The 2023 election resulted in a coalition government being formed between the People's Party (PP) and the far-rightVox, with PP's Carlos Mazón becoming the new regional president. This coalition lasted until July 2024, when Vox broke up all of its regional coalitions with the PP. On 29 October 2024, catastrophic floods across the province of Valencia shook Mazón's tenure as the mounting death toll and the poor management of the crisis by the Valencian government sparked widespread outcry, causing the PP's popularity to plummet in opinion polls. He lost his party's support in November 2025, after families of victims confronted him publicly at the tragedy's one-year memorial ceremony and the emergence of new evidence pointing at his inaction during the height of the floods. Mazón subsequently resigned—pending a negotiation with Vox to elect an interim replacement—but not before the PP was plunged into chaos as the national and regional leaderships clashed over his succession.
The 2023 regional election had seen the "Botànic Agreement" of left-of-centre parties being ousted from power by an alliance of the People's Party (PP) and the far-rightVox party, which formed a coalition government under regional PP leader Carlos Mazón.[1] Negotiations for forming the new Mazón's government coincided with the electoral campaign of the 2023 Spanish general election, a factor which was said to contribute to the PP's electoral disappointment by evidencing the party's willingness to allow the far-right into government despite public pledges to the contrary.[2][3][4] This coalition lasted until July 2024, when Vox's national leader Santiago Abascal forced the break up of all PP–Vox regional governments over a controversy regarding the nationwide distribution of unaccompanied migrant minors among the autonomous communities,[5][6][7] leading Mazón to immediately dismiss all Vox ministers in his cabinet.[8]
Mazón's tenure was overshadowed by the 29 October 2024 floods across the province of Valencia, caused by torrential rains that brought over a year's worth of precipitation, resulting in one of the deadliest natural disasters in Spanish history with 237 deaths—229 in the province of Valencia alone—and substantial property damage.[9][10][11] The Valencian government was criticized for its lack of emergency preparedness and poor disaster response, with Mazón initially downplaying the scale of the floods,[12][13][14] then remaining unreachable and his emergency services paralyzed during the most critical hours of the crisis,[15][16][17] a late sending of emergency alerts to the endangered population—which arrived when hundreds were already trapped or dying[18][19]—and the apparent inability of regional authorities to cooperate adequately with the national government.[20][21] A judicial probe for reckless homicide over alleged negligence in the management of the crisis was opened on several high-ranking regional officers,[22][23] including the regional minister responsible for emergency services at the time of the floods,[24][25] while Mazón's popularity plummeted in opinion polls amid his constant changes of story about his whereabouts during the height of the disaster.[26][27][28]
Support from the PP's national leadership under Alberto Núñez Feijóo helped Mazón survive calls for his resignation,[29] but his political position remained weak.[30][31] Public outrage at him was evidenced at the memorial ceremony held on the first anniversary of the tragedy,[32][33] during which he was jeered and insulted by family members of victims.[34][35] Added to new evidence hinting at a possible omission of duties while the floods devastated entire towns,[36][37][38] and with the judicial investigation closing in on him,[39][40] Mazón allegedly lost his party's support.[41][42] With his political demise seeming imminent,[43][44] the PP descended into chaos on 1–2 November 2025 as the national and regional leaderships vyed for controlling his succession.[45][46] Mazón himself considered resigning and challenged Feijóo by threatening a snap election,[47][48][49] while the party crisis deepened due to difficulties in agreeing on a successor and on whether Mazón would be able to retain immunity from judicial prosecution.[50][51] The latter announced his resignation as regional president on 3 November[52][53]—claiming that he could not "go on anymore"[54][55][56]—pending a negotiation with Vox to elect an interim replacement.[57][58]
Voting for the Corts is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Valencian Community and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.[60][61]
The Corts Valencianes are entitled to a minimum of 99 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members are elected in three multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Alicante, Castellón and Valencia, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in any given province does not exceed three times that of any other)—using the D'Hondt method and a closed listproportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied regionally.[62][63]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Corts constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 12 December 2024):[b]
The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes.[65][66]
Election date
The term of the Corts Valencianes expires four years after the date of their previous election, unless they are dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of the Valencian Government (DOGV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication.[67][68][69] The previous election was held on 28 May 2023, which meant that the legislature's term will expire on 28 May 2027. The election decree must be published in the DOGV no later than 4 May 2027, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Corts on Sunday, 27 June 2027.
The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Corts Valencianes and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process.[70] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Corts are to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[71]
The possibility of an early regional election was ruled out upon the confirmation on 27 October 2025 of an election in Extremadura for 21 December,[72][73] but gained traction after Mazón lost his party's support two days later over the political fallout from his mishandling of the 2024 floods,[74][75] with any attempt to replace him potentially leading to an election scenario due to the PP minority status.[76] With the party in disarray amid expectations of his imminent downfall,[46][77] speculation emerged about going to the polls under a different PP candidate.[78][79] Mazón threatened to simultaneously resign from the presidency and call a snap election (with senior PP officials trying to intercede)[80][81] in an attempt to oversee his succession and maintain parliamentary immunity.[48][49][82] By the evening of 2 November, PP leaders had come to see an early election as a realistic scenario[47][83]—with 28 December 2025, 4 or 18 January 2026 being considered as possible dates in the event of an immediate dissolution of parliament[84][85]—but faced the problem of not having a candidate.[86][87] Mazón ultimately announced his resignation without calling an election,[88][89][90] but existing difficulties on PP and Vox being to agree on a replacement still made a 2026 election likely,[4][91] with 22 March being mentioned as a possible date according to the legal timetable set by Mazón's resignation.[92][93]
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[96][97] Amendments to the electoral law in 2024 increased requirements for a balanced composition of men and women in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[98]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
The political future of regional president Carlos Mazón came into question following his poor handling of the 2024 floods, with him surviving initial calls to resign through the support granted to him by his party's national leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo.[29][31] Mazón intended to continue in office and try to run for a second term in 2027 by attempting to blame the catastrophe on Prime MinisterPedro Sánchez's government,[103][104] but the public humiliation he suffered at a memorial ceremony on 29 October 2025 (during which he was confronted and insulted by relatives of victims),[41][105][106] and the emergence of new evidence pointing at his inaction during the height of the floods,[38][39] prompted the PP to leave Mazón on his own.[41][107] While Feijóo intended for him to merely announce that he would not run as candidate for a new term,[54] Mazón acknowledged his political demise and chose to resign outright,[56][108] forcing the PP to hastily find a replacement.[109] An internal struggle ensued as the regional party floated the candidacy of Vicente Mompó (president of the provincial deputation of Valencia),[99][110][111] whereas the party's national leadership favoured Valencia mayorMaría José Catalá instead,[85][112] with Mazón threatening to simultaneously resign and call a snap election in order to control his own succession.[48][49] Juanfran Pérez Llorca, Mazón's deputy in the party, was suggested as interim president until an orderly succession could be organized,[113][114][115] with this proposal—along with Catalá's reluctance to succeed Mazón, with she ruling herself out on 7 November[116]—being poorly received by the national PP.[86][117] Mazón announced his will to resign and a medical leave on 3 November,[118][119] while urging PP and Vox to elect his replacement.[58][89]
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Local regression trend line of poll results from 28 May 2023 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 50 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Corts Valencianes.
↑ This seat allocation has been manually calculated by applying the electoral rules set out in the law, on the basis of the latest official population figures provided by the Spanish government as of 2025. As such, it should be deemed as a provisional, non-binding estimation. The definitive allocation will be determined by the election decree at the time of the parliament's dissolution.[64]
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