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All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia 68 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Registered | 5,754,840 2.3% [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Election result and plurality in each constituency | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2024 Catalan regional election will be held on Sunday, 12 May 2024, to elect the 14th Parliament of the autonomous community of Catalonia. All 135 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
The coalition government formed by Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) and Together for Catalonia (Junts) had broke up in October 2022, with president Pere Aragonès having to rely in the support of the Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC) and In Common We Can (ECP) for stability. After the Catalan government failed to pass the regional budget in Parliament on 13 March 2024, as a result of differences with ECP over the Hard Rock mega resort, Aragonès announced a snap election for 12 May.
The Parliament of Catalonia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Catalonia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Catalan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [2] As a result of no regional electoral law having been approved since the re-establishment of Catalan autonomy, the electoral procedure comes regulated under Transitory Provision Fourth of the 1979 Statute, supplemented by the provisions within the national electoral law. [lower-alpha 2] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Catalonia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish : Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote. [3] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force. [4]
The 135 members of the Parliament of Catalonia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: [2] [5]
Seats | Constituencies |
---|---|
85 | Barcelona |
18 | Tarragona |
17 | Girona |
15 | Lleida |
The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude. [6]
The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The regional president was required to call an election fifteen days prior to the date of expiry of parliament, with election day taking place within from forty to sixty days after the call. The previous election was held on 14 February 2021, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 14 February 2025. The election was required to be called no later than 30 January 2025, with it taking place up to the sixtieth day from the call, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on 31 March 2025. [2]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous one under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [2]
After the Catalan government failed to pass the regional budget on 13 March 2024, president Pere Aragonès announced a snap election for 12 May. [7] The Parliament of Catalonia was officially dissolved on 19 March 2024 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia (DOGC). [8]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the present time. [9] [10] [11]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
Socialists' and United to Advance Parliamentary Group | PSC | 32 | 33 | ||
Els Units | 1 | ||||
Republican Parliamentary Group | ERC | 33 | 33 | ||
Together for Catalonia's Parliamentary Group | JxCat | 27 | 31 | ||
DC | 2 | ||||
AxR | 1 | ||||
IdE | 1 | ||||
Vox's Parliamentary Group in Catalonia | Vox | 10 | 10 | ||
Popular Unity Candidacy–A New Cycle to Win's Parliamentary Group | CUP | 8 | 9 | ||
Guanyem | 1 | ||||
In Common We Can's Parliamentary Group | CatComú | 7 | 8 | ||
Podem | 1 | ||||
Citizens's Parliamentary Group | CS | 6 | 6 | ||
Mixed Group | PP | 3 | 3 | ||
Non-Inscrits | INDEP | 2 [lower-alpha 3] | 2 |
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [14]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
