Opinion polling for the 2024 Portuguese legislative election

Last updated

In the run up to the 2024 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, held on 30 January, to the day the next election was held on 10 March.

Contents

Nationwide polling

Graphical summary

Local Regression of polls conducted since the election 2024 Portuguese election polls.svg
Local Regression of polls conducted since the election

Polling

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, parties are shaded with their colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Polls that show their results without distributing those respondents who are undecided or said they would abstain from voting, are re-calculated by removing these numbers from the totals through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.

  Exit poll

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Letras PS (Portugal).png
Alianca Democratica 2024 (Portugal) logo.png
Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
PSD Logo Simples.png Cds simbolo 2.png
2024 legislative election 10 Mar 2024—59.828.0
78		28.8
80		18.1
50		4.9
8		4.4
5		3.2
4		2.0
1		3.2
4		7.5
0		0.8
CESOP–UCP 10 Mar 202436,14962–6825–29
69/77		29–33
83/91		14–17
40/46		5–7
7/10		4–6
5/7		2–4
2/3		1.5–
2.5
0/2		3–5
4/6		4
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris 10 Mar 202420,88853.5–
59.5		24.2–
28.4
68/80		27.6–31.8
77/89		16.6–
20.8
44/54		4.1–
7.3
6/12		3.2–
6.4
3/9		1.3–
4.5
1/5		0.5–
3.1
1/4		2.3–
4.9
2/6		3.4
Pitagórica 10 Mar 202428,08959.5–
64.5		24.5–
29.5
63/75		28.0–33.0
79/91		16.6–
21.6
35/47		3.3–
6.3
9/15		3.0–
6.0
3/7		2.3–
5.3
1/5		0.8–
2.8
1/3		2.2–
5.2
6/12		3.5
Intercampus 10 Mar 202424,32857–6123.8–
29.8
67/79		27.2–33.2
77/89		15.6–
20.6
42/52		3.3–
7.3
6/12		2.7–
6.7
4/10		1.2–
5.2
1/5		0.5–
3.5
0/4		2.1–
6.1
4/8		3.4
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 5–7 Mar 2024600?2935156531426
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 4–6 Mar 2024600?2935146531436
Consulmark2 1–6 Mar 2024801?27.029.818.26.45.22.51.24.65.12.8
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 3–5 Mar 2024600?2835156541427
CESOP–UCP 28 Feb–5 Mar 20242,405?28
70/80		34
88/98		16
33/41		6
6/10		5
4/10		5
4/7		1
0/1		3
2/3		2
0		6
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 2–4 Mar 2024600?2736165631429
Intercampus [lower-alpha 2] 28 Feb–4 Mar 2024802 ?25.031.516.88.45.92.34.04.61.56.5
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 1–3 Mar 2024600?2635175631349
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 29 Feb–2 Mar 2024600?2635174641439
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 28 Feb–1 Mar 2024600?2734185531347
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 27–29 Feb 2024600?2734175521457
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 26–28 Feb 2024600?2632186622446
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 25–27 Feb 2024600?2733176522446
Aximage 23–27 Feb 2024809 ?33.129.616.73.96.64.02.01.72.43.5
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 24–26 Feb 2024600?263317652136 [lower-alpha 3] 7
CESOP–UCP 22–26 Feb 20241,207?27
69/79		33
86/96		17
33/41		6
6/10		5
5/7		3
3/5		2
2		4
3/4		3
0		6
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 23–25 Feb 2024600?263317752136 [lower-alpha 4] 7
ICS/ISCTE 17–25 Feb 2024907 ?3031174532261
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 22–24 Feb 2024600?263117862145 [lower-alpha 5] 5
Duplimétrica [lower-alpha 1] 21–23 Feb 2024600?282820762135Tie
CESOP–UCP 19–21 Feb 20241,284?2935176421336
Duplimétrica 10–20 Feb 2024800?2629207422373
Intercampus [lower-alpha 6] 8–17 Feb 20241,203 ?26.026.420.88.46.83.03.13.72.00.4
Aximage 8–13 Feb 2024805 ?33.127.716.44.96.32.33.32.83.25.4
Consulmark2 6–12 Feb 2024804?27.430.018.15.54.22.61.12.98.12.6
Intercampus [lower-alpha 7] 6–10 Feb 2024608?25.627.818.87.56.23.13.73.14.22.2
CESOP–UCP 24 Jan–1 Feb 20241,192?2832196521344
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Jan 2024804 ?2927215531182
Aximage 16–20 Jan 2024801 ?32.727.416.24.28.02.62.91.94.15.3
