2007 Canarian regional election

2007 Canarian regional election

←  2003 27 May 2007 2011  →
All 60 seats in the Parliament of the Canary Islands 31 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered	1,535,703 6.7%
Turnout	940,852 (61.3%) 3.3 pp
First party Second party Third party   Leader Juan Fernando López Aguilar Paulino Rivero José Manuel Soria Party PSOE CC–PNC PP Leader since 28 October 2006 3 February 2007 16 July 1999 Leader's seat Gran Canaria Tenerife Gran Canaria Last election 17 seats, 25.4% 23 seats, 36.3% [lower-alpha 1] 17 seats, 30.6% Seats won 26 19 15 Seat change 9 4 2 Popular vote 322,833 225,878 224,883 Percentage 34.5% 24.1% 24.0% Swing 9.1 pp 12.2 pp 6.6 pp
Constituency results map for the Parliament of the Canary Islands
President before election Adán Martín CC Elected President Paulino Rivero CC

The 2007 Canarian regional election was held on Sunday, 27 May 2007, to elect the 7th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of the Canary Islands. All 60 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of the Canary Islands was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Canary Islands, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Canarian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Government. ^[1] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Canary Islands and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 60 members of the Parliament of the Canary Islands were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of 30 percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties could also enter the seat distribution as long as they reached six percent regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the islands of El Hierro, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera, La Palma, Lanzarote and Tenerife. Each constituency was allocated a fixed number of seats: 3 for El Hierro, 7 for Fuerteventura, 15 for Gran Canaria, 4 for La Gomera, 8 for La Palma, 8 for Lanzarote and 15 for Tenerife. ^[1]

The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in the constituency for which they sought election. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called. ^{[2] [3] [4]}

Election date

The term of the Parliament of the Canary Islands expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Parliament were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 25 May 2003, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 27 May 2007. ^{[1] [2] [3] [4]}

The Parliament of the Canary Islands could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms. ^[1]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 31 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of the Canary Islands.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Commissioner	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Turnout				PIL			Lead
2007 regional election	27 May 2007	—	61.3	24.2 19	24.0 15	34.5 26	1.0 0	0.7 0	5.4 0	10.3
Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA [p 1]	27 May 2007	?	?	21.0 14/16	24.0 17/20	36.0 25/28	–	–	–	12.0
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia [p 2]	20 May 2007	?	?	? 21	? 16/17	? 22/23	–	–	–	?
Demométrica/Canarias7 [p 3] [p 4]	19 May 2007	?	?	25.9 19/22	26.9 14/18	33.3 21/24	2.3 0	–	6.1 0/2	6.4
Opina/El País [p 5] [p 6]	14–17 May 2007	?	?	23.0 16/17	30.0 17	37.5 24/25	2.5 2	–	–	7.5
Celeste-Tel/Terra [p 7] [p 8]	9–15 May 2007	?	?	26.3 19	29.6 18	30.9 21/22	? 1/2	2.1 0	–	1.3
Opina/Cadena SER [p 9] [p 10]	11 May 2007	1,200	?	23.0 16/17	30.0 17	36.0 23/24	3.0 3	–	–	6.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 11] [p 12]	27 Apr–8 May 2007	1,200	?	27.8 19/22	30.2 16/19	31.5 18/23	2.9 0/3	–	2.4 0	1.3
CIS [p 13] [p 14]	9 Apr–6 May 2007	1,785	?	25.0 19/20	28.3 18/19	29.3 22	–	2.5 0	2.8 0	1.0
PSOE [p 15]	18–23 Feb 2007	2,500	?	? 18	? 15	? 26	–	–	? 1	?
Demométrica/Canarias7 [p 16] [p 17]	9–24 Jan 2007	3,200	?	? 16/18	? 15/17	? 22/25	? 0/2	–	? 2	?
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 18] [p 19] [p 20]	16–24 Nov 2006	?	?	? 19/22	? 16/19	? 19/22	? 0/3	–	–	?
Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia [p 21]	2–11 Nov 2006	1,920	?	23.5 18	25.8 15/16	36.7 24/25	? 0/1	–	? 2	10.9
Demométrica/Canarias7 [p 22]	19 Apr–9 May 2006	?	?	? 17/18	? 16/18	? 23/25	? 0	–	? 2	?
TNS Demoscopia/CC [p 23] [p 24] [p 25]	25 Nov–3 Dec 2005	2,006	?	34.3 24/25	29.0 18	26.9 17/18	–	1.7 0	–	5.3
2004 EP election	13 Jun 2004	—	36.5	16.9	40.0	38.5	–	1.8	–	1.5
2004 general election	14 Mar 2004	—	66.7	24.3	35.4	34.5	–	1.9	–	0.9
2003 regional election	25 May 2003	—	64.6	32.9 23	30.6 17	25.4 17	1.4 3	1.3 0	–	2.3

