Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

Various organisations continually conduct opinion polls to gauge voter intention in anticipation of the next United Kingdom general election. The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, which mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.

Most of the polling companies listed in this article are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. ^[1] The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.

National poll results

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru stand candidates only in Wales and the Scottish National Party stand candidates only in Scotland. Due to rounding, total figures might not add up to 100%.

The lead is calculated by subtracting the party in second's (shaded in grey) percentage from that of the party in first (shaded in their party colour, and in bold).

2025

For political events during the year, see 2025 in United Kingdom politics and government and 2025 in the United Kingdom.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	SNP	PC	Others	Lead
29 Oct	Find Out Now [2]	N/A	GB	3,065	16%	16%	32%	12%	17%	2%	1%	3%	15
26–27 Oct	YouGov [3]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,389	17%	17%	27%	15%	16%	3%	1%	3%	10
24–27 Oct	More in Common [4]	N/A	GB	2,030	21%	18%	33%	12%	11%	2%	1%	1%	12
22–24 Oct	Opinium [5]	The Observer	GB	2,030	20%	18%	30%	12%	12%	3%	1%	4%	10
22–23 Oct	Techne [6]	N/A	UK	1,647	19%	18%	29%	16%	12%	3%	–	3%	10
22 Oct	Find Out Now [7]	N/A	GB	2,635	16%	17%	32%	12%	15%	3%	1%	4%	15
19–20 Oct	YouGov [8]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,396	20%	17%	26%	15%	15%	4%	1%	2%	6
17–20 Oct	More in Common [9]	N/A	GB	2,084	22%	19%	31%	13%	10%	2%	1%	2%	9
16–20 Oct	Lord Ashcroft Polls [10] [a]	N/A	GB	5,038	19%	19%	28%	11%	17%	2%	1%	4%	9
8–17 Oct	Focaldata [11]	N/A	GB	2,057	21%	19%	30%	13%	9%	3%	1%	5%	9
15 Oct	Find Out Now [12]	N/A	GB	2,705	15%	17%	32%	12%	15%	3%	1%	4%	15
12–13 Oct	YouGov [13]	N/A	GB	2,321	20%	17%	27%	16%	13%	3%	1%	3%	7
10–13 Oct	More in Common [14]	N/A	GB	2,004	22%	20%	30%	15%	9%	3%	0%	2%	8
8–10 Oct	Opinium [15]	The Observer	GB	2,050	22%	18%	32%	11%	10%	3%	1%	3%	10
8 Oct	Find Out Now [16]	N/A	GB	2,668	17%	17%	32%	12%	15%	3%	1%	4%	15
5–6 Oct	YouGov [17]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,333	20%	17%	27%	17%	12%	4%	1%	3%	7
3–6 Oct	More in Common [18]	N/A	GB	2,003	20%	19%	33%	14%	8%	3%	1%	3%	13
3–5 Oct	Freshwater Strategy [19]	City AM	GB	1,251	20%	18%	35%	14%	8%	3%	–	2%	15
1–3 Oct	Opinium [20]	The Observer	GB	2,050	21%	16%	34%	12%	10%	2%	1%	4%	13
26 Sep–3 Oct	JL Partners [21]	N/A	GB	6,083	21%	19%	31%	13%	9%	2%	1%	4%	10
1 Oct	Find Out Now [22]	N/A	GB	2,611	19%	14%	35%	12%	11%	3%	1%	4%	16
19 Sep–1 Oct	Focaldata [23]	N/A	GB	2,014	21%	20%	29%	14%	10%	2%	1%	4%	8
28–29 Sep	YouGov [24]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,585	22%	16%	29%	15%	11%	3%	1%	3%	7
26–29 Sep	More in Common [25]	N/A	GB	1,562	20%	20%	30%	14%	8%	3%	0%	4%	10
24–26 Sep	Opinium [26]	The Observer	GB	2,050	22%	17%	32%	14%	7%	3%	1%	4%	10
24–25 Sep	Survation [27]	Daily Mail	UK	2,027	22%	17%	34%	11%	8%	3%	1%	5%	12
24 Sep	Find Out Now [28]	N/A	GB	2,665	17%	14%	33%	16%	12%	3%	1%	5%	16
27 Aug–24 Sep	YouGov [29] (MRP)	The Times/Sky News	GB	13,000	21%	17%	27%	15%	11%	3%	1%	5%	6
21–22 Sep	YouGov [30]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,348	21%	16%	29%	14%	12%	3%	1%	4%	8
19–22 Sep	More in Common [31]	N/A	GB	2,055	25%	20%	28%	13%	8%	2%	0%	3%	3
17–19 Sep	Opinium [32]	The Observer	GB	2,050	22%	17%	31%	12%	10%	3%	1%	4%	9
17–18 Sep	Techne [33]	N/A	UK	1,635	20%	19%	30%	15%	9%	3%	–	4%	10
17–18 Sep	Find Out Now [34]	N/A	GB	4,795	16%	16%	34%	13%	12%	3%	1%	5%	18
11–17 Sep	Ipsos [35]	N/A	GB	1,157	22%	14%	34%	12%	12%	–	–	6%	12
14–15 Sep	YouGov [36]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,384	20%	17%	29%	15%	10%	3%	1%	4%	9
12–15 Sep	More in Common [37]	N/A	GB	2,037	22%	18%	31%	14%	8%	3%	1%	4%	9
11–15 Sep	Lord Ashcroft Polls [38] [a]	N/A	GB	5,082	22%	19%	27%	10%	13%	2%	0%	5%	5
9 Aug – 15 Sep	More in Common [39] (MRP)	The Times [40]	GB	19,520	21%	19%	31%	15%	8%	2%	1%	4%	10
