| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament 38 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Registered | 1,795,213 0.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Turnout | 1,077,456 (60.0%) 9.2 pp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Election result by constituency | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The 2024 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 21 April 2024, to elect the 13th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
This election was the first since 2009 not to see Iñigo Urkullu as the leading candidate of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV), after the party chose to replace the incumbent Lehendakari with a low profile politician at the provincial level, Imanol Pradales, following 12 years of uninterrupted government. The main opposition, EH Bildu, also ran under a new candidate, Pello Otxandiano, amid speculation that long-time leader Arnaldo Otegi could have led the candidacy following the end of his disqualification from running for public office. All other parliamentary parties but Podemos and Vox also ran under new candidates: Eneko Andueza by the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), Javier de Andrés by the People's Party (PP)—with the PP+Cs alliance being discontinued and Citizens (CS) deciding not to contest the election—and Alba García by Sumar.
The results showed a close race between the PNV and EH Bildu, with the latter slightly underperforming opinion polls but securing a large increase in its popular support. The PSE–EE, which had been the junior partner to the PNV-led government since 2016, saw an unexpected increase in support to secure its best result since 2012. The PP increased its seat totals by one compared to the PP+Cs results in 2020, whereas the dissolution of the Elkarrekin Podemos alliance saw Sumar clinging on to one seat and Podemos losing all its representation. Vox was able to retain its seat for Álava.
The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari. [1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Spanish : Voto rogado), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote. [2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force. [3]
The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, with each being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats in order to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces, as required under the regional statute of autonomy. [1] [4]
The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 12 July 2024. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 18 June 2024 with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 11 August 2024. [1] [4]
The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called. [5]
Following the announcement by Galician president Alfonso Rueda of a snap election in Galicia for 18 February 2024, [6] Urkullu was asked whether he would follow suit and make both elections be held simultaneously—as it had been the case since 2009. [7] To this, he simply stated that "the Basque Country is not Galicia", distancing himself from Rueda's decision. [8] Instead, it was expected that the Basque election would most likely be held in March or April 2024, to allow for more time to approve a final set of bills in the Basque Parliament as well as to avoid a simultaneous call with the European Parliament election on 9 June. [9] [10]
The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 27 February 2024 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOPV, setting the election date for 21 April. [11]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution. [12]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group | EAJ/PNV | 31 | 31 | ||
EH Bildu Parliamentary Group | EH Bildu | 21 | 21 | ||
Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group | PSE–EE (PSOE) | 10 | 10 | ||
Elkarrekin Podemos–IU Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 4 | 6 | ||
EzAn–IU | 2 | ||||
Basque People's Parliamentary Group [14] | PP | 5 [c] | 5 | ||
Mixed Group | Vox | 1 | 2 | ||
CS | 1 |
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [4] [16]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET): [4] [16] [27]
Party or alliance | Original slogan | English translation | Ref. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
EAJ/PNV | « Aukeratu Euskadi. Elige Bienestar » | "Choose the Basque Country. Choose wellbeing" | [28] | |
EH Bildu | « Aldaketa da orain. El futuro en tus manos » | "The change is now. The future in your hands" | ||
PSE–EE (PSOE) | « Vota al que decide. Erabakia zurea » | "Vote for the one who decides. The decision is yours" | [28] | |
Podemos–AV | « Elige izquierda » | "Choose the left" | ||
Sumar | « Es tu tiempo. Euskadi berria » | "It's your time. The new Basque Country" | [29] | |
PP | « Por una Euskadi abierta/Euskadi ireki baten alde » | "For an open Basque Country" | [30] | |
Vox | « Sabes que es verdad » | "You know it's true" | [31] |
Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present [e] S Surrogate [f] NI Not invited A Absent invitee | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNV | EH Bildu | PSE–EE | Podemos | Sumar | PP | Vox | Audience | Ref. | |||
9 April | Coordinadora de ONGD de Euskadi | Begoña Beristain | S Legarreta | S Urrea | S Gallastegi | S Gorritxo | S Martínez | S Garrido | NI | — | [32] |
9 April | RTVE | Xabier Fortes Teresa Aguiló | S Díez | S Kortajarena | P Andueza | S De Uralde | P García | P De Andrés | P Martínez | 14.2% (83,000) [g] | [35] |
10 April | Cadena SER | Eva Domaika | S Díez | S De Eguilaz | S Jilete | NI | NI | S López | NI | — | [36] |
10 April | EITB [h] | Nerea Reparaz | P Pradales | P Otxandiano | P Andueza | P Gorrotxategi | S Larrea | S Garrido | A | 4.0% | [37] [38] |
12 April | AMPEA | Eva Silván | S Melgosa | S Etxebarrieta | S Jilete | S González | S García | S Garrido | NI | — | [39] |
12 April | Cadena SER | Eva Domaika | S Díez | S Rodriguez | S Itxaso | S Soto | S Martínez | S Morales | A | — | [40] |
15 April | El Diario Vasco | Estrella Vallejo Javier Roldán | P Pradales | P Otxandiano | P Andueza | S Soto | P García | P De Andrés | NI | — | [41] |
16 April | EITB | África Baeta Xabier García Ramsden | P Pradales | P Otxandiano | P Andueza | P Gorrotxategi | P García | P De Andrés | P Martínez | 17.4% (86,000) | [37] [42] |
17 April | UN Etxea EGK | Iratxe Uriarte | S Díez | S Del Valle | S Blanco | S Mestraitua | S Alonso | S Velasco | NI | — | [43] [44] |
17 April | Cadena SER | Eva Domaika | S Olano | S Rodriguez | S Corcuera | S Soto | S Hernández | S Gotxi | A | — | [45] |
18 April | El Correo | Marta Madruga Olatz Barriuso | P Pradales | P Otxandiano | P Andueza | P Gorrotxategi | P García | P De Andrés | P Martínez | — | [46] |
19 April | Cadena SER | Jon Egaña | P Pradales | P Otxandiano | P Andueza | P Gorrotxategi | P García | P De Andrés | P Martínez | — | [47] |
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | PNV | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 regional election | 21 Apr 2024 | — | 60.0 | 34.8 27 | 32.1 27 | 14.1 12 | 2.2 0 | – | 2.0 1 | 9.2 7 | – | 3.3 1 | 2.7 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 1] [p 2] | 15–21 Apr 2024 | 3,608 | ? | 35.7 26/28 | 32.9 26/28 | 14.3 10/12 | 3.6 1/2 | – | 1.6 0 | 8.4 7 | – | 2.6 0/2 | 2.8 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 3] | 13–20 Apr 2024 | 2,104 | ? | 34.2 26/28 | 33.4 27/29 | 13.7 10/11 | 3.0 0/2 | – | 2.0 0/1 | 8.6 7/8 | – | 3.6 1/3 | 0.8 |
