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All 132 seats in the Assembly of Madrid 67 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Registered | 5,059,252 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 3,251,386 (64.3%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A regional election was held in the Community of Madrid on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 132 seats in the Assembly were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
As a result of the election, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) emerged as the largest political party in a Madrilenian regional election for the first time since 1987, but failed short of securing a majority together with Íñigo Errejón's Más Madrid and Unidas Podemos, the latter of which barely surpassed the 5% threshold to win seats in the Assembly. Instead, a right-of-centre alliance between the People's Party (PP), Citizens (Cs) and far-right Vox was able to muster a majority to form a government, which resulted in the election of PP candidate Isabel Díaz Ayuso as new regional president.
On 21 March 2018, it transpired that President Cristina Cifuentes could have obtained a master's degree in the King Juan Carlos University through fraudulent means. [1] What initially started off as a suspicion that she could have faked her CV, [2] developed into a major scandal after a series of irregularities in the obtaining of the academic title were revealed, as well as the subsequent attempt from both the university and the regional government to cover up the scandal through document forgery. [3] [4] Preliminary probing revealed evidence of possible criminal offenses that were subsequently put under investigation of the judiciary, questioning Cifuentes's continuity as regional premier. [5] [6] [7] After the release of a 2011 video showing her being detained in a supermarket for shoplifting, Cifuentes resigned on 25 April 2018. [8] She was succeeded by her deputy, Ángel Garrido, [9] [10] who was sworn into office on 21 May. [11] [12] Cifuentes's scandal joined many others in a long list of corruption cases beleaguering the ruling People's Party (PP) in Spain that ended up with Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy's downfall on 1 June through a vote of no confidence in the Congress of Deputies. [13] [14]
On 17 January 2019, Podemos suffered a major split after it was announced that Carmena and Íñigo Errejón, Podemos candidate for regional president and one of Podemos founders, had agreed to launch a joint platform to run at the regional election. [15] [16] [17] [18] Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias announced later that day that he no longer considered Errejón as the party's candidate in the region for placing himself "outside Podemos", and that Podemos and IU would contest the regional election on their own even if that meant to compete against Más Madrid and, therefore, against Errejón. [19] [20] Podemos leaders also urged Errejón to resign his Congress seat, [21] considering his move as "deceitful" and "a betrayal" to the party. [22] On 21 January, Errejón resigned his seat, [23] [24] but still called for Podemos, IU and Equo to join the Más Madrid platform. [25] On 25 January, Ramón Espinar, the regional Podemos secretary-general, announced his resignation and his farewell from politics, allegedly after the party's national leadership deprived Espinar's regional branch of any autonomy to attempt negotiations with Errejón's platform for either running in a joint list or agreeing on a coordinated political action. [26] [27] [28]
On 11 April, president Ángel Garrido resigned his post over eligibility issues to join the PP's list to the 2019 European Parliament election, [29] being replaced by Pedro Rollán in the interim. [30] Two weeks later, and four days before that month's general election, Garrido announced his break up from the PP, instead joining Cs's lists for the next regional election. [31]
Under the 1983 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Madrid was the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [32]
Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Community of Madrid and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they were not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote. [33] [34] [35] Additionally, Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish : Voto rogado). [36] [37]
The Assembly of Madrid was entitled to one seat per each 50,000 inhabitants or fraction greater than 25,000. All members were elected in a single multi-member constituency—corresponding to the autonomous community's territory—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which included blank ballots) being applied regionally. [33] [38] As a result of the aforementioned allocation, the Assembly was entitled to 132 seats, based on the official population figures resulting from the latest revision of the municipal register (as of 1 January 2018). [39]
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occurred after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term were to be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [40] [41]
The term of the Assembly of Madrid expired four years after the date of its previous ordinary election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the fifty-fifth day prior to the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Community of Madrid (BOCM). [33] [42] [43] The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 26 May 2019.
