Opinion polling for the 2025 Portuguese local elections

Last updated

In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, on 12 October 2025.

Contents

Polling

Alcobaça

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD PS CH CDU IL OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—58.6
5		16.6
1		13.4
1		3.6
0		4.1
0		3.7
0		42.0
IPOM [a] 2–13 Sep 202541755.015.015.76.67.00.839.3
IPOM [b]
Seat projection		2–3 Sep 202538754.8
5		15.1
1		16.3
1		6.1
0		7.0
0		0.7
0		38.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—43.2
4		30.0
3		4.6
0		3.5
0		3.4
0		15.3
0		13.2

Alenquer

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD/CDS/IL
PPM/MPT/NC 		CDU CH Ind.
(TP)		OLead
PSD CDS IL
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—31.3
3		28.5
2		6.9
0		14.5
1		16.9
1		1.9
0		2.8
Multidados [c] 17 Feb–11 Mar 202535041.010.9—0.92.512.723.58.6 [d] 17.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—42.4
5		14.6
1		6.4
0		—11.5
1		7.4
0		—17.727.8

Aveiro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
PPM 		PS BE CH CDU IL PAN L OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—39.4
4		33.7
4		2.0
0		10.9
1		1.5
0		5.2
0		0.9
0		2.2
0		4.36.4
GfK 4–20 Aug 2025 [e] 6033136219121265
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—51.3
6		26.0
3		6.4
0		4.0
0		3.3
0		2.3
0		——6.725.3

Batalha

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size Ind.
(BTMI)		 PSD CDS CH IL CDU OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—20.7
2		44.2
4		16.0
1		10.0
0		4.3
0		1.0
0		3.8
0		23.5
IPOM [f]
Seat projection		26–29 Sep 202543324.5
2		42.7
4		18.9
1		9.1
0		2.1
0		0.8
0		1.8
0		18.2
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—46.5
4		35.5
3		4.8
0		4.7
0		3.1
0		1.1
0		4.3
0		11.0

Braga

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
PPM 		PS
PAN 		CDU CH BE IL L Ind.
(RS)		OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—24.5
3		24.2
3		3.1
0		10.4
1		0.9
0		12.3
1		1.6
0		20.0
3		2.9
0		0.3
Intercampus [g] 29 Aug–10 Sep 202580123.631.35.49.11.87.12.411.97.37.7
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—42.9
6		30.7
4		2.7
0		6.7
1		4.7
0		4.2
0		2.9
0		0.6
0		—4.612.2

Bragança

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD PS CH CDU IL Ind.
(SB)		OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—41.4
3		50.3
4		2.2
0		0.8
0		2.5
0		0.6
0		2.2
0		8.9
Aximage 15–29 Sep 202550133493241816
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—57.5
5		27.0
2		5.9
0		2.2
0		1.3
0		—6.1
0		30.5

Cascais

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS 		PS CH CDU BE
L
PAN 		IL Ind.
(JMJ)		 ND
NC 		OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—33.8
5		16.2
2		14.5
2		3.9
0		4.5
0		6.4
0		14.8
2		3.0
0		3.0
0		17.6
Metris 26 May–8 Jun 2025805 [h] 43.19.113.52.02.611.012.23.22.629.6
805 [i] 44.0—14.02.92.711.216.82.75.727.2
805 [j] 45.8—13.73.12.912.015.4—5.330.4
Metris 15–21 Oct 2024402 [k] 3624183——14—512
402 [l] 3223173—21—49
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—52.6
7		21.6
3		7.4
1		5.4
0		3.7
0 [m] 		4.3
0		——5.031.0

Covilhã

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS CDS
IL 		PSD CDU CH Ind.
(CM)		OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—40.0
4		9.2
1		18.2
1		5.9
0		7.5
0		15.6
1		3.621.8
Aximage [n] 8–23 Jan 202550059.527.04.15.4—4.132.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—46.2
4		30.4
3		9.7
0		1.7
0		—11.9
0		15.8

Faro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
IL
PAN
MPT 		PS CDU CH BE L OLead
Pitagórica 25–30 Sep 202550430.631.67.820.91.92.15.11.0
ICS/ISCTE 23–28 Jul 202580229315235—72
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—47.8
6 [o] 		2.7
0 [p] 		30.6
3		6.5
0		5.1
0		4.1
0		—3.317.2

Figueira da Foz

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD/CDS PS CDU BE
L
PAN 		CH OLead
PSL PSD CDS
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—58.9
6		19.5
2		3.3
0		3.2
0		10.0
1		5.1
0		39.4
Intercampus [q] 18 Jul–3 Aug 202460146.116.90.525.22.62.03.22.720.9
Aximage 27 Feb–10 Mar 202348666301811—1148
2021 local election [1] 26 Sep 2021—40.4
4		10.8
1		1.2
0		38.4
4		2.7
0		2.5
0 [m] 		—4.52.0

