Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election

Last updated

Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the 2019 general election. The election was held on 12 December 2019.

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, since its 18 seats were not contested by the political parties standing for election in the rest of the United Kingdom.

Graphical summaries

The chart below depicts opinion polls conducted in the lead up to the 2019 UK general election using a 15-poll moving average. As discussed below, most of these polls do not include Northern Ireland. The larger circles at the end represent the actual results of the election.

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  Conservatives
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  Brexit Party
  SNP & Plaid Cymru
  Greens
  Independent Group for Change
  UKIP
Polling for the 2019 UK general election campaign period (6 November 2019 onwards). Conservatives Labour Liberal Democrats Brexit Party SNP & Plaid Cymru Greens Polling for the campaign period of the 2019 UK General Election.png
Polling for the 2019 UK general election campaign period (6 November 2019 onwards).
  Conservatives
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  Brexit Party
  SNP & Plaid Cymru
  Greens

National poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland. However, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide.

The campaigning period officially began on 6 November 2019. [1]

The various polls use a variety of methodologies. For example, in Kantar and Ipsos MORI polls, Change UK and the Brexit Party were spontaneous responses and not prompted by the pollster. [2] [3] In YouGov polls before June 2019, only the Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats were prompted, the names of other parties being listed when "other" was selected. [4] YouGov polls conducted since June 2019 prompt for both the Greens and the Brexit Party, alongside the earlier list. [5] BMG polls also use two-stage questions in which the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, the Brexit Party, the Greens, SNP, and Plaid Cymru are included on the initial prompt and the remaining parties provided after "another party" is selected. Prior to August 2019, BMG did not prompt the Brexit Party and the Greens initially. [6]

As the parties standing for each seat became known (including the 11 November announcement that the Brexit Party would not be contesting the 317 seats won by the Conservatives in 2017) the major pollsters began listing only those standing in a respondent's constituency as options. [7]

