Opinion polling for the 2025 Portuguese local elections

In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, on 12 October 2025.

Polling

Alcobaça

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD	PS	CH	CDU	IL	O	Lead
IPOM [a] Seat projection	2–3 Sep 2025	387	54.8 5	15.1 1	16.3 1	6.1 0	7.0 0	0.7 0	38.5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	43.2 4	30.0 3	4.6 0	3.5 0	3.4 0	15.3 0	13.2

Alenquer

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	PSD/CDS/IL PPM/MPT/NC			CDU	CH	Ind. (TP)	O	Lead
				PSD	CDS	IL
Multidados [b]	17 Feb–11 Mar 2025	350	41.0	10.9	—	0.9	2.5	12.7	23.5	8.6 [c]	17.5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	42.4 5	14.6 1	6.4 0	—	11.5 1	7.4 0	—	17.7	27.8

Aveiro

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS PPM	PS	BE	CH	CDU	IL	O	Lead
GfK	4–20 Aug 2025 [d]	603	31	36	—	16	—	—	17	5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	51.3 6	26.0 3	6.4 0	4.0 0	3.3 0	2.3 0	6.7	25.3

Cascais

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS	PS	CH	CDU	BE L PAN	IL	Ind. (JMJ)	ND NC	O	Lead
Metris	26 May–8 Jun 2025	805 [e]	43.1	9.1	13.5	2.0	2.6	11.0	12.2	3.2	2.6	29.6
		805 [f]	44.0	—	14.0	2.9	2.7	11.2	16.8	2.7	5.7	27.2
		805 [g]	45.8	—	13.7	3.1	2.9	12.0	15.4	—	5.3	30.4
Metris	15–21 Oct 2024	402 [h]	36	24	18	3	—	—	14	—	5	12
		402 [i]	32	23	17	3	—	21		—	4	9
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	52.6 7	21.6 3	7.4 1	5.4 0	3.7 0 [j]	4.3 0	—	—	5.0	31.0

Covilhã

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	CDS IL	PSD	CDU	CH	O	Lead
Aximage [k]	8–23 Jan 2025	500	59.5	27.0		4.1	5.4	4.1	32.5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	46.2 4	30.4 3		9.7 0	1.7 0	11.9 0	15.8

Faro

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS IL PAN MPT		PS	CDU	CH	BE	O	Lead
ICS/ISCTE	23–28 Jul 2025	802	29		31	5	23	5	7	2
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	47.8 6 [l]	2.7 0 [m]	30.6 3	6.5 0	5.1 0	4.1 0	3.3	17.2

Figueira da Foz

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD/CDS			PS	CDU	BE L PAN	CH	O	Lead
			PSL	PSD	CDS
Intercampus [n]	18 Jul–3 Aug 2024	601	46.1	16.9	0.5	25.2	2.6	2.0	3.2	2.7	20.9
Aximage	27 Feb–10 Mar 2023	486	66	3	0	18	1	1	—	11	48
2021 local election [1]	26 Sep 2021	—	40.4 4	10.8 1	1.2 0	38.4 4	2.7 0	2.5 0 [j]	—	4.5	2.0

Lisbon

Main article: 2025 Lisbon local election § Opinion polling

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS IL		PS L BE PAN			CDU	CH	O	Lead
ICS/ISCTE	14–27 Jul 2025	800	41		36			5	14	4	5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	34.3 7 [o]	4.2 0 [p]	33.3 7 [q]	6.2 1 [j]	2.7 0 [m]	10.5 2	4.4 0	4.4 0	1.0

Nazaré

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	PSD	CDU	BE	CH	O	Lead
IPOM [r] Seat projection	4–5 Sep 2025	357	27.5 2	29.0 2	14.5 1	3.2 0	24.2 2	1.5 0	1.5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	44.9 4	28.2 2	14.2 1	5.1 0	—	7.5 0	16.7

Ourém

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS	PS	CH	CDU	O	Lead
IPOM [s] Seat projection	12–13 Sep 2025	377	60.2 5	16.8 1	17.2 1	3.8 0	2.0 0	43.0
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	62.8 6	18.8 1	4.9 0	2.2 0	11.3 0	44.0

Penafiel

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS	PS	CH	CDU	BE	O	Lead
IPOM [t]	20–27 Jan 2025	586	49.6	27.7	11.4	1.5	1.3	8.5 [u]	21.9
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	60.5 6	30.9 3	2.2 0	1.9 0	1.7 0	2.8	29.6

Pombal

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD	PS	CH	IL	BE	CDU	CDS	Ind. (LC)	O	Lead
IPOM [v] Seat projection	10–11 Sep 2025	430	58.7 5	15.7 1	12.7 1	1.9 0	0.3 0	2.2 0	0.3 0	5.2 0	3.0	43.0
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	61.1 5	21.0 2	3.7 0	3.2 0	2.9 0	1.8 0	—	—	6.3	40.1

Porto

Main article: 2025 Porto local election § Opinion polling

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Ind. (FA)	PS	PSD IL CDS	CDU	BE	CH	L	NC PPM	O	Lead
ICS/ISCTE	17 Jun–2 Jul 2025	805	5	36	33	4	3	12	1	2	4	3
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	40.7 6	18.0 3	17.2 2 [w]	7.5 1	6.3 1	3.0 0	0.5 0	—	6.8 0	22.7

