| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 67 seats in the Cortes of Aragon 34 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Registered | 1,017,735 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 657,464 (64.6%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Constituency results map for the Cortes of Aragon | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A regional election was held in Aragon on Sunday, 13 June 1999, to elect the 5th Cortes of the autonomous community. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain, as well as the 1999 European Parliament election.
The election saw increases in both vote share and seats for the People's Party (PP), which had formed the Government of Aragon since 1995, and the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE). The Aragonese Party (PAR) continued its long-term decline from its peak at the 1987 election while on the left, Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) gained most of United Left (IU) former support, which lost 4 of its 5 seats.
Despite winning the election and gaining one seat from 1995, the PP went into opposition as incumbent President of Aragon Santiago Lanzuela was unable to gather the support from his former coalition partner the PAR. Instead, the PAR supported Socialist Marcelino Iglesias as new regional president, entering into a coalition administration with the PSOE. [1]
Under the 1982 Statute of Autonomy, the Cortes of Aragon were the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [2]
Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote, nor being legally incapacitated. [3] [4] [5]
The Cortes of Aragon were entitled to a minimum of 60 and a maximum of 75 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at 67. All members were elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one)—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied in each constituency. [3] [6] The use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies. [7]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats: [8]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 34 | Zaragoza (+1) |
| 18 | Huesca |
| 15 | Teruel (–1) |
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [9] [10]
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, but a legal amendment introduced in 1998 allowed for regional elections held in May 1995 to be held concurrently with European Parliament elections, provided that they were scheduled for within a four month-timespan. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the fifty-fifth day prior to the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA). [3] [11] [12] The previous election was held on 28 May 1995, setting the date for election day concurrently with that year's European Parliament election on Sunday, 13 June 1999.
The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the parliament's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. [13] [14] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their original four-year term. [14] [15]
The election to the Cortes of Aragon was officially called on 20 April 1999 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOA, setting election day for 13 June and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 7 July. [8]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call. [16]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 27 | 27 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 19 | 19 | ||
| Aragonese Parliamentary Group | PAR | 14 | 14 | ||
| United Left Parliamentary Group | IU | 5 | 5 | ||
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | CHA | 2 | 2 | ||
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [17] [18]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | List
| | Santiago Lanzuela | Conservatism Christian democracy | 37.5% | 27 | |||
| PSOE | List | | Marcelino Iglesias | Social democracy | 25.7% | 19 | [19] [20] | ||
| PAR | List
| | José María Mur | Regionalism Centrism | 20.4% | 14 | |||
| IU | List
| | Jesús Lacasa | Socialism Communism | 9.2% | 5 | |||
| CHA | List
| | Chesús Bernal | Aragonese nationalism Eco-socialism | 4.8% | 2 | |||
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 regional election | 13 Jun 1999 | — | 64.6 | 38.2 28 | 30.8 23 | 13.3 10 | 3.9 1 | 11.0 5 | 7.4 |
| Eco Consulting/ABC [p 1] | 24 May–2 Jun 1999 | ? | ? | 36.7 26/27 | 26.0 19/20 | 19.5 13/14 | 7.3 3/4 | 8.0 4 | 10.7 |
| Demoscopia/El País [p 2] | 26 May–1 Jun 1999 | ? | 70 | 38.0 28 | 29.2 21 | 18.0 11 | 6.0 3 | 8.0 4 | 8.8 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 3] [p 4] | 20–26 May 1999 | 800 | ? | 40.4 27/30 | 30.4 20/23 | 13.7 9/10 | 8.1 5 | 5.1 2 | 10.0 |
| CIS [p 5] [p 6] [p 7] | 3–20 May 1999 | 1,334 | 70.8 | 38.3 27/28 | 24.1 17/19 | 19.7 12/14 | 7.8 3/4 | 8.2 4 | 14.2 |
| 1996 general election | 3 Mar 1996 | — | 77.5 | 47.9 (34) | 34.6 (26) | [a] | 9.1 (5) | 6.4 (2) | 13.3 |
| 1995 regional election | 28 May 1995 | — | 71.1 | 37.5 27 | 25.7 19 | 20.4 14 | 9.2 5 | 4.8 2 | 11.8 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 regional election | 13 Jun 1999 | — | 24.9 | 20.0 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 7.2 | — | 35.0 | 4.9 |
| CIS [p 5] | 3–20 May 1999 | 1,334 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 33.7 | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| 1996 general election | 3 Mar 1996 | — | 37.2 | 26.8 | [a] | 7.1 | 5.0 | — | 22.1 | 10.4 |
| 1995 regional election | 28 May 1995 | — | 26.5 | 18.0 | 14.4 | 6.5 | 3.4 | — | 28.4 | 8.5 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | Other/ None | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS [p 5] | 3–20 May 1999 | 1,334 | 29.1 | 21.2 | 9.0 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 29.7 | 7.9 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | Other/ None | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS [p 5] | 3–20 May 1999 | 1,334 | 59.5 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 32.6 | 55.7 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanzuela PP | Iglesias PSOE | Mur PAR | Bernal CHA | Lacasa IU | ||||||
| CIS [p 5] | 3–20 May 1999 | 1,334 | 29.5 | 9.5 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 47.8 | 20.0 |
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| People's Party (PP) | 249,458 | 38.21 | +0.71 | 28 | +1 | |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 201,117 | 30.81 | +5.09 | 23 | +4 | |
| Aragonese Party (PAR) | 86,519 | 13.25 | −7.18 | 10 | −4 | |
| Aragonese Union (CHA) | 72,101 | 11.04 | +6.19 | 5 | +3 | |
| United Left of Aragon (IU) | 25,040 | 3.86 | −5.36 | 1 | −4 | |
| SOS Nature (SOS) | 3,621 | 0.55 | +0.42 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 982 | 0.15 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Upper Aragonese Territory Regenerationist Group (ARTA) | 373 | 0.06 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 13,599 | 2.08 | +0.50 | |||
| Total | 652,810 | 67 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 652,810 | 99.29 | −0.11 | |||
| Invalid votes | 4,654 | 0.71 | +0.11 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 657,464 | 64.60 | −6.52 | |||
| Abstentions | 360,271 | 35.40 | +6.52 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,017,735 | |||||
| Sources [16] [21] [22] [23] | ||||||
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | PAR | CHA | IU | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Huesca | 33.8 | 7 | 34.2 | 7 | 16.1 | 3 | 9.0 | 1 | 3.4 | − |
| Teruel | 40.2 | 7 | 31.6 | 5 | 17.7 | 3 | 4.3 | − | 4.1 | − |
| Zaragoza | 39.0 | 14 | 29.8 | 11 | 11.7 | 4 | 12.8 | 4 | 3.9 | 1 |
| Total | 38.2 | 28 | 30.8 | 23 | 13.3 | 10 | 11.0 | 5 | 3.9 | 1 |
| Sources [16] [21] [22] [23] | ||||||||||
| Investiture Nomination of Marcelino Iglesias (PSOE) | ||
| Ballot → | 29 July 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 34 out of 67 | |
34 / 67 | ||
No
| 28 / 67 | |
Abstentions
| 5 / 67 | |
| Absentees | 0 / 67 | |
| Sources [16] [24] | ||