1 Aug – 11 Sep	Focaldata [41]	Dale Vince/Hope Not Hate	TBA	45,335	23%	18%	29%	12%	9%	TBA	TBA	TBA	6
10 Sep	Find Out Now [42]	N/A	GB	2,717	19%	15%	34%	12%	12%	2%	1%	6%	15
7–8 Sep	YouGov [43]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,500	22%	17%	27%	15%	12%	3%	1%	3%	5
5–8 Sep	More in Common [44]	N/A	GB	2,106	21%	18%	32%	13%	8%	3%	1%	3%	11
3–5 Sep	Opinium [45]	The Observer	GB	2,050	23%	18%	30%	12%	10%	2%	1%	4%	7
1–4 Sep	Techne [46]	N/A	UK	1,644	21%	18%	31%	14%	10%	2%	–	4%	10
3 Sep	Find Out Now [47]	N/A	GB	2,576	19%	17%	32%	13%	11%	2%	1%	5%	13
2 Sep	Zack Polanski is elected as leader of the Green Party of England and Wales
28 Aug–2 Sep	Survation [48]	N/A	UK	1,818	24%	19%	30%	11%	8%	3%	0%	3%	6
31 Aug–1 Sep	YouGov [49]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,523	20%	17%	29%	15%	10%	3%	1%	5%	9
29 Aug–1 Sep	More in Common [50]	N/A	GB	2,042	21%	18%	31%	13%	8%	3%	1%	6%	10
21 Aug–1 Sep	Survation [51] (MRP)	38 Degrees [52]	UK	8,546	25%	19%	29%	12%	7%	3%	1%	4%	4
29–31 Aug	Freshwater Strategy [53]	City AM	GB	1,251	20%	17%	33%	15%	7%	3%	–	4%	13
19–31 Aug	JL Partners [54]	The Sun	GB	2,118	22%	18%	32%	12%	6%	2%	1%	6%	10
29 Aug	Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected as co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
26–28 Aug	BMG Research [55]	The i Paper	GB	1,504	20%	17%	35%	13%	7%	2%	1%	4%	15
27 Aug	Find Out Now [56]	N/A	GB	2,538	18%	15%	34%	13%	10%	2%	1%	6%	16
25–26 Aug	YouGov [57]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,439	20%	17%	28%	16%	11%	3%	1%	4%	8
22–26 Aug	More in Common [58]	N/A	GB	2,032	22%	18%	30%	14%	7%	3%	1%	5%	8
20–22 Aug	Opinium [59]	The Observer	GB	2,050	23%	17%	29%	14%	9%	3%	1%	5%	6
20 Aug	Find Out Now [60]	N/A	GB	2,615	18%	17%	33%	12%	10%	3%	1%	6%	15
15–19 Aug	Focaldata [61]	N/A	GB	1,500	24%	18%	29%	14%	8%	2%	1%	4%	5
17–18 Aug	YouGov [62]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,394	21%	18%	28%	15%	10%	3%	1%	4%	7
15–18 Aug	More in Common [63]	N/A	GB	2,000	21%	20%	30%	13%	8%	3%	1%	5%	9
14–18 Aug	Lord Ashcroft Polls [64] [a]	N/A	GB	5,029	23%	20%	27%	11%	11%	2%	0%	6%	4
13–14 Aug	Find Out Now [65]	N/A	GB	2,513	19%	19%	31%	12%	10%	3%	1%	6%	12
10–11 Aug	YouGov [66]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,501	21%	17%	28%	16%	10%	3%	1%	5%	7
8–11 Aug	More in Common [67]	N/A	GB	2,015	22%	22%	30%	13%	6%	2%	0%	4%	8
6–8 Aug	Opinium [68]	The Observer	GB	2,050	22%	17%	31%	13%	9%	3%	1%	4%	9
6 Aug	Find Out Now [69]	N/A	GB	2,627	20%	16%	32%	12%	9%	2%	1%	7%	12
3–4 Aug	YouGov [70]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,472	21%	17%	27%	15%	11%	3%	1%	4%	6
1–3 Aug	More in Common [71]	N/A	GB	2,042	22%	18%	31%	14%	7%	3%	1%	4%	9
1–3 Aug	Freshwater Strategy [72]	City AM	GB	1,259	22%	18%	33%	14%	6%	3%	–	3%	11
29–31 Jul	BMG Research [73]	The i Paper	GB	1,528	23%	18%	32%	13%	8%	2%	1%	3%	9
30 Jul	Find Out Now [74]	N/A	GB	2,654	20%	17%	30%	13%	10%	2%	1%	7%	10
27–28 Jul	YouGov [75]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,208	22%	17%	29%	14%	11%	3%	1%	4%	7
26–28 Jul	More in Common [76]	N/A	GB	2,153	23%	20%	29%	13%	7%	3%	1%	5%	6
23–25 Jul	Opinium [77]	The Observer	GB	2,050	25%	17%	32%	13%	8%	3%	1%	2%	7
23 Jul	Find Out Now [78]	N/A	GB	2,651	20%	16%	34%	14%	10%	3%	1%	4%	14
20–21 Jul	YouGov [79]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,273	23%	17%	27%	15%	11%	3%	1%	3%	4
18–20 Jul	More in Common [80]	N/A	GB	2,153	22%	21%	29%	15%	8%	2%	1%	2%	7
17–18 Jul	JL Partners [81]	The Telegraph	GB	2,035	23%	17%	29%	14%	9%	2%	1%	4%	6
14–18 Jul	Focaldata [82]	N/A	GB	1,271	23%	19%	27%	14%	9%	2%	1%	5%	4
16 Jul	Find Out Now [83]	N/A	GB	2,603	20%	17%	30%	13%	12%	2%	1%	4%	10
13–14 Jul	YouGov [84]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,209	22%	17%	28%	16%	12%	3%	1%	3%	6
11–14 Jul	More in Common [85]	N/A	GB	2,311	24%	20%	27%	13%	9%	3%	1%	3%	3
9–11 Jul	Opinium [86]	The Observer	GB	2,052	24%	18%	29%	13%	9%	3%	1%	3%	5
9–10 Jul	Find Out Now [87]	MultiComms Ltd	GB	1,308	21%	16%	34%	11%	11%	3%	1%	4%	13
9–10 Jul	Techne [88]	N/A	UK	1,628	22%	18%	29%	16%	9%	2%	–	4%	7
9 Jul	Find Out Now [89]	N/A	GB	2,651	22%	19%	31%	13%	9%	2%	1%	4%	9