Intercampus [lower-alpha 8] 16–20 Jan 2024637?30.924.319.46.38.74.62.61.51.86.6
Consulmark2 11–17 Jan 2024801?26.728.117.56.37.23.31.22.17.51.4
Aximage 18–23 Dec 2023805 ?34.124.81.216.34.16.32.73.71.85.09.3
Intercampus [lower-alpha 9] 18–21 Dec 2023611 ?29.326.01.813.47.610.12.73.53.32.33.3
Consulmark2 17–20 Dec 2023803?24.137.612.04.99.13.31.12.85.013.5
?26.527.51.715.25.87.72.80.82.39.71.0
Consulmark2 30 Nov–6 Dec 2023575?26.030.02.317.26.74.42.11.42.37.64.0
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 20231,102?28292169632231
Aximage 18–23 Nov 2023802 ?32.926.71.516.25.06.93.22.92.02.76.2
Intercampus [lower-alpha 10] 14–17 Nov 2023604 ?25.523.62.014.69.110.23.54.73.23.61.9
Aximage [lower-alpha 11] 10–13 Nov 2023504 ?28271186933321
Intercampus [lower-alpha 12] 7–8 Nov 2023602 ?22.227.02.516.18.79.84.02.83.33.64.8
Aximage 18–24 Oct 2023805 ?28.624.91.614.66.77.13.84.82.95.03.7
Intercampus [lower-alpha 13] 18–23 Oct 2023604 ?27.327.91.712.79.07.34.43.51.54.70.6
Aximage [lower-alpha 14] 2–5 Oct 2023601 ?29.325.62.613.65.37.14.33.62.85.83.7
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Sep 2023804?312521336622106
Intercampus [lower-alpha 15] 9–14 Sep 2023614 ?30.028.60.812.89.36.44.32.12.33.41.4
Intercampus [lower-alpha 16] 7–11 Aug 2023607 ?27.926.61.113.48.38.03.73.42.84.81.3
CESOP–UCP 6–15 Jul 20231,006?32331107741231
Aximage 6–11 Jul 202380067.928.827.71.113.05.28.03.23.82.76.51.1
Intercampus [lower-alpha 17] [1] 3–6 Jul 2023623 ?25.224.51.213.69.89.54.64.82.54.30.7
CESOP–UCP [lower-alpha 18] [2] 1–21 Jun 20232,042?3235196631163
Intercampus [lower-alpha 19] 25–31 May 2023611 ?24.526.32.412.98.810.24.13.92.44.51.8
ICS/ISCTE 13–28 May 20231,204 ?31301134552181
Intercampus [lower-alpha 20] 4–5 May 2023606 ?25.725.51.814.78.49.64.22.42.35.40.2
Aximage 10–14 Apr 202380570.228.328.61.312.16.16.33.54.52.76.60.3
Intercampus [lower-alpha 21] 6–12 Apr 2023610 ?28.126.91.614.78.27.84.82.61.24.11.2
ICS/ISCTE 11–20 Mar 2023807 ?3030213455218Tie
Intercampus [lower-alpha 22] 9–15 Mar 2023613 ?28.427.31.515.27.97.23.61.72.74.51.1
CESOP–UCP 9–17 Feb 20231,002?32311118742221
Intercampus [lower-alpha 23] [3] 3–10 Feb 2023602 ?28.427.61.114.19.05.84.72.91.64.80.8
Pitagórica 11–17 Jan 2023828 ?26.930.60.014.28.05.62.20.91.99.73.7
Aximage 10–14 Jan 202380565.127.125.11.412.99.56.64.83.13.46.12.0
Intercampus [lower-alpha 24] 6–11 Jan 2023605 ?31.129.50.710.77.67.53.73.72.43.31.6
Pitagórica 9–15 Dec 2022828 ?35.930.40.79.15.23.44.30.62.28.25.5
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 2022809 ?3729092753088
Intercampus [lower-alpha 25] [4] 12–14 Dec 2022663 ?30.925.32.211.08.68.64.43.61.93.55.6
Intercampus [lower-alpha 26] 15–20 Nov 2022605 ?28.826.21.613.68.07.36.42.72.72.72.6
Pitagórica 11–17 Nov 2022828 ?35.130.41.38.26.13.85.11.22.06.84.7
Intercampus [lower-alpha 27] 17–22 Oct 2022607 ?33.229.10.710.88.67.13.02.12.62.84.1
Pitagórica 11–17 Oct 2022828 ?36.230.01.69.37.93.93.81.21.05.16.2
Aximage 21–24 Sep 202281059.234.530.91.98.96.73.83.23.02.15.03.6
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 2022807 ?372801134430109
Intercampus [lower-alpha 28] 9–15 Sep 2022606 ?35.528.71.310.76.06.03.42.92.13.46.8
Intercampus [lower-alpha 29] 3–10 Aug 2022605 ?38.526.50.89.88.35.82.61.52.24.012.0
Pitagórica 28 Jul–10 Aug 2022828 ?36.727.62.59.58.54.44.21.51.53.69.1
CESOP–UCP 11–15 Jul 2022885?3830196551238
Intercampus [lower-alpha 30] 6–11 Jul 2022605 ?39.822.52.39.49.66.13.22.51.92.717.3
Aximage 5–10 Jul 202281057.235.830.11.410.26.15.63.31.92.03.65.7
Pitagórica 21 Jun–4 Jul 2022828 ?38.924.91.88.38.65.33.91.21.85.314.0
Intercampus [lower-alpha 31] 8–14 Jun 2022611 ?38.824.63.09.37.85.93.63.01.42.614.2
Intercampus [lower-alpha 32] [5] 7–15 May 2022611 ?39.521.23.38.87.85.94.14.12.13.218.3
Aximage 12–18 Apr 2022807 ?40.725.22.27.87.94.04.11.51.55.115.5
Pitagórica 15–20 Feb 2022600 ?37.131.71.45.67.34.54.31.32.74.15.4
2022 legislative election [6] 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		1.6
0		7.2
12		4.9
8		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