2019

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		AreaSample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru Green Brexit UKIP Change UK OtherLead
2019 general election 12 DecUK–43.6%32.1%11.6%3.9%0.5%2.7%2.0%0.1%0.0%3.1%11.5%
GB44.7%33.0%11.8%4.0%0.5%2.8%2.1%0.1%0.0%1.0%11.7%
Survation 10–11 DecGB2,39545%34%9%4%1%3%3%––1%11%
Panelbase 10–11 DecGB3,17443%34%11%4%0%3%4%–––9%
Opinium Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 DecGB3,00545%33%12%4%0%2%2%––1%12%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 9–11 DecGB2,21344%33%12%––3%2%––6%11%
Deltapoll 9–11 DecGB1,81845%35%10%4%0%3%4%––0%10%
Kantar Archived 11 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–11 DecGB2,81544%32%13%4%0%3%3%––1%12%
BMG/The Independent 6–11 DecGB1,66041%32%14%––3%4%––6%9%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 9–10 DecGB2,05141%36%12%4%–2%3%––2%5%
Number Cruncher Politics/Bloomberg 8–10 DecGB1,00943%33%12%4%1%3%3%––1%10%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 DecGB105,61243%34%12%3%0%3%3%––2%9%
FocalData (MRP)27 Nov–10 DecGB21,21342%34%14%3%1%3%3%––1%8%
ICM Research/Reuters 6–9 DecGB2,01142%36%12%3%0%2%3%0%–1%6%
SavantaComRes/Remain United [lower-alpha 1] 6–8 DecGB6,07343%36%12%4%0%2%3%––1%7%
Qriously 5–8 DecUK2,22243%30%12%2%–4%3%––5%13%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 5–7 DecUK1,01245%31%11%3%1%2%4%––3%14%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 5–7 DecGB1,53344%33%11%4%0%2%3%1%–1%11%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 5–6 DecGB1,68043%33%13%4%0%3%3%––1%10%
BMG/The Independent 4–6 DecGB1,54241%32%14%3%0%4%4%0%0%1%9%
Opinium/The Observer 4–6 DecGB2,00246%31%13%4%0%2%3%––1%15%
Panelbase 4–6 DecGB2,03343%34%13%4%1%2%3%––0%9%
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph 4–5 DecGB2,03441%33%12%4%–2%3%––5%8%
SavantaComRes/Remain United [lower-alpha 1] 2–5 DecGB2,00542%36%11%3%–2%4%––1%6%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 2–4 DecGB1,54544%32%13%4%1%3%2%––1%12%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 2–3 DecGB2,04142%32%12%4%–2%3%––5%10%
YouGov/The Times/Sky News 2–3 DecGB1,69942%33%12%5%0%4%4%––1%9%
ICM Research 29 Nov–2 DecGB2,02942%35%13%3%0%2%3%––1%7%
Kantar Archived 3 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 28 Nov–2 DecGB1,09644%32%15%3%1%3%2%––1%12%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 28–30 NovGB1,52845%32%15%3%0%1%3%0%–0%13%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 26–30 NovUK1,06542%33%11%3%1%4%3%––3%9%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 28–29 NovGB1,68043%34%13%4%0%3%2%––1%9%
Opinium/The Observer 27–29 NovGB2,01846%31%13%4%0%3%2%––2%15%
BMG/The Independent 27–29 NovGB1,66339%33%13%4%0%5%4%0%0%1%6%
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph 27–28 NovGB2,02543%33%13%3%–3%4%––1%10%
Panelbase 27–28 NovGB2,01042%34%13%3%0%3%4%––1%8%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 25–26 NovGB2,03441%34%13%3%–2%5%––1%7%
YouGov/The Times/Sky News 25–26 NovGB1,67843%32%13%4%0%2%4%––1%11%
ICM Research 22–25 NovGB2,00441%34%13%3%1%3%4%0%–1%7%
Kantar [ permanent dead link ]21–25 NovGB1,09743%32%14%4%0%4%3%––0%11%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 21–23 NovGB1,51943%30%16%4%0%3%3%––0%13%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 20–23 NovUK1,01041%30%15%3%1%3%5%––4%11%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 21–22 NovGB1,67742%30%16%4%0%4%3%––1%12%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–22 NovGB2,00347%28%12%5%0%3%3%––2%19%
Panelbase 20–22 NovGB2,02842%32%14%3%1%3%3%––2%10%
SavantaComRes/Sunday Express 20–21 NovGB2,03842%32%15%3%0%2%5%––1%10%
BMG 19–21 NovGB1,66341%28%18%2%0%5%3%––1%13%
YouGov 12–20 NovGB11,27743%29%15%4%1%3%4%––2%14%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 18–19 NovGB1,62842%31%15%4%0%2%5%––1%11%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 NovGB1,60642%30%15%4%0%4%4%––1%12%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 15–19 NovGB1,12844%28%16%4%1%3%3%––1%16%
YouGov 17–18 NovGB1,63443%29%15%4%1%3%3%––3%14%
ICM Research 15–18 NovGB2,01042%32%13%3%0%3%5%––2%10%
Kantar Archived 23 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 14–18 NovGB1,17645%27%16%4%1%3%2%––1%18%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 14–16 NovUK1,01042%28%13%3%1%3%5%––4%14%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 14–16 NovGB1,52645%30%11%3%0%2%6%2%0%0%15%
15 NovNominations for candidates close (final candidates announced)
YouGov/The Sunday Times 14–15 NovGB1,67045%28%15%4%0%3%4%––2%17%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 28 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 NovGB2,00844%28%14%4%1%3%6%––0%16%
BMG/The Independent 12–15 NovGB1,50637%29%16%2%0%5%9%––0%8%
SavantaComRes/The Sunday Telegraph 13–14 NovGB2,05241%33%14%3%0%2%5%––1%8%
Panelbase 13–14 NovGB1,02143%30%15%4%0%2%5%––0%13%
SavantaComRes/The Daily Telegraph 11–12 NovGB2,02240%30%16%4%0%3%7%––1%10%
YouGov/The Times/Sky News 11–12 NovGB1,61942%28%15%3%1%4%4%––4%14%
ICM Research 8–11 NovGB2,03539%31%15%3%0%3%8%––2%8%
Kantar Archived 13 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 7–11 NovGB1,16537%27%17%3%1%3%9%1%1%1%10%
ComRes/Britain Elects 8–10 NovGB2,01437%29%17%4%0%3%9%––1%8%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 6–9 NovGB1,51841%29%16%3%0%2%6%1%0%1%12%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 7–8 NovGB1,59839%26%17%4%0%4%10%––0%13%
Survation 6–8 NovUK2,03735%29%17%4%1%1%10%––3%6%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 6–8 NovGB2,00141%29%15%5%1%2%6%––0%12%
Panelbase 6–8 NovGB1,04640%30%15%4%0%3%8%––0%10%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 NovGB1,50437%29%16%2%0%7%9%––0%8%
YouGov/The Times/Sky 5–6 NovGB1,66736%25%17%4%1%5%11%––1%11%
6 NovParliament dissolved and official campaign period begins
ComRes/Remain United 30 Oct–5 NovGB6,09736%29%17%4%1%3%11%0%0%0%7%
YouGov/The Times 1–4 NovGB3,28438%25%16%4%1%5%11%0%0%0%13%
ICM Research/Reuters 1–4 NovGB2,04738%31%15%3%0%3%9%1%0%1%7%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 31 Oct–2 NovGB1,50040%28%14%3%1%2%11%1%0%0%12%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 30 Oct–1 NovGB2,00442%26%16%4%1%2%9%0%0%1%16%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 30 Oct–1 NovGB1,83439%27%16%5%1%4%7%0%0%1%12%
ComRes/Sunday Express 30–31 OctGB2,03236%28%17%4%0%3%10%0%0%1%8%
ORB/The Sunday Telegraph Archived 3 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 30–31 OctGB2,02536%28%14%5%0%4%12%0%0%1%8%
Panelbase 30–31 OctGB1,00840%29%14%3%0%3%9%0%0%1%11%
30 OctThe House of Commons votes for an early general election
YouGov/The Times 29–30 OctGB1,75036%21%18%4%1%6%13%0%0%1%15%
Survation/Daily Mail 29–30 OctUK1,01034%26%19%4%0%1%12%0%0%4%8%
29 Oct Richard Braine resigns as leader of UKIP [8]
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 25–28 OctGB1,00741%24%20%4%1%3%7%0%0%0%17%
YouGov 17–28 OctGB11,59036%22%19%4%1%6%12%0%0%0%14%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 OctGB1,67236%23%18%4%1%6%12%0%0%0%13%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 23–25 OctGB2,00140%24%15%5%0%3%10%1%0%1%16%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 OctGB1,68937%22%19%3%1%7%11%1%0%0%15%
Deltapoll 18–21 OctGB2,01737%24%19%4%1%3%11%1%0%0%13%
Panelbase 17–18 OctGB1,00836%27%17%4%0%3%11%0%0%0%9%
Survation/Daily Mail 17–18 OctUK1,02532%24%21%4%1%2%13%0%0%4%8%
ComRes/Britain Elects 16–17 OctGB2,06733%29%18%4%1%4%12%0%0%0%4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 15–17 OctGB2,00137%24%16%4%1%4%12%2%0%1%13%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 OctGB1,62537%22%18%4%1%5%11%1%0%0%15%
Kantar [ permanent dead link ]10–15 OctGB1,18439%25%18%3%1%3%8%1%0%1%14%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 9–11 OctGB2,01333%30%17%4%0%3%12%0%0%0%3%
ComRes/Daily Express 9–10 OctGB2,01833%27%18%4%0%4%12%0%0%2%6%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 OctGB1,61635%22%20%4%1%6%12%0%1%0%13%
ICM Research/Represent Us 4–7 OctGB2,01335%29%16%3%1%4%11%1%0%1%6%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 4–6 OctGB2,00633%27%19%4%1%3%13%1%0%1%6%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 3–4 OctGB2,00638%23%15%5%0%4%12%1%0%0%15%
BMG/The Independent 1–4 OctGB1,51431%26%20%3%1%7%11%0%0%0%5%
YouGov/The Times 30 Sep–1 OctGB1,62334%21%23%3%1%5%12%0%0%1%11%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 26–27 SepGB1,62333%22%21%4%1%5%13%0%0%1%11%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 29 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 25–27 SepGB2,00736%24%20%5%1%2%11%0%0%1%12%
Survation/Daily Mail 25 SepUK1,01127%24%22%4%0%3%16%0%0%4%3%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 SepGB1,63533%22%22%3%1%6%14%0%0%0%11%
YouGov/People's Vote 19–20 SepGB2,00630%23%22%4%0%5%14%0%0%1%7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 22 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 SepGB2,00437%22%17%4%1%4%12%2%0%0%15%
ComRes/Britain Elects 18–19 SepGB2,05029%27%20%4%0%4%13%0%1%0%2%
YouGov/The Times 17–18 SepGB1,60832%21%23%4%1%4%14%1%0%2%9%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 13–16 SepGB1,00633%24%23%4%4%10%0%0%1%9%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 11–13 SepGB2,00237%25%16%4%1%2%13%1%0%0%12%
ComRes/Sunday Express 11–12 SepGB2,05728%27%20%4%1%5%13%1%1%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 SepGB1,67632%23%19%4%0%7%14%0%0%1%9%
Kantar Archived 7 November 2019 at the Wayback Machine 5–9 SepGB1,14438%24%20%4%1%3%7%1%1%1%14%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 6–8 SepGB2,01630%29%17%3%1%4%13%1%0%2%1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 5–7 SepGB2,04931%28%17%5%1%4%13%1%0%0%3%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 5–6 SepGB1,67635%21%19%4%0%7%12%1%0%1%14%
Panelbase 5–6 SepGB1,01331%28%19%3%0%2%15%0%0%0%3%
Survation/Daily Mail 5–6 SepUK1,00629%24%18%4%1%3%17%0%0%5%5%
ComRes/Britain Elects 4–6 SepGB2,00931%27%20%3%1%3%13%1%0%1%4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 27 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 4–6 SepGB2,00935%25%17%5%0%3%13%1%0%1%10%
BMG/The Independent 3–6 SepGB1,50431%27%19%3%0%6%13%1%0%0%4%
Hanbury Strategy Archived 9 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine 3–4 SepGB99533%26%17%4%1%3%14%0%0%2%7% [lower-alpha 2]
YouGov/The Times 2–3 SepGB1,63935%25%16%4%1%7%11%1%0%0%10%
ICM Research/Represent Us 30 Aug–3 SepGB2,04137%30%16%3%1%4%9%1%0%1%7%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 29–31 AugGB2,02835%24%18%4%1%4%14%0%1%0%11%
