The 2025 snap election saw the People's Party (PP) of incumbent president María Guardiola falling well short of an overall majority in parliament, requiring the support of the far-rightVox party to retain power.[2] As a result, Spanish media commented on the possibility of a repeat election in the event of a failure in the government formation process.[3][4] Negotiations throughout January and February 2026 showed Vox's willingness to block Guardiola's election,[5][6] with this being materialized in March after forcing the defeat of her investiture attempt.[7] As a result, a repeat election is set to take place on 28 June 2026 if no regional president is elected before 4 May.[1]
Background
The 2025 snap election saw a resounding win for the People's Party (PP) of incumbent president María Guardiola, which nonetheless fell well short of an overall majority and remained dependant on the far-rightVox party's support to retain power.[2][8] Negotiations throughout January and February 2026 failed to deliver a deal and led to a political deadlock after Guardiola's failure to be elected in an investiture attempt in March, with the scenario of a repeat election gaining traction.[1][6][7] Concurrently, the electoral collapse of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) prompted regional PSOE leader Miguel Ángel Gallardo to resign,[9] with the party planning an extraordinary congress to take place in April 2026 so that a successor could be in place in the event of a repeat election.[10]
Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Extremadura and in full enjoyment of their political rights, provided that they are not sentenced—by a final court ruling—to deprivation of the right to vote.[12][13][14]
The Assembly of Extremadura is entitled to a maximum of 65 seats, with the electoral law setting its size at that number. All members are elected in two multi-member constituencies—corresponding to the provinces of Badajoz and Cáceres, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 20 seats and the remaining 25 being distributed in proportion to their populations—using the D'Hondt method and a closed listproportional voting system, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes (which includes blank ballots) being applied in each constituency. Alternatively, parties failing to reach the threshold in one of the constituencies are also entitled to enter the seat distribution as long as they run candidates in both districts and reach five percent regionally.[12][15]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Assembly constituency would be entitled the following seats (as of 11 December 2025):[a]
The law does not provide for by-elections to fill vacated seats; instead, any vacancies that occur after the proclamation of candidates and into the legislative term will be covered by the successive candidates in the list and, when required, by the designated substitutes.[17][18]
Election date
The term of the Assembly of Extremadura expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Extremadura (DOE), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication.[11][19][20] The previous election was held on 21 December 2025, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 21 December 2029. The election decree must be published in the DOE no later than 27 November 2029, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible date for election day on Sunday, 20 January 2030.
The regional president has the prerogative to dissolve the Assembly of Extremadura at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process and that dissolution does not occur before one year has elapsed since the previous one.[19][21] In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Assembly shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[22]
The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant electoral commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least two percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[25][26] Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists through the use of a zipper system.[27]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 33 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Extremadura.
↑This seat allocation has been manually calculated by applying the electoral rules set out in the law, on the basis of the latest official population figures provided by the Spanish government as of 2026. As such, it should be deemed as a provisional, non-binding estimation. The definitive allocation will be determined by the election decree at the time of the parliament's dissolution.[16]
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