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In the run up to the general election of 2001, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain (i.e. the UK excluding Northern Ireland, which is usually excluded from such voting intention surveys). Results of such polls are displayed below.
The election took place on 7 June 2001. The previous general election was held on 1 May 1997, and had seen Labour return to power with a landslide victory after 18 years, led by Tony Blair. Such was the scale of Labour's victory that it was widely accepted - even within the Conservative Party - that the next election would produce another Labour victory, with the best realistic target for other parties being to reduce the Labour majority (recognised by Cecil Parkinson on Election Night 1997 when he stated on the BBC's broadcast that it "was a two term Labour government").
The parliamentary term of 1997-2001 had seen the opinion polls led by the Labour Party, mostly with a lead in excess of 10 points, over the Conservatives (who had replaced John Major with William Hague as their new leader), apart from a brief spell in the autumn of 2000 when fuel protests threatened to bring Britain to a standstill. However, the blockades which had caused the protests were quickly resolved and Labour support recovered to the extent that Blair felt able to call an election for 3 May 2001, although the recent foot and mouth crisis meant that the election was delayed for five weeks until 7 June.
Another rare success for the Conservatives during this parliamentary term came in June 1999, when it enjoyed the largest share of the votes in the European parliament elections, with William Hague vowing to keep the pound as Britain's currency, whereas Tony Blair was refusing to rule out eventually adopting the Euro.
In the event, the election produced a low turnout (with many voters perhaps feeling that another Labour victory was inevitable) and Labour won a second successive landslide, with the British political scene remaining almost completely unchanged with only a few seats changing hands.
All polling data is from Ipsos MORI, UK polling Report and BBC News. [1] [2] [3]
Two exit polls conducted by MORI for ITV and NOP for BBC was published at the end of voting at 10 pm, predicting the number of seats for each party. [4] [5]
Parties | MORI for ITV | NOP for BBC | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Seats | Change | Seats | Change | ||
Labour Party | 417 | 2 | 408 | 11 | |
Conservative Party | 154 | 11 | 177 | 12 | |
Liberal Democrats | 58 | 12 | 44 | 2 | |
Others | 30 | 1 | 30 | 1 | |
Majority: | 175 | 157 |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun | 2001 general election [6] | – | 40.7% | 31.7% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 9% | |
6 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 2,399 | 47% | 30% | 18% | ? | 17% |
5–6 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,906 | 45% | 30% | 18% | ? | 15% |
2–4 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,009 | 43% | 32% | 19% | 6% | 11% |
2–3 Jun | ICM | Evening Standard | 1,381 | 47% | 30% | 18% | ? | 17% |
3 Jun | Rasmussen | The Independent | ? | 44% | 33% | 16% | ? | 11% |
31 May – 2 Jun | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,070 | 50% | 27% | 17% | ? | 23% |
31 May – 1 Jun | ICM | The Observer | 1,005 | 46% | 34% | 15% | ? | 12% |
31 May – 1 Jun | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,105 | 47% | 30% | 16% | ? | 17% |
30 May – 1 Jun | ICM | Channel 4 | 1,007 | 43% | 31% | 19% | ? | 12% |
29 May | MORI | The Times | 1,013 | 48% | 30% | 16% | ? | 18% |
28–29 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,462 | 47% | 31% | 16% | ? | 16% |
26–28 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 47% | 28% | 17% | 8% | 19% |
27 May | Rasmussen | The Independent | ? | 44% | 32% | 17% | ? | 12% |
24–25 May | NOP | The Sunday Times | ? | 49% | 30% | 14% | ? | 19% |
21–23 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 48% | 32% | 15% | ? | 16% |
22 May | MORI | Times | 1,066 | 52% | 27% | 16% | ? | 25% |
22 May | Rasmussen | The Independent | ? | 44% | 32% | 16% | ? | 12% |
19–21 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 45% | 32% | 17% | 7% | 13% |
20 May | Gallup | BES | ? | 55% | 25% | 14% | ? | 30% |
17–18 May | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,107 | 49% | 30% | 14% | ? | 19% |
