2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election

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2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Flag of Lithuania.svg
  2024 8 October 2028 (Expected date)

All 141 seats in the Seimas
71 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
LSDP Vilija Blinkevičiūtė 52
TS–LKD Radvilė Morkūnaitė-Mikulėnienė 28
PPNA Remigijus Žemaitaitis 20
DSVL Saulius Skvernelis 14
LS Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen 12
LVŽS Ramūnas Karbauskis 8
LLRA–KŠS Waldemar Tomaszewski 3
NS Vytautas Radžvilas 1
LT Artūras Zuokas 1
Independents 2

The next parliamentary elections in Lithuania are expected to be held on 8 October 2028, with a second round two weeks thereafter. [1]

Contents

Electoral system

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies using the two-round system and 70 members elected by proportional representation. [2] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters. [2]

Opinion polls

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election. 2028 Lithuanian Parliamentary Election Poll.svg
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election.

Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures.

Polling firmFieldwork datesSample
size
LSDP TS–LKD PPNA DSVL LS LVŽS LP LLRA−
KŠS
NS DP LRP LŽP TTS PLT Lead
Spinter tyrimai 13–20 December 20241,01618.417.317.911.111.59.23.30.5
Baltijos tyrimai 12 November–1 December 20241,01822.913.717.114.84.88.52.13.51.03.33.41.20.32.95.8
Vilmorus 7–16 November 2024 [a] 1,00024.311.820.710.813.59.62.23.11.93.6
Baltijos tyrimai 30 October–12 November 20241,01918.813.420.314.16.910.23.02.71.13.42.41.50.31.91.5
2024 election 13 October 20241,220,57019.7018.3515.269.47.857.164.623.962.932.241.931.721.410.771.35

See also

Notes

  1. The survey included only parties with parliamentary representation.

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References

  1. "Rinkimų kodekso patvirtinimo, įsigaliojimo ir įgyvendinimo konstitucinio įstatymo projektas + Rinkimų kodeksas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania.
  2. 1 2 "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.