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All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura 33 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 890,967 [1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A regional election will be held in Extremadura on Sunday, 21 December 2025, to elect the 12th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 65 seats in the Assembly will be up for election. This marked the first time that a regional president exercised the legal prerogative to call a snap election.
The 2023 election had seen a coalition between the People's Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party being formed under the presidency of María Guardiola, who during government negotiations had pledged not to let the latter into her cabinet, only to backtrack during the lead up to the 2023 Spanish general election. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), who was ousted from power only for the second time in history, saw a leadership change from Guillermo Fernández Vara—who died from stomach cancer in October 2025—to the then-president of the provincial deputation of Badajoz, Miguel Ángel Gallardo. The PP–Vox coalition collapsed in July 2024 over a strategic movement from the latter's national leadership, with Guardiola leading a minority government from that point onwards. On 27 October 2025, in an attempt to capitalize both on Gallardo's involvement in a judicial probe on an alleged cronyism case affecting Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's brother, as well as on the announcement by PSOE and Vox to vote down her 2026 budget, Guardiola called an early election for 21 December.
The 2023 regional election saw a parliamentary majority for the People's Party (PP) and the far-right Vox party, with the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) remaining as the largest overall. [2] However, PP candidate María Guardiola's initial rejection to form a coalition government with Vox led to several weeks of public clashing [3] [4] —seeing Guardiola herself proclaiming that she could not allow "those who deny gender-based violence, who use bold strokes, dehumanize immigrants and display a banner on which they throw the LGTBI flag into a trash can" into her government [5] —and in PSOE and United for Extremadura retaining control of the Assembly's bureau as PP and Vox voted for their own candidates. [6] Ultimately, Guardiola was forced to U-turn and form a PP–Vox cabinet by her own party's national leadership, [7] then embroiled in the 23 July 2023 general election campaign. [8] [9] This political episode was said to contribute to the PP's expectation failure in the general election by evidencing the party's willingness to allow the far-right into government despite public pledges to the contrary. [10] [11] [12]
Guillermo Fernández Vara, who had been president of Extremadura between 2007 and 2011 and again from 2015 to 2023, announced his withdrawal from regional politics after failing to secure investiture, [13] [14] being proposed as senator instead. [15] In December 2023, Vara announced that he suffered from stomach cancer, [16] which ultimately cost him his life two years later. [17] Miguel Ángel Gallardo, president of the provincial deputation of Badajoz and regarded a critic of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's leadership, was elected in March 2024 as Vara's successor at the helm of the regional PSOE branch. [18] [19] In May 2025, Gallardo was indicted on charges of perverting the course of justice and influence peddling related to the allegedly illegal hiring in 2017 of Sánchez's brother in the deputation he presided over, [20] [21] with him seeking parliamentary privilege by becoming an Assembly member in a move that the High Court of Justice of Extremadura deemed as a law evasion; [22] [23] [24] Gallardo denied any wrongdoing and suggested that he was the target of a lawfare campaign. [25] [26]
On 11 July 2024, Vox's national leader Santiago Abascal forced the break up of all PP–Vox regional governments over a controversy regarding the nationwide distribution of unaccompanied migrant minors among the autonomous communities. [27] [28] [29] Vox's single regional minister in Guardiola's cabinet, Ignacio Higuero, quit the party in order to preserve his office, [30] [31] though his involvement in a resume padding scandal eventually led to his resignation in August 2025. [32] [33] Budget negotiations in the autumn of 2025 hinted at the possibility of Guardiola calling a snap election for early next year in the event of a parliamentary deadlock. [34] [35]
Under the 2011 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Extremadura is the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [36]
Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote. [37] [38] [39]
The Assembly of Extremadura is entitled to a maximum of 65 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members are elected in two multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies are also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they run candidates in both districts and reach five percent regionally. [37] [40]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency was entitled the following seats: [41]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 36 | Badajoz |
| 29 | Cáceres |
The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [42] [43]
The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. [36] [44] [45] The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree must be published in the DOE no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 27 June 2027.