Ahead of the election, it was revealed that the People's Party (PP) and Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) were negotiating an electoral alliance that could be extended to the European Parliament election in June as well, [30] but talks broke down on 22 March—causing the resignation of Adrián Vázquez as secretary-general of CS—after the regional branch of CS in Catalonia rejected its dissolution. [31] The PP was also concerned on whether to keep Alejandro Fernández as the party's candidate or to replace him by another figure, such as former Health minister Dolors Montserrat. [32] On 26 March, the PP confirmed Fernández as the party's candidate and Montserrat as campaign manager. [28]
On 21 March, Together for Catalonia (Junts) leader Carles Puigdemont, who fled to Belgium to avoid charges brought by Spanish authorities following the unrecognized referendum on Catalan independence from Spain in 2017, held a rally in Elne, France, near the Spanish border, saying that he would stand for office in the Parliament of Catalonia and seek to become regional president, which he had previously held prior to his exile. [33] On 26 March, Puigdemont announced the "Vernet Accord", an electoral alliance between Junts and several minor pro-independence parties: his former allies of Action for the Republic (AxR), The Greens–Green Alternative (EV–AV), Independence Rally (RI.cat), Democrats of Catalonia (DC) and Left Movement of Catalonia (MESCat), and new ones such as Catalan State (EC) and Republican Youth of Lleida (JRL). [34] The next day, it was revealed that Puigdemont would run under the "Together+Puigdemont for Catalonia" platform. [35] Later, EV–AV announced that their party had not signed nor negotiated the alliance and were not a part of Junts since 2020. [21]
On 25 March, Catalan Alliance, a far-right party that led the local governments in the municipalities of Ripoll and Ribera d'Ondara, announced that they would be contesting the election with their leader, Sílvia Orriols, as their main candidate. [29]
On 27 March, Podemos announced that they would not contest the election. [36] The party had contested previous elections within the En Comú Podem alliance, alongside Catalonia in Common (CatComú). In a statement, the party stated that they did not wish to contribute to the fragmentation of the left-wing vote, as it had intended to contest the election on its own if an agreement could not be reached with their previous election partners, while blaming Catalunya en Comú for making an agreement "impossible". [37] The relationship of Podemos with other Spanish left-wing parties had been deteriorating since it broke with the Sumar coalition and joined the Mixed Group in the Spanish Congress of Deputies. [38] Following Podemos' withdrawal, CatComú and Sumar announced a joint list for the election under the name Comuns Sumar, with Jéssica Albiach as their main candidate. [39]
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET): [14] [40]
Party or alliance | Original slogan | English translation | Ref. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) | « Força per governar » | "Strength to govern" | [41] | |
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | « Al costat de la gent. Al costat de Catalunya » | "On the side of the people. On the side of Catalonia" | [42] | |
Together+Carles Puigdemont for Catalonia (Cat–Junts+) | « Catalunya necessita [...] » [lower-alpha 4] | "Catalonia needs [...]" [lower-alpha 4] | [43] | |
Vox | « En defensa propia » | "In self-defence" | [44] | |
Popular Unity Candidacy–Let's Defend the Land (CUP–DT) | « Defensem la terra. Un altre país és possible » | "Let's defend the land. Another country is possible" | [45] | |
Commons Unite (Comuns Sumar) | « La Catalunya que ve » | "The Catalonia that is coming" | [46] | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | « Detenlos » | "Stop/Arrest them" [lower-alpha 5] | [47] [48] | |
People's Party (PP) | « Volem una Catalunya de Primera » | "We want a First-class Catalonia" | [49] |
Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present [lower-alpha 6] S Surrogate [lower-alpha 7] NI Not invited A Absent invitee | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PSC | ERC | Junts+ | Vox | Comuns | CUP | Cs | PP | Audience | Ref. | ||||
15 April | PIMEC | Cristina Riba | P Illa | P Aragonès | S Rull | NI | P Albiach | NI | NI | P Fernández | — | [50] | |
26 April | RAC 1 La Vanguardia | Enric Sierra Jordi Basté | P Illa | P Aragonès | S Rull | P Garriga | P Albiach | P Estrada | P Carrizosa | P Fernández | — | [51] | |
29 April | ON Economia | Xavier Alegret | S Romero | S Mas | S Rull | NI | S Gallego | S Vega | NI | S Rodríguez | — | [52] | |
29 April | CAC | Germán González | S Pedret | S Balsera | S Jubert | S Macián | S García | S Pellicer | S Reina | S Esteller | — | [53] | |
29 April | XES AMEP | Georgina Pujol | S Riba | S Villalbí | S Canadell | NI | S Badia | S Saladié | S Bravo | S Rodríguez | — | [54] | |
30 April | COEINF ACETTD, etc. | - | S Díaz | S Realp | S Domènech | NI | S Ramos | TBD | S García | S Reyes | — | [55] | |
2 May | RTVE | Gemma Nierga Xabier Fortes | P Illa | P Aragonès | S Rull | P Garriga | P Albiach | P Estrada | P Carrizosa | P Fernández | TBD | [56] | |
2 May | PL | Sílvia Barroso | S Niubó | S Vila | S Ten | NI | S Bárcena | S Riera | NI | S Martín | TBD | [57] | |
6 May | Fundació Bofill | Núria Martínez | TBD | TBD | TBD | NI | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | TBD | [58] | |
6 May | laSexta | TBD | P Illa | P Aragonès | S Rull | P Garriga | P Albiach | P Estrada | P Carrizosa | P Fernández | TBD | [59] | |
7 May | CCMA | Ariadna Oltra | P Illa | P Aragonès | S Rull | P Garriga | P Albiach | P Estrada | P Carrizosa | P Fernández | TBD | [60] | |
8 May | No en Raja | Anna Ramon | S Riba | S Villalbí | TBD | NI | S Mijoler | S Cornellà | S Ciprian | S García | TBD | [61] |
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ElectoPanel/VilaWeb [p 1] | 19–30 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 29.6 41 | 18.1 27 | 20.5 33 | 7.2 10 | 5.3 5 | 5.2 7 | 0.9 0 | 9.1 12 | – | – | – | 2.8 0 | 0.7 0 | 9.1 |
ElectoPanel/VilaWeb [p 2] | 18–29 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 29.4 41 | 18.3 28 | 20.8 32 | 7.6 11 | 5.1 5 | 5.4 7 | 0.7 0 | 9.0 11 | – | – | – | 2.5 0 | 0.7 0 | 8.6 |
ElectoPanel/VilaWeb [p 3] | 17–28 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 28.5 40 | 18.0 27 | 21.9 34 | 7.2 10 | 5.4 5 | 5.1 7 | 0.9 0 | 9.1 12 | – | – | – | 2.5 0 | 0.8 0 | 6.6 |
KeyData/Público [p 4] | 27 Apr 2024 | ? | 59.5 | 27.2 38/39 | 18.2 27/28 | 20.1 32 | 7.0 10 | 6.3 6 | 4.9 7 | 1.1 0 | 9.7 13 | – | – | – | 2.7 0/2 | – | 7.1 |
ElectoPanel/VilaWeb [p 5] | 16–27 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 27.6 38 | 19.0 28 | 22.1 34 | 7.4 11 | 5.2 5 | 5.4 7 | 0.9 0 | 8.8 12 | – | – | – | 2.2 0 | 0.9 0 | 5.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 6] | 22–26 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 63.9 | 27.3 38/39 | 17.6 27/28 | 21.0 32/33 | 7.4 11 | 5.9 6 | 5.1 6/7 | ? 0 | 9.8 13/14 | – | – | – | ? 0 | – | 6.3 |
GAD3/Mediaset [p 7] [p 8] | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 29.4 42/43 | 18.8 28/29 | 22.4 35/37 | 6.0 6/9 | 3.9 4 | 3.3 2 | 0.8 0 | 9.5 12/13 | – | – | – | 3.4 2 | 0.4 0 | 7.0 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 9] | 11–25 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 28.2 39 | 18.3 28 | 22.2 34 | 7.7 11 | 5.3 5 | 5.2 7 | 0.9 0 | 8.9 11 | – | – | – | 2.2 0 | 0.7 0 | 6.0 |
Feedback/El Nacional [p 10] | 19–24 Apr 2024 | 700 | ? | 27.0 39/40 | 16.4 24/27 | 21.6 33/36 | 8.0 11 | 6.3 7/8 | 4.3 4/7 | 1.0 0 | 10.2 13/14 | – | – | – | 2.3 0 | 1.2 0 | 5.4 |
Target Point/El Debate [p 11] | 19–23 Apr 2024 | 1,004 | ? | 26.9 38/39 | 17.8 27/28 | 21.1 34/35 | 7.0 9/10 | 5.9 6 | 4.8 5/6 | 1.7 0 | 9.0 11/12 | – | – | – | 2.7 0/2 | – | 5.8 |
YouGov/Ara [p 12] | 22 Mar–23 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | ? | 25.6 34/39 | 17.8 23/28 | 19.5 31/34 | 8.3 10/12 | 6.9 6/8 | 5.0 6/8 | 2.0 0 | 9.2 11/14 | – | – | – | 3.9 2/6 | – | 6.1 |