KeyData/Público [p 4] | 15 Apr 2024 | ? | 62.7 | 34.7 28 | 34.5 29 | 13.2 10 | 2.3 0 | – | 1.8 0/1 | 8.5 6/7 | – | 3.1 1 | 0.2 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 5] | 14–15 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | 61 | 34.2 27 | 34.4 29 | 13.1 10 | 2.2 0 | – | 2.3 1 | 8.4 7 | – | 3.1 1 | 0.2 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 6] | 10–14 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 33.9 27/28 | 34.8 28/29 | 13.5 10/11 | 2.3 0 | – | 2.0 0/1 | 8.1 6/7 | – | 3.4 0/3 | 0.9 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 7] | 27 Mar–13 Apr 2024 | 1,391 | ? | 34.7 28 | 34.1 29 | 12.9 10 | 2.8 0 | – | 2.0 1 | 9.4 7 | – | 2.9 0 | 0.6 |
Target Point/El Debate [p 8] | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 1,001 | ? | 35.2 28/29 | 33.9 27/28 | 13.3 10/11 | 2.0 0 | – | 1.7 0/1 | 8.3 7/8 | – | 3.5 0/2 | 1.3 |
DYM/Henneo [p 9] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,221 | ? | 35.6 28/29 | 36.0 28/29 | 13.7 9/10 | 1.8 0/1 | – | ? 0 | 9.6 7/8 | – | 2.3 0/1 | 0.4 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 10] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 66.7 | 35.3 28/29 | 34.3 28/29 | 12.3 10 | 2.4 0 | – | 1.9 0/1 | 8.8 7/8 | – | 3.2 0/1 | 1.0 |
GAD3/ABC [p 11] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 800 | ? | 35.6 27/29 | 34.2 28/30 | 12.6 10 | 2.6 0/1 | – | 2.2 0/1 | 7.5 6/7 | – | 2.9 0/2 | 1.3 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 12] | 1–12 Apr 2024 | 1,489 | ? | 34.8 26/28 | 34.1 28/30 | 13.6 10/11 | 2.0 0/1 | – | 2.4 0/1 | 8.5 7/8 | – | 3.3 0/2 | 0.7 |
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli [p 13] | 8–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 66.1 | 34.8 28 | 33.9 29 | 12.5 10 | 2.3 0 | – | 2.3 1 | 8.3 7 | – | 2.9 0 | 0.9 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 14] | 5–11 Apr 2024 | 1,800 | 60.8 | 34.2 26/27 | 34.9 28/29 | 14.0 10/12 | 2.4 0 | – | 1.5 0 | 7.7 7 | – | 3.8 1/2 | 0.5 |
40dB/Prisa [p 15] [p 16] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 34.5 27/28 | 35.4 28/31 | 13.4 10/11 | 2.3 0 | – | 1.9 0/1 | 8.2 6/7 | – | 2.2 0 | 0.9 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [p 17] | 3–10 Apr 2024 | 946 | 56.0 | 33.8 27/28 | 34.4 28/29 | 12.8 9/10 | 3.0 0/1 | – | 2.0 0 | 7.8 6/7 | – | 3.6 2/3 | 0.6 |
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero [p 18] | 4–9 Apr 2024 | 1,100 | 65.2 | 35.5 28 | 33.9 29 | 13.2 10 | 1.9 0 | – | 1.8 0 | 8.4 7 | – | 3.0 1 | 1.6 |
CIS [p 19] [p 20] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | ? | 32.6– 33.5 | 34.2– 35.1 | 13.3– 14.1 | 3.1– 3.2 | – | 2.7– 3.0 | 6.7– 7.0 | – | 3.1– 3.6 | 1.6 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 21] | 5–6 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 33.7 27 | 33.6 28 | 13.2 10 | 2.7 1 | – | 2.2 1 | 8.7 7 | – | 3.2 1 | 0.1 |
GAD3/Mediaset [p 22] [p 23] | 1–5 Apr 2024 | 800 | ? | 35.8 28/29 | 34.2 28/30 | 14.2 10/12 | 2.4 0 | – | ? 0 | 7.8 6/7 | – | ? 0 | 1.6 |
Ikerfel/El Diario Vasco [p 24] | 26 Mar–5 Apr 2024 | 2,400 | 63.2 | 33.8 27 | 34.2 27/28 | 13.3 10/11 | 2.6 0 | – | 2.1 0/1 | 8.6 6/7 | – | 3.8 3 | 0.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 25] | 25 Mar–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 62.6 | 35.9 28/29 | 33.0 27/28 | 13.0 10 | 2.8 0 | – | 1.7 0/1 | 8.6 8 | – | 3.0 0/1 | 2.9 |
KeyData/Público [p 26] | 4 Apr 2024 | ? | 61.6 | 35.3 28/29 | 33.2 29 | 13.3 10 | 2.5 0 | – | 1.9 0/1 | 8.7 7 | – | 3.0 0/1 | 2.1 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 27] | 18 Mar–4 Apr 2024 | 2,089 | ? | 35.0 28 | 32.6 26/28 | 13.4 10/11 | 2.0 0 | – | 2.1 0 | 9.8 7/8 | – | 3.6 1/3 | 2.4 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 28] | 18–26 Mar 2024 | 1,798 | ? | 34.8 27/28 | 32.9 26/27 | 13.3 10/11 | 2.9 0/1 | – | 1.8 0 | 10.0 7/10 | – | 3.2 0/2 | 1.9 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 29] | 1–26 Mar 2024 | 1,391 | ? | 34.1 28 | 33.9 28 | 12.4 10 | 2.6 0 | – | 2.3 1 | 8.6 7 | – | 3.2 1 | 0.2 |