Hypothetical scenarios

Hypothetical polling

Jorge Moreira da Silva as PSD leader

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Letras PS (Portugal).png Krzysztof Szczerski, Jorge Moreira da Silva, Zbigniew Rau (cropped).jpg Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Cds simbolo 2.png Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
Pitagórica 7–24 Apr 2022625 ?42.319.96.410.35.14.51.71.12.46.322.4
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		7.2
12		4.9
8		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
0		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

Luís Montenegro as PSD leader

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Letras PS (Portugal).png Luis Montenegro.jpg Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Cds simbolo 2.png Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
Pitagórica 7–24 Apr 2022625 ?41.521.65.710.05.14.32.01.42.46.019.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		7.2
12		4.9
8		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
0		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

Luís Montenegro as PSD leader and Nuno Melo as CDS-PP leader

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Letras PS (Portugal).png Luis Montenegro.jpg Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Melo, Nuno-1294 (cropped).jpg Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
Pitagórica 15–20 Feb 2022600 ?36.530.64.27.24.44.45.31.32.53.65.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		7.2
12		4.9
8		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
0		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

Pedro Nuno Santos as PS leader

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Pedro Nuno Santos 2020.png PSD Logo Simples.png Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Cds simbolo 2.png Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023803 ?29261566413135.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		7.2
12		4.9
8		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
0		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

José Luís Carneiro as PS leader

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout JoseLuisCarneiro.png PSD Logo Simples.png Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Cds simbolo 2.png Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 2023803 ?30251565323235.9
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		7.2
12		4.9
8		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
0		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

