2007 Madrilenian regional election

Last updated
2007 Madrilenian regional election
Flag of the Community of Madrid.svg
27 May 2007
2011  

All 120 seats in the Assembly of Madrid
61 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered4,458,989 Increase2.svg 0.1%
Turnout3,001,200 (67.3%)
Increase2.svg 4.7 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Esperanza Aguirre 2008b (cropped).jpg Rafael Simancas 2004 (cropped).jpg Ines Sabanes (cropped).jpg
Leader Esperanza Aguirre Rafael Simancas Inés Sabanés
Party PP PSOE IUCM
Leader since16 October 200226 November 200026 January 2007
Last election57 seats, 48.5%45 seats, 39.0%9 seats, 8.5%
Seats won674211
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 10Decrease2.svg 3Increase2.svg 2
Popular vote1,592,1621,002,862264,782
Percentage53.3%33.6%8.9%
SwingIncrease2.svg 4.8 pp Decrease2.svg 5.4 pp Increase2.svg 0.4 pp

President before election

Esperanza Aguirre
PP

Elected President

Esperanza Aguirre
PP

A regional election was held in the Community of Madrid on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 120 seats in the Assembly were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain. Because regional elections in Madrid were mandated for the fourth Sunday of May every four years, the October 2003 snap election did not alter the term of the four-year legislature starting in May 2003.

Contents

Esperanza Aguirre was re-elected for a second term in office, with the People's Party (PP) winning a record absolute majority comprising almost 56% of the seats in the Assembly. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) obtained one of the worst party results since 1995, resulting in Rafael Simancas resigning as Secretary-General of the Socialist Party of Madrid shortly thereafter. United Left (IU) continued on its rising trend and won 2 additional seats.

Overview

Under the 1983 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Madrid was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [1]

Electoral system

Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote, nor being legally incapacitated. [2] [3] [4]

The Assembly of Madrid was entitled to one seat per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000. All members were elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the autonomous community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied regionally. [2] [5] As a result of the aforementioned allocation, the Assembly was entitled to 120 seats, based on the official population figures resulting from the latest revision of the municipal register (as of 1 January 2006). [6]

The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [7] [8]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the fifty-fifth day prior to the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (BOCM). [2] [9] [10] The previous ordinary election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 27 May 2007.

The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the parliament's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. [11] [12] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called, which was to be held on the first Sunday following the fifty-fourth day after the call. [13] Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their original four-year term. [11] [14]

The election to the Assembly of Madrid was officially called on 3 April 2007 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOCM, setting election day for 27 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 12 June. [6]

Outgoing parliament

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call. [15]

Parliamentary composition in April 2007
GroupsPartiesLegislators
SeatsTotal
People's Parliamentary Group PP 5757
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 4545
United Left Parliamentary Group IUCM 99

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [7] [16] Amendments to the electoral law in 2007 introduced requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition. [17]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
Leading candidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Vote %Seats
PP
List
Esperanza Aguirre 2008b (cropped).jpg Esperanza Aguirre Conservatism
Christian democracy
48.5%57Check-green.svg [18]
[19]
[20]
PSOE Rafael Simancas 2004 (cropped).jpg Rafael Simancas Social democracy 39.0%45Dark Red x.svg [21]
[22]
IUCM Ines Sabanes (cropped).jpg Inés Sabanés Socialism
Communism
8.5%9Dark Red x.svg [23]
[24]

Campaign

Election debates

2007 Madrilenian regional election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s)   P Present [a]  
PP PSOE IUCM AudienceRef.
11 May Telemadrid Víctor ArribasP
Aguirre
P
Simancas
P
Sabanés
13.8%
(255,000)
[25]
[26]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 61 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (56 in the October 2003 election).

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred President

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Community of Madrid.

Predicted President

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.