Cluster17/LLYC [p 13] | 19–22 Apr 2024 | 1,264 | ? | 27.6 38/40 | 16.5 24/26 | 21.4 32/34 | 7.3 9/11 | 6.0 5/6 | 4.7 5/7 | 0.7 0 | 9.6 12/14 | – | – | – | 2.7 0/3 | 2.0 0 | 6.2 |
Opinòmetre/CEO [p 14] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 28.0– 33.0 40/47 | 20.0– 24.0 31/37 | 18.0– 22.0 28/34 | 5.0– 7.0 5/9 | 3.0– 5.0 3/6 | 4.0– 6.0 4/8 | 0.0– 1.0 0 | 6.0– 9.0 8/12 | – | – | – | 1.0– 3.0 0/2 | – | 8.0– 9.0 |
CIS (Logoslab) [lower-alpha 8] [62] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 8,905 | ? | 25.5 36/39 | 17.5 26/27 | 20.2 32/33 | 7.9 10/11 | 6.2 5/6 | 4.8 6 | 2.5 0/3 | 8.9 12/13 | – | – | – | 3.3 1/4 | – | 5.3 |
CIS [p 15] [p 16] | ? | 26.9– 28.3 39/40 | 17.7– 19.5 27/28 | 16.3– 18.1 28/30 | 6.3– 7.5 8/9 | 5.5– 6.4 7/8 | 3.7– 4.6 5/7 | 2.3– 3.1 0 | 9.2– 10.6 13/14 | – | – | – | 2.6– 3.4 0/2 | 0.7– 1.2 0 | 8.8– 9.2 | ||
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 17] | 16–20 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 27.5 40 | 18.1 27 | 19.6 32 | 7.9 11 | 5.8 6 | 5.0 5 | – | 9.9 13 | – | – | – | 2.8 1 | – | 7.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 18] | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 801 | 55–60 | 26.4 38/40 | 18.0 28/30 | 20.4 32/34 | 6.9 8/9 | 5.7 6/7 | 4.0 4/6 | 1.0 0 | 9.9 13/14 | – | – | – | 2.9 0/1 | 1.8 0 | 6.0 |
40dB/Prisa [p 19] [p 20] | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 27.1 38/40 | 18.2 26/29 | 21.1 32/35 | 7.0 8/11 | 5.9 5/7 | 5.0 5/7 | 1.3 0 | 9.5 11/13 | – | – | – | 2.1 0/1 | – | 6.0 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [p 21] | 5–17 Apr 2024 | 1,261 | 60.5 | 27.8 37/39 | 18.9 27/28 | 21.3 32/34 | 6.3 8/9 | 6.7 7/9 | 4.8 5 | 1.2 0 | 9.0 13/14 | – | – | – | 1.2 0/3 | – | 6.5 |
Ipsos/Comuns [p 22] | 11–15 Apr 2024 | 1,113 | ? | 28.1 41 | 17.8 28 | 17.9 30 | 5.0 5 | 7.4 9 | 4.2 5 | 1.3 0 | 11.6 17 | – | – | – | 2.7 0 | – | 10.2 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 23] | 26 Mar–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 27.8 39 | 17.8 26 | 21.9 34 | 8.1 11 | 5.3 5 | 5.4 7 | 0.6 0 | 9.3 13 | – | – | – | 2.4 0 | – | 5.9 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 24] | 27–29 Mar 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 26.7 38 | 20.1 29 | 21.5 32 | 7.1 8 | 6.5 8 | 4.8 6 | – | 10.0 14 | – | – | – | – | – | 5.2 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 25] | 1–25 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 27.4 38 | 18.9 28 | 21.2 33 | 8.2 11 | 5.3 5 | 6.1 8 | 0.5 0 | 8.8 12 | – | – | – | 2.2 0 | – | 6.2 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 26] | 14–22 Mar 2024 | 2,014 | ? | 27.5 39/41 | 18.4 27/28 | 17.8 26/29 | 6.7 9 | 8.1 9/10 | 5.9 7 | 1.6 0 | 10.0 13/15 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 1.5 0 | – | 9.1 |
Ipsos/La Vanguardia [p 27] | 16–20 Mar 2024 | 1,425 | ? | 29.4 41 | 16.8 26 | 17.7 29 | 6.4 8 | 7.7 9 | 5.4 7 | 1.8 0 | 10.8 15 | – | – | – | – | – | 11.7 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 28] | 14–16 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 29.1 42 | 19.1 28 | 21.2 33 | 8.2 11 | 5.5 5 | 4.8 4 | – | 9.1 12 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 7.9 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 29] | 13–16 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 65.7 | 25.7 36/37 | 20.5 30/31 | 21.3 32/33 | 7.6 9/10 | 5.5 6 | 5.3 7 | 1.0 0 | 8.9 12/13 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 4.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 30] | 14–15 Mar 2024 | 802 | ? | 23.8 35/38 | 18.0 29/32 | 18.5 29/32 | 6.0 7/9 | 7.0 7/9 | 5.9 7/9 | – | 10.0 12/14 | – | 1.7 0 | – | 2.9 0/3 | – | 5.3 |
