2024 U.S. presidential election | |
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Democratic Party | |
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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:
Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters ( The Cook Political Report , Sabato's Crystal Ball , and Inside Elections ) are omitted for brevity.
State | EVs | PVI [1] | 2020 result | 2020 margin [2] | IE April 26, 2023 [3] | Sabato June 29, 2023 [4] | CNalysis November 15, 2023 [5] | Cook December 19, 2023 [6] | CNN January 18, 2024 [7] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska | 3 | R+8 | 52.8% R | 10.06% | Solid R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Solid R | Solid R |
Arizona | 11 | R+2 | 49.4% D | 0.31% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Florida | 30 | R+3 | 51.2% R | 3.36% | Lean R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Georgia | 16 | R+3 | 49.5% D | 0.24% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Iowa | 6 | R+6 | 53.1% R | 8.20% | Likely R | Likely R | Solid R | Solid R | Solid R |
Maine [lower-alpha 1] | 2 | D+2 | 53.1% D | 9.07% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Solid D |
ME–02 [lower-alpha 1] | 1 | R+6 | 52.3% R | 7.44% | Lean R | Lean R | Very Likely R | Likely R | Lean R |
Michigan | 15 | R+1 | 50.6% D | 2.78% | Tilt D | Lean D | Tilt D | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
Minnesota | 10 | D+1 | 52.4% D | 7.11% | Lean D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
NE–02 [lower-alpha 1] | 1 | EVEN | 52.0% D | 6.50% | Lean D | Lean D | Lean D | Likely D | Tossup |
Nevada | 6 | R+1 | 50.1% D | 2.39% | Tilt D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Lean R (flip) |
New Hampshire | 4 | D+1 | 52.7% D | 7.35% | Lean D | Lean D | Very Likely D | Likely D | Lean D |
New Mexico | 5 | D+3 | 54.3% D | 10.79% | Solid D | Likely D | Solid D | Solid D | Lean D |
North Carolina | 16 | R+3 | 49.9% R | 1.35% | Tilt R | Lean R | Tossup | Lean R | Lean R |
Ohio | 17 | R+6 | 53.3% R | 8.03% | Likely R | Likely R | Very Likely R | Solid R | Solid R |
Pennsylvania | 19 | R+2 | 50.0% D | 1.16% | Tossup | Lean D | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Texas | 40 | R+5 | 52.1% R | 5.58% | Likely R | Likely R | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R |
Virginia | 13 | D+3 | 54.1% D | 10.11% | Likely D | Likely D | Very Likely D | Solid D | Lean D |
Wisconsin | 10 | R+2 | 49.5% D | 0.63% | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup | Tossup |
Overall | D - 247 R - 235 56 tossups | D - 260 R - 235 43 tossups | D - 241 R - 219 78 tossups | D - 226 R - 235 77 tossups | D - 225 R - 272 41 tossups |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WPA Intelligence | August 23–24 & 26, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 57% | 32% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | February 23 – March 2, 2024 | 1,120 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Alaska Survey Research | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 45% | 37% | 19% |
Alaska Survey Research | July 18–21, 2023 | 1,336 (LV) | – | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alaska Survey Research | October 13–18, 2023 | 1,375 (LV) | – | 37% | 29% | 17% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rasmussen Reports (R) | February 21–26, 2024 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
J.L. Partners | January 29 – February 1, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 1] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Tulchin Research (D) | November 13–20, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Noble Predictive Insights | October 25–31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 46% | 16% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (RV) | – | 39% | 44% | 16% |
Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | 45% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 2] | March 13–14, 2023 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 50% | 11% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 35% | 38% | 27% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 53% | 2% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 6–7, 2022 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 44% | 15% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
Bendixen/Amandi International | June 17–23, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 44% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 4] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 32% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 14% [lower-alpha 3] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 12% [lower-alpha 4] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 39% | 4% | 1% | 22% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 40% | 11% | 1% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 808 (LV) | – | 35% | 41% | 10% | 14% |
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 5] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 35% | 40% | 16% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | 40% | 10% | 17% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22– November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ±4.4 | 33% | 33% | 26% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (LV) | – | 37% | 42% | 8% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | 42% | 4% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | 25% | 19% | 6% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VCreek/AMG (R) [upper-alpha 6] | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 30% | 37% | 33% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 34% | 27% | 17% | 6% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Noble Predictive Insights | October 25 – 31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 40% | 23% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 46% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 46% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 37% | 43% | 20% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 435 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 58% | 33% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 7.7% | 49% | 31% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 57% | 35% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 33% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California | February 6–14, 2024 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 55% | 32% | 13% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 37% | 19% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Public Policy Institute of California | November 9–16, 2023 | 1,113 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
UC Berkeley IGS | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 31% | 23% |
Public Policy Institute of California | October 3–19, 2023 | 1,377 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 29% | 12% |
Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 67% | 33% | – |
Public Policy Institute of California | August 25 – September 5, 2023 | 1,146 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 57% | 26% | 17% |
UC Berkeley IGS | August 24–29, 2023 | 6,030 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 31% | 18% |
Public Policy Institute of California | June 7–29, 2023 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 57% | 31% | 12% |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 17–24, 2023 | 1,062 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 58% | 25% | 17% |
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 59% | 29% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | February 24–27, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 8% |
UC Berkeley IGS | February 22–26, 2024 | 6,536 (LV) | ± 1.5% | 40% | 28% | 11% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | February 16–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | January 11–14, 2024 | 1,087 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
