Opinion polling for the 1992 United Kingdom general election

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Contents

In the run up to the 1992 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in the United Kingdom. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the election to 8 April.

Almost every poll leading up to polling day predicted either a hung parliament with Labour the largest party, or a small Labour majority of around 19 to 23. Polls on the last few days before the country voted predicted a very slim Labour majority. [1] After the polls closed, the BBC and ITV exit polls still predicted that there would be a hung parliament and "that the Conservatives would only just get more seats than Labour". [2]

With opinion polls at the end of the campaign showing Labour and the Conservatives neck and neck, the actual election result, a small Conservative majority, was a surprise to many in the media and in polling organisations. The apparent failure of the opinion polls to come close to predicting the actual result led to an inquiry by the Market Research Society. Following the election, most opinion polling companies changed their methodology in the belief that a 'Shy Tory factor' affected the polling.

Graphical summary

UK opinion polling for the election (trendline is local regression)
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Conservative
Labour
Liberal-SDP Alliance
Liberal Democrats
SDP 1992 Election Polls.svg
UK opinion polling for the election (trendline is local regression)
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal-SDP Alliance
  Liberal Democrats
  SDP

Results

All data is from UK Polling Report. [3]

1992

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
9 Apr 1992 general election [4] 42.8%35.2%18.3%7.6%
8 AprNOPThe Independent39%42%17%3%
8 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph38.5%38%20%0.5%
8 AprMORIThe Times38%39%20%1%
7 AprICMThe Guardian38%38%20%Tie
7 AprHarrisITN38%40%18%2%
6 AprMORIYTV37%40%20%3%
4 AprHarrisDaily Express37%38%21%1%
4 AprHarrisThe Observer38%40%17%2%
3 AprNOPThe Mail on Sunday35%41%20%6%
3 AprMORIThe Sunday Times37%39%21%2%
3 AprGallupThe Sunday Telegraph37.5%37.5%21%Tie
3 AprNOPThe Independent on Sunday38%41%17%3%
3 AprICMPress Association36.2%38.7%20.4%2.5%
1 AprICMSunday Express37%39%19%2%
1 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%37.5%20.5%0.5%
31 MarNOPThe Independent37%39%19%2%
31 MarNeilsenN/A39.8%39.6%17.2%0.2%
31 MarHarrisITN35%41%19%6%
30 MarICMThe Guardian37%41%18%4%
30 MarHarrisDaily Express40%39%17%1%
29 MarMORIThe Times35%42%19%7%
28 MarAudience SelectionN/A37%39%19%2%
28 MarNOPThe Independent on Sunday39%40%16%1%
27 MarNOPThe Mail on Sunday37%41%18%4%
27 MarMORIThe Sunday Times38%40%20%2%
27 MarHarrisThe Observer40%38%17%2%
25 MarICMSunday Express36%38%20%2%
25 MarNOPThe Independent39%42%14%3%
24 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%40.5%16.5%0.5%
24 MarMORIN/A38%41%17%3%
24 MarICMThe Guardian39%40%17%1%
23 MarNMREUR38%39%19%1%
23 MarHarrisDaily Express43%38%15%5%
23 MarHarrisITN38%42%16%4%
21 MarMORIThe Times38%41%17%3%
21 MarNOPThe Independent on Sunday38%40%16%2%
20 MarNOPThe Mail on Sunday39%41%15%2%
20 MarMORIThe Sunday Times38%41%19%3%
20 MarHarrisThe Observer40%39%17%1%
18 MarICMSunday Express37%42%16%5%
18 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%38.5%18%2%
17 MarNOPThe Independent38%42%17%4%
16 MarICMThe Guardian38%43%16%5%
16 MarHarrisDaily Express41%38%17%3%
13 MarMORIThe Times38%43%16%5%
13 MarHarrisDaily Express39%40%16%1%
13 MarHarrisLondon Weekend Television37%41%17%4%
13 MarMORIThe Sunday Times40%39%16%1%
13 MarNOPThe Independent on Sunday40%41%14%1%
12 MarICMSunday Express39%40%16%1%
12 MarMORIThe Times38%41%16%3%
12 MarHarrisThe Observer40%43%12%3%
11 MarGallupN/A41%38.5%15%2.5%
10 MarNOPThe Mail on Sunday41%40%15%1%
7 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph37%38%20%1%
7 MarNOPThe Mail on Sunday38%41%16%3%
6 MarICMThe Guardian39%42%15%3%
2 MarHarrisThe Observer39%40%14%1%
25 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph38.5%38.5%18.5%Tie
25 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph37%37.5%20%0.5%
23 FebMORIThe Sunday Times39%40%18%1%
22 FebAudience SelectionN/A36%38%18%2%
18 FebICMDaily Mail38%41%17%3%
17 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph39%37%19%2%
14 FebNOPThe Independent38%42%15%4%
13 FebICMSunday Express40%39%16%1%
11 FebHarrisThe Observer39%40%15%1%
8 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%37.5%17.5%2.5%
7 FebICMThe Guardian40%40%16%Tie
6 FebNOPThe Independent on Sunday38%42%15%4%
3 FebHarrisDaily Express39%40%17%1%
28 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph42.5%37.5%14%5%
26 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%39.5%17.5%1.5%
25 JanAudience SelectionN/A40%40%15%Tie
23 JanICMDaily Mail41%40%13%1%
21 JanHarrisDaily Express41%40%14%1%
21 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph40%38%16.5%2%
17 JanMORIThe Sunday Times42%39%16%3%
16 JanICMSunday Express41%42%14%1%
13 JanHarrisThe Observer42%43%13%1%
13 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%37.5%16%4.5%
11 JanNOPThe Independent40%43%13%3%
8 JanICMThe Guardian42%41%12%1%
8 JanNOPThe Independent on Sunday40%45%12%5%

