2%	2%	2%
New York Times/Siena College [440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,180 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	40%	−	2%	2%	6%
		1,180 (LV)		51%	40%	−	1%	1%	7%
UT Tyler [808]	October 14–21, 2024	1,129 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	45%	–	1%	2%	1%
		956 (LV)		51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov [809] [CS]	October 2–10, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	46%	–	2%	1%	–
CWS Research (R) [810] [CU]	October 1–4, 2024	533 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	43%	–	2%	1%	6%
University of Houston [811]	September 26 – October 10, 2024	1,329 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	46%	–	1%	0%	2%
Public Policy Polling (D) [161] [AD]	September 25–26, 2024	759 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	44%	0%	1%	–	6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation [812]	September 13–18, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
CWS Research (R) [813] [CV]	September 4–9, 2024	504 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	41%	–	0%	2%	6%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D) [814]	August 24–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	43%	–	2%	2%	2%
YouGov [800] [CS]	August 23–31, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	–	2%	0%	5%

Utah

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Utah

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote [815]	October 7–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	60%	40%	–
Noble Predictive Insights [816]	October 2–7, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	52%	39%	9%
		539 (LV)	± 4.2%	54%	38%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D) [817] [CW]	September 27–28, 2024	612 (LV)	± 4.0%	54%	39%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights [818]	October 25–28, 2024	695 (LV)	± 3.7%	54%	34%	0%	0%	1%	11% [ey]
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics [819]	October 15–19, 2024	813 (RV)	± 3.4%	61%	30%	2%	1%	–	6%
				63% [e]	31%	4%	2%	–	–
Noble Predictive Insights [816]	October 2–7, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	37%	2%	1%	1%	8% [cx]
		539 (LV)	± 4.2%	54%	36%	2%	0%	2%	6% [cx]

Vermont

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Vermont

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire [820]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	70%	29%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire [821]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,167 (LV)	± 2.9%	63%	31%	2%	0%	–	0%	4% [ez]
University of New Hampshire [820]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	67%	27%	3%	0%	–	0%	3% [fa]

Virginia

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [fb]	Margin
270ToWin	October 2 - November 1, 2024	November 4, 2024	49.8%	41.0%	9.2%	Harris +8.8%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	49.9%	43.7%	6.4%	Harris +6.2%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	49.5%	43.2%	7.3%	Harris +6.3%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.1%	45.1%	4.8%	Harris +5.0%
Average			49.8%	43.3%	6.9%	Harris +6.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,202 (LV)	± 2.0%	51%	46%	3%
Research Co. [822]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	45%	4%
ActiVote [823]	October 2–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R) [824] [D]	October 24–25, 2024	1,014 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	6% [bi]
CES/YouGov [825]	October 1–25, 2024	2,027 (A)	–	53%	44%	3%
		2,015 (LV)		53%	44%	3%
Quantus Insights (R) [826] [AY]	October 22−24, 2024	725 (LV)	± 3.6%	49%	48%	3%
Braun Research [827] [CX]	October 19−23, 2024	1,004 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	42%	9%
		1,004 (LV)		49%	43%	8%
Christopher Newport University [828]	September 28 − October 4, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	41%	7% [k]
Emerson College [829] [CY]	September 22−24, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	52%	44%	4% [h]
				53% [e]	46%	1% [h]
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	899 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [830] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,144 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
ActiVote [831]	August 19 – September 17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
Research America Inc. [832] [CZ]	September 3−9, 2024	1,000 (A)	± 3.1%	45%	45%	10% [fc]
		756 (LV)	± 4.1%	48%	46%	6% [fd]
Washington Post/Schar School [833]	September 4–8, 2024	1,005 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	43%	6% [eh]
		1,005 (LV)		51%	43%	6% [eh]
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	873 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	42%	6%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R) [834] [AY]	August 20–22, 2024	629 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	9%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College [835]	August 12–16, 2024	691 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	44%	10% [fe]
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
Emerson College [836]	July 14–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [837]	July 14–15, 2024	301 (RV)	–	43%	44%	13% [ff]
		265 (LV)		43%	47%	10% [dj]
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [838]	July 12–13, 2024	617 (RV)	± 3.9%	45%	41%	14%
		544 (LV)		46%	42%	12%
New York Times/Siena College [839]	July 9–12, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	44%	8%
		661 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	44%	7%
SoCal Strategies (R) [840] [AH]	July 6–11, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 2.1%	47%	47%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,202 (LV)	± 2.0%	51%	45%	–	2%	1%	1% [g]
Chism Strategies [841]	October 28–30, 2024	520 (LV)	± 4.3%	45.2%	44.5%	–	1.3%	0.6%	8.4% [fg]
Cygnal (R) [842]	October 27–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	43%	1%	1%	0%	5% [fh]
Roanoke College [843]	October 25–29, 2024	851 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	41%	2%	1%	2%	3% [fi]
Virginia Commonwealth University [844]	September 16–25, 2024	832 (A)	± 4.6%	43%	37%	3%	1%	–	16% [fj]
		762 (RV)		47%	37%	2%	1%	–	13% [fk]
Washington Post/Schar School [833]	September 4–8, 2024	1,005 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	42%	0%	1%	1%	7% [fl]
		1,005 (LV)		50%	42%	0%	1%	1%	6% [fl]
Virginia Commonwealth University [845]	August 26 – September 6, 2024	809 (A)	± 5.0%	46%	36%	2%	1%	–	15% [fm]
		749 (RV)		49%	36%	1%	1%	–	13% [fn]