Survation/Daily Mail 29–30 AugUK1,02031%24%21%4%1%3%14%0%0%3%7%
YouGov 28–29 AugGB1,86733%22%21%4%1%7%12%0%0%1%11%
YouGov/The Times 27–28 AugGB2,00634%22%17%4%1%8%13%1%0%1%12%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 22–23 AugGB2,01933%21%19%4%1%7%14%0%0%1%12%
Opinium/The Observer 21–23 AugGB2,00532%26%15%5%1%4%16%1%0%1%6%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 AugGB1,68732%22%20%4%1%7%12%0%0%2%10%
Kantar Archived 21 August 2019 at the Wayback Machine 15–19 AugGB1,13342%28%15%5%0%3%5%0%1%1%14%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 AugGB1,62530%21%20%4%1%8%14%1%0%2%9%
BMG/The Independent 7–12 AugGB1,51531%25%19%3%1%6%12%1%0%2%6%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 9–11 AugGB2,01131%27%16%3%0%4%16%1%0%2%4%
Survation 6–11 AugUK2,04028%24%21%4%0%3%15%0%0%4%4%
10 Aug Richard Braine becomes leader of UKIP [9]
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 8–9 AugGB2,00331%28%13%4%1%5%16%1%0%0%3%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 AugGB1,62831%22%21%4%0%7%14%0%0%1%9%
1 Aug Brecon and Radnorshire by-election [10]
YouGov/The Times 29–30 JulGB2,06632%22%19%4%1%8%13%0%0%1%10%
Ipsos MORI 26–30 JulGB1,00734%24%20%4%1%6%9%1%0%1%10%
ComRes/Britain Elects 26–28 JulGB2,00429%30%16%3%1%5%15%1%0%2%1%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 25–27 JulGB2,00130%25%18%4%1%4%14%1%2%1%5%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 25–26 JulGB1,69731%21%20%5%1%8%13%0%0%1%10%
Opinium/The Observer 24–26 JulGB2,00630%28%16%5%1%5%15%1%0%1%2%
ComRes/Sunday Express 24–25 JulGB2,02928%27%19%3%1%4%16%1%0%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 23–24 JulGB1,71525%19%23%4%1%9%17%1%0%1%2%
23 Jul Boris Johnson becomes leader of the Conservative Party, and Prime Minister the next day
22 Jul Jo Swinson becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats [11]
YouGov/The Times 16–17 JulGB1,74925%21%20%4%1%8%19%0%0%1%4%
ComRes/Britain Elects 15–16 JulGB2,03825%28%17%4%0%5%19%1%1%1%3%
ComRes/Sunday Express 10–11 JulGB1,79124%28%15%3%1%5%20%1%1%2%4%
Survation 10–11 JulGB1,01223%29%19%4%1%3%20%––1%6%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 JulGB1,67124%20%19%5%1%9%21%0%0%1%3%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 5–7 JulGB2,01025%28%16%3%0%5%19%1%0%1%3%
Opinium/The Observer 3–5 JulGB2,00223%25%15%5%1%8%22%1%1%0%2%
BMG/The Independent 2–5 JulGB1,53228%27%18%2%1%6%14%2%1%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 2–3 JulGB1,60524%18%20%4%1%9%23%0%0%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 JunGB2,05922%20%19%4%1%10%22%1%0%1%Tie
Ipsos MORI 21–25 JunGB1,04326%24%22%4%1%8%12%1%0%0%2%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 19–20 JunGB2,00920%26%16%4%1%6%23%2%1%1%3%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 19–20 JunGB2,01624%26%18%3%1%6%20%1%1%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 JunGB1,64120%20%21%4%1%9%23%1%0%0%2%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 13–14 JunGB1,67221%21%19%3%1%9%24%0%0%1%3%
YouGov/The Times 9–10 JunGB1,70217%19%22%4%1%8%26%0%1%1%4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 7–9 JunGB2,01723%27%17%3%1%5%22%1%1%1%4%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 JunGB1,52026%27%17%3%1%6%18%1%1%1%1%
6 Jun Peterborough by-election [10]
YouGov/The Times 5–6 JunGB1,67018%20%20%5%0%9%26%1%0%0%6%
YouGov 4–5 JunGB1,66318%19%22%4%0%9%25%0%–3%3%
4 Jun Anna Soubry becomes leader of Change UK after six of its MPs leave the party [12]
YouGov 31 May–1 JunGB1,64418%19%23%5%0%10%23%––2%Tie
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 29–30 MayGB2,44920%26%16%4%1%5%24%1%4%1%2%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 18 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 28–30 MayGB2,00517%22%16%4%1%11%26%1%1%1%4%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 MayGB1,76319%19%24%6%8%22%1%1%0%2%
24 May Theresa May announces her intention to resign as Prime Minister and leader of the Conservative Party
23 May European Parliament election [13]
Survation/Daily Mail 22 MayUK2,02928%33%13%3%0%3%12%3%2%3%5%
Number Cruncher Politics 18–21 MayGB1,00527%31%15%5%1%4%14%1%2%0%4%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–21 MayGB2,03321%31%13%4%0%5%19%3%4%0%10%
Opinium Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 17–20 MayGB2,00522%26%12%4%1%4%25%2%2%0%4%
Survation/Daily Mail 17 MayUK1,00027%32%13%5%0%3%13%2%2%4%5%
YouGov/Best for Britain/Hope Not Hate 8–17 MayGB9,26024%24%18%4%1%6%18%2%2%1%Tie
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 14–16 MayGB2,00922%29%11%4%0%3%24%2%3%1%7%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 MayGB1,65525%25%16%5%7%18%2%2%1%Tie
Ipsos MORI 10–14 MayGB1,07225%27%15%4%1%7%16%3%2%1%2%
Hanbury Strategy/Politico Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–13 MayGB2,00021%30%13%4%–5%19%2%6%1%9%
Kantar Archived 25 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–13 MayGB1,15225%34%15%5%2%3%10%4%1%2%9%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph 10–12 MayGB2,02820%27%13%3%0%4%20%4%6%1%7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 8–10 MayGB2,00422%28%11%4%0%6%21%4%4%0%6%
BMG/The Independent 7–10 MayGB1,54127%30%18%2%0%6%10%3%3%1%3%
ComRes/Brexit Express 9 MayGB2,03419%27%14%3%1%5%20%3%7%1%8%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 MayGB2,21224%24%16%5%7%18%2%2%1%Tie
Opinium/People's Vote 3–7 MayGB2,00025%30%11%3%1%5%17%4%2%1%5%
2 May Local elections in England and Northern Ireland [14] [15]
YouGov 29–30 AprGB1,63029%29%13%4%5%15%2%3%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 23–24 AprGB1,78727%30%11%5%5%14%4%3%1%3%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 AprGB2,03027%36%8%4%–3%13%5%4%1%9%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 17 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 21–23 AprGB2,00426%33%6%5%1%4%17%4%4%1%7%
ORB/The Daily Telegraph 16–17 AprUK1,54626%29%8%4%1%4%14%5%5%4% [lower-alpha 3] 3%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 AprGB1,75529%30%10%5%5%12%4%3%2%1%
ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 16 AprGB1,06123%33%7%3%1%3%14%5%9%1%10%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 9–12 AprGB2,00729%36%8%5%1%4%–11%–6%7%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 AprGB1,84328%32%11%5%5%8%6%3%2%4%
Hanbury Strategy/Open Europe Archived 8 March 2021 at the Wayback Machine 5–8 AprGB2,00031%40%8%4%1%5%–8%–4%9%
Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 4–8 AprGB1,17232%35%11%5%1%4%–7%–6%3%
Survation 3–8 AprE+W6,06237%41%10%–1%2%–7%1%2%4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 5–7 AprGB2,01832%32%7%3%0%3%–9%9%3%Tie
BMG/The Independent 2–5 AprGB1,50029%31%8%3%1%4%6%7%8%1%2%
35%34%11%4%1%5%–6%–3%1%
4 Apr Newport West by-election [10]
YouGov/The Times 2–3 AprGB1,77132%31%12%6%4%5%7%–3%1%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 28–30 MarGB1,01032%35%7%2%1%2%6%6%9%1%3%
36%41%7%3%1%3%–7%–3%5%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 May 2019 at the Wayback Machine 28–29 MarGB2,00835%35%9%4%0%5%–9%–3%Tie
YouGov/The Times 24–25 MarGB2,11036%33%11%5%4%5%4%–2%3%
ComRes/Leave Means Leave Archived 31 March 2019 at the Wayback Machine 22–24 MarGB2,03033%33%8%3%1%3%–7%9%3%Tie
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–22 MarGB2,00236%35%7%5%1%4%–9%–3%1%
ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–21 MarGB2,06334%35%8%3%1%4%–7%6%3%1%
Ipsos MORI 15–19 MarGB1,05038%34%8%5%1%4%1%7%2%0%4%
ComRes/The Daily Telegraph Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 15–17 MarGB2,03334%35%8%3%1%3%–6%7%3%1%
Survation/Daily Mail 15 MarUK1,00735%39%10%3%0%––––12%4%
YouGov/People's Vote 14–15 MarGB1,82335%33%11%––––––21%2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 MarGB1,75635%31%12%4%4%4%6%–2%4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 MarGB2,00335%35%7%5%0%4%–8%4%2%Tie
12–15 MarGB2,00838%34%8%5%1%3%–8%–3%4%
Kantar Archived 7 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 7–11 MarGB1,15241%31%8%5%0%6%–6%–2%10%
BMG/The Independent 4–8 MarGB1,51037%31%10%3%1%5%–6%5%1%6%
39%34%12%3%1%4%–5%–2%5%
ComRes/Brexit Express Archived 5 January 2020 at the Wayback Machine 4–5 MarGB2,04236%34%8%3%0%3%–6%8%2%2%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 MarGB2,17240%31%11%5%4%3%3%–3%9%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 26 Feb–1 MarGB2,00437%33%7%4%1%4%–7%5%2%4%
GB2,00340%34%9%4%1%3%–7%–3%6%
YouGov/The Times 22–23 FebGB1,67241%30%10%5%4%2%5%–3%11%
36%23%6%–––––18%16%13%
Deltapoll/The Mail on Sunday 21–23 FebGB1,02739%31%5%5%0%3%–4%11%1%8%
43%36%6%4%0%3%–5%–2%7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 20–22 FebGB2,00840%32%5%4%1%4%–7%6%2%8%
Sky Data 19 FebUK1,03432%26%9%4%1%4%–6%10%7%6%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 FebGB1,86138%26%7%–––––14%15%12%
YouGov/The Times 41%33%10%5%4%–4%–3%8%
Survation/Daily Mail 18 FebUK1,02340%36%10%3%–2%–5%–5%4%
18 FebEight Labour MPs, soon joined by three Conservatives, quit their party to form Change UK [16]
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 13–15 FebGB2,00537%37%8%4%0%4%–7%–2%Tie
Kantar [ permanent dead link ]7–11 FebGB1,14540%35%10%4%1%4%–3%–3%5%
BMG 4–8 FebGB1,50338%35%13%3%1%5%–5%–1%3%
YouGov/The Times 2–7 FebGB40,11939%34%11%3%1%4%–5%–2%5%
5 FebThe Brexit Party is registered with the Electoral Commission [17]
Ipsos MORI 1–5 FebGB1,00538%38%10%4%1%3%–4%–3%Tie
YouGov/The Times 3–4 FebGB1,85141%34%10%4%0%4%–4%–2%7%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 12 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 30 Jan–1 FebGB2,00841%34%8%4%1%4%–7%–1%7%
Survation/Daily Mail 30 JanUK1,02938%39%9%3%0%2%–4%–4%1%
Opinium/People's Vote 23–25 JanGB2,00140%36%7%3%0%4%–7%–1%4%
ICM 16–18 JanGB2,04639%40%9%3%0%3%–5%–1%1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 16–18 JanGB2,00637%40%7%5%1%4%–7%–1%3%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 16–17 JanGB2,03138%37%10%3%1%3%–6%–1%1%
Number Cruncher Politics 10–17 JanUK1,03041%39%8%3%1%2%–4%–1%2%
ComRes/Daily Express Archived 15 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 JanGB2,01037%39%8%3%0%3%–7%–1%2%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 JanGB1,70139%34%11%4%1%4%–6%–1%5%
Kantar Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–14 JanGB1,10635%38%9%4%1%4%–6%–3%3%
Survation/Daily Mail 10–11 JanUK1,01338%41%10%3%0%2%–4%–3%3%
BMG/The Independent 8–11 JanGB1,51436%36%12%3%1%5%–6%–1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 6–7 JanGB1,65641%35%11%4%0%3%–4%–1%6%
YouGov/People's Vote 21 Dec–4 JanUK25,53740%34%10%4%0%4%–4%–2%6%