PSD/CDS–PP/IL coalition

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Letras PS (Portugal).png PSD-CDS.png 0 Iniciativa Liberal (Simbolo Eleitoral).png Logo Chega!.png LeftBloc.svg Logo of the Unitary Democratic Coalition.svg Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png OLead
PSD Logo Simples.png Cds simbolo 2.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png
Consulmark2 17–20 Dec 2023803?24.342.012.88.53.50.93.24.917.7
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—51.541.4
120		29.1
77		1.6
0		4.9
8		7.2
12		4.4
5		4.3
6		1.6
1		1.3
1		4.3
0		12.3

Constituency polling

Madeira

Unlike the rest of the country, in Madeira, the PSD and CDS–PP are contesting the election under a coalition called Madeira First, while PPM has presented a list of its own. [7] [8]

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout PSD-CDS.png Letras PS (Portugal).png
Logo Juntos pelo Povo.png
Logo Chega!.png Iniciativa Liberal Icon.png LeftBloc.svg Simbolo CDU (PCP-PEV) (Letras).png Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png Partido LIVRE logo.png AlternativaDN OutroLogo.png OLead
2024 legislative election 10 Mar 2024—58.935.4
3		19.8
2		9.6
0		17.6
1		3.9
0		2.9
0		1.6
0		2.1
0		1.2
0		1.6
0		2.0
0		15.6
Intercampus [lower-alpha 33] 26 Feb–3 Mar 2024401?34.6
3		22.3
2		6.4
0		9.9
1		9.1
0		3.3
0		3.7
0		1.8
0		1.8
0		2.7
0		4.4
0		12.3
Aximage 21–29 Feb 2024512?46.5
3		24.9
2		5.1
0		12.4
1		4.0
0		2.7
0		0.7
0		1.6
0		0.9
0		—1.2
0		21.6
2023 regional election 24 Sep 2023—53.343.1
(4)		21.3
(2)		11.0
(0)		8.9
(0)		2.6
(0)		2.2
(0)		2.7
(0)		2.2
(0)		0.6
(0)		0.5
(0)		2.2
(0)		21.8
2022 legislative election 30 Jan 2022—50.339.8
3		31.5
3		6.9
0		6.1
0		5.6
0		3.2
0		2.0
0		1.6
0		0.7
0		0.4
0		2.2
0		8.3

Leadership polls

Preferred prime minister

Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best prime minister or who is better positioned to win are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Pedro Nuno Santos vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork date Pedro Nuno Santos, 2020-01-15 (cropped).png Luis Montenegro.jpg NBoth/
O		NOLead
Intercampus 28 Feb–4 Mar 202430.844.1——25.113.3
CESOP–UCP 19–21 Feb 20243446——2012
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 202430.040.6——29.410.6
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 202436.331.2——32.55.1
Consulmark2 11–17 Jan 202431.134.8—22.311.73.7
Aximage 18–23 Dec 20233734——293
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 202328.224.131.44.112.24.1
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 20233940——211
Aximage 18–23 Nov 20234731——2216
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 202335.930.7——33.45.2
Aximage 10–13 Nov 20233340——277
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 202327.044.9——28.117.9

António Costa vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork date Antonio Costa em 2017.jpg Luis Montenegro.jpg NBoth/
O		NOLead
Aximage 18–24 Oct 20233420401514
Aximage 2–5 Oct 2023262239674
Aximage 6–11 Jul 20233720382317
Aximage 10–14 Apr 20233821342517
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 202340.626.85.2—27.413.8
Aximage 10–14 Jan 20233819371519
Aximage 21–24 Sep 202238203011118
Intercampus [lower-alpha 34] 9–15 Sep 202243.630.03.6—22.813.6
Aximage 5–10 Jul 20224517282828

Hypothetical scenarios

Hypothetical polling

José Luís Carneiro vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork date JoseLuisCarneiro.png Luis Montenegro.jpg NBoth/
O		NOLead
CESOP–UCP 15–24 Nov 20234237——215
Aximage 18–23 Nov 20233837——251
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 202334.230.4——35.43.8
Aximage 10–13 Nov 20232843——2915

