Opinion polling for the 2025 Portuguese local elections

In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, somewhere between September and October 2025.

Polling

Cascais

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS	PS	CH	CDU	BE	IL	Ind. (JMJ)	O	Lead
Metris	15–21 Oct 2024	402 [a]	36	24	18	3	—	—	14	5	12
		402 [b]	32	23	17	3	—	21		4	9
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	52.6 7	21.6 3	7.4 1	5.4 0	3.7 0	4.3 0	—	5.0	31.0

Covilhã

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	PSD CDS IL	CDU	CH	O	Lead
Aximage [c]	8–23 Jan 2025	500	59.5	27.0	4.1	5.4	4.1	32.5
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	46.2 4	30.4 3	9.7 0	1.7 0	11.9 0	15.8

Figueira da Foz

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSL	PS	PSD	CDU	BE	CDS	CH	O	Lead
Intercampus [d]	18 Jul–3 Aug 2024	601	46.1	25.2	16.9	2.6	2.0	0.5	3.2	2.7	20.9
Aximage	27 Feb–10 Mar 2023	486	66	18	3	1	1	0	—	11	48
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	40.4 4	38.4 4	10.8 1	2.7 0	2.5 0	1.2 0	—	4.5	2.0

Penafiel

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PSD CDS	PS	CH	CDU	BE	IL	O	Lead
IPOM [e]	20–27 Jan 2025	586	49.6	27.7	11.4	1.5	1.3	0.7	7.8	21.9
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	60.5 6	30.9 3	2.2 0	1.9 0	1.7 0	—	2.8	29.6

Torres Novas

Polling firm/Link	Fieldwork date	Sample size	PS	PSD CDS	MPNT	BE	CDU	CH	IL	O	Lead
Intercampus [f]	18–28 Nov 2024	411	62.8	10.8	4.3	3.5	2.1	10.8	—	5.6	52.0
2021 local election	26 Sep 2021	—	45.3 5	16.9 1	16.6 1	6.9 0	6.0 0	3.1 0	1.3 0	4.0	28.4

Notes

1. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 12%; Would not vote: 8%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 27%; PS: 18%; CHEGA: 14%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
2. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13%; Would not vote: 5%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25%; PS: 18%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ) supported by IL: 16%; CHEGA: 13%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
3. Results presented here exclude undecideds (26%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 44%; PSD/CDS/IL: 20%; CHEGA: 4%; CDU: 3%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
4. Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSL: 42.1%; PS: 22.6%; PSD: 15.2%; CHEGA: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; BE: 1.8%; CDS: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
5. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 29.9% and Would not vote: 2.4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.6%; PS: 18.8%; CHEGA: 7.7%; CDU: 1.0%; BE: 0.9%; IL: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
6. Results presented here exclude undecideds (25.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 47.1%; PSD/CDS: 8.1%; CHEGA: 8.1%; CDU: 2.3%; MPNT: 3.2%; BE: 2.6%; CDU: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 4.2%.

External links

• ERC - Official publication of polls