2018

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		AreaSample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green OtherLead
Opinium/The Observer 18–20 DecGB2,00039%39%6%4%0%6%4%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 DecGB1,66041%39%7%5%4%3%1%2%
YouGov/Hope Not Hate 14–15 DecGB1,66038%35%10%6%4%5%2%3%
Opinium/The Observer 13–14 DecGB2,01638%39%8%4%1%6%4%1%1%
YouGov/People's Vote 12–14 DecGB5,04340%36%10%5%4%3%1%4%
Populus/Best for Britain Archived 9 January 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–11 DecGB2,00237%40%7%3%1%6%3%1%3%
YouGov 9–10 DecGB2,00839%38%9%5%5%4%1%1%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 6–7 DecGB1,65238%37%10%5%3%4%1%1%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 DecGB1,50837%38%12%3%1%4%4%1%1%
Kantar [ permanent dead link ]5–6 DecGB1,17838%38%9%4%1%5%5%1%Tie
Ipsos MORI 30 Nov–5 DecGB1,04938%38%9%4%1%4%5%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 3–4 DecGB1,62440%38%9%5%4%4%1%2%
ComRes/Daily Express 30 Nov–2 DecGB2,03537%39%9%3%0%6%3%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 NovGB1,73740%35%10%4%6%3%1%5%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 NovGB1,67139%36%8%6%4%4%1%3%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Sunday Express 14–15 NovGB2,00036%40%9%3%1%7%3%1%4%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 19 November 2018 at the Wayback Machine 14–15 NovGB2,00336%39%7%5%1%8%3%1%3%
Kantar Archived 7 August 2020 at the Wayback Machine 8–12 NovGB1,14740%39%8%4%1%3%3%2%1%
BMG/The Independent 6–9 NovGB1,50636%37%12%3%1%6%4%1%1%
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 2–7 NovGB2,01640%40%8%4%1%5%3%–Tie
YouGov/The Times 4–5 NovGB1,63741%37%8%4%4%4%1%4%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 NovUK20,09039%40%8%3%–3%2%3%1%
YouGov/The Times 29–30 OctGB1,64841%39%7%4%5%2%0%2%
ICM 26–28 OctGB2,04840%38%9%3%1%5%3%0%2%
Deltapoll/Daily Mirror 24–26 OctGB1,01743%40%6%4%0%5%2%0%3%
YouGov/The Times 22–23 OctGB1,80241%36%8%6%4%4%1% [lower-alpha 4] 5%
Ipsos MORI 19–22 OctGB1,04439%37%10%4%1%5%5%0%2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 OctGB1,64941%36%9%4%4%3%1%5%
Kantar [ permanent dead link ]11–15 OctGB1,12841%36%10%4%1%3%4%2%5%
Opinium/The Observer 11–12 OctGB2,01041%37%8%4%1%6%3%1%4%
Survation 10 OctUK1,00940%39%7%4%–6%–5%1%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 OctGB1,64741%37%9%5%4%3%2% [lower-alpha 5] 4%
BMG/The Independent 3–5 OctGB1,50338%39%10%4%1%4%4%0%1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 7 October 2018 at the Wayback Machine 3–5 OctGB2,00739%39%7%3%1%6%3%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 30 Sep–1 OctGB1,60742%36%9%4%5%2%2% [lower-alpha 4] 6%
BMG/HuffPost UK 28–29 SepGB1,20335%40%12%4%1%5%3%1%5%
28 Sep Adam Price officially becomes leader of Plaid Cymru [18]
Opinium/The Observer 26–28 SepGB2,00839%36%9%4%0%6%3%1%3%
ComRes/Daily Express 26–27 SepGB2,03639%40%9%3%1%5%2%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 SepGB1,62542%36%11%4%4%2%0%6%
ICM/The Guardian 21–24 SepGB2,00641%40%9%3%0%4%3%0%1%
BMG/HuffPost UK 21–22 SepGB1,00638%38%10%4%0%5%4%0%Tie
Opinium/The Observer 18–20 SepGB2,00337%39%9%4%1%8%2%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 SepGB2,50940%36%11%5%5%2%1%4%
Ipsos MORI 14–18 SepGB1,07039%37%13%3%0%2%5%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 12–13 SepGB1,62040%36%11%4%4%3%1%4%
Opinium/The Observer 11–13 SepGB2,01139%38%7%4%1%6%3%1%1%
Kantar Archived 17 September 2018 at the Wayback Machine 6–10 SepGB1,11940%35%10%4%0%5%4%1%5%
ICM/The Guardian 7–9 SepGB2,05142%39%8%3%0%4%3%0%3%
Survation/Daily Mail 7 SepUK1,03938%37%10%3%1%4%1%5%1%
BMG/The Independent 4–7 SepGB1,53337%38%11%2%1%7%4%1%1%
29 Oct Jonathan Bartley and Siân Berry become co-leaders of the Green Party [19]
YouGov/The Times 3–4 SepGB1,88339%35%11%5%5%4%1%4%
Survation 31 Aug–1 SepUK1,01737%41%6%3%1%7%2%3%4%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 AugGB1,66439%37%10%4%5%3%2% [lower-alpha 4] 2%
YouGov/The Times 20–21 AugGB1,69740%37%9%5%6%2%2% [lower-alpha 4] 3%
ICM/The Guardian 17–19 AugGB2,02140%40%8%3%0%6%2%1%Tie
Opinium/The Observer 14–17 AugGB2,00339%38%7%4%1%7%3%1%1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 14–16 AugGB1,90437%40%8%3%1%6%5%1%3%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 AugGB1,66041%38%8%4%6%3%1%3%
Kantar Archived 28 August 2018 at the Wayback Machine 9–13 AugGB1,11940%39%9%4%1%4%3%1%1%
Number Cruncher Politics 9–13 AugUK1,03638%40%8%4%1%5%2%1%2%
BMG/The Independent 6–10 AugGB1,48137%39%10%3%0%5%5%0%2%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 AugGB1,67539%35%10%5%7%3%1%4%
ICM/The Guardian 3–5 AugGB2,04939%40%7%4%0%6%3%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 30–31 JulGB1,71838%38%10%4%6%3%1%Tie
Ipsos MORI 20–24 JulGB1,02338%38%10%4%1%6%3%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 22–23 JulGB1,65038%38%10%4%6%3%0%Tie
ICM/The Guardian 20–22 JulGB2,01040%41%8%3%0%5%3%1%1%
YouGov/The Sunday Times 19–20 JulGB1,66838%39%9%5%6%2%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 JulGB1,65736%41%9%4%7%2%0%5%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 12–14 JulGB1,48437%42%7%3%1%6%3%1%5%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 16 September 2019 at the Wayback Machine 10–13 JulGB2,00536%40%8%4%1%8%3%1%4%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 JulGB1,73237%39%10%4%6%3%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 JulGB1,66939%39%9%4%5%3%1%Tie
ICM/The Guardian 6–9 JulGB2,01341%39%9%3%0%4%3%1%2%
Kantar Archived 10 July 2018 at the Wayback Machine 5–9 JulGB1,08640%38%9%4%1%3%3%2%2%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 7 JulUK1,00738%40%10%3%1%––8%2%
BMG/The Independent 3–5 JulGB1,51139%37%10%3%1%3%4%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 3–4 JulGB1,64141%40%9%4%3%2%1%1%
Ipsos MORI 22–27 JunGB1,02641%38%7%4%1%4%4%1%3%
YouGov/The Times 25–26 JunGB1,64542%37%9%5%3%3%1%5%
ICM/The Guardian 22–24 JunGB2,01341%40%9%3%1%3%3%1%1%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 19–20 JunUK1,02241%38%7%4%1%3%3%3%3%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 JunGB1,60642%40%9%4%3%2%0%2%
14 Jun Lewisham East by-election [10]
YouGov/The Times 11–12 JunGB1,63842%39%8%4%3%2%1%3%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 JunGB2,02142%40%8%3%0%3%3%0%2%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 JunGB1,49038%41%11%2%0%4%2%1%3%
Opinium/The Observer 5–7 JunGB2,00542%40%7%6%1%3%2%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 JunGB1,61944%37%8%4%3%3%0%7%
Survation 31 May–4 JunUK2,01241%40%9%3%1%2%2%3%1%
Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday 30 May–1 JunGB1,01341%41%6%4%0%5%2%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 28–29 MayGB1,67042%39%9%5%3%2%1%3%
ICM/The Guardian 25–29 MayGB2,00243%40%8%3%1%3%2%1%3%
Ipsos MORI 18–22 MayGB1,01540%40%7%5%0%2%5%0%Tie
YouGov/The Times 20–21 MayGB1,66042%38%9%4%2%3%1%4%
ComRes/We, The People 16–17 MayGB2,04541%41%7%3%1%3%3%1%Tie
Opinium/The Observer 15–16 MayGB2,00943%39%6%4%1%4%3%1%4%
YouGov/The Times 13–14 MayGB1,63443%38%9%3%3%3%1%5%
ICM/The Guardian 11–13 MayGB2,05043%40%8%3%0%3%3%1%3%
Survation 8–10 MayUK1,58541%40%8%3%1%3%2%2%1%
YouGov/The Times 8–9 MayGB1,64843%38%9%4%2%2%1%5%
BMG/The Independent 1–4 MayGB1,44139%39%10%4%1%4%3%1%Tie
3 May English local and mayoral elections and West Tyrone by-election [20] [10]
YouGov/The Times 30 Apr–1 MayGB1,58542%38%7%4%3%3%1%4%
ComRes/Daily Express 27–29 AprGB2,03040%40%9%3%0%5%3%1%Tie
ICM/The Guardian 27–29 AprGB2,02642%39%8%3%0%4%3%1%3%
YouGov/The Times 24–25 AprGB1,66843%38%8%4%3%3%0%5%
Ipsos MORI 20–24 AprGB1,00441%40%10%3%1%2%2%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 16–17 AprGB1,63143%38%8%4%3%3%1%5%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 14 AprUK2,06040%40%9%3%1%3%1%3%Tie
14 Apr Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party [21]
BMG 11–13 AprGB1,50039%38%11%4%0%3%4%1%1%
ComRes/Sunday Express 11–12 AprGB2,03840%41%7%3%1%4%2%1%1%
Opinium/The Observer 10–12 AprGB2,00840%40%7%4%1%5%2%1%Tie
YouGov/The Times 9–10 AprGB1,63940%40%9%4%4%2%1%Tie
ICM/The Guardian 6–8 AprGB2,01242%41%7%3%0%4%3%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 AprGB1,66242%41%7%4%4%2%1%1%
Number Cruncher Politics 27 Mar–5 AprUK1,03743%38%8%4%1%3%3%0%5%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 MarGB1,65943%39%8%3%3%2%1%4%
ICM/The Guardian 16–18 MarGB2,01344%41%8%3%1%1%2%1%3%
BMG 13–16 MarGB2,06538%40%10%4%0%4%3%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 14–15 MarGB1,98642%39%7%5%3%3%1%3%
Opinium/The Observer 13–15 MarGB2,00142%40%6%4%1%4%3%0%2%
Survation/GMB 7–8 MarUK1,03837%44%9%3%0%3%2%3%7%
Ipsos MORI 2–7 MarGB1,01243%42%6%4%1%2%2%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 MarGB1,64141%43%7%4%2%2%1%2%
ICM/The Guardian 2–4 MarGB2,03043%42%7%3%0%2%3%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 26–27 FebGB1,62241%42%7%4%3%2%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 19–20 FebGB1,65040%42%8%4%4%2%0%2%
ICM/The Guardian 16–19 FebGB2,02742%43%7%3%0%3%2%0%1%
YouGov/The Times 12–13 FebGB1,63940%41%8%3%4%2%1%1%
Kantar Archived 19 February 2018 at the Wayback Machine 6–12 FebGB2,44839%39%8%4%1%4%2%2%Tie
BMG 6–9 FebGB1,50740%40%8%2%0%5%4%1%Tie
Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 6–8 FebGB2,00242%39%7%4%1%5%2%1%3%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 FebGB2,00043%39%8%3%3%3%1%4%
ICM/The Guardian 2–4 FebGB2,02141%40%8%3%0%4%3%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 28–29 JanGB1,66942%42%6%4%2%3%1%Tie
Survation 26–29 JanUK1,05940%43%8%2%0%3%1%3%3%
Ipsos MORI 19–23 JanGB1,03139%42%9%4%0%3%2%1%3%
ICM/The Guardian 10–19 JanGB5,07541%41%7%3%0%4%3%0%Tie
YouGov/The Times 16–17 JanGB1,67241%42%7%4%3%2%0%1%
ICM/The Guardian 12–14 JanGB2,02740%41%7%3%1%4%3%0%1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 26 June 2019 at the Wayback Machine 11–12 JanGB2,00840%40%6%4%0%5%3%1%Tie
BMG 9–12 JanGB1,51340%41%8%3%1%4%2%1%1%
YouGov/The Times 7–8 JanGB1,66340%41%9%4%3%2%0%1%