1991

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Dem Lead
27 DecMORIThe Sunday Times38%44%14%6%
15 DecGallupThe Sunday Telegraph42%41.5%13%0.5%
13 DecNOPThe Independent on Sunday41%40%14%1%
7 DecICMThe Guardian39%42%14%3%
5 DecMORIThe Times40%43%12%3%
2 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%37%19%2.5%
2 DecAudience SelectionN/A39%40%16%1%
25 NovMORIThe Sunday Times40%42%15%2%
25 NovNOPThe Independent40%41%15%1%
23 NovMORIThe Sunday Times41%43%13%2%
23 NovICMDaily Mail39%41%16%2%
14 NovHarrisThe Observer39%44%13%5%
9 NovICMThe Guardian41%43%13%2%
7 Nov Hemsworth, Kincardine and Deeside and Langbaurgh by-elections
4 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%44%15.5%8%
1 NovMORIThe Sunday Times42%41%13%1%
28 OctAudience SelectionN/A37%42%16%5%
27 OctHarrisThe Observer39%45%12%6%
26 OctICMDaily Mail40%42%13%2%
21 OctMORIThe Sunday Times39%45%12%6%
21 OctNOPThe Independent39%45%12%6%
17 OctHarrisThe Observer39%46%12%7%
12 OctICMThe Guardian41%43%12%2%
5 OctNOPThe Independent on Sunday39%46%13%7%
4 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%41.5%15%2%
3 OctICMPress Association40%42%13%2%
30 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%38%15%4%
30 SepAudience SelectionN/A41%37%14%4%
28 SepICMDaily Mail40%42%14%2%
26 SepHarrisThe Observer40%41%13%1%
26 SepNOPThe Mail on Sunday40%39%16%1%
24 SepMORIThe Sunday Times39%39%17%Tie
23 SepGallupThe Sunday Telegraph40%38.5%16%1.5%
23 SepNOPThe Independent39%42%14%3%
20 SepMORIN/A39%43%14%4%
14 SepICMThe Guardian39%39%17%Tie
13 SepICMSunday Express41%37%17%4%
12 SepHarrisThe Observer43%38%16%5%
7 SepNOPThe Independent on Sunday41%39%15%2%
2 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%35%19.5%4.5%
27 AugMORIThe Sunday Times42%40%14%2%
24 AugICMDaily Mail40%43%12%3%
19 AugNOPThe Independent38%44%12%6%
15 AugHarrisThe Observer40%41%14%1%
10 AugICMThe Guardian36%45%16%9%
5 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%41%16.5%5%
1 AugAudience SelectionN/A39%40%15%1%
29 JulAudience SelectionN/A35%43%15%8%
24 JulICMDaily Express38%44%13%6%
22 JulMORIN/A38%43%15%5%
20 JulICMDaily Mail37%44%16%7%
18 JulHarrisThe Observer39%42%14%3%
15 JulNOPThe Independent39%43%13%4%
6 JulICMThe Guardian37%43%16%6%
4 Jul Liverpool Walton by-election
1 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph37%40.5%17%3.5%
27 JunNOPThe Mail on Sunday41%42%13%1%
