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All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura 33 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 889,836 1.2% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 626,033 (70.4%) 1.1 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Constituency results map for the Assembly of Extremadura | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2023 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The Assembly of Extremadura was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Extremadura, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Extremaduran Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1] Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish : Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote. [2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force. [3]
The 65 members of the Assembly of Extremadura were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies were also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they ran candidates in both districts and reached five percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations. [1] [4]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency was entitled the following seats: [5]
Seats | Constituencies |
---|---|
36 | Badajoz |
29 | Cáceres |
The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the DOE no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023. [1] [4] [6]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [1]
The election to the Assembly of Extremadura was officially triggered on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), setting the election date for 28 May. [5]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution. [7] [8]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 34 | 34 | ||
People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 20 | 20 | ||
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry Parliamentary Group | CS | 7 | 7 | ||
United for Extremadura Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 2 | 4 | ||
IU | 1 | ||||
eX | 1 |
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [4] [6]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
PSOE | List | Guillermo Fernández Vara | Social democracy | 46.77% | 34 | [9] | |||
PP | List
| María Guardiola | Conservatism Christian democracy | 27.48% | 20 | [10] [11] | |||
CS | List | Fernando Baselga | Liberalism | 11.11% | 7 | [12] [13] | |||
Podemos– IU–AV | List
| Irene de Miguel | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 7.20% | 4 | [14] | |||
Vox | List
| Ángel Pelayo | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 4.71% | 0 | [15] |
The only campaign debate was held on May 17 and had the participation of candidates from ten parties, an unusually high number. The PSOE candidate, and current president, Guillermo Fernández Vara, would have refused to participate in a debate that had not include all parties. The People's Party accused him of wanting to "hide" in such a large crowd. The chosen date was also criticized for coinciding with the semifinal of the UEFA Champions League, in which Real Madrid participated, which could reduce the audience for the debate. [16] [17]
Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present [a] | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PSOE | PP | CS | UP | Vox | L | PUM+J | JUEx | PEx | UED | Audience | Ref. | |||
17 May | Canal Extremadura | Manu Pérez | P F. Vara | P Guardiola | P Baselga | P de Miguel | P Pelayo | P Martín | P Blanco | P Granero | P González | P Caro | 8.6% (23,000) | [18] [19] |
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | L | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 70.4 | 39.9 28 | 38.8 28 | 0.9 0 | 6.0 4 | 8.1 5 | – | 2.5 0 | 0.8 0 | 1.1 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 1] | 22 May 2023 | ? | ? | 43.2 30/31 | 35.7 26/27 | – | 6.1 4 | 7.1 4 | – | 4.4 0/1 | – | 7.5 |