CIS (SocioMétrica) [i] [48] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | ? | 37.8 30/31 | 31.1 27/28 | 11.3 8/9 | 2.2 0 | – | 3.3 1 | 8.2 6/7 | – | 3.0 1 | 6.7 |
CIS [p 30] [p 31] | ? | 36.1 30/31 | 33.0 28/29 | 13.1 10/11 | 2.5 0/1 | – | 1.9 0/1 | 7.7 5/6 | – | 3.7 0/2 | 3.1 | ||
Ikerfel/GPS [p 32] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 3,030 | 61.2 | 35.7 29 | 33.7 29 | 13.1 10 | 2.4 0 | – | 1.9 0 | 7.5 6 | – | 2.8 1 | 2.0 |
40dB/Prisa [p 33] [p 34] | 15–19 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 34.2 25/28 | 33.7 27/28 | 13.8 11/12 | 2.8 0/1 | – | 2.1 1 | 8.1 6/7 | – | 3.0 0/2 | 0.5 |
Aztiker/Gara [p 35] [p 36] | 11–18 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | ? | 33.4 26/28 | 34.0 28/30 | 13.9 11/12 | 3.0 0/1 | – | 2.2 0/1 | 8.5 6/7 | – | 3.1 1/2 | 0.6 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 37] | 8–14 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | 61.2 | 36.0 27/28 | 32.7 27/28 | 14.2 11 | 3.7 2 | – | 1.4 0 | 8.3 7 | – | 2.9 0 | 3.3 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 38] | 1–14 Mar 2024 | 1,284 | ? | 34.0 28 | 34.4 28 | 12.0 10 | 2.4 0 | – | 2.5 1 | 9.3 7 | – | 3.4 1 | 0.4 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 39] | 1–14 Mar 2024 | 1,207 | ? | 34.3 26/28 | 32.3 26/27 | 14.7 11 | 0.9 0 | – | 1.3 0 | 10.1 7/8 | – | 6.0 3 | 2.0 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 40] | 16–28 Feb 2024 | 1,301 | ? | 33.9 27 | 34.2 28 | 11.5 9 | 2.4 0 | – | 2.5 1 | 9.0 7 | – | 4.0 3 | 0.3 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 41] | 2–15 Feb 2024 | 1,287 | ? | 34.1 27 | 31.5 26 | 14.6 11 | 2.1 0 | – | 2.6 1 | 8.9 7 | – | 5.1 3 | 2.6 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 42] | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 3,030 | 60.9 | 34.6 27 | 32.4 27 | 14.2 11 | 3.0 1 | – | 2.5 1 | 7.7 6 | – | 2.7 2 | 2.2 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 43] | 18 Jan–1 Feb 2024 | 1,392 | ? | 33.5 25 | 31.0 26 | 15.3 13 | 0.8 0 | – | 2.2 1 | 9.2 7 | – | 5.3 3 | 2.5 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 44] [p 45] | 24–29 Jan 2024 | 1,800 | 64.2 | 35.8 28 | 32.1 26 | 14.8 12 | 4.0 2 | – | 1.6 0 | 7.3 6 | – | 3.2 1 | 3.7 |
64.2 | 35.8 27 | 32.1 26 | 14.8 11 | [j] | – | 1.6 0 | 7.3 6 | – | 7.2 5 | 3.7 | |||
Ikerfel/El Diario Vasco [p 46] | 19–26 Jan 2024 | 2,400 | ? | ? 25/26 | ? 27/28 | ? 11/12 | ? 0 | – | ? 0/1 | ? 6/8 | – | ? 3 | ? |
59.9 | 34.3 25/26 | 33.0 27 | 15.0 11/12 | [j] | – | 1.6 0/1 | 7.2 5/6 | – | 7.1 4/6 | 1.3 | |||
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 47] | 1 Dec–17 Jan 2024 | 1,470 | ? | 33.4 26 | 31.7 27 | 14.4 11 | 1.0 0 | – | 2.5 1 | 8.9 7 | – | 5.7 3 | 1.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 48] | 26 Dec–9 Jan 2024 | 1,200 | ? | 35.8 28 | 32.0 24/25 | 15.2 11/13 | – | – | 1.3 0 | 8.3 6/7 | – | 7.0 4 | 3.8 |
ElectoPanel/Crónica Vasca [p 49] | 1 Dec–4 Jan 2024 | 1,470 | ? | 32.8 26 | 31.9 27 | 14.2 11 | 1.4 0 | – | 2.5 1 | 9.6 7 | – | 6.3 3 | 0.9 |
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli [p 50] | 20–27 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 65 | 37.1 28 | 32.1 26 | 10.6 8 | [j] | – | 2.9 1 | 10.6 9 | – | 4.9 3 | 5.0 |