Washington

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co. [846]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	54%	39%	7%
ActiVote [847]	October 3–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
Public Policy Polling (D) [848] [CD]	October 16–17, 2024	571 (LV)	± 4.1%	55%	40%	6%
Strategies 360 [849] [DA]	October 11–16, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	55%	39%	6% [aj]
SurveyUSA [850] [DB]	October 9–14, 2024	703 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	35%	8%
ActiVote [851]	September 7 – October 13, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	60%	40%	–
Elway Research [852] [DC]	October 8–12, 2024	401 (RV)	± 5.0%	57%	32%	11%
Elway Research [853] [DC]	September 3–6, 2024	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	53%	32%	11%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
DHM Research [854]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	40%	14% [fo]
SurveyUSA [855] [DB]	July 10–13, 2024	708 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	36%	13%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) [856] [CD]	July 24–25, 2024	581 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	38%	6%	4%

West Virginia

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in West Virginia

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Research America [857] [DD]	August 21–27, 2024	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	61%	34%	5%

Wisconsin

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [fp]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.8%	47.7%	3.5%	Harris +1.1%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.3%	47.3%	4.4%	Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.7%	47.7%	3.6%	Harris +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.4%	48.7%	2.9%	Trump +0.3%
Average			48.6%	47.9%	3.5%	Harris +0.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,727 (RV)	± 2.4%	47%	46%	7%
				51% [e]	49%	–
		1,549 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
				51% [e]	49%	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	869 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Research Co. [858]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	46%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R) [859]	November 1–3, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	47%	5% [l]
Patriot Polling [860]	November 1–3, 2024	835 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [861]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	3% [f]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	728 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	50%	1%
Emerson College [862]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	49%	2% [h]
				50% [e]	50%	–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University [863]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3% [x]
		786 (LV)		49%	48%	3% [x]
New York Times/Siena College [28]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,305 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%
		1,305 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
ActiVote [864]	October 10 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	673 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [865]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	889 (RV)	± 4.5%	51%	47%	2%
		876 (LV)		51%	47%	2%
Morning Consult [135]	October 22−31, 2024	540 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
TIPP Insights [866] [CE]	October 28–30, 2024	1,038 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	46%	6%
		831 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
Marist College [867]	October 27–30, 2024	1,444 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	48%	2% [j]
		1,330 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2% [j]
Echelon Insights [301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	49%	2%
Quantus Insights (R) [868] [DE]	October 28–29, 2024	637 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	49%	2%
SoCal Strategies (R) [869] [B]	October 28–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [870] [D]	October 25–29, 2024	818 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3% [f]
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,470 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
CNN/SSRS [871]	October 23–28, 2024	736 (LV)	± 4.8%	51%	45%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [872]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3% [f]
CES/YouGov [873]	October 1–25, 2024	1,552 (A)	–	51%	46%	3%
		1,542 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Marquette University Law School [874]	October 16–24, 2024	834 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
				51% [e]	49%	–
		753 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
				50% [e]	49%	1%
Emerson College [875] [DF]	October 21–22, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
Quinnipiac University [311]	October 17–21, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [876]	October 18−20, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6% [f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
		624 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
The Bullfinch Group [877]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
				48%	46%	7% [fq]
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	932 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
RMG Research [878] [F]	October 10−16, 2024	787 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3% [fr]
				49% [e]	50%	1%
Morning Consult [135]	October 6−15, 2024	527 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Washington Post/Schar School [879]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	695 (RV)	± 4.6%	50%	46%	4%
		695 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Patriot Polling [880]	October 12–14, 2024	803 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [881] [D]	October 9–14, 2024	1,004 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [882]	October 8–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4% [l]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R) [883] [E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Emerson College [884]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	48%	4%
Research Co. [885]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	47%	45%	8% [bn]
				50% [e]	48%	2% [bn]
Quinnipiac University [326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,073 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Arc Insights [886] [DG]	October 2–6, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	48%	5%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [887] [G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	47%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R) [888]	September 28–30, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7% [l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	408 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	46%	6%