UC Berkeley IGS | January 1–4, 2024 | 4,471 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 31% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley IGS | October 24–30, 2023 | 4,506 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 29% | 9% | 4% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data Viewpoint | October 1, 2023 | 533 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 58% | 42% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley/Los Angeles Times | February 14–20, 2023 | 5,149 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 56% | 34% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 38% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/Inside California Elections [upper-alpha 7] | November 11–14, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 35% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probolsky Research | August 4–9, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 55% | 38% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic University | February 29-March 3, 2024 | 170 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
179 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | ||
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,856 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 35% | 24% |
Global Strategy Group (D) [upper-alpha 8] | January 22–28, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
YouGov/University of Colorado Boulder | December 1–18, 2023 | 800 (A) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Cygnal (R)/Aspect Strategies (D) [upper-alpha 9] | November 26–27, 2023 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 36% | 19% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Public Opinion Strategies | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Emerson College | October 26–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 18–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 24–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Generic Democrat | Generic Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Blueprint Polling (D) | April 6–8, 2022 | 612 (V) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College | September 7–9, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | July 26–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Emerson College | May 10–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 1,100 (RV) | – | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 39% | 2% |
Metropolitan Research Services | March 15–19, 2023 | 1,001 (RV) | – | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
University of North Florida | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
Victory Insights | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 51% | – |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 1,224 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Florida Atlantic University | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
St. Pete Polls | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 44% | 34% | 9% | 13% |
Cygnal (R) | November 13–15, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.41% | 44% | 37% | 11% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 1100 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 8% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 27% | 32% | 16% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 897 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | October 27 – November 11, 2023 | 946 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 39% | 15% |
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University | June 27 – July 1, 2023 | 933 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Emerson College | March 13–15, 2023 | 1,153 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
University of North Florida | February 25 – March 7, 2023 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 42% | 8% |
Cherry Communications | February 10–19, 2023 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Victory Insights | November 16–17, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 53% | 47% | – |
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 44% | 4% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) | September 11–12, 2021 | 1,144 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 55% | – |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 51% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Victory Insights | September 16–18, 2021 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 49% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Hillary Clinton Democratic | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 53% | 40% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CBS News/YouGov | March 4–11, 2024 | 1,133 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 51% | 1% |
Emerson College | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 52% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 51% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 49% | 10% |
Atlanta Journal-Constitution | January 3–11, 2024 | 1,007 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | 45% | 18% |
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 48% | 11% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 47% | 14% |
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs [upper-alpha 10] | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 1,002 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Zogby Analytics | October 9-12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 51% | – |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7-9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | September 8–11, 2023 | 1,061 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 47% | – |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 11] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 43% | 7% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 579 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 52% | 5% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | October 23–24, 2022 | 1,053 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Emerson College | August 28–29, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 51% | 3% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 12] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
East Carolina University | June 6–9, 2022 | 868 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 40% | 47% | 13% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | March 2–8, 2022 | 662 (V) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 50% | 14% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 5–7, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,119 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 45% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 798 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 44% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 10% [lower-alpha 5] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 953 (LV) | – | 34% | 42% | 8% | 16% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 45% | 7% | 14% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (LV) | ± 4.5 | 29% | 36% | 24% | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 761 (LV) | – | 38% | 41% | 8% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 34% | 42% | 15% | 6% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 43% | 10% | 1% | 12% |
Zogby Analytics | October 9–12, 2023 | 628 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 44% | 15% | 5% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 51% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 51% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 30 – December 7, 2023 | 1,068 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 35% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 629 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | – |
Public Opinion Strategies | April 25–27, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
Emerson College | November 28–30, 2022 | 888 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | November 18–28, 2022 | 1,300 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 751 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 746 (LV) | – | 36% | 34% | 14% | 4% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Generic Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 11] | June 5–7, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | 38% | 48% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 34% | 23% |