2017

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		AreaSample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid Cymru UKIP Green OtherLead
YouGov/The Times 19–20 DecGB1,61040%42%7%5%4%1%0%2%
ICM/The Sun on Sunday 12–14 DecGB2,00441%42%7%3%0%4%3%0%1%
Opinium/The Observer Archived 9 July 2019 at the Wayback Machine 12–14 DecGB2,00539%41%7%4%1%6%2%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 DecGB1,68042%41%7%4%4%2%2% [lower-alpha 4] 1%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 DecGB2,00642%40%8%3%1%5%2%0%2%
BMG/The Independent 5–8 DecGB1,50937%40%9%3%1%5%3%1%3%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 DecGB1,63840%41%7%4%3%2%2% [lower-alpha 4] 1%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 30 Nov–1 DecUK1,00337%45%6%3%0%4%1%3%8%
ICM/The Sun on Sunday 29 Nov–1 DecGB2,05040%41%8%3%0%4%3%0%1%
Ipsos MORI 24–28 NovGB1,00337%39%9%4%1%4%4%1%2%
ICM/The Guardian 24–26 NovGB2,02941%41%7%3%0%5%3%0%Tie
YouGov/The Times 22–23 NovGB1,64439%41%7%4%4%3%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 19–20 NovGB1,67740%43%7%4%3%2%0%3%
Kantar Archived 21 November 2017 at the Wayback Machine 14–20 NovGB2,43742%38%9%2%0%5%3%1%4%
BMG 14–17 NovGB1,50740%41%8%––4%–7%1%
Opinium/The Observer 14–16 NovGB2,03240%42%6%4%1%5%2%0%2%
ICM/The Guardian 10–12 NovGB2,01041%41%7%4%0%4%2%0%Tie
YouGov/The Times 7–8 NovGB2,01240%43%6%4%4%2%1%3%
Ipsos MORI 27 Oct–1 NovGB1,05238%40%9%4%1%4%3%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 23–24 OctGB1,63741%43%7%4%3%2%0%2%
ICM/The Guardian 20–23 OctGB2,02242%42%7%3%0%3%2%0%Tie
BMG 17–20 OctGB1,50637%42%10%––4%–7%5%
YouGov/The Times 18–19 OctGB1,64840%42%8%4%4%2%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 OctGB1,68039%42%8%4%4%2%0%3%
ICM/The Guardian 6–8 OctGB2,05241%41%7%4%1%4%2%0%Tie
Opinium/The Observer 4–6 OctGB2,00940%42%5%4%0%5%2%1%2%
Survation 4–5 OctUK2,04738%44%7%3%1%4%1%2%6%
YouGov/The Times 4–5 OctGB1,61540%42%7%4%4%2%1%2%
29 Sep Henry Bolton officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party [22]
BMG/The Independent 26–29 SepGB1,91037%42%10%3%0%4%3%1%5%
ICM/The Guardian 22–24 SepGB1,96840%42%8%3%1%4%2%1%2%
YouGov/The Times 22–24 SepGB1,71639%43%7%4%4%2%0%4%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 22 SepUK1,17438%42%8%4%1%4%2%2%4%
Opinium/The Observer 19–22 SepGB2,00442%40%6%4%1%4%2%1%2%
Survation/LabourList 15–20 SepUK1,61440%41%7%3%1%5%2%1%1%
Ipsos MORI 15–18 SepGB1,02340%44%9%4%0%2%1%0%4%
BMG/The Independent 12–15 SepGB1,44739%38%8%3%0%6%4%1%1%
Opinium/The Observer 12–15 SepGB2,00941%41%5%4%1%5%3%0%Tie
YouGov/The Times 12–13 SepGB1,66041%42%7%4%3%2%1%1%
ICM/The Guardian 8–10 SepGB2,05242%42%7%3%0%4%3%0%Tie
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 31 Aug–1 SepUK1,04638%43%7%3%1%4%–3%5%
YouGov/The Times 30–31 AugGB1,65841%42%6%4%4%2%0%1%
ICM/The Guardian 25–28 AugGB1,97242%42%7%2%0%3%3%0%Tie
YouGov/The Times 21–22 AugGB1,66441%42%8%4%4%1%0%1%
Opinium/The Observer 15–18 AugGB2,00640%43%6%4%1%4%2%1%3%
BMG/The Independent 7–11 AugGB1,51242%39%7%2%0%6%3%0%3%
YouGov/The Times 31 Jul–1 AugGB1,66541%44%7%3%3%2%0%3%
20 Jul Vince Cable officially becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats [23]
YouGov/The Times 18–19 JulGB1,59341%43%6%4%3%2%0%2%
Ipsos MORI 14–18 JulGB1,07141%42%9%3%0%3%2%1%1%
ICM/The Guardian 14–16 JulGB2,04642%43%7%3%1%3%2%0%1%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 14–15 JulUK1,02439%41%8%3%1%6%1%1%2%
BMG 11–14 JulGB1,51837%42%10%––4%–7%5%
Opinium/The Observer 11–14 JulGB2,01341%43%5%3%0%5%2%0%2%
YouGov/The Times 10–11 JulGB1,70040%45%7%4%2%1%0%5%
YouGov/The Times 5–6 JulGB1,64838%46%6%4%4%1%1%8%
ICM/The Guardian 30 Jun–3 JulGB2,04441%43%7%3%0%3%3%0%2%
Survation 28–30 JunUK1,01741%40%7%2%0%2%2%6% [lower-alpha 6] 1%
Opinium/The Observer 27–29 JunGB2,01039%45%5%3%1%5%2%0%6%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 16–21 JunGB5,48141%46%6%3%<1%2%1%<1%5%
Survation/Good Morning Britain 16–17 JunUK1,00541%44%6%3%1%2%1%3% [lower-alpha 7] 3%
Survation/The Mail on Sunday 10 JunUK1,03639%45%7%3%1%3%–2%6%
2017 general election 8 JunGB–43.4%41.0%7.6%3.1%0.5%1.9%1.7%0.8%2.4%
UK42.3%40.0%7.4%3.0%0.5%1.8%1.6%3.3%2.3%

Seat predictions

Most polls are reported in terms of the overall popular vote share, and the pollsters do not typically project how these shares would equate to numbers of seats in the House of Commons. Other organisations including Electoral Calculus make rolling projections based on an aggregate of publicly available polls.

