Opinion polling for the 2026 Peruvian general election

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In the Peruvian electoral system, for a candidate to be proclaimed the winner, they must obtain more than 50% of valid votes. In case no candidate achieves that percentage in the first electoral round, the two candidates with the most votes participate in a second round or ballot.

Contents

In the run-up to the next Peruvian general election, various organizations conduct opinion polls to measure the intention to vote in Peru in the previous period. The results of these surveys are shown in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the runoff of the previous general election, held on 6 June 2021, to the present.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical election of the President of the Republic. Intent polls and mock ballots are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates the poll was conducted in the field rather than the date of publication. When fieldwork dates are unknown, the publication date is given instead.

Peruvian electoral law prohibits the dissemination of polls in the week prior to the day of the electoral suffrage.

Presidential

Graphical summary

* Ineligible for presidency

Voting preferences

Polling firmDateSample
size		 Keiko Fujimori 2 (cropped).jpg Marcial Ayaipoma en 2011.jpg Hernando de Soto (cropped).jpg Rafael Lopez Aliaga (cropped).png Veronika Fanny Mendoza Frisch.jpg Cesar Acuna Peralta.jpg Carlos Alvarez en Entrometidas, La Mula.png Francisco Sagasti Hochhausler.jpg Juramentacion de nuevo Gabinete Ministerial 3-45 screenshot - Anibal Torres (cropped).png OthersBlank
vote		Undecided
Fujimori Humala de Soto López Aliaga Mendoza López Chau Acuña Butters Álvarez Chiabra Sagasti Torres
Logo of the Popular Force (2024).svg ANTAURO partido logo.svg PROGRESEMOS.jpg Logo Renovacion Popular 2023.png Nuevo Peru x Buen Vivir.png Ahora Nacion.jpg Alianza para el Progreso Peru.svg Avanza Pais.png PPT Partido Unidad y Paz.jpg Partido Morado logo.svg Adelante Pueblo Unido.jpg
Ipsos/Perú21 [1] 10–11 Oct 20241,2181283322–24–4–13 [a] 3017
Ipsos/Perú21 [2] 17–18 Jul 20241,2181064232222–3217 [b] 2124
IEP/La República [3] 16–21 Mar 20241,2074.42.12.31.0–1.70.7–––––17.0 [c] 26.844.0
Sensor [4] 19–23 Feb 20241,2006.33.71.32.92.5–––––––21.9 [d] –61.5
IEP/La República [5] 8–13 Dec 20231,2104.11.01.81.20.6––––0.4––16.0 [e] 27.647.5
CPI [6] 13–18 Nov 20231,2002.71.42.63.20.80.2––––0.9–13.6 [f] 15.559.1
CPI/RPP [7] 11–15 Jul 20231,2004.85.64.69.82.4–––––2.7–8.520.641.0
CIT/Expreso [8] 29–31 May 20231,2009.67.38.212.83.2–––––4.3–9.9–45.0
CPI/RPP [9] 23–28 Apr 20231,2006.35.85.69.12.6–––––2.22.711.718.335.7
CIT/Expreso [10] 20–22 Apr 20231,2009.67.58.613.51.4––––4.3––17.919.218.0
CPI/RPP [11] 7–10 Mar 20231,2003.13.75.18.22.0–––––2.11.012.4 [g] 16.946.5
IEP/La República [12] 18–22 Feb 20231,2012.01.34.22.81.14.5––––0.22.19.3 [h] 21.749.4
CIT/Expreso [13] 16–18 Feb 20231,200–9.39.411.82.0––––4.1––18.124.021.2
CPI/RPP [14] 24–27 Jan 20231,2003.21.65.28.61.1–––––0.71.413.613.850.9
IEP/La República [15] 21–25 Jan 20231,2142.11.13.63.31.70.8––––0.80.99.817.358.8
CIT/Expreso [16] 18–20 Jan 20231,200–9.89.312.22.0––––4.3––16.722.023.8
CPI [17] 16–20 Nov 20221,2007.09.07.29.71.9––––0.71.1–12.528.620.8
CPI [18] 6–9 Sep 20221,2003.95.36.25.91.6––––2.43.3–12.914.943.2
CPI [19] 3–10 Aug 20221,2003.61.54.84.21.9––––1.31.6–13.38.558.7
CPI [20] 28 Jun–2 Jul 20221,1284.81.05.07.22.3––––1.01.1–10.513.054.1
Election Results –13.4–11.611.87.9–6.0–––––43.41.6–