15 May | MORI | The Times | 1,019 | 54% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 26% |
14–15 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,004 | 48% | 32% | 13% | 7% | 16% |
13–14 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,004 | 46% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 15% |
14 May | Gallup | BES | ? | 53% | 32% | 11% | ? | 21% |
10–14 May | MORI | The Economist | 1,846 | 54% | 26% | 14% | 6% | 28% |
14 May | Parliament dissolved and official campaign period begins [7] | |||||||
11–13 May | ICM | Evening Standard | 1,437 | 48% | 32% | 14% | 6% | 16% |
13 May | Rasmussen | The Independent | 1,004 | 46% | 32% | 13% | 9% | 14% |
10–12 May | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,030 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 20% |
10–11 May | ICM | The Observer | 1,011 | 48% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 16% |
10–11 May | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,003 | 49% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 17% |
2–8 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 49% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 17% |
8 May | MORI | The Times | 1,046 | 54% | 30% | 13% | ? | 24% |
4–7 May | NOP | Daily Express | 1,000 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 20% |
1–6 May | NOP | Channel 4 | 1,600 | 49% | 34% | 11% | ? | 15% |
26 Apr – 2 May | NOP | Channel 4 | ~2000 | 51% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 22% |
30 Apr – 1 May | MORI | The Sun | 1,008 | 50% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 18% |
19–24 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,935 | 50% | 30% | 13% | 7% | 20% |
20–22 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,005 | 47% | 33% | 14% | 6% | 14% |
10–12 Apr | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,003 | 53% | 29% | 12% | 6% | 24% |
4–10 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,009 | 53% | 27% | 15% | 5% | 26% |
30 Mar – 4 Apr | NOP | Channel 4 | 1,575 | 52% | 30% | 12% | 6% | 22% |
30–31 Mar | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,034 | 48% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 16% |
29–30 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 49% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 15% |
22–27 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,945 | 50% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 19% |
16–18 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,426 | 44% | 35% | 16% | 6% | 9% |
15–16 Mar | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,426 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 5% | 20% |
17 Feb – 13 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,016 | 55% | 29% | 12% | 3% | 26% |
15–20 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,900 | 50% | 30% | 14% | 5% | 20% |
16–18 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,000 | 47% | 32% | 15% | 7% | 15% |
31 Jan – 7 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,001 | 50% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 21% |
25–26 Jan | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,007 | 49% | 31% | 14% | 6% | 18% |
18–22 Jan | MORI | The Times | 2,083 | 50% | 31% | 14% | 5% | 19% |
19–21 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,004 | 44% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 10% |
10–16 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 51% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 20% |
11–13 Jan | MORI | The Sunday Telegraph | 1,007 | 52% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 21% |
11–12 Jan | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,232 | 48% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 15% |
4–6 Jan | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,005 | 46% | 35% | 14% | 5% | 11% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 Dec | Falkirk West by-election [8] | |||||||
13–15 Dec | MORI | News of the World | 1,003 | 47% | 32% | 16% | 5% | 15% |
6–13 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 47% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 15% |
7–12 Dec | MORI | The Times | 1,984 | 46% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 12% |
1–3 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,003 | 44% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 10% |
23–28 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,972 | 48% | 33% | 13% | 6% | 15% |