A small number of large polls have been carried out in order to run multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) models, which output predictions for each constituency. [24]

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		 Con Lab SNP Lib Dem DUP SF Plaid Cymru Green Alliance SDLP Brexit OtherMajority
General Election Result 12 Dec 201936520248118741120180
BBC Exit Poll 12 Dec 20193681915513——31——01986
Electoral Calculus 4–11 Dec 2019351224411310621020052
FocalData (MRP)27 Nov–10 Dec 20193372354114——31——0124
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 20193392314115——41——0128
Electoral Calculus 4–9 Dec 2019349226411310621020048
Savanta ComRes/Remain United Archived 10 December 2019 at the Wayback Machine 6–8 Dec 2019340233451110621020030
Electoral Calculus 2–7 Dec 201934822541138741300046
Datapraxis/YouGov 7 Dec 20193442214714——41————38
Electoral Calculus 28 Nov–4 Dec 201933523344158741300020
Electoral Calculus 26 Nov–3 Dec 201933922944158741300028
Electoral Calculus 26–30 Nov 201934222545158741300034
Electoral Calculus 21–28 Nov 201933623145158741300022
Electoral Calculus 20–26 Nov 201933123545168741300012
YouGov (MRP)20–26 Nov 20193592114313——41——0168
Electoral Calculus 19–26 Nov 201934222541198741300034
Datapraxis/YouGov 26 Nov 20193492164914——51——0048
Electoral Calculus 19–23 Nov 201936520241208731300080
Electoral Calculus 12–19 Nov 201936120146198741300072
Seats at start of campaign period [lower-alpha 8] 6 Nov 201929824335211074100–31−54
Focaldata 1–25 Sep 2019364189522310710000478
YouGov (MRP)2–7 Feb 20193212503916——41——–1−8
2017 general election 8 Jun 201731726235121074100–2−16

Nations and Regions polling

Scotland

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–45.0%25.1%18.6%9.5%1.0%0.1%–0.5%0.1%19.9%
Survation/The Courier 10–11 Dec 20191,01243%28%20%7%1%––1%–15%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 2019 [25] 41%27%20%10%1%––1%–14%
Panelbase/Sunday Times 3–6 Dec 20191,02039%29%21%10%1%––0%0%10%
YouGov/The Times 29 Nov–3 Dec 20191,00244%28%15%12%1%––0%0%16%
Ipsos MORI/STV 19–25 Nov 20191,04644%26%16%11%2%––<1%–18%
Panelbase/Sunday Times 20–22 Nov 20191,00940%28%20%11%<1%––<1%<1%12%
15 NovNominations for candidates close (final candidates announced)
6 NovParliament dissolved and official campaign period begins
YouGov 23–25 Oct 20191,06042%22%12%13%4%0%0%6%0%20%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 9–11 Oct 20191,00339%21%19%13%2%––5%–18%
YouGov/The Times 30 Aug–3 Sep 20191,05943%20%15%12%4%0%0%6%0%23%
29 Aug 2019 Ruth Davidson resigns as leader of the Scottish Conservative Party [26]
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–20 Jun 20191,02438%18%17%13%2%<1%<1%9%–20%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 14–17 May 20191,02138%18%19%10%3%1%2%9%<1%19%
YouGov/The Times 24–26 Apr 20191,02943%20%17%9%3%1%2%4%0%23%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 18–24 Apr 20191,01838%22%21%6%2%2%3%5%<1%16%
Survation/Scotland in Union 18–23 Apr 20191,01241%22%24%8%––––5%17%
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 28 Feb–6 Mar 20191,00237%27%22%7%2%2%2%–<1%10%
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1–4 Mar 20191,01140%24%23%8%––––4%16%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 30 Nov–5 Dec 20181,02837%26%26%6%2%2%––<1%11%
Survation/Scotland in Union 9–13 Nov 20181,01339%26%24%8%––––3%13%
Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 2–7 Nov 20181,05037%28%25%7%2%2%––3%9%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 20181,73440%27%23%7%1%1%––1%13%
Survation/Daily Record 18–21 Oct 20181,01736%27%26%7%1%–––1%9%
Survation/SNP 3–5 Oct 20181,01337%28%26%6%––––2%9%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 28 Sep–4 Oct 20181,02438%27%24%6%2%2%––<1%11%
Survation/The Sunday Post 28 Sep–2 Oct 20181,03641%26%24%7%––––3%15%
Survation/Daily Record 5–10 Jul 20181,00442%24%23%8%––––3%18%
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 21–26 Jun 20181,01838%27%25%7%2%<1%––<1%11%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 8–13 Jun 20181,02138%27%27%6%2%<1%––<1%11%
YouGov/The Times 1–5 Jun 20181,07540%27%23%7%2%1%––1%13%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 23–28 Mar 20181,03736%28%27%6%2%1%––<1%8%
Ipsos MORI/STV 5–11 Mar 20181,05039%25%26%6%4%0%––0%13%
Survation/Daily Record 24–28 Jan 20181,02939%24%27%7%––––3%12%
YouGov/The Times 12–16 Jan 20181,00236%23%28%6%3%3%––0%8%
Survation/The Sunday Post 1–5 Dec 20171,00638%24%29%7%––––3%9%
Survation/Daily Record 27–30 Nov 20171,01737%25%28%7%––––3%9%
18 Nov 2017 Richard Leonard officially becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party [27]
YouGov/The Times 2–5 Oct 20171,13540%23%30%5%1%1%––0%10%
Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 8–12 Sep 20171,01639%26%26%7%––––2%13%
Panelbase/The Sunday Times 31 Aug–7 Sep 20171,02141%27%24%6%2%––––14%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–36.9%28.6%27.1%6.8%0.2%0.2%––0.3%8.3%

Wales

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Plaid Cymru Lib Dem UKIP Green Change UK Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–40.9%36.1%9.9%6.0%-1.0%–5.4%0.7%4.8%
YouGov (MRP)4-10 Dec 201943%34%10%5%–1%–6%1%9%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 6–9 Dec 20191,02040%37%10%6%–1%–5%1%3%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 22–25 Nov 20191,11638%32%11%9%–1%–8%1%6%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 31 Oct–4 Nov 20191,13629%28%12%12%0%3%0%15%1%1%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 10–14 Oct 20191,07125%29%12%16%0%4%0%14%1%4%
1 Aug 2019 Brecon and Radnorshire by-election [10]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 23–28 July 20191,07122%24%15%16%–3%–18%1%2%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 16–20 May 20191,00925%17%13%12%1%5%2%23%2%2%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 2–5 Apr 20191,02533%26%15%7%3%2%9%4%1%7%
4 Apr 2019 Newport West by-election [10]
ICM/BBC Wales 7–23 Feb 20191,00042%33%13%6%3%1%––2%9%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 19–22 Feb 20191,02535%29%14%8%6%3%––4%6%
Sky Data/Cardiff University 7–14 Dec 20181,01445%32%14%3%4%2%––1%13%
6–13 Dec 2018 Mark Drakeford becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister [28] [29]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Dec 20181,02443%31%13%6%3%3%––1%12%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 30 Oct–2 Nov 20181,03142%33%10%7%4%2%––1%9%
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 20181,17747%30%13%6%3%2%––0%17%
28 Sep 2018 Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru [18]
6 Sep 2018 Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives [30]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 28 Jun–2 Jul 20181,03144%31%13%5%3%2%––1%13%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 12–15 Mar 20181,01546%33%11%4%4%2%––1%13%
ICM/BBC Wales 8–25 Feb 20181,00149%32%11%5%2%1%––0%17%
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 21–24 Nov 20171,01647%31%11%5%3%2%––1%16%
3 Nov 2017 Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats [31]
YouGov/ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University 4–7 Sep 20171,01150%32%8%4%3%1%––1%18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–48.9%33.6%10.4%4.5%2.0%0.3%––0.2%15.4%

Northern Ireland

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Green OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–30.6%22.8%14.9%11.7%16.8%0.2%3.1% [32] 7.8%
Lucid Talk/Remain United 27–30 Nov 20192,42230%25%13%11%16%0%5%5%
9 November 2019 Steve Aiken officially becomes leader of the Ulster Unionist Party
Lucid Talk/Remain United 30 Oct–1 Nov 20192,38628%24%14%9%16%1%8% [lower-alpha 9] 4%
Lucid Talk 9–12 Aug 20192,30229%25%8%9%21%1%7%4%
21 November 2018 Clare Bailey officially becomes leader of NI Green Party
Survation/Channel 4 20 Oct–2 Nov 201855531%27%11%15%12%–4%4%
3 May 2018 West Tyrone by-election [10]
10 Feb 2018 Mary Lou McDonald becomes leader of Sinn Féin [33]
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–36.0%29.4%11.7%10.3%7.9%0.9%3.7%6.6%

