Opinion polling for UK general elections |
---|
1992 election |
Opinion polls |
1997 election |
Opinion polls |
2001 election |
Opinion polls |
2005 election |
Opinion polls |
2010 election |
Opinion polls |
In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority (recognised by Cecil Parkinson on Election Night 1997 when he stated on the BBC's broadcast that it "was a two term Labour government").
The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.
Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound as Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.
In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.
All polling data is from Ipsos MORI, UK polling Report and BBC News. [1] [2] [3]
Two exit polls conducted by MORI for ITV and NOP for BBC was published at the end of voting at 10 pm, predicting the number of seats for each party. [4] [5]
Parties | MORI for ITV | NOP for BBC | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Change | Seats | Change | ||
Labour Party | 417 | 2 | 408 | 11 | |
Conservative Party | 154 | 11 | 177 | 12 | |
Liberal Democrats | 58 | 12 | 44 | 2 | |
Others | 30 | 1 | 30 | 1 | |
Majority: | 175 | 157 |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun | 2001 general election [6] | – | 40.7% | 31.7% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 9% | |
6 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 2,399 | 47% | 30% | 18% | ? | 17% |
5–6 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,906 | 45% | 30% | 18% | ? | 15% |
2–4 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,009 | 43% | 32% | 19% | 6% | 11% |
2–3 Jun | ICM | Evening Standard | 1,381 | 47% | 30% | 18% | ? | 17% |
3 Jun | Rasmussen | The Independent | ? | 44% | 33% | 16% | ? | 11% |
31 May – 2 Jun | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,070 | 50% | 27% | 17% | ? | 23% |
31 May – 1 Jun | ICM | The Observer | 1,005 | 46% | 34% | 15% | ? | 12% |
31 May – 1 Jun | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,105 | 47% | 30% | 16% | ? | 17% |
30 May – 1 Jun | ICM | Channel 4 | 1,007 | 43% | 31% | 19% | ? | 12% |
29 May | MORI | The Times | 1,013 | 48% | 30% | 16% | ? | 18% |
28–29 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,462 | 47% | 31% | 16% | ? | 16% |
26–28 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 47% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 19% |
27 May | Rasmussen | The Independent | ? | 44% | 32% | 17% | ? | 12% |
24–25 May | NOP | The Sunday Times | ? | 49% | 30% | 14% | ? | 19% |
21–23 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 48% | 32% | 15% | ? | 16% |
22 May | MORI | Times | 1,066 | 52% | 27% | 16% | ? | 25% |
22 May | Rasmussen | The Independent | ? | 44% | 32% | 16% | ? | 12% |
19–21 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 45% | 32% | 17% | 7% | 13% |
20 May | Gallup | BES | ? | 55% | 25% | 14% | ? | 30% |
17–18 May | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,107 | 49% | 30% | 14% | ? | 19% |
15 May | MORI | The Times | 1,019 | 54% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 26% |
14–15 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,004 | 48% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 16% |
13–14 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,004 | 46% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 15% |
14 May | Gallup | BES | ? | 53% | 32% | 11% | ? | 21% |
10–14 May | MORI | The Economist | 1,846 | 54% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 28% |
14 May | Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins [7] | |||||||
11–13 May | ICM | Evening Standard | 1,437 | 48% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 16% |
13 May | Rasmussen | The Independent | 1,004 | 46% | 32% | 13% | 9% | 14% |
10–12 May | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,030 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 20% |
10–11 May | ICM | The Observer | 1,011 | 48% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 16% |
10–11 May | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,003 | 49% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 17% |
2–8 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 49% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 17% |
8 May | MORI | The Times | 1,046 | 54% | 30% | 13% | ? | 24% |
4–7 May | NOP | Daily Express | 1,000 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 20% |
1–6 May | NOP | Channel 4 | 1,600 | 49% | 34% | 11% | ? | 15% |
26 Apr – 2 May | NOP | Channel 4 | ~2000 | 51% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 22% |
30 Apr – 1 May | MORI | The Sun | 1,008 | 50% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 18% |
19–24 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,935 | 50% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 20% |
20–22 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 47% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 14% |
10–12 Apr | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,003 | 53% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 24% |
4–10 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,009 | 53% | 27% | 15% | 5% | 26% |
30 Mar – 4 Apr | NOP | Channel 4 | 1,575 | 52% | 30% | 12% | 6% | 22% |
30–31 Mar | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,034 | 48% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 16% |
29–30 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 49% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 15% |
22–27 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,945 | 50% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 19% |