The regional president had the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Madrid and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the parliament's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution. [44] [45] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called, which was to be held on the first Sunday following the fifty-fourth day after the call. [46] Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their original four-year term. [44] [47]
The election to the Assembly of Madrid was officially called on 2 April 2019 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOCM, setting election day for 26 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 11 June. [39]
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of the election call. [48]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| People's Parliamentary Group | PP | 48 | 48 | ||
| Socialist Parliamentary Group | PSOE | 37 | 37 | ||
| We Can Parliamentary Group | Podemos | 27 | 27 | ||
| Citizens's Parliamentary Group | Cs | 17 | 17 | ||
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 0.5 percent of the electorate in the Community of Madrid, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [40] [49] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition. [50]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
| Candidacy | Parties and alliances | Leading candidate | Ideology | Previous result | Gov. | Ref. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote % | Seats | ||||||||
| PP | List
| | Isabel Díaz Ayuso | Conservatism Christian democracy | 33.1% | 48 | [51] | ||
| PSOE | List | | Ángel Gabilondo | Social democracy | 25.4% | 37 | [52] | ||
| Podemos–IU | List
| | Isabel Serra | Left-wing populism Direct democracy Democratic socialism | 22.8% [a] | 27 | [19] [53] [54] [55] | ||
| Cs | List | | Ignacio Aguado | Liberalism | 12.2% | 17 | [56] | ||
| Vox | List
| | Rocío Monasterio | Right-wing populism Ultranationalism National conservatism | 1.2% | 0 | [57] | ||
| Más Madrid | List
| | Íñigo Errejón | Progressivism Participatory democracy Green politics | Did not contest | [15] [58] [59] | |||
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | P Present [b] A Absent invitee NI Not invited | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | PSOE | UP | Cs | Vox | MM | Audience | Ref. | |||
| 19 May | Telemadrid | María Rey Jon Ariztimuño | P Ayuso | P Gabilondo | P Serra | P Aguado | P Monasterio | NI | 6.7% (160,000) | [60] |
| 20 May | Cadena SER | Javier Casal Lucía González | A | P Gabilondo | P Serra | P Aguado | P Monasterio | P Errejón | — | [61] |
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 67 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Madrid (65 in the 2015 election).
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | | | | | | | | | | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 64.3 | 22.2 30 | 27.3 37 | [c] | 19.4 26 | [c] | 8.9 12 | 0.8 0 | 5.6 7 | 14.7 20 | 5.1 |
| Sigma Dos/Telemadrid [p 1] [p 2] | 26 May 2019 | 10,800 | ? | 19.4 26/27 | 27.5 37/39 | [c] | 18.2 24/25 | [c] | 9.1 12 | – | 10.1 13/14 | 13.0 17/18 | 8.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 3] | 22–23 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.1 28 | 26.7 36 | [c] | 20.3 27 | [c] | 8.7 11 | – | 8.9 12 | 13.5 18 | 5.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 4] | 21–22 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.3 29 | 26.5 36 | [c] | 20.3 27 | [c] | 8.5 11 | – | 8.9 12 | 12.6 17 | 5.