Funchal

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS 		PS BE PAN MPT ADN CDU CH JPP IL PTP L OLead
Aximage
Seat projection		28 Sep–2 Oct 202540346.0
6		11.2
1		0.5
0		1.4
0		0.5
0		0.8
0		1.7
0		13.7
2		18.4
2		3.0
0		0.4
0		0.5
0		2.0 [r]
0		27.6
Intercampus [s]
Seat projection		11–29 Sep 202540343.9
6		20.8
3		1.1
0		0.7
0		0.0
0		0.7
0		2.1
0		10.0
1		12.6
1		4.0
0		0.7
0		1.1
0		2.3 [t]
0		23.1
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—47.0
6		39.7
5		2.9
0		2.6
0		1.7
0		1.3
0		1.1
0		0.5
0		3.2
0		7.3

Gondomar

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS CDS PSD/IL CDU BE CH PAN Ind.
(PG)		OLead
PSD IL
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—39.3
6		1.2
0		25.0
3		5.9
0		1.3
0		15.6
2		1.5
0		2.9
0		7.3
0		14.3
Multidados
Seat projection		29 Sep–2 Oct 202530049.2
5/7		1.1
0		17.7
2/3		4.4
0		1.0
0		13.8
1/2		1.0
0		7.7
0/1		4.1
0		31.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—46.9
7		21.6
3		2.7
0		10.8
1		5.8
0		4.0
0		2.9
0		—5.325.3

Leiria

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD CH CDS CDU BE
L
PAN 		IL ADN OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—54.1
7		21.8
3		11.5
1		2.0
0		1.5
0		1.5
0		3.7
0		0.5
0		3.4
0		32.3
IPOM [u]
Seat projection		24–26 Sep 202547253.6
7		18.0
2		18.9
2		2.4
0		0.6
0		0.6
0		1.1
0		0.3
0		4.5
0		34.7
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—52.5
8		22.4
3		5.7
0		4.2
0		2.5
0		2.4
0 [m] 		1.8
0 [p] 		0.7
0 [v] 		2.4
0		—5.4
0		30.1

Lisbon

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
IL 		PS
L
BE
PAN 		CDU CH ADN ND PPM
PTP 		OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—41.7
8		34.0
6		10.1
1		10.1
2		0.4
0		0.3
0		0.3
0		3.1
0		7.7
CESOP–UCP
Seat projection		27–29 Sep 20251,06635
6/8		36
6/8		8
1/2		12
2		1
0		1
0		2
0		5
0		1
Pitagórica 23–28 Sep 202562538.735.711.79.60.60.6—3.13.0
ICS/ISCTE 13–23 Sep 2025807363561621—41
ICS/ISCTE 14–27 Jul 20258004136514———45
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—34.3
7 [w] 		4.2
0 [x] 		33.3
7 [y] 		6.2
1 [m] 		2.7
0 [p] 		10.5
2		4.4
0		0.1
0		——4.3
0		1.0

Marinha Grande

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size Ind.
(MPM)		 PS CDU CH OLead
IPOM [z]
Seat projection		17–18 Sep 202538926.9
2		25.3
2		19.7
1		25.0
2		1.9
0		1.6
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—38.3
3		6.9
0 [aa] 		21.9
2		20.5
2		3.4
0		9.0
0		16.4

Nazaré

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD CDU BE CH OLead
IPOM [ab] 5–15 Sep 202539528.328.914.52.923.61.90.6
IPOM [ac]
Seat projection		4–5 Sep 202535727.5
2		29.0
2		14.5
1		3.2
0		24.2
2		1.5
0		1.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—44.9
4		28.2
2		14.2
1		5.1
0		—7.5
0		16.7

Ourém

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS 		PS CH CDU OLead
IPOM [ad]
Seat projection		12–13 Sep 202537760.2
5		16.8
1		17.2
1		3.8
0		2.0
0		43.0
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—62.8
6		18.8
1		4.9
0		2.2
0		11.3
0		44.0

Penafiel

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS 		PS CH CDU BE OLead
IPOM [ae] 20–27 Jan 202558649.627.711.41.51.38.5 [af] 21.9
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—60.5
6		30.9
3		2.2
0		1.9
0		1.7
0		2.829.6

Pombal

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD PS CH IL BE CDU CDS Ind.
(LC)		OLead
IPOM [ag]
Seat projection		10–11 Sep 202543058.7
5		15.7
1		12.7
1		1.9
0		0.3
0		2.2
0		0.3
0		5.2
0		3.043.0
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—61.1
5		21.0
2		3.7
0		3.2
0		2.9
0		1.8
0		——6.340.1

