2000 Andalusian regional election

2000 Andalusian regional election

←  1996 12 March 2000 2004  →
All 109 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia 55 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	5,918,722 6.1%
Turnout	4,066,830 (68.7%) 9.2 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Manuel Chaves Teófila Martínez Antonio Romero Party PSOE–A PP IULV–CA Leader since 19 April 1990 20 February 1999 28 July 1996 Leader's seat Cádiz Cádiz Málaga Last election 52 seats, 44.1% 40 seats, 34.0% 13 seats, 14.0% Seats won 52 46 6 Seat change 0 6 7 Popular vote 1,790,653 1,535,987 327,435 Percentage 44.3% 38.0% 8.1% Swing 0.2 pp 4.0 pp 5.9 pp   Fourth party   Leader Antonio Ortega Party PA Leader since 19 October 1996 Leader's seat Seville Last election 4 seats, 6.7% Seats won 5 Seat change 1 Popular vote 300,356 Percentage 7.4% Swing 0.7 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Andalusia
President before election Manuel Chaves PSOE–A Elected President Manuel Chaves PSOE–A

The 2000 Andalusian regional election was held on Sunday, 12 March 2000, to elect the 6th Parliament of the autonomous community of Andalusia. All 109 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with the 2000 Spanish general election.

The ruling Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) of Manuel Chaves won with a relative majority of 52 and was re-elected for a fourth term as president of the Regional Government of Andalusia with the support of the Andalusian Party (PA). The opposition People's Party (PP) secured its best result in a regional election up to that point, whereas United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA) saw a major decrease in both votes and seats.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Andalusia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Andalusia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Andalusian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. ^[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Andalusia and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 109 members of the Parliament of Andalusia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Almería, Cádiz, Córdoba, Granada, Huelva, Jaén, Málaga and Seville, with each being allocated an initial minimum of eight seats and the remaining 45 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the number of seats in each province did not exceed two times that of any other). ^{[1] [2]}

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Parliament constituency was entitled the following seats:

Seats	Constituencies
18	Seville (–1)
16	Málaga (+1)
15	Cádiz
13	Córdoba, Granada
12	Jaén
11	Almería, Huelva

The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude. ^[3]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Andalusia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. Election day was to take place between the thirtieth and the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament barring any date within from 1 July to 31 August. The previous election was held on 3 March 1996, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 3 March 2000. The election was required to take place no later than the sixtieth day from the date of expiry of parliament on the condition that it was not held between 1 July and 31 August, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Tuesday, 2 May 2000. ^{[1] [2] [4] [5] [6]}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Andalusia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the candidate from the party with the highest number of seats was to be deemed automatically elected. ^{[1] [4] [5] [6]}

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. ^{[2] [7]}

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy		Parties and alliances	Leading candidate		Ideology	Previous result		Gov.	Ref.
						Votes (%)	Seats
	PSOE–A	List Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)		Manuel Chaves	Social democracy	44.05%	52	Y
	PP	List People's Party (PP)		Teófila Martínez	Conservatism Christian democracy	33.96%	40	N
	IULV–CA	List United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)		Antonio Romero	Socialism Communism	13.97%	13	N
	PA	List Andalusian Party (PA) Andalusian Forum (FA) Socialist Party of Andalusia (PSA)		Antonio Ortega	Andalusian nationalism Social democracy	6.66%	4	Y

Campaign

Election debates

2000 Andalusian regional election debates

Date	Organisers	Moderator(s)	P Present [lower-alpha 1]
			PSOE–A	PP	IULV–CA	PA	Audience	Ref.
1 March	Canal Sur	Tom Martín Benítez	P Chaves	P Martínez	P Romero	P Pacheco	20.2% (520,000)	[8] [9]

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Local regression trend line of poll results from 3 March 1996 to 12 March 2000, with each line corresponding to a political party.