KeyData/Público [p 2] | 17 May 2023 | ? | 71.2 | 41.8 30 | 36.3 26 | 1.6 0 | 6.7 4 | 8.5 5 | – | – | – | 5.5 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 3] [p 4] | 11–17 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 43.3 31 | 35.7 25 | 1.8 0 | 6.8 4 | 9.4 5 | – | 2.2 0 | – | 7.6 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 5] | 12–15 May 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 42.2 29 | 37.8 27 | 1.7 0 | 6.3 4 | 8.8 5 | – | – | – | 4.4 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 6] | 8–14 May 2023 | ? | ? | 41.8 29/30 | 37.2 26/27 | 2.3 0 | 6.4 3/4 | 8.8 5/6 | – | – | – | 4.6 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 7] [p 8] | 4–10 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 43.0 31 | 35.9 25 | 1.8 0 | 6.8 4 | 9.4 5 | – | 2.2 0 | – | 7.1 |
GAD3/ABC [p 9] [20] | 28 Apr–3 May 2023 | 1,004 | ? | 40.3 29/30 | 37.4 27/28 | 1.6 0 | 6.8 3/4 | 8.6 4/5 | – | – | – | 2.9 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 10] [p 11] | 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 42.8 31 | 36.0 25 | 1.8 0 | 6.9 4 | 9.4 5 | – | 2.2 0 | – | 6.8 |
Ágora Integral/El Periódico [p 12] | 27 Apr–2 May 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 42.8 29/31 | 36.5 25/27 | 0.5 0 | 6.2 4 | 7.3 5 | – | 4.8 0/1 | – | 6.3 |
CIS [p 13] [p 14] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 743 | ? | 40.6 28/29 | 35.9 24/26 | 1.5 0 | 10.3 4/8 | 8.6 5/6 | – | – | – | 4.7 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 15] [p 16] | 19–25 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 42.8 30 | 35.7 25 | 1.9 0 | 6.7 4 | 9.4 6 | – | 2.4 0 | – | 7.1 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [p 17] | 12–19 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 39.4 28/29 | 34.2 24/25 | 2.5 0 | 7.4 5/6 | 9.0 6/7 | – | 3.3 0 | 2.2 0/1 | 5.2 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 18] [p 19] | 12–18 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 42.9 30 | 35.3 25 | 2.1 0 | 6.4 4 | 9.8 6 | – | 2.4 0 | – | 7.6 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 20] | 11–14 Apr 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 42.8 30 | 37.5 26 | 2.1 0 | 5.9 4 | 8.1 5 | – | – | – | 5.3 |
IMOP/El Confidencial [p 21] | 10–13 Apr 2023 | 822 | 70 | 42.4 30 | 33.6 24 | 2.5 0 | 6.8 4 | 10.5 7 | – | – | – | 8.8 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 22] [p 23] | 5–11 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 43.8 31 | 33.8 23 | 1.9 0 | 5.9 4 | 10.9 7 | – | 2.6 0 | – | 10.0 |
Celeste-Tel/PSOE [p 24] | 27 Mar–11 Apr 2023 | 1,500 | ? | ? 31 | ? 26 | ? 0 | ? 4 | ? 4 | – | – | – | ? |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 25] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | ? | 41.2 29/30 | 37.7 26/27 | 2.0 0 | 6.6 3 | 8.9 6 | – | – | – | 3.5 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 26] [p 27] | 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 600 | ? | 43.7 31 | 33.8 23 | 1.8 0 | 5.8 4 | 10.7 7 | – | 2.9 0 | – | 9.9 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 28] | 10–17 Mar 2023 | ? | 71.0 | 43.5 30 | 37.3 27 | – | 6.6 4 | 6.9 4 | – | – | – | 6.2 |
KeyData/Público [p 29] | 15 Mar 2023 | ? | 73.0 | 42.2 30 | 35.9 26 | 2.8 0 | 6.5 4 | 7.2 5 | – | – | – | 6.3 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 30] | 13–15 Feb 2023 | 1,500 | ? | 42.4 29 | 37.7 27 | 2.2 0 | 6.1 4 | 7.8 5 | – | – | – | 4.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 31] | 30 Nov–5 Dec 2022 | 900 | ? | 41.2 29/30 | 35.4 26/27 | 4.5 0/1 | 7.6 4/5 | 6.9 4 | – | – | – | 5.8 |
CIS [b] [p 32] [p 33] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 242 | ? | 36.9 24/32 | 41.4 26/35 | 1.0 0/2 | 7.3 0/6 | 4.4 0/5 | – | – | – | 4.5 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 34] | 1 Oct–13 Nov 2022 | 303 | ? | 43.3 30 | 31.5 23 | 1.5 0 | 5.4 3 | 13.5 9 | – | 3.6 0 | – | 11.8 |
GAD3/PP [p 35] [p 36] | 26–31 Oct 2022 | 802 | ? | 41.9 29/30 | 37.5 27/28 | 2.5 0 | 5.5 3/4 | 6.7 4/5 | – | – | – | 4.4 |