24 JunMORIN/A39%41%15%2%
21 JunICMDaily Mail35%44%17%9%
21 JunMORISunday Express39%38%17%1%
17 JunNOPThe Independent37%45%14%8%
13 JunHarrisThe Observer35%45%16%10%
8 JunICMThe Guardian34%44%17%10%
3 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph33.5%41.5%21%8%
2 JunHarrisTV-AM36%43%15%7%
1 JunNMRThe Independent on Sunday37%43%16%6%
1 JunAudience SelectionN/A41%42%13%1%
28 MayMORIThe Sunday Times37%43%16%6%
25 MayICMDaily Mail37%41%16%4%
20 MayNOPThe Independent36%44%15%8%
18 MayAudience SelectionN/A39%39%19%Tie
16 MayHarrisThe Observer38%42%16%4%
16 May Monmouth by-election
11 MayICMThe Guardian37%43%16%6%
6 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph38.5%38%18%0.5%
2 May 1991 local elections [5]
29 AprAudience SelectionN/A43%38%14%5%
27 AprNMRThe Independent on Sunday47%37%14%10%
27 AprICMDaily Mail39%41%14%2%
26 AprHarrisSunday Express41%41%14%Tie
26 AprGallupThe Sunday Telegraph42%39%14%3%
22 AprMORIThe Sunday Times42%40%15%2%
22 AprNOPThe Independent41%41%13%Tie
18 AprHarrisThe Observer40%40%14%Tie
6 AprICMThe Guardian39%43%13%4%
4 Apr Neath by-election
3 AprICMDaily Express38%40%19%2%
30 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph39.5%34.5%18%5%
25 MarMORIThe Sunday Times40%40%16%Tie
24 MarICMDaily Mail41%40%15%1%
22 MarMORISunday Express38%44%15%6%
21 MarICMDaily Express37%40%14%3%
14 MarHarrisThe Observer40%39%17%1%
12 MarAudience SelectionN/A44%32%19%12%
11 MarNOPThe Independent38%39%18%1%
9 MarICMThe Guardian39%40%16%1%
8 MarMORISunday Express41%37%16%4%
7 Mar Ribble Valley by-election
5 MarNOPN/A43%38%11%5%
4 MarHarrisThe Observer47%39%9%8%
1 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph45%36.5%13%8.5%
25 FebMORIThe Sunday Times44%41%11%3%
23 FebICMDaily Mail44%43%9%1%
16 FebNMRThe Independent on Sunday47%40%8%7%
14 FebHarrisThe Observer46%42%8%4%
13 FebNOPThe Independent45%42%9%3%
9 FebICMThe Guardian44%42%9%2%
4 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%42.5%10%0.5%
4 FebAudience SelectionN/A46%39%8%7%
3 FebHarrisThe Observer47%39%9%8%
28 JanAudience SelectionN/A51%34%8%17%
21 JanMORIThe Sunday Times46%41%9%5%
17 JanHarrisThe Observer46%41%9%5%
14 JanNOPThe Independent43%44%8%1%
12 JanICMThe Guardian43%43%10%Tie
11 JanHarrisITN47%41%7%6%
10 JanMORIThe Times44%42%11%2%
7 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph43%41.5%10%1.5%
6 JanAudience SelectionN/A39%43%11%4%

