2019 Aragonese regional election

Last updated

2019 Aragonese regional election
Flag of Aragon.svg
  2015 26 May 2019 2023  

All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon
34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,018,530 Red Arrow Down.svg 0.2%
Turnout673,880 (66.2%)
Red Arrow Down.svg 0.1 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Javier Lamban 2016 (cropped).jpg Luis Maria Beamonte (cropped).jpg Daniel Perez Calvo 2019 (cropped).jpg
Leader Javier Lambán Luis María Beamonte Daniel Pérez Calvo
Party PSOE PP Cs
Leader since31 March 201225 March 20172 March 2019
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Zaragoza
Last election18 seats, 21.4%21 seats, 27.5%5 seats, 9.4%
Seats won241612
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 6 Red Arrow Down.svg 5 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 7
Popular vote206,400139,660111,602
Percentage30.8%20.9%16.7%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 9.4 pp Red Arrow Down.svg 6.6 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 7.3 pp

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Maru Diaz (croppedb).jpg Jose Luis Soro 2015b (cropped).jpg Santiago Moron 2023 (cropped).jpg
Leader Maru Díaz José Luis Soro Santiago Morón
Party PodemosEquo CHA Vox
Leader since27 November 201810 February 201222 April 2019
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Zaragoza
Last election14 seats, 20.8% [lower-alpha 1] 2 seats, 4.6%Did not contest
Seats won533
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg 9 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 1 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 3
Popular vote54,25241,87940,671
Percentage8.1%6.3%6.1%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg 12.7 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 1.7 pp New party

 Seventh partyEighth party
  Arturo Aliaga 2015 (cropped).jpg Mitin IU marca de agua foto-Pablo Ibanez-20 (cropped).jpg
Leader Arturo Aliaga Álvaro Sanz
Party PAR IU
Leader since29 November 201427 May 2017
Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza
Last election6 seats, 6.9%1 seat, 4.2%
Seats won31
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg 3 Arrow Blue Right 001.svg 0
Popular vote33,97822,229
Percentage5.1%3.3%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg 1.8 pp Red Arrow Down.svg 0.9 pp

AragonProvinceMapCortes2019.png
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon

President before election

Javier Lambán
PSOE

Elected President

Javier Lambán
PSOE

The 2019 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Contents

The election resulted in the most fragmented parliament to date, with up to eight parliamentary groups being formed. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) of regional president Javier Lambán emerged as the largest political party and was able to retain government throughout a diverse coalition agreement including Podemos, the Aragonese Party (PAR) and the Aragonese Union (CHA). The People's Party (PP) obtained the worst result in its history, whereas Citizens (Cs) emerged with a strong third-place position. The far-right, represented by Vox, entered parliament for the first time.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Aragonese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish : Voto rogado). [2]

The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one). [1] [3]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats: [4]

SeatsConstituencies
35 Zaragoza
18 Huesca
14 Teruel

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude. [5]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 June 2019. [1] [3] [6]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]

The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 26 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 20 June. [4]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution. [7]

Parliamentary composition in April 2019
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
People's Parliamentary Group PP 2121
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 1818
We Can Aragon Parliamentary Group Podemos 1414
Aragonese Parliamentary Group PAR 66
Citizens Parliamentary Group Cs 55
Mixed Parliamentary Group CHA 23
IU 1

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [3] [6]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Votes (%)Seats
PP
List
Luis Maria Beamonte (cropped).jpg Luis María Beamonte Conservatism
Christian democracy
27.50%21X mark.svg [8]
PSOE Javier Lamban 2016 (cropped).jpg Javier Lambán Social democracy 21.43%18Yes check.svg [9]
Podemos
Equo
List
Maru Diaz (croppedb).jpg Maru Díaz Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
20.75% [lower-alpha 1] 14X mark.svg [10]
[11]
PAR
List
Arturo Aliaga 2015 (cropped).jpg Arturo Aliaga Regionalism
Centrism
6.86%6X mark.svg [12]
Cs Daniel Perez Calvo 2019 (cropped).jpg Daniel Pérez Calvo Liberalism 9.42%5X mark.svg [13]
CHA
List
Jose Luis Soro 2015b (cropped).jpg José Luis Soro Aragonese nationalism
Eco-socialism
4.58%2Yes check.svg [14]
IU Mitin IU marca de agua foto-Pablo Ibanez-20 (cropped).jpg Álvaro Sanz Socialism
Communism
4.22%1X mark.svg [15]
Vox
List
Santiago Moron 2023 (cropped).jpg Santiago Morón Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
New partyX mark.svg [16]