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. [44] [46] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [47]
The political deadlock resulting from the 2023 election result, in which no single party secured an absolute majority of seats, was briefly commented as potentially leading to a repeat election as PP's María Guardiola opposed letting the far-right Vox into government. [48] Guardiola eventually bowed to political pressure from her party at the national level and signed a coalition agreement with Vox, [7] [8] [9] being elected as regional president on 14 July 2023 and dashing any prospect of an imminent early election. [49] The possibility of an early election call was again floated in late 2024, after Vox's split with her government left Guardiola in a minority and unable to get her 2025 budget passed through parliament, but this attempt ultimately failed to materialize. [50] [51]
On 29 September 2025, Guardiola threatened opposition parties with a snap election if they blocked her government's 2026 budget. [34] Speculation then emerged that the national leadership of the People's Party (PP) was planning to advance the elections in Aragon and Extremadura (and possibly the Balearic Islands) to make them take place near or concurrently with the Castilian-Leonese election scheduled for early 2026, in an electoral "Super Sunday". [52] [53] [54] While the alleged justification would be the regional governments' failure in getting their 2026 budgets passed through parliament, the true motive was attributed to PP plans—not without risk—to turn the simultaneous election call into a referendum on the national government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez. [55] [56] The regional PP ruled out any deliberate plans for a joint election call and defended their president's "full freedom" to make her independent decisions. [57] [58] On 16 October, the Extremaduran government tabled the budget without having secured support from any other party, with the opposition viewing the move as part of Guardiola's tactic. [35] [59] [60] Meanwhile, the PP proposed an amendment to the Assembly's Rules of Procedure—which was ultimately voted down in parliament [61] —that would bring them into line with statutory provisions guaranteeing a full four-year legislative term in the event of early elections, [62] [63] while blaming the PSOE for a prospective failure in the budget's approval as relations with Vox remained "difficult". [64] [65] [66] Vox was reportedly willing to take public blame for forcing early elections in Aragon and Extremadura. [67] [68] On 23 October, after the PSOE and Vox confirmed that they would vote down Guardiola's budget, [69] [70] [71] it transpired that she would announce the parliament's dissolution on 28 October, [72] [73] with the election tentatively scheduled for between 21 December 2025 and 15 March 2026. [74] [75] [76] [77] On 27 October, PSOE and Vox hinted at being willing to allow the budgetary procedure to continue by rejecting supporting each other's attempts to block it, [78] [79] but that evening Guardiola announced the calling of a snap election without waiting for the parliamentary vote on the next day. [80] [81] It was commented that Guardiola chose to advance her decision due to it becoming unclear whether she would lose that vote, thus potentially thwarting her justification for an election. [82]
The Assembly of Extremadura was officially dissolved on 28 October 2025 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the DOE, setting the election date for 21 December. [41]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution. [83] [84]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 28 | 28 | ||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 28 | 28 | ||
| Vox Parliamentary Group | Vox | 5 | 5 | ||
| United for Extremadura Parliamentary Group | IU | 3 | 4 | ||
| Podemos | 1 | ||||
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [85] [86] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system. [87]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PSOE | List | | Miguel Ángel Gallardo | Social democracy | 39.9% | 28 | [18] [88] [89] | ||