6–7 Jul	YouGov [90]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,513	24%	16%	26%	15%	11%	3%	1%	3%	2
4–7 Jul	More in Common [91]	N/A	GB	2,084	24%	19%	29%	14%	7%	3%	1%	3%	5
4–7 Jul	More in Common [92]	N/A	GB	2,084	25%	20%	28%	14%	7%	3%	1%	3%	3
4–6 Jul	Freshwater Strategy [93]	City AM	GB	1,259	23%	19%	31%	16%	6%	3%	–	2%	8
2 Jul	Find Out Now [94]	N/A	GB	2,604	22%	16%	30%	15%	11%	3%	1%	3%	8
29–30 Jun	YouGov [95]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,392	24%	17%	26%	16%	10%	3%	1%	2%	2
27–30 Jun	More in Common [96]	N/A	GB	2,532	24%	19%	29%	12%	9%	3%	1%	3%	5
26–30 Jun	Lord Ashcroft Polls [97] [a]	The Mail on Sunday [98]	GB	5,018	22%	21%	27%	11%	13%	3%	0%	3%	5
13–30 Jun	More in Common [99] (MRP)	N/A	GB	11,282	22%	21%	28%	15%	8%	3%	1%	2%	6
25–27 Jun	Survation [100]	N/A	UK	1,700	26%	19%	27%	12%	8%	3%	1%	4%	1
25–27 Jun	Opinium [101]	The Observer	GB	2,050	25%	17%	30%	12%	9%	2%	1%	3%	5
25–26 Jun	Techne [102]	N/A	UK	1,628	23%	18%	28%	16%	8%	3%	–	4%	5
25 Jun	Find Out Now [103]	N/A	GB	2,605	22%	18%	30%	13%	11%	3%	1%	2%	8
24–25 Jun	BMG Research [104]	The i Paper	GB	1,617	27%	19%	30%	12%	7%	2%	1%	2%	3
22–23 Jun	YouGov [105]	The Times/Sky News	GB	1,794	23%	17%	27%	16%	10%	3%	1%	3%	4
20–23 Jun	More in Common [106]	N/A	GB	2,004	23%	20%	27%	14%	9%	3%	1%	3%	4
18 Jun	Find Out Now [107]	N/A	GB	2,628	23%	16%	31%	12%	11%	3%	1%	2%	8
29 May–18 Jun	YouGov [108]	The Times/Sky News	GB	17,227	23%	17%	27%	15%	11%	3%	1%	2%	4
29 May–18 Jun	YouGov [109] (MRP)	N/A	GB	11,500	23%	18%	26%	15%	11%	3%	1%	2%	3
10–17 Jun	Find Out Now/ Electoral Calculus [110] (MRP)	PLMR	GB	5,444	22%	19%	31%	13%	9%	3%	1%	4%	9
15–16 Jun	YouGov [111]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,255	24%	17%	27%	15%	10%	4%	1%	2%	3
13–16 Jun	More in Common [112]	N/A	GB	2,032	21%	22%	29%	13%	9%	3%	1%	4%	7
11–13 Jun	Opinium [113]	The Observer	GB	2,050	24%	18%	30%	12%	9%	3%	1%	3%	6
11 Jun	Find Out Now [114]	N/A	GB	2,651	24%	16%	30%	13%	11%	3%	1%	2%	6
10–11 Jun	Survation [115]	Rogan Productions	UK	2,010	25%	21%	27%	12%	7%	3%	1%	4%	2
8–9 Jun	YouGov [116]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,196	23%	17%	29%	15%	10%	3%	2%	1%	6
6–9 Jun	More in Common [117]	N/A	GB	2,073	24%	20%	28%	14%	7%	3%	1%	3%	4
6–8 Jun	Freshwater Strategy [118] [a]	City AM	GB	1,260	21%	21%	32%	14%	8%	2%	–	2%	11
4–5 Jun	Techne [119]	N/A	UK	1,628	23%	17%	31%	15%	8%	2%	–	4%	8
4 Jun	Find Out Now [120]	N/A	GB	1,962	22%	16%	31%	15%	11%	3%	1%	2%	9
30 May–4 Jun	Ipsos [121]	N/A	GB	1,180	25%	15%	34%	11%	9%	–	–	6%	9
1–2 Jun	YouGov [122]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,240	22%	18%	28%	17%	9%	3%	1%	2%	6
30 May–2 Jun	More in Common [123]	N/A	GB	2,016	23%	21%	28%	14%	8%	2%	1%	3%	5
30 May–2 Jun	Survation [124]	N/A	UK	916	24%	20%	27%	13%	8%	2%	2%	3%	3
29 May–2 Jun	Lord Ashcroft Polls [125] [a]	N/A	GB	5,147	23%	18%	27%	13%	13%	2%	0%	3%	4
28–30 May	Opinium [126]	The Observer	GB	2,050	25%	17%	31%	11%	10%	2%	1%	2%	6
28–29 May	BMG Research [127]	The i Paper	GB	1,510	24%	18%	31%	13%	9%	3%	0%	2%	7
28–29 May	Techne [128]	N/A	UK	1,647	22%	16%	31%	16%	9%	2%	–	4%	9
28 May	Find Out Now [129]	N/A	GB	2,447	22%	16%	32%	13%	11%	3%	1%	2%	10
26–27 May	YouGov [130]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,013	21%	19%	29%	15%	11%	2%	1%	2%	8
23–26 May	More in Common [131]	N/A	GB	2,000	22%	19%	31%	14%	8%	2%	1%	3%	9
21–22 May	Techne [132]	N/A	UK	1,641	22%	17%	30%	16%	9%	2%	–	4%	8
21 May	Find Out Now [133]	N/A	GB	2,501	21%	16%	32%	14%	11%	2%	1%	2%	11
18–19 May	YouGov [130]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,222	22%	16%	29%	17%	10%	2%	1%	2%	7
16–19 May	More in Common [134]	N/A	GB	2,090	22%	21%	30%	14%	8%	2%	1%	1%	8
14–16 May	Opinium [135]	The Observer	GB	2,050	25%	18%	29%	13%	10%	2%	1%	3%	4
14–15 May	Techne [136]	N/A	UK	1,645	22%	18%	29%	15%	9%	2%	–	5%	7
14 May	Find Out Now [137]	N/A	GB	2,557	21%	16%	33%	14%	11%	3%	1%	2%	12
11–12 May	YouGov [138]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,310	23%	18%	28%	16%	9%	3%	1%	3%	5
10–12 May	More in Common [139]	N/A	GB	2,094	25%	20%	28%	14%	8%	2%	1%	1%	3
9–11 May	Freshwater Strategy [140] [a]	City AM	GB	1,250	22%	19%	32%	15%	8%	3%	–	2%	10