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 27 May 2007 Parliament of the Canary Islands election results →

Parties and alliances		Popular vote			Seats
		Votes	%	±pp	Total	+/−
	Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)	322,833	34.51	+9.09	26	+9
	Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party (CC–PNC)1	225,878	24.15	–12.12	19	–4
	People's Party (PP)	224,883	24.04	–6.57	15	–2
	New Canaries (NCa)	50,749	5.43	New	0	±0
	Canarian Centre (CCN)2	46,676	4.99	+3.58	0	–3
	The Greens (Verdes)	17,793	1.90	–0.08	0	±0
	Commitment to Gran Canaria (CGCa)	8,512	0.91	New	0	±0
	Canarian United Left (IUC)	6,558	0.70	–0.61	0	±0
	Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative (APCa–AC25M)3	4,824	0.52	–0.50	0	±0
	Canarian Nationalist Alternative (ANC)	2,539	0.27	New	0	±0
	Unity of the People (UP)	1,485	0.16	New	0	±0
	Communist Party of the Canarian People (PCPC)	1,338	0.14	–0.05	0	±0
	Nationalist Maga Alternative (AMAGA)	1,079	0.12	New	0	±0
	Party of Gran Canaria (PGC)	1,073	0.11	New	0	±0
	Centre Coalition (CCCAN)	1,006	0.11	New	0	±0
	Movement for the Unity of the Canarian People (MUPC)	888	0.09	New	0	±0
	Alternative Island (ISAL)	870	0.09	New	0	±0
	Humanist Party (PH)	777	0.08	–0.06	0	±0
	Citizens' Union–Independent Progressives of Canaries (UC–PIC)	557	0.06	New	0	±0
	Commitment to Tenerife (CTF)	466	0.05	New	0	±0
	The Phalanx (FE)	327	0.03	New	0	±0
	National Democracy (DN)	302	0.03	–0.01	0	±0
	Citizens' Initiative for Fuerteventura (ICF)	286	0.03	New	0	±0
	Pensionist Assembly of the Canaries (TPC)	280	0.03	–0.02	0	±0
	Canarian Nationalist Party (PNC)4	244	0.03	–0.02	0	±0
Blank ballots		13,237	1.42	+0.14
Total		935,460			60	±0
Valid votes		935,460	99.43	–0.01
Invalid votes		5,392	0.57	+0.01
Votes cast / turnout		940,852	61.27	–3.35
Abstentions		594,851	38.73	+3.35
Registered voters		1,535,703
Sources [5] [6] [7] [8]
Footnotes: 1 Canarian Coalition–Canarian Nationalist Party results are compared to the combined totals of Canarian Coalition and Canarian Nationalist Federation in Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria, La Gomera and Tenerife in the 2003 election. 2 Canarian Centre results are compared to Canarian Nationalist Federation totals in Lanzarote in the 2003 election. 3 Canarian Popular Alternative–25 May Citizens' Alternative results are compared to the combined totals of Canarian Popular Alternative and 25 May Citizens' Alternative in the 2003 election. 4 Canarian Nationalist Party results are compared to Canarian Nationalist Federation totals in El Hierro in the 2003 election.

Popular vote PSOE   34.51% CC–PNC   24.15% PP   24.04% NCa   5.43% CCN   4.99% Verdes   1.90% Others   3.57% Blank ballots   1.42%

Seats PSOE   43.33% CC–PNC   31.67% PP   25.00%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency	PSOE		CC–PNC		PP
	%	S	%	S	%	S
El Hierro	23.5	1	47.1	2	19.8	−
Fuerteventura	32.3	3	30.3	2	23.9	2
Gran Canaria	37.9	7	5.4	1	34.2	7
La Gomera	54.8	3	31.9	1	5.0	−
La Palma	28.2	3	46.2	4	17.0	1
Lanzarote	28.7	4	18.7	2	15.2	2
Tenerife	32.2	5	39.6	7	16.5	3
Total	34.5	26	24.1	19	24.0	15

Notes

1. Results for CC (32.90%, 23 seats) and FNC (3.42%, 0 seats) in the 2003 election, not including FNC results in Lanzarote.

