Opinion polling for the 2026 Peruvian general election

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In the Peruvian electoral system, for a candidate to be proclaimed the winner, they must obtain more than 50% of valid votes. In case no candidate achieves that percentage in the first electoral round, the two candidates with the most votes participate in a second round or ballot.

Contents

In the run-up to the next Peruvian general election, various organizations conduct opinion polls to measure the intention to vote in Peru in the previous period. The results of these surveys are shown in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the runoff of the previous general election, held on 6 June 2021, to the present.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical election of the President of the Republic. Intent polls and mock ballots are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates the poll was conducted in the field rather than the date of publication. When fieldwork dates are unknown, the publication date is given instead.

Peruvian electoral law prohibits the dissemination of polls in the week prior to the day of the electoral suffrage.

Presidential election

2025

Polling firmDateSample size Keiko Fujimori 2.jpg Rafael Lopez Aliaga 2024.jpg Carlos Alvarez en Entrometidas, La Mula.png Vladimir Cerron (cropped).JPG Barnechea.jpg Alfonso Lopez-Chau.jpg Cesar Acuna Peralta.jpg OtherBlank / NoneUndecided
Fujimori López Aliaga Álvarez Butters Cerrón Barnechea López Chau Acuña Belaúnde
FP RP PPT AvP PL AP AN APP LP
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [1] 6–7 Aug 20251,2078106–2–232163813
Ipsos Perú/América TV [2] 21–22 Jul 20251,20598622–22–253212
CPI/RPP [3] 18–24 Jul 20251,2009.78.97.01.82.8–3.21.91.17.2 [a] 17.239.3
CIT/Expreso [4] 10–12 Jul 20251,2007.914.210.94.2–1.32.36.82.413.511.924.6
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [5] 3–4 Jul 20251,204976212222173713
CPI/RPP [6] 15–23 May 20251,20010.38.46.91.6––3.31.8–33.7 [b] 20.014.2
CIT/Expreso [7] 6–9 May 20251,2209.39.315.81.6–––6.8–14.828.314.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [8] 13–14 Apr 20251,2061166222232223210
CIT/Expreso [9] 27–31 Mar 20251,200138.36–––121233014
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [10] 9–10 Jan 20251,21412442–222226 [c] 3014

2024

Polling firmDateSample size Image-camera n.jpg Carlos Alvarez en Entrometidas, La Mula.png Francisco Sagasti Hochhausler.jpg Hernando de Soto (cropped).jpg Rafael Lopez Aliaga 2024.jpg Veronika Fanny Mendoza Frisch.jpg Alfonso Lopez-Chau.jpg Juramentacion de nuevo Gabinete Ministerial 3-45 screenshot - Anibal Torres (cropped).png Cesar Acuna Peralta.jpg OtherBlank / NoneUndecided
Fujimori Humala Álvarez Sagasti de Soto López Aliaga Mendoza López Chau Butters Torres Acuña
FP ANTAURO [d] PPT PM Prog. RP NP AN AvP APU APP
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [11] 10–11 Oct 20241,21812844332221–12 [e] 3017
CPI/RPP [12] 15–19 Jul 20241,3702.21.01.3–2.51.8–1.6–––23.6 [f] 11.953.9
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [13] 17–18 Jul 20241,21810623423222217 [g] 2124
Ipsos Perú/50+Uno [14] 25 May–2 Jun 20241,20017.54.02.9––8.14.00.5–2.93.721.6 [h] 13.321.5
IEP/La República [15] 16–21 Mar 20241,2074.42.1––2.31.0–1.7––0.717.0 [i] 26.844.0
Sensor [16] 19–23 Feb 20241,2006.33.7––1.32.92.5–––1.720.2 [j] –61.5