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 5] | 20–21 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.4 29 | 26.6 36 | [c] | 19.7 27 | [c] | 8.8 12 | – | 9.0 12 | 12.3 16 | 5.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 6] | 19–20 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.3 29 | 26.7 37 | [c] | 19.6 27 | [c] | 8.5 11 | – | 9.2 12 | 12.0 16 | 5.4 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español [p 7] | 19 May 2019 | 1,250 | ? | 21.4 29/30 | 26.2 35/36 | [c] | 18.1 25/26 | [c] | 7.5 10/11 | – | 11.5 14/15 | 13.0 16/17 | 4.8 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 8] [p 9] [p 10] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.5 29/30 | 27.2 36/37 | [c] | ? 26/27 | [c] | ? 12/13 | – | ? 14/15 | ? 13/14 | 5.7 |
| GAD3/ABC [p 11] | 19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.9 29/31 | 29.0 39/41 | 8.8 11/13 | 17.8 24/26 | 0.8 0 | 8.8 11/13 | 1.0 0 | – | 9.5 12/14 | 7.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 12] | 16–19 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.4 29 | 27.0 37 | [c] | 19.9 27 | [c] | 8.6 12 | – | 9.9 13 | 10.4 14 | 5.6 |
| Top Position [p 13] [p 14] | 16–18 May 2019 | 1,600 | ? | 21.4 29 | 27.8 38 | [c] | 18.4 25 | [c] | 10.7 14 | – | 9.6 13 | 9.4 13 | 6.4 |
| IMOP/El Confidencial [p 15] [p 16] | 14–17 May 2019 | 1,400 | 72.5 | 21.2 29 | 28.3 38/39 | [c] | 19.2 26/27 | [c] | 7.3 10 | – | 9.0 12 | 12.1 16/17 | 7.1 |
| Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario [p 17] | 14–17 May 2019 | 1,200 | ? | 21.3 28 | 27.4 37 | [c] | 21.0 28 | [c] | 7.4 9 | – | 12.0 16 | 10.8 14 | 6.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 18] | 13–16 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.4 29 | 26.6 37 | [c] | 20.2 28 | [c] | 8.6 11 | – | 10.3 14 | 9.5 13 | 5.2 |
| KeyData/Público [p 19] | 15 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.0 26 | 23.7 33 | [c] | 20.6 29 | [c] | 9.0 12 | – | 13.0 17 | 11.6 15 | 3.1 |
| DYM/El Independiente [p 20] | 10–15 May 2019 | 802 | ? | 20.2 26/27 | 28.3 38/39 | [c] | 17.3 23/24 | [c] | 11.0 15 | – | 8.7 11/12 | 12.7 17/18 | 8.1 |
| Metroscopia/Henneo [p 21] [p 22] | 10–14 May 2019 | 1,400 | 76 | 21.0 28 | 27.6 38 | [c] | 19.8 27 | [c] | 10.5 14 | – | 8.2 11 | 10.3 14 | 6.6 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 23] | 10–13 May 2019 | 900 | ? | 21.7 29/31 | 29.7 41/42 | [c] | 18.1 24/25 | [c] | 7.5 10 | – | 9.4 12/13 | 10.1 13/14 | 8.0 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 24] | 10–13 May 2019 | ? | ? | 20.5 28 | 26.7 37 | [c] | 21.3 29 | [c] | 9.7 13 | – | 10.5 14 | 8.1 11 | 5.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 25] | 12 May 2019 | ? | ? | 21.7 29/30 | 27.0 36/37 | [c] | 19.4 26/27 | [c] | 9.1 13/14 | – | 10.8 14/15 | 9.8 12/13 | 5.3 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 26] | 7–10 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.6 27 | 27.8 38 | [c] | 21.4 29 | [c] | 10.1 13 | – | 10.2 14 | 8.3 11 | 6.4 |
| 40dB/El País [62] [63] | 3–9 May 2019 | 1,200 | ? | 19.8 27 | 24.2 33 | [c] | 18.4 25 | [c] | 8.7 11/12 | – | 7.7 10 | 18.8 25/26 | 4.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 27] | 4–7 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.0 26 | 26.9 37 | [c] | 22.3 31 | [c] | 10.2 14 | – | 10.0 13 | 8.6 11 | 4.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 28] | 29 Apr–4 May 2019 | ? | ? | 18.8 26 | 25.9 37 | [c] | 22.8 31 | [c] | 10.1 13 | – | 10.5 14 | 8.0 11 | 3.1 |
