Next Aragonese regional election

Last updated
Next Aragonese regional election
Flag of Aragon.svg
  2023 No later than 27 June 2027

All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon
34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Jorge Azcon 2024 (cropped).jpg Pilar Alegria 2023 (cropped).jpg Alejandro Nolasco 2023 (cropped).jpg
Leader Jorge Azcón Pilar Alegría Alejandro Nolasco
Party PP PSOE Vox
Leader since19 December 202127 January 202523 December 2022
Leader's seat Zaragoza [a] Teruel
Last election28 seats, 35.5%23 seats, 29.6%7 seats, 11.2%
Current seats28237
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 6Increase2.svg 11Increase2.svg 27

  Jose Luis Soro 2015b (cropped).jpg Tomas Guitarte 2019c (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader José Luis Soro Tomás Guitarte Andoni Corrales
Party CHA Existe PodemosAV
Leader since10 February 201228 January 202323 June 2023
Leader's seat Zaragoza Teruel Zaragoza
Last election3 seats, 5.1%3 seats, 5.0%1 seat, 4.0%
Current seats331
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 31Increase2.svg 31Increase2.svg 33

  Mitin IU marca de agua foto-Pablo Ibanez-20 (cropped).jpg Alberto Izquierdo 2023 (cropped).jpg
Leader Álvaro Sanz Alberto Izquierdo
Party IU PAR
Leader since27 May 201710 March 2023
Leader's seat Zaragoza Teruel
Last election1 seat, 3.1%1 seat, 2.1%
Current seats11
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 33Increase2.svg 33

Incumbent President

Jorge Azcón
PP



A regional election will be held in Aragon no later than Sunday, 27 June 2027, to elect the 12th Cortes of the autonomous community. All 67 seats in the Cortes will be up for election. If customary practice is maintained, the election will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

Overview

Under the 2007 Statute of Autonomy, the Cortes of Aragon are the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1]

Electoral system

Voting for the Cortes is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote. [2] [3] [4]

The Cortes of Aragon are entitled to a minimum of 65 and a maximum of 80 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at 67. All members are elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 14 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province does not exceed three times that of the least populated one)—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied in each constituency. [5] [6] The use of the electoral method may result in a higher effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies. [7]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 12 December 2024): [b]

SeatsConstituencies
35 Zaragoza
18 Huesca
14 Teruel

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [9] [10]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. [2] [11] [12] The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which meant that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree shall be published in the BOA no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 27 June 2027.

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. [11] [13] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [14]

Speculation emerged in September 2025 that the national leadership of the People's Party (PP) was planning to advance the elections in Aragon and Extremadura (and possibly the Balearic Islands) to make them take place near or concurrently with the Castilian-Leonese election scheduled for early 2026, in an electoral "Super Sunday". [15] [16] [17] While the alleged justification would be the regional governments' failure in getting their 2026 budgets passed through parliament, the true motive was attributed to PP plans—not without risk—to turn the simultaneous election call into a referendum on the national government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. [18] [19] Regional president Jorge Azcón replied to such speculation by claiming that he still expected to have the budget approved, ruling out any plans of a joint election call with other regions while claiming that he would take his "own decisions", [20] [21] with his government's allegedly focused on avoiding an election. [22] [23] Tensions between PP and Vox remained high, [24] and a controversy over the dismissal of a Vox parliamentary advisor for online hate speech prompted the breakup of budget negotiations on 21 October. [25] [26] [27] Vox was reportedly willing to take public blame for forcing early elections in Aragon and Extremadura. [28] [29] After it transpired that Extremaduran president María Guardiola had decided to call a snap election in her region, [30] Azcón's government stated that a similar move in Aragon was not being considered at the time, [31] but this was attributed to him having his own timetable—unlike in Extremadura, budgetary procedures had not yet begun in Aragon—rather than a lack of willingness for a 2026 election. [32] [33] [34] After the confirmation on 27 October 2025 of a snap regional election in Extremadura for 21 December, Azcón ruled out a concurrent electoral call and insisted that, while he would make "his own decisions", an election was still his "last option". [35] [36] [37]

Current parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time. [38] [39]