London

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Green UKIP Change UK Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019-48.1%32.0%14.9%3.1%––1.4%0.5%16.1%
YouGov (MRP)4-10 Dec 201947%31%15%3%––2%1%16%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London28 Nov–2 Dec 20191,01947%30%15%4%––3%1%17%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 30 Oct–4 Nov 20191,17539%29%19%5%0%—6%—10%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 7–10 May 20191,01535%23%21%7%0%2%10%1%12%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 3–6 Dec 20181,02049%33%11%3%3%––1%16%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 3–7 Sep 20181,21848%26%15%5%4%––2%22%
14 Jun 2018 Lewisham East by-election [10]
3 May 2018 2018 London local elections [20]
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 20–24 Apr 20181,09952%31%10%3%2%––1%21%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 12–15 Feb 20181,15553%33%8%3%2%––0%20%
YouGov/Queen Mary University of London 25–29 Sep 20171,04455%30%8%2%3%––1%25%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–54.5%33.1%8.8%1.8%1.3%––0.5%21.4%

North East England

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–42.6%38.3%6.9%0.1%2.3%7.9%1.7%4.3%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201944%35%7%–2%10%1%9%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 201924842%30%11%–4%13%–12%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 201952332%26%15%1%7%19%1%6%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–55.6%34.5%4.6%3.9%1.3%–0.2%21.1%

North West England

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–46.4%37.6%7.9%0.0%2.4%3.8%1.7%8.8%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201944%36%8%–3%6%2%8%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 201968139%37%11%–3%8%1%2%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 20191,26930%33%17%1%5%14%0%3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–55.0%36.3%5.4%1.9%1.1%–0.3%18.7%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–38.8%43.0%8.0%0.0%2.2%5.9%1.7%4.8%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201940%40%8%–2%7%2%Tie
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 201943439%38%13%–3%7%1%1%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 20191,03629%34%16%0%7%14%1%5%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–49.1%40.6%5.0%2.6%1.3%–1.4%8.5%

East Midlands

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–54.9%31.8%7.8%0.0%2.5%1.5%1.6%23.1%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201951%34%8%–2%2%2%17%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 201946449%31%13%–3%3%1%18%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 201989645%22%15%0%6%12%1%23%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–50.8%40.5%4.3%2.4%1.5%–0.6%10.3%

West Midlands

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–53.5%33.9%7.9%0.0%2.9%1.3%0.4%19.6%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201949%36%9%–3%2%1%13%
Survation/Daily Mail 21–22 Nov 201950741%34%15%–4%5%2%7%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 20191,01743%23%14%0%7%12%1%20%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–49.1%42.6%4.4%1.8%1.6%–0.5%6.5%

East of England

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–57.2%24.5%13.4%0.0%2.9%0.4%1.6%32.7%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201954%27%14%–3%1%2%27%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 20191,10745%17%18%0%5%14%0%27%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–54.7%32.8%7.9%2.5%1.5%–0.2%21.9%

South East England

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–54.2%22.1%18.3%3.9%0.1%0.2%1.2%32.1%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201951%24%19%4%––2%27%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 20191,59241%16%23%6%0%12%0%18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–54.8%28.6%10.6%3.1%2.2%–0.8%26.2%

South West England

Graph of opinion polls conducted
Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–52.9%23.3%18.1%3.7%0.0%0.3%1.5%29.6%
YouGov (MRP)4–10 Dec 201950%25%19%3%––2%25%
YouGov 17–28 Oct 20191,17241%17%21%7%0%13%1%20%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–51.5%29.1%14.9%2.2%1.1%–1.1%22.4%

Multiple constituencies

Number Cruncher Politics polled adults living in the 60 English marginal constituencies with a Labour or Conservative majority of less than five per cent. 2017 results are for the same 60 seats.

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP OtherLead
Number Cruncher Politics/Shelter 1–19 Sep 20181,24740%42%10%2%5%2%2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–46%44%7%1%2%–2%

Constituency polling

Note that where the client is a political party, constituency level polling may be particularly susceptible to publication bias. [34]

East Midlands

Gedling

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–44.1%45.5%4.6%2.2%3.6%1.4%
Survation/The Economist 4 Nov 201940942%37%6%1%13%5%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–51.9%42.8%2.0%3.2%–9.1%

East of England

Cambridge

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Lib Dem Con Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–48.0%30.0%15.5%4.0%1.9%0.5%17.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 16–17 Oct 201941730%39%10%12%7%1%9%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–51.9%29.3%16.3%2.2%N/A0.2%22.6%

South Cambridgeshire

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–46.3%11.7%42.0%———4.3%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 4–5 Nov 201941036%12%40%4%7%0%4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–51.8%27.2%18.6%2.3%——24.6%

South East Cambridgeshire

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–50.0%16.3%32.1%—1.6%17.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 25–28 Oct 201940842%16%31%8%4%11%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–53.3%27.7%19.0%–—25.6%

South West Hertfordshire

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Gauke OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–49.6%11.8%10.2%2.4%26.0%—23.5%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 22–26 Nov 201940550%17%13%2%16%2%33%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–57.9%25.7%11.7%2.6%—2.132.2%

London

Carshalton and Wallington

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lib Dem Con Lab Brexit Green OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–41.1%42.4%12.4%2.1%1.5%0.4%1.3%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019TBA42.8%41.2%9%2.6%4.4%–1.6%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–41%38.3%18.4%–1.3%–2.7%

Chelsea and Fulham

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem AWP OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–49.9%23.2%25.9%1.1%–24.0%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 14–21 Nov 201950248%24%25%–3%23%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019TBA41.6%21.4%34.4%–0%7.2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–52.6%33.2%11.0%–3.1%19.4%

Chingford and Woodford Green

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–48.5%45.9%5.7%—2.6%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019700–80046%44.4%9.6%0%1.6%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019350–40046.6%42.4%11%–4.2%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–49.1%43.9%4.4%2.6%5.2%

Cities of London and Westminster

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–39.9%27.2%30.7%1.7%0.5%9.3%
Deltapoll/Datapraxis 3–8 Dec 201950244%26%28%1%1%16%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 14–21 Nov 201950039%26%33%1%1%6%
YouGov/Datapraxis 4–22 Nov 2019TBA38.8%25.7%29.9%4%1.5%8.9%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–46.6%38.4%11.1%2.1%1.8%8.1%

Finchley and Golders Green

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–43.8%24.2%31.9%–––11.9%
Deltapoll/Datapraxis/3–6 Dec 201950046%19%34%0%–1%12%
Watermelon/ The Jewish Chronicle TBA50737%18%31%––13%6%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 7–12 Nov 201950046%19%32%0%–3%14%
YouGov/Datapraxis 4–22 Nov 2019TBA42.4%25.1%32.5%––0%9.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 2 Oct 201940029%25%41%3%2%0%12%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–47.0%43.8%6.6%1.8%––3.2%

Hendon

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–48.8%41.1%8.4%1.7%–7.7%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 14–21 Nov 201950151%33%12%1%3%14%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019350–40046.6%32.3%18%3%–14.3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–48.0%46.0%3.8%1.1%1.1%2.0%

Kensington

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–38.0%38.3%21.3%1.2%0.9%0.4%0.3%
Deltapoll/Datapraxis 4–8 Dec 201950229%39%26%––4%10%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 7–13 Nov 201950127%36%33%––3%3%
YouGov/Datapraxis 4–22 Nov 2019TBA30.1%34.4%27.7%––7.7%4.3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–42.2%42.2%12.2%2.0%–3.4%0.05%

Putney

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–35.7%45.1%16.9%2.2%N/A9.4%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 26 Nov–1 Dec 201950138%35%24%2%1%3%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4 Nov–5 Dec 2019700–80037.9%34.7%23.5%3.8%0%3.2%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019350–40037.7%29.3%28.4%4.6%–8.4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–44.1%40.8%11.6%2.4%1.1%3.3%

Richmond Park

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lib Dem Lab OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–41.2%53.1%5.2%0.5%11.9%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019TBA35.6%56%6.4%2.1%20.4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–45.1%45.1%9.1%0.7%0.01%

Wimbledon

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–38.4%23.7%37.2%0.7%1.2%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 7–13 Nov 201950038%23%36%3%2%
Datapraxis/YouGov 4–22 Nov 2019TBA37.4%24.7%34.7%3.3%2.7%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–46.5%35.6%14.5%3.5%11.5%

North East England

Berwick-upon-Tweed

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–56.9%21.6%18.2%3.3%35.3%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 22–26 Nov 201950060%17%21%2%39%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–52.5%24.6%21.1%1.9%27.9%

Stockton South

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–41.1%50.7%–4.3%–4.0%–9.6%
Survation 9 Dec 2019TBA43%46%–3%–7%–3.0%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–48.5%46.8%2.2%1.8%0.7%––1.6%