24–25 Nov | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,006 | 47% | 34% | 13% | 6% | 13% |
23 Nov | By-elections in Glasgow Anniesland, Preston and West Bromwich West [9] [10] [11] | |||||||
1–7 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,010 | 45% | 34% | 14% | 6% | 11% |
3–5 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,001 | 40% | 34% | 20% | 7% | 6% |
2–3 Nov | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,002 | 42% | 34% | 17% | 7% | 8% |
19–23 Oct | MORI | The Times | 2,010 | 45% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 13% |
13–16 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,001 | 40% | 35% | 19% | 6% | 5% |
11–13 Oct | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,171 | 42% | 35% | 17% | 6% | 7% |
10 Oct | MORI | Carlton TV | 1,014 | 40% | 38% | 19% | 3% | 2% |
28–30 Sep | ICM | News of the World | 1,025 | 38% | 37% | 20% | 6% | 1% |
28–30 Sep | MORI | The Sun | 1,006 | 43% | 36% | 16% | 5% | 7% |
28–29 Sep | NOP | Sunday Express | 1,002 | 43% | 37% | 13% | 7% | 6% |
Sep | NOP | Labour Party | 1,000 | ? | ? | ? | ? | 11% |
21–26 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,843 | 37% | 35% | 21% | 7% | 2% |
21 Sep | South Antrim by-election [12] | |||||||
20–26 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,002 | 39% | 36% | 20% | 5% | 3% |
21–23 Sep | NOP | Channel 4 | 1,002 | 32% | 40% | 22% | 6% | 8% |
21–22 Sep | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,014 | 35% | 39% | 21% | 5% | 4% |
14–19 Sep | MORI | Schroder Salomon Smith Barney | 1,864 | 36% | 36% | 21% | 7% | Tie |
13–19 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 35% | 40% | 16% | 9% | 5% |
15–17 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,055 | 34% | 38% | 22% | 7% | 4% |
14–16 Sep | NOP | The Sunday Times | 1,002 | 37% | 37% | 21% | 5% | Tie |
14–15 Sep | MORI | News of the World | 1,006 | 36% | 38% | 18% | 8% | 2% |
6–12 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 45% | 32% | 16% | 6% | 13% |
6–12 Sep | MORI | N/A | 2,004 | 45% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 15% |
7–14 Sep | ||||||||
31 Aug – 6 Sep | MORI | N/A | 1,818 | 48% | 32% | 13% | 5% | 16% |
17–21 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,916 | 51% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 22% |
17–18 Aug | MORI | News of the World | 1,004 | 51% | 32% | 12% | 5% | 19% |
11–13 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,050 | 44% | 34% | 17% | 8% | 10% |
2–7 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,005 | 47% | 32% | 14% | 7% | 15% |
20–24 Jul | MORI | The Times | 2,019 | 49% | 33% | 12% | 6 | 16% |
20–22 Jul | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,011 | 51% | 32% | 11% | 6% | 19% |
14–15 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,056 | 42% | 35% | 17% | 6% | 7% |
12–14 Jul | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,003 | 47% | 32% | 15% | 6% | 15% |
5–11 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,016 | 45% | 35% | 14% | 7% | 10% |
29–30 Jun | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,004 | 46% | 32% | 17% | 5% | 14% |
22–27 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,915 | 47% | 33% | 13% | 7% | 14% |
22 Jun | Tottenham by-election [14] | |||||||
23–26 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,061 | 43% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 11% |
22–23 Jun | MORI | News of the World | 1,002 | 47% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 13% |
8–9 Jun | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,008 | 41% | 38% | 16% | 5% | 3% |
31 May – 6 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,007 | 49% | 30% | 15% | 6% | 19% |
18–23 May | MORI | The Times | 1,891 | 48% | 32% | 15% | 5% | 16% |
17–19 May | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,003 | 46% | 33% | 14% | 7% | 13% |
13–15 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,003 | 41% | 34% | 18% | 7% | 7% |
3–9 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,009 | 47% | 31% | 14% | 7% | 16% |
6–7 May | ICM | Conservative Party | 1,000 | 43% | 35% | 15% | 7% | 8% |
4 May | Local elections in England and Romsey by-election [15] [16] | |||||||
13–18 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,860 | 51% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 24% |
14–15 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,203 | 45% | 32% | 15% | 8% | 13% |