Voting intention estimates

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 55 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Andalusia.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			IULV		Lead
2000 regional election	12 Mar 2000	—	68.7	44.3 52	38.0 46	8.1 6	7.4 5	6.3
Eco Consulting/RTVE [p 1]	12 Mar 2000	?	?	44.3 50/54	36.0 42/45	9.0 7/10	7.6 5/7	8.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 2]	4 Mar 2000	?	?	? 52/54	? 42/46	? 6/8	? 5	?
Ipsos–Eco/ABC [p 3]	25–29 Feb 2000	2,500	?	42.8 52/55	35.3 39/41	10.7 10	8.1 5/6	7.5
CIS [p 4] [p 5]	11–28 Feb 2000	4,212	?	42.5 52/54	36.6 41/43	10.8 8/9	7.6 5/6	5.9
Demoscopia/El País [p 6] [p 7]	18–23 Feb 2000	2,521	74	44.6 53/55	35.5 41/43	10.8 8/9	8.1 4	9.1
Ipsos–Eco/ABC [p 8]	11–15 Feb 2000	1,000	?	42.3	36.0	10.7	9.2	6.3
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 9]	5 Jan 2000	?	?	44.0– 45.0 49/53	37.0– 38.0 44/48	8.0– 9.0 6/8	7.0– 8.0 5	7.0
PP [p 10]	12 Dec 1999	?	?	? 50/54	? 41/44	? 9	? 3/4	?
Metra Seis/PA [p 11] [p 12]	6–25 Oct 1999	2,400	?	43.4 48/52	32.1 35/41	11.6 11/12	11.6 8/10	11.3
Opina/CEA [p 13] [p 14]	22–24 Oct 1999	2,400	?	46.0 52/55	35.5 41/44	? 8/11	? 3/6	10.5
1999 EP election	10 Jun 1999	—	63.6	43.3 (53)	36.0 (43)	10.7 (9)	6.6 (4)	7.3
1999 local elections	10 Jun 1999	—	64.6	37.8	31.2	12.8	9.5	6.6
Opina/CEA [p 15] [p 16]	3–15 May 1999	3,200	?	42.5 50/51	36.0 42/44	12.0 11/12	7.5 4/6	6.5
Demoscopia/El País [lower-alpha 2] [p 17]	18–22 Feb 1999	1,200	65.3	42.3	33.5	12.3	9.6	8.8
Eco Consulting/ABC [p 18]	18–20 Feb 1999	508	?	41.4	37.0	12.9	8.3	4.4
PSOE [p 19]	15–19 Feb 1999	1,200	?	47.8	30.9	11.6	8.9	16.9
Metra Seis/PA [p 20]	10–15 Sep 1998	1,200	?	40.3 45/49	31.8 35/38	12.5 11	14.5 14/15	8.5
PSOE [p 21]	5 Jul 1998	?	?	46.6	31.5	11.8	9.2	15.1
Demoscopia/El País [lower-alpha 2] [p 22]	17–23 Feb 1998	1,200	68.9	47.2	34.1	9.9	7.5	13.1
PSOE [p 23]	7 Feb 1998	?	?	44.8	34.7	12.3	6.6	10.1
Inner Line/PSOE [p 24] [p 25] [p 26]	12 Dec 1997	1,200	?	45.1	32.7	10.8	10.2	12.4
Metra Seis/PA [p 27] [p 28]	25 Sep 1997	3,200	?	41.7 46/50	32.4 35/39	10.6 10/11	13.8 12/15	9.3
PP [p 29]	12–18 May 1997	2,400	?	41.6 47/50	37.0 42/44	14.8 11	5.5 2/3	4.6
PSOE [p 30]	29 Jan–1 Feb 1997	?	?	45.0	32.5	12.0	9.0	12.5
1996 regional election	3 Mar 1996	—	78.1	44.1 52	34.0 40	14.0 13	6.7 4	10.1