1990

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Dem SDP Lead
28 DecMORIThe Sunday Times41%45%9%4%
13 DecHarrisThe Observer44%40%10%4%
10 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph43%40.5%10.5%2.5%
10 DecNOPThe Independent47%42%7%5%
8 DecICMThe Guardian45%43%9%2%
3 DecAudience SelectionN/A49%36%9%13%
1 DecNMRThe Independent on Sunday48%40%8%8%
29 Nov Paisley North & Paisley South by-elections
28 NovHarrisITN49%38%9%11%
27 Nov John Major is elected leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister [6]
26 NovAudience SelectionN/A44%37%12%7%
26 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph44%41%10%3%
26 NovNOPThe Independent49%38%9%11%
23 NovGallupThe Sunday Telegraph43%41.5%11%1.5%
23 NovICMThe Sunday Correspondent46%40%10%6%
22 Nov Margaret Thatcher resigns as Prime Minister [7]
19 NovMORIThe Sunday Times38%46%12%8%
19 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%44.5%10.5%8.5%
19 NovNOPThe Independent40%45%11%5%
18 NovGallupThe Sunday Telegraph35%48%11%13%
17 NovNMRThe Independent on Sunday42%44%11%2%
16 NovMORIThe Sunday Times37%48%11%11%
16 NovICMThe Sunday Correspondent37%49%9%12%
15 NovHarrisITN34%49%13%15%
15 NovHarrisThe Observer34%49%13%15%
15 NovMORIThe Times41%45%10%4%
14 NovNOPThe Independent32%46%15%14%
10 NovICMThe Guardian33%49%13%16%
8 Nov Bootle & Bradford North by-elections
3 NovNMRThe Independent on Sunday32%49%13%17%
3 NovNOPThe Mail on Sunday30%51%12%21%
29 OctAudience SelectionN/A36%40%13%4%
29 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph31.5%46%15.5%14.5%
28 OctHarrisThe Observer32%48%14%16%
27 OctICMThe Sunday Correspondent34%44%14%10%
22 OctMORIThe Sunday Times33%49%14%16%
22 OctNOPThe Independent35%45%15%10%
18 Oct Eastbourne by-election
13 OctICMThe Guardian36%49%9%13%
1 OctGallupThe Sunday Telegraph31.5%46%14%14.5%
29 SepNMRThe Independent on Sunday33%52%10%19%
27 Sep Knowsley South by-election
24 SepMORIThe Sunday Times38%45%12%7%
24 SepNOPThe Independent39%44%12%5%
22 SepICMThe Sunday Correspondent35%44%12%9%
20 SepHarrisThe Observer38%46%10%8%
8 SepICMThe Guardian37%50%8%13%
8 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph31.5%46%14%14.5%
3 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph35.5%48%8.5%12.5%
3 SepAudience SelectionN/A38%45%6%7%
1 SepAudience SelectionN/A32%45%15%13%
25 AugICMThe Sunday Correspondent37%51%6%14%
23 AugHarrisThe Observer38%46%10%8%
20 AugMORIThe Sunday Times35%50%10%15%
13 AugNOPThe Independent36%48%7%12%
11 AugICMThe Guardian38%49%9%11%
30 JulAudience SelectionN/A35%46%9%11%
