2011 Extremaduran regional election

2011 Extremaduran regional election

←  2007 22 May 2011 2015  →
All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura 33 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	906,551 1.5%
Turnout	676,768 (74.7%) 0.3 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader José Antonio Monago Guillermo Fernández Vara Pedro Escobar Party PP–EU PSOE–r IU–SIEx Leader since 8 November 2008 20 September 2006 30 September 2007 Leader's seat Badajoz Badajoz Badajoz Last election 27 seats, 38.7% 38 seats, 53.0% 0 seats, 4.5% Seats won 32 30 3 Seat change 5 8 3 Popular vote 307,975 290,045 38,157 Percentage 46.1% 43.4% 5.7% Swing 7.4 pp 9.6 pp 1.2 pp
Constituency results map for the Assembly of Extremadura
President before election Guillermo Fernández Vara PSOE Elected President José Antonio Monago PP

The 2011 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

For the first time since the first democratic election in 1983 in the region, the People's Party (PP) was able to win a regional election, obtaining its best historical result, with 46.1% of the share and 32 seats. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which had formed the government of the Extremaduran region since 1983, achieving an absolute majority of seats at every election except in 1995, was ousted from power in the worst result obtained by the party until that time. ^[1]

However, as the PP stood one seat short of an overall majority, the possibility arose of PSOE pact with United Left (IU), which had re-entered the Assembly after a four-year absence, in order to maintain the regional government. ^[2] However, IU declined to support outgoing Socialist Guillermo Fernández Vara after a 24-year PSOE rule over the region, opting to abstain in the investiture voting and allowing the most-voted candidate to be elected. As a result of the PP having more seats than the PSOE, party candidate José Antonio Monago became the first not-Socialist democratically elected President of the region. ^[3]

Overview

Electoral system

The Assembly of Extremadura was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. ^[4]

Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2011 required for Extremadurans abroad to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish : Voto rogado). ^[5] The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies were also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they ran candidates in both districts and reached five percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations. ^{[4] [6]}

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 2 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called. ^{[6] [7]}

Election date

After legal amendments earlier in 2011, fixed-term mandates were abolished, instead allowing the term of the Assembly of Extremadura to expire after an early dissolution. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 27 May 2007, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 27 May 2011. The election decree was required to be published in the DOE no later than 3 May 2011, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 26 June 2011. ^{[4] [6] [7]}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. ^[4]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout					Lead
2011 regional election	22 May 2011	—	74.7	43.4 30	46.1 32	5.7 3	1.1 0	2.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 1]	9–11 May 2011	500	?	43.6 30/31	48.7 32/34	4.6 0/3	–	5.1
NC Report/La Razón [p 2] [p 3]	3–10 May 2011	?	?	46.8 31/32	44.9 31/32	? 2	–	1.9
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3 [p 4] [p 5]	4–5 May 2011	750	?	43.3 30/31	46.8 33/34	4.5 1	–	3.5
NC Report/La Razón [p 6] [p 7]	25 Apr 2011	?	?	47.1 32/34	44.6 31/32	? 0/1	–	2.5
Celeste-Tel/Terra [p 8]	13–20 Apr 2011	600	?	44.6 30	46.6 32	6.8 3	–	2.0
CIS [p 9] [p 10]	17 Mar–17 Apr 2011	1,200	?	45.3 31	44.8 32	4.8 2	1.6 0	0.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 11]	11–14 Apr 2011	500	?	43.8 30/31	48.4 32/34	4.9 0/3	–	4.6
Ikerfel/Vocento [p 12] [p 13] [p 14]	4–10 Apr 2011	1,200	?	44.4 30/31	45.3 31/32	5.6 2/3	–	0.9
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [p 15] [p 16]	28 Mar–1 Apr 2011	500	?	46.8 32/33	44.4 31/32	4.6 1/2	–	2.4
GESPA/PP [p 17]	10–14 Jan 2011	1,200	?	44.7 31/32	45.8 33	4.9 0/1	–	1.1
NC Report/La Razón [p 18] [p 19]	30 Dec–3 Jan 2011	?	?	48.1 32/34	43.6 30/31	? 1/2	–	4.5
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 20]	28–29 Dec 2010	500	?	45.6 32	45.5 31/33	4.9 0/2	–	0.1
Sigma Dos/Hoy [p 21]	23–27 Dec 2010	1,000	?	45.7 30/32	45.1 31/32	5.3 2/3	–	0.6
Q Índice/PSOE [p 22]	14–18 Jun 2010	702	?	49.0 33/35	43.0 29/30	4.5 1/2	–	6.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 23]	25–27 May 2010	500	?	44.4 30/32	48.8 33/35	4.0 0	–	4.4
GESPA/PP [p 24]	15–30 Mar 2010	1,200	?	46.6 33	44.9 32	4.4 0	–	1.7
Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público [p 25]	15–18 Mar 2010	799	?	48.1 33	44.4 31	4.6 1	–	3.7
Sigma Dos/Hoy [p 26]	12–19 Feb 2010	1,200	?	48.0 33/35	43.8 30/32	4.2 0	–	4.2
2009 EP election	7 Jun 2009	—	50.6	48.6 34	44.1 31	2.5 0	1.9 0	4.5
2008 general election	9 Mar 2008	—	78.5	52.3 37	41.8 28	2.9 0	0.8 0	10.5
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	75.0	53.0 38	38.7 27	4.5 0	–	14.3