Setúbal

Main article: 2025 Setúbal local election § Opinion polling

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	PS	Ind. (MDM)		CH	BE	IL	PAN	L	ADN	O	Lead
Pitagórica	9–14 Sep 2025	500	15.0	22.5	30.1		21.6	1.2	3.7	0.2	1.0	0.2	4.5	7.6
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	34.4 5	27.7 4	16.6 2 [w]	1.7 0 [x]	5.9 0	4.2 0	2.3 0	2.3 0	—	—	4.9 0	6.7

Sintra

Main article: 2025 Sintra local election § Opinion polling

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS L	PSD/IL/PAN			CDS PPM ADN	CH	CDU	BE	ND	O	Lead
				PAN	IL	PSD
ICS/ISCTE	3–14 Sep 2025	803	32	30			2	28	3	1	1	3	2
Aximage	11–22 Jul 2025	502	39.5	2.2	38.2		0.3	11.3	2.3	2.9	—	3.3	1.3
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	35.3 5	3.3 0	2.7 0	27.5 4		9.1 1	9.0 1	5.8 0	—	7.3 0	7.8

Torres Novas

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	PSD CDS	Ind. (MPNT)	BE	CDU	CH	O	Lead
Intercampus [y]	18–28 Nov 2024	411	62.8	10.8	4.3	3.5	2.1	10.8	5.6	52.0
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	45.3 5	16.9 1	16.6 1	6.9 0	6.0 0	3.1 0	4.0	28.4

Vila Nova de Gaia

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	PSD CDS IL		CDU	BE L		CH	O	Lead
Pitagórica	1–7 Sep 2025	500	33.4	41.6		4.1	2.3		12.9	5.7	8.2
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	57.8 9	17.6 2 [z]	2.9 0 [p]	4.8 0	4.6 0 [aa]	0.5 0 [ab]	4.2 0	7.6 0	40.2

Notes

1. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13.4%; Would not vote: 5.7%; and Doesn't respond: 14.0% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 36.7%; CHEGA: 10.9%; PS: 10.1%; IL: 4.7%; CDU: 4.1%; Others/Invalid: 0.5%.
2. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 21.7% and Would not vote: 10.3% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.9%; Independent movements: 16.0%; CHEGA: 8.6%; PSD: 7.4%; CDU: 1.7%; BE:0.6%; IL: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 5.2%.
3. BE: 0.9%; Others: 7.7%.
4. Internal PS poll conducted by the party's national leadership that was leaked by the local press.
5. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 3.0%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.6%; CH: 10.2%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 9.2%; IL: 8.3%; PS: 6.9%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.4%; BE: 2.0%; CDU: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 2.6%.
6. Scenario of the PS not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.7%; Would not vote: 3.1%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.0%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 12.6%; CH: 10.5%; IL: 8.4%; CDU: 2.2%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.0%; BE: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
7. Scenario of the PS and António Pinto Pereira not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.4%; Would not vote: 3.2%; and Doesn't respond: 3.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 34.4%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11.6%; CH: 10.3%; IL: 9.0%; CDU: 2.2%; BE: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
8. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 12%; Would not vote: 8%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 27%; PS: 18%; CHEGA: 14%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
9. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13%; Would not vote: 5%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25%; PS: 18%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ) supported by IL: 16%; CHEGA: 13%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
10. Left Bloc result in 2021.
11. Results presented here exclude undecideds (26%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 44%; PSD/CDS/IL: 20%; CHEGA: 4%; CDU: 3%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
12. PSD/CDS/IL/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
13. People Animals Nature result in 2021.
14. Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSL: 42.1%; PS: 22.6%; PSD: 15.2%; CHEGA: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; BE: 1.8%; CDS: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
15. PSD/CDS/A/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
16. Liberal Initiative result in 2021.
17. PS/LIVRE coalition result in 2021.
18. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 16.1%; Would not vote: 16.3%; and Doesn't respond: 15.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 15.2%; PS: 14.4%; CHEGA: 12.7%; CDU: 7.6%; BE: 1.7%; Others/Invalid: 0.8%.
19. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.4%; Would not vote: 4.0%; and Doesn't respond: 14.6% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 39.8%; CHEGA: 11.4%; PS: 11.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.3%.
20. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 29.9% and Would not vote: 2.4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.6%; PS: 18.8%; CHEGA: 7.7%; CDU: 1.0%; BE: 0.9%; IL: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
21. IL: 0.7%; Others: 7.8%.
22. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 14.2%; Would not vote: 6.0%; and Doesn't respond: 16.0% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 37.4%; PS: 10.0%; CHEGA: 8.1%; Independent: 3.3%; CDU: 1.4%; IL: 1.2%; BE: 0.2%; CDS: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 1.9%.
23. Social Democratic Party result in 2021.
24. CDS – People's Party result in 2021.
25. Results presented here exclude undecideds (25.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 47.1%; PSD/CDS: 8.1%; CHEGA: 8.1%; CDU: 2.3%; MPNT: 3.2%; BE: 2.6%; CDU: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 4.2%.
26. PSD/CDS/PPM coalition result in 2021.
27. BE result in 2021.
28. Livre result in 2021.

References

1. "Mapa oficial dos resultados das eleições gerais para os titulares dos órgãos das autarquias locais de 26 de setembro de 2021" (PDF). Comissão Nacional de Eleições (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-08-18.

External links

• ERC - Official publication of polls