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 75.5 | 18.6 (25) | 27.3 (37) | [c] | 20.9 (29) | [c] | 13.9 (19) | 1.3 (0) | 16.2 (22) | – | 6.4 |
| CIS [p 29] [p 30] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 2,210 | ? | 22.9 29/33 | 26.1 33/38 | [c] | 16.4 21/24 | [c] | 5.7 6/8 | – | 13.0 17/19 | 12.8 16/18 | 3.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 31] | 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019 | ? | ? | 17.8 26 | 28.9 42 | 6.5 9 | 14.9 21 | 3.1 0 | 15.0 22 | – | – | 8.7 12 | 11.1 |
| InvyMark/Telemadrid [p 32] | 3 Apr 2019 | 800 | ? | 22.0 31 | 24.7 34 | 7.5 10 | 14.9 21 | 1.8 0 | 17.2 24 | – | – | 8.6 12 | 2.7 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 33] | 24–31 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 17.2 25 | 29.0 42 | 6.3 9 | 15.3 22 | 3.1 0 | 15.4 22 | – | – | 8.5 12 | 11.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 34] | 17–24 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 17.3 24 | 30.2 43 | 7.7 10 | 14.8 21 | 2.6 0 | 15.9 22 | – | – | 8.6 12 | 12.9 |
| PP [p 35] | 23 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | ? 30 | ? 38 | ? 10 | ? 22 | – | ? 20 | – | – | ? 12 | ? |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 36] | 10–17 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 17.2 24 | 28.7 40 | 7.8 11 | 13.7 19 | – | 18.9 26 | – | – | 8.5 12 | 9.8 |
| InvyMark/Telemadrid [p 37] | 12 Mar 2019 | 800 | ? | 22.6 31 | 23.7 33 | 9.3 13 | 16.3 23 | 2.1 0 | 13.7 19 | – | – | 9.2 13 | 1.1 |
| PP [p 38] | 10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | ? 30 | ? 36 | ? 11 | ? 23 | – | ? 20 | – | – | ? 12 | ? |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 39] | 3–10 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 16.9 24 | 28.3 40 | 8.0 11 | 14.3 20 | – | 18.7 26 | – | – | 8.2 11 | 9.6 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 40] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019 | ? | ? | 16.5 23 | 28.5 40 | 8.1 11 | 14.5 20 | – | 18.9 27 | – | – | 7.9 11 | 9.6 |
| InvyMark/Telemadrid [p 41] | 15 Feb 2019 | 800 | ? | 22.0 31 | 21.8 30 | 8.6 12 | 18.9 26 | 2.1 0 | 14.2 20 | – | – | 9.5 13 | 0.2 |
| PP [p 42] | 11 Feb 2019 | ? | ? | 21.9 29 | 22.4 30 | 9.5 12 | 19.6 26 | 5.2 7 | 9.5 12 | – | – | 11.8 16 | 0.5 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 43] | 29 Jan–2 Feb 2019 | 900 | 64.8 | 21.3 31 | 20.4 30 | 7.4 10 | 18.9 27 | 4.4 0 | 10.4 15 | – | – | 13.2 19 | 0.9 |
| Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es [p 44] | 23–30 Jan 2019 | 800 | ? | 20.8 29 | 21.4 30 | 9.0 12 | 19.2 27 | 5.3 7 | 8.4 12 | – | – | 10.5 15 | 0.6 |
| InvyMark/Telemadrid [p 45] | 29 Jan 2019 | 800 | ? | 21.8 30 | 21.9 30 | [c] | 19.4 27 | [c] | 13.5 18 | – | 9.3 13 | 10.5 14 | 0.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 46] [p 47] | 17 Jan 2019 | 500 | ? | 16.6 24 | 25.2 38 | [c] | 17.6 26 | [c] | 17.9 26 | 0.9 0 | 4.7 0 | 12.5 18 | 7.3 |
| InvyMark/Telemadrid [p 48] | 14–15 Jan 2019 | 800 | 70 | 21.6 30 | 22.3 31 | [c] | 21.4 29 | [c] | 12.2 17 | – | 18.1 25 | – | 0.7 |
| PP [p 49] [p 50] | 10 Dec 2018 | ? | ? | ? 28 | ? 31 | [c] | ? 30 | [c] | ? 17 | – | ? 23 | – | ? |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 51] | 9–10 Dec 2018 | 700 | ? | 17.0 24 | 23.2 33 | [c] | 21.1 30 | [c] | 14.4 20 | 1.6 0 | 18.1 25 | – | 2.1 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 52] | 1–8 Nov 2018 | 700 | ? | 20.9 29/30 | 26.2 36/38 | [c] | 24.1 33/35 | [c] | 4.9 0/6 | 0.8 0 | 18.3 25/26 | – | 2.1 |
