Opinion polling for the next Estonian parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run-up to the next Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this Wikipedia page.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election held on 5 March. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Poll trackers

Trackers of voting intentions and other election-related polling:

Graphical summary

Local regression chart of poll results Opinion polls Estonia 2023-2027.svg
Local regression chart of poll results

Polling results

There are 101 seats in the Riigikogu in total. Parties are denoted with an em dash if no indication is given of their level in polls.

2024

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Ref EKRE Kesk E200 SDE Isamaa EÜVP Koos Parem EER ERK OthersLeadGov.Opp.
2 Dec–8 Dec Norstat 1,00021.013.413.82.912.528.30.55.61.60.10.37.336.463.6
25 Nov–2 Dec Norstat 1,00021.313.812.33.314.327.01.23.91.11.30.55.738.961.1
21–30 Nov Turu-uuringute AS 8871914134132202711233662
18–24 Nov Norstat 1,00021.312.113.54.515.124.61.04.41.12.30.13.340.959.1
14–21 Nov Kantar Emor 1,51617.413.714.84.313.924.12.36.41.41.66.735.664.3
11–17 Nov Norstat 1,00018.012.313.43.815.227.50.65.31.22.20.59.537.063.0
4–10 Nov Norstat 1,00017.613.517.24.812.626.91.32.92.10.30.89.335.065.0
28 Oct–3 Nov Norstat 1,00017.112.611.73.612.832.71.05.51.61.00.515.633.566.5
24–30 Oct Turu-uuringute AS 8941810146162502611174060
21–28 Oct Norstat 1,00016.412.314.33.712.830.91.15.11.21.30.914.532.967.1
14–21 Oct Norstat 1,00020.112.013.03.815.727.50.94.31.70.90.17.439.660.4
10–16 Oct Kantar Emor 1,50517.013.314.42.814.924.41.96.41.92.37.434.764.6
7–14 Oct Norstat 1,00018.212.411.14.713.731.40.54.61.61.20.613.236.663.4
1–10 Oct Turu-uuringute AS 886181194162703612393862
30 Sep–6 Oct Norstat 1,00018.113.214.94.013.527.20.76.01.30.80.39.135.664.4
23–29 Sep Norstat 1,00021.613.612.43.813.327.40.84.01.11.80.25.838.761.3
16–23 Sep Norstat 1,00016.711.713.94.214.330.31.14.21.12.00.513.635.264.8
12–18 Sep Kantar Emor 1,55318.19.513.93.916.024.53.25.31.33.66.438.061.3
9–14 Sep Norstat 1,00018.112.113.85.012.528.31.93.91.81.90.710.235.664.4
29 Aug–12 Sep Turu-uuringute AS 8851812136162301613254060
2–8 Sep Norstat 1,00020.214.612.74.111.129.00.75.10.81.70.18.835.464.6
26 Aug–1 Sep Norstat 1,00019.911.011.04.316.428.31.33.91.32.20.18.440.659.4
19–25 Aug Norstat 1,00019.911.511.42.918.327.31.14.50.81.90.17.441.158.9
15–21 Aug Kantar Emor 1,52817.59.913.63.818.023.01.97.11.53.60.0 [a] 5.539.360.7
12–19 Aug Norstat 1,00017.416.012.72.916.227.40.82.71.22.73.510.036.563.5
5–11 Aug Norstat 1,00020.111.612.13.317.927.16.20.61.17.041.358.7
1–9 Aug Turu-uuringute AS 8931611123172503623383664
23 Jul–4 Aug Norstat 1,00016.613.011.33.218.229.75.30.91.811.53862
22–29 Jul Norstat 1,00015.215.013.02.717.829.44.50.91.511.635.764.3
