2011 Aragonese regional election

Last updated
2011 Aragonese regional election
Flag of Aragon.svg
  2007 22 May 2011 2015  

All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon
34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,016,021 Red Arrow Down.svg 0.1%
Turnout689,904 (67.9%)
Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 1.4 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Luisa Fernanda Rudi 2011 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Jose Angel Biel 2001 (cropped).jpg
Leader Luisa Fernanda Rudi Eva Almunia José Ángel Biel
Party PP PSOE PAR
Leader since8 November 200810 September 20102 June 2000
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Teruel
Last election23 seats, 31.1%30 seats, 41.1%9 seats, 12.1%
Seats won30227
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 7 Red Arrow Down.svg 8 Red Arrow Down.svg 2
Popular vote269,729197,18962,193
Percentage39.7%29.0%9.2%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 8.6 pp Red Arrow Down.svg 12.1 pp Red Arrow Down.svg 2.9 pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
  Portrait placeholder.svg Adolfo Barrena 2012 (cropped).jpg
Leader Nieves Ibeas Adolfo Barrena
Party CHA IU
Leader since12 January 2008May 2002
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza
Last election4 seats, 8.1%1 seat, 4.1%
Seats won44
Seat change Arrow Blue Right 001.svg 0 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 3
Popular vote55,93241,874
Percentage8.2%6.2%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 0.1 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 2.1 pp

AragonProvinceMapCortes2011.png
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon

President before election

Marcelino Iglesias
PSOE

Elected President

Luisa Fernanda Rudi
PP

The 2011 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

The outgoing Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) administration suffered a serious defeat after losing nearly 30% of its 2007 vote. The opposition People's Party (PP) obtained the best result of its history in the region, though it remained four seats short for an absolute majority. This was the first time since the 1999 election that the PP had received the most votes in Aragon. United Left (IU) had its best result since 1995, gaining three seats. The Aragonese Party (PAR), on the other hand, obtained its worst historical result up until that point, while the Aragonese Union (CHA) remained static at its 2007 result.

As a result of the election, Luisa Fernanda Rudi from the People's Party was elected President of Aragon as part of a PP–PAR coalition agreement. The PAR had been previously the PSOE coalition partner from 1999 to 2011.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Aragonese people abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish : Voto rogado). [2]

The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one). [1] [3]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats: [4]

SeatsConstituencies
35 Zaragoza
18 Huesca
14 Teruel

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies. [5]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 26 June 2011. [1] [3] [6]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]

The election to the Cortes of Aragon was officially triggered on 29 March 2011 after the publication of the election decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 22 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 21 June. [4]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the General Junta at the time of the election call. [7]

Parliamentary composition in March 2011
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 3030
People's Parliamentary Group PP 2323
Aragonese Parliamentary Group PAR 88
Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group CHA 44
Mixed Parliamentary Group IU 12
INDEP 1 [lower-alpha 1]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [3] [6]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Votes (%)Seats
PSOE Portrait placeholder.svg Eva Almunia Social democracy 41.14%30Yes check.svg
PP
List
Luisa Fernanda Rudi 2011 (cropped).jpg Luisa Fernanda Rudi Conservatism
Christian democracy
31.06%23X mark.svg
PAR
List
Jose Angel Biel 2001 (cropped).jpg José Ángel Biel Regionalism
Centrism
12.08%9Yes check.svg
CHA
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Nieves Ibeas Aragonese nationalism
Eco-socialism
8.15%4X mark.svg
IU Adolfo Barrena 2012 (cropped).jpg Adolfo Barrena Socialism
Communism
4.08%1X mark.svg
UPyD Portrait placeholder.svg Cristina Andreu Social liberalism
Radical centrism
New partyX mark.svg

Campaign

Election debates

2011 Aragonese regional election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s)   P Present [lower-alpha 2]   NI Not invited 
PSOE PP PAR CHA IU AudienceRef.
16 May Aragón TV Pepe QuílezP
Almunia
P
Rudi
NININI14.0%
(76,000)
[9]
[10]
20 May Aragón TV Pepe QuílezP
Almunia
P
Rudi
P
Biel
P
Ibeas
P
Barrena
N/A [11]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

Results

Overall

Summary of the 22 May 2011 Cortes of Aragon election results
AragonCortesDiagram2011.svg
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes %±pp Total+/−
People's Party (PP)269,72939.69+8.6330+7
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)197,18929.02–12.1222–8
Aragonese Party (PAR)62,1939.15–2.937–2
Aragonese Union (CHA)55,9328.23+0.084±0
United Left of Aragon (IU)41,8746.16+2.084+3
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)15,6672.31New0±0
Greens–Ecolo (V–Ecolo)14,6210.68+0.020±0
Commitment with Aragon (CCA)3,7710.55New0±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)2,1930.32New0±0
Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA)9800.14New0±0
Aragonese Land (TA)8300.12New0±0
Communist Unification of Spain (UCE)6030.09New0±0
Aragon United Citizens Party (pCUA)5730.08–0.290±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV)5250.08–0.080±0
Liberal Democratic Centre (CDL)4820.07New0±0
Humanist Party (PH)4400.06–0.030±0
The Independent Voice of Aragon (L'VIA)2490.04New0±0
Blank ballots21,6783.19+0.97
Total679,52967±0
Valid votes679,52998.50–0.81
Invalid votes10,3751.50+0.81
Votes cast / turnout689,90467.90+1.39
Abstentions326,11732.10–1.39
Registered voters1,016,021
Sources [7] [12] [13]
Footnotes:
  • 1 Greens–Ecolo results are compared to The Greens–Federation of Independents of Aragon totals in the 2007 election.
Popular vote
PP
39.69%
PSOE
29.02%
PAR
9.15%
CHA
8.23%
IU
6.16%
UPyD
2.31%
Others
2.25%
Blank ballots
3.19%
Seats
PP
44.78%
PSOE
32.84%
PAR
10.45%
CHA
5.97%
IU
5.97%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSOE PAR CHA IU
 %S %S %S %S %S
Huesca 36.9733.5712.226.214.71
Teruel 37.0627.4416.535.16.51
Zaragoza 40.81728.2117.229.336.52
Total39.73029.0229.278.246.24
Sources [12] [13] [7]

Aftermath

Investiture
Luisa Fernanda Rudi (PP)
Ballot →13 July 2011
Required majority →34 out of 67 Yes check.svg
Yes
  • PP (30)
  • PAR (7)
37 / 67
No
30 / 67
Abstentions
0 / 67
Absentees
0 / 67
Sources [7]

Notes

  1. Miguel Ferrer, former PAR legislator. [8]
  2. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.

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References

Opinion poll sources
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  2. "Las encuestas a pie de urna confirman el descalabro del PSOE y consolidan la mayoría absoluta en Madrid". ABC (in Spanish). 22 May 2011.
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Other
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  5. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
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  8. Rajadel, Luis (29 October 2010). "El alcalde de Teruel abandona el PAR". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). Teruel. Retrieved 24 December 2023.
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  10. "76.000 espectadores vieron el debate entre Almunia y Rudi". Heraldo de Aragón. 17 May 2011. Retrieved 5 May 2023.
  11. "El debate se salda sin propuestas nuevas y sin un claro ganador". El Periódico de Aragón. 21 May 2011. Retrieved 5 May 2023.
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