| SyM Consulting [p 53] [p 54] | 3–4 May 2018 | 1,436 | 65.1 | 23.4 33/34 | 25.7 36/37 | 15.6 22 | 26.1 37 | 4.0 0 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español [p 55] | 26–30 Apr 2018 | 1,200 | ? | 20.6 29 | 20.7 29 | 18.8 27 | 30.8 44 | – | 4.6 0 | 0.8 0 | – | – | 10.1 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 56] [p 57] | 23–28 Apr 2018 | 900 | 62.6 | 23.9 36 | 20.9 31 | 16.2 24 | 25.4 38 | 4.4 0 | 2.8 0 | 3.2 0 | – | – | 1.5 |
| InvyMark/laSexta [p 58] | 23–27 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 24.4 34 | 24.5 34 | 16.5 23 | 26.9 38 | – | – | – | – | – | 2.4 |
| GAD3/ABC [p 59] | 18–27 Apr 2018 | 1,061 | ? | 25.3 36 | 25.5 36 | 12.9 18 | 27.6 39 | 1.4 0 | – | – | – | – | 2.1 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 60] | 24–26 Apr 2018 | ? | ? | 22.6 31/32 | 22.2 31/32 | 16.8 23/24 | 30.4 42/43 | 3.6 0 | – | – | – | – | 7.8 |
| Metroscopia/El País [p 61] [p 62] | 18–25 Apr 2018 | 2,600 | 70 | 17.7 25 | 22.5 33 | 15.9 23 | 32.9 48 | – | – | – | – | – | 10.4 |
| Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es [p 63] | 16–19 Apr 2018 | 600 | 64.3 | 24.3 34 | 23.9 34 | 17.6 25 | 25.7 36 | 4.7 0 | – | – | – | – | 1.4 |
| Cs [p 64] [p 65] | 6–10 Apr 2018 | 700 | ? | 22.3 31 | 23.5 32 | 17.3 23 | 26.5 36 | 5.5 7 | – | – | – | – | 3.0 |
| Equipo MEG/PSOE [p 66] [p 67] [p 68] | 6–10 Apr 2018 | 1,805 | ? | 26.3 36 | 27.5 37 | 14.5 20 | 26.8 36 | 2.2 0 | – | – | – | – | 0.7 |
| SocioMétrica/El Español [p 69] | 23–30 Mar 2018 | 800 | ? | 23.5 33 | 18.8 26 | 16.6 23 | 28.6 40 | 5.1 7 | 3.4 0 | – | – | – | 5.1 |
| SyM Consulting [p 70] [p 71] | 5–7 Mar 2018 | 1,408 | 67.5 | 31.5 43/45 | 25.2 36 | 15.8 22/23 | 18.0 25/26 | 4.1 0 | – | – | – | – | 6.3 |
| Equipo MEG/PSOE [p 66] [p 67] | 5–9 Jan 2018 | ? | ? | 31.3 44 | 24.9 35 | 15.7 22 | 19.5 28 | 3.9 0 | – | – | – | – | 6.4 |
| NC Report/La Razón [p 72] [p 73] | 26–29 Apr 2017 | 1,000 | 59.3 | 35.9 51 | 24.6 34 | 18.1 26 | 13.1 18 | – | – | – | – | – | 10.3 |
| InvyMark/laSexta [p 74] | 26–27 Apr 2017 | ? | ? | 30.9 44 | 25.8 36 | 21.3 30 | 13.5 19 | – | – | – | – | – | 5.1 |
| Metroscopia/El País [p 75] [p 76] [p 77] | 24–26 Apr 2017 | 1,200 | 72 | 25.7 36 | 19.7 27 | 24.9 35 | 22.6 31 | 2.1 0 | – | – | – | – | 0.8 |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 70.8 | 38.2 (51) | 19.6 (26) | [c] | 17.8 (24) | [c] | 0.5 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 21.3 (28) | – | 16.9 |
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 74.1 | 33.4 (45) | 17.8 (24) | 20.9 (28) | 18.8 (25) | 5.3 (7) | 0.6 (0) | 0.8 (0) | – | – | 12.5 |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 65.7 | 33.1 48 | 25.4 37 | 18.6 27 | 12.2 17 | 4.2 0 | 1.2 0 | 1.0 0 | – | – | 7.7 |
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | | | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | — | 15.1 | 18.5 | [c] | 13.2 | [c] | 6.0 | 3.8 | 9.9 | — | 31.9 | 3.4 |
| April 2019 general election | 28 Apr 2019 | — | 14.8 | 21.6 | [c] | 16.6 | [c] | 11.0 | 12.8 | – | — | 20.2 | 5.0 |
| CIS [p 29] | 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 | 2,210 | 13.1 | 17.4 | [c] | 8.0 | [c] | 3.1 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 33.8 | 6.6 | 4.3 |
| Metroscopia/El País [p 62] | 18–25 Apr 2018 | 2,600 | 13.5 | 17.7 | 12.3 | 23.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.7 |
| Metroscopia/El País [p 76] | 24–26 Apr 2017 | 1,200 | 19.8 | 15.9 | 17.6 | 16.5 | – | – | – | – | 23.9 | 2.2 | |