5–11 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,007 | 50% | 32% | 12% | 6% | 18% |
23–28 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,728 | 50% | 29% | 14% | 7% | 21% |
17–19 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,207 | 44% | 32% | 16% | 8% | 12% |
1–7 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,018 | 51% | 31% | 11% | 6% | 20% |
17–22 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,938 | 50% | 29% | 15% | 6% | 21% |
11–13 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 44% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 15% |
2–6 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,024 | 49% | 28% | 15% | 8% | 21% |
3 Feb | Ceredigion by-election [17] | |||||||
25–27 Jan | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,007 | 49% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 20% |
20–25 Jan | MORI | The Times | 2,015 | 50% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 20% |
14–17 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,155 | 47% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 17% |
5–12 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,005 | 53% | 30% | 12% | 5% | 23% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10–14 Dec | MORI | The Times | 1,967 | 54% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 26% |
10–12 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,201 | 48% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 19% |
25 Nov – 1 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 53% | 27% | 15% | 5% | 26% |
Kensington & Chelsea by-election [18] | ||||||||
19–22 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,935 | 55% | 25% | 14% | 6% | 30% |
12–14 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,119 | 44% | 34% | 15% | 7% | 10% |
8–10 Nov | MORI | Daily Mail | 1,003 | 50% | 32% | 12% | 7% | 18% |
27 Oct – 2 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,002 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
22–26 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,084 | 45% | 32% | 17% | 6% | 13% |
22–25 Oct | MORI | The Times | 1,965 | 56% | 28% | 11% | 5% | 28% |
13–14 Oct | MORI | The Sun | 1,003 | 52% | 31% | 13% | 7% | 21% |
23–29 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,012 | 52% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 23% |
24–27 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,823 | 52% | 25% | 17% | 6% | 27% |
23 Sep | By-elections in Hamilton South and Wigan [19] [20] | |||||||
17–19 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,202 | 45% | 32% | 16% | 6% | 13% |
9–11 Sep | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,002 | 49% | 32% | 13% | 6% | 17% |
25 Aug – 1 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 52% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 25% |
20–23 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,862 | 49% | 27% | 17% | 7% | 22% |
13–15 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,204 | 48% | 30% | 16% | 6% | 18% |
9 Aug | Charles Kennedy is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats [21] | |||||||
28 Jul – 4 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,008 | 51% | 30% | 12% | 7% | 21% |
23–26 Jul | MORI | The Times | 2,13 | 51% | 28% | 14% | 7% | 23% |
22 Jul | Eddisbury by-election [22] | |||||||
9–11 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 48% | 31% | 16% | 5% | 17% |
18–21 Jun | MORI | The Times | 2,028 | 51% | 28% | 13% | 8% | 23% |
10 Jun | European Parliament election and Leeds Central by-election [23] [24] | |||||||
4–5 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 46% | 29% | 19% | 7% | 17% |
26 May – 1 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,000 | 52% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 28% |
21–24 May | MORI | The Times | 2,046 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
7–8 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 51% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 23% |
6 May | Local Elections in England and Wales, Scottish Parliament and Welsh Assembly elections [25] [26] [27] | |||||||
30 Apr – 1 May | MORI | Mail on Sunday | 1,008 | 50% | 30% | 14% | 6% | 20% |
21–28 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 52% | 29% | 13% | 7% | 23% |
23–26 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,966 | 56% | 25% | 13% | 6% | 31% |