16–18 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,426 | 44% | 35% | 16% | 6% | 9% |
15–16 Mar | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,426 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 20% |
17 Feb – 13 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,016 | 55% | 29% | 12% | 3% | 26% |
15–20 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,900 | 50% | 30% | 14% | 5% | 20% |
16–18 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 47% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 15% |
31 Jan – 7 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,001 | 50% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 21% |
25–26 Jan | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,007 | 49% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 18% |
18–22 Jan | MORI | The Times | 2,083 | 50% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 19% |
19–21 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,004 | 44% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 10% |
10–16 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 20% |
11–13 Jan | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 52% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 21% |
11–12 Jan | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,232 | 48% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 15% |
4–6 Jan | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,005 | 46% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 11% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Dec | Falkirk West by-election [8] | |||||||
13–15 Dec | MORI | News of the World | 1,003 | 47% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 15% |
6–13 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 47% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 15% |
7–12 Dec | MORI | The Times | 1,984 | 46% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 12% |
1–3 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,003 | 44% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 10% |
23–28 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,972 | 48% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 15% |
24–25 Nov | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,006 | 47% | 34% | 13% | 6% | 13% |
23 Nov | By-elections in Glasgow Anniesland, Preston and West Bromwich West [9] [10] [11] | |||||||
1–7 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,010 | 45% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 11% |
3–5 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,001 | 40% | 34% | 20% | 7% | 6% |
2–3 Nov | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,002 | 42% | 34% | 17% | 7% | 8% |
19–23 Oct | MORI | The Times | 2,010 | 45% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 13% |
13–16 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,001 | 40% | 35% | 19% | 6% | 5% |
11–13 Oct | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,171 | 42% | 35% | 17% | 6% | 7% |
10 Oct | MORI | Carlton TV | 1,014 | 40% | 38% | 19% | 3% | 2% |
28–30 Sep | ICM | News of the World | 1,025 | 38% | 37% | 20% | 6% | 1% |
28–30 Sep | MORI | The Sun | 1,006 | 43% | 36% | 16% | 5% | 7% |
28–29 Sep | NOP | Sunday Express | 1,002 | 43% | 37% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
Sep | NOP | Labour Party | 1,000 | ? | ? | ? | ? | 11% |
21–26 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,843 | 37% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 2% |
21 Sep | South Antrim by-election [12] | |||||||
20–26 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,002 | 39% | 36% | 20% | 5% | 3% |
21–23 Sep | NOP | Channel 4 | 1,002 | 32% | 40% | 22% | 6% | 8% |
21–22 Sep | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,014 | 35% | 39% | 21% | 5% | 4% |
14–19 Sep | MORI | Schroder Salomon Smith Barney | 1,864 | 36% | 36% | 21% | 7% | Tie |
13–19 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 35% | 40% | 16% | 9% | 5% |
15–17 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,055 | 34% | 38% | 22% | 7% | 4% |
14–16 Sep | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,002 | 37% | 37% | 21% | 5% | Tie |
14–15 Sep | MORI | News of the World | 1,006 | 36% | 38% | 18% | 8% | 2% |
6–12 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 45% | 32% | 16% | 6% | 13% |
6–12 Sep | MORI | N/A | 2,004 | 45% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 15% |
7–14 Sep | ||||||||
31 Aug – 6 Sep | MORI | N/A | 1,818 | 48% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 16% |
17–21 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,916 | 51% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 22% |
17–18 Aug | MORI | News of the World | 1,004 | 51% | 32% | 12% | 5% | 19% |
11–13 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,050 | 44% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 10% |
2–7 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,005 | 47% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 15% |
20–24 Jul | MORI | The Times | 2,019 | 49% | 33% | 12% | 6 | 16% |
20–22 Jul | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,011 | 51% | 32% | 11% | 6% | 19% |
14–15 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,056 | 42% | 35% | 17% | 6% | 7% |
12–14 Jul | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,003 | 47% | 32% | 15% | 6% | 15% |
5–11 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,016 | 45% | 35% | 14% | 7% | 10% |
29–30 Jun | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,004 | 46% | 32% | 17% | 5% | 14% |