Current parliamentary composition
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon PP 2828
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 2323
Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon Vox 77
Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group CHA 33
Aragon–Teruel Exists Parliamentary Group TE 33
Mixed Parliamentary Group Podemos 13
IU 1
PAR 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [40] [41] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system. [42]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Vote %Seats
PP
List
  • People's Party (PP)
  • Aragonese People–Aragonese Platform (Aragoneses)
Jorge Azcon 2024 (cropped).jpg Jorge Azcón Conservatism
Christian democracy
35.5%28Check-green.svg
PSOE Pilar Alegria 2023 (cropped).jpg Pilar Alegría Social democracy 29.6%23Dark Red x.svg [43]
[44]
Vox
List
Alejandro Nolasco 2023 (cropped).jpg Alejandro Nolasco Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
11.2%7Dark Red x.svg
CHA
List
Jose Luis Soro 2015b (cropped).jpg José Luis Soro Aragonese nationalism
Eco-socialism
5.1%3Dark Red x.svg
Existe Tomas Guitarte 2019c (cropped).jpg Tomás Guitarte Localism
Ruralism
5.0%3Dark Red x.svg
PodemosAV
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Andoni Corrales Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
4.0%1Dark Red x.svg [45]
[46]
IU Mitin IU marca de agua foto-Pablo Ibanez-20 (cropped).jpg Álvaro Sanz Socialism
Communism
3.1%1Dark Red x.svg
PAR
List
Alberto Izquierdo 2023 (cropped).jpg Alberto Izquierdo Regionalism
Centrism
2.1%1Check-green.svg [47]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

OpinionPollingAragonRegionalElectionNext.svg
Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 May 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Logo PP Aragon 2022.svg Logo PSOE Aragon.svg VOX logo.svg Chunta Aragonesista (logotipo2).svg Existe Podemos Aragon 2023.svg IU500PNG.png Logo del PAR (2023).svg Sumar icon.svg SALF Lead
Sigma Dos/PP [p 1] [p 2] 15–30 Jun 20251,300?40.6
31/32
24.1
17/19
12.1
7/9
6.5
3/4
2.6
1/2
2.8
0/1
5.3
2/3
1.7
0/1
16.5
NC Report/La Razón [p 3] 16–31 May 202535064.4?
30
?
20
?
8
?
4
?
2
?
1
?
1
?
1
?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 4] 14–25 Apr 20251,039?37.3
28/30
25.8
18/20
12.6
8/9
6.4
3/4
3.3
2/3
2.8
1
4.3
1/2
1.9
1
11.5
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 5] 7–11 Apr 20251,200?37.9
30
26.2
20
13.5
9
3.9
2
4.9
4
3.0
1
4.2
1
1.1
0
11.7
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón [p 6] 2–10 Apr 20252,40067.443.6
32
31.1
24
10.1
6
5.2
3
2.4
2
1.7
0
2.4
0
1.0
0
12.5
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 7] 1–6 Oct 20241,500?39.9
33
29.7
24
9.0
6
4.0
1
4.2
3
2.0
0
2.5
0
1.4
0
2.7
0
10.2
NC Report/La Razón [p 8] 15–18 Jul 20241,00068.940.8
32
30.4
23
8.9
6
5.2
3
3.9
2
2.6
0
3.6
1
1.4
0
10.4
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón [p 9] 12–15 Jul 20241,60068.140.6
30
35.1
26
9.8
6
5.5
3
2.7
2
0.9
0
1.1
0
2.4
0
5.5
Data10/Okdiario [p 10] 12–13 Jul 20241,500?37.4
31
31.6
26
10.1
7
4.1
1
4.1
2
5.4
2024 EP election 9 Jun 202451.137.1
(28)
30.3
(23)
11.5
(8)
[c] 2.9
(1)
3.1
(1)
[c] 5.1
(3)
5.1
(3)
6.8
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón [p 11] 10–16 Apr 20242,40068.640.2
31
30.7
23
12.0
8
5.4
3
2.7
2
1.7
0
2.6
0
1.0
0
9.5
2023 general election 23 Jul 202370.736.3
(26)
31.1
(23)
14.6
(9)
[c] 2.9
(2)
[c] [c] 0.6
(0)
12.3
(7)
5.2
2023 regional election 28 May 202366.535.5
28
29.6
23
11.2
7
5.1
3
5.0
3
4.0
1
3.1
1
2.1
1
5.9

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.

