2025 Belarusian presidential election

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2025 Belarusian presidential election
Flag of Belarus.svg
  2020 26 January 2025
  Alexander Lukashenko (2024-05-24) (cropped) 3.jpg Alieh Hajdukievic.png Anna Kanopatskaia 12.02.2015.jpg
Nominee Alexander Lukashenko Oleg Gaidukevich Hanna Kanapatskaya
Party Independent LDPB Independent

  3x4.svg
Nominee Sergei Syrankov Alexander Khizhnyak
Party CPB RPLJ

Incumbent President

Alexander Lukashenko
Independent



Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Belarus on 26 January 2025 under the terms of the constitution. The president is directly elected to serve a five-year term.

Contents

Background

No election in Belarus since 1994 has been deemed free or fair by international observers. [1]

Mass protests alleging widespread vote-rigging erupted after incumbent president Alexander Lukashenko was declared the winner of the 2020 presidential election. Opposition figure Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya subsequently claimed to have won the election and went into exile. [2] [3] [4] [5] Tsikhanouskaya formed government-in-exile institutions consisting of the Coordination Council, created in August 2020, [6] and the United Transitional Cabinet, created in August 2022. [7] [8]

On 17 August 2020, Lukashenko stated that the next presidential election could be held earlier than 2025 if a new constitution were to be adopted. [9] Tsikhanouskaya stated that she was ready to lead a transitional government and to hold early elections under international supervision. [10] [11] Lukashenko also said that he will resign if a new constitution is adopted. [12]

On 23 October 2024, the Central Election Commission of Belarus (CEC) announced that the election would be held on 26 January 2025. [13]

On 6 November 2024, the Viasna Human Rights Centre reported that Belarusian authorities had started a wave of arrests with over a hundred people detained in a week, many linked to online chats, at a time when Belarusian prisons were already overcrowded. [14]

Candidates

On 25 February 2024, the day of parliamentary elections, Alexander Lukashenko announced his intention to run for a seventh term in 2025. [15] His candidacy, which was submitted by an initiative group, was accepted by the CEC on 29 October. On the same day, the CEC rejected the candidacies of For Freedom movement leader Yuras Hubarevich, citing "violation of the procedure for submitting documents", and Aliaxandar Drazdou. [16] On 4 November, two more candidates were rejected, Diana Kovaleva and Viktor Kulesh, while three other candidates were allowed to begin collecting signatures to support their candidacies, thereby taking the number of candidates with this status to seven. [17] These include Sergei Syrankov of the Communist Party, Oleg Gaidukevich of the Liberal Democratic Party, and former Interior Ministry spokesperson Olga Chеmоdanova. [18] Following the early December deadline to get 100,000 signatures, the CEC said five candidates were approved to stand: [19] [20] [21]

CandidatePolitical partyCurrent or former positionSignatures
Alexander Lukashenko (2024-05-24) (cropped) 3.jpg
Alexander Lukashenko
Independent President of Belarus (1994–present)2,518,145
Alieh Hajdukievic.png
Oleg Gaidukevich
Liberal Democratic Party of Belarus Leader of the LDPB (2019–present)
Deputy of the House of Representatives (2019–present)
134,472
Sergei Syrankov Communist Party of Belarus First secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party125,577
Anna Kanopatskaia 12.02.2015.jpg
Hanna Kanapatskaya
Independent Businesswoman121,077
Alexander Khizhnyak Republican Party of Labour and Justice Leader of the RPTS112,779

Opinion polls

DateAgency Viktar Babaryka Alexander Lukashenko Pavel Latushko Valery Tsepkalo Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya Syarhey Rumas Sergei Tikhanovsky Maria Kalesnikava Vladimir Makei Zianon Pazniak Andrey Dmitriyeu Anatol Liabedzka Vladimir Karanik Maxim Znak Veranika Tsapkala Natalya Kochanova Yury Karayeu Kirill Rudy  [ be ] Mikola Statkevich Other
1–10 Nov 2021 Chatham House 19%27%4%4%6%3%3%3% - - - - - - - - - - - -
30%30%11%8%10%5%8%8%4%
23 Jul – 3 Aug 2021 Chatham House 22%27%4%3%6%3%2%2%1%2%2% - - - - - - -1% -
33%28%10%8%13%6%7%7%2%2%3%2%
20–30 Apr 2021 Chatham House 25%23%8%3%4%3%3%2%1%1%1% - - - - - - -2% -
33%25%14%9%10%8%8%8%2%2%2%4%
12 Jan – 8 Feb 2021 Ecoom 2.5%66.5%1.3% -1.5%0.4% - -2.4% - - - - - -4.4% - - - Roman Golovchenko 3.8%, Oleg Gaidukevich 1.9%
14–20 Jan 2021 Chatham House 28.8%27.4%12.1%3.7%4.0%4.3%5.8%4.2%2.3%1.3%1.3%0.1%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.4%0.1% -2.1% Paval Sieviaryniec 1.0%
35.3%23.9%18.3%9.6%11.2%7.3%8.6%8.2%4.4%2.4%2.1%0.6%1.3%0.7%0.8%1.3%1.1%0.1%4.2% Paval Sieviaryniec 1.4%, Maksim Bogrecov 0.4%
13–18 Nov 2020 Chatham House 31.7%24.2%14.2%7.0%6.2%4.4%3.3%3.2%1.7%1.4%1.0%0.4%0.4%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1% - Ivonka Survilla 0.0%
38.2%20.8%20.3%12.1%9.9%7.2%5.9%7.5%2.5%2.4%1.5%0.7%0.6%0.7%0.5%1.2%0.5%0.4% Ivonka Survilla 0.1%

See also

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