 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre 26 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The next Navarrese regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
The Parliament of Navarre is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1]
Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Navarrese abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish : Voto rogado). [2] The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. [3]
The term of the Parliament of Navarre expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 26 May 2023. The election decree must be published in the BON no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 25 June 2023. [1] [3] [4]
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Sum Navarre Parliamentary Group | UPN | 15 | 20 | ||
| Cs | 3 | ||||
| PP | 2 | ||||
| Socialist Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group | PSN–PSOE | 11 | 11 | ||
| Yes to the Future Parliamentary Group | Zabaltzen | 5 | 9 | ||
| EAJ/PNV | 4 | ||||
| EH Bildu Navarre Parliamentary Group | Sortu | 4 | 7 | ||
| EA | 3 | ||||
| Mixed Group | Podemos | 2 | 3 | ||
| I–E (n) | 1 | ||||
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [3] [4]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPNA/Parliament of Navarre [p 1] | 9–18 Sep 2021 | 1,200 | 72.2 | 34.5 18/19 | 23.0 12/13 | 13.1 7 | 14.0 7 | 4.0 2 | 4.8 2 | 1.5 0 | – | 11.5 |
| inPactos [p 2] | 19–27 Apr 2021 | 800 | ? | 35.0 19 | 23.0 12 | 16.0 8 | 13.5 7 | 6.0 3 | 3.0 1 | 2.0 0 | – | 12.0 |
| SyM Consulting [p 3] [p 4] | 24–25 Mar 2021 | 691 | 72.4 | 36.0 20 | 20.9 11/12 | 17.6 9/10 | 15.0 8 | 2.7 0 | 3.2 1 | 2.4 0 | – | 15.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 5] | 15 Oct 2020 | 740 | ? | 37.4 21 | 22.3 12 | 13.8 7 | 16.7 9 | 3.2 1 | 2.8 0 | 2.0 0 | – | 15.1 |
| UPNA/Parliament of Navarre [p 6] | 9–19 Sep 2020 | 1,200 | 72.2 | 36.4 20 | 22.6 12 | 16.2 8 | 13.9 7 | 4.0 2 | 3.1 1 | 1.5 0 | – | 13.8 |
| SyM Consulting [p 7] [p 8] | 21–23 May 2020 | 667 | 72.0 | 38.1 21 | 19.7 10/11 | 17.9 9/10 | 14.7 8 | 3.5 1 | 2.4 0 | 2.1 0 | – | 18.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 9] [p 10] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 37.0 20 | 22.5 12 | 13.2 7 | 17.1 9 | 3.8 1 | 3.0 1 | 1.5 0 | – | 14.5 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | N/A | 65.9 | 29.6 (15) | 25.0 (13) | 3.8 (2) | 16.9 (9) | [lower-alpha 1] | [lower-alpha 1] | 5.8 (3) | 16.6 (8) | 4.6 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | N/A | 68.5 | 36.6 20 | 20.6 11 | 17.3 9 | 14.5 7 | 4.7 2 | 3.0 1 | 1.3 0 | – | 16.0 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | |  | | |  |  | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPNA/Parliament of Navarre [p 1] | 9–18 Sep 2021 | 1,200 | 10.1 | 14.9 | 8.1 | 9.5 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 32.6 | 8.6 | 4.8 |
| UPNA/Parliament of Navarre [p 6] | 9–19 Sep 2020 | 1,200 | 18.0 | 17.7 | 6.1 | 9.9 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 31.5 | 7.9 | 0.3 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | N/A | 26.2 | 14.8 | 12.4 | 10.5 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | N/A | 27.8 | 11.4 |
The 2015 Navarrese regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 9th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 2020 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 12 July 2020, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was initially scheduled for 5 April 2020 but was postponed as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. It was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia.
The 2019 Navarrese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Canarian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. All 70 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Cantabrian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Castilian-Leonese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castile and León. All 81 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Riojan regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the autonomous community of La Rioja. All 33 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The next Aragonese regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes will be up for election.
In the run up to the next Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities and constituencies in Spain during the term of the 14th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 10 November 2019, to the present day.
The next Murcian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly will be up for election.
The next Castilian-Manchegan regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Castilla–La Mancha. All 33 seats in the Cortes will be up for election.
The next Cantabrian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 35 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
The 2023 Ceuta Assembly election, will be held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.
The 2023 Melilla Assembly election will be held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.
The next Asturian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 12th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta will be up for election.
The next Canarian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. All 70 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
The next Riojan regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Parliament of the autonomous community of La Rioja. All 33 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
The next Extremaduran regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 25 June 2023, to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.
In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island cabildos in the Canary Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections will be held, on 28 May 2023.