Porto

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size Ind.
(FA)		 PS PSD
IL
CDS 		CDU BE CH L NC
PPM 		OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—5.1
0		35.6
6		37.3
6		3.9
0		1.8
0		8.2
1		3.4
0		1.9
0		2.8
0		1.7
Pitagórica 29 Sep–4 Oct 20256257.032.933.13.32.910.43.93.33.20.2
CESOP–UCP
Seat projection		27–28 Sep 20251,1636
0/1		29
4/5		32
4/6		5
0/1		3
0		10
1/2		6
0/1		4
0		5
0		3
ICS/ISCTE 5–16 Sep 20258053373443103243
ICS/ISCTE 17 Jun–2 Jul 20258055363343121243
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—40.7
6		18.0
3		17.2
2 [aa] 		7.5
1		6.3
1		3.0
0		0.5
0		—6.8
0		22.7

Porto de Mós

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD PS CH CDU IL OLead
IPOM [ah]
Seat projection		16–17 Sep 202540062.9
5		14.5
1		19.4
1		0.7
0		1.1
0		1.4
0		43.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—55.9
4		35.9
3		3.0
0		1.7
0		—3.5
0		20.0

São João da Madeira

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD
CDS 		IL CDU BE CH OLead
IPOM 9 Oct 2025 [ai] 45139.641.31.83.52.910.60.31.7
Intercampus [aj] 19–30 Sep 202540532.140.12.73.04.315.92.08.0
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—51.6
4		32.1
3		4.6
0		3.9
0		2.8
0		5.1
0		19.5

Setúbal

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size CDU PS Ind.
(MDM)		 CH BE IL PAN L ADN OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—11.4
1		27.5
4		29.9
4		18.1
2		1.2
0		4.5
0		0.9
0		2.6
0		1.3
0		2.62.4
Pitagórica 9–14 Sep 202550015.022.530.121.61.23.70.21.00.24.57.6
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—34.4
5		27.7
4		16.6
2 [aa] 		1.7
0 [ak] 		5.9
0		4.2
0		2.3
0		2.3
0		——4.9
0		6.7

Sintra

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS
L 		PSD/IL/PAN CDS
PPM
ADN 		CH CDU BE ND OLead
PAN IL PSD
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—31.7
4		33.9
4		2.1
0		23.4
3		4.6
0		1.6
0		0.5
0		2.22.2
Pitagórica 13–18 Sep 202550030.332.11.624.55.52.10.33.61.8
ICS/ISCTE 3–14 Sep 2025803323022831132
Aximage 11–22 Jul 202550239.52.238.20.311.32.32.9—3.31.3
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—35.3
5		3.3
0		2.7
0		27.5
4		9.1
1		9.0
1		5.8
0		—7.3
0		7.8

Torres Novas

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD
CDS 		Ind.
(MPNT)		 BE CDU CH OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—34.6
3		34.2
3		4.7
0		4.6
0		4.8
0		13.5
1		3.60.4
Intercampus [al] 18–28 Nov 202441162.810.84.33.52.110.85.652.0
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—45.3
5		16.9
1		16.6
1		6.9
0		6.0
0		3.1
0		4.028.4

Vila Nova de Gaia

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD
CDS
IL 		CDU BE
L 		CH OLead
2025 local election 12 Oct 2025—35.9
5		40.7
5		3.8
0		3.2
0		11.0
1		5.4
0		4.8
Pitagórica 1–7 Sep 202550033.441.64.12.312.95.78.2
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021—57.8
9		17.6
2 [am] 		2.9
0 [x] 		4.8
0		4.6
0 [m] 		0.5
0 [v] 		4.2
0		7.6
0		40.2

