Opinion polling for the 2025 Portuguese local elections

Last updated

In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, on 12 October 2025.

Contents

Polling

Alenquer

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD/CDS/IL
PPM/MPT/NC
CDU CH Ind.
(TP)
BE OLead
PSD CDS IL
Multidados [a] 17 Feb–11 Mar 202535041.010.90.92.512.723.50.97.717.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 202142.4
5
14.6
1
6.4
0
11.5
1
7.4
0
5.7
0
12.027.8

Cascais

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
PS CH CDU BE
L
PAN
IL Ind.
(JMJ)
Ind.
(APP)
OLead
Metris 26 May–8 Jun 2025805 [b] 43.19.113.52.02.611.012.23.22.629.6
805 [c] 44.014.02.92.711.216.82.75.727.2
805 [d] 45.813.73.12.912.015.45.330.4
Metris 15–21 Oct 2024402 [e] 362418314512
402 [f] 32231732149
2021 local election 26 Sep 202152.6
7
21.6
3
7.4
1
5.4
0
3.7
0 [g]
4.3
0
5.031.0

Covilhã

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS CDS
IL
PSD CDU CH OLead
Aximage [h] 8–23 Jan 202550059.527.04.15.44.132.5
2021 local election 26 Sep 202146.2
4
30.4
3
9.7
0
1.7
0
11.9
0
15.8

Faro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
IL
PAN
MPT
PS CDU CH BE OLead
ICS/ISCTE 23–28 Jul 20258022931523572
2021 local election 26 Sep 202147.8
6 [i]
2.7
0 [j]
30.6
3
6.5
0
5.1
0
4.1
0
3.317.2

Figueira da Foz

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD/CDS PS CDU BE
L
PAN
CH OLead
PSL PSD CDS
Intercampus [k] 18 Jul–3 Aug 202460146.116.90.525.22.62.03.22.720.9
Aximage 27 Feb–10 Mar 2023486663018111148
2021 local election [1] 26 Sep 202140.4
4
10.8
1
1.2
0
38.4
4
2.7
0
2.5
0 [g]
4.52.0

Lisbon

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
IL
PS
L
BE
PAN
CDU CH OLead
ICS/ISCTE 14–27 Jul 2025800413651445
2021 local election 26 Sep 202134.3
7 [l]
4.2
0 [m]
33.3
7 [n]
6.2
1 [g]
2.7
0 [j]
10.5
2
4.4
0
4.4
0
1.0

Penafiel

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PSD
CDS
PS CH CDU BE IL OLead
IPOM [o] 20–27 Jan 202558649.627.711.41.51.30.77.821.9
2021 local election 26 Sep 202160.5
6
30.9
3
2.2
0
1.9
0
1.7
0
2.829.6

Porto

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size Ind.
(FA)
PS PSD
IL
CDS
CDU BE CH L NC
PPM
OLead
ICS/ISCTE 17 Jun–2 Jul 20258055363343121243
2021 local election 26 Sep 202140.7
6
18.0
3
17.2
2 [p]
7.5
1
6.3
1
3.0
0
0.5
0
6.8
0
22.7

Torres Novas

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size PS PSD
CDS
Ind.
(MPNT)
BE CDU CH IL OLead
Intercampus [q] 18–28 Nov 202441162.810.84.33.52.110.85.652.0
2021 local election 26 Sep 202145.3
5
16.9
1
16.6
1
6.9
0
6.0
0
3.1
0
1.3
0
4.028.4

Notes

  1. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 21.7% and Would not vote: 10.3% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.9%; Independent movements: 16.0%; CHEGA: 8.6%; PSD: 7.4%; CDU: 1.7%; BE:0.6%; IL: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 5.2%.
  2. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 3.0%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.6%; CH: 10.2%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 9.2%; IL: 8.3%; PS: 6.9%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.4%; BE: 2.0%; CDU: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 2.6%.
  3. Scenario of the PS not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.7%; Would not vote: 3.1%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.0%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 12.6%; CH: 10.5%; IL: 8.4%; CDU: 2.2%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.0%; BE: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
  4. Scenario of the PS and António Pinto Pereira not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.4%; Would not vote: 3.2%; and Doesn't respond: 3.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 34.4%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11.6%; CH: 10.3%; IL: 9.0%; CDU: 2.2%; BE: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
  5. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 12%; Would not vote: 8%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 27%; PS: 18%; CHEGA: 14%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
  6. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13%; Would not vote: 5%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25%; PS: 18%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ) supported by IL: 16%; CHEGA: 13%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
  7. 1 2 3 Left Bloc result in 2021.
  8. Results presented here exclude undecideds (26%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 44%; PSD/CDS/IL: 20%; CHEGA: 4%; CDU: 3%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
  9. PSD/CDS/IL/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
  10. 1 2 People Animals Nature result in 2021.
  11. Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSL: 42.1%; PS: 22.6%; PSD: 15.2%; CHEGA: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; BE: 1.8%; CDS: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
  12. PSD/CDS/A/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
  13. Liberal Initiative result in 2021.
  14. PS/LIVRE coalition result in 2021.
  15. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 29.9% and Would not vote: 2.4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.6%; PS: 18.8%; CHEGA: 7.7%; CDU: 1.0%; BE: 0.9%; IL: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
  16. Social Democratic Party result in 2021.
  17. Results presented here exclude undecideds (25.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 47.1%; PSD/CDS: 8.1%; CHEGA: 8.1%; CDU: 2.3%; MPNT: 3.2%; BE: 2.6%; CDU: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 4.2%.

References

  1. "Mapa oficial dos resultados das eleições gerais para os titulares dos órgãos das autarquias locais de 26 de setembro de 2021" (PDF). Comissão Nacional de Eleições (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-08-18.