Next Navarrese regional election

Last updated
Next Navarrese regional election
Bandera de Navarra.svg
  2023 No later than 27 June 2027

All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre
26 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Portrait placeholder.svg Maria Chivite 2023 (cropped).jpg Laura Aznal 2023 (cropped).jpg
Leader Cristina Ibarrola María Chivite Laura Aznal
Party UPN PSN–PSOE EH Bildu
Leader since28 April 202419 October 20146 May 2022
Last election15 seats, 28.0%11 seats, 20.7%9 seats, 17.1%
Current seats15119
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 11 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 15 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 17

  Portrait placeholder.svg Javier Garcia Jimenez 2023 (cropped).jpg Begona Alfaro 2021 (cropped).jpg
Leader Pablo Azcona Javier García Begoña Alfaro
Party GBai PP Contigo/Zurekin
Leader since4 September 20234 December 20223 November 2022
Last election7 seats, 13.2%3 seats, 7.3%3 seats, 6.1%
Current seats733
Seats needed Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 19 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 23 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg 23

Incumbent President

María Chivite
PSN–PSOE



The next Navarrese regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 27 June 2027, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament will be up for election. If customary practice is maintained, the election will be held on Sunday, 23 May 2027, simultaneously with regional elections in at least seven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Contents

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Navarre is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1] Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. [2]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree shall be published in the BON no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 June 2027. [1] [2] [3]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time. [4]

Current parliamentary composition
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group UPN 1515
Socialist Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group PSN–PSOE 1111
EH Bildu Navarre Parliamentary Group Sortu 99
Yes to the Future Parliamentary Group GSB/GSV 37
EAJ/PNV 3
AT1
People's Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group PP 33
Navarre With You Parliamentary Group Podemos 23
I–E (n) 1
Mixed Group Vox 22

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [2] [3]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Vote %Seats
UPN Portrait placeholder.svg Cristina Ibarrola Conservatism
Christian democracy
Regionalism
28.0%15Dark Red x.svg [5]
PSN–PSOE
List
Maria Chivite 2023 (cropped).jpg María Chivite Social democracy 20.7%11Check-green.svg [6]
EH Bildu
List
Laura Aznal 2023 (cropped).jpg Laura Aznal Basque independence
Abertzale left
Socialism
17.1%9Dark Red x.svg
GBai
List
Portrait placeholder.svg Pablo Azcona Basque nationalism
Social democracy
13.2%7Check-green.svg [7]
PP
List
Javier Garcia Jimenez 2023 (cropped).jpg Javier García Conservatism
Christian democracy
7.3%3Dark Red x.svg
Contigo/
Zurekin
List
Begona Alfaro 2021 (cropped).jpg Begoña Alfaro Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
6.1%3Check-green.svg
Vox
List
Maite Nosti 2023 (cropped).jpg Maite Nosti Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
4.3%2Dark Red x.svg

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnout Logo vertical UPN 2017.png Logo PSN-PSOE.svg Icono de EH Bildu (2023).svg Geroa Bai (current isotype).svg Logo PP Navarra 2022.svg C/Z VOX logo.svg Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg Logo de Podemos (2022).svg Sumar icon.svg SALF Lead
NC Report/La Razón [p 1] 16–31 May 202530062.1?
15
?
9
?
10
?
6
?
5
?
3
?
2
[a] ?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 2] 16–29 Apr 20251,084?28.6
15
24.2
12/13
20.3
10/11
7.0
3/4
7.5
4
5.5
2/3
4.4
2
[a] 4.4
Sigma Dos/CoCiudadana [p 3] 10–17 Jan 2025679?29.1
15/16
23.8
12/13
19.8
10/11
8.1
3/4
7.3
3/4
5.6
2/3
4.8
2
[a] 5.3
2024 EP election 9 Jun 202452.828.8
(16)
18.8
(10)
3.2
(1)
28.0
(16)
[b] 6.6
(3)
0.5
(0)
3.2
(1)
3.9
(2)
3.1
(1)
0.8
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 4] 30 Apr–27 May 20241,245?30.2
16
22.4
12
17.7
9
8.7
4
10.7
5
3.8
2
0.4
0
1.5
0
3.8
2
7.8
CIES/UPN [p 5] [p 6] 9–17 Apr 20241,000?31.8
17
18.7
10
20.9
11
11.5
6
5.5
2
5.3
2
5.1
2
[a] 10.9
2023 general election 23 Jul 202366.415.3
(8)
27.4
(14)
17.2
(9)
2.9
(0)
16.7
(9)
[b] 5.7
(3)
[b] 12.8
(7)
10.2
2023 regional election 28 May 202364.428.0
15
20.7
11
17.1
9
13.2
7
7.3
3
6.1
3
4.3
2
0.4
0
[a] 7.3

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Navarre.

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Within C/ZN.
  2. 1 2 3 Within Sumar.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Macroencuesta electoral de NC Report (V): Chivite y sus socios volverían a arrebatar el gobierno a UPN". La Razón (in Spanish). 6 June 2025.
  2. "Bildu escala en Navarra hasta las puertas del Gobierno y presiona a la socialista a Chivite". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 May 2025.
  3. "Encuesta de Sigma Dos: suben UPN, PSN y EH Bildu, baja Contigo y se hunde Geroa Bai". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 1 February 2025.
  4. "ElectoPanel Navarra (29 mayo): UPN no logra mejorar". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 May 2024.
  5. "Según CÍES, UPN subiría a 17 escaños y Bildu daría un sorpasso al PSN en el Parlamento foral". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 29 May 2024.
  6. "[A] NAVARRA. Encuesta CIES (interna UPN) 29/05/2024: UPN 31,8% (17), EH BILDU 20,9% (11), PSOE 18,7% (10), GBAI 11,5% (6), PP 5,5% (2), CONTIGO-ZUREKIN 5,3% (2), VOX 5,1% (2)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 29 May 2024.
  7. 1 2 "Tendencias y demandas municipales y autonómicas. Comunidad Foral de Navarra (Estudio nº 3503. Marzo 2025)". CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 2025.
Other
  1. 1 2 3 Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra (Organic Law 13) (in Spanish). 10 August 1982. Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  2. 1 2 3 Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Law 16) (in Spanish). 17 December 1986. Retrieved 18 June 2017.
  3. 1 2 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 8 April 2023.
  4. "Grupos parlamentarios". Parliament of Navarre (in Spanish). Retrieved 31 May 2024.
  5. "Cristina Ibarrola, elegida presidenta de UPN con el 81% de los apoyos" (in Spanish). Pamplona: Europa Press. 28 April 2024. Retrieved 10 November 2024.
  6. "María Chivite optará a la reelección como secretaria general del PSN" (in Spanish). EiTB. Agencias. 14 December 2024. Retrieved 18 December 2024.
  7. Fernández, Ibai (4 September 2023). "Pablo Azcona asumirá la portavocía de Geroa Bai en el Parlamento de Navarra". Noticias de Navarra (in Spanish). Pamplona. Retrieved 10 November 2024.