| PP | List
| | María Guardiola | Conservatism Christian democracy | 38.8% | 28 | [90] | ||
| Vox | List
| | Ángel Pelayo Gordillo | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 8.1% | 5 | [91] | ||
| Podemos– IU–AV | List
| | Irene de Miguel | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 6.0% | 4 | [90] [92] | ||
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET): [93]
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía [p 1] | 27–29 Oct 2025 | 802 | ? | 35.2 24 | 41.6 30 | 12.2 8 | 6.0 3 | – | 0.2 0 | [a] | [a] | 6.4 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía [p 2] | 29 Sep–25 Oct 2025 | 1,295 | ? | 37.9 26 | 41.0 30 | 12.7 9 | – | – | 0.3 0 | 1.4 0 | 4.5 0 | 3.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 3] | 16–31 May 2025 | 350 | ? | ? 26 | ? 29 | ? 6 | ? 4 | – | – | [a] | [a] | ? |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía [p 4] | 29 Apr–27 May 2025 | 1,295 | ? | 40.2 28 | 42.1 30 | 10.2 7 | – | – | 0.3 0 | 2.0 0 | 3.2 0 | 1.9 |
| El Mundo/Sigma Dos [p 5] | 9–22 May 2025 | 1,028 | ? | 36.7 25/26 | 41.8 29/30 | 9.3 6 | 6.6 4 | 3.1 0 | – | [a] | [a] | 5.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 6] | 18–23 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 72.1 | 39.4 29 | 43.5 32 | 6.8 4 | – | – | – | 2.4 0 | 2.9 0 | 4.1 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 46.9 | 36.6 (27) | 41.4 (31) | 10.0 (7) | – | 0.5 (0) | 0.5 (0) | 2.2 (0) | 2.5 (0) | 4.8 |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía [p 7] | 25 Nov–23 Dec 2023 | 1,295 | ? | 42.5 31 | 36.7 27 | 9.0 6 | – | 2.0 0 | 1.0 0 | 0.9 0 | 5.0 1 | 5.8 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 71.7 | 39.1 (27) | 37.9 (25) | 13.6 (9) | – | – | – | [b] | 6.9 (4) | 1.2 |
| PSOE [p 8] | 22 Jun 2023 | ? | ? | ? 30 | ? 28 | ? 3/4 | ? 3/4 | – | – | [a] | – | ? |
| EM-Analytics/Electomanía [p 9] | 28 May–22 Jun 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 42.2 30 | 37.0 27 | 8.5 5 | 5.2 3 | 2.7 0 | 0.9 0 | [a] | – | 5.2 |
| Data10/Okdiario [p 10] | 21 Jun 2023 | 1,500 | 65.8 | 42.9 31 | 41.1 30 | 6.6 4 | 4.6 0 | – | – | [a] | – | 1.8 |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 70.4 | 39.9 28 | 38.8 28 | 8.1 5 | 6.0 4 | 2.5 0 | 0.9 0 | [a] | – | 1.1 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | SALF | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS [p 11] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 442 | 21.6 | 27.2 | 8.8 | – | 1.1 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 27.7 | 5.0 | 5.6 |
| 2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 17.5 | 19.8 | 4.7 | – | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 | — | 51.7 | 2.3 |
| 2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 28.3 | 27.5 | 9.9 | – | [b] | 5.0 | – | — | 26.3 | 0.8 |
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 28.2 | 27.5 | 5.7 | 4.2 | [a] | – | – | — | 27.5 | 0.7 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Extremadura.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Vara PSOE | Gallardo PSOE | Guardiola PP | Gordillo Vox | De Miguel UxE | ||||||
| CIS [c] [p 11] | 7–31 Mar 2025 | 442 | 1.2 | 9.7 | 26.5 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 6.0 | 50.9 | 16.8 |
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | ||||||
| People's Party (PP) | ||||||
| Vox (Vox) | ||||||
| United for Extremadura We Can–United Left–Green Alliance (Podemos–IU–AV) | ||||||
| Together for Extremadura (JUEx) | ||||||
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | ||||||
| Raise Extremadura (Levanta) | ||||||
| Extremennist Party–Extremennists–Party of Extremadurans (PEx–EXT) | ||||||
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | ||||||
| Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA) | New | |||||
| Blank ballots | ||||||
| Total | 65 | ±0 | ||||
| Valid votes | ||||||
| Invalid votes | ||||||
| Votes cast / turnout | ||||||
| Abstentions | ||||||
| Registered voters | 890,967 | |||||
| Sources | ||||||
| Constituency | PSOE | PP | Vox | UxE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Badajoz | ||||||||
| Cáceres | ||||||||
| Total | ||||||||
| Sources | ||||||||