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 12 March 2000 Parliament of Andalusia election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A)	1,790,653	44.32	+0.27	52	±0
	People's Party (PP)	1,535,987	38.02	+4.06	46	+6
	United Left/The Greens–Assembly for Andalusia (IULV–CA)	327,435	8.11	–5.86	6	–7
	Andalusian Party (PA)	300,356	7.43	+0.77	5	+1
	Andalusian Left (IA)	10,232	0.25	New	0	±0
	Andalusian Nation (NA)	5,034	0.12	–0.02	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	4,389	0.11	+0.01	0	±0
	Andalusia Assembly (A)	4,380	0.11	New	0	±0
	The Phalanx (FE)	2,754	0.07	New	0	±0
	Almerian Regionalist Union (URAL)	1,550	0.04	New	0	±0
	Green Ecologist Alternative of Marbella and San Pedro de Alcántara (AEV)	1,304	0.03	New	0	±0
	Party of the Separated and Divorced (PSD)	1,180	0.03	New	0	±0
	Independent Spanish Phalanx (FEI)	1,018	0.03	New	0	±0
	Voice of the Andalusian People (VDPA)	732	0.02	±0.00	0	±0
	Centrist Union–Democratic and Social Centre (UC–CDS)	492	0.01	–0.03	0	±0
	National Union (UN)	415	0.01	New	0	±0
Blank ballots		51,921	1.29	+0.52
Total		4,039,832			109	±0
Valid votes		4,039,832	99.34	–0.03
Invalid votes		26,998	0.66	+0.03
Votes cast / turnout		4,066,830	68.71	–9.23
Abstentions		1,851,892	31.29	+9.23
Registered voters		5,918,722
Sources [10] [11] [12]

Popular vote PSOE–A   44.32% PP   38.02% IULV–CA   8.11% PA   7.43% Others   0.83% Blank ballots   1.29%

Seats PSOE–A   47.70% PP   42.20% IULV–CA   5.50% PA   4.59%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PSOE–A		PP		IULV–CA		PA
	%	S	%	S	%	S	%	S
Almería	43.0	5	46.4	6	4.5	−	3.7	−
Cádiz	39.5	6	37.4	6	6.3	1	14.5	2
Córdoba	40.7	6	38.3	5	12.3	1	6.9	1
Granada	44.7	6	40.9	6	7.4	1	5.2	−
Huelva	47.1	6	37.8	5	7.0	−	6.5	−
Jaén	48.2	6	38.2	5	7.3	1	4.9	−
Málaga	40.1	7	41.1	7	8.9	1	7.3	1
Seville	49.5	10	32.3	6	8.6	1	7.2	1
Total	44.3	52	38.0	46	8.1	6	7.4	5
Sources [10] [11] [12]

Aftermath

Investiture Manuel Chaves (PSOE–A)
Ballot →		25 April 2000
Required majority →		55 out of 109 Y
	Yes • PSOE–A (52) • PA (5)	57 / 109
	No • PP (46) • IULV–CA (6)	52 / 109
	Abstentions	0 / 109
	Absentees	0 / 109
Sources [10]