7–8 May	Techne [141]	N/A	UK	1,635	23%	19%	28%	14%	8%	3%	–	5%	5
6–8 May	BMG Research [142]	The i Paper	GB	1,525	22%	19%	32%	13%	9%	3%	0%	2%	10
7 May	Find Out Now [143]	N/A	GB	2,210	20%	16%	33%	15%	11%	3%	1%	1%	13
5–6 May	YouGov [144]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,187	22%	17%	29%	16%	10%	3%	1%	1%	7
2–5 May	Survation [145]	True North Advisors	UK	2,032	25%	18%	30%	13%	7%	3%	1%	3%	5
3–4 May	More in Common [146]	N/A	GB	2,212	23%	21%	27%	15%	8%	3%	1%	3%	4
30 Apr–2 May	Opinium [147]	The Observer	GB	2,050	26%	19%	27%	13%	9%	3%	1%	2%	1
30 Apr–2 May	Survation [148]	N/A	UK	1,056	26%	22%	26%	12%	7%	3%	0%	3%	Tie
1 May	Local elections in England, and Runcorn and Helsby by-election, a Reform gain from Labour
30 Apr	Find Out Now [149]	N/A	GB	1,990	21%	19%	29%	13%	11%	3%	1%	3%	8
27–28 Apr	YouGov [150]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,214	23%	20%	26%	15%	9%	3%	1%	2%	3
25–27 Apr	More in Common [151]	N/A	GB	2,009	24%	23%	24%	15%	8%	2%	1%	4%	Tie
23–25 Apr	Opinium [152]	The Observer	GB	2,050	26%	21%	26%	11%	9%	3%	1%	2%	Tie
23–24 Apr	Techne [153]	N/A	UK	1,642	25%	21%	25%	14%	8%	2%	–	5%	Tie
23 Apr	Find Out Now [154]	N/A	GB	2,139	20%	20%	28%	14%	13%	3%	0%	2%	8
21–22 Apr	YouGov [155]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,012	23%	20%	25%	16%	10%	3%	1%	2%	2
17–21 Apr	More in Common [156]	N/A	GB	2,004	23%	23%	25%	14%	8%	3%	1%	4%	2
16 Apr	Find Out Now [157]	N/A	GB	2,288	22%	20%	28%	14%	10%	3%	1%	3%	6
13–14 Apr	YouGov [158]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,399	24%	21%	23%	14%	11%	3%	1%	2%	1
11–14 Apr	More in Common [159]	N/A	GB	2,277	24%	23%	24%	14%	8%	3%	1%	4%	Tie
11–14 Apr	Focaldata [160]	N/A	GB	1,585	24%	24%	23%	13%	9%	2%	1%	4%	Tie
10–14 Apr	Lord Ashcroft Polls [161] [a]	N/A	GB	5,263	27%	24%	21%	11%	11%	3%	0%	3%	3
8–14 Apr	Verian [162]	N/A	GB	1,285	25%	19%	24%	16%	9%	3%	2%	3%	1
9–11 Apr	Opinium [163]	The Observer	GB	2,050	27%	22%	26%	12%	7%	3%	1%	3%	1
9–10 Apr	Techne [164]	N/A	UK	1,644	24%	22%	24%	15%	8%	2%	–	5%	Tie
9 Apr	Find Out Now [165]	N/A	GB	2,546	22%	21%	26%	14%	11%	3%	1%	3%	4
6–7 Apr	YouGov [166]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,402	24%	22%	23%	17%	9%	3%	1%	2%	1
4–7 Apr	More in Common [167]	N/A	GB	2,058	24%	23%	24%	17%	7%	2%	0%	1%	Tie
4–6 Apr	Freshwater Strategy [168] [a]	City AM	GB	1,250	22%	27%	28%	14%	5%	2%	–	3%	1
2–3 Apr	Techne [169]	N/A	UK	1,631	24%	23%	24%	13%	8%	3%	–	5%	Tie
2 Apr	Find Out Now [170]	N/A	GB	2,768	22%	20%	28%	13%	11%	3%	1%	3%	6
14 Mar–1 Apr	More in Common (MRP) [171]	N/A	GB	16,176	24%	24%	24%	13%	8%	2%	–	4%	Tie
30–31 Mar	YouGov [172]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,392	24%	21%	23%	14%	11%	3%	1%	3%	1
28–31 Mar	More in Common [173]	N/A	GB	2,081	21%	26%	25%	13%	7%	2%	1%	4%	1
26–28 Mar	Opinium [174]	The Observer	GB	2,050	26%	22%	26%	12%	8%	3%	1%	2%	Tie
21–28 Mar	Find Out Now/ Electoral Calculus [175] (MRP)	PLMR [176]	GB	5,180	24%	22%	27%	12%	10%	3%	1%	3%	3
26–27 Mar	BMG Research [177]	The i Paper [178]	GB	1,544	26%	24%	23%	14%	8%	3%	1%	1%	2
26–27 Mar	Techne [179]	N/A	UK	1,642	25%	23%	24%	14%	8%	2%	–	4%	1
26 Mar	Find Out Now [180]	N/A	GB	2,745	23%	22%	26%	12%	11%	3%	1%	2%	3
23–24 Mar	YouGov [181]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,333	23%	22%	22%	16%	10%	3%	1%	3%	1
22–24 Mar	More in Common [182]	N/A	GB	2,432	24%	25%	24%	12%	10%	3%	1%	3%	1
19–21 Mar	Opinium [183]	The Observer	GB	2,078	26%	21%	26%	13%	8%	3%	1%	3%	Tie
19–20 Mar	Techne [184]	N/A	UK	1,644	27%	23%	23%	14%	7%	2%	–	4%	4
19 Mar	Find Out Now [185]	N/A	GB	2,770	22%	21%	27%	14%	11%	3%	1%	2%	5
16–17 Mar	YouGov [186]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,315	26%	22%	24%	14%	9%	3%	1%	2%	2
14–17 Mar	Deltapoll [187]	N/A	GB	1,974	25%	25%	23%	11%	9%	3%	1%	2%	Tie
14–17 Mar	More in Common [188]	N/A	GB	2,432	25%	24%	25%	12%	7%	2%	1%	4%	Tie
13–17 Mar	Lord Ashcroft Polls [189] [a]	N/A	GB	5,111	30%	24%	19%	10%	11%	3%	0%	3%	6
12–13 Mar	Techne [190]	N/A	UK	1,638	27%	22%	24%	14%	7%	2%	–	4%	3
12 Mar	Find Out Now [191]	N/A	GB	2,686	24%	21%	27%	11%	10%	3%	1%	2%	3
9–10 Mar	YouGov [192]	The Times/Sky News	GB	2,291	24%	22%	23%	15%	9%	3%	1%	3%	1