Results

Overall

Summary of the 27 May 2007 Assembly of Madrid election results
MadridAssemblyDiagram2007.svg
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±pp Total+/−
People's Party (PP)1,592,16253.29+4.8167+10
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)1,002,86233.57−5.4342−3
United Left of the Community of Madrid (IUCM)264,7828.86+0.3611+2
The Greens (LV, LVM, LVCM, LV–GV)133,0441.11+0.140±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)6,8770.23New0±0
Spanish Alternative (AES)5,0390.17New0±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J)5,0240.17New0±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)4,2310.14+0.070±0
National Democracy (DN)3,5180.12−0.010±0
Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS)3,1230.10+0.030±0
The Phalanx (FE)2,6750.09+0.010±0
Citizen Unity (UC)2,0990.07+0.040±0
Madrid is Castile (MEC)2,0740.07New0±0
Spanish Democratic Centre (CDEs)1,8160.06New0±0
Humanist Party (PH)1,7570.06+0.010±0
Madrid First (PM)1,6670.06+0.010±0
Union for Leganés (ULEG)1,4220.05New0±0
Liberal Centrist Union (UCL)1,3350.04New0±0
Democratic Innovation (ID)5740.02New0±0
Save Telemadrid Party (PSTM)00.00New0±0
Blank ballots51,6651.73−0.01
Total2,987,746120+9
Valid votes2,987,74699.55−0.06
Invalid votes13,4540.45+0.06
Votes cast / turnout3,001,20067.31+4.73
Abstentions1,457,78932.69−4.73
Registered voters4,458,989
Sources [15] [27]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
53.29%
PSOE
33.57%
IUCM
8.86%
LV
1.11%
Others
1.45%
Blank ballots
1.73%
Seats
PP
55.83%
PSOE
35.00%
IUCM
9.17%

Elected legislators

The following table lists the elected legislators sorted by order of election: [27]

Aftermath

Government formation

Investiture
Nomination of Esperanza Aguirre (PP)
Ballot →19 June 2007
Required majority →61 out of 120 Yes check.svg
Yes
  • PP (67)
67 / 120
No
53 / 120
Abstentions
0 / 120
Absentees
0 / 120
Sources [15] [28]