Aztiker/Gara [p 51] [p 52] | 7–20 Dec 2023 | 1,800 | ? | 31.5 24/25 | 32.1 24/27 | 15.3 11/12 | [j] | – | 2.8 1 | 9.4 6/8 | – | 7.7 6 | 0.6 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 53] | 21–24 Nov 2023 | 3,030 | 62.0 | 37.1 29 | 29.9 25 | 14.3 11 | 6.5 3 | – | 2.1 0 | 8.0 7 | – | – | 7.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 54] | 29 Oct–24 Nov 2023 | 1,390 | ? | 32.4 25 | 32.9 26 | 14.4 11 | 7.6 5 | – | 2.5 1 | 9.5 7 | – | – | 0.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 55] | 13–15 Sep 2023 | 800 | ? | 32.1 25 | 32.5 27 | 17.0 13 | 5.1 3 | – | 2.8 1 | 7.9 6 | 1.1 0 | – | 0.4 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 65.1 | 24.0 (17) | 23.9 (18) | 25.3 (20) | [j] | – | 2.6 (1) | 11.6 (10) | – | 11.1 (9) | 1.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 56] | 28 May–15 Jun 2023 | 5,804 | ? | 34.7 28 | 31.2 24 | 12.3 9 | 9.2 6 | – | 2.6 1 | 9.5 7 | – | – | 3.5 |
2023 foral elections | 28 May 2023 | — | 60.0 | 34.5 (26) | 28.8 (24) | 16.2 (13) | 7.0 (5) | – | 1.5 (1) | 8.9 (7) | – | – | 5.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 57] | 15 Mar–29 Apr 2022 | 228 | ? | 36.2 28 | 29.0 24 | 12.2 9 | 8.8 6 | 8.6 7 | 2.0 1 | [k] | [k] | – | 7.2 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 58] [p 59] | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 3,333 | 55.2 | 39.3 31 | 27.3 22 | 14.3 12 | 7.0 4 | – | 2.7 1 | 6.2 5 | – | – | 12.0 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 60] [p 61] | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 3,333 | 55.5 | 39.6 31 | 27.5 23 | 14.0 10 | 6.7 4 | – | 2.2 1 | 6.7 6 | – | – | 12.1 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 62] [p 63] | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 3,333 | 56.2 | 39.4 31 | 27.7 23 | 13.9 11 | 6.8 4 | 6.9 5 | 1.9 1 | [k] | [k] | – | 11.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 64] | 15 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | 40.0 31 | 27.3 23 | 13.5 10 | 6.4 4 | 8.2 7 | 1.7 0 | [k] | [k] | – | 12.7 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 65] [p 66] | 17–21 May 2021 | 3,333 | 55.1 | 39.0 31 | 27.5 22 | 13.6 10 | 6.6 4 | 7.7 7 | 1.7 1 | [k] | [k] | – | 11.5 |
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 50.8 | 38.7 31 | 27.6 21 | 13.5 10 | 8.0 6 | 6.7 6 | 1.9 1 | [k] | [k] | – | 11.1 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | Lead | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 regional election | 21 Apr 2024 | — | 21.6 | 20.0 | 8.7 | 1.2 | – | 1.4 | 5.7 | 2.0 | — | 37.5 | 1.6 |
DYM/Henneo [p 67] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,221 | 17.7 | 25.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | – | 1.5 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 20.9 | 8.2 | 7.5 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 68] | 5–11 Apr 2024 | 1,800 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | – | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 5.0 |
40dB/Prisa [p 16] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 19.6 | 19.9 | 12.0 | 3.5 | – | 2.6 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 19.5 | 8.9 | 0.3 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [p 17] | 3–10 Apr 2024 | 946 | 18.7 | 22.3 | 9.8 | – | – | – | 4.9 | – | 18.6 | – | 3.6 |
CIS [p 19] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | 22.8 | 25.2 | 8.9 | 1.9 | – | 1.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 26.3 | 5.2 | 2.4 |
CIS [p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 27.9 | 25.9 | 10.1 | 1.9 | – | 1.6 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 19.4 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 32] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 3,030 | 18.7 | 18.7 | 5.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 40.3 | 11.7 | Tie |
40dB/Prisa [p 34] | 15–19 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 20.9 | 18.9 | 9.7 | 3.3 | – | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 25.2 | 5.7 | 2.0 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 69] | 8–14 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | 22.5 | 26.9 | 5.0 | 1.3 | – | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 29.9 | 9.7 | 4.4 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 42] | 30 Jan–2 Feb 2024 | 3,030 | 21.3 | 19.8 | 7.6 | 1.3 | – | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 30.6 | 12.1 | 1.5 |