Notes

1. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
2. Undecided and/or abstentionists excluded.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "DEBATE ABIERTO: Elecciones Generales 12M/2000" (PDF). Investigación y Marketing (in Spanish). Archived from the original (PDF) on 1 February 2014. Retrieved 19 August 2017.
2. "Chaves roza la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía a costa de IU, pese al alza del PP". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 March 2000.
3. "El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las andaluzas pese a que el PP recorta su ventaja". ABC (in Spanish). 6 March 2000.
4. "Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía, 2000 (Estudio nº 2382. Febrero 2000)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 March 2000.
5. "Los socialistas rozan la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía". ABC (in Spanish). 4 March 2000.
6. "El PSOE está al borde de recuperar la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). 28 February 2000.
7. "El PSOE roza la mayoría absoluta en las elecciones autonómicas andaluzas". El País (in Spanish). 28 February 2000.
8. "El PSOE no alcanzaría mayoría absoluta y el PP recortaría a 6 puntos la ventaja socialista". ABC (in Spanish). 19 February 2000.
9. "El PSOE aventaja al PP en 7 puntos, según un sondeo". El País (in Spanish). 6 January 2000.
10. "Un sondeo del PP sobre las andaluzas da la victoria al PSOE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 13 December 1999.
11. "Una encuesta del PA le da el doble de escaños en Andalucía y representación en el Congreso". El País (in Spanish). 24 November 1999.
12. "El PSOE volvería a ganar las elecciones andaluzas sin mayoría absoluta". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 24 November 1999.
13. "Una encuesta de los empresarios sitúa al PSOE al borde de la mayoría absoluta en Andalucía". El País (in Spanish). 9 November 1999.
14. "Todas las fuerzas políticas subirán escaños menos IU, según una encuesta de la CEA". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 9 November 1999.
15. "El PP recortaría a ocho diputados la distancia con el PSOE en las próximas autonómicas". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 23 May 1999.
16. "El PP dice que el sondeo sobre las autonómicas lo sitúa como "ganador"". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 24 May 1999.
17. "El PSOE reduce su ventaja en Andalucía aunque supera al PP en 12,7 puntos en intención de voto". El País (in Spanish). 27 February 1999.
18. "El PP rebaja a la mitad su desventaja y se sitúa a sólo 4,4 puntos del PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 27 February 1999.
19. "Pizarro vaticina un "vuelco espectacular" en el voto urbano por la pérdida de apoyos del Partido Popular". El País (in Spanish). 13 April 1999.
20. "Los andalucistas desplazan a IU y se colocan como tercera fuerza, según una encuesta del PA". El País (in Spanish). 25 September 1998.
21. "El PSOE supera en 15 puntos al PP en Andalucía, según una encuesta de los socialistas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 July 1998.
22. "El PSOE amplía su ventaja sobre el PP en AndaIucía". El País (in Spanish). 28 February 1998.
23. "Una encuesta de los socialistas los coloca diez puntos por encima de los populares". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 7 February 1998.
24. "Según la última encuesta del PSOE-A, Izquierda Unida estaría al borde de la "debacle electoral"". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 13 December 1997.
25. "El PP-A niega el valor científico de la encuesta que ayer dio a conocer el PSOE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 13 December 1997.
26. "El 70 por ciento de los andaluces rechazan el "medicamentazo", según una encuesta del PSOE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 16 December 1997.
27. "El PA triplicaría sus escaños y adelantaría a IU-CA en número de diputados, según una encuesta". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 September 1997.
28. "El 46 por ciento de los andaluces no conoce el pacto de gobierno en la Junta, según una encuesta del propio PA". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 10 November 1997.
29. "El PP acortaría distancias con el PSOE en unas hipotéticas elecciones andaluzas, según una encuesta de los populares". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 14 June 1997.
30. "Un 54 por ciento de los andaluces no ha oído hablar de la financiación, según una encuesta del PSOE-A". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 15 February 1997.

Other

1. Ley Orgánica 6/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Andalucía (Organic Law 2) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved 16 September 2017.
2. Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía (Law 1) (in Spanish). 2 January 1986. Retrieved 16 September 2017.
3. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
4. Ley 6/1983, de 21 de Julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma (Law 6) (in Spanish). 21 July 1983. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
5. Ley 1/1990, de 30 de enero, por la que se modifica la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma (Law 1) (in Spanish). 30 January 1990. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
6. Ley 6/1994, de 18 de mayo, de Modificación de la Ley 6/1983, de 21 de julio, del Gobierno y la Administración de la Comunidad Autónoma, y la Ley 1/1986, de 2 de enero, Electoral de Andalucía (Law 6) (in Spanish). 18 May 1994. Retrieved 17 September 2017.
7. Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
8. Pedrote, Isabel (1 March 2000). "Los cuatro candidatos a la presidencia de la Junta se ven hoy las caras en Canal Sur". El País (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 May 2022.
9. "El PP cree "clarificado" que la campaña es "tres contra Teófila"". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 3 March 2000. Retrieved 10 May 2022.
10. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Andalucía (1982 - 2018)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 September 2017.
11. "Electoral Results Consultation. Parliament of Andalusia. March 2000. Andalusia totals". juntadeandalucia.es (in Spanish). Regional Government of Andalusia . Retrieved 25 September 2017.
12. "Parliament of Andalusia election results, 12 March 2000" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Central Electoral Commission. 30 March 2000. Retrieved 25 September 2017.