Opinion polling for the 2005 Portuguese legislative election

In the run up to the 2005 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 17 March 2002, to the day the next election was held, on 20 February 2005.

Nationwide polling

Polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Date Released	Polling Firm						Others	Lead
20 Feb 2005	2005 legislative election	45.0 121 seats	28.8 75 seats	7.2 12 seats	7.5 14 seats	6.4 8 seats	5.1 0 seats	16.2
20 Feb (20:00)	Exit Poll - RTP1 Universidade Católica	45.0–49.0 124 / 136	25.0–29.0 62 / 70	5.0–7.0 7 / 10	6.0–8.0 10 / 14	6.0–8.0 10 / 14	—	20.0
20 Feb (20:00)	Exit Poll - SIC Eurosondagem	46.9–50.7 123 / 130	23.3–27.1 65 / 75	6.1–7.9 9 / 13	7.5–9.3 14 / 16	6.1–7.9 8 / 9	—	23.6
20 Feb (20:00)	Exit Poll - TVI Intercampus	44.2–48.2 117 / 127	26.1–30.1 68 / 78	5.5–8.1 8 / 14	6.4–9.0 12 / 18	5.1–7.7 6 / 12	—	18.1
Exit polls
18 Feb 2005	Aximage	46.8	29.6	7.3	7.0	5.5	3.8	17.2
18 Feb 2005	Marktest	46.0	26.8	7.5	8.9	7.7	3.1	19.2
18 Feb 2005	Eurosondagem	45.0	30.6	7.7	7.7	5.7	3.3	14.4
18 Feb 2005	IPOM	46.0	30.0	8.0	6.0	7.0	3.0	16.0
18 Feb 2005	Intercampus	45.9	30.3	7.1	7.6	5.2	3.9	15.6
17 Feb 2005	TNS/Euroteste	39.0	28.0	7.0	6.0	6.0	14.0	11.0
17 Feb 2005	Universidade Católica	46.0	31.0	6.0	7.0	7.0	3.0	15.0
12 Feb 2005	Eurosondagem	44.4	31.3	7.4	6.9	6.4	3.6	13.1
11 Feb 2005	Aximage	44.7	27.4	6.4	7.1	4.8	9.6	17.3
4 Feb 2005	IPOM	49.0	31.0	8.0	6.0	5.0	1.0	18.0
4 Feb 2005	Aximage	43.5	29.3	7.0	5.6	3.5	11.1	14.2
3 Feb 2005	Intercampus	46.5	31.6	4.8	8.1	4.5	4.5	14.9
29 Jan 2005	Eurosondagem	46.1	32.1	7.0	6.6	4.6	3.6	14.0
28 Jan 2005	Marktest	45.1	27.7	6.3	7.7	8.1	5.1	17.5
28 Jan 2005	Aximage	43.3	27.4	6.3	5.8	5.0	12.2	15.9
28 Jan 2005	Universidade Católica	46.0	28.0	6.0	8.0	8.0	4.0	18.0
27 Jan 2005	TNS/Euroteste	40.0	32.0	6.0	4.0	5.0	13.0	8.0
21 Jan 2005	Aximage	42.8	28.7	7.1	6.2	4.3	10.9	14.1
15 Jan 2005	Eurosondagem	45.7	32.5	6.5	6.5	5.7	3.1	13.2
10 Jan 2005	Aximage	45.6	27.5	6.6	6.6	3.4	10.3	18.1
8 Jan 2005	Eurosondagem	46.0	33.0	6.9	6.3	4.5	3.3	18.1
27 Nov 2004	Universidade Católica	46.0	35.0	3.0	7.0	6.0	3.0	11.0
Nov 2004	Marktest	49.3	32.4	2.1	6.4	5.8	4.0	16.9
Oct 2004	Marktest	49.3	28.4	3.3	8.2	6.7	4.1	20.9
14 Sep 2004	Aximage	38.0	33.1	4.6	4.1	3.0	17.2	4.9
Sep 2004	Marktest	46.4	34.5	1.6	8.8	5.4	3.3	11.9
16 Jul 2004	Aximage	39.5	31.7	4.2	4.8	3.5	16.3	7.8