ActiVote [889]	August 29 – September 29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
New York Times/Siena College [890]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
		680 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Marquette University Law School [891]	September 18–26, 2024	882 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	45%	5%
				52% [e]	48%	–
		798 (LV)		50%	45%	5%
				52% [e]	48%	–
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	849 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
		785 (LV)		51%	48%	1%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies [892] [DH]	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	45%	4%
RMG Research [893] [F]	September 17–23, 2024	788 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1% [h]
Rasmussen Reports (R) [894] [D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,071 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	1%
Emerson College [895]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3% [h]
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
MassINC Polling Group [896] [DI]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.8%	53%	46%	1%
Morning Consult [135]	September 9−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	44%	6%
Marist College [897]	September 12−17, 2024	1,312 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3% [fs]
		1,194 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	49%	1% [j]
Quinnipiac University [336]	September 12–16, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [898] [AG]	September 11–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [899]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4% [g]
Morning Consult [135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	638 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R) [900]	September 4–6, 2024	917 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov [901]	September 3–6, 2024	946 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	49%	–
Marquette University Law School [902]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	822 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%	45%	6%
				52% [e]	48%	–
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	49%	44%	7%
				52% [e]	48%	–
Patriot Polling [903]	September 1–3, 2024	826 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R) [904]	August 28–30, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7% [l]
Emerson College [905]	August 25–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3%
				49% [e]	50%	1% [h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [906]	August 23–26, 2024	648 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	44%	3%
		701 (RV)		52%	44%	4%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov [723] [BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.3%	48%	42%	10% [ft]
		– (LV)	± 5.9%	51%	46%	3%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies [907] [DJ]	August 19–21, 2024	600 (LV)	–	48%	45%	7%
Fabrizio Ward (R) [908] [BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	45%	6%
Spry Strategies (R) [81] [O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	7%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [909] [P]	August 13–19, 2024	1,099 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata [910]	August 6–16, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	48%	–
Quantus Insights (R) [911] [DE]	August 14–15, 2024	601 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
TIPP Insights [912] [CE]	August 12–14, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.4%	47%	46%	7%
		976 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
The Bullfinch Group [913] [AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	51%	42%	7%
InsiderAdvantage (R) [914]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	49%	3%
Navigator Research (D) [915]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [916]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	404 (LV)	–	49%	46%	5%
New York Times/Siena College [917]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.3%	50%	46%	4%
		661 (LV)		50%	46%	3%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [918] [F]	July 31 – August 5, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	7%
Marquette University Law School [919]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	47%	44%	9%
				49% [e]	50%	1%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	49%	45%	6%
				50% [e]	49%	1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [920] [R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	46%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [921]	July 24–28, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Fox News [922]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Emerson College [229]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	47%	47%	6%
				51% [e]	49%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D) [923] [Q]	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
North Star Opinion Research (R) [924] [CE]	July 6–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [234]	May 7–13, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	49%	10%
Emerson College [925]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College [926]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	46%	47%	7%
		603 (LV)		46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX [20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,727 (RV)	± 2.4%	45%	45%	2%	1%	–	7%
				48.0% [e]	47.9%	2.6%	1.4%	–	–
		1,549 (LV)		47%	47%	2%	1%	–	3%
				48.1% [e]	48.5%	2.1%	1.3%	–	–
AtlasIntel [21]	November 3–4, 2024	869 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	1% [g]
AtlasIntel [26]	November 1–2, 2024	728 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	2% [g]
New York Times/Siena College [28]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,305 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	0%	2%	0%	5%
		1,305 (LV)		48%	45%	0%	1%	0%	6%
Focaldata [927]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,799 (LV)	–	50%	47%	–	0%	1%	2%
		1,613 (RV)	± 2.3%	51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,799 (A)	–	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel [31]	October 30–31, 2024	673 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [928]	October 28–31, 2024	932 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov [33] [C]	October 25–31, 2024	889 (RV)	± 4.5%	48%	45%	0%	3%	–	4%
		876 (LV)		49%	45%	0%	2%	–	4%
AtlasIntel [36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,470 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [929]	October 25–27, 2024	746 (LV)	–	49%	47%	–	0%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [930]	October 20–22, 2024	557 (LV)	–	49%	47%	–	0%	1%	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R) [931] [BS]	October 19–22, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4% [g]