GESOP/CEO [p 31] | 9 Feb–7 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 25.0– 29.0 35/42 | 17.0– 20.0 26/32 | 15.0– 18.0 24/29 | 7.0– 9.0 9/13 | 7.0– 10.0 8/13 | 5.0– 7.0 7/10 | 1.0– 2.0 0 | 7.0– 10.0 9/13 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 8.0– 9.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 32] | 29 Jan–26 Feb 2024 | 1,550 | ? | 27.4 39 | 20.1 30 | 20.9 33 | 7.8 11 | 4.8 5 | 6.2 8 | 0.5 0 | 7.8 9 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 1.2 0 | – | 6.5 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 33] | 1–21 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 27.9 39 | 19.1 29 | 20.4 32 | 8.1 10 | 5.0 5 | 6.3 8 | 0.6 0 | 8.4 12 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 1.6 0 | – | 7.5 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 34] | 1–10 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 28.2 39 | 21.1 32 | 18.5 28 | 8.2 11 | 5.9 6 | 5.6 7 | 0.9 0 | 8.4 12 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 7.1 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 35] | 13–28 Nov 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 28.9 40 | 20.7 33 | 18.1 27 | 8.8 12 | 6.1 7 | 5.7 7 | 1.3 0 | 7.7 9 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 8.2 |
GESOP/CEO [p 36] | 9 Oct–7 Nov 2023 | 2,000 | ? | 27.0– 31.0 39/45 | 18.0– 22.0 29/34 | 12.0– 15.0 19/24 | 5.0– 7.0 6/9 | 8.0– 11.0 10/14 | 4.0– 6.0 4/8 | 0.0– 1.0 0 | 9.0– 12.0 12/17 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 9.0 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 37] | 25 Sep–10 Oct 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 26.8 36 | 18.7 28 | 19.5 31 | 9.1 12 | 7.8 9 | 5.9 8 | 1.5 0 | 8.7 11 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 7.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 38] | 7–9 Sep 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 26.1 36 | 20.3 31 | 19.6 31 | 6.2 7 | 8.4 10 | 5.2 7 | – | 10.3 13 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 5.8 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 62.7 | 34.5 (50) | 13.2 (20) | 11.2 (17) | 7.8 (11) | 14.0 (19) | 2.8 (1) | – | 13.4 (17) | 0.9 (0) | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 20.5 |
GESOP/CEO [p 39] | 29 May–26 Jun 2023 | 2,000 | ? | 22.0– 26.0 31/37 | 19.0– 23.0 31/36 | 15.0– 18.0 25/30 | 5.0– 8.0 6/10 | 6.0– 9.0 7/11 | 6.0– 8.0 7/11 | 1.0– 2.0 0 | 10.0– 12.0 13/17 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 3.0 |
GESOP/CEO [p 40] | 27 Feb–24 Mar 2023 | 2,000 | ? | 23.0– 27.0 34/40 | 18.0– 22.0 29/34 | 14.0– 17.0 22/28 | 6.0– 8.0 7/10 | 6.0– 9.0 7/12 | 6.0– 8.0 8/12 | 3.0– 5.0 0/5 | 7.0– 9.0 8/12 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 5.0 |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 41] | 12 Oct–10 Dec 2022 | 12,003 | ? | 22.2 32 | 23.1 36 | 15.7 24 | 8.8 12 | 7.8 10 | 7.6 10 | 2.3 0 | 6.6 8 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | 3.1 3 | – | – | 0.9 |
GESOP/CEO [p 42] | 27 Sep–21 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | ? | 23.0– 27.0 35/41 | 18.0– 22.0 30/36 | 12.0– 15.0 19/24 | 5.0– 7.0 6/10 | 6.0– 8.0 6/10 | 6.0– 8.0 8/12 | 2.0– 4.0 0/4 | 8.0– 11.0 11/16 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 5.0 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 43] | 13–14 Oct 2022 | 803 | ? | 24.8 37/38 | 20.1 32/33 | 18.6 29/30 | 6.4 8/9 | 6.3 7/8 | 7.5 10/11 | 2.0 0 | 7.1 9/10 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 4.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 44] | 31 Aug–13 Oct 2022 | 1,540 | ? | 21.6 31 | 22.4 35 | 16.5 25 | 8.6 12 | 7.6 9 | 7.5 10 | 2.4 0 | 6.6 8 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | 3.6 5 | – | – | 0.8 |
GESOP/CEO [p 45] | 7 Jun–7 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | ? | 25.0– 29.0 36/42 | 19.0– 23.0 31/37 | 14.0– 17.0 22/27 | 4.0– 6.0 4/8 | 4.0– 6.0 4/7 | 6.0– 8.0 8/12 | 4.0– 6.0 3/6 | 7.0– 10.0 9/14 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 6.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 46] | 15 Apr–30 May 2022 | 1,565 | ? | 21.9 31 | 23.2 38 | 16.6 26 | 9.2 12 | 7.3 8 | 7.5 10 | 2.7 0 | 6.0 7 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | 2.5 3 | – | – | 1.3 |
Feedback/El Nacional [p 47] | 10–19 May 2022 | 1,000 | 59.3 | 23.3 33/35 | 21.1 31/34 | 16.3 25/26 | 8.4 11/12 | 8.7 10/11 | 6.7 8/10 | 3.8 3/4 | 5.4 6/7 | 1.8 0 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 2.2 |