Possible PS candidates vs Luís Montenegro

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork date Marta Temido (Inauguracao Espaco de Saude Oral no ACES de Espinho 2021-11-12), cropped.png Mariana Vieira da Silva (Comissao Nacional de Acompanhamento do Plano de Recuperacao e Resiliencia) - Agencia Lusa, cropped.png Web Summit 2018 - Fernando Medina.jpg Duarte Cordeiro, Ministro do Ambiente e Acao Climatica (cropped).png Luis Montenegro.jpg NBoth/
O		NOLead
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 202336.9———42.0——21.15.1
—30.7——43.4——25.912.7
——22.1—49.8——28.127.7
———20.846.1——33.125.3

Leaders' ratings

Poll results showing the public opinion on all political party leaders rated from 0 to 10 [lower-alpha 35] (with the former being strong disapproval and the latter strong approval) are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order (showing the most recent first).

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork date Antonio Costa em 2017.jpg Pedro Nuno Santos, 2020-01-15 (cropped).png Rui Rio (cropped).jpg Luis Montenegro.jpg Andre Ventura (Agencia LUSA, Entrevista Presidenciais 2021), cropped.png JoaoCotrimFigueiredo.png Debate com Rui Rocha na CNN, Fev.2024 (53539434166) (cropped) (cropped).jpg Catarina Martins, tempo de antena sobre a escola publica, Legislativas 2022 (cropped).png Mariana Mortagua, tempo de antena sobre justica fiscal, Legislativas 2022.png Jeronimo de Sousa Jul2022.png Paulo Raimundo (Agencia Lusa 2023-10-18) (cropped).png Melo, Nuno-1294 (cropped).jpg Ines Sousa Real.jpg Rui Tavares, SomosBibliotecas (cropped).png Lead
Intercampus 29 Feb–4 Mar 2024—5.2—6.04.6—5.8—5.2—4.65.25.65.80.2
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 2024—5.0—5.44.6—5.4—5.4—4.65.25.45.4Tie
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Jan 2024—4.3—4.03.4—2.9—3.8—2.73.02.92.90.3
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 2024—5.0—5.04.6—5.2—5.4—4.65.05.25.4Tie
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 2023—5.4—5.64.6—5.8—5.8—5.35.45.46.00.2
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 20234.8——5.24.6—5.6—5.6—4.85.05.65.6Tie
Intercampus 18–23 Oct 20234.8——5.24.4—5.6—5.6—4.65.05.45.6Tie
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Sep 20234.6——3.62.9—3.2—3.8—2.92.72.73.10.8
Intercampus 9–14 Sep 20235.2——5.44.4—5.4—5.4—4.64.85.05.4Tie
Intercampus 7–11 Aug 20235.4——5.64.4—5.4—5.4—4.85.05.45.40.2
CESOP–UCP 6–15 Jul 20235.1——5.23.5—4.7—5.4—4.4—4.55.10.2
Intercampus 3–6 Jul 20235.2——5.64.6—5.6—5.8—4.85.25.65.60.2
Intercampus 25–31 May 20235.0——5.84.6—6.05.8——5.05.45.65.80.2
ICS/ISCTE 13–28 May 20234.8——3.93.0—3.24.1——3.2—3.33.30.7
Aximage 10–14 Apr 20234.8——5.25.0—5.85.4——4.85.25.66.00.2
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 20235.2——5.64.4—5.65.2——4.65.25.45.4Tie
ICS/ISCTE 11–20 Mar 20234.6——4.23.4—3.14.1——3.2—3.33.50.4
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 20235.2——5.44.6—5.25.2——4.44.85.05.20.2
Intercampus 3–10 Feb 20235.2——5.64.85.6—5.0——4.64.85.05.4Tie
Aximage 10–14 Jan 20234.8——5.24.86.2—5.6——5.45.25.46.00.2
Intercampus 6–11 Jan 20235.2——5.84.65.6—5.2——4.85.05.25.40.2
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 20225.4——4.53.03.9—4.5——3.6—3.83.70.9
Intercampus 12–14 Dec 20225.8——5.84.45.8—5.4——4.85.25.25.4Tie
Intercampus 15–20 Nov 20225.6——5.64.25.6—5.0—4.4—5.05.05.2Tie
Intercampus 17–22 Oct 20225.6——5.64.45.6—5.0—4.0—4.84.85.0Tie
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 20225.3——4.43.03.8—3.9—2.9——3.33.60.9
Intercampus 9–15 Sep 20226.0——5.84.45.6—5.0—4.0—5.05.05.20.2
Intercampus 3–10 Aug 20225.8——5.64.25.6—5.0—3.8—4.84.85.20.2
Intercampus 6–11 Jul 20226.0——5.64.25.8—5.2—3.8—5.05.25.40.2
Intercampus 8–14 Jun 20226.4——5.64.25.8—5.2—4.0—5.25.25.60.6
ICS/ISCTE 11 Feb–7 Mar 20226.0—4.0—2.33.6—4.0—3.7——3.32.52.0