Gizaker/EITB [p 70] | 24–29 Jan 2024 | 1,800 | 23.2 | 25.2 | 5.2 | 1.8 | – | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 28.6 | 10.4 | 2.0 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 53] | 21–24 Nov 2023 | 3,030 | 23.5 | 19.5 | 6.9 | 2.8 | – | 0.6 | 3.2 | – | 30.6 | 10.8 | 4.0 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 16.1 | 16.1 | 17.0 | [j] | – | 1.8 | 7.7 | 7.4 | — | 32.4 | 0.9 |
2023 foral elections | 28 May 2023 | — | 20.4 | 17.0 | 9.6 | 4.1 | – | 0.9 | 5.2 | – | — | 40.0 | 3.4 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 58] | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 3,333 | 24.1 | 13.9 | 7.7 | 4.9 | – | 0.8 | 1.0 | – | 31.4 | 13.0 | 10.2 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 60] | 29 Nov–3 Dec 2021 | 3,333 | 27.9 | 14.6 | 6.5 | 4.6 | – | 0.7 | 1.5 | – | 28.8 | 12.2 | 13.3 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 62] | 27 Sep–1 Oct 2021 | 3,333 | 26.6 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | [k] | – | 32.1 | 11.5 | 12.1 |
Ikerfel/GPS [p 65] | 17–21 May 2021 | 3,333 | 24.9 | 13.9 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | [k] | – | 30.6 | 15.2 | 11.0 |
2020 regional election | 12 Jul 2020 | — | 20.3 | 14.5 | 7.1 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.0 | [k] | – | — | 47.1 | 5.8 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | Other/ None | Lead | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CIS [p 19] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | 29.8 | 29.0 | 10.6 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 5.1 | 15.6 | 1.8 |
CIS [p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 34.9 | 30.0 | 10.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 5.0 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 9.9 | 4.9 |
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | Other/ None | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GAD3/Mediaset [p 22] | 8 Apr 2024 | ? | 72.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 9.3 | 63.0 |
CIS [p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 60.5 | 27.2 | 2.0 | – | 0.9 | 9.3 | 33.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 71] | 31 Dec–12 Jan 2024 | 4,250 | 32.7 | 55.7 | – | – | – | 11.6 | 23.0 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pradales PNV | Otxan. EH Bildu | Andueza PSE–EE | Gorrotx. Podemos | De Andrés PP | Martínez Vox | García Sumar | ||||||
DYM/Henneo [p 67] | 8–12 Apr 2024 | 1,221 | 28.0 | 30.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 41.1 | 2.9 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 72] | 5–11 Apr 2024 | 1,800 | 27.8 | 27.0 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | – | 38.6 | 0.8 |
40dB/Prisa [p 16] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,200 | 23.5 | 19.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 13.3 | 19.2 | 3.7 |
CIS [p 19] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 4,025 | 28.2 | 26.8 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 19.4 | 1.4 |
CIS [p 30] | 18–22 Mar 2024 | 4,998 | 30.4 | 26.1 | 8.2 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 7.9 | 18.3 | 4.3 |
40dB/Prisa [p 34] | 15–19 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 24.8 | 21.5 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 11.0 | 20.2 | 3.3 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 73] | 8–14 Mar 2024 | 1,800 | 26.0 | 26.1 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | – | 40.2 | 0.1 |
Gizaker/EiTB [p 45] | 24–29 Jan 2024 | 1,800 | 25.4 | 25.3 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | – | 39.3 | 0.1 |