22–27 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,915 | 47% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 14% |
22 Jun | Tottenham by-election [14] | |||||||
23–26 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,061 | 43% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 11% |
22–23 Jun | MORI | News of the World | 1,002 | 47% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 13% |
8–9 Jun | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,008 | 41% | 38% | 16% | 5% | 3% |
31 May – 6 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,007 | 49% | 30% | 15% | 6% | 19% |
18–23 May | MORI | The Times | 1,891 | 48% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 16% |
17–19 May | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,003 | 46% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 13% |
13–15 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,003 | 41% | 34% | 18% | 7% | 7% |
3–9 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,009 | 47% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 16% |
6–7 May | ICM | Conservative Party | 1,000 | 43% | 35% | 15% | 7% | 8% |
4 May | Local elections in England and Romsey by-election [15] [16] | |||||||
13–18 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,860 | 51% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 24% |
14–15 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,203 | 45% | 32% | 15% | 8% | 13% |
5–11 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,007 | 50% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
23–28 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,728 | 50% | 29% | 14% | 7% | 21% |
17–19 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,207 | 44% | 32% | 16% | 8% | 12% |
1–7 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,018 | 51% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 20% |
17–22 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,938 | 50% | 29% | 15% | 6% | 21% |
11–13 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 44% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 15% |
2–6 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,024 | 49% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 21% |
3 Feb | Ceredigion by-election [17] | |||||||
25–27 Jan | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,007 | 49% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 20% |
20–25 Jan | MORI | The Times | 2,015 | 50% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 20% |
14–17 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,155 | 47% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 17% |
5–12 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,005 | 53% | 30% | 12% | 5% | 23% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–14 Dec | MORI | The Times | 1,967 | 54% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 26% |
10–12 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,201 | 48% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 19% |
25 Nov – 1 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 53% | 27% | 15% | 5% | 26% |
Kensington & Chelsea by-election [18] | ||||||||
19–22 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,935 | 55% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 30% |
12–14 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,119 | 44% | 34% | 15% | 7% | 10% |
8–10 Nov | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,003 | 50% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 18% |
27 Oct – 2 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,002 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
22–26 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,084 | 45% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 13% |
22–25 Oct | MORI | The Times | 1,965 | 56% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 28% |
13–14 Oct | MORI | The Sun | 1,003 | 52% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 21% |
23–29 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,012 | 52% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 23% |
24–27 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,823 | 52% | 25% | 17% | 6% | 27% |
23 Sep | By-elections in Hamilton South and Wigan [19] [20] | |||||||
17–19 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,202 | 45% | 32% | 16% | 6% | 13% |
9–11 Sep | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,002 | 49% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 17% |
25 Aug – 1 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 52% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 25% |
20–23 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,862 | 49% | 27% | 17% | 7% | 22% |
13–15 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,204 | 48% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 18% |
9 Aug | Charles Kennedy is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats [21] | |||||||
28 Jul – 4 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,008 | 51% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 21% |
23–26 Jul | MORI | The Times | 2,13 | 51% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 23% |
22 Jul | Eddisbury by-election [22] | |||||||
9–11 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 48% | 31% | 16% | 5% | 17% |
18–21 Jun | MORI | The Times | 2,028 | 51% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 23% |
10 Jun | European Parliament election and Leeds Central by-election [23] [24] | |||||||
