2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election

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2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Flag of Lithuania.svg
←  2024 8 October 2028 (expected)
All 141 seats in the Seimas
71 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
LSDP Mindaugas Sinkevičius 52
TS–LKD Laurynas Kasčiūnas 28
PPNA Remigijus Žemaitaitis 19
DSVL Saulius Skvernelis 15
LS Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen 12
LVŽS Aurelijus Veryga 8
LLRA–KŠS Waldemar Tomaszewski 3
NS Vytautas Sinica 1
CDS Artūras Zuokas 1
Independents –2
Incumbent Prime Minister
Rimantas Šadžius (acting)
LSDP

The next parliamentary elections in Lithuania are expected to be held on 8 October 2028, with a second round two weeks thereafter. [1]

Contents

Electoral system

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies using the two-round system and 70 members elected by proportional representation. [2] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters. [2]

Opinion polls

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election. 2028 Lithuanian Parliamentary Election Poll.svg
LOESS curve of the polling for the 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election.

Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. The information in polls excluded undecided voters.

Polling firmFieldwork datesSample
size		 LSDP TS–LKD PPNA DSVL LS LVŽS LP LLRA−
KŠS 		NS DP LRP LŽP TTS CDS Lead
Baltijos tyrimai 21 August−2 September 20251,00621.915.311.712.29.512.84.54.01.03.72.9−−−6.6
Spinter tyrimai 18–25 July 20251,00915.519.75.214.110.59.36.23.815.84.2
Spinter tyrimai 19–29 June 20251,01917.017.77.310.813.87.95.64.715.30.7
Vilmorus 11–22 June 20251,00023.817.015.117.111.712.13.16.7
Spinter tyrimai 26 April − 18 May 20251,01519.618.18.010.89.17.82.83.020.81.5
Vilmorus 2−12 May 20251,00025.316.412.920.011.010.53.95.3
Spinter tyrimai 18−29 April 20251,01920.718.19.313.38.910.03.92.912.92.6
Vilmorus 17−28 April 20251,00024.717.718.716.18.110.14.36.0
Baltijos tyrimai 5−19 April 20251,01520.013.813.816.66.912.12.64.41.44.53.2−−−3.4
Spinter tyrimai 18−28 March 20251,01218.718.410.411.39.810.35.3−3.2−−−−−0.3
Baltijos tyrimai 8−24 March 20251,02022.015.313.215.07.38.32.23.0−4.82.1−−2.76.7
Norstat LT [a] 10–28 February 20251,50015.627.112.710.611.25.95.911.011.5
Vilmorus 14-23 February 20251,00022.114.421.716.29.011.45.20.4
Baltijos tyrimai 25 January–8 February 20251,01922.611.717.417.95.410.62.12.01.44.42.11.8−2.04.7
Spinter tyrimai 18–29 January 20251,00916.315.913.012.311.89.14.2−3.3−−−−−0.4
Spinter tyrimai 13–20 December 20241,01618.417.317.911.111.59.23.3−−−−−−−0.5
Baltijos tyrimai 12 November–1 December 20241,01822.913.717.114.84.88.52.13.51.03.33.41.20.32.95.8
Vilmorus 7–16 November 2024 [b] 1,00024.311.820.710.813.59.6−2.23.1−−−−1.93.6
Baltijos tyrimai 30 October–12 November 20241,01918.813.420.314.16.910.23.02.71.13.42.41.50.31.91.5
2024 election 13 October 20241,220,57019.7018.3515.269.47.857.164.623.962.932.24 [c] 1.931.721.410.771.35

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Commissioned by TS-LKD
  2. ↑ The survey included only parties with parliamentary representation.
  3. ↑ Results of Coalition of Peace

References

  1. ↑ "Rinkimų kodekso patvirtinimo, įsigaliojimo ir įgyvendinimo konstitucinio įstatymo projektas + Rinkimų kodeksas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania.
  2. 1 2 "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.
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