2023

Polling firmDateSample size Martin Vizcarra en 2018.jpg Image-camera n.jpg Hernando de Soto (cropped).jpg Rafael Lopez Aliaga 2024.jpg Veronika Fanny Mendoza Frisch.jpg Alfonso Lopez-Chau.jpg Cesar Acuna Peralta.jpg Francisco Sagasti Hochhausler.jpg Juramentacion de nuevo Gabinete Ministerial 3-45 screenshot - Anibal Torres (cropped).png OtherBlank / NoneUndecided
Fujimori Vizcarra Humala de Soto López Aliaga Mendoza López Chau Acuña Sagasti Torres
FP P1 ANTAURO Prog. RP NP AN APP PM APU
IEP/La República [17] 8–13 Dec 20231,2104.13.01.01.81.20.6––––13.4 [k] 27.647.5
CPI [18] 13–18 Nov 20231,2002.72.41.42.63.20.80.20.40.9–10.8 [l] 15.559.1
CPI/RPP [19] 11–15 Jul 20231,2004.8–5.64.69.82.4––2.7–8.520.641.0
CIT/Expreso [20] 29–31 May 20231,2009.6–7.38.212.83.2––4.3–9.9–45.0
CPI/RPP [21] 23–28 Apr 20231,2006.3–5.85.69.12.6––2.22.711.718.335.7
CIT/Expreso [22] 20–22 Apr 20231,2009.6–7.58.613.51.4––––22.219.218.0
CPI/RPP [23] 7–10 Mar 20231,2003.12.33.75.18.22.0––2.11.010.1 [m] 16.946.5
IEP/La República [24] 18–22 Feb 20231,2012.42.01.34.22.81.14.5–0.22.19.3 [n] 21.749.4
CIT/Expreso [25] 16–18 Feb 20231,200––9.39.411.82.0––––22.224.021.2
CPI/RPP [26] 24–27 Jan 20231,2003.22.41.65.28.61.1––0.71.411.213.850.9
IEP/La República [27] 21–25 Jan 20231,2142.11.51.13.63.31.70.8–0.80.98.317.358.8
CIT/Expreso [28] 18–20 Jan 20231,200––9.89.312.22.0––––21.022.023.8

2022

Polling firmDateSample size Rafael Lopez Aliaga 2024.jpg Image-camera n.jpg Hernando de Soto (cropped).jpg Martin Vizcarra en 2018.jpg Veronika Fanny Mendoza Frisch.jpg Francisco Sagasti Hochhausler.jpg Yonhy Lescano 2012 (cropped).jpg Ex ministro de defensa en Forum.jpg Cesar Acuna Peralta.jpg OtherBlank / NoneUndecided
López Aliaga Humala de Soto Fujimori Vizcarra Mendoza Sagasti Lescano Chiabra Acuña
RP ANTAURO Prog. FP P1 NP PM AP UyP APP
CPI [29] 16–20 Nov 20221,2009.79.07.27.03.61.91.11.10.70.59.128.620.8
CPI [30] 6–9 Sep 20221,2005.95.36.23.93.41.63.32.32.4–11.914.943.2
CPI [31] 3–10 Aug 20221,2004.21.54.83.62.21.91.61.81.3–12.48.558.7
CPI [32] 28 Jun–2 Jul 20221,1287.21.05.04.82.02.31.11.81.0–9.513.054.1

Parliamentary election

By political party

Polling firmDateSample size Logo of the Popular Force (2024).svg Accion Popular.svg Peru Libre logo.svg Logo Renovacion Popular 2023.png Alianza para el Progreso Peru.svg Avanza Pais.png Logo Partido Democratico Somos Peru.svg Logo of the Agricultural People's Front of Peru.png APRA Peru logo.svg Nuevo Peru x Buen Vivir.png Juntos Por El Peru.svg Logo Podemos Peru.png Partido Morado logo.svg Lead
Ipsos Perú/América TV [33] 21–22 Jul 20251,2057.05.04.04.04.03.02.0–2.02.0––––2.0
CIT/Expreso [34] 10–12 Jul 20251,2008.23.82.39.83.75.43.5–3.2–3.8–1.0–1.6
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [35] 13–14 Apr 20251,2069.06.04.02.02.02.02.02.01.0–––––3.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [36] 9–10 Jan 20251,2149.06.02.0–3.03.03.03.02.0–––––3.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [37] 10–11 Oct 20241,2119.05.02.0–2.0–3.0–2.0–––––4.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [38] 17–18 Jul 20241,2188.04.02.01.01.02.03.01.01.0––2.01.01.02.0
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [39] 9–10 Nov 20231,2058.05.05.03.04.04.04.03.02.0––2.0–2.03.0
Datum [40] 30 Jun – 4 Jul 20238967.06.05.01.03.03.05.02.02.0––2.01.02.01.0
CIT/Expreso [41] [o] 20–22 Mar 20231,20012.55.03.513.99.111.213.11.47.9––5.2–1.60.8
CIT/Expreso [42] [o] 16–18 Feb 20231,20013.36.92.914.110.813.015.71.33.3––4.4–2.71.6
Ipsos Perú/América TV [43] 9–10 Feb 20231,2108.04.05.03.04.04.0–2.02.0––2.0–1.04.0
CIT/Expreso [44] [o] 18–20 Jan 20231,20014.6–2.716.912.414.917.91.5–––4.9–3.01.0
2021 general 11 Apr 2021–11.3
24		9.0
16		13.4
37		9.3
13		7.5
15		7.5
7		6.1
5		4.6
0		–––6.6
5		5.8
5		5.4
3		2.1

