2007 Asturian regional election

2007 Asturian regional election

←  2003 27 May 2007 2011  →
←  outgoing members elected members  →
All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias 23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	981,802 0.6%
Turnout	604,682 (61.6%) 2.2 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Vicente Álvarez Areces Ovidio Sánchez Jesús Iglesias Party PSOE PP IU–BA–LV Leader since 14 June 1998 9 December 1998 2007 Leader's seat Central Central Central Last election 22 seats, 40.5% 19 seats, 39.2% 4 seats, 12.1% [lower-alpha 1] Seats won 21 20 4 Seat change 1 1 0 Popular vote 252,201 248,907 58,114 Percentage 42.0% 41.5% 9.7% Swing 1.5 pp 2.3 pp 2.4 pp
Constituency results map for the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias
President before election Vicente Álvarez Areces PSOE Elected President Vicente Álvarez Areces PSOE

The 2007 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Overview

Electoral system

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. ^[1]

Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

• Central District , comprising the municipalities of Aller, Avilés, Bimenes, Carreño, Caso, Castrillón, Corvera de Asturias, Gijón, Gozón, Illas, Las Regueras, Langreo, Laviana, Lena, Llanera, Mieres, Morcín, Noreña, Oviedo, Proaza, Quirós, Ribera de Arriba, Riosa, San Martín del Rey Aurelio, Santo Adriano, Sariego, Siero, Sobrescobio and Soto del Barco.
• Eastern District , comprising the municipalities of Amieva, Cabrales, Cabranes, Cangas de Onís, Caravia, Colunga, Llanes, Nava, Onís, Parres, Peñamellera Alta, Peñamellera Baja, Piloña, Ponga, Ribadedeva, Ribadesella and Villaviciosa.
• Western District , comprising the municipalities of Allande, Belmonte de Miranda, Boal, Candamo, Cangas del Narcea, Castropol, Coaña, Cudillero, Degaña, El Franco, Grado, Grandas de Salime, Ibias, Illano, Muros de Nalón, Navia, Pesoz, Pravia, Salas, San Martín de Oscos, Santa Eulalia de Oscos, San Tirso de Abres, Somiedo, Tapia de Casariego, Taramundi, Teverga, Tineo, Valdés, Vegadeo, Villanueva de Oscos, Villayón and Yernes y Tameza.

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations. ^[2]

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude. ^[3]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. ^{[2] [4]}

Election date

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 27 May 2007. ^{[1] [2] [4]}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. ^[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				URAS PAS	Lead
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	61.6	42.0 21	41.5 20	9.7 4	2.2 0	0.5
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA [p 1] [p 2]	27 May 2007	?	?	44.1 21/24	37.2 18/20	11.1 4/5	–	6.9
Ipsos/La Nueva España [p 3]	20 May 2007	?	67	? 21	? 19	? 4	? 1	?
Celeste-Tel/Terra [p 4] [p 5]	9–15 May 2007	?	?	39.7 20	37.8 19	13.5 6	–	1.9
InvesMark/El Comercio [p 6]	4–14 May 2007	1,600	61.2	40.2 19/21	41.2 20/21	10.8 4	3.2 0/1	1.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 7] [p 8]	27 Apr–8 May 2007	600	?	40.2 18/20	43.5 21/23	11.1 4	–	3.3
CIS [p 9] [p 10]	9 Apr–6 May 2007	1,197	?	40.2 21	36.0 19	13.2 5	–	4.2
Noxa/IU [p 11] [p 12]	22 Mar 2007	?	?	38.9 20	38.8 19	15.7 6	–	0.1
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 13] [p 14] [p 15]	16–24 Nov 2006	?	?	41.0 19/21	42.9 20/22	11.1 4	–	1.9
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	—	44.9	46.4	44.4	6.3	0.5	2.0
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	—	71.7	43.4	43.8	8.4	0.6	0.4
2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	63.8	40.5 22	39.2 19	11.0 4	4.7 0	1.3