7–10 Mar	More in Common [193]	N/A	GB	2,041	25%	23%	25%	14%	8%	2%	1%	2%	Tie
6–9 Mar	JL Partners [194]	The Sun	GB	2,012	26%	24%	23%	14%	7%	3%	1%	3%	2
5–7 Mar	Opinium [195]	The Observer	GB	1,498	28%	20%	27%	12%	8%	3%	1%	2%	1
5–6 Mar	Techne [196]	N/A	UK	1,632	28%	21%	25%	13%	7%	2%	–	4%	3
5 Mar	Find Out Now [197]	N/A	GB	2,670	25%	21%	26%	12%	10%	3%	1%	2%	1
2–3 Mar	YouGov [198]	The Times	GB	2,222	26%	21%	25%	14%	9%	3%	1%	2%	1
1–2 Mar	Freshwater Strategy [199] [a]	City AM	GB	1,215	24%	23%	27%	15%	7%	3%	–	2%	3
28 Feb–2 Mar	More in Common [200]	N/A	GB	2,010	26%	24%	24%	13%	7%	2%	1%	2%	2
26–28 Feb	Focaldata [201]	N/A	GB	1,008	24%	22%	21%	14%	8%	3%	1%	5%	2
26–27 Feb	Techne [202]	N/A	UK	1,643	26%	22%	25%	13%	8%	2%	–	4%	1
26 Feb	Find Out Now [203]	N/A	GB	3,363	23%	21%	28%	13%	10%	3%	1%	1%	5
25–26 Feb	BMG Research [204]	The i Paper	GB	1,586	26%	22%	27%	12%	8%	3%	1%	1%	1
23–24 Feb	YouGov [205]	Sky News / The Times	GB	2,415	24%	22%	25%	16%	8%	3%	1%	2%	1
21–24 Feb	More in Common [206]	N/A	GB	2,013	23%	25%	24%	16%	8%	2%	0%	2%	1
19–21 Feb	Opinium [207]	The Observer	GB	2,050	28%	21%	26%	12%	8%	3%	–	2%	2
19–20 Feb	Techne [208]	N/A	UK	1,639	25%	22%	26%	12%	7%	3%	–	5%	1
19 Feb	Find Out Now [209]	N/A	GB	2,393	24%	20%	28%	12%	10%	2%	1%	2%	4
14–18 Feb	More in Common [210]	N/A	GB	4,101	25%	23%	26%	12%	7%	2%	1%	3%	1
16–17 Feb	YouGov [211]	N/A	GB	2,436	25%	21%	27%	14%	9%	3%	1%	1%	2
13–17 Feb	Lord Ashcroft Polls [212] [a]	N/A	GB	5,099	28%	23%	23%	9%	11%	2%	0%	3%	5
12–13 Feb	Techne [213]	N/A	UK	1,637	26%	22%	25%	12%	8%	2%	–	5%	1
12 Feb	Find Out Now [214]	N/A	GB	3,421	23%	21%	29%	12%	9%	3%	1%	2%	6
9–10 Feb	YouGov [215]	N/A	GB	2,419	25%	21%	26%	14%	9%	3%	1%	1%	1
7–10 Feb	More in Common [216]	N/A	GB	2,005	25%	23%	25%	12%	8%	2%	1%	3%	Tie
5–7 Feb	Opinium [217]	The Observer	GB	1,493	27%	22%	26%	11%	8%	3%	1%	2%	1
5–6 Feb	Techne [218]	N/A	UK	1,645	25%	23%	25%	13%	7%	2%	–	5%	Tie
5 Feb	Find Out Now [219]	N/A	GB	2,487	25%	18%	29%	13%	10%	3%	1%	2%	4
2–3 Feb	YouGov [220]	Sky News [221]	GB	2,465	24%	21%	25%	14%	9%	3%	1%	2%	1
31 Jan–3 Feb	More in Common [222]	N/A	GB	2,044	24%	26%	24%	13%	6%	3%	1%	3%	2
31 Jan–2 Feb	Freshwater Strategy [223] [a]	City AM	GB	1,200	29%	28%	22%	9%	7%	3%	–	2%	1
29–30 Jan	Techne [224]	N/A	UK	1,633	26%	23%	24%	12%	7%	3%	–	5%	2
29 Jan	Find Out Now [225]	N/A	GB	2,487	23%	21%	27%	11%	10%	3%	1%	3%	4
28–29 Jan	BMG Research [226]	The i Paper	GB	1,514	25%	25%	24%	14%	8%	3%	1%	1%	Tie
28–29 Jan	Survation [227]	N/A	UK	1,670	27%	22%	24%	13%	8%	3%	–	4%	3
26–27 Jan	YouGov [228]	The Times	GB	2,523	27%	22%	23%	14%	9%	3%	1%	2%	4
24–27 Jan	More in Common [229]	N/A	GB	2,009	25%	24%	25%	13%	7%	2%	1%	3%	Tie
22–29 Jan	Find Out Now/ Electoral Calculus [230] (MRP)	PLMR	GB	5,743	23%	23%	24%	11%	8%	3%	1%	6%	1
22–24 Jan	Opinium [231]	The Observer	GB	2,050	28%	21%	27%	11%	8%	3%	1%	2%	1
22–23 Jan	Whitestone Insight [232]	Daily Express	GB	2,012	25%	20%	24%	12%	13%	3%	–	3%	1
22–23 Jan	Techne [233]	N/A	UK	1,643	25%	24%	24%	13%	7%	2%	–	5%	1
22 Jan	Find Out Now [234]	N/A	GB	2,380	22%	23%	26%	12%	10%	3%	1%	3%	3
19–20 Jan	YouGov [235]	The Times	GB	2,466	26%	22%	24%	14%	9%	3%	1%	2%	2
17–20 Jan	More in Common [236]	N/A	GB	2,016	24%	25%	25%	12%	7%	3%	1%	3%	Tie
17–20 Jan	Deltapoll [237]	Institute for Government	GB	1,500	29%	25%	22%	11%	8%	3%	–	2%	4
16–20 Jan	Lord Ashcroft Polls [238] [a]	N/A	GB	5,251	28%	25%	20%	11%	9%	3%	0%	3%	3
15–16 Jan	Techne [239]	N/A	UK	1,624	26%	25%	23%	12%	7%	2%	–	5%	1
15 Jan	Find Out Now [240]	N/A	GB	2,386	24%	25%	25%	12%	10%	3%	1%	2%	Tie
10–14 Jan	JL Partners [241]	The Sunday Times	GB	2,007	26%	25%	22%	13%	9%	2%	1%	3%	1
12–13 Jan	YouGov [242]	The Times	GB	2,279	26%	22%	25%	14%	8%	3%	1%	2%	1
10–13 Jan	More in Common [243]	N/A	GB	1,587	24%	25%	24%	12%	8%	3%	1%	3%	1
8–10 Jan	Opinium [244]	The Observer	GB	2,050	29%	23%	24%	10%	9%	2%	1%	2%	5
8 Jan	Find Out Now [245]	N/A	GB	2,076	25%	20%	25%	11%	11%	3%	1%	2%	Tie
6–8 Jan	More in Common [246]	N/A	GB	2,011	26%	26%	22%	12%	7%	3%	1%	2%	Tie
4–6 Jan	Freshwater Strategy [247] [a]	City AM	GB	1,207	28%	29%	23%	12%	5%	3%	–	1%	1
30 Dec – 3 Jan	Deltapoll [248]	Mail on Sunday	GB	1,532	30%	23%	22%	12%	9%	3%	1%	1%	7

