2025 Bolivian general election

2025 Bolivian general election

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Presidential election

Incumbent President Luis Arce MAS-IPSP

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. Voters will elect the President of Bolivia and Vice President of Bolivia, 130 members of the Chamber of Deputies, and 36 members of the Chamber of Senators.

Presidential candidates

Declared intention to run

• Rodrigo Paz Pereira (CC), member of the Chamber of Senators ^[1]
• Manfred Reyes Villa (Súmate), mayor of Cochabamba ^[2]
• Vicente Cuéllar (Cambio25), rector of the Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University ^[3]
• Jaime Soliz (PDC), former prosecutor of the department of Santa Cruz (2005–2010) ^[4]
• Chi Hyun Chung, evangelical pastor, 2019 and 2020 presidential candidate ^{[5] [6]}
• Samuel Doria Medina, former minister of Planning and Coordination of Bolivia (1991–1993) ^[7]
• Branko Marinković, former minister of Economy and Public Finance (2020) ^[8]
• Eduardo Sicher, independent candidate,

Speculated candidates

• Andrónico Rodríguez (MAS-IPSP), president of the Chamber of Senators (as Evo Morales running mate) ^{[9] [10]}
• Carlos Mesa (CC), former president of Bolivia (2003–2005) ^[11]
• Luis Arce (MAS-IPSP), president of Bolivia (2020–present) ^[12]

Refused to run

• Rubén Costas (MDS), governor of the department of Santa Cruz (2015–2021) ^[13]
• Luis Fernando Camacho (Creemos), Governor of Santa Cruz (2021–2024) ^[14]

Banned for life from running

• On 8 November 2024, Evo Morales (MAS-IPSP), former president of Bolivia (2006–2019), ^[15] became the first and only Bolivian citizen to be bannedfor life from running as a presidential candidate by the Plurinational Constitutional Tribunal.

The judges based their decision on Article 168 of the Constitution, which states that a citizen can only run for the presidency twice in a row. They interpreted this article to mean that a person can only run for president two times in their entire lifetime. However, Morales' lawyers called the ruling politically motivated. They argued that Article 168 of the Constitution prohibits a third consecutive re-election, emphasizing that the upcoming General Elections in August 2025 will not take place under an Evo Morales presidency. ^[16] The same law applies to all elected officials in the Executive Branch at the departmental, provincial and local levels (Article 285). ^[17] Furthermore, they questioned the legitimacy of the magistrates who had extended their own terms, asserting that they were still operating illegally. ^[18] It has also been noted that Evo Morales, under Article 167 of the Constitution, remains legally eligible to run for public office, even if he faces criminal charges or is arrested, as long as he has not been convicted through a formal judgment. ^{[19] [20] [21]}