15–22 Jul Norstat 1,00015.612.613.62.617.030.24.51.62.313.235.264.8
11–17 Jul Kantar Emor 1,51216.012.613.82.617.127.50.42.95.40.60.0 [b] 10.435.764.3
8–12 Jul Norstat 1,00019.411.212.53.816.430.33.80.52.310.939.660.4
1–5 Jul Norstat 1,00015.211.012.23.315.433.75.81.91.518.333.966.1
17–24 Jun Norstat 1,00016.413.013.63.716.130.04.71.21.313.636.263.8
10–17 Jun Kantar Emor 1,55716.012.814.12.617.527.10.48.41.29.636.164.0
10–17 Jun Norstat 1,00015.611.812.52.417.830.56.11.32.012.735.864.2
1–11 Jun Turu-uuringute AS 889201511417230251234159
3–10 Jun Norstat 1,00017.816.310.02.914.129.66.90.81.611.834.865.2
9 Jun EP election 17.914.912.42.619.321.53.16.80.60.82.239.860.1
27 May–1 Jun Norstat 1,00019.313.610.05.614.229.05.90.71.79.739.160.9
20–27 May Norstat 1,00019.417.613.35.316.223.52.80.61.34.140.959.1
9–21 May Turu-uuringute AS 89717168619220252334258
13–20 May Norstat 1,00019.412.712.37.512.127.74.92.11.38.339.061.0
6–15 May Kantar Emor 1,47117.517.012.74.918.021.51.05.42.03.540.459.6
6–13 May Norstat 1,00018.015.712.36.114.129.12.31.70.711.138.261.8
29 Apr–6 May Norstat 1,00017.817.511.94.215.927.62.81.80.49.837.962.0
22–29 Apr Norstat 1,00019.719.88.34.614.426.53.92.20.66.738.761.3
15–22 Apr Norstat 1,00020.517.910.74.212.627.14.22.20.66.637.362.7
9–17 Apr Kantar Emor N/A18.818.313.84.814.222.11.24.62.23.337.862.2
8–15 Apr Norstat 1,00015.216.710.87.816.428.72.31.11.012.039.460.6
4–11 Apr Turu-uuringute AS 871191510513270142383762
1–8 Apr Norstat 1,00018.620.28.94.914.326.93.81.31.16.737.862.2
25–29 Mar Norstat 1,00017.317.412.84.514.327.93.51.01.310.536.163.9
18–25 Mar Norstat 1,00018.019.211.24.515.228.51.81.00.69.337.762.3
14–20 Mar Kantar Emor 1,56715.016.113.93.617.626.70.64.51.99.136.263.7
11–18 Mar Norstat 1,00017.819.710.06.713.726.82.02.11.27.138.161.9
7–18 Mar Turu-uuringute AS 909171910615250131163860
4–8 Mar Norstat 1,00016.216.310.56.615.230.92.12.10.114.638.062.0
26 Feb–4 Mar Norstat 1,00014.919.812.85.813.029.32.01.41.09.533.766.3
19–23 Feb Norstat 1,00019.720.110.25.111.629.22.11.60.49.136.463.6
12–19 Feb Norstat 1,00016.218.013.75.813.328.72.51.30.510.735.364.7
8–19 Feb Turu-uuringute AS 88918178716240232264160
7–14 Feb Kantar Emor 1,57916.715.211.85.317.227.00.73.22.99.839.260.8
5–9 Feb Norstat 1,00020.016.48.13.017.131.32.80.80.511.340.159.9
28 Jan–2 Feb Norstat 1,00017.218.99.74.516.129.11.71.71.110.237.862.2
22–26 Jan Norstat 1,00013.521.512.56.517.125.31.51.11.03.837.162.9
18–25 Jan Turu-uuringute AS 872161612518250231273961
17–24 Jan Kantar Emor 1,49818.717.414.03.917.222.10.63.72.43.439.860.2
15–22 Jan Norstat 1,00018.817.911.06.817.523.52.31.50.74.743.156.9
8–12 Jan Norstat 1,00017.515.312.35.316.127.32.82.80.69.838.961.1
2-8 Jan Norstat 1,00019.517.615.15.711.726.22.21.60.46.736.963.1
5 March 2023 election N/A31.216.115.313.39.38.22.42.31.03.315.153.846.2
37171614980000196041


