Next Extremaduran regional election

Last updated
Next Extremaduran regional election
Flag of Extremadura with COA.svg
  2025
No later than 20 January 2030

All 65 seats in the Assembly of Extremadura
33 seats needed for a majority
  Maria Guardiola 2025 (cropped).jpg Portrait placeholder.svg Oscar Fernandez 2025 (cropped).jpg
Leader María Guardiola To be determined Óscar Fernández
Party PP PSOE Vox
Leader since16 July 202211 November 2025
Leader's seat Cáceres Cáceres
Last election29 seats, 43.2%18 seats, 25.7%11 seats, 16.9%
Current seats291811
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 4Increase2.svg 15Increase2.svg 22

  Acto en Badajoz. Ione Belarra, Irene Montero, Irene de Miguel y Nerea Fernandez.png
Leader Irene de Miguel
Party Podemos–IU–AV
Leader since27 November 2018
Leader's seat Cáceres
Last election7 seats, 10.3%
Current seats7
Seats neededIncrease2.svg 26

Incumbent President

María Guardiola (acting)
PP



A regional election will be held in Extremadura no later than Sunday, 20 January 2030, to elect the 13th Assembly of the autonomous community. All 65 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.

Contents

The People's Party (PP) of incumbent president María Guardiola fell well short of an overall majority in the 2025 snap election, requiring the support of the far-right Vox party to retain power. As a result, Spanish media commented on the possibility of a repeat election in the event of a failure in government formation negotiations. [1] [2]

Overview

Under the 2011 Statute of Autonomy, the Assembly of Extremadura is the unicameral legislature of the homonymous autonomous community, having legislative power in devolved matters, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president. [3]

Electoral system

Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote. [4] [5] [6]

The Assembly of Extremadura is entitled to a maximum of 65 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members are elected in two multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations—using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies are also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they run candidates in both districts and reach five percent regionally. [4] [7]

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 11 December 2025): [a]

SeatsConstituencies
36 Badajoz
29 Cáceres

The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes. [9] [10]

Election date

The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. [3] [11] [12] The previous election was held on 21 December 2025, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 21 December 2029. The election decree must be published in the DOE no later than 27 November 2029, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 20 January 2030.

The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one. [11] [13] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. [14]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates. [15] [16] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system. [17]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

CandidacyParties and
alliances
CandidateIdeologyPrevious resultGov.Ref.
Vote %Seats
PP
List
Maria Guardiola 2025 (cropped).jpg María Guardiola Conservatism
Christian democracy
43.2%29Check-green.svg
PSOE Portrait placeholder.svg TBD Social democracy 25.7%18Dark Red x.svg [18]
Vox
List
Oscar Fernandez 2025 (cropped).jpg Óscar Fernández Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
16.9%11Dark Red x.svg
Podemos–
IU–AV
Acto en Badajoz. Ione Belarra, Irene Montero, Irene de Miguel y Nerea Fernandez.png Irene de Miguel Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
10.3%7Dark Red x.svg

Notes

  1. This seat allocation has been manually calculated by applying the electoral rules set out in the law, on the basis of the latest official population figures provided by the Spanish government as of 2025. As such, it should be deemed as a provisional, non-binding estimation. The definitive allocation will be determined by the election decree at the time of the parliament's dissolution. [8]
  2. Unofficially. [19] [20]

References

  1. Hernández, José Luis (21 December 2025). "Volvemos al punto de partida en Extremadura: acuerdo PP-Vox o repetición de las elecciones" (in Spanish). Cadena SER . Retrieved 22 December 2025.
  2. Ramos, Ana Belén (21 December 2025). "El PP sube y gana en Extremadura pero no logra cortar la dependencia de Vox". El Confidencial (in Spanish). Retrieved 22 December 2025.
  3. 1 2 Statute (2011) , art. 16.
  4. 1 2 Statute (2011) , art. 17.
  5. LEEx (1987) , art. 2.
  6. LOREG (1985) , arts. 2–3.
  7. LEEx (1987) , arts. 17–19.
  8. Real Decreto 1117/2025, de 3 de diciembre, por el que se declaran oficiales las cifras de población resultantes de la revisión del Padrón municipal referidas al 1 de enero de 2025 (Royal Decree 1117/2025). Official State Gazette (in Spanish). 3 December 2025. Retrieved 12 December 2025.
  9. LEEx (1987) , arts. 19 & 26.
  10. LOREG (1985) , arts. 46 & 48.
  11. 1 2 LEEx (1987) , arts. 22–23.
  12. LOREG (1985) , art. 42.
  13. Statute (2011) , art. 26–27.
  14. Statute (2011) , art. 25.
  15. LEEx (1987) , arts. 25–26.
  16. LOREG (1985) , art. 44.
  17. LOREG (1985) , art. 44 bis.
  18. Marcos, José; Viejo, Manuel (22 December 2025). "Miguel Ángel Gallardo dimite como secretario general del PSOE de Extremadura". El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 22 December 2025.
  19. "Sumar se ofrece a colaborar en la campaña de Unidas por Extremadura ocupando el puesto 22 en las listas". Demócrata (in Spanish). Agencias. 1 December 2025. Retrieved 5 December 2025.
  20. Cabanillas, Ana (2 December 2025). "Sumar se 'cuela' en las listas de Unidas por Extremadura pese a que Podemos presumió de haberle vetado". El Periódico (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 5 December 2025.

Bibliography