2003 Cantabrian regional election

2003 Cantabrian regional election

←  1999 25 May 2003 2007  →
All 39 seats in the Parliament of Cantabria 20 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	476,924 2.5%
Turnout	348,377 (73.0%) 4.2 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader José Joaquín Martínez Sieso Dolores Gorostiaga Miguel Ángel Revilla Party PP PSOE PRC Leader since 1995 16 December 2000 1983 Last election 19 seats, 42.5% 14 seats, 33.1% 6 seats, 13.5% Seats won 18 13 8 Seat change 1 1 2 Popular vote 146,796 103,608 66,480 Percentage 42.5% 30.0% 19.2% Swing 0.0 pp 3.1 pp 5.7 pp
President before election José Joaquín Martínez Sieso PP Elected President Miguel Ángel Revilla PRC

The 2003 Cantabrian regional election was held on Sunday, 25 May 2003, to elect the 6th Parliament of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 39 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Both the People's Party (PP) and the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) lost 1 seat each to the Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC), which won 8 seats. As neither had won an absolute majority, the PRC reinforced its position as parliamentary kingmaker, able to give the government to either of the two parties. ^[1] The PRC, in a coalition with the PP since 1995, announced that it was not renewing the pact a third time due to "deteriorating relations" between both parties after 8 years of government, and that it would instead seek an alliance with the PSOE. ^[2]

As a result of the election, PSOE and PRC reached a coalition agreement in which Miguel Ángel Revilla from the PRC was to be elected as regional President. ^[3]

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Cantabria was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Autonomous Community. ^[4] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 39 members of the Parliament of Cantabria were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. ^{[4] [5]}

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Cantabria. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called. ^{[5] [6] [7]}

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Cantabria expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 13 June 1999, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 25 May 2003. ^{[4] [5] [6] [7]}

The President of the Autonomous Community had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Cantabria and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. ^[4]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 20 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Cantabria.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout			PRC		Lead
2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	68.8	42.5 19	33.1 14	13.5 6	3.7 0	9.4
Sigma Dos/Antena 3 [p 1]	25 May 2003	?	?	? 16/17	? 16/17	? 6	? 0	Tie
Ipsos–Eco/RTVE [p 2]	25 May 2003	?	?	? 17/19	? 12/14	? 6/8	? 0/2	?
CIS [p 3] [p 4]	22 Mar–28 Apr 2003	797	73.5	40.5 18	33.5 15	14.4 6	4.8 0	7.0
CIS [p 5] [p 6] [p 7]	9 Sep–9 Oct 2002	445	71.0	44.2	32.8	13.2	5.9	11.4
2000 general election	12 Mar 2000	—	71.8	56.8 23	33.5 14	–	5.0 2	23.3
1999 regional election	13 Jun 1999	—	68.8	42.5 19	33.1 14	13.5 6	3.7 0	9.4

Results

← Summary of the 25 May 2003 Parliament of Cantabria election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	People's Party (PP)	146,796	42.49	–0.01	18	–1
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	103,608	29.99	–3.09	13	–1
	Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC)	66,480	19.24	+5.73	8	+2
	United Left of Cantabria (IUC)	12,770	3.70	+0.01	0	±0
	Cantabrian Unity (UCn)	5,515	1.60	New	0	±0
	Cantabrian Nationalist Council (CNC)	1,670	0.48	+0.11	0	±0
	Independent Citizens of Cantabria (CCII)	817	0.24	–0.05	0	±0
	Democratic and Social Centre (CDS)	660	0.19	–0.28	0	±0
Blank ballots		7,202	2.08	–0.35
Total		345,518			39	±0
Valid votes		345,518	99.18	–0.03
Invalid votes		2,859	0.82	+0.03
Votes cast / turnout		348,377	73.05	+4.27
Abstentions		128,547	26.95	–4.27
Registered voters		476,924
Sources [8] [9] [10]

Popular vote PP   42.49% PSOE   29.99% PRC   19.24% IUC   3.70% UCn   1.60% Others   0.91% Blank ballots   2.08%

Seats PP   46.15% PSOE   33.33% PRC   20.51%

Aftermath

Investiture Miguel Ángel Revilla (PRC)
Ballot →		27 June 2003
Required majority →		20 out of 39 Y
	Yes • PSOE (13) • PRC (8)	21 / 39
	No • PP (18)	18 / 39
	Abstentions	0 / 39
	Absentees	0 / 39
Sources [10]

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "El sondeo de Sigma Dos determina una lucha codo a codo entre populares y socialistas en Madrid". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
2. "Sondeo a pie de urna de Ipsos Eco Consulting para TVE". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 25 May 2003. Archived from the original on 7 December 2017. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
3. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2003. CA de Cantabria (Estudio nº 2488. Marzo-Abril 2003)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 17 May 2003.
4. "La guerra pasa factura electoral al PP". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 18 May 2003.
5. "Instituciones y autonomías, II. CA de Cantabria (Estudio nº 2455. Septiembre-Octubre 2002)". CIS (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.
6. "El PP, partido más votado en diez Comunidades Autónomas" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 19 November 2002.
7. "El PP ganaría las autonómicas en diez Comunidades y el PSOE en cuatro, según el CIS". ABC (in Spanish). 20 November 2002.

Other

1. "The regionalists, again key in forming a government in Cantabria" (in Spanish). El País. 2003-05-26.
2. "The PP acknowledges its loss of Cantabria as opposition pact grows likely" (in Spanish). El País. 2003-06-04.
3. "The regionalists rob the presidency of Cantabria from the PP and will govern with the PSOE" (in Spanish). El País. 2003-06-05.
4. Statute of Autonomy of Cantabria of 1981 (Organic Law 8) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved 18 September 2017.
5. Parliament of Cantabria Elections Law of 1987 (Law 5) (in Spanish). 27 March 1987. Retrieved 18 September 2017.
6. General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
7. "Representation of the people Institutional Act". www.juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
8. "Parliament of Cantabria election results, 25 May 2003" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of Cantabria. 9 June 2003. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
9. "Regional election, 25 May 2003". parlamento-cantabria.es (in Spanish). Parliament of Cantabria. Retrieved 28 September 2017.
10. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Cantabria (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 28 September 2017.