Cor Stratagies [8] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Public Policy Polling | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Emerson College | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 38% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cor Stratagies [8] | August 24–27, 2023 | 811 (RV) | – | 53% | 35% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | J. B. Pritzker Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selzer & Co. [upper-alpha 13] | February 25–28, 2024 | 640 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 33% | 19% [upper-alpha 14] |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 15] | February 13–14, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 500 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Emerson College | December 15–17, 2023 | 1,094 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 2–4, 2022 | 959 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 15] | October 2–4, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | 8% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 15] | July 13–14, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [lower-alpha 6] [upper-alpha 15] | February 20–22, 2022 | 610 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Selzer & Co. | November 7–10, 2021 | 658 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 15] | October 18–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | May 19–22, 2023 | 1,064 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 38% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 487 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 15–18, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 36% | 12% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 52% | 41% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 392 (LV) | ± 7.5% | 50% | 39% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 46% | 33% | 21% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 31% | 38% | 30% [lower-alpha 7] |
Digital Research | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 614 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% [lower-alpha 8] |
Emerson College | September 19–20, 2022 | 1,164 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 39% | 31% | 31% [lower-alpha 9] |
Digital Research | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 43% | 27% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pan Atlantic Research | February 6–14, 2024 | 791 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 25% | 45% | 30% [lower-alpha 10] |
Digital Research | October 3 – November 2, 2023 | 307 (RV) | – | 28% | 42% | 30% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 32% | – | 13% |
Gonzales Research | January 23–February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 32% | – | 15% |
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 30% | – | 13% |
Gonzales Research | May 30–June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 35% | – | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | January 23–February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 28% | 18% | – | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 12−13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 32% | 6% | 1% | 1% | – | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | January 23–February 2, 2024 | 815 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 36% | – | 14% |
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | – | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 35% | – | 9% |
Gonzales Research | May 30–June 6, 2023 | 841 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 37% | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzales Research | September 18–28, 2023 | 818 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 29% | – | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | February 2–5, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 21% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 16] | October 13–20, 2023 | 700 (V) | ± 5.1% | 43% | 21% | 17% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 18–25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 58% | 32% | 10% |
Emerson College | September 7–8, 2022 | 708 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 54% | 34% | 12% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | June 7–15, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 60% | 31% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 17] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
EPIC-MRA | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
Target Insyght | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Glengariff Group [upper-alpha 18] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
John Zogby Strategies | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 19] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
EPIC-MRA | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 20] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 21] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 21] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 22] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gretchen Whitmer Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marketing Resource Group | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
Glengariff Group [upper-alpha 23] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
EPIC-MRA | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CNN/SSRS | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
Mitchell Research [upper-alpha 20] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 21] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
EPIC-MRA | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) [upper-alpha 21] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 24] | February 23–28, 2024 | 1,603 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 24] | January 24–29, 2024 | 1,594 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Embold Research/MinnPost | November 14–17, 2023 | 1,519 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | 38% | 22% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 54% | 36% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 409 (LV) | ± 7.8% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,830 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | October 10–11, 2023 | 806 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
SurveyUSA | October 27 – November 1, 2022 | 991 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 34% | 14% |
Emerson College | October 26–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 9% |
Emerson College | September 23–27, 2022 | 1,160 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | September 14–18, 2022 | 830 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 35% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | July 24–27, 2022 | 1,981 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
SurveyUSA | May 11–15, 2022 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 35% | 15% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | September 18–20, 2021 | 1,014 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 55% | 36% | 9% |
Remington Research Group/Missouri Scout | April 21–22, 2021 | 933 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 38% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 25] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 56% | 35% | 9% |
SurveyUSA [lower-alpha 11] | February 12–15, 2024 | 549 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 54% | 37% | 9% |
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 49% | 36% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 26] | February 26 – March 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 28% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 51% | 30% | 7% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,451 (RV) | – | 49% | 28% | 6% | 4% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.L. Partners | August 12–17, 2023 | 741 (LV) | – | 50% | 36% | 14% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 320 (LV) | ± 6.6% | 42% | 35% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 445 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 457 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 40% | 48% | 12% |