Quinnipiac University [311]	October 17–21, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	0%	0%	0%	4% [fu]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [44]	October 16–20, 2024	635 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	3%	2%
		624 (LV)		47%	47%	–	1%	3%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [932]	October 16–18, 2024	622 (LV)	–	47%	46%	–	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [933]	October 12–14, 2024	641 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Quinnipiac University [326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,073 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	0%	1%	1%	4% [fu]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [934]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	533 (LV)	–	47%	46%	–	0%	1%	6%
New York Times/Siena College [890]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	–	1%	2%	4%
		680 (LV)		48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [66]	September 19–25, 2024	849 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
		785 (LV)		50%	47%	–	0%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R) [935] [BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [936]	September 16–19, 2024	600 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	0%	6%
Quinnipiac University [336]	September 12–16, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	1%	1%	3% [fu]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [937]	September 6–9, 2024	626 (LV)	–	49%	46%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov [938] [C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.1%	47%	44%	1%	1%	–	7% [f]
CNN/SSRS [939]	August 23–29, 2024	976 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	44%	0%	2%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [940]	August 25–28, 2024	672 (LV)	–	48%	44%	–	0%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [906]	August 23–26, 2024	648 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	–	1%	1%	2%
		701 (RV)		51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. [fv] Independent	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 7, 2024	October 13, 2024	47.7%	46.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.2%	1.1%	2.3%	Harris +1.4%
270toWin	October 2 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	47.0%	45.7%	2.5%	0.3%	0.6%	0.8%	3.1%	Harris +1.3%
Average			47.4%	46.0%	2.0%	0.6%	0.4%	1.0%	2.6%	Harris +1.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
TIPP Insights [866] [CE]	October 28–30, 2024	1,038 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	44%	3%	1%	1%	–	5%
		831 (LV)		48%	47%	3%	1%	1%	–	–
Echelon Insights [301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	48%	0%	0%	1%	0%	3%
CNN/SSRS [941]	October 23–28, 2024	736 (LV)	± 4.8%	51%	45%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%
Marquette University Law School [874]	October 16–24, 2024	834 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	43%	5%	1%	1%	2%	2% [fu]
		753 (LV)		46%	44%	5%	1%	1%	2%	1% [fu]
USA Today/Suffolk University [942] [943]	October 20–23, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	48%	1%	0%	1%	0%	3% [fu]
AtlasIntel [46]	October 12–17, 2024	932 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	1%	–	0%	1%	1%
Wall Street Journal [53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	46%	45%	3%	1%	0%	0%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R) [62] [K]	September 23–29, 2024	408 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	45%	2%	1%	0%	1%	5%
Marquette University Law School [891]	September 18–26, 2024	882 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	44%	3%	0%	1%	1%	3% [fw]
		798 (LV)		49%	44%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2% [fw]
AtlasIntel [64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	0%	0%	1%	1%	–
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	48%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	3%
MassINC Polling Group [896] [DI]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.8%	51%	45%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [898] [AG]	September 11–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	2%	0%	1%	0%	4% [br]
Marquette University Law School [902]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	822 (RV)	± 4.6%	47%	43%	6%	1%	1%	1%	1%
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	6%	1%	1%	1%	1% [fx]
Z to A Research (D) [944] [BH]	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	2%	–	0%	1%	3%
YouGov [723] [BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.3%	45%	40%	4%	1%	1%	0%	9% [fy]
		– (LV)	± 5.9%	49%	45%	1%	1%	0%	0%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R) [909] [P]	August 13–19, 2024	1,099 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	4%	1%	1%	0%	2%
Focaldata [910]	August 6–16, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		700 (RV)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
		700 (A)		50%	43%	5%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [945]	August 12–15, 2024	469 (LV)	–	48%	44%	3%	–	0%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group [913] [AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	40%	3%	1%	1%	–	6%
New York Times/Siena College [917]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%	42%	6%	0%	1%	1%	2%
		661 (LV)		49%	43%	5%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Navigator Research (D) [915]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	5%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D) [916]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	404 (LV)	–	48%	43%	5%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [946]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	597 (LV)	–	43%	43%	3%	–	0%	0%	11%
Marquette University Law School [919]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	45%	43%	8%	0%	1%	1%	2%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	46%	45%	6%	0%	1%	1%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult [921]	July 24–28, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	6%	–	0%	3%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies [947]	July 22–24, 2024	523 (LV)	–	44%	44%	5%	–	1%	1%	5%
Fox News [922]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	5%	1%	1%	–	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Spry Strategies (R) [81] [O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	42%	3%	2%	7%
Emerson College [229]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	45%	45%	3%	1%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size [c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R) [908] [BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	42%	4%	7%
Civiqs [948] [BH]	July 13–16, 2024	514 (RV)	± 4.8%	48%	48%	2%	2%