Presidential primaries

Peruvian Aprista Party

Polling firmDateSample size EnriqueValderramaPAP.jpg Jorge del Castillo.jpg Carla Garcia 2025.jpg Hernan Garrido Lecca.jpg OtherBlank / NoneUndecided
Valderrama Del Castillo García Garrido Lecca
Idp SAC/Diario de Lima [45] 22–24 Aug 2025200373415105??
CIT/Expreso [46] 18–20 Aug 20251,20022615–103512
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [47] 6–7 Aug 20251,207–1717157404
Polling firmDateSample size Barnechea.jpg Victor Andres Garcia Belaunde.jpg Julio Chavez Accion Popular.jpg OtherBlank / NoneUndecided
Barnechea García Belaúnde Chávez
CIT/Expreso [48] 18–20 Aug 20251,200422161489
Ipsos Perú/Perú21 [49] 6–7 Aug 20251,207153445357

Notes

  1. ↑ Including Jorge del Castillo at 1.0% and Roberto Chiabra at 1.0%
  2. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 15.1%, Hernando de Soto at 5.2%, Verónika Mendoza at 3.0%, Antauro Humala at 2.3%, Fernando Olivera at 0.8%, Jorge del Castillo at 0.8%, Roberto Chiabra at 0.6%, Julio Chávez Chiong at 0.6%, Susel Paredes at 0.5%, and Jonás Ataucusi at 0.5%
  3. ↑ Including Carla García at 2%
  4. ↑ Party disqualified on 31 October 2024
  5. ↑ Including Rafael Belaúnde at 2%
  6. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 4.1%, Alberto Fujimori at 2.5%, Pedro Castillo at 1.9%, Carlos Bruce at 1.7%, Álvaro Paz de la Barra at 1.6%, Carlos Añaños at 1.5%, Salvador del Solar at 1.3%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.1%, and Arturo Fernández Bazán at 1.0%
  7. ↑ Including José Luna at 2%, Rafael Belaúnde at 2%, Guido Bellido at 2%, and Yonhy Lescano at 2%
  8. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 12.3%, Yonhy Lescano at 5.9%, Carlos Añaños at 1.3%, Alberto Otárola at 1.0%, Carlos Neuhaus at 0.8%, and Vladimir Cerrón at 0.3
  9. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 3.3%, Pedro Castillo at 3.3%, Arturo Fernández at 0.8%, Salvador del Solar at 0.7%, Alberto Fujimori at 0.7%, Ulises Villegas at 0.7%, Yonhy Lescano at 0.6%, Ulises Villegas at 0.4% and Fiorella Molinelli at 0.2%
  10. ↑ Including Yonhy Lescano at 3.2%, Daniel Urresti at 1.3%, Fernando Cillóniz at 1.2%, Julio Guzmán at 0.8%, Susel Paredes at 0.6%, Ulises Villegas at 0.4% and Fiorella Molinelli at 0.2%
  11. ↑ Including Pedro Castillo at 4.3%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.1%, Salvador del Solar at 0.7%, Alberto Fujimori at 0.4% and Roberto Chiabra at 0.4%
  12. ↑ Including Pedro Castillo at 1.9%, Yonhy Lescano at 0.8%, Carlos Añaños at 0.3% and Carlos Álvarez at 0.1%
  13. ↑ Including Pedro Castillo at 2.2% and Álvaro Paz de la Barra at 1.6%
  14. ↑ Including Pedro Castillo at 2.1%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.2%, Daniel Urresti at 0.8%, Salvador del Solar at 0.5%, Cecilia García at 0.4%, Ricardo Belmont at 0.4%, César Acuña at 0.3%, George Forsyth at 0.1% and Ollanta Humala at 0.1%
  15. 1 2 3 Undecided and/or abstainers excluded