Notes

  1. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Madrid: el PP revalidaría la mayoría en Asamblea y Ayuntamiento". Expansión (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  2. "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
  3. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  4. 1 2 3 "Aguirre amplía su mayoría en Madrid". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  5. "Gallardón y Aguirre ampliarían su victoria en Madrid con más del 52% de los votos". ABC (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  6. "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  7. "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  8. 1 2 3 "El PP reforzará su mayoría en Madrid". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
  9. "La campaña por Madrid echa a andar con todas las encuestas favorables al PP". ABC (in Spanish). 10 May 2007.
  10. "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PP renovaría siete autonomías y podría perder dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  11. "Aguirre acaricia una ventaja de 10 puntos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  12. "Comunidades en las que ganaría el PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  13. "El PP revalidaría la mayoría en el Ayuntamiento y la Comunidad de Madrid". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  14. 1 2 3 4 5 "Pulsómetro 11/05/2007". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 11 May 2007. Archived from the original on 13 May 2007.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. Comunidad de Madrid (Estudio nº 2696. Abril-Mayo 2007)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
  16. "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
  17. "El PP de Aguirre y Gallardón se distancia de un PSOE estancado". ABC (in Spanish). 12 March 2007.
  18. "Aguirre y Gallardón ganan a sus rivales en valoración y arrasan en intención de voto". ABC (in Spanish). 12 March 2007.
  19. "El PP espera ganar por goleada". El Mundo (in Spanish). 28 March 2007.
  20. "Aguirre: el mejor resultado de su historia". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  21. "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  22. "Aguirre y Gallardón aumentan su ventaja según una encuesta de SIGMA DOS-El Mundo". 20minutos (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
  23. 1 2 "Suspiro de alivio en Génova con la última encuesta de Madrid". Semanal Digital (in Spanish). 17 September 2006.[ permanent dead link ]
  24. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 2 May 2006.
  25. 1 2 3 "Informe Encuesta Comunidad y Ayuntamiento de Madrid. Abril 2006" (PDF). Instituto Opina (in Spanish). 2 May 2006. Archived from the original (PDF) on 18 January 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
  26. "Una encuesta asegura al PP la mayoría absoluta en la región, con 59 escaños". ABC (in Spanish). 12 December 2005.
  27. "El PP consolidaría su mayoría absoluta en Madrid y La Rioja y avanza en Andalucía y Castilla la Mancha". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 19 December 2005.
  28. "Aguirre pierde la mayoría absoluta, según una macroencuesta encargada por el PSOE". El País (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
  29. "Simancas niega su apoyo a Maragall por confundir "diversidad con privilegio"". ABC (in Spanish). 15 May 2005.
  30. "Enfado de Simancas por la encuesta de El Mundo: "El profesor Malo que se dedique a lo suyo"". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 28 February 2005.
  31. "Una encuesta encargada por el PSOE anuncia una mayoría de izquierdas". El País (in Spanish). 13 September 2006.
  32. 1 2 "Un 60% aprueba la gestión de Aguirre al frente de la Comunidad". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
Other
  1. Statute (1983) , art. 9.
  2. 1 2 3 Statute (1983) , art. 10.
  3. LECM (1986) , art. 2.
  4. LOREG (1985) , arts. 2–3.
  5. LECM (1986) , art. 18.
  6. 1 2 Decreto 3/2007, de 2 de abril, de la Presidenta de la Comunidad de Madrid, por el que se convocan elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid (Decree 3/2007). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 2 April 2007. Retrieved 6 December 2025.
  7. 1 2 LECM (1986) , arts. 10 & 18.
  8. LOREG (1985) , arts. 46 & 48.
  9. LECM (1986) , art. 8.
  10. LOREG (1985) , art. 42.
  11. 1 2 Statute (1983) , art. 21.
  12. LAMPC (1990) , art. 1.
  13. Statute (1983) , art. 18.
  14. LAMPC (1990) , art. 2.
  15. 1 2 3 Lozano, Carles. "Elecciones autonómicas a la Asamblea de Madrid (desde 1983)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 December 2025.
  16. LOREG (1985) , art. 44.
  17. LOREG (1985) , art. 44 bis.
  18. "Esperanza Aguirre, elegida presidenta del PP de Madrid con el 92% de los votos". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 27 November 2004. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  19. "Aguirre anuncia que será candidata a la reelección en 2007 y dejará la política tras esa legislatura" (in Spanish). Libertad Digital. Europa Press. 2 March 2005. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  20. "El PP proclama a Aguirre candidata por «aclamación» y dice que Gallardón tiene «muchísimas papeletas»". ABC (in Spanish). 24 May 2006. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  21. Neudecker, Michael; Cuéllar, Manuel (18 July 2004). "Simancas, reelegido secretario general de los socialistas madrileños con casi un 90% de los votos". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  22. Verdú, Daniel (29 May 2006). "Simancas marca un hito al ser designado candidato a la Comunidad por aclamación". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  23. "Inés Sabanés se perfila como candidata de IU a la Comunidad de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Agencias. 24 January 2007. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  24. "Inés Sabanés y Ángel Pérez, cabezas de lista de IU para la Comunidad y el Ayuntamiento de Madrid". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 26 January 2007. Retrieved 9 November 2025.
  25. Bécares, Roberto (24 April 2007). "Los candidatos a la Comunidad debatirán en Telemadrid el 11 de mayo". El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 May 2023.
  26. "El debate de los aspirantes a la Comunidad de Madrid no logra alcanzar el 14%" (in Spanish). FórmulaTV. 12 May 2007. Retrieved 6 May 2023.
  27. 1 2 "Elecciones a la Asamblea de Madrid celebradas el 27 de mayo de 2007" (PDF). Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (in Spanish) (141): 69–70. 15 June 2007. ISSN   1989-4791 . Retrieved 6 December 2025.
  28. Bécares, Roberto (19 June 2007). "Esperanza Aguirre, investida presidenta de la Comunidad de Madrid". El Mundo (in Spanish). Madrid. Agencias. Retrieved 6 December 2025.

Bibliography