16–17 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,205 | 52% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 23% |
30 Mar – 7 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,014 | 54% | 27% | 13% | 7% | 27% |
19–22 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,907 | 54% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 27% |
5–7 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,217 | 52% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 23% |
26 Feb – 4 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,002 | 52% | 30% | 11% | 6% | 22% |
19–22 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,907 | 51% | 30% | 14% | 6% | 21% |
5–7 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,211 | 49% | 28% | 16% | 6% | 21% |
28 Jan – 3 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,069 | 53% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 24% |
22–25 Jan | MORI | The Times | 1,930 | 56% | 24% | 14% | 6% | 32% |
6–12 Jan | NOP | Evening Standard | 1,600 | 57% | 25% | 12% | 6% | 32% |
4–6 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,017 | 52% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 23% |
30 Dec – 3 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,209 | 50% | 30% | 15% | 5% | 20% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9–15 Dec | NOP | Evening Standard | 1,600 | 55% | 27% | 12% | 7% | 28% |
11–14 Dec | MORI | The Times | 1,864 | 54% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 27% |
4–7 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,123 | 49% | 29% | 16% | 6% | 20% |
16 Nov – 2 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,021 | 55% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 26% |
20–23 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,883 | 53% | 29% | 13% | 5% | 24% |
4–6 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,210 | 51% | 27% | 17% | 5% | 24% |
29 Oct – 4 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,036 | 54% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 26% |
23–26 Oct | MORI | The Times | 1,775 | 53% | 26% | 16% | 5% | 27% |
1–4 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,120 | 51% | 29% | 15% | 5% | 22% |
24–30 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,028 | 57% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 34% |
18–21 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,789 | 56% | 24% | 15% | 5% | 32% |
4–6 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,178 | 48% | 29% | 17% | 6% | 19% |
26 Aug – 3 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,005 | 54% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 26% |
21–24 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,886 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
7–9 Aug | ICM | The Guardian | 1,203 | 47% | 31% | 17% | 4% | 16% |
30 Jul – 5 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,003 | 53% | 28% | 13% | 5% | 25% |
17–21 Jul | MORI | The Times | 1,796 | 53% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 25% |
3–4 Jul | ICM | The Guardian | 1,203 | 52% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 25% |
25 Jun – 1 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,006 | 52% | 28% | 14% | 6% | 24% |
25–30 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,760 | 56% | 27% | 13% | 4% | 29% |
24–26 Jun | MORI | The Sun | 1,000 | 51% | 28% | 15% | 6% | 23% |
25 Jun | Election to the Northern Ireland Assembly [28] | |||||||
5–6 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,201 | 51% | 29% | 16% | 4% | 22% |
28 May – 3 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 54% | 28% | 12% | 6% | 26% |
21–24 May | MORI | The Times | 1,832 | 55% | 26% | 14% | 5% | 29% |
22 May | Good Friday Agreement Referendum [29] | |||||||
15–19 May | ICM | The Guardian | 1,101 | 50% | 29% | 16% | 5% | 21% |
7 May | Local elections in England and the Greater London Authority referendum [30] | |||||||
23–29 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,050 | 54% | 25% | 16% | 4% | 29% |
24–27 Apr | MORI | The Times | 1,926 | 55% | 27% | 14% | 4% | 28% |
24–26 Apr | MORI | The Sun | 804 | 54% | 30% | 13% | 3% | 24% |
20–22 Apr | ICM | The Observer | 1,000 | 52% | 29% | 16% | 3% | 23% |
3–5 Apr | ICM | The Guardian | 1,212 | 48% | 31% | 16% | 6% | 17% |
26 Mar – 1 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 985 | 54% | 26% | 16% | 4% | 28% |
