 | This article needs additional citations for verification .(May 2024) |
In the run up to the next Portuguese legislative election, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2024 Portuguese legislative election, held on 10 March, to the present day.
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, parties are shaded with their colour. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.
Polls that show their results without distributing those respondents who are undecided or said they would abstain from voting, are re-calculated by removing these numbers from the totals through a simple rule of three, in order to obtain results comparable to other polls and the official election results.
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | O | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercampus [a] | 21–27 Nov 2024 | 605 | ? | 28.8 | 30.0 | 16.2 | 8.3 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Aximage [b] | 15–22 Nov 2024 | 800 | 71.0 | 28.1 | 26.7 | 20.9 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Aximage | 13–19 Nov 2024 | 802 | 78.1 | 29.8 | 28.6 | 18.2 | 6.8 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| CESOP–UCP | 17–23 Oct 2024 | 1,025 | ? | 33 | 29 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Intercampus [c] | 4–10 Oct 2024 | 612 | ? | 28.2 | 29.5 | 14.1 | 7.5 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Aximage | 30 Sep–5 Oct 2024 | 802 | 68.0 | 32.1 | 28.6 | 15.1 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Intercampus [d] | 29 Aug–4 Sep 2024 | 604 | ? | 29.5 | 31.5 | 14.8 | 8.2 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| Intercampus [e] | 19–26 Jul 2024 | 609 | ? | 28.7 | 26.0 | 15.5 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| CESOP–UCP | 7–13 Jul 2024 | 957 | ? | 31 | 33 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Aximage | 3–8 Jul 2024 | 801 | 74.9 | 27.6 | 29.5 | 17.5 | 7.1 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
| 2024 EP elections [1] | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 36.6 | 31.1 (89) | 32.1 (87) | 9.8 (19) | 9.1 (20) | 4.3 (5) | 4.1 (5) | 3.8 (5) | 1.2 (0) | 4.5 (0) | 1.0 |
| Intercampus [f] | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 604 | ? | 29.5 | 27.1 | 16.1 | 9.3 | 7.1 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 2.4 |
| Intercampus [g] | 12–20 May 2024 | 609 | ? | 23.7 | 24.7 | 17.4 | 9.0 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 9.4 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| CESOP–UCP | 13–18 May 2024 | 965 | ? | 30 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Intercampus [h] | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | ? | 24.3 | 28.7 | 15.6 | 7.9 | 9.7 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 2024 legislative election [2] | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 59.9 | 28.8 80 | 28.0 78 | 18.1 50 | 4.9 8 | 4.4 5 | 3.2 4 | 3.2 4 | 2.0 1 | 7.5 0 | 0.8 |
Poll results showing public opinion on who would make the best prime minister or who is better positioned to win are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date |  |  | N | Both/ O | NO | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aximage | 13–19 Nov 2024 | 40 | 28 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| Aximage | 30 Sep–5 Oct 2024 | 45 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| Intercampus [i] | 29 Aug–4 Sep 2024 | 45.9 | 31.8 | — | — | 22.3 | 14.1 |
| Aximage | 3–8 Jul 2024 | 37 | 28 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| Aximage | 17–22 May 2024 | 40 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 12 |
Poll results showing the public opinion on all political party leaders rated from 0 to 10 [j] (with the former being strong disapproval and the latter strong approval) are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order (showing the most recent first).