Jul 2004	Marktest	45.4	36.8	2.7	6.3	5.7	3.1	8.6
21 Jun 2004	Aximage	42.8	30.3	4.7	6.4	3.3	12.5	12.5
Jun 2004	Marktest	47.6	29.9	2.6	5.5	10.0	4.4	17.7
13 Jun 2004	2004 EP election	44.5	33.3		9.1	4.9	8.2	11.2
1 Jun 2004	Aximage	40.0	29.8	4.9	6.4	4.4	14.5	10.2
May 2004	Marktest	43.5	36.5	1.5	5.2	6.3	7.0	7.0
24 Apr 2004	Aximage	40.1	30.6	5.6	5.3	2.4	16.0	9.5
Apr 2004	Marktest	41.9	36.5	2.6	7.3	6.9	4.8	5.4
20 Mar 2004	Aximage	38.2	31.7	5.5	6.8	5.2	12.6	6.5
Mar 2004	Marktest	43.9	34.9	3.8	6.9	5.7	4.8	9.0
Feb 2004	Marktest	42.2	38.7	2.3	6.6	6.4	3.8	3.5
17 Jan 2004	Aximage	38.6	36.5	4.4	4.6	3.8	12.1	2.1
17 Jan 2004	Eurosondagem	35.2	34.2	5.5	4.9	4.5	15.7	1.0
Jan 2004	Universidade Católica	44.0	34.0	4.0	7.0	7.0	4.0	10.0
Jan 2004	Marktest	40.0	35.1	1.9	9.5	7.8	5.7	4.9
21 Dec 2003	Aximage	35.5	29.4	5.2	6.5	5.2	18.2	6.1
23 Nov 2003	Aximage	38.5	34.4	2.7	5.9	3.7	14.8	4.1
Nov 2003	Marktest	38.8	35.9	5.9	9.0	5.2	5.2	2.9
20 Oct 2003	Aximage	36.7	34.4	4.6			24.3	2.3
Oct 2003	Marktest	37.4	43.6	3.7	6.4	5.5	3.4	6.2
6 Sep 2003	Aximage	34.6	38.4		4.8	4.7	17.5	3.8
Sep 2003	Marktest	42.8	37.6	4.1	5.0	6.2	4.3	5.2
Jul 2003	Marktest	36.1	43.3	5.5	6.6	4.7	3.8	7.2
24 Jun 2003	Aximage	40.7	38.6	3.9	5.6	2.6	8.6	2.1
Jun 2003	Marktest	36.0	40.9	7.7	6.7	4.7	4.0	4.9
22 May 2003	Aximage	38.8	37.5	3.5	4.9	4.2	11.1	1.3
19 May 2003	Universidade Católica	44.8	35.6	2.7	7.0	6.5	3.4	9.2
May 2003	Marktest	40.8	40.4	5.2	5.4	4.4	3.8	0.4
Apr 2003	Aximage	40.6	33.2	4.7	7.3		14.2	7.4
Apr 2003	Marktest	45.2	34.7	5.5	6.7	4.0	3.9	10.5
28 Mar 2003	Marktest	44.6	36.2	6.2	4.6	4.6	3.8	8.4
Mar 2003	Aximage	46.3	31.2				22.5	15.1
Feb 2003	Aximage	42.6	33.8				23.6	8.8
Feb 2003	Marktest	41.6	36.3	6.0	7.2	4.9	4.0	5.3
Jan 2003	Aximage	41.2	36.0	4.1	4.9	4.4	9.4	5.2
Jan 2003	Marktest	42.3	38.7	4.8	5.0	5.6	3.6	3.6
Nov 2002	Marktest	43.3	36.4	6.5	6.4	4.6	2.8	6.9
Oct 2002	Marktest	37.9	41.8	5.7	7.5	3.3	3.8	3.9
Sep 2002	Marktest	40.0	37.8	8.3	6.1	3.8	4.0	2.2
8 Aug 2002	Eurosondagem	38.0	31.6	8.7	5.2	3.4	13.1	6.4
Jul 2002	Marktest	41.4	39.0	7.0	5.1	3.8	3.7	2.4
Jun 2002	Marktest	39.8	37.5	6.0	7.5	5.4	3.8	2.3
May 2002	Marktest	37.0	39.0	8.6	6.1	4.8	4.5	2.0
17 Mar 2002	2002 legislative election	37.8 96 seats	40.2 105 seats	8.7 14 seats	6.9 12 seats	2.7 3 seats	3.7 3 seats	2.4

External links

• Marktest Opinion Poll Tracker
• ERC - Official publication of polls