Opinion polls

Before the applications

Date	Polling firm	Evo Morales MAS	Jorge Quiroga Libre 21	Reyes Villa APB Súmate	Andrónico Rodríguez MAS	Doria Medina FUN	Hyun Chi Ind.	Fernando Camacho Creemos	Carlos Mesa CC	Luis Arce MAS	Eduardo del Castillo MAS	Eva Copa Ind.	Vicente Cuellar Cambio25	Jaime Soliz PDC	Marcelo Claure Ind.	Maria Galindo Ind.	Edman Lara NIL	Rodrigo Paz CC	David Choquehuanca MAS	Others	Undecided Null Blank
15-17 Jan 2025	Datacron [22]	44.1%	15.1%	7.4%	6.8%	4.7%	2.8%	2.6%	2.1%	1.9%	1.7%	1.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	9,5%
15 Nov 2024	Consultora Morris	-	14%	35%	25%	2%	1%	6%	1%	12%	-	-	0.8%	-	-	-	-	0.2%	-	-	-
2-15 Nov 2024	Panterra	17%	9%	18%	-	13%	-	9%	6%	4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-		-	-	21%
Sep 2024	Datacron [23] [24]	36.2%	1.3%	5.5%	7.5%	1.1%	1.9%	1.5%	12.5%	5.3%	-	1.1%	0.6%	-	-	6.1%	0.4%	-	-	0.8%	18.2%
Sep 2024	Diagonsis	10%	-	10%	10%	4%	-	4%	8%	16%	-	-	9%	-	-	-	-	-	3%	-	9%
Jun 2024	Captura Consulting	-	4%	13%	13%	9%	6%	10%	6%	-	-	-	5%	-	-	10%	3%	-	-	-	19%
May 2024	Diagnosis	9%	-	5%	7%	2%	-	3%	9%	19%	-	-	7%	-	-		-	-	-	-	10%
Apr 2024	Coolosa Comunicaciones	7.73%	3.86%	11.06%	0.79%	5.95%	-	1.71%	7.52%	8.79%	-	1.25%	10.77%	1.29%	-	5.80%	5.04%	2.82%	-	-	4.22%
16-17 Mar 2024	Diagnosis	12%	-	2%	7%	4%	-	2%	10%	17%	-	-	9%	-	-	-		-	-	-	-
15 Mar 2024	Captura Consulting	-	-	12%	11%	9%	2%	7%	8%	16%	-	-	3%	-	7%	7%		-	-	-	18%
Nov 2023	Diagnosis	11%	-	3%	-	5%	-	4%	12%	21%	-	-	9%	-	-	-		-	-	-	12%
9-10 Sep 2023	Diagnosis	9%	-	4%	-	6%	-	4%	11%	18%	-	-	9%	-	-	-		-	-	-	14%
19-20 Aug 2023	Diagnosis	10%	-	3%	3%	4%	-	2%	13%	14%	-	-	6%	-	-	-		-	-	-	18%
Aug 2023	Poder y Placer	11%	-	8%	-	9%	-	9%	10%	12%	-	2%	3%	-	4%	6%		-	1%	-	24%
8-9 Jul 2023	Diagnosis	9%	-	3%	-	4%	-	2%	13%	14%	-	-	6%	-	-	-		-	-	-	-
22 May-22 Jun 2023	Poder y Placer	12%	2%	4%	-	13%	-	1%	13%	17%	-	8%	1%	-	3%	10%		1%	2%	-	-
29 Dec 2022-19 Jan 2023	Poder y Placer	11%	-	9%	-	19%	-	13%	19%	21%	-	-	-	-	13%	2%		-	-	-	7%
Jul 2022	Captura Consulting	11%	5%	-	-	3%	-	8%	11%	18%	-	3%	-	-	-	-		-	-		-
9-19 Apr 2022	Captura Consulting	11%	7%	10%	-	4%	-	15%	11%	17%	-	5%	-	3%	-	-		-	-	-	20%
Dec 2021	Captura Consulting	-	3%	12%	-	-	-	15%	13%	23%	-		7%	-	-	-		-	-	-	-