Ipsos/La Vanguardia [p 48] [p 49] | 9–12 May 2022 | ? | 51 | 25.2 36 | 20.8 33 | 15.7 25 | 9.3 12 | 7.6 9 | 7.8 10 | 3.5 3 | 5.8 7 | 1.5 0 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 4.4 |
GESOP/CEO [p 50] | 1–28 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | ? | 23.0– 29.0 34/39 | 20.0– 25.0 33/38 | 13.0– 18.0 23/28 | 6.0– 10.0 9/12 | 6.0– 9.0 6/10 | 6.0– 9.0 8/11 | 2.0– 5.0 0/4 | 4.0– 8.0 6/8 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 3.0– 4.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 51] | 30 Aug–14 Oct 2021 | 4,146 | ? | 24.7 35 | 24.6 38 | 18.0 27 | 7.2 10 | 6.5 7 | 6.9 10 | 2.6 0 | 6.3 8 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 0.1 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia [p 52] | 20–22 Sep 2021 | 806 | 62.0 | 24.1 33/34 | 25.9 39/40 | 17.3 27 | 6.9 8/10 | 8.1 10 | 4.6 6/7 | 3.8 3 | 5.9 6/7 | 0.6 0 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 1.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 53] | 31 May–13 Jul 2021 | 3,458 | ? | 24.7 36 | 23.4 35 | 19.5 31 | 7.1 8 | 6.3 7 | 7.4 10 | 2.2 0 | 6.7 8 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 1.3 |
Opinòmetre/CEO [p 54] | 11–19 May 2021 | 1,200 | 60 | 23.8 34/35 | 24.0 36/37 | 18.0 28/29 | 6.2 7/8 | 6.6 8/9 | 8.3 11/12 | 2.4 0/2 | 6.4 6/7 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 0.2 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 55] | 12–14 May 2021 | 801 | ? | 26.2 37/38 | 22.5 34/36 | 17.0 25/27 | 7.7 10/11 | 6.9 8/9 | 7.5 9/10 | 4.0 3/4 | 4.9 5/6 | 1.3 0 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 3.7 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia [p 56] | 11–12 May 2021 | 800 | 56.0 | 25.4 36 | 22.2 35 | 20.8 33 | 6.3 8 | 6.4 7 | 6.2 8 | 2.3 0 | 7.0 8 | 0.8 0 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 3.2 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 57] [p 58] | 30 Mar–1 Apr 2021 | 1,000 | 50.4 | 23.5 34 | 22.4 34 | 19.2 31 | 8.1 12 | 6.7 8 | 6.9 9 | 3.1 2 | 5.4 5 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 1.1 |
2021 regional election | 14 Feb 2021 | — | 51.3 | 23.0 33 | 21.3 33 | 20.1 32 | 7.7 11 | 6.9 8 | 6.7 9 | 5.6 6 | 3.8 3 | 2.7 0 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | – | – | 1.7 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | Lead | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinòmetre/CEO [p 59] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 13.0 | 13.0 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 1.9 | – | – | 1.5 | 47.1 | 5.0 | Tie |
CIS [p 15] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 8,905 | 20.9 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 7.7 | – | – | 2.4 | 19.4 | 3.2 | 6.4 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 60] | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 801 | 21.0 | 14.4 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 4.6 | – | – | 1.7 | 19.1 | 9.8 | 6.6 |
40dB/Prisa [p 20] | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 17.0 | 11.5 | 15.3 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 7.0 | – | – | 3.3 | 18.1 | 5.9 | 1.7 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 30] | 14–15 Mar 2024 | 802 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 2.3 | 5.4 | 3.9 | 0.5 | 4.1 | – | 1.3 | 1.5 | 27.7 | 9.9 | 1.8 |
GESOP/CEO [p 61] | 9 Feb–7 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | 19.0 | 17.1 | 11.3 | 4.3 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 0.4 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 14.0 | 7.3 | 1.9 |
GESOP/ICPS [p 62] | 31 Oct–20 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 16.4 | 19.7 | 15.6 | 2.1 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 4.0 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 17.2 | 10.4 | 3.3 |
GESOP/CEO [p 63] | 9 Oct–7 Nov 2023 | 2,000 | 21.2 | 18.4 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 7.8 | 4.0 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 0.6 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 12.2 | 7.6 | 2.8 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 22.4 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 5.0 | 9.1 | 1.8 | – | 8.7 | 0.6 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | — | 34.6 | 13.3 |