4–5 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 46% | 29% | 19% | 7% | 17% |
26 May – 1 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 52% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 28% |
21–24 May | MORI | The Times | 2,046 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
7–8 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 51% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 23% |
6 May | Local Elections in England and Wales, Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly elections [25] [26] [27] | |||||||
30 Apr – 1 May | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,008 | 50% | 30% | 14% | 6% | 20% |
21–28 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 52% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 23% |
23–26 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,966 | 56% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 31% |
16–17 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 52% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 23% |
30 Mar – 7 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,014 | 54% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 27% |
19–22 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,907 | 54% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 27% |
5–7 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,217 | 52% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 23% |
26 Feb – 4 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,002 | 52% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 22% |
19–22 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,907 | 51% | 30% | 14% | 6% | 21% |
5–7 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,211 | 49% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 21% |
28 Jan – 3 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,069 | 53% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 24% |
22–25 Jan | MORI | The Times | 1,930 | 56% | 24% | 14% | 6% | 32% |
6–12 Jan | NOP | Evening Standard | 1,600 | 57% | 25% | 12% | 6% | 32% |
4–6 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,017 | 52% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 23% |
30 Dec – 3 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,209 | 50% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 20% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9–15 Dec | NOP | Evening Standard | 1,600 | 55% | 27% | 12% | 7% | 28% |
11–14 Dec | MORI | The Times | 1,864 | 54% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 27% |
4–7 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,123 | 49% | 29% | 16% | 6% | 20% |
16 Nov – 2 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,021 | 55% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 26% |
20–23 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,883 | 53% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 24% |
4–6 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,210 | 51% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 24% |
29 Oct – 4 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,036 | 54% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 26% |
23–26 Oct | MORI | The Times | 1,775 | 53% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 27% |
1–4 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,120 | 51% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 22% |
24–30 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,028 | 57% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 34% |
18–21 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,789 | 56% | 24% | 15% | 5% | 32% |
4–6 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,178 | 48% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 19% |
26 Aug – 3 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,005 | 54% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 26% |
21–24 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,886 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
7–9 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,203 | 47% | 31% | 17% | 4% | 16% |
30 Jul – 5 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,003 | 53% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 25% |
17–21 Jul | MORI | The Times | 1,796 | 53% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 25% |
3–4 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,203 | 52% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 25% |
25 Jun – 1 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
25–30 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,760 | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | 29% |
24–26 Jun | MORI | The Sun | 1,000 | 51% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 23% |
25 Jun | Election to the Northern Ireland Assembly [28] | |||||||
5–6 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,201 | 51% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 22% |
28 May – 3 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 54% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 26% |
21–24 May | MORI | The Times | 1,832 | 55% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 29% |
22 May | Good Friday Agreement Referendum [29] | |||||||
15–19 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,101 | 50% | 29% | 16% | 5% | 21% |
7 May | Local elections in England and the Greater London Authority referendum [30] | |||||||
23–29 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,050 | 54% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 29% |
24–27 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,926 | 55% | 27% | 14% | 4% | 28% |