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings

Graphical summary

Polling

Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Polling firm/LinkFieldwork dateSample size António Costa's cabinet
ApproveDisapproveNeitherNo opinionNet
Intercampus 6–10 Feb 202460816.560.322.01.238.3
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Jan 20248042669—543
Intercampus 16–20 Jan 202463719.057.321.81.935.5
Intercampus 18–21 Dec 202361121.349.625.23.924.4
ICS/ISCTE 18–27 Nov 20238032769—442
Intercampus 14–17 Nov 202360216.961.321.40.339.9
Aximage 18–24 Oct 2023805255617231
Intercampus 18–23 Oct 202360417.460.021.70.938.3
ICS/ISCTE 16–25 Sep 20238042866—638
Intercampus 9–14 Sep 202361421.252.424.61.827.8
Intercampus 7–11 Aug 202360720.550.827.80.923.0
CESOP–UCP 6–15 Jul 20231,00695238114
Aximage 6–11 Jul 2023800265416428
Intercampus 3–6 Jul 202362321.854.123.01.131.1
Intercampus 25–31 May 202361114.760.124.11.136.0
ICS/ISCTE 13–28 May 20231,2042571—446
Aximage 10–14 Apr 2023805236015237
Intercampus 6–12 Apr 202361020.456.622.01.034.6
ICS/ISCTE 11–20 Mar 20238072964—735
Intercampus 9–15 Mar 202361321.655.320.92.233.7
CESOP–UCP 9–17 Feb 20231,0027.052.238.91.913.3
Intercampus 3–10 Feb 202360217.854.625.71.828.9
Pitagórica 11–17 Jan 2023828125334119
Aximage 10–14 Jan 2023805205918339
Intercampus 6–11 Jan 202360519.154.424.61.829.8
Pitagórica 9–15 Dec 202282817414021
ICS/ISCTE 3–15 Dec 20228094152—611
Pitagórica 11–17 Nov 2022828193247215
Intercampus 17–22 Oct 202260729.442.726.51.413.3
Pitagórica 11–17 Oct 202282815424121
Aximage 21–24 Sep 2022810304817518
ICS/ISCTE 10–18 Sep 20228074249—97
Intercampus 9–15 Sep 202260629.540.827.22.511.3
Intercampus 3–10 Aug 202260529.936.031.72.44.3
Pitagórica 28 Jul–10 Aug 202282819423725
CESOP–UCP 11–15 Jul 2022885103750313
Intercampus 6–11 Jul 202260532.040.025.62.48.0
Aximage 5–10 Jul 202281035431758
Pitagórica 21 Jun–4 Jul 2022828183447113
Intercampus 8–14 Jun 202261136.433.229.31.13.2
Intercampus 7–15 May 202261140.127.231.11.69.0
Pitagórica 7–24 Apr 2022625282741413
Aximage 12–18 Apr 2022807452721718