30 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph33.5%48%11.5%14.5%
23 JulMORIThe Sunday Times38%46%10%8%
21 JulICMThe Sunday Correspondent36%52%7%16%
19 JulHarrisThe Observer37%49%7%12%
16 JulNOPThe Independent37%50%7%13%
7 JulICMThe Guardian35%51%8%16%
2 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph36%47%9%11%
2 JulAudience SelectionN/A39%44%7%5%
23 JunICMThe Sunday Correspondent36%53%5%17%
21 JunHarrisThe Observer37%48%8%11%
18 JunNOPThe Independent37%48%8%11%
18 JunMORIThe Sunday Times38%49%8%11%
9 JunICMThe Guardian35%54%5%19%
8 JunNMRThe Independent on Sunday36%49%9%13%
4 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph29.5%53%7.5%2.5%23.5%
28 MayAudience SelectionN/A37%47%5%3%10%
26 MayICMThe Sunday Correspondent36%50%5%1%14%
24 MayHarrisThe Observer32%50%9%1%18%
24 May Bootle by-election
21 MayNOPThe Independent34%49%8%2%15%
21 MayMORIThe Sunday Times35%48%8%4%13%
17 May Upper Bann by-election
12 MayICMThe Guardian32%50%8%4%18%
4 MayNOPThe Mail on Sunday34%47%8%3%13%
3 May 1990 local elections [8]
30 AprAudience SelectionN/A32%49%6%4%17%
30 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph32%47%7.5%4%15%
28 AprNOPThe Independent on Sunday31%51%7%3%20%
28 AprICMThe Sunday Correspondent30%53%8%2%23%
24 AprMORIThe Sunday Times31%54%6%3%23%
22 AprNOPThe Independent29%54%7%3%25%
19 AprHarrisThe Observer32%54%7%1%22%
7 AprNMRThe Independent on Sunday30%54%5%4%24%
7 AprICMThe Guardian32%56%4%2%24%
6 AprICMN/A32%54%5%2%22%
2 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph28%52.5%7.5%3.5%24.5%
26 MarAudience SelectionN/A30%51%6%3%21%
24 MarNOPThe Independent on Sunday33%52%6%3%19%
23 MarICMN/A28%55%7%2%27%
22 MarHarrisThe Observer29%57%6%3%28%
22 Mar Mid Staffordshire by-election
20 MarMORIThe Sunday Times31%54%6%2%23%
12 MarNOPThe Independent33%51%6%3%18%
10 MarICMThe Guardian31%52%5%4%21%
26 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph31%49.5%7%3.5%18.5%
26 FebAudience SelectionN/A34%46%7%3%12%
24 FebICMN/A33%52%6%3%19%
22 FebHarrisThe Observer36%48%8%2%12%
19 FebMORIThe Sunday Times34%51%5%4%17%
12 FebNOPThe Independent36%48%6%3%12%
10 FebICMThe Guardian36%51%5%3%15%
29 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph32.5%48%8%3%15.5%
29 JanAudience SelectionN/A38%47%5%4%9%
27 JanICMN/A37%48%4%3%11%
25 JanHarrisThe Observer36%49%6%2%13%
22 JanMORIThe Sunday Times36%48%5%3%12%
18 JanHarrisThe Observer37%48%6%3%11%
15 JanNOPThe Independent40%44%7%4%
13 JanICMThe Guardian38%47%5%3%9%
8 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%45.5%7.5%3.5%10.5%