24–26 Apr | MORI | The Sun | 804 | 54% | 30% | 13% | 3% | 24% |
20–22 Apr | ICM | The Observer | 1,000 | 52% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 23% |
3–5 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,212 | 48% | 31% | 16% | 6% | 17% |
26 Mar – 1 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 985 | 54% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 28% |
20–23 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,879 | 53% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 25% |
6–8 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 46% | 33% | 17% | 5% | 13% |
26 Feb – 4 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 999 | 51% | 29% | 14% | 6% | 22% |
20–23 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,792 | 52% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 24% |
6–8 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 47% | 31% | 18% | 4% | 16% |
28 Jan – 4 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,041 | 54% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 25% |
23–26 Jan | MORI | The Times | 1,870 | 54% | 28% | 14% | 4% | 26% |
9–11 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 48% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 18% |
5–7 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,014 | 56% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 30% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12–15 Dec | MORI | The Times | 2,122 | 55% | 26% | 15% | 4% | 29% |
5–6 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 50% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 21% |
27 Nov – 3 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 57% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 36% |
21–24 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,879 | 56% | 24% | 16% | 4% | 32% |
20 Nov | By-elections in Beckenham and Winchester [31] [32] | |||||||
13–14 Nov | MORI | The Sun | 603 | 56% | 30% | 11% | 3% | 26% |
7–8 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 52% | 30% | 14% | 4% | 22% |
6 Nov | Paisley South by-election [33] | |||||||
30 Oct – 4 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,021 | 63% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 40% |
24–27 Oct | MORI | The Times | 1,772 | 60% | 24% | 12% | 4% | 36% |
6 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,211 | 59% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 36% |
25 Sep – 1 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,014 | 60% | 22% | 14% | 4% | 38% |
26–29 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,916 | 59% | 25% | 13% | 3% | 34% |
18 Sep | Welsh devolution referendum [34] | |||||||
11 Sep | Scottish devolution referendum [35] [36] | |||||||
4–8 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,206 | 60% | 24% | 10% | 6% | 36% |
27 Aug – 3 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,023 | 58% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 32% |
21–25 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,758 | 54% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 26% |
31 Jul – 6 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,203 | 58% | 25% | 12% | 4% | 33% |
31 Jul | Uxbridge by-election [37] | |||||||
25–28 Jul | MORI | The Times | 1,901 | 57% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 34% |
27–28 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 61% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 38% |
20–23 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,852 | 58% | 24% | 15% | 3% | 34% |
19 Jun | ||||||||
29 May – 4 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 996 | 59% | 23% | 13% | 5% | 36% |
21 May | Local elections in Northern Ireland [39] | |||||||
1 May | Local elections in England [40] | |||||||
1 May | 1997 general election [41] | – | 43.2% | 30.7% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | UUP | SDLP | SF | DUP | Alliance | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | 2001 general election [43] | – | 26.8% | 21% | 21.7% | 22.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | |
21 Sep 2000 | South Antrim by-election [12] | ||||||||
10–15 Jun 2001 | Ulster Marketing Survey | Belfast Telegraph | 1,031 | 25% | 25% | 16% | 14% | 5% | Tie |
25 Jun 1998 | Election to the Northern Ireland Assembly [28] | ||||||||
22 May 1998 | Good Friday Agreement Referendum [29] | ||||||||
21 May 1997 | Local elections held [39] | ||||||||
1 May 1997 | 1997 general election [44] | – | 32.7% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8% | 8.6% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | SNP | Con | Lib Dem | SSP | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | 2001 general election [46] | – | 43.3% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 23.2% | |
4–5 Jun 2001 | ICM | The Scotsman | 1,013 | 43% | 24% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 19% |
24–28 May 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,048 | 47% | 26% | 13% | 11% | 3% | 21% |
18–21 May 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 3,019 | 50% | 25% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 25% |
12–13 May 2001 | ICM | The Scotsman | 1,000 | 44% | 25% | 16% | 12% | – | 19% |
26 Apr – 2 May 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,028 | 47% | 27% | 12% | 9% | – | 20% |
22–28 Mar 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,009 | 52% | 25% | 12% | 8% | – | 27% |
8–9 Mar 2001 | ICM | News of the World | 1,000 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 11% | – | 24% |