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	252,201	42.04	+1.56	21	–1
	People's Party (PP)	248,907	41.50	+2.32	20	+1
	United Left–Bloc for Asturias–The Greens of Asturias (IU–BA–LV)1	58,114	9.69	–2.42	4	±0
	Asturian Renewal Union–Asturianist Party (URAS–PAS)2	13,314	2.22	–2.46	0	±0
	Unity (Unidá)	4,119	0.69	New	0	±0
	Andecha Astur (AA)	2,770	0.46	–0.16	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)	2,001	0.33	+0.13	0	±0
	Republican Left (IR)	1,707	0.28	New	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	884	0.15	New	0	±0
	Asturian Council (Conceyu)	782	0.13	+0.05	0	±0
	Asturian Democratic Convergence (CDAS)	581	0.10	+0.04	0	±0
Blank ballots		14,458	2.41	+0.12
Total		599,838			45	±0
Valid votes		599,838	99.20	–0.09
Invalid votes		4,844	0.80	+0.09
Votes cast / turnout		604,682	61.59	–2.25
Abstentions		377,120	38.41	+2.25
Registered voters		981,802
Sources [5] [6] [7] [8]
Footnotes: 1 United Left–Bloc for Asturias–The Greens of Asturias results are compared to the combined totals of United Left–Bloc for Asturias and The Greens–Green Left of Asturias in the 2003 election. 2 Asturian Renewal Union–Asturianist Party results are compared to the combined totals of Asturian Renewal Union and Asturianist Party in the 2003 election.

Popular vote PSOE   42.04% PP   41.50% IU–BA–LV   9.69% URAS–PAS   2.22% Others   2.14% Blank ballots   2.41%

Seats PSOE   46.67% PP   44.44% IU–BA–LV   8.89%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PSOE		PP		IU–BA–LV
	%	S	%	S	%	S
Central	40.2	15	42.0	15	10.6	4
Eastern	46.3	3	41.9	2	5.6	−
Western	50.2	3	38.2	3	6.9	−
Total	42.0	21	41.5	20	9.7	4
Sources [5] [6] [7] [8]

Aftermath

Investiture
Ballot →		6 July 2007		9 July 2007
Required majority →		23 out of 45		Simple
	Vicente Álvarez Areces (PSOE) • PSOE (21)	21 / 45	N	21 / 45	Y
	Abstentions • PP (19) • IU–BA–LV (4)	23 / 45		23 / 45
	Absentees • PP (1)	1 / 45		1 / 45
Sources [8] [9]

Notes

1. Results for IU–BA (11.05%, 4 seats) and LV–IVA (1.06%, 0 seats) in the 2003 election.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "PP y PSOE mantienen sus comunidades autónomas y podría haber cambios en Navarra y Baleares". Libertad Digital (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
2. "Sólo Navarra y Baleares podrían cambiar de gobierno, según el sondeo de RTVE y FORTA". Europa Press (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
3. "El PSOE aventaja en sólo un punto al PP, aunque volverá a gobernar si reedita el pacto con IU". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
4. "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2007. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
5. "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 11 May 2009. Retrieved 25 February 2021.
6. "El PP será el partido más votado en asturias pero PSOE e IU podrán gobernar en coalición". El Comercio (in Spanish). 20 May 2007. Archived from the original on 20 May 2019. Retrieved 19 May 2019.
7. "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PSOE mantendría sus comunidades si revalida las coaliciones". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
8. "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
9. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA del Principado de Asturias (Estudio nº 2688. Abril-Mayo 2007)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
10. "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
11. "Un sondeo de IU augura un empate de PSOE y PP y eleva las expectativas de la coalición a 6 escaños". La Nueva España (in Spanish). 23 March 2007. Archived from the original on 4 May 2007.
12. "La izquierda admite la probable victoria del PP en Asturias y ya prevé un bipartito "a la gallega"". El Dorado (in Spanish). 23 March 2007. Archived from the original on 4 July 2018.
13. "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
14. "Varapalo al PSOE, pero podrá gobernar". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006. Archived from the original on 16 November 2011.
15. "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.

Other

1. Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 7) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
2. Ley 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Law 14) (in Spanish). 26 December 1986. Retrieved 14 March 2017.
3. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
4. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General. Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
5. "General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Asturias. 14 June 2007. Retrieved 8 December 2019.
6. "Electoral Results. General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. 7th Legislature (2007–2011)". www.jgpa.es (in Spanish). General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. Retrieved 29 November 2019.
7. "Electoral Results. 2007". www.sadei.es (in Spanish). SADEI. Archived from the original on 14 March 2017. Retrieved 27 September 2017.
8. "Elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 September 2017.
9. "Areces gobernará Asturias en minoría tras ser reelegido sin el apoyo de IU". El País (in Spanish). 10 July 2007. Retrieved 8 December 2019.