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Tracking Poll
  2. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (6.9%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 29.3%; PS: 23.3%; CHEGA: 15.6%; IL: 7.8%; BE: 5.5%; Livre: 4.3%; PAN: 3.7%; CDU: 2.1%; Others/Invalid: 1.4%.
  3. ↑ National Democratic Alternative (ADN): 1%; Others/Invalid: 5%.
  4. ↑ National Democratic Alternative (ADN): 1%; Others/Invalid: 5%.
  5. ↑ National Democratic Alternative (ADN): 1%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
  6. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (18.8%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 21.4%; PS: 21.1%; CHEGA: 16.9%; IL: 6.8%; BE: 5.5%; Livre: 3.0%; PAN: 2.5%; CDU: 2.4%; Others/Invalid: 1.6%.
  7. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.4%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 24.3%; PS: 22.4%; CHEGA: 16.5%; IL: 6.6%; BE: 5.4%; PAN: 3.2%; CDU: 2.7%; Livre: 2.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.7%.
  8. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (14.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 26.4%; AD: 20.8%; CHEGA: 16.6%; BE: 7.4%; IL: 5.4%; CDU: 3.9%; PAN: 2.2%; Livre: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 1.5%.
  9. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (13.2%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.4%; PSD: 22.5%; CHEGA: 11.6%; BE: 8.8%; IL: 6.6%; PAN: 3.0%; Livre: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 2.0%.
  10. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (7.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.6%; PSD: 21.9%; CHEGA: 13.5%; BE: 9.5%; IL: 8.4%; PAN: 4.4%; CDU: 3.2%; Livre: 3.0%; CDS-PP: 1.9%; Others/Invalid: 3.3%.
  11. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 26%; PSD: 25%; CHEGA: 17%; BE: 8%; IL: 6%; CDU: 3%; PAN: 3%; Livre: 3%; CDS-PP: 1%; Others/Invalid: 2%.
  12. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (19.1%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 21.8%; PS: 17.9%; CHEGA: 13.0%; BE: 7.9%; IL: 7.0%; CDU: 3.2%; Livre: 2.7%; PAN: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 2.9%.
  13. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (7.7%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 25.7%; PS: 25.2%; CHEGA: 11.7%; IL: 8.3%; BE: 6.7%; CDU: 4.1%; PAN: 3.2%; CDS-PP: 1.6%; Livre: 1.4%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
  14. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (5.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.6%; PSD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 12.8%; BE: 6.7%; IL: 5.0%; CDU: 4.0%; PAN: 3.4%; Livre: 2.6%; CDS-PP: 2.4%; Others/Invalid: 5.5%.
  15. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (13.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.8%; PSD: 24.6%; CHEGA: 11.0%; IL: 8.0%; BE: 5.5%; CDU: 3.7%; Livre: 2.0%; PAN: 1.8%; CDS-PP: 0.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.0%.
  16. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.3%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.6%; PSD: 22.5%; CHEGA: 11.4%; IL: 7.0%; BE: 6.8%; CDU: 3.1%; PAN: 2.9%; Livre: 2.4%; CDS-PP: 0.9%; Others/Invalid: 4.1%.
  17. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (6.8%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.5%; PSD: 22.8%; CHEGA: 12.7%; IL: 9.1%; BE: 8.9%; PAN: 4.5%; CDU: 4.3%; Livre: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 4.1%.
  18. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (21%), would not vote (6%) and refused to answer (5%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 24%; PS: 22%; CHEGA: 6%; IL: 4%; BE: 4%; CDU: 2%; CDS-PP: 1%; Livre: 1%; PAN: <1%; Others/Invalid: 5%.
  19. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (8.4%). With their inclusion results are: PSD: 24.1%; PS: 22.4%; CHEGA: 11.8%; BE: 9.3%; IL: 8.1%; CDU: 3.8%; PAN: 3.6%; Livre: 2.2%; CDS-PP: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 4.1%.
  20. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 21.2%; PSD: 21.1%; CHEGA: 12.1%; BE: 7.9%; IL: 6.9%; CDU: 3.5%; PAN: 2.0%; Livre: 1.9%; CDS-PP: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 4.5%.