22 Feb – 4 Mar 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 955 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 9% | – | 16% |
14–15 Feb 2001 | ICM | Scotland on Sunday | 1,003 | 42% | 22% | 16% | 10% | – | 20% |
15–31 Jan 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,014 | 46% | 28% | 13% | 11% | – | 18% |
4–9 Jan 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,025 | 46% | 28% | 13% | 9% | – | 18% |
21 Dec 2000 | Falkirk West by-election [8] | ||||||||
23–28 Nov 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,022 | 48% | 24% | 16% | 9% | – | 24% |
23 Nov | Glasgow Anniesland by-election [9] | ||||||||
22–31 Oct 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,001 | 48% | 27% | 13% | 10% | – | 21% |
21 Oct 2000 | Henry McLeish is elected leader of Scottish Labour and First Minister [47] | ||||||||
21–26 Sep 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,020 | 33% | 33% | 15% | 17% | – | Tie |
21 Sep 2000 | John Swinney is elected leader of the Scottish National Party [48] | ||||||||
18–20 Sep 2000 | ICM | The Scotsman | 1,000 | 36% | 27% | 22% | 13% | – | 9% |
18–20 Sep 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,027 | 45% | 28% | 15% | 9% | – | 17% |
27 Jul – 5 Aug 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 951 | 46% | 26% | 15% | 9% | – | 20% |
22–28 Jun 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,015 | 39% | 31% | 17% | 11% | – | 8% |
25–31 May 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 968 | 48% | 24% | 14% | 10% | – | 24% |
27 Apr – 2 May 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 999 | 44% | 26% | 17% | 9% | – | 18% |
23–28 Mar 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 991 | 40% | 29% | 16% | 11% | – | 11% |
24–29 Feb 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,030 | 45% | 27% | 15% | 10% | – | 18% |
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,008 | 49% | 24% | 14% | 11% | – | 25% |
6–13 Jan 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 978 | 50% | 27% | 12% | 9% | – | 23% |
23 Sep 1999 | Hamilton South by-election [19] | ||||||||
6 May 1999 | Local elections held and Scottish Parliament election [49] [26] | ||||||||
6 Nov 1997 | Paisley South by-election [33] | ||||||||
11 Sep 1997 | Scottish devolution referendum [35] [36] | ||||||||
1 May 1997 | 1997 general election [50] | – | 45.6% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 13% | N/A | 23.5% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | PC | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | 2001 general election [46] | – | 48.6% | 21% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 27.6% | |
Mar 2001 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,003 | 52% | 22% | 10% | 14% | 30% |
26–31 Oct 2000 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,000 | 45% | 25% | 13% | 15% | 20% |
29 Jun – 7 Jul 2000 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,000 | 51% | 25% | 9% | 13% | 26% |
23–28 Feb 2000 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,000 | 50% | 20% | 12% | 16% | 30% |
9 Feb 2000 | Rhodri Morgan is elected leader of Welsh Labour and as First Secretary [52] | |||||||
3 Feb 2000 | Ceredigion by-election [17] | |||||||
13–18 Jan 2000 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,002 | 56% | 21% | 8% | 13% | 35% |
6 May 1999 | Local elections held and Welsh Assembly election [53] [27] | |||||||
20 Feb 1999 | Alun Michael is elected leader of Welsh Labour [54] | |||||||
23–28 Feb 1999 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,015 | 54% | 20% | 9% | 16% | 34% |
Feb 1999 | NOP | Harlech Television | ? | 58% | 20% | 9% | 12% | 38% |
12–18 Feb 1999 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,002 | 62% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 47% |
19 Sep 1998 | Ron Davies is elected leader of Welsh Labour [55] | |||||||
10–15 Sep 1998 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,500 | 58% | 11% | 8% | 21% | 37% |
4–9 Jul 1998 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,000 | 62% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 46% |
18 Sep 1997 | Welsh devolution referendum [34] | |||||||
1 May 1997 | 1997 general election [50] | – | 54.7% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 35.1% |
The 1992 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 9 April 1992, to elect 651 members to the House of Commons. The governing Conservative Party led by Prime Minister John Major won a fourth consecutive election victory, with a majority of 21. This would be the last time that the Conservatives would win an overall majority at a general election until 2015 and the last general election to be held on a day which did not coincide with any local elections until 2017. This election result took many by surprise, as opinion polling leading up to the election day had shown a narrow but consistent lead for the Labour Party under leader Neil Kinnock during a period of recession and declining living standards.
Sheffield Hallam is a constituency represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2019 by Olivia Blake of the Labour Party.
The 1997 Winchester by-election was a by-election to the UK House of Commons in the constituency of Winchester, Hampshire. Winchester was initially declared to have been won by Mark Oaten with a majority of two votes at the general election on 1 May 1997, but following a legal challenge, a new election was allowed by the High Court. The by-election, held on 20 November, was won by Oaten with a majority of 21,556.