Campaign

Party slogans

Party or allianceOriginal sloganEnglish translationRef.
PP « Piensa en Aragón »"Think of Aragon" [17]
PSOE « Juntos por Aragón »"Together for Aragon" [18] [19]
PodemosEquo « Aragón, contigo »"Aragon, with you" [20]
PAR « El centro necesario »"The necessary centre" [18] [21]
Cs « Vamos Aragón »"Let's go Aragon" [22]
CHA « Construimos Aragón contigo »
« CHA cumple »
"We build Aragon with you"
"CHA delivers"
[18] [23]
IU « Tu izquierda »"Your left" [18]
Vox « Tu voz en Aragón »"Your voice in Aragon" [24]

Election debates

2019 Aragonese regional election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s)   P Present [lower-alpha 2]  
PP PSOE Podemos PAR Cs CHA IU Vox AudienceRef.
9 May Heraldo de Aragón Mikel IturbeP
Beamonte
P
Lambán
P
Díaz
P
Aliaga
P
P. Calvo
P
Soro
P
Sanz
P
Morón
[25]
14 May Aragón TV Inma OtalP
Beamonte
P
Lambán
P
Díaz
P
Aliaga
P
P. Calvo
P
Soro
P
Sanz
P
Morón
5.7%
(24,500)
[26]
[27]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Results

Overall

Summary of the 26 May 2019 Cortes of Aragon election results
AragonCortesDiagram2019.svg
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes %±pp Total+/−
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)206,40030.84+9.4124+6
People's Party (PP)139,66020.87–6.6316–5
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs)111,60216.67+7.2512+7
We CanEquo (Podemos–Equo)154,2528.11–12.645–9
Aragonese Union (CHA)41,8796.26+1.683+1
Vox (Vox)40,6716.08New3+3
Aragonese Party (PAR)33,9785.08–1.783–3
United Left of Aragon (IU)22,2293.32–0.901±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)4,5430.68–0.060±0
Ñ Platform (PAÑ)3,1450.47New0±0
Blank Seats (EB)1,4830.22–0.580±0
Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA)8210.12+0.020±0
Upper Aragon in Common (AAeC)7280.11New0±0
Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE)5640.08New0±0
Social Aragonese Movement (MAS)4340.06New0±0
Aragonese Land (TA)3640.05New0±0
Blank ballots6,5870.98–1.00
Total669,34067±0
Valid votes669,34099.33+0.63
Invalid votes4,5400.67–0.63
Votes cast / turnout673,88066.16–0.17
Abstentions344,65033.84+0.17
Registered voters1,018,530
Sources [7] [28] [29]
Footnotes:
  • 1 We CanEquo results are compared to the combined totals of We Can and Equo in the 2015 election.
Popular vote
PSOE
30.84%
PP
20.87%
Cs
16.67%
PodemosEquo
8.11%
CHA
6.26%
Vox
6.08%
PAR
5.08%
IU
3.32%
Others
1.81%
Blank ballots
0.98%
Seats
PSOE
35.82%
PP
23.88%
Cs
17.91%
PodemosEquo
7.46%
CHA
4.48%
Vox
4.48%
PAR
4.48%
IU
1.49%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PSOE PP Cs Podemos CHA Vox PAR IU
 %S %S %S %S %S %S %S %S
Huesca 33.7721.0413.938.314.615.317.912.4
Teruel 31.5624.1413.725.914.64.810.413.1
Zaragoza 30.11120.3817.878.436.926.523.613.61
Total30.82420.91616.7128.156.336.135.133.31
Sources [7] [28] [29]

Aftermath

Investiture
Javier Lambán (PSOE)
Ballot →31 July 2019
Required majority →34 out of 67 Yes check.svg
Yes
36 / 67
No
  • PP (16)
  • Cs (12)
  • Vox (3)
31 / 67
Abstentions
0 / 67
Absentees
0 / 67
Sources [7]

Notes

  1. 1 2 Results for Podemos (20.56%, 14 seats) and Equo (0.19%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.
  2. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Within Unidas Podemos.
  4. 1 2 3 4 Within PP.
  5. 1 2 Within IU–UPeC.