  21. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.4%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.2%; PSD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 13.2%; IL: 7.3%; BE: 7.0%; CDU: 4.3%; PAN: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.4%; Livre: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 3.7%.
  22. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (11.3%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 25.2%; PSD: 24.2%; CHEGA: 13.5%; IL: 7.0%; BE: 6.4%; CDU: 3.2%; Livre: 2.4%; PAN: 1.5%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 4.0%.
  23. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 23.4%; PSD: 22.8%; CHEGA: 11.6%; IL: 7.4%; BE: 4.8%; CDU: 3.9%; PAN: 2.4%; Livre: 1.3%; CDS-PP: 0.9%; Others/Invalid: 4.0%.
  24. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 26.3%; PSD: 24.9%; CHEGA: 9.0%; IL: 6.4%; BE: 6.3%; CDU: 3.1%; PAN: 3.1%; Livre: 2.0%; CDS-PP: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 2.8%.
  25. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.0%; PSD: 22.1%; CHEGA: 9.6%; IL: 7.5%; BE: 7.5%; CDU: 3.8%; PAN: 3.1%; CDS-PP: 1.9%; Livre: 1.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.0%.
  26. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 24.2%; PSD: 22.0%; CHEGA: 11.4%; IL: 6.7%; BE: 6.1%; CDU: 5.4%; Livre: 2.3%; PAN: 2.3%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 2.3%.
  27. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (14.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 28.3%; PSD: 24.8%; CHEGA: 9.2%; IL: 7.3%; BE: 6.1%; CDU: 2.6%; Livre: 2.2%; PAN: 1.8%; CDS-PP: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
  28. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (13.9%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 30.6%; PSD: 24.7%; CHEGA: 9.2%; IL: 5.2%; BE: 5.2%; CDU: 2.9%; PAN: 2.5%; Livre: 1.8%; CDS-PP: 1.3%; Others/Invalid: 2.9%.
  29. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (14.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 33.1%; PSD: 22.8%; CHEGA: 8.4%; IL: 7.1%; BE: 5.0%; CDU: 2.2%; Livre: 1.9%; PAN: 1.3%; CDS-PP: 0.7%; Others/Invalid: 3.4%.
  30. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (11.8%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 35.1%; PSD: 19.8%; IL: 8.5%; CHEGA: 8.3%; BE: 5.4%; CDU: 2.8%; PAN: 2.2%; CDS-PP: 2.0%; Livre: 1.9%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
  31. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (11.6%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 34.3%; PSD: 21.7%; CHEGA: 8.2%; IL: 6.9%; BE: 5.2%; CDU: 3.2%; PAN: 2.7%; CDS-PP: 2.7%; Livre: 1.2%; Others/Invalid: 2.3%.
  32. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.6%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 34.5%; PSD: 18.5%; CHEGA: 7.7%; IL: 6.8%; BE: 5.2%; CDU: 3.6%; PAN: 3.6%; CDS-PP: 2.9%; Livre: 1.8%; Others/Invalid: 2.9%.
  33. ↑ Results presented here exclude undecideds (15.1%). With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 29.4%; PS: 18.9%; CHEGA: 8.4%; IL: 7.7%; JPP: 5.4%; CDU: 3.1%; BE: 2.8%; ADN: 2.3%; Livre: 1.5%; PAN: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 3.8%.
  34. ↑ Question: Between Montenegro and Costa, which would be the best Prime Minister to face the economic crisis?
  35. ↑ Intercampus and Aximage polls rate party leaders from 1 to 5. CESOP–UCP poll rates party leaders from 0 to 20. The results are adapted to match the ICS/ISCTE polls.

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References

  1. ↑ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects Facebook page. Retrieved 8 July 2023.
  2. ↑ "Portugal, CESOP-UCP poll:". Europe Elects Facebook page. Retrieved 5 July 2023.
  3. ↑ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects . Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  4. ↑ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects . Retrieved 19 December 2022.
  5. ↑ "Portugal, Intercampus poll". Europe Elects . Retrieved 21 May 2022.
  6. ↑ "Resultados Globais". Ministry of Internal Administration (in Portuguese). Retrieved 31 January 2022.
  7. ↑ "PSD/Madeira vai "defender" região mesmo que tenha de ir contra o partido". Notícias ao Minuto (in Portuguese). 2024-01-22. Retrieved 2024-01-23.
  8. ↑ "PPM Madeira entregou lista de candidata às legislativas". Diário de Notícias da Madeira (in Portuguese). 2024-01-25. Retrieved 2024-01-27.
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