20–23 Mar | MORI | The Times | 1,879 | 53% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 25% |
6–8 Mar | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 46% | 33% | 17% | 5% | 13% |
26 Feb – 4 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 999 | 51% | 29% | 14% | 6% | 22% |
20–23 Feb | MORI | The Times | 1,792 | 52% | 28% | 15% | 5% | 24% |
6–8 Feb | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 47% | 31% | 18% | 4% | 16% |
28 Jan – 4 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,041 | 54% | 29% | 11% | 5% | 25% |
23–26 Jan | MORI | The Times | 1,870 | 54% | 28% | 14% | 4% | 26% |
9–11 Jan | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 48% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 18% |
5–7 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,014 | 56% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 30% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12–15 Dec | MORI | The Times | 2,122 | 55% | 26% | 15% | 4% | 29% |
5–6 Dec | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 50% | 29% | 17% | 4% | 21% |
27 Nov – 3 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,011 | 57% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 36% |
21–24 Nov | MORI | The Times | 1,879 | 56% | 24% | 16% | 4% | 32% |
20 Nov | By-elections in Beckenham and Winchester [31] [32] | |||||||
13–14 Nov | MORI | The Sun | 603 | 56% | 30% | 11% | 3% | 26% |
7–8 Nov | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 52% | 30% | 14% | 4% | 22% |
6 Nov | Paisley South by-election [33] | |||||||
30 Oct – 4 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,021 | 63% | 23% | 11% | 4% | 40% |
24–27 Oct | MORI | The Times | 1,772 | 60% | 24% | 12% | 4% | 36% |
6 Oct | ICM | The Guardian | 1,211 | 59% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 36% |
25 Sep – 1 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,014 | 60% | 22% | 14% | 4% | 38% |
26–29 Sep | MORI | The Times | 1,916 | 59% | 25% | 13% | 3% | 34% |
18 Sep | Welsh devolution referendum [34] | |||||||
11 Sep | Scottish devolution referendum [35] [36] | |||||||
4–8 Sep | ICM | The Guardian | 1,206 | 60% | 24% | 10% | 6% | 36% |
27 Aug – 3 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,023 | 58% | 26% | 12% | 5% | 32% |
21–25 Aug | MORI | The Times | 1,758 | 54% | 28% | 15% | 3% | 26% |
31 Jul – 6 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 1,203 | 58% | 25% | 12% | 4% | 33% |
31 Jul | Uxbridge by-election [37] | |||||||
25–28 Jul | MORI | The Times | 1,901 | 57% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 34% |
27–28 Jun | ICM | The Guardian | 1,200 | 61% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 38% |
20–23 Jun | MORI | The Times | 1,852 | 58% | 24% | 15% | 3% | 34% |
19 Jun | ||||||||
29 May – 4 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 996 | 59% | 23% | 13% | 5% | 36% |
21 May | Local elections in Northern Ireland [39] | |||||||
1 May | Local elections in England [40] | |||||||
1 May | 1997 general election [41] | – | 43.2% | 30.7% | 16.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | UUP | SDLP | SF | DUP | Alliance | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | 2001 general election [43] | – | 26.8% | 21% | 21.7% | 22.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | |
21 Sep 2000 | South Antrim by-election [12] | ||||||||
10–15 Jun 2001 | Ulster Marketing Survey | Belfast Telegraph | 1,031 | 25% | 25% | 16% | 14% | 5% | Tie |
25 Jun 1998 | Election to the Northern Ireland Assembly [28] | ||||||||
22 May 1998 | Good Friday Agreement Referendum [29] | ||||||||
21 May 1997 | Local elections held [39] | ||||||||
1 May 1997 | 1997 general election [44] | – | 32.7% | 24.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 8% | 8.6% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | SNP | Con | Lib Dem | SSP | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | 2001 general election [46] | – | 43.3% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 23.2% | |
4–5 Jun 2001 | ICM | The Scotsman | 1,013 | 43% | 24% | 14% | 14% | 4% | 19% |
24–28 May 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,048 | 47% | 26% | 13% | 11% | 3% | 21% |
18–21 May 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 3,019 | 50% | 25% | 12% | 9% | 3% | 25% |
12–13 May 2001 | ICM | The Scotsman | 1,000 | 44% | 25% | 16% | 12% | – | 19% |
26 Apr – 2 May 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,028 | 47% | 27% | 12% | 9% | – | 20% |