| 2016 general election | 26 Jun 2016 | — | 28.2 | 14.5 | [c] | 13.1 | [c] | 0.4 | 15.7 | – | — | 25.7 | 12.5 |
| 2015 general election | 20 Dec 2015 | — | 25.9 | 13.8 | 16.1 | 14.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 | – | – | — | 22.2 | 9.8 |
| 2015 regional election | 24 May 2015 | — | 22.6 | 17.4 | 12.7 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 | – | – | — | 31.1 | 5.2 |
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Community of Madrid.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | | | | | | | | | | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cifuentes PP | Ayuso PP | Gabilondo PSOE | López Podemos | Errejón Podemos/ Más Madrid | Aguado Cs | Montero IU–M | Monasterio Vox | Serra UP | ||||||
| IMOP/El Confidencial [p 15] | 14–17 May 2019 | 1,400 | – | 12.1 | 26.6 | – | 17.8 | 10.9 | – | 3.6 | 3.6 | 25.4 | 8.8 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español [p 69] | 23–30 Mar 2018 | 800 | 21.0 | – | 20.0 | 2.4 | 10.5 | 18.0 | 4.1 | – | – | 24.0 | 1.0 | |
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 884,218 | 27.31 | +1.88 | 37 | ±0 | |
| People's Party (PP) | 719,852 | 22.23 | −10.85 | 30 | −18 | |
| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | 629,940 | 19.46 | +7.31 | 26 | +9 | |
| More Madrid (Más Madrid) | 475,672 | 14.69 | New | 20 | +20 | |
| Vox (Vox) | 287,667 | 8.88 | +7.70 | 12 | +12 | |
| United We Can–United Left–Stand Up Madrid (Podemos–IU)1 | 181,231 | 5.60 | −17.20 | 7 | −20 | |
| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) | 24,446 | 0.76 | −0.26 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) | 4,057 | 0.13 | −1.91 | 0 | ±0 | |
| For a Fairer World (PUM+J) | 3,178 | 0.10 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Union for Leganés (ULEG) | 2,984 | 0.09 | −0.08 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 2,610 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
| Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE–JONS) | 2,217 | 0.07 | −0.10 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Castilian Party–Commoners' Land: Pact (PCAS–TC–Pacto) | 1,794 | 0.06 | ±0.00 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Humanist Party (PH) | 1,727 | 0.05 | −0.06 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Libertarian Party (P–LIB) | 1,246 | 0.04 | −0.02 | 0 | ±0 | |
| Blank ballots | 15,020 | 0.46 | −0.64 | |||
| Total | 3,237,859 | 132 | +3 | |||
| Valid votes | 3,237,859 | 99.58 | +0.55 | |||
| Invalid votes | 13,527 | 0.42 | −0.55 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 3,251,386 | 64.27 | −1.42 | |||
| Abstentions | 1,807,866 | 35.73 | +1.42 | |||
| Registered voters | 5,059,252 | |||||
| Sources [48] [64] | ||||||
Footnotes:
| ||||||
The following table lists the elected legislators sorted by order of election: [64]
| Investiture Nomination of Isabel Díaz Ayuso (PP) | ||
| Ballot → | 14 August 2019 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 67 out of 132 | |
68 / 132 | ||
No
| 64 / 132 | |
| Abstentions | 0 / 132 | |
| Absentees | 0 / 132 | |
| Sources [48] [65] | ||
Isabel Díaz Ayuso's administration represented several historical firsts for the Community of Madrid: it was the first time that the region was run by a coalition government—Ayuso's own conservative People's Party (PP) and the center-right Citizens (Cs)—and it was the first time that the far-right, represented by Vox, propped up a regional executive in the Community. A similar governing arrangement was set up in the southern regions of Andalusia and Murcia. [66]