| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
All 135 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 68 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Opinion polls | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
The next Madrilenian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 23 May 2027, to elect the 14th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 135 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.
The Assembly of Madrid is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Madrid, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Madrilenian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1] Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
All members of the Assembly of Madrid are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied regionally. The Assembly is entitled to one member per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000. [1] [2]
The term of the Assembly of Madrid expires four years after the date of its previous election, with elections to the Assembly being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous ordinary election was held on 28 May 2023, setting the election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 23 May 2027. [1] [2] [3]
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements are met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances will not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remains of their four-year terms. [1]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Assembly at the present time. [4]
Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Total | ||||
People's Parliamentary Group of the Assembly of Madrid | PP | 70 | 70 | ||
More Madrid Parliamentary Group | MM | 25 | 27 | ||
VQ | 2 | ||||
Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 27 | 27 | ||
Vox Parliamentary Group in Madrid | Vox | 11 | 11 |
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [2] [3]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||||
PP | List
| Isabel Díaz Ayuso | Conservatism Christian democracy | 47.32% | 70 | ||||
MM–VQ | List
| Manuela Bergerot | Progressivism Participatory democracy Green politics | 18.36% | 27 | [5] | |||
PSOE | List | Óscar López | Social democracy | 18.18% | 27 | [6] [7] | |||
Vox | List
| José Antonio Fúster | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 7.35% | 11 | [8] |
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 68 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | SALF | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 1] | 28 Oct–27 Nov 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 45.9 66 | 18.9 27 | 18.7 27 | 10.5 15 | 3.9 0 | 0.9 0 | – | – | 27.0 |
SyM Consulting [p 2] | 18–21 Oct 2024 | 1,107 | 65.8 | 44.1 65 | 22.2 32/33 | 17.0 25 | 8.7 12/13 | 5.0 0 | 0.6 0 | – | – | 21.9 |
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 52.5 | 40.7 (62) | [a] | 28.2 (42) | 10.7 (16) | 4.5 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 5.8 (8) | 5.1 (7) | 12.5 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 3] | 26 Mar–29 Apr 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 44.0 63 | 19.4 27 | 22.9 33 | 8.6 12 | 2.2 0 | 1.3 0 | – | – | 21.1 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 4] | 27–29 Mar 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 47.3 69 | 21.2 30 | 17.6 25 | 8.2 11 | 2.9 0 | 0.8 0 | – | – | 26.1 |
GAD3/PP [p 5] | 21–27 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 51.0 74 | 18.7 27 | 17.6 25 | 6.6 9 | 2.7 0 | – | – | – | 32.3 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 6] | 27 Feb–25 Mar 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 43.2 63 | 19.1 27 | 23.2 33 | 8.9 12 | 1.8 0 | 1.6 0 | – | – | 20.0 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 69.7 | 40.5 (56) | [a] | 27.8 (39) | 14.0 (19) | [a] | – | 15.5 (21) | – | 12.7 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 7] | 28 May–7 Jul 2023 | 1,000 | ? | 46.8 70 | 18.3 27 | 19.1 28 | 7.2 10 | 4.5 0 | 1.6 0 | – | – | 27.7 |
2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | — | 65.5 | 47.3 70 | 18.4 27 | 18.2 27 | 7.3 11 | 4.8 0 | 1.6 0 | – | – | 28.9 |
The 2011 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 22 May 2011, to elect the 9th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 129 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 1983 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 8 May 1983, to elect the 1st Assembly of the Autonomous Community of Madrid. All 94 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 1987 Madrilenian regional election was held on Wednesday, 10 June 1987, to elect the 2nd Assembly of the Autonomous Community of Madrid. All 96 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 1987 European Parliament election.
The 1991 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 1991, to elect the 3rd Assembly of the Autonomous Community of Madrid. All 101 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 1995 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4th Assembly of the Autonomous Community of Madrid. All 103 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 1999 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 13 June 1999, to elect the 5th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 102 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 1999 European Parliament election.
The May 2003 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 6th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 111 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 2015 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 24 May 2015, to elect the 10th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 129 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The October 2003 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 October 2003, to elect the 7th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 111 seats in the Assembly were up for election. It was a snap election, held as a result of the parliamentary deadlock resulting from the Tamayazo scandal after the May 2003 election.
The 2007 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 120 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain. Because regional elections in the Community of Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the October 2003 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in May 2003.
The 2019 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 132 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2019 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
The 2021 Madrilenian regional election was held on Tuesday, 4 May 2021, to elect the 12th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 136 seats in the Assembly were up for election. This marked the first time that a regional premier in Madrid made use of the presidential prerogative to call an early election.
The 2023 Murcian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 2023 Madrid City Council election, also the 2023 Madrid municipal election, was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 12th City Council of the municipality of Madrid. All 57 seats in the City Council were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 2023 Extremaduran regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 2023 Madrilenian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 13th Assembly of the Community of Madrid. All 135 seats in the Assembly were up for election. Because regional elections in the Community of Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the 2021 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in 2019. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The 2023 Zaragoza City Council election, also the 2023 Zaragoza municipal election, was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 12th City Council of the municipality of Zaragoza. All 31 seats in the City Council were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The next Extremaduran regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 27 June 2027, to elect the 12th Assembly of the autonomous community of Extremadura. All 65 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.