Emerson College | January 5–8, 2024 | 1,294 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 44% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 451 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 437 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 46% | 14% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 52% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
CNN | September 29 – October 3, 2023 | 1,251 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 41% | 48% | 11% |
Noble Predictive Insights | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 42% | 18% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 679 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports (R) [upper-alpha 27] | October 13–17, 2022 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 49% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 8–10, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 40% | 43% | 17% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | March 21–24, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 445 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 44% | 9% | 1% | 0% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 34% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 457 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 31% | 43% | 12% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Emerson College | January 5–8, 2024 | 1,294 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 39% | 42% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 451 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ±4.4 | 31% | 38% | 23% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 437 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 35% | 39% | 11% | 1% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 48% | 13% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 32% | 49% | 19% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | 46% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 611 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
Vote TXT | May 15–19, 2023 | 412 (RV) | – | 36% | 46% | 17% |
Noble Predictive Insights | April 18–26, 2023 | 613 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Public Opinion Strategies | April 17–20, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 41% | 44% | 10% |
OH Predictive Insights | January 30 – February 6, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 36% | 42% | 22% |
Emerson College | July 7–10, 2022 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research | October 24–27, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other/ Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 52% | 45% | 3% |
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Saint Anselm College | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 40% | 39% | 21% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
University of Massachusetts Lowell | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 43% | 8% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | – |
Saint Anselm College [upper-alpha 12] | May 7–10, 2021 | 1,267 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 43% | – |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 40% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 41% | 12% | 3% |
Saint Anselm College | December 18–19, 2023 | 1,711 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 49% | 39% | 8% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 39% | 5% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marist College | January 15–17, 2024 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 51% | 42% | – | 7% |
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,108 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 33% | 15% [lower-alpha 12] | 5% |
Saint Anselm College | June 21–23, 2023 | 1,065 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 10 | 2% |
Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 37% | 14% | 7% |
University of New Hampshire | June 16–20, 2022 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 15% [lower-alpha 13] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Tim Scott Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 47% | 34% | 14% [lower-alpha 14] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Chris Christie Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 20% | 27% [lower-alpha 15] | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Mike Pence Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 2,018 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 49% | 20% | 25% [lower-alpha 16] | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Chris Sununu Republican | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | March 3–5, 2023 | 1,025 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 44% | 14% | 6% |
co/efficient | January 25–26, 2023 | 1,179 (LV) | ± 3.15% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% |
Praecones Analytica | April 14–16, 2022 | 503 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 36% | 53% | – | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Bernie Sanders Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 47.6% | 42.5% | 9.8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Elizabeth Warren Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 8–11, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | August 23–24, 2023 | 767 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 6–8, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 7% |
Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 41% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 11% |
Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 37% | 28% | 18% | 5% | 11% |
Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Siena College | February 12–14, 2024 | 806 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
Siena College | January 14–17, 2024 | 807 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College | November 12–15, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 46% | 36% | 18% |
Siena College | October 15–19, 2023 | 1,225 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
Siena College | August 13–16, 2023 | 803 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Siena College | June 20–25, 2023 | 817 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 50% | 28% | 21% |
SurveyUSA | November 3–6, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
SurveyUSA | October 14–18, 2022 | 1,018 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 37% | 21% |
Emerson College | September 4–6, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 37% | 10% |
SurveyUSA | August 17–21, 2022 | 715 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 29% | 22% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 7–9, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 40% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA [upper-alpha 28] | March 3–9, 2024 | 598 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 29] | March 6–7, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
Meredith College | January 26–31, 2024 | 760 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 39% | 17% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 13% |
Meredith College | November 1-5, 2023 | 755 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 40% | 39% | 22% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 43% | 38% | 20% |
Change Research (D) [upper-alpha 30] | September 1–5, 2023 | 914 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 18% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 29] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Differentiators (R) [upper-alpha 31] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D) | October 7–8, 2022 | 606 (RV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