Notes

  1. Currently serving as minister of Education, Vocational Training and Sports and Spokesperson in the government of Spain.
  2. This seat allocation has been manually calculated by applying the electoral rules set out in the law, on the basis of the latest official population figures provided by the Spanish government as of 2025. As such, it should be deemed as a provisional, non-binding estimation. The definitive allocation will be determined by the election decree at the time of the parliament's dissolution. [8]
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Within Sumar.
  4. Responses denoting a party's generic candidate are aggregated to that party's main candidate/leader at the time of the poll.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Azcón roza la mayoría absoluta y el PP duplica al PSOE de Alegría, que firma su peor resultado histórico en Aragón". Hoy Aragón (in Spanish). 22 July 2025.
  2. "[A] ARAGÓN. Encuesta SigmaDos (interna PP) 22/07/2025: PP 40,6% (31/32), PSOE 24,1% (17/19), VOX 12,1% (7/9), CHA 6,5% (3/4), IU 5,3% (2/3), PODEMOS-AV 2,8% (0/1), EXISTE 2,6% (1/2), PAR 1,7% (0/1)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 22 July 2025.
  3. "Macroencuesta NC Report: Jorge Azcón se afianza en Aragón y el PSOE de Pilar Alegría pierde votos". La Razón (in Spanish). 4 June 2025.
  4. "Alegría hunde al PSOE en su peor resultado en Aragón y el PP vislumbra gobernar sin Vox". El Mundo (in Spanish). 5 May 2025.
  5. "El PP de Jorge Azcón ganaría las elecciones autonómicas en Aragón y podría gobernar sin depender de Vox". El Español (in Spanish). 23 April 2025.
  6. "Sondeo electoral: Jorge Azcón se acercaría a la mayoría absoluta y podría sumar con Vox o Teruel Existe". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2025.
  7. "El PP, en máximos históricos en Aragón: Azcón está a 1 solo escaño de la mayoría absoluta y Chueca la tiene en Zaragoza". El Español (in Spanish). 12 October 2024.
  8. "El PP superaría su tope histórico de 2011 en Aragón y estaría a dos escaños de la absoluta". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 August 2024.
  9. "El bipartidismo sigue al alza en Aragón tras la ruptura de Vox y la crisis de la izquierda". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 21 July 2024.
  10. "El PP amplía su mayoría en Aragón pero Vox no pierde escaños y conserva la llave del Gobierno regional". Okdiario (in Spanish). 15 July 2024.
  11. "El PP lograría un resultado histórico en Aragón con 31 diputados y el PSOE mantendría los 23". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2024.
  12. 1 2 "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.
  13. "Más de la mitad de los aragoneses creen que Azcón ganará a Pilar Alegría en las autonómicas de 2027". El Español (in Spanish). 23 April 2025.
Other
  1. Statute (2007) , art. 33.
  2. 1 2 Statute (2007) , art. 37.
  3. LEAr (1987) , art. 2.
  4. LOREG (1985) , arts. 2–3.
  5. Statute (2007) , art. 36.
  6. LEAr (1987) , arts. 12–14.
  7. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Dublin: Trinity College Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  8. Real Decreto 1210/2024, de 28 de noviembre, por el que se declaran oficiales las cifras de población resultantes de la revisión del Padrón municipal referidas al 1 de enero de 2024 (Royal Decree 1210/2024). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 28 November 2024. Retrieved 23 December 2024.
  9. LEAr (1987) , art. 15.
  10. LOREG (1985) , arts. 46 & 48.
  11. 1 2 LEAr (1987) , art. 11.
  12. LOREG (1985) , art. 42.
  13. Statute (2007) , art. 52.
  14. Statute (2007) , art. 48.
  15. Esteban, Paloma (29 September 2025). "Varias comunidades del PP sopesan adelantar elecciones en 2026". ABC (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  16. D. Prieto, Alberto (2 October 2025). "El PP planea un 'superdomingo' electoral en Baleares, Andalucía, Extremadura y Aragón adelante Sánchez las generales o no". El Español (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  17. Gutiérrez, Lucía (3 October 2025). "El PP no descarta ningún escenario: del «superdomingo» a las elecciones en cascada" (in Spanish). Demócrata. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  18. Lamet, Juanma (1 October 2025). "El PP ve posible un adelanto electoral en Extremadura y Aragón y contempla ya un 'superdomingo' autonómico en marzo". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  19. Carmona, José (2 October 2025). "El 'superdomingo electoral' autonómico: un plebiscito sobre Sánchez con riesgos para el PP". Público (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  20. García, Cristina (1 October 2025). "Azcón se desmarca de Extremadura y tomará "sus propias decisiones" sobre un posible adelanto electoral". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  21. Arana, Ismael (1 October 2025). "Azcón se desliga del adelanto electoral que plantea Extremadura si no hay presupuestos". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  22. Carnicero, Laura (3 October 2025). "El Gobierno de Aragón confía en tener presupuestos y evitar las elecciones en Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 4 October 2025.
