1995 Aragonese regional election

1995 Aragonese regional election

←  1991 28 May 1995 1999  →
All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	993,975 3.6%
Turnout	706,954 (71.1%) 6.7 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Santiago Lanzuela Marcelino Iglesias Emilio Eiroa Party PP PSOE PAR Leader since 24 September 1993 15 February 1995 12 July 1991 Leader's seat Zaragoza Huesca Zaragoza Last election 17 seats, 20.7% 30 seats, 40.3% 17 seats, 24.7% Seats won 27 19 14 Seat change 10 11 3 Popular vote 263,524 180,728 143,573 Percentage 37.5% 25.7% 20.4% Swing 16.8 pp 14.6 pp 4.3 pp   Fourth party Fifth party   Leader Miguel Ángel Fustero Chesús Bernal Party IU CHA Leader since 1994 29 June 1986 Leader's seat Zaragoza Zaragoza Last election 3 seats, 6.7% 0 seats, 2.3% Seats won 5 2 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 64,685 34,077 Percentage 9.2% 4.8% Swing 2.5 pp 2.5 pp
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon
President before election Ramón Tejedor (acting) PSOE Elected President Santiago Lanzuela PP

The 1995 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

The election saw a marked increase for the People's Party (PP), which went on to win the election doubling its 1991 vote and gaining ten seats. Much of the increase came at the expense of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), at the moment beset by corruption scandals. The Aragonese Party (PAR) lost ground for the second consecutive election and was displaced to 3rd place. United Left (IU) improved its position while the left-wing regionalist Aragonese Union (CHA) won seats in the Cortes for the first time.

The new legislature elected Santiago Lanzuela as the first PP President of Aragon by 41 votes to 26. The PP and PAR deputies backed Lanzuela while PSOE, CHA and IU voted against. Lanzuela headed a PP administration with the initial support of the PAR.

Overview

Electoral system

The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. ^[1]

Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one). ^{[1] [2]}

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude. ^[3]

Election date

The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election. Elections to the Cortes were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the election date for the Cortes on Sunday, 28 May 1995. ^{[1] [2] [4]}

The Cortes of Aragon could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. ^[1]

Background

The previous legislature had been tightly divided between the left and right blocs, with an independent, former PP deputy holding the balance of power. This had resulted in a coalition between the PP and PAR being replaced by a PSOE administration in 1993. However, legal difficulties had forced the resignation of the PSOE Aragonese president José Marco in January 1995, being replaced by party colleague Ramón Tejedor. The PSOE Federal Executive designated Marcelino Iglesias as candidate for president in the 1995 election, marginalizing Marco from the election of the regional candidate. ^[5]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. ^{[2] [4]}

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Votes (%)	Seats
	PSOE	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)		Marcelino Iglesias	Social democracy	40.34%	30	Y
	PAR	List Aragonese Party (PAR)		Emilio Eiroa	Regionalism Centrism	24.68%	17	N
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Santiago Lanzuela	Conservatism Christian democracy	20.68%	17	N
	IU	List United Left of Aragon (IU)		Miguel Ángel Fustero	Socialism Communism	6.74%	3	N
	CHA	List Aragonese Union (CHA)		Chesús Bernal	Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism	2.30%	0	N

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout							Lead
1995 regional election	28 May 1995	—	71.1	25.7 19	20.4 14	37.5 27	9.2 5	–	4.8 2	11.8
Eco Consulting/RTVE [p 1]	28 May 1995	?	?	22.4 16/18	19.4 13/14	41.2 29/31	8.3 3/4	–	–	18.8
A+M/Heraldo de Aragón [p 2]	21 May 1995	?	?	23.2 16/17	21.2 ?	38.1 28/29	–	–	–	14.9
Demoscopia/El País [p 3] [p 4] [p 5] [p 6]	10–15 May 1995	700	?	24.2 17	20.9 15	37.4 29	9.7 6	–	–	14.9
CIS [p 7] [p 8]	24 Apr–10 May 1995	1,100	68.6	23.2	26.7	37.8	10.0	–	–	11.1
1994 EP election	12 Jun 1994	—	58.4	28.7 (22)	7.7 (4)	44.9 (33)	13.7 (8)	1.1 (0)	–	16.2
1993 general election	6 Jun 1993	—	78.2	34.3 (26)	19.0 (12)	32.9 (24)	9.7 (5)	1.3 (0)	0.8 (0)	1.4
1991 regional election	26 May 1991	—	64.3	40.3 30	24.7 17	20.7 17	6.7 3	3.1 0	2.3 0	15.6