See also

• 2024 Bolivian coup attempt

References

1. "EDITORIAL: Rodrigo Paz ahora quiere ser presidente de Bolivia" [EDITORIAL: Rodrigo Paz now wants to be president of Bolivia]. La Voz de Tarija (in Spanish). 20 March 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
2. "Reyes Villa se abre a candidatear para Presidente en comicios 2025" [Reyes Villa opens up to running for President in the 2025 elections]. Los Tiempos (in Spanish). 26 September 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
3. "El rector Cuéllar abre paso a su alianza Cambio 25 para darle pelea al MAS en 2025" [Rector Cuéllar makes way for his Cambio 25 alliance to fight the MAS in 2025]. Opinión Bolivia (in Spanish). 21 November 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
4. "El abogado Jaime Soliz Phiel anuncia su candidatura a la Presidencia de Bolivia" [Lawyer Jaime Soliz Phiel announces his candidacy for the Presidency of Bolivia]. El Deber (in European Spanish). 8 February 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
5. Bueno, Boris (8 May 2024). "Chi Hyun Chung anuncia su candidatura para las elecciones generales del 2025" [Chi Hyun Chung announces his candidacy for the 2025 general elections]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
6. "Chi reaparece y anuncia su Candidatura para el 2025" [Chi reappears and announces his candidacy for 2025]. El Mundo - Diario lider en Informacion en Bolivia (in Spanish). 30 November 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
7. "Doria Medina anuncia que participará de las elecciones del 2025" [Doria Medina announces that she will participate in the 2025 elections] (in Spanish). 18 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
8. "Marinkovic fue presentado como candidato en encuentro donde están Milei y Bolsonaro" [Marinkovic was presented as a candidate in a meeting where Milei and Bolsonaro are present]. Los Tiempos (in Spanish). 7 July 2024. Retrieved 25 September 2024.
9. Castro, Nancy (19 February 2024). "El binomio "evista" para las elecciones del 2025 será Evo-Andrónico, adelanta diputado López" [The "evista" binomial for the 2025 elections will be Evo-Andrónico, advances deputy López]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
10. "El binomio "evista" para las elecciones del 2025 será Evo-Andrónico, adelanta diputado López" [The "evista" binomial for the 2025 elections will be Evo-Andrónico, advances deputy López]. Agencia de Noticias Fides - Bolivia (in Spanish). 27 June 2024. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
11. Patria, Redacción La (21 July 2023). "Diputada de CC asegura que Carlos Mesa se presentará como candidato el 2025 y que busca unificar a la oposición" [CC deputy assures that Carlos Mesa will present himself as a candidate in 2025 and that he seeks to unify the opposition]. Periódico La Patria (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
12. "Luis Arce será candidato del MÁS en el 2025, sí las organizaciones lo permiten" [Luis Arce will be a candidate for MÁS in 2025, if the organizations allow it]. Bolivia.com (in Spanish). 30 April 2024. Retrieved 25 September 2024.
13. Mendoza, Luz (9 April 2024). "Costas impulsa desde Cochabamba estrategia rumbo a elecciones de 2025" [From Cochabamba, Costas promotes a strategy towards the 2025 elections]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 June 2024.
14. Pereyra, Omar (17 December 2024). "Camacho trabaja para que precandidatos dialoguen con miras a los comicios de 2025, según diputado" [Camacho is working to ensure that pre-candidates can engage in dialogue with a view to the 2025 elections, according to a deputy]. eju.tv (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 December 2024.
15. "Evo Morales confirma su candidatura a las presidenciales de Bolivia de 2025" [Evo Morales confirms his candidacy for the Bolivian presidential elections in 2025]. France 24 (in Spanish). 25 September 2023. Retrieved 27 June 2024.
16. "Artículo 168., Constitución Política del Estado (CPE) - Infoleyes Bolivia". bolivia.infoleyes.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 February 2025.
17. "Artículo 285., Constitución Política del Estado (CPE) - Infoleyes Bolivia". bolivia.infoleyes.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 4 February 2025.
18. "El enigma de los autoprorrogados". Urgentebo (in Spanish). 6 February 2024. Retrieved 4 February 2025.
19. BOLIVIA INFO NINAWA (8 July 2024). Abogado Constitucionalista. Evo esta plenamente Habilitado para las Elecciones Generales . Retrieved 4 February 2025– via YouTube.
20. BOLIVIA INFO NINAWA (8 July 2024). Abogado Constitucionalista. Evo esta plenamente Habilitado para las Elecciones Generales . Retrieved 4 February 2025– via YouTube.
21. Noticias Bolivia. (2 February 2025). Evo y Abogado habla de la crisis económica, Plan de Ministros y Gob para Militarizar . Retrieved 4 February 2025– via YouTube.
22. KAMINA SUR TV (22 January 2025). EVO MORALES SIGUE SUBIENDO EN LAS ENCUESTA Y ES FIRME CANDIDATO PARA GANAR EN BOLIVIA. Retrieved 3 February 2025– via YouTube.
23. https://www.facebook.com/61566910342355/posts/122093977664563678/?mibextid=rS40aB7S9Ucbxw6v
24. https://www.facebook.com/datacronlab