SurveyUSA | September 28 – October 2, 2022 | 918 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 15–16, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 42% | 11% |
East Carolina University | September 7–10, 2022 | 1,020 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 4–6, 2022 | 656 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 39% | 17% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 12] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
East Carolina University | May 19–20, 2022 | 635 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 37% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 45% | 35% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 37% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 32% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 34% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Star Opinion Research [upper-alpha 32] | January 30 – February 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,220 (LV) | – | 37% | 33% | 11% | 19% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 44% | 35% | 8% | 13% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 736 (LV) | – | 41% | 38% | 9% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 33% | 9% | 2% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 34% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fox News | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,099 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 31% | 33% | 19% | 2% | 2% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 36% | 33% | 12% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion Diagnostics | June 5–7, 2023 | 902 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 40% | 13% |
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 29] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Differentiators (R) [upper-alpha 31] | January 9–12, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 620 (LV) | – | 38% | 34% | 12% | 4% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) [upper-alpha 29] | March 26–27, 2023 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College [upper-alpha 33] | January 23–25, 2024 | 1,844 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Emerson College/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 31 – November 2, 2023 | 597 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 43% | 6% |
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 40% | 15% [lower-alpha 17] |
Emerson College | October 2-4, 2023 | 438 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 33% | 23% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 57% | 40% | 3% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | 12% |
Ohio Northern University/Lucid | October 11–15, 2022 | 668 (LV) | – | 55% | 35% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 10% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
Emerson College | August 15–16, 2022 | 925 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 53% | 39% | 8% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 12] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College/WJW-TV | November 10–13, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 31% | 8% | 1% | 2% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 42% | 35% | 11% | 12% [lower-alpha 18] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 45% | 36% | 9% | 10% |
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 38% | 2% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,559 (RV) | – | 42% | 34% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 34% | 36% | 30% [lower-alpha 19] |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 38% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 41% | 21% [lower-alpha 20] |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
Emerson College | October 6–7, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 38% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 12–13, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 831 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron Desantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Cornel West Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Suffolk University | July 9–12, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | 37% | 2% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Chris Christie Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 33% | 39% | 28% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | October 16–19, 2023 | 668 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 38% | 38% | 24% [lower-alpha 21] |
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 37% | 38% | 25% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Scott Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ohio Northern University | July 17–26, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 38% | 39% | 23% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Generic Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Causeway Solutions | May 19–27, 2023 | 1,639 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 33% | 22% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 1-3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
SoonerPoll | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 53% | 28% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | 975 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
Emerson College | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 796 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 41% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Chism Strategies | February 6–8, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 32% | 40% | 28% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | January 22–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 48% | 10% |
Franklin & Marshall College | January 17–28, 2024 | 507 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | January 15–21, 2024 | 745 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 39% | 14% |
Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2024 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 49% | 46% | 5% [lower-alpha 22] |
The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | December 3–7, 2023 | (RVs) | – | 40% | 46% | 14% |
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
816 (LV) | – | 45% | 49% | 6% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Franklin & Marshall College | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 44% | 42% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | 45% | 19% |
Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 34] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% |
Quinnipiac University | June 22–26, 2023 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Franklin & Marshall College | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 36% | 35% | 29% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research | February 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | 52% | 2% |
Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Emerson College | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 47% | 11% |
PEM Management Corporation (R) [upper-alpha 12] | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | 44% | 14% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 41% | 17% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | February 15–16, 2022 | 635 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | 45% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 9% |
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 795 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2023 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 3% [lower-alpha 23] |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Franklin & Marshall | January 17–28, 2024 | 494 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 42% | 37% | 8% | 2% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | December 28–30, 2023 | 1,069 (LV) | – | 39% | 40% | 9% | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 44% | 7% | 10% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ±4.6 | 35% | 35% | 23% | 7% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 39% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | 41% | 8% | 1% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 49% | 11% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Gavin Newsom Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 33% | 48% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Josh Shapiro Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 37% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | 49% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 36% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 41% | 39% | 20% |