2023

There are 101 seats in the Riigikogu in total. Parties are denoted with an em dash if no indication is given of their level in polls.

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Ref EKRE Kesk E200 SDE Isamaa EÜVP Koos Parem EER OthersLeadGov.Opp.
18–22 Dec Norstat 1,00016.319.614.96.610.527.12.81.40.87.533.466.6
11–18 Dec Norstat 1,00016.420.414.25.810.726.72.81.61.46.332.967.1
6–13 Dec Kantar Emor 1,49715.219.815.26.111.824.90.44.12.75.133.167.1
4–8 Dec Norstat 1,00016.822.516.25.510.425.41.60.90.72.932.767.3
30 Nov–6 Dec Turu-uuringute AS 871181612613260241383762
27 Nov–1 Dec Norstat 1,00017.019.915.76.510.926.51.51.40.66.634.465.6
20–24 Nov Norstat 1,00018.220.814.06.910.625.81.51.70.55.035.764.3
16–22 Nov Kantar Emor 1,49416.120.613.46.312.924.80.43.32.14.235.364.6
13–17 Nov Norstat 1,00016.319.314.45.59.430.61.81.51.211.331.268.8
6–10 Nov Norstat 1,00017.324.010.16.111.626.72.31.10.82.735.065.0
30 Oct–6 Nov Norstat 1,00016.724.114.35.09.225.62.51.51.11.530.969.1
26 Oct–6 Nov Turu-uuringute AS 89918.020.510.95.110.025.90.51.93.71.12.35.033.166.8
23–27 Oct Norstat 1,00020.322.114.76.111.021.62.71.00.50.537.462.6
16–20 Oct Norstat 1,00018.324.613.16.610.122.62.91.10.72.035.065.0
13–18 Oct Kantar Emor 1,48619.717.414.37.214.818.51.24.12.81.241.758.3
10–13 Oct Norstat 1,00020.422.315.96.29.620.12.81.80.91.936.263.8
3–9 Oct Norstat 1,00020.424.015.16.210.917.03.41.81.23.637.562.5
28 Sep–6 Oct Turu-uuringute AS 879231914810161242144159
26 Sep–2 Oct Norstat 1,00023.221.814.46.810.218.03.21.70.71.440.259.8
18–25 Sep Norstat 1,00023.224.815.06.29.716.92.41.00.81.639.160.9
14–20 Sep Kantar Emor 1,49124.220.616.47.311.912.80.54.12.23.643.456.6
11–18 Sep Norstat 1,00025.121.215.56.110.715.22.72.31.13.941.958.0
4–11 Sep Norstat 1,00025.824.116.66.610.113.11.11.51.11.742.557.5
31 Aug–10 Sep Turu-uuringute AS 89123201861014142133960
29 Aug–4 Sep Norstat 1,00025.225.216.86.28.613.31.42.80.5Tie40.060.0
21–28 Aug Norstat 1,00027.222.516.67.610.511.22.71.00.84.745.354.8
14–21 Aug Norstat 1,00024.123.519.08.910.69.52.21.20.90.643.656.3
10–16 Aug Kantar Emor 1,49425.317.617.07.413.810.61.54.12.77.746.553.5
7–14 Aug Norstat 1,00024.925.217.98.29.29.92.51.31.00.344.056.0
3–13 Aug Turu-uuringute AS 8772324168139131214456
31 Jul–7 Aug Norstat 1,00023.823.818.18.511.110.02.51.21.0Tie43.455.6
24–31 Jul Norstat 1,00025.120.219.19.012.09.41.52.71.14.946.153.9
18–23 Jul Norstat 1,00029.521.217.58.09.59.82.21.50.78.347.052.9
10–20 Jul Kantar Emor 1,48626.320.216.29.811.58.51.43.52.66.147.652.4
11–17 Jul Norstat 1,00028.322.618.46.98.910.12.61.11.05.744.155.9
4–10 Jul Norstat 1,00025.723.817.77.39.810.12.11.42.11.942.857.2
26–30 Jun Norstat 1,00029.324.216.15.99.210.01.81.91.75.144.455.6
12–20 Jun Norstat 1,00028.620.415.89.38.612.02.32.11.08.246.553.6
8–14 Jun Kantar Emor 1,47624.921.216.89.411.99.10.63.92.43.746.254.0
7–13 Jun Turu-uuringute AS 87126201710109132264654
6–12 Jun Norstat 1,00024.025.415.48.311.710.03.10.91.11.444.056.0
29 May–6 Jun Norstat 1,00027.721.815.19.79.210.32.72.11.35.946.653.3
23–29 May Norstat 1,00025.026.318.18.39.38.11.81.41.81.342.657.4
15–22 May Norstat 1,00025.124.517.010.69.78.12.32.30.60.646.453.6
10–17 May Kantar Emor 1,50122.722.517.612.610.48.01.22.72.40.245.754.4
8–15 May Norstat 1,00023.327.020.18.87.97.82.01.71.43.740.060.0
4–15 May Turu-uuringute AS 87923201614108133234753
2–6 May Norstat 1,00024.024.018.613.57.76.92.11.12.0Tie45.254.7
25 Apr–1 May Norstat 1,00024.622.015.715.19.26.53.22.01.62.648.951.1
18–24 Apr Norstat 1,00024.422.114.715.87.89.03.21.71.42.348.052.0
10–19 Apr Kantar Emor 1,49523.216.516.516.512.16.61.04.23.26.751.848.2
17 Apr Kaja Kallas' third cabinet is formed by Reform, E200 and SDE [1]
10–17 Apr Norstat 1,00021.624.617.214.29.37.32.12.01.63.045.154.9
3-11 Apr Turu-uuringute AS 1,17424191317108141155149
3–10 Apr Norstat 1,00023.818.219.316.110.18.32.60.80.94.550.050.1
27 Mar–3 Apr Norstat 1,00026.818.318.014.78.48.02.21.22.38.549.950.1
20–27 Mar Norstat 1,00024.818.617.316.010.27.71.81.71.96.251.049.0
14–20 Mar Norstat 1,00029.317.114.215.511.97.51.91.01.712.256.743.3
9–17 Mar Kantar Emor 1,58629.315.715.416.311.65.91.52.91.612.757.242.8
7–13 Mar Norstat 1,00030.213.514.917.59.28.63.01.31.713.056.943.1
5 March 2023 election N/A31.216.115.313.39.38.22.42.31.03.315.153.846.2
37171614980000196041

Notes

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References

  1. ERR (2023-04-17). "Reformierakonna, Eesti 200 ja Sotsiaaldemokraatide valitsus astus ametisse". ERR (in Estonian). Retrieved 2023-04-17.