North West England

Southport

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–47.6%39.0%13.5%–8.6%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 2–6 Dec 201950043%35%22%–7%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–38.7%32.6%26.4%2.4%6.1%

Workington

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–39.2%49.3%3.7%1.4%4.2%2.2%10.1%
Survation 30–31 Oct 201950634%45%5%2%13%2%11%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–51.1%41.7%2.7%––4.4%9.4%

South East England

Beaconsfield

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Grieve Green OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–56.1%9.9%–29.0%3.5%1.4%27.1%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 21–26 Nov 201950053%7%–35%–5%18%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–65.3%21.4%7.9%–2.5%2.9%43.9%

Esher and Walton

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–49.4%4.5%45.0%––1.3%4.3%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 21–26 Nov 201939646%9%41%––4%5%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 30 Oct–4 Nov 201940645%11%36%3%4%1%9%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–58.6%19.7%17.3%1.8%–2.5%38.9%

Guildford

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lib Dem Lab Milton OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–44.9%39.2%7.7%7.4%0.8%5.7%
Deltapoll/Peter Kellner 21–26 Nov 201950040%41%11%7%1%1%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–54.6%23.9%19.0%–2.6%30.7%

Portsmouth South

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–48.6%37.3%11.4%2.1%0.5%11.3%
Deltapoll 22–27 Nov 201950046%38%11%2%2%8%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 28–29 Oct 201940624%27%30%14%6%3%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–41.0%37.6%17.3%–4.1%3.5%

Reading West

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–48.2%40.1%8.9%2.5%––8.1%
Survation 7–8 Nov 201941050%26%13%3%7%0%24%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–48.9%43.3%5.9%1.9%––5.6%

Wokingham

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–49.6%10.4%37.7%2.2%—0.1%11.9%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 31 Oct—4 Nov 201940642%12%38%3%5%—4%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–56.6%25.1%15.9%2.3%——24.6%

South West England

Bath

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lib Dem Con Lab Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–54.5%30.9%12.7%1.2%0.7%23.5%
Survation/Bath Labour 7–14 Sep 201755546%32%17%5%–14%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–47.3%35.8%14.7%-–11.5%

North East Somerset

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Con Lab Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–50.4%24.2%22.1%2.5%–0.8%26.1%
Survation/Liberal Democrats 16–17 Oct 201940544%14%28%3%7%4%16%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–53.6%34.7%8.3%2.3%–1.1%18.9%

Wales

Wrexham

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Plaid Cymru Brexit Green Lead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–39.0%45.3%4.3%6.4%3.6%1.3%6.3%
Survation/The Economist 27–30 Nov 201940529%44%5%10%9%–15%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–48.9%43.7%2.5%5.0%––5.2%

West Midlands

Warwick and Leamington

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–43.8%42.3%9.2%2.8%1.5%0.4% [lower-alpha 10] 1.5%
Survation/The Economist 21–23 Nov 201941339%40%10%–6%4%1%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–46.7%44.4%5.2%2.2%–1.7% [lower-alpha 11] 2.3%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Great Grimsby

Pollster/client(s)Date(s)
conducted		Sample
size		 Lab Con Lib Dem Green Brexit OtherLead
2019 general election 12 Dec 2019–32.7%54.9%3.2%1.6%7.2%0.5%22.2%
Survation/The Economist 14–15 Nov 201940131%44%4%3%17%1%13%
2017 general election 8 Jun 2017–49.4%42.2%2.7%––5.7%7.2%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 This poll does not feature constituency prompting.
  2. ↑ Question specified an election taking place in October
  3. ↑ Including the Democratic Unionist Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Including the British National Party with 1%
  5. ↑ Including the Women's Equality Party with 1%
  6. ↑ Including Alliance, Democratic Unionist Party, Social Democratic and Labour Party and Sinn Féin with 1%
  7. ↑ Including the Democratic Unionist Party with 2%
  8. ↑ A significant number of MPs changed parties during the 2017–2019 Parliament.
  9. ↑ Including 1% for Traditional Unionist Voice, 1% for People Before Profit and 3% for Sylvia Hermon.
  10. ↑ Independent with 0.3%; SDP with 0.1%
  11. ↑ UKIP with 1.5%; rejected ballots with 0.2%

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References

  1. ↑ "Johnson says he had 'no choice' over election". BBC News. 6 November 2019. Archived from the original on 6 November 2019. Retrieved 10 November 2019.
  2. ↑ Luke Taylor (14 May 2019). "Latest Brexit Barometer: Labour 9 points ahead of Conservatives". Kantar. Archived from the original on 25 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  3. ↑ Gideon Skinner; Glenn Gottfried; Cameron Garrett; Keiran Pedley (21 March 2019). "Worst public satisfaction ratings for any government since John Major". Ipsos MORI. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  4. ↑ Anthony Wells (31 May 2019). "Here's how we prompt for the Brexit Party, and why it's more accurate". YouGov. Archived from the original on 31 May 2019. Retrieved 31 May 2019.
  5. ↑ Matt Chorley (7 June 2019). "Brexit Party increases lead as Tories struggle". The Times. Archived from the original on 7 June 2019. Retrieved 7 June 2019. The emergence of new political forces has prompted YouGov to adapt the way it runs its surveys. The Brexit Party and the Green Party are now included when asking for voting intention alongside the established parties such as the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats, SNP and Plaid Cymru. YouGov carried out testing this week and found similar levels of support regardless of method used.
  6. ↑ "Poll tracker: How popular are the Westminster political parties?". BBC News. BMG Research. 4 October 2019. Archived from the original on 6 October 2019. Retrieved 6 October 2019.
  7. ↑ Walker, Ben (27 November 2019). "The Brexit Party's pullout demonstrates a problem for pollsters". New Statesman. Archived from the original on 27 November 2019. Retrieved 27 November 2019.
  8. ↑ "UKIP leader Richard Braine resigns after three months in the job". BBC News. 30 October 2019. Archived from the original on 31 October 2019. Retrieved 30 October 2019.
  9. ↑ "UKIP: Richard Braine elected as party leader". BBC News. 10 August 2019. Archived from the original on 13 August 2019. Retrieved 14 August 2019.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "By-elections since the 2017 General Election". UK Parliament. Archived from the original on 26 June 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  11. ↑ "Lib Dems: Jo Swinson elected new leader". BBC News. 22 July 2019. Archived from the original on 22 July 2019. Retrieved 22 July 2019.
  12. ↑ "Change UK loses six of its 11 MPs". BBC News. 4 June 2019. Archived from the original on 4 June 2019. Retrieved 4 June 2019.
  13. ↑ "European elections 2019: Polls take place across the UK". BBC News. 23 May 2019. Archived from the original on 23 May 2019. Retrieved 23 May 2019.
  14. ↑ "England local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 28 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  15. ↑ "Northern Ireland local elections 2019". BBC News. Archived from the original on 17 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  16. ↑ "Independent Group: Three MPs quit Tory party to join". BBC News. 20 February 2019. Archived from the original on 30 November 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  17. ↑ "Brexit Party registration with The Electoral Commission". The Electoral Commission. Archived from the original on 11 May 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
  18. 1 2 "Plaid Cymru leadership contest: Adam Price wins". BBC News. 28 September 2018. Archived from the original on 29 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  19. ↑ "Jonathan Bartley and Sian Berry elected Green Party co-leaders". BBC. 4 September 2018. Archived from the original on 12 April 2019. Retrieved 31 October 2019.
  20. 1 2 "England local elections 2018". BBC News. Archived from the original on 7 December 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  21. ↑ "UKIP confirms Gerard Batten as new leader". Sky News. 14 April 2018. Archived from the original on 10 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  22. ↑ "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". BBC News. 29 September 2017. Archived from the original on 29 September 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  23. ↑ "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Archived from the original on 20 July 2017. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  24. ↑ "YouGov UK General Election MRP Estimates – February 2019" (PDF). YouGov. 11 February 2019. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 February 2019. Retrieved 22 May 2019.
  25. ↑ This was a UK-wide poll, and the number of participants in Scotland was not recorded.
  26. ↑ "Ruth Davidson quits as Scottish Tory leader citing Brexit and family". The Guardian. 29 August 2019. Archived from the original on 3 September 2019. Retrieved 3 September 2019.
  27. ↑ "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 18 November 2017. Archived from the original on 7 April 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2017.
  28. ↑ "Welsh Labour leadership: Mark Drakeford set to be Wales' first minister". BBC News. 6 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  29. ↑ "Wales new First Minister Mark Drakeford is sworn in". BBC News. 13 December 2018. Archived from the original on 27 May 2019. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  30. ↑ "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". BBC News. 6 September 2018. Archived from the original on 6 September 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  31. ↑ "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". BBC News. 3 November 2017. Archived from the original on 28 October 2018. Retrieved 21 May 2019.
  32. ↑ Aontú (1.2%), People Before Profit (0.9%) and the Conservative Party (0.7%) outpolled the Greens despite not being measured separately in pre-election polling.
  33. ↑ "Mary Lou McDonald confirmed as new leader of Sinn Féin". Irish Times. 20 January 2018. Archived from the original on 10 July 2018. Retrieved 4 August 2019.
  34. ↑ Wells, Anthony. "Lib Dem private polls again". UK Polling Report. Retrieved 9 December 2019.
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