Parliamentary

Polling firmDateSample
size		 Peru Libre logo.svg Logo of the Popular Force (2024).svg Renovacion Popular logo.svg Accion Popular.svg Alianza para el Progreso Peru.svg Avanza Pais.png Juntos Por El Peru.svg Logo Partido Democratico Somos Peru.svg Logo Podemos Peru.png Partido Morado logo.svg Logo of the Agricultural People's Front of Peru.png APRA Peru logo.svg ANTAURO partido logo.svg Frente de la Esperanza 2021 (logo).svg Partido Patriotico del Peru (logo).svg Partido Politico PRIN - Simbolo.png Fe en el Peru (logo).svg Democrata Verde (logo).svg Lead
Ipsos/Perú21 [21] 10–11 Oct 20241,2112.09.0–5.02.0––3.0–––2.05.0–––––4.0
Ipsos/Perú21 [22] 17–18 Jul 20241,2182.08.01.04.01.02.02.03.01.01.01.01.06.0–––––2.0
Ipsos/Perú21 [23] 9–10 Nov 20231,2055.08.03.05.04.04.02.04.0–2.03.02.0––––––3.0
Datum [24] 30 Jun – 4 Jul 20238965.07.01.06.03.03.02.05.01.02.02.02.0––––––1.0
CIT/Expreso [25] [i] 20–22 Mar 20231,2003.512.513.95.09.111.25.213.1–1.61.47.9––1.36.07.31.30.8
CIT/Expreso [13] [i] 16–18 Feb 20231,2002.913.314.16.910.813.04.415.7–2.71.33.3–––4.75.11.21.6
Ipsos Perú/América TV [26] 9–10 Feb 20231,2105.08.03.04.04.04.02.0––1.02.02.0–1.0––––4.0
CIT/Expreso [27] [i] 18–20 Jan 20231,2002.714.616.9–12.414.94.917.9–3.01.5–––1.04.85.4–1.0
2022 regional and municipal 2 Oct 2022–2.51.210.11.99.54.34.113.89.70.2–––5.80.1–––3.7
2021 general 11 Apr 2021–13.4
37		11.3
24		9.3
13		9.0
16		7.5
15		7.5
7		6.6
5		6.1
5		5.8
5		5.4
3		4.6
0		–––––––2.1

Notes

  1. ↑ Including Rafael Belaúnde at 2%
  2. ↑ Including José Luna at 2%, Rafael Belaúnde at 2%, Guido Bellido at 2% and Yonhy Lescano at 2%
  3. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 3.3%, Pedro Castillo at 3.3%, Arturo Fernández at 0.8%, Salvador del Solar at 0.7%, Alberto Fujimori at 0.7%, Ulises Villegas at 0.7%, Yonhy Lescano at 0.6%, Ulises Villegas at 0.4% and Fiorella Molinelli at 0.2%
  4. ↑ Including Yonhy Lescano at 3.2%, César Acuña at 1.7%, Daniel Urresti at 1.3%, Fernando Cillóniz at 1.2%, Julio Guzmán at 0.8%, Susel Paredes at 0.6%, Ulises Villegas at 0.4% and Fiorella Molinelli at 0.2%
  5. ↑ Including Pedro Castillo at 4.3%, Martín Vizcarra at 3.0%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.1%, Salvador del Solar at 0.7% and Alberto Fujimori at 0.4%
  6. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 2.4%, Pedro Castillo at 1.9%, Yonhy Lescano at 0.8%, César Acuña at 0.4%, Carlos Añaños at 0.3% and Carlos Álvarez Loayza at 0.1%
  7. ↑ Including Martín Vizcarra at 2.3%, Pedro Castillo at 2.2% and Álvaro Paz de la Barra at 1.6%
  8. ↑ Including Pedro Castillo at 2.1%, Martín Vizcarra at 2.0%, Yonhy Lescano at 1.2%, Daniel Urresti at 0.8%, Salvador del Solar at 0.5%, Cecilia García at 0.4%, Ricardo Belmont at 0.4%, César Acuña at 0.3%, George Forsyth at 0.1% and Ollanta Humala at 0.1%
  9. 1 2 3 Undecided and/or abstainers excluded