Wyoming

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election in Wyoming

See also

• Politics portal
• United States portal

• Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 United States elections
  • 2024 United States gubernatorial elections
  • 2024 United States House of Representatives elections
  • 2024 United States Senate elections

Notes

1. Unlike the other 48 states and Washington, D.C., which award all of their electors to the candidate who receives the most votes in that state, Maine and Nebraska award two electors to the winner of the statewide vote and one each to the candidate who receives the most votes in each congressional district.
2. District boundaries have changed since the 2020 election.
3. Key:
   A – all adults
   RV – registered voters
   LV – likely voters
   V – unclear
4. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
5. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
6. "Other" with 2%
7. "Other" with 1%
8. "Someone else" with 1%
9. "Someone else" with 7%
10. "Another party's candidates" with 1%
11. "Someone else" with 3%
12. "Other" with 3%
13. "Some other candidate" with 2%
14. "Someone else" with 2%
15. "Someone else" with 5%
16. "Some other candidate" with 5%
17. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
18. "Someone else" with 4%
19. "Other" with 7%
20. "Someone else" with 1%
21. "Someone else" with 2%
22. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
23. "Someone else" with 1%
24. "Another candidate" with 1%
25. "Someone else" with 2%
26. "Some other candidate" with 1%
27. "Other" with 5%
28. "One of the other party tickets" with 2%
29. "Another candidate" with 2%
30. "Another candidate" with 4%
31. "Another candidate" with 7%
32. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Peter Sonski (ASP) with 1% each; Randall Terry (C) with 0%
33. "Some other candidate" with 2%
34. "Other" with 4%
35. "Another candidate" with 4%
36. "Another candidate" with 2%
37. "Other candidate" with 1%
38. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%
39. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
40. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
41. "Other" with 1%
42. "Not sure" with 3%; "Don't want to say" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 0%
43. "I do not plan on voting/cannot vote" & "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7% each
44. "Neither of the top two candidates" with 7%
45. "Neither of the top two candidates" with 6%
46. "Third-party candidate" with 3%
47. "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
48. "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Someone else" with 2%
49. "Someone else" with 2%; "Undecided" with 2%
50. "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
51. "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
52. "Someone else" with 4%
53. Poll sponsored by the University of Maryland, College Park.
54. "Some other candidate" with 2%
55. "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
56. "No opinion/Skipped" with 5%; "Would not vote" with 1%; "Other" with <0.5%
57. "Would not vote" with 1%
58. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & "Another Candidate" with 1% each
59. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 1% each
60. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
61. "Other" with 4%
62. "Another Candidate" with 3%
63. "Another Candidate" with 2%
64. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 3%
65. "Some other candidate" with 2%
66. "Some other candidate" with 1%
67. "Someone else" with 1%
68. "Someone else" with 1%
69. "Will not vote" with 4%
70. Randall Terry (C) with 0%
71. Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Michigan.
72. Joseph Kishore (SEP) & Randall Terry (C) with 0% each
73. "Other" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
74. Randall Terry (C), Joseph Kishore (SEP), & Shiva Ayyadurai (I) with 0% each
75. "Will not vote" with 4%
76. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
77. "Another candidate" with 4%
78. "Other" with 4%
79. "Someone else" with 2%
80. "Other" with 3%
81. "Some other candidate" with 1%
82. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 7%
83. "Other" with 3%; "Undecided" with 2%
84. "Other" with 4%
85. "Other" with 5%