Surrey Heath is a constituency represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2024 by Al Pinkerton, a Liberal Democrat. The Home counties suburban constituency is in the London commuter belt, on the outskirts of Greater London. Surrey Heath is in the north west of Surrey and borders the counties of Berkshire and Hampshire.
The 2010 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 6 May 2010, to elect Members of Parliament to the House of Commons. The election took place in 650 constituencies across the United Kingdom under the first-past-the-post system. This was the first election held after the age of candidacy was reduced from 21 to 18. The election resulted in a large swing to the opposition Conservative Party led by David Cameron similar to that seen in 1979, the last time a Conservative opposition had ousted a Labour government. The governing Labour Party led by Prime Minister Gordon Brown lost the 66-seat majority it had previously enjoyed, but no party achieved the 326 seats needed for a majority. The Conservatives won the most votes and seats, but still fell 20 seats short. This resulted in a hung parliament where no party was able to command a majority in the House of Commons. This was only the second general election since the Second World War to return a hung parliament, the first being the February 1974 election. This election marked the start of Conservative government for the next 14 years until the July 2024 Election.
Welsh Labour, formerly known as the Labour Party in Wales, is an autonomous section of the United Kingdom Labour Party in Wales and the largest party in modern Welsh politics. Welsh Labour and its forebears have won a plurality of the Welsh vote at every UK general election since 1922, every Assembly and Senedd election since 1999, and all elections to the European Parliament in the period 1979–2004 and in 2014. Welsh Labour holds 27 of the 32 Welsh seats in the UK Parliament, 30 of the 60 seats in the Welsh Senedd and 576 of the 1,264 councillors in principal local authorities including overall control of 10 of the 22 principal local authorities.
The 2009 European Parliament election was the United Kingdom's component of the 2009 European Parliament election, the voting for which was held on Thursday 4 June 2009. The election was held concurrently with the 2009 local elections in England. In total, 72 Members of the European Parliament were elected from the United Kingdom using proportional representation.
Alun Hugh Cairns is a Welsh Conservative politician who served as the Member of Parliament (MP) for the Vale of Glamorgan from 2010 to 2024. He served as Secretary of State for Wales from 2016 to 2019.
Janet Marion Davies is a Plaid Cymru Welsh politician. She was the National Assembly for Wales Member for South Wales West from 1999 to 2007, retiring at the 2007 election.
This article lists the British National Party's election results in the UK parliamentary, Scottish parliamentary and Welsh Assembly elections, as well as in the European Parliament elections and at a local level.
The 2014 European Parliament election was the United Kingdom's component of the 2014 European Parliament election, held on Thursday 22 May 2014, coinciding with the 2014 local elections in England and Northern Ireland. In total, 73 Members of the European Parliament were elected from the United Kingdom using proportional representation. England, Scotland and Wales use a closed-list party list system of PR, while Northern Ireland used the single transferable vote (STV).
Prior to the 1997 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The 2015 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday, 7 May 2015 to elect 650 members of Parliament (MPs) to the House of Commons. The Conservative Party, led by Prime Minister David Cameron, won an unexpected majority victory of ten seats; they had been leading a coalition government with the Liberal Democrats. It was the last general election to be held before the UK voted to leave the European Union (EU) in June 2016.
Opinion polling for the 2019 general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.
In the run up to the 1992 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in the United Kingdom. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the election to 8 April.
In the run-up to the 2021 Senedd election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
A by-election was held in the UK Parliament constituency of Brecon and Radnorshire on 1 August 2019 after Chris Davies, who had held the seat for the Conservatives since the 2015 general election, was unseated by a recall petition. The by-election was won by Jane Dodds of the Liberal Democrats.
Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 12 December 2019 to the election on Thursday, 4 July 2024.
The 2019 United Kingdom general election was held on 12 December 2019 to elect all 650 members of the House of Commons, including the 40 Welsh seats.
A by-election was held in the United Kingdom Parliament constituency of Chesham and Amersham on 17 June 2021, following the death of the sitting member, Dame Cheryl Gillan, on 4 April 2021. Gillan had served as MP for the constituency since 1992. The by-election was the third to the 58th Parliament, which was elected in 2019.