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References

  1. ↑ https://www.ipsos.com/es-pe/encuesta-ipsos-peru21-cuatro-posibles-candidatos-lideran-las-preferencias-para-el-2026
  2. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). ipsos.com. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  3. ↑ "IEP Informe de opinión de marzo 2024 - (informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  4. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión pública FEBRERO 2023" (PDF). sensor.pe. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  5. ↑ "IEP Informe de Opinión – Diciembre 2023 (Informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  6. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional PERÚ URBANO RURAL Campo: 13 al 18 de noviembre de 2023" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  7. ↑ "Peru, CPI Poll: Presidential election (open question)" (PDF).
  8. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental de Junio". citopinion.pe. 28 June 2023. Retrieved 26 August 2023.
  9. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - PERÚ URBANO RURAL (Campo: 23 al 28 de abril de 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 7 May 2023.
  10. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental". citopinion.pe. 28 April 2023. Retrieved 17 May 2023.
  11. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - PERÚ URBANO RURAL (Campo: 07 al 10 de marzo de 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 14 March 2023.
  12. ↑ "IEP Informe de Opinión – Febrero 2023 (Informe completo)" (PDF). iep.org.pe. 26 February 2023.
  13. 1 2 "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". citopinion.pe. 24 February 2023.
  14. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 24 al 27 de enero 2023)" (PDF). cpi.pe. Retrieved 30 January 2023.
  15. ↑ Pereda, David (29 January 2023). "Un 73% del país: Que elecciones generales sean este mismo año". larepublica.pe (in Spanish). Retrieved 29 January 2023.
  16. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural – Aprobación Gubernamental – CIT Opinion" (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 February 2023.
  17. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 16 al 20 de Noviembre de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 24 November 2022.
  18. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 05 al 08 de septiembre de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 8 September 2022.
  19. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 3 al 10 de agosto de 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 12 August 2022.
  20. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión Pública Nacional - Perú Urbano Rural (Campo: 28 de junio al 2 de julio 2022)" (PDF). cpi.pe. 6 July 2022.
  21. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). ipsos.com. Retrieved 19 November 2024.
  22. ↑ "Estudio de Opinión: Informe de Resultados Julio, 2024" (PDF). ipsos.com. Retrieved 18 August 2024.
  23. ↑ "ESTUDIO DE OPINIÓN INFORME DE RESULTADOS Noviembre, 2023" (PDF). ipsos.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 2 January 2024.
  24. ↑ citopinion (July 2023). "Estudio de Opinión Pública - Popularidad + Coyuntura - Julio 2023" (PDF). Datum (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 August 2023.
  25. ↑ citopinion (2023-03-28). "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural | CIT Opinión Marzo 2023". CIT Opinion (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-05-13.
  26. ↑ "Informe de Resultados. Estudio de opinión para América Televisión. Perú, 10 de febrero de 2023" (PDF). ipsos.com (in Spanish). 28 February 2023.
  27. ↑ "Encuesta Nacional Urbano Rural". citopinion.pe. 26 January 2023.
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