86. "Blank / null / won't vote" with 1%
87. "Someone else" & None of these candidates with 1% each
88. "Someone else" with 2%; None of these candidates with 1%
89. None of these candidates with 2%
90. "Other" with 4%
91. None of these candidates & "Someone else" with 1% each
92. None of these candidates with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
93. "Some other candidate" with 1%
94. "Would not vote" with 2%
95. "Some other candidate" with 4%
96. "None of the above" with 4%; "Others" with 1%
97. "Other" with 8%
98. "Another candidate" with 2%
99. "Someone else" with 1%
100. "Someone else" with 1%; None of these candidates with 1%
101. Not on the ballot.
102. Joel Skousen (C) with 0%
103. None of these candidates with 3%
104. None of these candidates with 1%
105. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
106. "Neither/Someone else" with 6%
107. With each candidate's party affiliation excluded
108. "Neither/Someone else" with 7%
109. "A third-party candidate" with 4%
110. "Other" with 5.7%
111. "Someone else" with 3%
112. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
113. "Another party's candidates" with 2%
114. "Another candidate" with 4%
115. "Some other candidate" with 2%
116. "Some other candidate" with 1%
117. "Third party candidates" & "Undecided" with 2%
118. "Another candidate" with 3%
119. "Some other candidate" with 3%
120. "Would not vote" with 2%
121. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
122. "Someone else" with 2%
123. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
124. "Some other candidate" with 2%
125. "Someone else" & "Would not vote" with 1% each
126. "Some other candidate" with 1%
127. "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
128. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
129. "Another Candidate" with 2%
130. "Another Candidate" with 1%
131. "Neither/Other" with 2%
132. "Someone else/third party" with 1%
133. "Other" with 5%
134. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 2%
135. "Other" with 6%
136. "Another Candidate" with 3%
137. "Some other candidate" with 3%
138. "Would not vote" with 1%
139. "Neither/Other" with 4%
140. "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
141. "Will not vote" with 6%
142. "Will not vote" with 1%
143. Chase Oliver (L) with 2%
144. "Another candidate" with 1%; "Don't know/Not sure" with 1%
145. "Another candidate" with 1%
146. "Some other candidate" with 2%
147. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
148. "Another party's candidate" with 1%
149. "Some other candidate" with 2%
150. "Someone else"
151. "Someone else" with 3%
152. "Other candidate" with 3%
153. "Would not vote" with 4%
154. "Don't know" with 9%; "Libertarian candidate" with 4%"; "Green Party candidate" with 2%"
155. Joel Skousen (C) and Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1% each
156. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with 1%
157. "Another candidate" with 1%
158. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
159. "Other candidate" with 3%; "None/Would not vote" with 2%; "Refused" with 1%
160. "Other candidate" with 3%; "Refused" with 1%
161. "Someone else" with 8%. "Refused" and "Undecided" with 1% each
162. "Another candidate" with 5%
163. "Someone else" with 1.6%
164. Claudia De La Cruz (PSL) with 0%
165. "Some other candidate" with 2%
166. "Wouldn't vote" with 4%; "Refused" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
167. "Refused" with 3%; "Wouldn't vote" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
168. Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
169. "Wouldn't vote" with 6%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
170. "Wouldn't vote" with 3%; "Refused" with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
171. "Someone else" with 9%
172. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
173. "A third party / Independent candidate" with 4%
174. "Some other candidate" with 2%
175. "Another Party's Candidate" with 2%
176. "Will not vote" with 4%
177. Randall Terry (C) & Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0% each
178. Kennedy suspended his campaign, but he remains on the ballot in Wisconsin.
179. Randall Terry (C) with 1%; Claudia De la Cruz (PSL) with 0%
180. Randall Terry (C) with 1%
181. "Will not vote" with 4%