2024

For political events during the year, see 2024 in United Kingdom politics and government and 2024 in the United Kingdom.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	SNP	PC	Others	Lead
19–23 Dec	Deltapoll [249]	The Mirror	GB	1,552	29%	25%	21%	12%	8%	4%	0%	1%	4
18–20 Dec	Opinium [250]	The Observer	GB	1,472	29%	23%	22%	11%	10%	3%	1%	2%	6
18–19 Dec	Techne [251]	N/A	UK	1,642	27%	26%	21%	12%	7%	2%	–	5%	1
12–16 Dec	Survation [252]	N/A	UK	2,030	30%	25%	20%	11%	7%	2%	1%	2%	5
11–12 Dec	Techne [253]	N/A	UK	1,634	27%	25%	22%	11%	7%	2%	–	6%	2
11 Dec	Find Out Now [254]	N/A	GB	2,659	26%	23%	25%	11%	9%	3%	1%	2%	1
6–10 Dec	More in Common [255]	N/A	GB	2,432	26%	26%	19%	13%	8%	3%	1%	4%	Tie
6–9 Dec	Stonehaven [256] (MRP)	N/A	GB	2,072	28%	24%	21%	13%	8%	3%	1%	2%	4
5–6 Dec	Techne [257]	N/A	UK	1,644	27%	25%	21%	12%	7%	2%	–	6%	2
4 Dec	Find Out Now [258]	N/A	GB	2,607	23%	26%	24%	11%	9%	3%	1%	2%	2
29 Nov–2 Dec	More in Common [259]	N/A	GB	2,002	26%	28%	21%	13%	7%	3%	1%	2%	2
27–29 Nov	Opinium [260]	The Observer	GB	2,050	29%	25%	21%	10%	9%	3%	1%	2%	4
27–28 Nov	Techne [261]	N/A	UK	1,648	28%	27%	18%	13%	6%	2%	–	6%	1
27 Nov	Find Out Now [262]	N/A	GB	2,316	25%	27%	22%	12%	9%	3%	1%	2%	2
26–27 Nov	BMG Research [263]	The i Paper	GB	1,531	29%	27%	20%	12%	7%	3%	0%	2%	2
26–27 Nov	More in Common [264]	N/A	GB	1,972	27%	30%	18%	12%	8%	2%	1%	2%	3
20–21 Nov	Techne [265]	N/A	UK	1,632	29%	27%	17%	12%	7%	2%	–	6%	2
19–21 Nov	More in Common [266]	N/A	GB	2,002	25%	28%	19%	13%	8%	3%	1%	3%	3
14–18 Nov	Deltapoll [267]	N/A	GB	1,749	29%	27%	18%	12%	8%	4%	1%	1%	2
13–14 Nov	JL Partners [268]	The Sun / Politico	GB	2,024	27%	26%	20%	12%	9%	3%	–	3%	1
13–14 Nov	Techne [269]	N/A	GB	1,643	28%	27%	17%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	1
11–13 Nov	Opinium [270]	The Observer	GB	1,646	30%	24%	21%	12%	8%	3%	1%	1%	6
8–11 Nov	More in Common [271]	N/A	GB	2,007	27%	29%	19%	11%	8%	2%	1%	4%	2
6–7 Nov	Techne [272]	N/A	UK	1,636	29%	25%	18%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	4
2 Nov	Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
31 Oct – 16 Dec	More in Common [273] (MRP)	N/A	GB	11,024	25%	26%	21%	14%	8%	2%	1%	3%	1
30 Oct–1 Nov	More in Common [274]	N/A	GB	2,007	28%	26%	18%	14%	8%	3%	1%	3%	2
30–31 Oct	Opinium [275]	The Observer	GB	1,548	31%	24%	20%	10%	10%	2%	0%	3%	7
30–31 Oct	BMG Research [276]	The i Paper	GB	1,511	28%	29%	17%	13%	8%	2%	1%	2%	1
30–31 Oct	Techne [277]	N/A	UK	1,632	30%	24%	18%	14%	7%	2%	–	5%	6
23–24 Oct	Techne [278]	N/A	UK	1,644	29%	24%	19%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	5
16–18 Oct	Opinium [279]	The Observer	GB	1,565	31%	24%	20%	12%	8%	2%	1%	2%	7
16–17 Oct	Techne [280]	N/A	UK	1,636	28%	25%	19%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	3
11–13 Oct	JL Partners [281]	The Telegraph	GB	2,000	29%	25%	19%	14%	7%	2%	1%	2%	4
9–10 Oct	Techne [282]	N/A	UK	1,651	29%	24%	19%	12%	7%	2%	–	7%	5
9–10 Oct	More in Common [283]	The Times	GB	2,000	27%	27%	21%	13%	7%	2%	1%	1%	Tie
5–7 Oct	More in Common [284]	Politico	GB	2,023	29%	28%	19%	11%	7%	2%	0%	3%	1
4–7 Oct	Deltapoll [285]	N/A	GB	2,108	29%	25%	18%	14%	8%	4%	1%	1%	4
2–4 Oct	Opinium [286]	The Observer	GB	1,491	31%	24%	20%	11%	8%	3%	–	2%	7
2–3 Oct	BMG Research [287]	i	GB	1,562	30%	25%	20%	13%	7%	3%	0%	1%	5
2–3 Oct	Techne [288]	N/A	UK	1,643	31%	23%	18%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	8
25–26 Sep	Techne [289]	N/A	UK	1,638	32%	22%	18%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	10
24–25 Sep	More in Common [290]	N/A	GB	2,080	30%	26%	18%	13%	8%	3%	1%	2%	4
18–23 Sep	Verian [291]	N/A	GB	1,258	31%	26%	17%	13%	7%	2%	1%	2%	5
18–19 Sep	Techne [292]	The Independent	UK	1,641	33%	21%	18%	13%	7%	2%	–	6%	12
10–12 Sep	More in Common [293]	Politico	GB	1,542	29%	25%	18%	14%	8%	3%	1%	4%	4
29 Aug	BMG Research [294]	i	GB	1,560	30%	26%	19%	12%	8%	3%	1%	2%	4
7–8 Aug	We Think [295]	N/A	GB	1,278	33%	20%	21%	11%	8%	3%	1%	4%	12
5–7 Aug	BMG Research [296]	i	GB	1,523	33%	24%	18%	12%	8%	–	–	4%	9
30 Jul–5 Aug	Stonehaven [297]	N/A	GB	2,048	34%	22%	17%	12%	9%	–	–	6%	12
25–26 Jul	We Think [298]	N/A	GB	2,012	36%	22%	17%	11%	7%	2%	1%	4%	14
11–12 Jul	We Think [299]	N/A	GB	2,005	39%	20%	16%	11%	9%	2%	–	3%	19
4 Jul 2024	2024 general election		UK	–	33.7%	23.7%	14.3%	12.2%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%	6.1%	10.0
			GB		34.7%	24.4%	14.7%	12.5%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%	3.5%	10.3

Seat projections

326 seats needed for a majority.

MRP polls

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	SNP	Ref	Grn	PC	Others	Majority
31 Aug – 24 Sep 2025	YouGov [29]	N/A	GB	13,000	144	45	78	37	311	7	6	3	Hung (Ref −15)
9 Aug – 15 Sep 2025	More in Common [39]	The Times [40]	GB	19,520	90	41	69	34	373	6	4	14	Ref 96
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025	Survation [300]	38 Degrees [52]	UK	8,546	191	42	63	30	293	6	2	23 [b]	Hung (Ref −33)
13–30 Jun 2025	More in Common [99]	N/A	GB	11,282	126	81	73	42	290	7	4	8	Hung (Ref −36)
29 May – 18 Jun 2025	YouGov [109]	N/A	GB	11,500	178	46	81	38	271	7	7	3	Hung (Ref −55)
10–17 Jun 2025	Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now [110]	PLMR	GB	5,444	118	29	69	26	377	4	4	5	Ref 104
14 Mar – 1 Apr 2025	More in Common [171]	N/A	GB	16,176	165	165	67	35	180	4	5	10	Hung (Ref −146)
21–28 Mar 2025	Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now [175]	PLMR [176]	GB	5,180	180	133	49	30	227	4	4	5	Hung (Ref −99)
22–29 Jan 2025	Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now [230]	PLMR	GB	5,743	174	178	57	37	175	4	2	5	Hung (Con −148)
30 Nov 2024 – 5 Jan 2025	Focaldata [301]	Hope not Hate [302]	GB	17,790	287	163	63	22	76	4	4	13	Hung (Lab −39)
31 Oct – 16 Dec 2024	More in Common [273]	N/A	GB	11,024	228	222	58	37	72	2	4	26 [c]	Hung (Lab −98)
6–9 Dec 2024	Stonehaven [256]	N/A	GB	2,072	278	157	47	24	120	3	2	19 [c]	Hung (Lab −48)
2 Nov 2024	Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
4 Jul 2024	2024 general election		UK	–	411	121	72	9	5	4	4	24 Sinn Féin: 7 Independents: 6 DUP: 5 SDLP: 2 Alliance: 1 UUP: 1 TUV: 1 Speaker: 1	Lab 172

POLARIS projections

Political Analysis through Regional and Local Insights System (POLARIS) is a novel model created by J.L. Partners, using council by-elections to predict election outcomes. ^[303] All models from January onwards are combined with a representative survey data, with the data used shifted to reflect the pollster's most recent national polling.