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 28 May 1995 Cortes of Aragon election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	263,524	37.50	+16.82	27	+10
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	180,728	25.72	–14.62	19	–11
	Aragonese Party (PAR)	143,573	20.43	–4.25	14	–3
	United Left of Aragon (IU)	64,685	9.20	+2.46	5	+2
	Aragonese Union (CHA)	34,077	4.85	+2.55	2	+2
	Platform of Independents of Spain (PIE)	2,349	0.33	New	0	±0
	Aragonese Unity (UA)	1,342	0.19	New	0	±0
	SOS Nature (SOS)	923	0.13	New	0	±0
	Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)	445	0.06	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		11,098	1.58	+0.28
Total		702,744			67	±0
Valid votes		702,744	99.40	+0.10
Invalid votes		4,210	0.60	–0.10
Votes cast / turnout		706,954	71.12	+6.73
Abstentions		287,021	28.88	–6.73
Registered voters		993,975
Sources [6] [7]

Popular vote PP   37.50% PSOE   25.72% PAR   20.43% IU   9.20% CHA   4.85% Others   0.72% Blank ballots   1.58%

Seats PP   40.30% PSOE   28.36% PAR   20.90% IU   7.46% CHA   2.99%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PP		PSOE		PAR		IU		CHA
	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S
Huesca	33.2	7	31.7	6	21.4	4	6.8	1	4.1	−
Teruel	40.8	7	31.6	5	18.3	3	5.6	1	2.1	−
Zaragoza	38.0	13	23.1	8	20.6	7	10.5	3	5.5	2
Total	37.5	27	25.7	19	20.4	14	9.2	5	4.8	2
Sources [6] [7]

Aftermath

Investiture Santiago Lanzuela (PP)
Ballot →		7 July 1995
Required majority →		34 out of 67 Y
	Yes • PP (27) • PAR (13)	40 / 67
	No • PSOE (18) • IU (5) • CHA (2)	25 / 67
	Abstentions	0 / 67
	Absentees • PSOE (1) • PAR (1)	2 / 67
Sources [7]

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "El PP se impuso en diez comunidades". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 29 May 1995.
2. "Los sondeos predicen una amplia victoria del PP en las autonómicas". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 22 May 1995.
3. "El PP será la fuerza más votada en 12 comunidades". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 1995.
4. "Descenso espectacular del PSOE". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 1995.
5. "Mañana, previsiones para las municipales". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 1995.
6. "El PP gana en doce autonomías y el PSOE sólo en Extremadura, según un sondeo". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 21 May 1995.
7. "Preelectoral Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón (Estudio nº 2160. Abril-Mayo 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 10 May 1995.
8. "Estudio CIS nº 2160. Ficha técnica" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 10 May 1995.

Other

1. "Ley Orgánica 8/1982, de 10 de agosto, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Aragón". Organic Law No. 8 of 10 August 1982 . Retrieved 17 September 2017.{{cite book}}: |work= ignored (help)
2. "Ley 2/1987, de 16 de febrero, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de Aragón". Law No. 2 of 12 February 1987 . Retrieved 17 September 2017.{{cite book}}: |work= ignored (help)
3. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
4. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985 . Retrieved 28 December 2016.{{cite book}}: |work= ignored (help)
5. Torrontegui, Javier (16 February 1995). "El PSOE margina a Marco de la designación de los candidatos aragoneses". El País (in Spanish). Retrieved 15 January 2022.
6. "Cortes of Aragon election results, 28 May 1995" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Aragon. 21 June 1995. Retrieved 26 September 2017.
7. "Elecciones a las Cortes de Aragón (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 September 2017.