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | 47% | 10% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 39% | 12% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 42% | 38% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fleming & Associates | September 29 – October 2, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 51% | 37% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 373 (LV) | ± 6.1% | 47% | 36% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | August 24–25, 2022 | 721 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | 20% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | January 23–28, 2024 | 1,777 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 55% | 26% | 18% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 432 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Emerson College | October 19–21, 2022 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 33% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | December 14–28, 2023 | 929 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 63% | 31% | 5% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
Emerson College | Oct 1–4, 2023 | 410 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 55% | 22% | 23% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | June 14–22, 2023 | 1,046 (V) | ± 2.87% | 54% | 34% | 11% |
Vanderbilt University | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 42% | 26% | 31% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | December 14–28, 2023 | 933 (LV) | ± 2.66% | 51% | 25% | 16% | 8% |
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | October 5–16, 2023 | 872 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 48% | 23% | 19% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Joe Manchin Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | October 5–16, 2023 | 844 (LV) | ± 2.79% | 53% | 23% | 6% | 18% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targoz Market Research [upper-alpha 35] | June 14–22, 2023 | 977 (V) | ± 2.87% | 52% | 36% | 11% |
Vanderbilt University | April 19–23, 2023 | 502 (RV) | – | 33% | 24% | 40% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 11% [upper-alpha 37] |
University of Houston | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,145 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 38] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 39% | 16% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 37% | 18% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% [lower-alpha 24] |
CWS Research (R) | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 42% | 13% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 20–22, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | 11% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
Blueprint Polling (D) | June 8–10, 2022 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 38% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 35% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Emerson College [upper-alpha 39] | January 13–15, 2024 | 1,315 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 36% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 12% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 40] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 40% | 3% | 8% [upper-alpha 41] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Manchin No Labels | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
National Public Affairs | February 6–8, 2024 | 807 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 35% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 42] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 52% | 39% | 9% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 39% | 15% [lower-alpha 25] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | February 2–12, 2024 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 40% | 29% [upper-alpha 43] |
YouGov [upper-alpha 44] | January 11–24, 2024 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 31% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 32% | 34% | 34% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Nikki Haley Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Redfield & Wilton Strategies | February 1–3, 2024 | 605 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 30% | 32% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 37% | 24% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 39% | 38% | 24% |
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 42% | 14% [lower-alpha 26] |
CWS Research (R) | April 17–21, 2023 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 40% | 16% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 813 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 41% | 15% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Ron DeSantis Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation | May 8–17, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.9% | 45% | 40% | 15% [lower-alpha 27] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Vivek Ramaswamy Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | December 1–10, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 36% | 32% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Mike Pence Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 29% | 36% | 36% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Tim Scott Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YouGov [upper-alpha 36] | October 5–17, 2023 | 1,200 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics | January 16–21, 2024 | 801 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia Commonwealth University | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Mason-Dixon | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 43% | 8% |
Roanoke College | November 12–20, 2023 | 686 (A) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% |
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 45] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
Roanoke College | August 6–15, 2023 | 702 (A) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | 17% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.4% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Roanoke College | May 14–23, 2023 | 678 (A) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% |
Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 47% | 46% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | December 15–19, 2023 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 40% | 39% | 7% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Manchin Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research/Future Majority (D) | September 16–19, 2023 | 1,437 (RV) | – | 37% | 37% | 7% | 5% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia Commonwealth University | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia Commonwealth University | December 28, 2023 – January 13, 2024 | 812 (A) | ± 5.4% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 46] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | May 7–9, 2023 | 500 (LV) | – | 44% | 44% | 12% |
Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 48% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Glenn Youngkin Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Research America Inc. [upper-alpha 47] | September 5–11, 2023 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 34% | 29% |
Virginia Commonwealth University | July 14–25, 2023 | 804 (A) | ± 5.46% | 37% | 44% | 19% |
Roanoke College | February 12–21, 2023 | 590 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 55% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 48] | February 13–14, 2024 | 797 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 54% | 38% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 48] | November 14–15, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 52% | 38% | 10% |