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	SNP	Ref	Grn	PC	Others	Majority
March 2025	J.L. Partners [304]	N/A	GB	306,817	218	136	70	41	135	5	3	39 Independents or Workers Party: 20 Northern Irish seats: 18 Speaker: 1	Hung (Lab −108) [d]
January 2025	J.L. Partners [305]	N/A	GB	306,817	200	190	70	42	102	7	4	35 Northern Irish seats: 18 Independents or Workers Party: 16 Speaker: 1	Hung (Lab −126)
December 2024	J.L. Partners [306]	N/A	GB	280,000	256	208	66	6	71	5	4	34 Northern Irish seats: 18 Independents or Workers Party: 15 Speaker: 1	Hung (Lab −70)
2 Nov2024	Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
4 Jul 2024	2024 general election		UK	–	411	121	72	9	5	4	4	24 Sinn Féin: 7 Independents: 6 DUP: 5 SDLP: 2 Alliance: 1 UUP: 1 TUV: 1 Speaker: 1	Lab 172

Sub-national poll results

Northern Ireland

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Sinn Féin	DUP	Alliance	UUP	SDLP	TUV	Others	Lead
4 Jul2024	2024 general election		–	27.0%	22.1%	15.0%	12.2%	11.1%	6.2%	6.4%	4.9

Scotland

See also: Opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election

Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	SNP	Con	LD	Ref	Grn	Others	Lead
22–25 Sep2025	Norstat [307]	The Sunday Times	1,010	18%	31%	11%	9%	23%	7%	2% Alba 1% Other 1%	8
15–21 Sep2025	Find Out Now [308]	The National	1,282	15%	30%	10%	9%	23%	6%	5%	7
4–16 Sep2025	Survation [309]	Scotland in Union	2,051	19%	35%	12%	8%	19%	4%	2% Alba 1% Other 1%	16
21 Aug–1 Sep2025	More in Common [310]	N/A	1,104	17%	31%	11%	11%	21%	6%	2%	10
29 Aug2025	Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected as co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun2025	YouGov [311] [ failed verification ]	Scottish Election Study	1,178	19%	29%	10%	11%	22%	7%	1%	7
12–18 Jun2025	Ipsos [312]	STV News	1,064	22%	31%	10%	9%	16%	10%	2% Alba 1% Other 1%	9
27–30 May2025	Norstat [313]	The Times	1,007	20%	31%	12%	8%	21%	7%	2% Alba 1% Other 1%	10
2–5 May2025	Survation [314]	True North Advisors	1,020	19%	32%	11%	11%	21%	5%	0%	11
16–22 Apr2025	Survation [315]	Diffley Partnership	1,005	24%	33%	14%	9%	15%	5%	1%	9
25 Feb–3 Mar2025	YouGov [316] [ failed verification ]	Scottish Election Study	1,164	21%	32%	12%	7%	19%	7%	1%	11
15–20 Jan2025	Find Out Now [317]	The Herald	1,334	18%	31%	12%	10%	17%	7%	5%	13
11–14 Jan2025	Norstat [318]	The Sunday Times	1,026	18%	32%	13%	11%	17%	6%	2% Alba 2% Other 0%	14
7–13 Jan2025	Survation [319]	True North Advisors	1,024	24%	33%	14%	9%	15%	4%	1%	9
17–24 Dec2024	Find Out Now [320]	The National [321]	1,774	20%	34%	14%	9%	15%	6%	2%	14
4–6 Dec2024	Norstat [322]	The Sunday Times	1,013	20%	31%	14%	9%	15%	6%	4% Alba 3% Other 1%	11
1–15 Nov2024	Survation [323]	Progress Scotland	3,016	28%	31%	15%	6%	13%	5%	3% Alba 2.7% Others 0.5%	3
30 Oct–1 Nov2024	Norstat [324]	The Sunday Times	1,013	23%	30%	15%	10%	14%	6%	2% Alba 1% Other 1%	7
27 Sep2024	Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep2024	Survation [325]	Progress Scotland	2,059	31%	31%	14%	9%	11%	3%	1% Alba 1% Other 0%	Tie
5–11 Sep2024	Opinium [326]	The Sunday Times [327]	1,028	25%	32%	14%	8%	11%	7%	2%	7
20–22 Aug2024	Norstat [328]	The Sunday Times	1,011	32%	29%	12%	8%	12%	5%	3% Alba 2% Other 1%	3
4 Jul2024	2024 general election [329]		–	35.3%	30.0%	12.7%	9.7%	7.0%	3.8%	1.2% Alba 0.5% Independent 0.4% Scottish Family 0.2% TUSC 0.1%	5.3

Wales

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	PC	LD	Grn	Others	Lead
23 Oct2025	Plaid Cymru win a seat from Welsh Labour in the 2025 Caerphilly by-election
4–10 Sep2025	YouGov [330]	Barn Cymru	1,220	18%	11%	29%	23%	9%	7%	4%	6
23–30 Apr2025	YouGov [331]	Barn Cymru	1,248	20%	13%	24%	24%	9%	7%	2%	Tie
10 Mar–3 Apr2025	Survation [332]	N/A	844	29%	15%	25%	18%	6%	6%	1%	4
3–5 Dec2024	Darren Millar is elected leader of the Welsh Conservatives
18 Oct–4 Nov2024	Survation [333]	Reform UK	2,006	33%	18%	21%	13%	9%	5%	0%	12
4 Jul2024	2024 general election [334]		–	37.0%	18.2%	16.9%	14.8%	6.5%	4.7%	1.9%	18.8

100 most rural constituencies

In November 2024, Survation conducted a survey of the 100 "most rural" constituencies.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Con	Lab	LD	Ref	Grn	Others	Lead
14–21 Nov 2024	Survation [335]	Country Land and Business Association	1,007	34%	21%	18%	21%	7%	0%	13
4 Jul2024	2024 general election (Survation) [335]		–	33.9%	23.6%	19.1%	16.1%	6.0%	1.4%	10.4

Northern England and the Midlands

In April 2025, Survation conducted a survey of Northern England and the Midlands.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	Others	Lead
11–13 Apr2025	Survation [336]	Friderichs Advisory Partners	2,032	27%	22%	30%	10%	9%	2%	3
4 Jul2024	2024 general election		–	39.6%	23.8%	17.7%	7.5%	6.8%	4.6%	15.9