References

Opinion poll sources

1. "Los sondeos dan la victoria al PSOE con el 36% de los votos". Crónicas de Lanzarote (in Spanish). 27 May 2007.
2. "Las coincidencias entre sondeos confirman tendencias a menos de una semana de las elecciones". Canariasahora.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2007.
3. "Todo pendiente de los pactos". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 19 May 2007.
4. "Las preferencias cambian y los pactos mandan". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 18 May 2007.
5. "Rajoy saca peor nota que Zapatero en los bastiones electorales del PP". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
6. "Vuelco en Canarias a favor del PSOE por el tirón de López Aguilar". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2007.
7. "Vuelco electoral en Navarra, Baleares y Canarias y aplastante victoria del PP en Madrid". Terra (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 2007-05-20. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
8. "Encuestas autonómicas". Celeste-Tel (in Spanish). 17 May 2007. Archived from the original on 2009-05-11. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
9. "El PSOE ganaría en Canarias pero no tendría garantizado el Gobierno". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 May 2007.
10. "Pulsómetro 14/05/2007. Jaén, Cádiz, Málaga, Granada, Córdoba, Huelva y Canarias". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 14 May 2007. Archived from the original on 2007-05-16. Retrieved 2021-08-05.
11. "Sondeo de Sigma Dos: El PSOE mantendría sus comunidades si revalida las coaliciones". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 May 2007.
12. "Elecciones 27-M / Sondeo El Mundo-Sigma Dos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
13. "Preelectoral elecciones autonómicas, 2007. CA de Canarias (Estudio nº 2690. Abril-Mayo 2007)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 May 2007.
14. "La aritmética juega en contra del PSOE sólo en las islas Canarias". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 12 May 2007.
15. "Los socialistas auguran una debacle de CC en los próximos comicios". ABC (in Spanish). 28 February 2007.
16. "Una encuesta da el triunfo al PSC-PSOE en Canarias". Lanzarote Digital (in Spanish). 4 February 2007. Archived from the original on 4 July 2018. Retrieved 4 July 2018.
17. "Una nueva encuesta da el triunfo al PSC en Canarias". Canariasahora.es (in Spanish). 4 February 2007.
18. "El PP y el PSOE mantendrán sus gobiernos autonómicos, aunque los socialistas bajan". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
19. "López Aguilar se beneficia del batacazo de Coalición Canaria". El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006. Archived from the original on 2011-11-16.
20. "El voto en las comunidades. Elecciones autonómicas 2007" (PDF). El Mundo (in Spanish). 27 November 2006.
21. "Un sondeo apunta que el PSOE podría ganar las elecciones en Canarias aunque sin mayoría absoluta". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 19 November 2006.
22. "El PSOE ganará en 2007". Canarias7 (in Spanish). 28 May 2006.
23. "Encuesta de 'clima' político-electoral de Canarias" (PDF). TNS Demoscopia (in Spanish). 27 January 2006.
24. "CC muestra una encuesta favorable y que no incluye la reforma electoral". ABC (in Spanish). 28 January 2006.
25. "CC y PSC "preparan encuestas" porque "no lo tienen claro"". ABC (in Spanish). 29 January 2006.

Other

1. Statute of Autonomy of the Canary Islands of 1982. Official State Gazette (Organic Law 10) (in Spanish). 10 August 1982. Retrieved 12 September 2017.
2. Parliament of the Canary Islands Elections Law of 2003. Official Gazette of the Canary Islands (Law 7) (in Spanish). 20 March 2003. Retrieved 12 September 2017.
3. General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985. Official State Gazette (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
4. "Representation of the people Institutional Act". www.juntaelectoralcentral.es. Central Electoral Commission. Retrieved 16 June 2017.
5. "Electoral Information System in the Canary Islands". www.gobiernodecanarias.org (in Spanish). Canarian Institute of Statistics. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
6. "2007 Election Results". parcan.es (in Spanish). Parliament of the Canary Islands. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
7. "Parliament of the Canary Islands election results, 27 May 2007" (PDF). www.juntaelectoralcentral.es (in Spanish). Electoral Commission of the Canary Islands. 12 July 2007. Retrieved 30 September 2017.
8. "Elecciones al Parlamento de Canarias (1983 - 2019)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 September 2017.