2015 Balearic regional election

Last updated
2015 Balearic regional election
Flag of the Balearic Islands.svg
  2011 24 May 2015 2019  

All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands
30 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered766,383 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 5.5%
Turnout437,838 (57.1%)
Red Arrow Down.svg 1.7 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Jose Ramon Bauza 2015 (cropped).jpg Francina Armengol 2015b (cropped).jpg Alberto Jarabo 2016 (cropped).jpg
Leader José Ramón Bauzá Francina Armengol Alberto Jarabo
Party PP PSIB–PSOE Podemos/Podem
Leader since11 September 200925 February 201214 February 2015
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Mallorca
Last election35 seats, 46.7% [lower-alpha 1] 18 seats, 24.4%Did not contest
Seats won201410
Seat change Red Arrow Down.svg 15 Red Arrow Down.svg 4 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 10
Popular vote123,18381,79863,489
Percentage28.5%18.9%14.7%
Swing Red Arrow Down.svg 18.2 pp Red Arrow Down.svg 5.5 pp New party

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Biel Barcelo 2015 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Biel Barceló Jaume Font Nel Martí
Party Més El Pi MpM
Leader since27 May 20062 November 201219 February 2011
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Menorca
Last election4 seats, 8.6% [lower-alpha 2] 0 seats, 6.0% [lower-alpha 3] 1 seat, 1.0% [lower-alpha 4]
Seats won633
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 2 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 3 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 2
Popular vote59,61734,2376,582
Percentage13.8%7.9%1.5%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 5.2 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 1.9 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 0.6 pp

 Seventh partyEighth party
  Xavier Pericay 2018 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Xavier Pericay Sílvia Tur
Party C's GxF+PSOE
Leader since13 April 201510 April 2015
Leader's seat Mallorca Formentera
Last election0 seats, 0.2%1 seat, 0.5%
Seats won21
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 2 Arrow Blue Right 001.svg 0
Popular vote25,6512,006
Percentage5.9%0.5%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 5.7 pp Arrow Blue Right 001.svg 0.0 pp

BalearicIslandsDistrictMapParliament2015.png
Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Balearic Islands

President before election

José Ramón Bauzá
PP

Elected President

Francina Armengol
PSOE

The 2015 Balearic regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands. All 59 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

All in all, the election resulted in the loss of the parliamentary majority by the People's Party (PP), together with its worst election result ever in the islands. The Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB) also saw losses, but could form a coalition government, led by socialist Francina Armengol, together with More for Mallorca (Més) and More for Menorca (MpM), obtaining confidence and supply support from We Can (Podemos/Podem) and the People for Formentera (GxF) deputy. It was the first time that left-wing parties had a majority of seats in the Balearic parliament, with previous PSIB-led governments having required the support of centrist Majorcan Union (UM) to rule in 1999 and 2007. Opposition, aside from PP, was formed by Proposta per les Illes (El Pi) and Citizens (C's), both obtaining their whole representation in Mallorca, but being close to winning seats in Ibiza and Menorca, respectively—in the latter, Ciutadella de Menorca People's Union represented the C's Menorcan branch.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Balearic Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Balearic Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1]

Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Balearic people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish : Voto rogado). [2] The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: 33 for Mallorca, 13 for Menorca, 12 for Ibiza and 1 for Formentera. [1] [3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 22 May 2011, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 22 May 2015. The election decree was required to be published in the BOIB no later than 28 April 2015, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 21 June 2015. [1] [3] [4]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]

Background

29 September 2013 demonstration. Manifestacio vaga indefinida TIL.jpg
29 September 2013 demonstration.

In the 2011 election, the People's Party (PP), led by José Ramón Bauzá, regained an absolute majority, and Bauzá was elected president on 15 June 2011. A series of controversial and unpopular decrees and laws followed, the most discussed involving the language of the Balearic Islands—Catalan in its island dialects—and the education. These generated record-attendance demonstrations, the most important one on 29 September 2013, when more than 70,000 people demonstrated in Palma protesting, amongst other things, against the changes in the language decree. It established more school hours in Spanish and English, however the majority of public schools and their teachers were not prepared to carry it out. [5]

The main opposition party, the Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB), elected Francina Armengol as its new leader in February 2012 in substitution of former President of the Balearic Islands Francesc Antich. [6]

During the 2011–2015 legislature, Agreement for Mallorca (ExM) joined the coalition between the Socialist Party of Mallorca (PSM) and InitiativeGreens (IV) in 2013. It was renamed as More for Mallorca (Més) in October 2013, with PSM leader Biel Barceló as its Secretary General. [7] Its sister party Socialist Party of Menorca formed the coalition More for Menorca (MpM) with the Greens of Menorca and Equo Menorca in July 2014. [8]