The table below shows registered vote turnout on election day without including voters from the Census of Absent-Residents (CERA). Compared to past elections, 2024 elections turnout data are to be gathered at 13:00 and 18:00 (instead of 12:00 and 17:00 at previous elections). [49]
Province | Time | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
13:00 [l] | 18:00 [m] | 20:00 | |||||||
2020 | 2024 | +/– | 2020 | 2024 | +/– | 2020 | 2024 | +/– | |
Álava | 13.51% | 25.93% | +12.42 | 33.21% | 48.73% | +15.52 | 50.31% | 61.11% | +10.80 |
Biscay | 13.49% | 27.43% | +13.94 | 36.40% | 51.87% | +15.47 | 52.52% | 63.41% | +10.89 |
Gipuzkoa | 15.48% | 30.02% | +14.54 | 36.67% | 50.73% | +14.06 | 54.57% | 61.71% | +7.14 |
Total | 14.14% | 28.05% | +13.91 | 36.02% | 51.03% | +15.01 | 52.86% | 62.52% | +9.66 |
Sources [50] |
Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV) | 372,456 | 34.82 | –3.88 | 27 | –4 | |
Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu) | 343,609 | 32.13 | +4.53 | 27 | +6 | |
Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) | 150,752 | 14.09 | +0.57 | 12 | +2 | |
People's Party (PP)1 | 98,144 | 9.18 | +2.47 | 7 | +1 | |
Unite (Sumar)2 | 35,402 | 3.31 | n/a | 1 | –1 | |
United We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos/Ahal Dugu–AV)2 | 23,888 | 2.23 | n/a | 0 | –4 | |
Vox (Vox) | 21,696 | 2.03 | +0.05 | 1 | ±0 | |
Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)3 | 5,585 | 0.52 | –0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB/AZ) | 3,112 | 0.29 | +0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 1,683 | 0.16 | +0.04 | 0 | ±0 | |
To Be (Izan) | 1,419 | 0.13 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE/ELAK) | 666 | 0.06 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
Humanist Party (PH) | 475 | 0.04 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
Welcome (OE) | 187 | 0.02 | +0.01 | 0 | ±0 | |
Blank ballots | 10,523 | 0.98 | +0.04 | |||
Total | 1,069,597 | 75 | ±0 | |||
Valid votes | 1,069,597 | 99.27 | +0.01 | |||
Invalid votes | 7,859 | 0.73 | –0.01 | |||
Votes cast / turnout | 1,077,456 | 60.02 | +9.24 | |||
Abstentions | 717,757 | 39.98 | –9.24 | |||
Registered voters | 1,795,213 | |||||
Sources [51] | ||||||
Footnotes:
|
Constituency | PNV | EH Bildu | PSE–EE | PP | Sumar | Vox | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
% | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |||
Álava | 26.7 | 7 | 29.1 | 8 | 16.2 | 4 | 15.9 | 4 | 3.7 | 1 | 3.7 | 1 | ||
Biscay | 39.1 | 11 | 28.3 | 8 | 13.9 | 4 | 9.0 | 2 | 3.3 | − | 1.9 | − | ||
Gipuzkoa | 31.4 | 9 | 39.8 | 11 | 13.4 | 4 | 6.4 | 1 | 3.1 | − | 1.5 | − | ||
Total | 34.8 | 27 | 32.1 | 27 | 14.1 | 12 | 9.2 | 7 | 3.3 | 1 | 2.0 | 1 | ||
Sources [51] |
The results were announced after polls in the region closed, with PNV securing the most votes, but finished with a tie with EH Bildu at 27 seats. [52]
Investiture | |||||
Ballot → | 20 June 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Required majority → | 38 out of 75 | ||||
39 / 75 | |||||
| 27 / 75 | ||||
9 / 75 | |||||
Absentees | 0 / 75 | ||||
Sources [53] |
The 2005 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 17 April 2005, to elect the 8th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
The 2009 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 1 March 2009, to elect the 9th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia. It would be the first time that the elections for two of the Spanish "historical regions"—namely, those comprising Andalusia, Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country itself—were held simultaneously. This would evolve into an unwritten convention in subsequent years, with Basque and Galician elections being held concurrently in 2012, 2016 and 2020.