Partisan clients

1. Poll sponsored by Nick Begich's campaign for U.S. House and the National Republican Congressional Committee
2. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
3. Poll conducted for The Times , Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
4. Poll sponsored by American Thinker
5. Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
6. Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
7. Poll conducted for the Article III Project
8. Poll commissioned by AARP
9. Poll sponsored by Arizona's Family
10. Poll sponsored by the Democracy Defense Project and Echo Canyon Consulting
11. Poll sponsored by the Peter G. Peterson Foundation
12. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
13. Poll sponsored by AZ Free News
14. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
15. Poll sponsored by the American Principles Project
16. Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
17. Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
18. Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
19. Poll commissioned by AARP
20. Poll sponsored by Talk Business & Politics
21. Poll sponsored by Inside CA Politics and The Hill
22. Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
23. Poll sponsored by The Connecticut Mirror
24. Poll sponsored by Citizens for Judicial Fairness
25. Poll conducted for Florida Politics
26. Poll conducted for Florida State University
27. Poll sponsored by Florida Chamber of Commerce
28. Poll sponsored by the Republican Party of Florida
29. Poll conducted for WTVJ & WSCV
30. Poll commissioned by Clean and Prosperous America PAC
31. Poll conducted for The Independent Center
32. Poll conducted for WTVT
33. Poll commissioned by AARP
34. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
35. Poll sponsored by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
36. Poll conducted for WAGA-TV
37. Poll sponsored by Indy Politics
38. Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
39. Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
40. Poll sponsored by RealClearDefense
41. Poll sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation
42. Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register & Mediacom Iowa
43. Poll sponsored by Bangor Daily News & FairVote
44. Poll sponsored by the NRCC
45. Poll sponsored by The Washington Post and the University of Maryland, College Park
46. Poll sponsored by WHDH
47. Poll sponsored by CommonWealth Beacon and WBUR
48. Poll sponsored by the University of Massachusetts Amherst Department of Political Science & WCVB-TV
49. Poll sponsored by The Boston Globe
50. Poll commissioned by MIRS
51. Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
52. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
53. Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
54. Poll conducted for the Cato Institute
55. Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
56. Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
57. Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republican candidates
59. Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
60. Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
61. Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
62. Poll sponsored by KSTP-TV, WDIO-TV, & KAAL-TV
63. Poll commissioned by Split Ticket
64. Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
65. Poll sponsored by KULR-TV
66. Poll sponsored by the campaign of Dan Osborn, an independent candidate for Nebraska's Class 1 Senate seat
67. Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. Senator Deb Fischer, who has endorsed Trump
68. Poll sponsored by Retire Career Politicians PAC
69. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
70. Poll conducted for the Democracy Defense Project
71. Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
72. Poll sponsored by KOB-TV
73. Poll conducted for the Albuquerque Journal
74. Poll sponsored by WPIX-TV
75. Poll sponsored by WRAL-TV
76. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
77. Poll sponsored by The Carolina Journal
78. Poll sponsored by the campaign of Katrina Christiansen, the Democratic nominee for North Dakota's Class 1 Senate seat
79. Poll sponsored by North Dakota News Cooperative
80. Poll sponsored by The Hill
81. Poll sponsored by Ohio Press Network
82. This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
83. Poll sponsored by American Greatness
84. Poll sponsored by La Torre Live
85. Poll sponsored by TrendingPolitics
86. Poll conducted for the University of Austin
87. Poll sponsored by Jacobin
88. Poll conducted for the Sentinel Action Fund PAC
89. Poll sponsored by Commonwealth Foundation
90. Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
91. Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
92. Poll sponsored by 2WAY
93. Poll commissioned by Early Vote Action PAC
94. Poll sponsored by The Daily Mail
95. Poll sponsored by Rhode Island Current
96. Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee
97. Poll sponsored by the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas
98. Poll sponsored by the Hobby School of Public Affairs at the University of Houston
99. Poll sponsored by Texans for Fiscal Responsibility
100. Poll sponsored by Texas Gun Rights
101. Poll sponsored by the campaign of Brian King, the Democratic nominee for Utah's gubernatorial election
102. Poll sponsored by The Washington Post & the Schar School of Policy and Government
103. Poll sponsored by WAVY-TV, WRIC-TV, WFXR-TV, & WDCW-TV
104. Poll sponsored by the Center for Leadership and Media Studies at the University of Mary Washington
105. Poll sponsored by KOMO-TV
106. Poll sponsored by The Seattle Times, KING-TV, & University of Washington Information School
107. Poll sponsored by Crosscut.com
108. Poll sponsored by West Virginia MetroNews
109. Poll sponsored by Trending Politics
110. Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
111. Poll sponsored by Fields of Freedom Alliance
112. Poll sponsored by Focus on Rural America
113. Poll sponsored by Wisconsin Watch
114. Poll sponsored by Platform Communications

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