The disbanded Majorcan Union (UM) had resulted in two parties with similar political views in the 2011 election: Convergence for the Isles (CxI)—the political heir of UM—and Regionalist League of the Balearic Islands (IB–Lliga). None of them obtained representation in the Parliament. In November 2012, they both united with other local parties to create a new party called Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) to contest in the 2015 election not only in Mallorca, but also in Menorca and Ibiza. Jaume Font, former PP member and IB–Lliga leader, was elected as its president. [9]

In addition, the Spanish politics were observing the growth of new parties like We Can (Podemos/Podem) in the left and young parties like Citizens (C's) in the center-right. In their regional branches, Alberto Jarabo was elected as the Secretary General of Podemos in February 2015, [10] while Xavier Pericay was elected as C's candidate in April 2015. [11]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [3] [4]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Parties and coalitionsIdeologyCandidate
People's Party (PP) Conservatism, Christian democracy José Ramón Bauzá
Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE) [lower-alpha 5] Social democracy Francina Armengol
More for MallorcaMore for Menorca (Més–MpM) Democratic socialism, Left-wing nationalism Biel Barceló
Republican Left–Ibiza Yes (ER–Eivissa Sí) Democratic socialism, Left-wing nationalism Josep Antoni Prats
Proposal for the Isles (El Pi) Liberalism, Balearic regionalism Jaume Font
Let's Win the Balearic Islands (Guanyem) Socialism, Communism Manel Carmona
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) Social liberalism, Radical centrism Natalia Prieto
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's) Liberalism Xavier Pericay
We Can (Podemos/Podem) Democratic socialism, Left-wing populism Alberto Jarabo

Election debates

2015 Balearic regional election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s)   P Present [lower-alpha 6]   S Surrogate [lower-alpha 7]   NI Non-invitee  A Absent invitee 
PP PSIB Més El Pi Guanyem UPyD C's PREF Podem RC AudienceRef.
12 MayDeacorde MarketingP
Bauzá
P
Armengol
P
Barceló
S
Melià
P
Carmona
P
Prieto
P
Pericay
NIP
Jarabo
NI [12]
18 MayStudent Council of the UIB [lower-alpha 8] Àlvar MorenoS
Ferrer
S
Negueruela
S
Apesteguia
S
Cabrera
S
Martín
S
Nieto
S
Ballester
AS
Palmer
P
González
[13]
20 MayStudent Council of the UIB [lower-alpha 9] Neus AlbisS
Alcover
S
March
S
Capellà
S
Serra
S
Martín
AS
Ballester
NIS
Camargo
NI [13]
20 May IB3 Cristina BugalloP
Bauzá
P
Armengol
NINININININININI7.4%
(89,000)
[14]
[15]
21 MayDiario de MallorcaMiguel BorrásS
Prohens
P
Armengol
P
Barceló
P
Font
P
Carmona
NIP
Pericay
NIP
Jarabo
NI [16]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 30 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Results

Overall

Summary of the 24 May 2015 Parliament of the Balearic Islands election results
BalearicParliamentDiagram2015.svg
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes %±pp Total+/−
People's Party (PP)1123,18328.52–18.1620–15
Socialist Party of the Balearic Islands (PSIB–PSOE)281,79818.94–5.5014–4
We Can (Podemos/Podem)63,48914.70New10+10
More for Mallorca (Més)359,61713.80+5.196+2
El Pi–Proposal for the Isles (El Pi)434,2377.93+1.953+3
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (C's)25,6515.94+5.742+2
Let's Win the Balearic Islands (Guanyem)8,7402.02–1.490±0
Let's Win the Balearic Islands (Guanyem)57,3031.69–1.450±0
Left of Menorca–United Left (EM–EU)1,4370.33–0.040±0
More for Menorca (MpM)66,5821.52+0.483+2
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD)3,8960.90–1.180±0
Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)3,4760.80+0.410±0
People for Formentera+PSOE (GxF+PSOE)2,0060.46+0.011±0
Citizens of Menorca–Ciutadella de Menorca People's Union (CMe–UPCM)1,9380.45+0.330±0
People for Ibiza (GxE)1,6800.39New0±0
More Ibiza–Democratic Corsairs (MEC)1,0420.24New0±0
EPIC Ibiza Citizen Movement (mcEPIC)1,0000.23New0±0
Independent Social Group (ASI)9530.22–0.040±0
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero)8190.19New0±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV)8020.19+0.080±0
Island Alternative (AL–in)77940.18–0.240±0
Republican Left–Ibiza Yes (ER–Eivissa Sí)7660.18–1.090±0
Spanish Liberal Project (PLIE)5310.12–0.010±0
Renewal Party of Ibiza and Formentera (PREF)3960.09+0.060±0
Commitment to Formentera (CompromísFormentera)3830.09New0±0
Blank ballots8,0801.87–1.05
Total431,85959±0
Valid votes431,85998.63+0.22
Invalid votes5,9791.37–0.22
Votes cast / turnout437,83857.13–1.67
Abstentions328,54542.87+1.67
Registered voters766,383
Sources [17] [18]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
28.52%
PSIB–PSOE
18.94%
Podemos/Podem
14.70%
Més
13.80%
El Pi
7.93%
C's
5.94%
Guanyem
2.02%
MpM
1.52%
GxF+PSOE
0.46%
Others
4.28%
Blank ballots
1.87%
Seats
PP
33.90%
PSIB–PSOE
23.73%
Podemos/Podem
16.95%
Més
10.17%
El Pi
5.08%
MpM
5.08%
C's
3.39%
GxF+PSOE
1.69%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSIB Podemos Més El Pi C's MpM GxF
 %S %S %S %S %S %S %S %S
Formentera 26.759.31
Ibiza 32.9523.7417.335.7
Mallorca 27.81018.1714.6517.268.837.42
Menorca 30.7522.5313.923.317.53
Total28.52018.91414.71013.867.935.921.530.51
Sources [17] [18]