Crosscut/Elway | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 39% | 29% | 31% [lower-alpha 28] |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 48] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 36% | 11% |
Emerson College | September 30 – October 1, 2022 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R) | August 15–17, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 41% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crosscut/Elway | October 30 – November 3, 2023 | 403 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 37% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 26% [lower-alpha 29] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 48] | June 7–8, 2023 | 773 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Kaplan Strategies | February 23, 2024 | 941 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 39% | 41% | 20% |
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 50% | 1% | ||
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
J.L. Partners | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Emerson College | October 30 - November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 44% | 13% |
819 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 45% | 10% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 50% | 48% | 1% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 532 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
Public Policy Polling (D) [upper-alpha 49] | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 52% | 43% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 27–29, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
Emerson College | September 16–18, 2022 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 44% | 11% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 3] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 52% | 6% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26–31, 2021 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 45% | 41% | 14% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 41% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
Emerson College | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 41% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 13% |
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 37% | 40% | 16% | 2% | 4% | 1% |
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | 41% | 13% | 2% | 4% | 1% | ||
Fox News | January 26–30, 2024 | 1,172 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 11% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | January 16–21, 2024 | 697 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 2% | 10% |
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 681 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 40% | 10% | 1% | 3% | 13% |
J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 37% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12% [lower-alpha 30] |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Cornel West Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 675 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 13% | 2% | 11% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr Independent | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ± 4.8 | 37% | 35% | 22% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Nikki Haley Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marquette University Law School | January 24–31, 2024 | 930 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 41% | 57% | 2% |
808 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 42% | 57% | 1% | ||
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 53% | 3% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 2] | Margin of error | Joe Biden Democratic | Ron DeSantis Republican | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Marquette University Law School | October 26 – November 2, 2023 | 908 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 50% | 1% |
Marquette University Law School | June 8–13, 2023 | 913 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | April 17–20, 2023 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. Voters will elect a president and vice president for a term of four years. Incumbent President Joe Biden, a member of the Democratic Party, is running for re-election. His predecessor Donald Trump, a member of the Republican Party, is running for re-election for a second, nonconsecutive term. This will mark the seventh presidential rematch in American presidential history and the first since 1956. If Trump wins, he would become the second president to serve a non-consecutive term, the first being Grover Cleveland.
This is a timeline of major events leading up to, during, and after the 2024 United States presidential election. This will be the first presidential election to be run with population data from the 2020 census. In addition to the dates mandated by the relevant federal laws such as those in the U.S. Constitution and the Electoral Count Act, several milestones have consistently been observed since the adoption of the conclusions of the 1971 McGovern–Fraser Commission.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the general election for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters (LV) is prioritized, then registered voters (RV), then adults (A).
The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arizona voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Arizona is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 54 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Georgia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Georgia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Georgia has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which it neither gained nor lost a seat. Georgia is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Maryland is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Maryland voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Maryland has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Nevada is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Nevada voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Nevada has six electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat. Nevada is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024, although no Republican presidential nominee has won Nevada since George W. Bush's narrow victory twenty years earlier.
The 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. New Hampshire voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of New Hampshire has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in North Carolina is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. North Carolina voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Carolina has 16 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. Although a red-leaning state, North Carolina is expected to be targeted by both parties in 2024.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Ohio voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Ohio has 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat. While Ohio was considered a crucial swing and bellwether state for decades, it voted significantly more Republican than the nation in both 2016 and 2020 and is now considered a moderately red state. Based on these trends, it is expected to be less heavily contested than in previous presidential election cycles.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 40 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained two seats.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Virginia is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Virginia voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Virginia has 13 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Washington is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Washington voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Washington has 12 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.