Next Balearic regional election

Last updated
Next Balearic regional election
Flag of the Balearic Islands.svg
  2023 No later than 27 June 2027

All 59 seats in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands
30 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Marga Prohens 2023b (cropped).jpg Iago Negueruela 2021 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Marga Prohens Iago Negueruela Gabriel Le Senne
Party PP PSIB–PSOE Vox
Leader since24 July 202124 July 202315 July 2025
Leader's seat Mallorca Mallorca Mallorca
Last election25 seats, 35.8%18 seats, 26.5%8 seats, 13.9%
Current seats25185
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 5 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 12 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 25

  Lluis Apesteguia 2023 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Portrait placeholder.svg
Leader Lluís Apesteguia Josep Castells TBD
Party Més MxMe EUIB–Podemos
Leader since24 October 202116 December 2018
Leader's seat Mallorca Menorca
Last election4 seats, 8.4%2 seats, 1.4%1 seat, 4.4%
Current seats421
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 26 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 28 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 29

Incumbent President

Marga Prohens
PP



A regional election will be held in the Balearic Islands no later than Sunday, 27 June 2027, to elect the 12th Parliament of the autonomous community. All 59 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. If customary practice is maintained, the election will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Balearic Islands is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Balearic Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Balearic Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Balearic Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 59 members of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: [1] [2]

SeatsConstituencies
33 Mallorca
13 Menorca
12 Ibiza
1 Formentera

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Balearic Islands expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Balearic Islands (BOIB), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree shall be published in the BOIB no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 June 2027. [1] [2] [3]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of the Balearic Islands and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a sixty-day period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time. [4]

Current parliamentary composition
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
People's Parliamentary Group PP 2525
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSIB–PSOE 1818
Vox Balearics Parliamentary Group Vox 55
More for Mallorca Parliamentary Group PSM–Entesa 44
Mixed Parliamentary Group MxMe 24
Podemos 1
Sa Unió 1
Non-Inscrits INDEP 3 [a] 3

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [2] [3]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Vote %Seats
PP
List
Marga Prohens 2023b (cropped).jpg Marga Prohens Conservatism
Christian democracy
35.8%25Check-green.svg
PSIB–PSOE Iago Negueruela 2021 (cropped).jpg Iago Negueruela Social democracy 26.5%18Dark Red x.svg [8]
[9]
Vox
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Gabriel Le Senne Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
13.9%8Dark Red x.svg
Més Lluis Apesteguia 2023 (cropped).jpg Lluís Apesteguia Left-wing nationalism
Democratic socialism
Green politics
8.4%4Dark Red x.svg
EUIB–
Podemos
Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
4.4%1Dark Red x.svg
MxMe
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Josep Castells Left-wing nationalism
Democratic socialism
Green politics
1.4%2Dark Red x.svg
Sa Unió
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Llorenç Córdoba Conservatism 0.4%1Dark Red x.svg
GxF Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Environmentalism
Democratic socialism
0.4%0Dark Red x.svg

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 30 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Balearic Islands.

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Logo PP Baleares 2022.svg Logo PSIB-PSOE.svg VOX logo.svg Mes per Mallorca logo.svg Isotipo de Unidas Podemos (2023).svg El Pi-Proposta per les Illes logo 2021.svg MES per Menorca simplified logo.svg Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg Sa Unio de Formentera icon.svg Gent per Formentera ( GxF ).png Sumar icon.svg SALF Lead
NC Report/La Razón [p 1] 16–31 May 2025350??
29
?
14
?
8
?
4
?
1
?
2
?
1
?
IBES/Última Hora [p 2] 19–23 May 20251,300?38.6
28
25.4
17
14.5
7
9.3
4
4.0
0
2.2
0
1.5
2
0.4
0
0.4
0
0.4
1
14.9
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 3] 28 Apr–12 May 20251,107?36.4
26/27
25.7
16/17
13.8
7/8
9.8
4
5.5
1/2
3.0
0
1.6
2
0.4
0/1
0.4
0/1
10.7
2024 EP election 9 Jun 202437.735.8
(26)
28.9
(21)
11.2
(6)
5.2
(3)
1.0
(0)
[c] 0.6
(0)
4.4
(0)
5.3
(3)
6.9
IBES/Última Hora [p 4] 13–17 May 20241,300?38.8
28
23.9
16
13.1
6
10.9
5
4.7
0
1.8
0
2.0
3
0.3
0
0.3
0
0.4
1
14.9
2023 general election 23 Jul 202361.335.6
(23)
30.2
(18)
15.2
(7)
[d] [d] [d] 16.6
(11)
5.4
2023 regional election 28 May 202355.135.8
25
26.5
18
13.9
8
8.4
4
4.4
1
3.8
0
1.4
2
1.4
0
0.4
1
0.4
0
9.3

Notes

  1. Francisco José Cardona, Agustín Buades and Idoia Ribas, former Vox legislators. [5] [6] [7]
  2. 1 2 In Formentera.
  3. Within Més.
  4. 1 2 3 Within Sumar.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Macroencuesta electoral de NC Report (IV): El PP roza la mayoría absoluta en Baleares mientras el PSOE se desploma". La Razón (in Spanish). 5 June 2025.
  2. "Prohens agranda su mayoría pero vuelve a depender de Vox". Última Hora (in Spanish). 1 June 2025.
  3. "Prohens se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en Baleares mientras sigue la caída del PSOE de Armengol". El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 May 2025.
  4. "El PP crece a costa de Vox y la izquierda sigue sin sumar". Última Hora (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 4 Ley Orgánica 1/2007, de 28 de febrero, de reforma del Estatuto de Autonomía de las Illes Balears (Organic Law 1) (in Spanish). 28 February 2007. Retrieved 13 September 2017.
  2. 1 2 3 Ley 8/1986, de 26 de noviembre, Electoral de la Comunidad Autónoma de las Islas Baleares. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Law 8) (in Spanish). 26 November 1986. Retrieved 2 February 2020.
  3. 1 2 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  4. "L'hemicicle parlamentari" (PDF). Parliament of the Balearic Islands (in Catalan). Retrieved 26 May 2024.
  5. Perpinyà, Joan Miquel (26 October 2023). "Primera baja en Vox: el diputado Cardona abandona el grupo parlamentario". Mallorca Diario (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 May 2024.
  6. Bohórquez, Lucía (30 August 2024). "Nueva fuga en Vox en Baleares: un diputado abandona el grupo por la ruptura del pacto con el PP". El País (in Spanish). Palma. Retrieved 24 December 2024.
  7. "Idoia Ribas confirma su salto de Vox al grupo de no adscritos: "Es un proyecto dirigido al fracaso"". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 10 July 2025. Retrieved 10 July 2025.
  8. "Negueruela, portavoz de los socialistas en el Parlament". Mallorca Diario (in Spanish). 20 June 2023. Retrieved 10 November 2024.
  9. "Armengol renuncia como diputada en el Parlament" (in Spanish). Palma: Europa Press. 24 July 2023. Retrieved 26 May 2024.