References

  1. ↑ "PIENSO, LUEGO VOTO. Ipsos: López Aliaga supera a Keiko y sube al primer lugar". Ipsos Perú. 17 August 2025. Retrieved 17 August 2025.
  2. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Ipsos - América Televisión" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 28 July 2025.
  3. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Julio 2025" (PDF). CPI. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 27 July 2025.
  4. ↑ "DINA BOLUARTE REGISTRA 1.3% DE APROBACIÓN, SEGÚN ENCUESTA DE CIT PERÚ". Panamericana Televisión. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  5. ↑ "Pienso, Luego Voto. Ipsos: Al 50% de los electores no le convence ningún candidato". Perú21. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  6. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Mayo 2025" (PDF). CPI. 25 May 2025. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  7. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural Elecciones Presidenciales – Mayo 2025". CIT Perú. 11 May 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  8. ↑ "Encuesta Ipsos: ¿Quiénes lideran las preferencias electorales para el 2026?". Perú21. 20 April 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  9. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural Elecciones Presidenciales – Marzo 2025". CIT Perú. 1 April 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  10. ↑ "Encuesta Perú 21 -Ipsos: ¿Cómo votarían los peruanos si las elecciones fueran mañana?" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. 27 January 2025. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  11. ↑ "Encuesta Ipsos-Perú21: Cuatro posibles candidatos lideran las preferencias para el 2026". Ipsos. 28 October 2024. Archived from the original on 2024-11-16. Retrieved 2025-05-16.
  12. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Julio 2024" (PDF). CPI. Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  13. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). Ipsos. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  14. ↑ "Encuesta privada de Ipsos para la consultora 50+1". X. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  15. ↑ "IEP Informe de opinión de marzo 2024 - (informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  16. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión pública Febrero 2023" (PDF). sensor.pe. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  17. ↑ "IEP Informe de Opinión – Diciembre 2023 (Informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  18. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional Perú Urbano Rural Campo: 13 al 18 de noviembre de 2023" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  19. ↑ "Peru, CPI Poll: Presidential election (open question)" (PDF).
  20. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental de Junio". citopinion.pe. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 26 August 2023.
  21. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 23 al 28 de abril de 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 7 May 2023.
  22. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental". citopinion.pe. 28 April 2023. Retrieved 17 May 2023.
  23. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 07 al 10 de marzo de 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 14 March 2023.
  24. ↑ "IEP Informe de Opinión – Febrero 2023 (Informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. 26 February 2023.
  25. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental – CIT Opinion" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  26. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 24 al 27 de enero 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 30 January 2023.
  27. ↑ Pereda, David (29 January 2023). "Un 73% del país: Que elecciones generales sean este mismo año". La Republica (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 January 2023.
  28. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental – CIT Opinion" (PDF) (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 July 2025.
  29. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 16 al 20 de Noviembre de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 24 November 2022.
  30. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 05 al 08 de septiembre de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 8 September 2022.
  31. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 3 al 10 de agosto de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 12 August 2022.
  32. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 28 de junio al 2 de julio 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 6 July 2022.
  33. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Ipsos - América Televisión" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. 20 July 2025. Retrieved 28 July 2025.
  34. ↑ "Encuesta CIT sobre Intención de Voto 2026". CIT. Retrieved 28 July 2025.
  35. ↑ "Encuesta Ipsos: ¿Quiénes lideran las preferencias electorales para el 2026?". Perú21. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  36. ↑ "Tendencias Electorales a 15 Meses" (PDF). Ipsos Perú. Retrieved 20 July 2025.
  37. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). Ipsos. Retrieved 19 November 2024.
  38. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). Ipsos. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  39. ↑ "Estudio De Opinión Informe De Resultados Noviembre, 2023" (PDF). Ipsos (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  40. ↑ citopinion (July 2023). "Estudio de Opinión Pública - Popularidad + Coyuntura - Julio 2023" (PDF). Datum (in Spanish). Archived from the original (PDF) on 9 July 2023. Retrieved 26 August 2023.
  41. ↑ citopinion (2023-03-28). "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". CIT Opinión (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-05-13.
  42. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". citopinion.pe. 24 February 2023.
  43. ↑ "Informe de Resultados. Estudio de opinión para América Televisión. Perú, 10 de febrero de 2023" (PDF). Ipsos (in Spanish). 28 February 2023.
  44. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". citopinion.pe. 26 January 2023.
  45. ↑ "La interna del APRA". El Diario de Lima. 24 August 2025. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  46. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural - Agosto 2025". Ipsos Perú. 21 August 2025. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  47. ↑ "Ningún candidato lidera las internas del APRA: Jorge del Castillo y Carla García apenas cuentan con 17% de respaldo". Infobae. 16 Aug 2025. Retrieved 25 Aug 2025.
  48. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural - Agosto 2025". Ipsos Perú. 21 August 2025. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  49. ↑ "ENCUESTA IPSOS-PERÚ21: Estos son los preferidos del APRA, AP y Venceremos para la Presidencia". Perú21. 16 Aug 2025. Retrieved 28 Aug 2025.
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