22–28 Mar 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,009 | 52% | 25% | 12% | 8% | – | 27% |
8–9 Mar 2001 | ICM | News of the World | 1,000 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 11% | – | 24% |
22 Feb – 4 Mar 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 955 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 9% | – | 16% |
14–15 Feb 2001 | ICM | Scotland on Sunday | 1,003 | 42% | 22% | 16% | 10% | – | 20% |
15–31 Jan 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,014 | 46% | 28% | 13% | 11% | – | 18% |
4–9 Jan 2001 | System Three | The Herald | 1,025 | 46% | 28% | 13% | 9% | – | 18% |
21 Dec 2000 | Falkirk West by-election [8] | ||||||||
23–28 Nov 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,022 | 48% | 24% | 16% | 9% | – | 24% |
23 Nov | Glasgow Anniesland by-election [9] | ||||||||
22–31 Oct 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,001 | 48% | 27% | 13% | 10% | – | 21% |
21 Oct 2000 | Henry McLeish is elected leader of Scottish Labour and First Minister [47] | ||||||||
21–26 Sep 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,020 | 33% | 33% | 15% | 17% | – | Tie |
21 Sep 2000 | John Swinney is elected leader of the Scottish National Party [48] | ||||||||
18–20 Sep 2000 | ICM | The Scotsman | 1,000 | 36% | 27% | 22% | 13% | – | 9% |
18–20 Sep 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,027 | 45% | 28% | 15% | 9% | – | 17% |
27 Jul – 5 Aug 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 951 | 46% | 26% | 15% | 9% | – | 20% |
22–28 Jun 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,015 | 39% | 31% | 17% | 11% | – | 8% |
25–31 May 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 968 | 48% | 24% | 14% | 10% | – | 24% |
27 Apr – 2 May 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 999 | 44% | 26% | 17% | 9% | – | 18% |
23–28 Mar 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 991 | 40% | 29% | 16% | 11% | – | 11% |
24–29 Feb 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,030 | 45% | 27% | 15% | 10% | – | 18% |
27 Jan – 2 Feb 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 1,008 | 49% | 24% | 14% | 11% | – | 25% |
6–13 Jan 2000 | System Three | The Herald | 978 | 50% | 27% | 12% | 9% | – | 23% |
23 Sep 1999 | Hamilton South by-election [19] | ||||||||
6 May 1999 | Local elections held and Scottish Parliament election [49] [26] | ||||||||
6 Nov 1997 | Paisley South by-election [33] | ||||||||
11 Sep 1997 | Scottish devolution referendum [35] [36] | ||||||||
1 May 1997 | 1997 general election [50] | – | 45.6% | 22.1% | 17.5% | 13% | N/A | 23.5% |
Date(s) conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | Lab | Con | Lib Dem | PC | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Jun 2001 | 2001 general election [46] | – | 48.6% | 21% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 27.6% | |
Mar 2001 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,003 | 52% | 22% | 10% | 14% | 30% |
26–31 Oct 2000 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,000 | 45% | 25% | 13% | 15% | 20% |
29 Jun – 7 Jul 2000 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,000 | 51% | 25% | 9% | 13% | 26% |
23–28 Feb 2000 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,000 | 50% | 20% | 12% | 16% | 30% |
9 Feb 2000 | Rhodri Morgan is elected leader of Welsh Labour and as First Secretary [52] | |||||||
3 Feb 2000 | Ceredigion by-election [17] | |||||||
13–18 Jan 2000 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,002 | 56% | 21% | 8% | 13% | 35% |
6 May 1999 | Local elections held and Welsh Assembly election [53] [27] | |||||||
20 Feb 1999 | Alun Michael is elected leader of Welsh Labour [54] | |||||||
23–28 Feb 1999 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,015 | 54% | 20% | 9% | 16% | 34% |
Feb 1999 | NOP | Harlech Television | ? | 58% | 20% | 9% | 12% | 38% |
12–18 Feb 1999 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,002 | 62% | 15% | 8% | 14% | 47% |
19 Sep 1998 | Ron Davies is elected leader of Welsh Labour [55] | |||||||
10–15 Sep 1998 | NOP | Harlech Television | 1,500 | 58% | 11% | 8% | 21% | 37% |
4–9 Jul 1998 | Beaufort | BBC Wales | 1,000 | 62% | 16% | 8% | 13% | 46% |
18 Sep 1997 | Welsh devolution referendum [34] | |||||||
1 May 1997 | 1997 general election [50] | – | 54.7% | 19.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 35.1% |
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