London

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	Grn	Ref	Others	Lead
29 Apr–21 May2025	Savanta [337]	QMUL	1,003	32%	21%	13%	13%	15%	6%	11
4–8 May2025	Find Out Now [338]	Alex Wilson	1,102	30%	17%	16%	15%	19%	4%	11
30 Oct–11 Nov2024	Savanta [339]	QMUL	1,004	36%	24%	12%	12%	13%	4%	12
4 Jul2024	2024 general election		–	43.0%	20.6%	11.0%	10.0%	8.7%	6.7%	22.7

Hypothetical scenarios

See also: Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election § Hypothetical scenarios

Different Conservative Party leaders: voting intention and seat projection

For the 2024 Conservative Party leadership election, Electoral Calculus conducted a multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) opinion poll on behalf of Jack Lewy of the Robert Jenrick campaign, asking the general public how they would vote if respectively Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick were elected leader of the Conservatives.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Hypothetical Conservative leader		Lab	Con	LD	SNP	Ref	Grn	PC	Others	Majority / lead
11–15 Oct 2024	Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP) [340]	Jack Lewy / Robert Jenrick	GB	6,289	Kemi Badenoch	Seats	332	151	63	48	25	4	4	5	Lab 14
						Vote share	29%	22%	12%	4%	21%	10%	1%	1%	7
					Robert Jenrick	Seats	311	178	58	48	24	4	4	5	Hung (Labour -15)
						Vote share	28%	23%	12%	4%	20%	11%	1%	1%	5

Tactical voting scenarios

In February 2025, YouGov conducted polling on scenarios wherein only two parties appear to have a chance of winning a constituency. ^[341]

Dates conducted	Pollster	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	Others	Don't know	Would not vote/refused	Lead
Conservative–Reform races
23–24 Feb2025	YouGov	GB	2,178	10%	26%	25%	5%	6%	3%	7%	18%	1
Conservative–Lib Dem races
23–24 Feb2025	YouGov	GB	2,178	5%	25%	7%	33%	3%	2%	6%	17%	8
Conservative–Labour races
23–24 Feb2025	YouGov	GB	2,178	31%	28%	7%	3%	3%	2%	6%	17%	3
Labour–Reform races
23–24 Feb2025	YouGov	GB	2,178	35%	4%	31%	2%	3%	2%	6%	16%	4
Lib Dem–Reform races
23–24 Feb2025	YouGov	GB	2,178	5%	4%	29%	36%	3%	2%	6%	15%	7

Including under-18s

In July 2025, the Government announced their intention to reduce the voting age to 16. ^[342] Following this, some pollsters conducted polling including 16- and 17-year-olds, although the voting age has not yet been reduced.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	SNP	PC	Others	Lead
14–18 Jul2025	Focaldata [343]	MultiComms Ltd	GB	1,307	23%	19%	26%	14%	9%	2%	1%	5%	3

Some pollsters also conducted polling solely among 16- and 17-year-olds, or broke out an oversample of this group.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	SNP	PC	Your	Others	Lead
TBA	Focaldata [344]	John Smith Centre	UK	512	32%	8%	22%	8%	18%	4%	0%	–	8%	10
7–28 Aug2025	More in Common [345]	The Sunday Times	GB	1,115	24%	13%	23%	12%	6%	1%	0%	21% [e]	0%	1
					30%	14%	23%	14%	14%	3%	0%	–	3%	7
14–18 Jul2025	Focaldata [343]	MultiComms Ltd	GB	274 (oversample)	35%	11%	17%	7%	19%	4%	1%	–	6% 4% independents, 2% other parties	16
4–6 Jul2025	Merlin Strategy [346]	ITV News	GB	500	33%	10%	20%	12%	18%	2%	0%	–	6% 3% independents, 3% other parties	13

Some pollsters also conducted polling solely among other groups of under-18s who would be eligible to vote in 2029, the latest possible date for the election. ^[347]

Dates conducted	Age group	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	SNP	PC	Your	Others	Lead
13–19 Sep2025	13–17	Merlin Strategy [348] [349]	New Statesman	GB	1,000	27%	12%	33%	7%	12%	3%	0%	3% [f]	2%	6

With Your Party

Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana have stated their intention to found a new political party, provisionally referred to as "Your Party" pending the adoption of a permanent name. ^[350] Prior to that announcement, polling was carried out about the idea for a hypothetical new party. Since the announcement, more polling has been carried out, but the party has not yet been included in the headline voting intention polls of most pollsters.

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	Ref	LD	Grn	SNP	PC	Your	Others	Lead
10–18 Sep2025	Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus [351] (MRP)	PLMR	GB	7,449	21%	15%	36%	10%	7%	3%	1%	4% [g]	3%	15
1–8 Sep2025	Find Out Now [352]	Electoral Calculus	GB	10,990	20%	16%	34%	12%	7%	3%	1%	6% [g]	3%	14
15–19 Aug2025	Focaldata [61]	N/A	GB	1,500	23%	18%	28%	14%	7%	2%	1%	4% [h]	3%	5
29–31 Jul2025	BMG Research [353]	The i Paper	GB	1,528	20%	19%	31%	13%	7%	2%	1%	6% [i]	2%	11
24 Jul2025	Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn announce a new political party
9–10 Jul2025	Find Out Now [87]	MultiComms Ltd	GB	1,308	15%	17%	34%	9%	5%	2%	1%	15% [j]	1%	17
4–7 Jul2025	More in Common [354]	N/A	GB	2,084	22%	20%	27%	13%	5%	3%	1%	8% [k]	1%	5
20–23 Jun2025	More in Common [355]	N/A	GB	2,004	20%	20%	27%	14%	5%	2%	1%	10% [k]	1%	7
4 Jul 2024	2024 general election		GB	–	34.7%	24.4%	14.7%	12.5%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%	N/A	3.5%	10.3

Seat projections (MRP polls)

326 seats needed for a majority.

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Area	Sample size	Lab	Con	LD	SNP	Ref	Grn	PC	Your	Others	Majority
10–18 Sep 2025	Electoral Calculus/Find Out Now [351]	PLMR	GB	7,449	117	24	58	42	367	6	5	13 [g]	0	Ref 84
4 Jul 2024	2024 general election		GB	–	411	121	72	9	5	4	4	N/A	6 Independents: 5; Speaker: 1	Lab 190

See also

• Leadership approval opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
• Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election
• Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
• Opinion polling for the 2026 Senedd election

Notes

1. Pollster is not a member of the British Polling Council.
2. Calculated by subtraction
3. Polling was of GB adults only, but 18 seats were assigned to Northern Irish parties in the reporting of the outcome.
4. Seats total 647, not 650: 628 projected for GB, plus 18 N.I. plus Speaker.
5. Framed as "A new party led by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana"
6. Framed as "A party led by Jeremy Corbyn"
7. Framed as "Your Party Led By Jeremy Corbyn"
8. Framed as "Your Party (provisional name for new party founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana)"
9. Framed as "Your Party (provisional name for new party led by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana)"
10. Framed as "A new populist left-wing party... with Zarah Sultana MP and Jeremy Corbyn MP as co-leaders"
11. Framed as "a new populist left-wing party ... with Jeremy Corbyn as leader."

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