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References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "El PSOE ganaría las elecciones en Aragón y en las tres capitales de provincia". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  2. "El PSOE ganaría en Aragón y Javier Lambán podría volver a gobernar con el apoyo de Podemos, según un sondeo". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  3. "Cortes de Aragón. Sondeo GfK". Aragón TV (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
  4. "#emojiPanel Aragón (24M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 24 May 2019.
  5. "#emojiPanel Aragón (23M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 23 May 2019.
  6. "#emojiPanel Aragón (22M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 May 2019.
  7. "#emojiPanel Aragón (21M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 21 May 2019.
  8. "Cs tendría la llave de la Junta de Castilla y León pero no lograría desbancar al PSOE en Aragón". Público (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  9. "El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  10. "Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019. Archived from the original (PDF) on 20 May 2019. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
  11. "Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  12. "Javier Lambán, al albur del descalabro de Podemos en Aragón". El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  13. "#emojiPanel Aragón (20M)". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
  14. "#electoPanel Aragón (19M): el PSOE se mantiene en torno al 30% muy por delante de Ciudadanos y PP". Electomanía (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  15. "#electoPanel Aragón (16M): PSOE+Podemos+CHA a un escaño de la absoluta". Electomanía (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
  16. "El PSOE sumaría mayoría con la izquierda y con Ciudadanos más el PAR en Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 19 May 2019.
  17. "#electoPanel Aragón (13M): el PP se acerca a Ciudadanos, mientras no hay cierzo que desplace al PSOE". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 May 2019.
  18. "#electoPanel Aragón (10M): se esbafa la subida de Ciudadanos". Electomanía (in Spanish). 10 May 2019.
  19. "#electoPanel Aragón (7M): la subida de Ciudadanos deja en manos del PAR el futuro Gobierno". Electomanía (in Spanish). 7 May 2019.
  20. 1 2 "Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 May 2019.
  21. "ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire". Electomanía (in Spanish). 12 April 2019.
  22. "ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 3 April 2019.
  23. "ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox". Electomanía (in Spanish). 27 March 2019.
  24. "ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 March 2019.
  25. "ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA". Electomanía (in Spanish). 13 March 2019.
  26. "ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 6 March 2019.
  27. "El PSOE podría ganar las elecciones, pero la izquierda no lograría sumar mayoría absoluta". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 14 October 2018.
  28. "El PSOE vencería al PP, pero Ciudadanos decidiría la formación de gobierno en Aragón". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 23 April 2018.
  29. "ARAGÓN. Elecciones autonómicas. Encuesta A+M para Heraldo. Abril 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 April 2018.
  30. "Estimación Marzo 2018. Aragón. Autonómicas 2019". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 24 March 2018.
  31. "ARAGÓN. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 24 March 2018.
  32. "El empate técnico entre PP y PSOE dejaría muy abiertos los pactos para lograr la investidura en las Cortes". Heraldo de Aragón (in Spanish). 3 December 2017.
  33. "ARAGÓN. Sondeo A+M. Autonómicas. Noviembre 2017". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 December 2017.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 4 "Ley Orgánica 5/2007, de 20 de abril, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón". Organic Law No. 5 of 20 April 2007 (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 September 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. 1 2 3 "Ley 2/1987, de 16 de febrero, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987 (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  4. 1 2 "Decreto de 1 de abril de 2019, del Presidente de Aragón, por el que se convocan elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón". Boletín Oficial de Aragón (in Spanish) (64): 8782–8783. 2 April 2019. ISSN   2695-3900.
  5. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  6. 1 2 "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  7. 1 2 3 4 "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 December 2023.
  8. "Luis María Beamonte, elegido presidente del PP Aragón con más del 97% de los votos". EcoDiario.es (in Spanish). 25 March 2017. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
  9. "El PSOE proclama a sus candidatos a las autonómicas sin primarias salvo en Cantabria". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 10 November 2018. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
  10. "Maru Díaz gana las primarias y será candidata de Podemos a la presidencia de Aragón". El Periódico de Aragón (in Spanish). 27 November 2018. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
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  12. "Arturo Aliaga, candidato del PAR a la Presidencia del Gobierno de Aragón "por unanimidad y aclamación"". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 November 2018. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
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  14. "José Luis Soro volverá a ser el candidato de CHA la Presidencia del Gobierno de Aragón". Europa Press (in Spanish). 19 January 2019. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
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  22. "Ciudadanos asegura que son la alternativa al cambio, y Lambán les ridiculiza: "Que se hagan mayores"". Hoy Aragón (in Spanish). 8 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
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  24. "Vox rectifica y da un volantazo a su política de comunicación". El Mundo (in Spanish). 9 May 2019. Retrieved 6 December 2019.
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  27. Iserte, Leticia (20 May 2019). "El debate a ocho de Aragón TV no puede con Allí Abajo, Es por tu bien y Supervivientes". Extra Digital. Retrieved 3 May 2023.
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