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | |  | |  |  |  |  |  |  | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercampus | 21–27 Nov 2024 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 0.4 |
| CESOP–UCP | 17–23 Oct 2024 | 6.0 | — | 5.2 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Intercampus | 4–10 Oct 2024 | 6.2 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 0.4 |
| Intercampus | 29 Aug–4 Sep 2024 | 6.6 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 0.4 |
| Intercampus | 19–26 Jul 2024 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 0.6 |
| CESOP–UCP | 7–13 Jul 2024 | 5.7 | — | 4.8 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Intercampus | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 6.2 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 0.2 |
| Intercampus | 12–20 May 2024 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 0.4 |
| CESOP–UCP | 13–18 May 2024 | 5.7 | — | 4.9 | 3.5 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 4.0 | 0.8 |
| Intercampus | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 0.2 |
Poll results showing public opinion on the performance of the Government are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Luís Montenegro's cabinet | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | Disapprove | Neither | No opinion | Net | |||
| Intercampus | 21–27 Nov 2024 | 605 | 30.0 | 32.9 | 35.5 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Aximage | 13–19 Nov 2024 | 802 | 45 | 48 | — | 7 | 3 |
| CESOP–UCP | 17–23 Oct 2024 | 1,025 | 22 | 18 | 57 | 3 | 35 |
| Intercampus | 4–10 Oct 2024 | 612 | 29.2 | 35.6 | 33.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Aximage | 30 Sep–5 Oct 2024 | 802 | 60 | 34 | — | 6 | 26 |
| Intercampus | 29 Aug–4 Sep 2024 | 604 | 39.6 | 23.7 | 35.3 | 1.4 | 4.3 |
| Intercampus | 19–26 Jul 2024 | 609 | 33.9 | 26.3 | 36.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| CESOP–UCP | 3–7 Jul 2024 | 957 | 18 | 20 | 57 | 5 | 37 |
| Marktest | 5–7 Jun 2024 | 440 | 46.0 | 29.6 | 22.3 | 2.2 | 16.4 |
| Intercampus | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 604 | 31.5 | 31.6 | 35.3 | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| Intercampus | 12–20 May 2024 | 609 | 19.8 | 32.2 | 44.8 | 3.2 | 12.6 |
| CESOP–UCP | 13–18 May 2024 | 965 | 15 | 24 | 51 | 10 | 27 |
| Marktest | 7–15 May 2024 | 497 | 37.0 | 36.2 | 24.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Intercampus | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | 21.8 | 37.8 | 35.9 | 4.5 | 1.9 |
An election of MEPs representing Portugal for the 2004-2009 term of the European Parliament was held on 13 June 2004. It was part of the wider 2004 European election.
The 1991 Portuguese legislative election took place on 6 October. The election renewed all 230 members of the Assembly of the Republic. There was a reduction of 20 seats compared with previous elections, due to the 1989 Constitutional revision.
An election was held in Portugal on Sunday, 25 May 2014, to elect the Portuguese delegation to the European Parliament from 2014 to 2019. This was the seventh European Parliament election held in Portugal.
The 2019 Portuguese legislative election was held on 6 October 2019. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were contested.
The 2020 Azorean regional election was held on 25 October 2020, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of the Azores. All 57 members of the assembly were up for election.
In the run up to the 2016 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
An election was held in Portugal on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the Portuguese delegation to the European Parliament from 2019 to 2024. This was the eighth European Parliament election held in Portugal.
Snap regional elections were held in Madeira on 26 May 2024, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election replaced all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.
An election was held in Portugal on Sunday, 9 June 2024, to elect the Portuguese delegation to the European Parliament from 2024 to 2029. It took place as part of the wider 2024 European Parliament election. This was the ninth European Parliament election held in Portugal. This election took place just three months after the 10 March 2024 legislative election, which resulted in a very narrow win for the Democratic Alliance, thus was seen as a "second round" of the March elections.
Early legislative elections were held on 30 January 2022 in Portugal to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 15th Legislature of the Third Portuguese Republic. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were up for election.
In the run up to the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Portuguese legislative election, held on 6 October, to the day the next election was held on 30 January.
The 2024 Azorean regional election was held on 4 February 2024, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of the Azores. The election replaced all 57 members of the Azores Assembly, and the new members would then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.
Local elections in Portugal were held on 26 September 2021. The election consisted of three separate elections in the 308 Portuguese municipalities: the election for the Municipal Chamber, whose winner is automatically elected mayor, similar to first-past-the-post (FPTP); another election for the Municipal Assembly ; and an election for the Parish Assembly, whose winner is elected parish president. This last one was held separately in the more than 3,000 parishes around the country. In the 2021 election, 12.3 percent of incumbent mayors, 38 to be precise, were barred from running for another term: 23 from the PS, 11 from the PSD, 3 from CDU and one from the CDS–PP.
Regional elections were held in Madeira on 24 September 2023, to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election replaced all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.
In the run up to the 2021 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
In the run up to the 2006 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
Snap legislative elections were held on 10 March 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 16th Legislature of Portugal. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic were up for election. The elections were called in November 2023 after Prime Minister António Costa's resignation following an investigation around alleged corruption involving the award of contracts for lithium and hydrogen businesses.
In the run up to the 2024 Portuguese legislative election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, held on 30 January, to the day the next election was held on 10 March.
In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, somewhere between September and October 2025.
The next Madeiran regional election will be held on or before October 2028, the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira. The election will replace all 47 members of the Madeira Assembly, and the new members will then elect the President of the Autonomous Region.