Notes

  1. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13.4%; Would not vote: 5.8%; and Doesn't respond: 15.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 36.0%; CHEGA: 10.3%; PS: 9.8%; CDU: 4.6%; IL: 4.3%; Others/Invalid: 0.5%.
  2. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13.4%; Would not vote: 5.7%; and Doesn't respond: 14.0% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 36.7%; CHEGA: 10.9%; PS: 10.1%; IL: 4.7%; CDU: 4.1%; Others/Invalid: 0.5%.
  3. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 21.7% and Would not vote: 10.3% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.9%; Independent movements: 16.0%; CHEGA: 8.6%; PSD: 7.4%; CDU: 1.7%; BE:0.6%; IL: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 5.2%.
  4. ↑ BE: 0.9%; Others: 7.7%.
  5. ↑ Internal PS poll conducted by the party's national leadership that was leaked by the local press.
  6. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 14.3%; Would not vote: 2.3%; and Doesn't respond: 17.6% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 28.2%; Independent: 16.2%; CDS: 12.5%; CHEGA: 6.0%; IL: 1.4%; CDU: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.2%.
  7. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 17.9% . With their inclusion results are: PS/PAN: 25.7%; PSD/CDS/PPM: 19.4%; Ricardo Silva: 9.8%; CHEGA: 7.5%; IL: 5.8%; CDU: 4.4%; L: 2.0%; BE: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 6.0%.
  8. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 3.0%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.6%; CH: 10.2%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 9.2%; IL: 8.3%; PS: 6.9%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.4%; BE: 2.0%; CDU: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 2.6%.
  9. ↑ Scenario of the PS not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.7%; Would not vote: 3.1%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.0%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 12.6%; CH: 10.5%; IL: 8.4%; CDU: 2.2%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.0%; BE: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
  10. ↑ Scenario of the PS and António Pinto Pereira not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.4%; Would not vote: 3.2%; and Doesn't respond: 3.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 34.4%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11.6%; CH: 10.3%; IL: 9.0%; CDU: 2.2%; BE: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
  11. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 12%; Would not vote: 8%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 27%; PS: 18%; CHEGA: 14%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
  12. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13%; Would not vote: 5%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25%; PS: 18%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ) supported by IL: 16%; CHEGA: 13%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 Left Bloc result in 2021.
  14. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (26%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 44%; PSD/CDS/IL: 20%; CHEGA: 4%; CDU: 3%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
  15. ↑ PSD/CDS/IL/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
  16. 1 2 3 People Animals Nature result in 2021.
  17. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSL: 42.1%; PS: 22.6%; PSD: 15.2%; CHEGA: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; BE: 1.8%; CDS: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
  18. ↑ ND: 0.3%; RIR: 0.0%; Blank/Invalid: 1.7%.
  19. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 25.1% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.9%; PS: 15.6%; JPP: 9.4%; CHEGA: 7.5%; IL: 3.0%; CDU: 1.6%; BE: 0.8%; L: 0.8%; PTP: 0.5%; ADN: 0.5%; PAN: 0.5%; MPT: 0.0%; Others/Invalid: 1.8%.
  20. ↑ RIR: 0.4%; ND: 0.4%; Blank/Invalid: 1.2%.
  21. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.0%; Would not vote: 5.3%; and Doesn't respond: 9.1% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 37.7%; CHEGA: 13.3%; PSD: 12.7%; CDS: 1.7%; IL: 0.8%; BE/L/PAN: 0.4%; CDU: 0.4%; ADN: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 3.2%.
  22. 1 2 Livre result in 2021.
  23. ↑ PSD/CDS/A/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
  24. 1 2 Liberal Initiative result in 2021.
  25. ↑ PS/LIVRE coalition result in 2021.
  26. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 9.8%; and Doesn't respond: 20.6% . With their inclusion results are: MPM: 13.9%; PS: 13.1%; CHEGA: 12.9%; CDU: 10.8%; Others/Invalid: 1.0%.
  27. 1 2 3 Social Democratic Party result in 2021.
  28. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.2%; Would not vote: 17.0%; and Doesn't respond: 15.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 15.2%; PS: 14.9%; CHEGA: 12.4%; CDU: 7.6%; BE: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.0%.
  29. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 16.1%; Would not vote: 16.3%; and Doesn't respond: 15.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 15.2%; PS: 14.4%; CHEGA: 12.7%; CDU: 7.6%; BE: 1.7%; Others/Invalid: 0.8%.
  30. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.4%; Would not vote: 4.0%; and Doesn't respond: 14.6% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 39.8%; CHEGA: 11.4%; PS: 11.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.3%.
  31. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 29.9% and Would not vote: 2.4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.6%; PS: 18.8%; CHEGA: 7.7%; CDU: 1.0%; BE: 0.9%; IL: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
  32. ↑ IL: 0.7%; Others: 7.8%.
  33. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 14.2%; Would not vote: 6.0%; and Doesn't respond: 16.0% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 37.4%; PS: 10.0%; CHEGA: 8.1%; Independent: 3.3%; CDU: 1.4%; IL: 1.2%; BE: 0.2%; CDS: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 1.9%.
  34. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 10.0%; Would not vote: 0.5%; and Doesn't respond: 18.5% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 44.8%; CHEGA: 13.8%; PS: 10.3%; IL: 0.8%; CDU: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.0%.
  35. ↑ Date released.
  36. ↑ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 6.2%. With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 37.6%; PS: 30.1%; CHEGA: 14.9%; BE: 4.0%; CDU: 2.8%; IL: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.9%.
  37. ↑ CDS – People's Party result in 2021.
  38. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (25.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 47.1%; PSD/CDS: 8.1%; CHEGA: 8.1%; CDU: 2.3%; MPNT: 3.2%; BE: 2.6%; CDU: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 4.2%.
  39. ↑ PSD/CDS/PPM coalition result in 2021.

References

  1. ↑ "Mapa oficial dos resultados das eleições gerais para os titulares dos órgãos das autarquias locais de 26 de setembro de 2021" (PDF). Comissão Nacional de Eleições (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-08-18.
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