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 22 May 2011 Assembly of Extremadura election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party–United Extremadura (PP–EU)	307,975	46.13	+7.42	32	+5
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party–Regionalists (PSOE–regionalistas)	290,045	43.45	–9.55	30	–8
	United Left–Independent Socialists of Extremadura (IU–SIEx)	38,157	5.72	+1.20	3	+3
	Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)	7,058	1.06	New	0	±0
	Independents for Extremadura (IPEx)	4,659	0.70	–0.56	0	±0
	Ecolo–The Greens (Ecolo–LV)1	3,887	0.58	–0.03	0	±0
	Extremaduran People's Union (UPEx)	2,185	0.33	+0.10	0	±0
	For a Fairer World (PUM+J)	1,573	0.24	New	0	±0
	Convergence for Extremadura (CEx)	1,056	0.16	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	836	0.13	–0.01	0	±0
	Citizens for Blank Votes (CenB)	774	0.12	+0.04	0	±0
Blank ballots		9,394	1.41	+0.22
Total		667,599			65	±0
Valid votes		667,599	98.65	–0.62
Invalid votes		9,169	1.35	+0.62
Votes cast / turnout		676,768	74.65	–0.30
Abstentions		229,783	25.35	+0.30
Registered voters		906,551
Sources [8] [9]
Footnotes: 1 Ecolo–The Greens results are compared to The Greens of Extremadura totals in the 2007 election.

Popular vote PP–EU   46.13% PSOE–r   43.45% IU–SIEx   5.72% UPyD   1.06% Others   2.24% Blank ballots   1.41%

Seats PP–EU   49.23% PSOE–r   46.15% IU–SIEx   4.62%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PP–EU		PSOE–r		IU–SIEx
	%	S	%	S	%	S
Badajoz	45.0	17	44.7	17	6.2	2
Cáceres	47.9	15	41.4	13	5.0	1
Total	46.1	32	43.4	30	5.7	3
Sources [8] [9]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture José Antonio Monago (PP)
Ballot →		5 July 2011	7 July 2011
Required majority →		33 out of 65 N	Simple Y
	Yes • PP–EU (32)	32 / 65	32 / 65
	No • PSOE–r (30)	30 / 65	30 / 65
	Abstentions • IU–SIEx (3)	3 / 65	3 / 65
	Absentees	0 / 65	0 / 65
Sources [9]

2014 motion of no confidence

Motion of no confidence Guillermo Fernández Vara (PSOE)
Ballot →		14 May 2014
Required majority →		33 out of 65 N
	Yes • PSOE (28) • PREx–CREx (2)	30 / 65
	No • PP–EU (32)	32 / 65
	Abstentions • IU (3)	3 / 65
	Absentees	0 / 65
Sources [9]