GESOP/CEO [p 64] | 29 May–26 Jun 2023 | 2,000 | 19.6 | 16.8 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 12.2 | 6.6 | 2.8 |
GESOP/CEO [p 65] | 27 Feb–24 Mar 2023 | 2,000 | 18.1 | 18.9 | 8.2 | 2.7 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 4.4 | 0.8 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 15.9 | 6.9 | 0.8 |
GESOP/ICPS [p 66] | 19 Oct–11 Nov 2022 | 1,200 | 16.6 | 18.3 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 4.0 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 18.3 | 12.6 | 1.7 |
GESOP/CEO [p 67] | 27 Sep–21 Oct 2022 | 2,000 | 16.7 | 17.6 | 8.6 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 0.9 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 14.7 | 9.2 | 0.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 43] | 13–14 Oct 2022 | 803 | 17.8 | 19.7 | 10.6 | 1.8 | 6.1 | 5.9 | 1.1 | 2.7 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 15.9 | 8.9 | 1.9 |
GESOP/CEO [p 68] | 7 Jun–7 Jul 2022 | 2,000 | 17.8 | 19.4 | 10.1 | 2.6 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 5.0 | 0.5 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 12.1 | 8.0 | 1.6 |
GESOP/CEO [p 69] | 1–28 Mar 2022 | 2,000 | 11.4 | 17.5 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 29.7 | 11.7 | 6.1 |
GESOP/ICPS [p 70] | 4–29 Oct 2021 | 1,200 | 14.3 | 19.6 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 16.7 | 12.3 | 5.3 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia [p 71] | 20–22 Sep 2021 | 806 | 17.6 | 18.3 | 8.8 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 35.4 | 0.7 | |
Opinòmetre/CEO [p 54] | 11–19 May 2021 | 1,200 | 12.9 | 15.9 | 8.6 | 1.9 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.1 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 27.4 | 11.6 | 3.0 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 55] | 12–14 May 2021 | 801 | 19.0 | 17.8 | 10.2 | 2.2 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 10.8 | 19.1 | 1.2 |
GAD3/La Vanguardia [p 72] | 11–12 May 2021 | 800 | 18.5 | 15.7 | 10.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 4.5 | – | [lower-alpha 9] | – | 35.5 | 2.8 | |
2021 regional election | 14 Feb 2021 | — | 12.2 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 | [lower-alpha 9] | – | — | 46.5 | 1.0 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIS [p 15] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 8,905 | 25.1 | 17.2 | 15.7 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 9.5 | 7.9 |
Ipsos/La Vanguardia [p 27] | 16–20 Mar 2024 | 1,425 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | – | 22.0 | 9.0 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/Mediaset [p 7] | 28 Apr 2024 | ? | 46.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | – | 2.0 | 0.5 | 20.0 | 30.0 |
CIS [p 15] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 8,905 | 45.9 | 18.0 | 16.0 | 0.9 | – | – | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 15.4 | 27.9 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 73] | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 801 | 45.7 | 13.7 | 14.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | – | 1.2 | – | 24.4 | 31.5 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 74] | 14–15 Mar 2024 | 802 | 36.4 | 18.5 | 14.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | – | 1.2 | 0.1 | 28.3 | 17.9 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Catalonia.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illa PSC | Aragonès ERC | Junqueras ERC | Puigdem. Junts | Borràs Junts | Garriga Vox | Albiach CatComú | Sabater CUP | Estrada CUP | Carrizosa Cs | Fernández PP | Chacón PDeCAT | Orriols AC | ||||||
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 75] | 11–25 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 28.0 | 13.9 | – | 23.8 | – | 3.1 | 2.6 | – | 2.6 | 0.5 | 5.3 | – | 2.5 | 17.9 | – | 4.2 |