  23. Carnicero, Laura (21 October 2025). "Bendodo "confía" en la gestión de Azcón y no aprieta por un adelanto electoral en Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  24. Poveda, Ismael (20 October 2025). "Guerra PP-Vox en Aragón por la inmigración y el Pacto Verde ante la hipótesis de un adelanto electoral". El Mundo (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  25. Ramos, Ana Belén (21 October 2025). "La ruptura de PP y Vox en Aragón y la tensión en Extremadura reabre el ruido electoral". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  26. Poveda, Ismael (21 October 2025). "Vox rompe toda posibilidad de negociar los presupuestos con el PP en Aragón y deja a Azcón al borde de una segunda prórroga". El Mundo (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  27. Martínez, Virginia (21 October 2025). "La negociación de los Presupuestos de Aragón salta por los aires tras el choque por un asesor de Vox que publicó mensajes racistas". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  28. "Vox está dispuesto a quedar como "los malos" e ir a elecciones en Extremadura y Aragón: no descarta un "superdomingo"". El Periódico (in Spanish). Cáceres. 8 October 2025. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  29. "El PP otorga libertad a Azcón y Guardiola para convocar elecciones ante la falta de presupuesto y señala a Vox como responsable de explicar su rechazo" (in Spanish). Demócrata. Agencias. 22 October 2025. Retrieved 22 October 2025.
  30. "Guardiola amenaza con adelantar elecciones en Extremadura si PSOE y Vox bloquean definitivamente sus Presupuestos". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Madrid / Mérida. Servimedia. 23 October 2025. Retrieved 23 October 2025.
  31. H. Valgañón, Sergio; Alonso Freire, Mariano (23 October 2025). "Feijóo da luz verde a las elecciones adelantadas en Aragón, pero la DGA "no las contempla" todavía". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 23 October 2025.
  32. Ramos, Ana Belén (23 October 2025). "Guardiola convocará elecciones en Extremadura si se mantiene la pinza PSOE-Vox a los presupuestos". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 October 2025.
  33. Sanz, Gabriel (25 October 2025). "Azcón es reacio al adelanto electoral en Aragón pero acepta el 'superdomingo' que quiere Feijóo". Vozpópuli (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 October 2025.
  34. H. Valgañón, Sergio (25 October 2025). "Azcón se dará margen para decidir el futuro político de Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). Zaragoza. Retrieved 25 October 2025.
  35. De la Hoz, Cristina (28 October 2025). "La decisión de Guardiola de ir a elecciones y el respaldo de Feijóo empujan al aragonés Azcón, que no quiere urnas". El Independiente (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 October 2025.
  36. "Azcón sigue apostando por un acuerdo con Vox en Presupuestos y dice que el adelanto electoral es la "última opción"" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 28 October 2025. Retrieved 28 October 2025.
  37. Riveiro, Aitor (28 October 2025). "Feijóo justifica que Aragón no convoque elecciones como Extremadura porque está "preparando los presupuestos"". elDiario.es (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 October 2025.
  38. Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 December 2023.
  39. "Grupos parlamentarios". Cortes of Aragon (in Spanish). Retrieved 23 April 2024.
  40. LEAr (1987) , arts. 18–19.
  41. LOREG (1985) , art. 44.
  42. LOREG (1985) , art. 44 bis.
  43. Gascón Tella, Raúl (6 June 2023). "Lambán seguirá al frente del PSOE hasta 2025 pero no liderará la oposición a Azcón". Aragón Digital (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 August 2024.
  44. "Pilar Alegría, proclamada secretaria general del PSOE Aragón" (in Spanish). Huesca: Cadena SER. 27 January 2025. Retrieved 27 January 2025.
  45. "Maru Díaz deja de ser Coordinadora de Podemos en Aragón ante el "nefasto" resultado del 28M y renuncia a ser diputada". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 8 June 2023. Retrieved 5 August 2024.
  46. "Andoni Corrales toma el acta de diputado de Podemos en las Cortes y le llueven las críticas". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 22 June 2023. Retrieved 10 November 2024.
  47. "Alberto Izquierdo (PAR): "Vamos a defender Aragón por encima de todo porque lo primero son los aragoneses"" (in Spanish). Zaragoza: Europa Press. 26 October 2025. Retrieved 27 October 2025.

Bibliography