Celeste-Tel/PSOE [p 37] | 21 Sep–10 Oct 2022 | 1,800 | 72.6 | 45.2 31/33 | 33.5 23/25 | 4.3 0 | 6.6 4 | 7.8 5 | 0.9 0 | – | – | 11.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 38] | 30 Mar 2021 | 400 | ? | 45.4 32 | 31.9 23 | 3.5 0 | 5.5 3 | 11.4 7 | – | – | – | 13.5 |
SyM Consulting [p 39] | 12–14 Mar 2021 | 1,437 | 71.3 | 51.4 37/38 | 28.4 20/21 | 2.7 0 | 4.9 1 | 9.2 5/7 | – | – | – | 23.0 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 40] [p 41] | 1 Apr–15 May 2020 | ? | ? | 46.8 33 | 31.6 22 | 6.1 3 | 7.3 4 | 5.4 3 | – | – | – | 15.2 |
SyM Consulting [p 42] [p 43] | 7–9 May 2020 | 1,496 | 71.8 | 44.9 32 | 28.2 17/18 | 7.8 4/5 | 7.0 5/6 | 9.5 5/6 | – | – | – | 16.7 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 67.2 | 38.3 27 | 26.0 17 | 7.6 5 | 9.1 5 | 16.8 11 | – | – | – | 12.3 |
2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.3 | 46.8 34 | 27.5 20 | 11.1 7 | 7.2 4 | 4.7 0 | – | – | – | 19.3 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 28.2 | 27.5 | 0.6 | 4.2 | 5.7 | — | 27.5 | 0.7 |
CIS [p 13] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 743 | 29.1 | 24.7 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 4.4 |
CIS [p 32] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 242 | 20.9 | 26.7 | 0.4 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 29.4 | 6.9 | 5.8 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 26.0 | 17.7 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 11.4 | — | 30.9 | 8.3 |
2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 32.9 | 19.4 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 3.3 | — | 28.7 | 13.5 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Regional Government of Extremadura.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
F. Vara PSOE | Guardiola PP | Baselga CS | De Miguel UP | Pelayo Vox | ||||||
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 25] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,200 | 54.6 | 26.5 | 6.2 | 7.1 | 5.6 | – | – | 28.1 |
Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 244,227 | 39.90 | –6.87 | 28 | –6 | |
People's Party (PP) | 237,384 | 38.78 | +11.30 | 28 | +8 | |
Vox (Vox) | 49,798 | 8.13 | +3.42 | 5 | +5 | |
United for Extremadura We Can–United Left–Green Alliance (Podemos–IU–AV) | 36,836 | 6.01 | –1.19 | 4 | ±0 | |
Together for Extremadura (JUEx) | 15,559 | 2.54 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) | 5,463 | 0.89 | –10.22 | 0 | –7 | |
Raise Extremadura (Levanta)1 | 4,679 | 0.76 | +0.11 | 0 | ±0 | |
A Worthy Extremadura (UED) | 2,289 | 0.37 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Cáceres Alive (Cáceres Viva) | 2,117 | 0.34 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
We Are Cáceres (Somos Cc) | 1,975 | 0.32 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Extremennist Party–Extremennists–Party of Extremadurans (PEx–EXT) | 1,892 | 0.30 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,156 | 0.18 | +0.09 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 8,721 | 1.42 | +0.51 | |||
Total | 612,096 | 65 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 612,096 | 97.77 | –0.90 | |||
Invalid votes | 13,937 | 2.23 | +0.90 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 626,033 | 70.35 | +1.09 | |||
Abstentions | 263,803 | 29.65 | –1.09 | |||
Registered voters | 889,836 | |||||
Sources [21] [22] | ||||||
Footnotes:
|
Constituency | PSOE | PP | Vox | UP | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
Badajoz | 41.2 | 16 | 38.0 | 15 | 8.0 | 3 | 6.0 | 2 |
Cáceres | 37.7 | 12 | 40.1 | 13 | 8.4 | 2 | 6.1 | 2 |
Total | 39.9 | 28 | 38.8 | 28 | 8.1 | 5 | 6.0 | 4 |
Sources [21] [22] |
Investiture María Guardiola (PP) | ||
Ballot → | 14 July 2023 | |
---|---|---|
Required majority → | 33 out of 65 | |
33 / 65 | ||
32 / 65 | ||
Abstentions | 0 / 65 | |
Absentees | 0 / 65 | |
Sources [23] |
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