Aftermath

Investiture
Francina Armengol (PSIB)
Ballot →30 June 2015
Required majority →30 out of 59 Yes check.svg
Yes
34 / 59
No
  • PP (20)
  • C's (2)
22 / 59
Abstentions
3 / 59
Absentees
0 / 59
Sources [18]

See also

Notes

  1. Aggregated data for PP and PP–GUIF–Sa Unió in the 2015 election.
  2. Data for PSMIVExM in the 2011 election.
  3. Aggregated data for IB–Lliga, CxI and UMe in the 2011 election.
  4. Aggregated data for PSMEN and EV–Me in the 2011 election.
  5. Includes Gent per Formentera in Formentera.
  6. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  7. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  8. University and employment debate.
  9. Education and university debate.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Within El Pi.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Within PSIB–PSOE.
  12. Within C's.
  13. 1 2 3 Within Més.

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References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Encuestas y resultados - elecciones autonómicas y municipales del 24 de mayo de 2015". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2015.
  2. "El PP mantendría sin apoyos Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha, Murcia y La Rioja". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  3. "Cantabria: Ignacio Diego dependerá del PRC o de los socialistas para gobernar". La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  4. "Islas Baleares. Encuesta mayo 2015" (PDF). La Razón (in Spanish). 17 May 2015. Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-03-04.
  5. "ISLAS BALEARES, Mayo 2015. Sondeo IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 17 May 2015.
  6. "Ciudadanos tendrá la llave del Govern". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 May 2015.
  7. "El PP pierde diez diputados y puede que no le baste un pacto con Ciutadans". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 18 April 2015.
  8. "Caminant cap a les eleccions (V): Un escenari més obert que mai" (PDF). Gadeso (in Catalan). 19 April 2015.
  9. "ISLAS BALEARES, Abril 2015. Sondeo Gadeso". Electograph (in Spanish). 19 April 2015.
  10. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas 2015. Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares (Estudio nº 3068. Marzo-Abril 2015)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 May 2015.
  11. "Sánchez se lanza al ataque como "única alternativa a la derecha"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 8 May 2015.
  12. "Empate de las opciones de derecha e izquierda a menos de dos meses de las elecciones". Última Hora (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  13. "Encuesta de voto al Parlamento Balear Abril-15". IBES (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  14. "ISLAS BALEARES, Marzo 2015. Sondeo IBES". Electograph (in Spanish). 5 April 2015.
  15. "El PP seguirá siendo el más votado en las CC AA pese a la caída en apoyos". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 April 2015.
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  19. "Barómetro Sociopolítico feb15". IBES (in Spanish). 21 February 2015.
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  28. "Proyección del resultado de las europeas en los parlamentos autonómicos". El País (in Spanish). 31 May 2014.
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  36. "El PP ganaría en la mayoría de las autonomías (La Razón)". Electómetro (in Spanish). 13 May 2013. Archived from the original on 4 March 2016.
  37. "El Partido Popular perdería la mayoría absoluta tras un año y medio en el Govern". Última Hora (in Spanish). 29 December 2012.
  38. "Encuesta sobre el primer año de Gobierno-Bauzá (Junio12)". IBES (in Spanish). 30 December 2012.
  39. "Barómetro de Opinión sobre la situación general de la Comunidad Balear. 4ª oleada. Dic12" (PDF). IBES (in Spanish). 30 December 2012.
  40. "El PP bajaría de 35 a 33 diputados tras el primer año del Govern de Bauzá". Última Hora (in Spanish). 17 June 2012.
  41. "Encuesta sobre el primer año de Gobierno-Bauzá (Junio12)". IBES (in Spanish). 18 June 2012.
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  43. "El PP balear volvería a ganar las elecciones a pesar del rechazo a su gestión". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 18 March 2012.
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  45. "Los ciudadanos dan un aprobado raspado al Govern de Bauzá en sus primeros cien días". Última Hora (in Spanish). 24 September 2011.
Other
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  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
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