The 2001 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 13 May 2001, to elect the 7th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
The 1998 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 25 October 1998, to elect the 6th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
The 1986 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 30 November 1986, to elect the 3rd Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
The 2012 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 21 October 2012, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia. Lehendakari Patxi López announced the parliament's dissolution half a year ahead of schedule as a result of the People's Party (PP) withdrawing their support from his government, prompting Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo, who had been scheduling a snap election in Galicia to be held at some point throughout late 2012, to make his decision to have a simultaneous vote.
EH Bildu, short for Euskal Herria Bildu, is a left-wing, Basque nationalist and pro-independence federation of political parties in Spain. It is the main political force of the abertzale left in Spain. EH Bildu is active in the Spanish Basque Country, that is, in the Basque Autonomous Community and Chartered Community of Navarre, as well as in the Treviño enclave of the Burgos Province. In the French Basque Country, it has an alliance with the party Euskal Herria Bai, with the goal of establishing a state for the Basque Country across the Spanish-French border.
The 2016 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 25 September 2016, to elect the 11th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia. Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu announced that the election would be held one month ahead of schedule, on 25 September 2016, based on the "climate of ungovernability" affecting national politics as a result of the ongoing Spanish government formation negotiations, intending to move the regional election as far away as possible from a possible new general election. This prompted Galician president Alberto Núñez Feijóo to hold the Galician regional election in the same date.
The 2020 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 12 July 2020, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was initially scheduled for 5 April 2020 but was postponed as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. It was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia.
In the run up to the April 2019 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities and constituencies in Spain during the term of the 12th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 26 June 2016, to the day the next election was held, on 28 April 2019.
The 2024 European Parliament election in Spain was held on Sunday, 9 June 2024, as part of the EU-wide election to elect the 10th European Parliament. All 61 seats allocated to Spain as per the Treaty of Lisbon and the 2023 Council Decision establishing the composition of the European Parliament were up for election.
In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and the three foral deputations in the Basque Country are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.
The 2024 Galician regional election was held on Sunday, 18 February 2024, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and the three foral deputations in the Basque Country are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.
The 12th Basque Parliament is the current meeting of the Basque Parliament. Its membership was determined by the results of the 2020 regional election held on 12 July 2020. It met for the first time on 3 August 2020.
The next Basque regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 21 May 2028, to elect the 14th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.
Imanol Pradales Gil is a Basque sociologist, university teacher and politician from Spain, member of the Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ-PNV). He serves as Lehendakari of the Basque Government from 2024.
Alba María García Martín is a Spanish psychologist, anti-racism activist, and politician. She is the current general coordinator of the Sumar Mugimendua political party.
Podemos Euskadi-Ahal Dugu Euskadi is a left-wing to far-left political party in the Basque Autonomous Community in Spain. It is the Basque federation of the Spanish state-level political party Podemos.
Ricardo Vaquero Moreno, known as Richar Vaquero, is a Basque social educator, educational psychologist and politician.