CIS [p 15] | 11–22 Apr 2024 | 8,905 | 24.8 | 14.6 | – | 17.0 | – | 4.7 | 4.5 | – | 2.1 | 2.3 | 7.0 | – | 2.0 | 9.6 | 11.4 | 7.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 17] | 16–20 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 19.3 | 8.8 | – | 13.9 | – | 4.8 | 5.8 | – | 2.3 | 2.2 | 5.2 | – | 1.8 | 35.9 | 5.4 | |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 73] | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 801 | 20.4 | 14.5 | – | 18.6 | – | 1.7 | 4.4 | – | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.0 | – | 1.5 | 20.2 | 14.7 | 1.8 |
40dB/Prisa [p 20] | 16–19 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 19.5 | 9.9 | – | 19.5 | – | 5.5 | 7.2 | – | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6.1 | – | 4.4 | 14.0 | 9.4 | Tie |
ElectoPanel/GMG [p 76] | 1–25 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 34.3 | 14.8 | – | 28.4 | – | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | – | 1.2 | 1.7 | – | 1.7 | 13.4 | – | 5.9 |
Ipsos/La Vanguardia [p 27] | 16–20 Mar 2024 | 1,425 | 23.0 | 9.0 | – | 13.0 | – | 0.0 | 2.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | – | – | 48.0 | 10.0 | |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 28] | 14–16 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 23.3 | 15.3 | – | 12.9 | – | 6.8 | 4.4 | 3.6 | – | 2.2 | 8.4 | – | – | 23.1 | 8.0 | |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 74] | 14–15 Mar 2024 | 802 | 18.1 | 16.3 | – | 21.0 | – | 1.6 | 6.4 | – | 3.9 | 1.7 | 3.0 | – | – | 13.8 | 11.2 | 2.9 |
GESOP/ICPS [p 62] | 31 Oct–20 Nov 2023 | 1,200 | 11.7 | 7.3 | 12.8 | 16.7 | – | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | – | 0.3 | 1.1 | – | – | 8.6 | 39.0 | 3.9 |
GESOP/ICPS [p 66] | 19 Oct–11 Nov 2022 | 1,200 | 18.4 | 17.8 | – | – | 7.8 | 1.7 | 3.5 | 4.1 | – | 0.9 | 1.3 | – | – | 27.1 | 17.5 | 0.6 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 43] | 13–14 Oct 2022 | 803 | 19.1 | 21.7 | – | – | 10.9 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 | – | 1.0 | 1.3 | – | – | 25.0 | 13.0 | 2.6 |
GESOP/El Periódico [p 77] | 12–14 May 2021 | 801 | 21.7 | 18.4 | – | 15.5 | – | 0.9 | 4.3 | 2.6 | – | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | – | 19.0 | 13.7 | 3.3 |
The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA).
Province | Time | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 | 18:00 | 20:00 | |||||||
2021 | 2024 | +/– | 2021 | 2024 | +/– | 2021 | 2024 | +/– | |
Barcelona | 22.49% | 45.92% | 53.75% | ||||||
Girona | 24.29% | 47.04% | 54.77% | ||||||
Lleida | 24.15% | 46.16% | 54.65% | ||||||
Tarragona | 22.70% | 42.84% | 50.37% | ||||||
Total | 22.77% | 45.72% | 53.54% | ||||||
Sources |
Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE) | ||||||
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) | ||||||
Together+Carles Puigdemont for Catalonia (Cat–Junts+) | ||||||
Vox (Vox) | ||||||
Popular Unity Candidacy–Let's Defend the Land (CUP–DT) | ||||||
Commons Unite (Comuns Sumar)1 | ||||||
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | ||||||
People's Party (PP) | ||||||
Zero Cuts (Recortes Cero) | ||||||
At the Same Time (Alhora)2 | ||||||
National Front of Catalonia (FNC) | ||||||
Communist Party of the Workers of Catalonia (PCTC) | ||||||
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | ||||||
Left for Spain (IZQP–Unidos–DEf)3 | ||||||
Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA) | New | |||||
Catalan Alliance (Aliança.cat) | New | |||||
Workers' Front (FO) | New | |||||
Convergents (CNV) | New | |||||
Blank ballots | ||||||
Total | 135 | ±0 | ||||
Valid votes | ||||||
Invalid votes | ||||||
Votes cast / turnout | ||||||
Abstentions | ||||||
Registered voters | 5,754,840 | |||||
Sources | ||||||
Footnotes:
|
Constituency | PSC | ERC | Junts+ | Vox | Comuns | CUP–DT | Cs | PP | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |||
Barcelona | ||||||||||||||||||
Girona | ||||||||||||||||||
Lleida | ||||||||||||||||||
Tarragona | ||||||||||||||||||
Total | ||||||||||||||||||
Sources |
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