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "Cascos supera al PP en Asturias (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 May 2011. Archived from the original on 19 May 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
2. "El PP doblega al PSOE a siete días de la cita electoral". La Razón (in Spanish). 15 May 2011. Archived from the original on 3 September 2011.
3. "Vuelco en Cantabria (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 May 2011. Archived from the original on 19 May 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
4. "El PP ganaría las elecciones y provocaría un vuelco electoral en Extremadura". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.
5. "Encuesta de TNS para Antena 3 y Onda Cero. Elecciones 22M. Expectativas electorales en Extremadura" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 9 May 2011. Archived from the original (PDF) on 8 September 2011.
6. "El popular Monago recorta casi doce puntos a Fernández Vara". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011. Archived from the original on 26 April 2011.
7. "Pendientes de la sorpresa". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 April 2011.
8. "Barómetro electoral autonómico" (PDF). Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 9 May 2011.^{[ permanent dead link ]}
9. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2011. Comunidad Autónoma de Extremadura (Estudio nº 2879. Marzo-Abril 2011)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 5 May 2011.
10. "El PSOE fija su objetivo: salvar los muebles". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 6 May 2011.
11. "IU podría ser decisivo en Extremadura (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 24 April 2011. Archived from the original on 29 April 2011.
12. "El PP arrebata al PSOE su "feudo", pero Vara podría seguir gobernando con IU". ABC (in Spanish). 8 May 2011.
13. "El PP arrebataría Castilla-La Mancha al PSOE y haría gobernar a Cospedal". El Correo (in Spanish). 8 May 2011.
14. "La presidencia de Extremadura en manos de IU (Grupo Vocento)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 8 May 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2011. Retrieved 2 March 2021.
15. "Vara conserva la Junta, pero peligra la mayoría absoluta de los socialistas". Público (in Spanish). 4 April 2011. Archived from the original on 11 May 2014.
16. "IU podría ser la fuerza decisiva en Extremadura (Público)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 4 April 2011. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
17. "Encuesta Preelectoral Comunidad Autónoma de Extremadura" (PDF). Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 24 January 2011.
18. "El PP conquista los grandes feudos de los socialistas". La Razón (in Spanish). 22 January 2011. Archived from the original on 5 March 2011.
19. "El PP, a un paso de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía y Castilla La Mancha (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 22 January 2011. Archived from the original on 26 January 2011.
20. "Empate técnico entre PSOE y PP en Extremadura (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 5 January 2011. Archived from the original on 10 January 2011.
21. "IU puede tener la llave de la Junta". Hoy (in Spanish). 2 January 2011.
22. "El PSOE de Extremadura volvería a ganar con mayoría absoluta (encuesta interna)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 15 July 2010. Archived from the original on 14 October 2010.
23. "Vuelco del mapa electoral autonómico (El Mundo)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 31 May 2010. Archived from the original on 2 June 2010.
24. "El PP extremeño se sitúa a un escaño del PSOE y de gobernar en la región, según una encuesta". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 23 April 2010.
25. "El feudo más seguro del PSOE". Público (in Spanish). 28 March 2010. Archived from the original on 9 March 2012.
26. "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones en Extremadura, aunque pierde cinco puntos en favor del PP". Hoy (in Spanish). 28 February 2010. Archived from the original on 22 March 2012. Retrieved 5 April 2011.

Other

1. Extremaduran election results Historiaelectoral.com. Retrieved 2011-04-05.
2. "Vara sees a PSOE-IU pact as the 'only chance'" (in Spanish). El Mundo. 2011-05-23.
3. "Extremadura takes a political change for granted" (in Spanish). La Vanguardia. 2011-07-04.
4. Ley Orgánica 1/2011, de 28 de enero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de la Comunidad Autónoma de Extremadura (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 28 January 2011. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
5. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
6. Ley 2/1987, de 16 de marzo, de Elecciones a la Asamblea de Extremadura (Law 2) (in Spanish). 16 March 1987. Retrieved 17 March 2017.
7. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
8. "Assembly of Extremadura election results, 22 May 2011. Badajoz and Cáceres" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Extremadura. 3 June 2011. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
9. "Eleccions a la Asamblea de Extremadura (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 September 2017.