1989

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab Lib Dem SDP Lead
28 DecMORIThe Sunday Times39%46%6%3%7%
18 DecAudience SelectionN/A40%42%6%4%2%
17 DecICMThe Sunday Correspondent38%49%4%3%11%
14 DecHarrisThe Observer39%46%6%1%7%
8 DecICMThe Guardian37%49%4%3%12%
4 DecNOPN/A38%45%7%7%
4 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph37.5%43.5%9%3%6%
27 NovMORIN/A42%46%5%3%4%
27 NovAudience SelectionN/A37%44%4%3%7%
26 NovMORIThe Sunday Times37%51%4%3%14%
25 NovICMThe Sunday Correspondent38%48%3%4%10%
23 NovHarrisThe Observer36%47%9%1%11%
13 NovNOPN/A34%46%9%12%
11 NovICMThe Guardian36%49%6%3%13%
31 OctHarrisBBC37%50%6%2%13%
30 OctAudience SelectionN/A33%50%4%2%17%
30 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%44%8%2.5%9%
29 OctMORIThe Sunday Times39%46%0%7%
28 OctNOPThe Mail on Sunday41%47%6%6%
23 OctMORIThe Sunday Times38%48%5%3%10%
21 OctICMThe Sunday Correspondent35%50%4%3%15%
19 OctHarrisThe Observer38%48%6%1%10%
9 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph38%47.5%4.5%2.5%9.5%
7 OctICMThe Guardian39%49%4%2%10%
5 OctHarrisThe Observer38%49%5%2%11%
4 OctNOPEvening Standard37%46%5%9%
3 OctICMPress Association37%45%4%3%8%
3 OctAudience SelectionN/A37%39%6%3%2%
2 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph35%41.5%8.5%5%6.5%
28 SepHarrisThe Observer38%45%5%3%7%
26 SepMORIThe Sunday Times38%43%6%3%5%
25 SepGallupThe Sunday Telegraph36.5%42%7.5%2%5.5%
25 SepNOPThe Mail on Sunday34%46%7%12%
23 SepICMThe Sunday Correspondent39%45%4%2%6%
20 SepHarrisThe Observer39%42%6%3%3%
14 SepHarrisThe Observer37%45%6%3%8%
9 SepICMThe Guardian36%46%7%4%10%
4 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph36.5%43%6.5%3%6.5%
4 SepNOPThe Independent38%40%8%2%4%
28 AugAudience SelectionN/A37%42%5%4%5%
26 AugICMThe Sunday Correspondent38%46%6%3%8%
24 AugHarrisThe Observer37%45%7%2%8%
21 AugNOPN/A40%41%7%1%1%
21 AugMORIThe Sunday Times40%45%4%3%5%
12 AugICMThe Guardian36%44%6%3%8%
31 JulAudience SelectionN/A38%41%4%5%3%
26 JulMORIThe Sunday Times36%45%4%4%9%
20 JulHarrisThe Observer37%44%6%3%7%
10 JulNOPN/A36%42%7%2%6%
8 JulICMThe Guardian38%42%5%4%4%
7 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph34%44.5%5.5%4.5%10.5%
3 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph34%47%6%3.5%13%
3 JulAudience SelectionN/A35%43%4%3%8%
27 JunMORIThe Sunday Times37%47%4%3%10%
22 JunHarrisThe Observer34%48%6%2%14%
15 Jun Glasgow Central & Vauxhall by-elections
15 Jun 1989 European Parliament election [9]
12 JunNOPN/A40%42%8%4%2%
10 JunICMThe Guardian38%42%8%4%4%
10 JunMORIThe Times39%44%7%4%5%
5 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph36.5%43.5%8%3%7%
29 MayAudience SelectionN/A41%45%6%4%4%
23 MayHarrisThe Observer46%41%7%2%5%
22 MayNOPN/A42%41%8%3%1%
22 MayMORIThe Sunday Times41%43%7%4%2%
17 May 1989 Northern Ireland local elections
13 MayICMThe Guardian43%43%8%3%Tie
4 May Vale of Glamorgan by-election [10]
4 May 1989 local elections [11]
1 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%37.5%10%7%3%
30 AprAudience SelectionN/A42%38%7%9%4%
24 AprNOPN/A43%37%9%4%6%
24 AprMORIThe Sunday Times41%41%9%6%Tie
20 AprHarrisThe Observer42%39%11%4%3%
8 AprICMThe Guardian44%40%7%6%4%
3 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph37.5%40%10%8%2.5%
27 MarMORIThe Times43%39%8%6%4%
23 MarHarrisThe Observer41%41%9%3%Tie
20 MarNOPN/A42%37%0%5%
19 MarMORIThe Sunday Times41%40%9%6%1%
19 MarMORIThe Sunday Times44%40%6%6%4%
13 MarICMThe Guardian41%39%8%7%2%
5 MarMORIBBC41%37%9%4%4%
28 FebMORIN/A42%41%8%4%1%
28 FebMORIThe Sunday Times42%39%9%7%3%
27 FebAudience SelectionN/A44%35%7%11%9%
27 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph37.5%37.5%11.5%8.5%Tie
23 FebHarrisThe Observer41%42%10%3%1%
23 Feb Pontypridd & Richmond by-elections
20 FebNOPN/A41%37%11%4%4%
20 FebGallupThe Sunday Telegraph39%39%11%5%Tie
13 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%39%11.5%4.5%1.5%
11 FebICMThe Guardian42%39%7%7%3%
30 JanMORIThe Sunday Times47%36%8%5%11%
30 JanAudience SelectionN/A44%39%8%5%5%
29 JanHarrisBBC50%37%6%13%
23 JanNOPN/A46%34%10%3%12%
19 JanHarrisThe Observer47%37%10%4%10%
16 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph42.5%34%14%5.5%8.5%
16 JanICMThe Guardian44%40%8%4%4%
15 JanHarris/Channel 4N/A44%41%10%3%

1988

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab SLD SDP Lead
31 DecAudience SelectionN/A45%37%8%6%8%
29 DecMORIThe Sunday Times46%36%6%7%10%
15 Dec Epping Forest by-election
12 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph43%32%13%6.5%11%
6 DecMarplanThe Guardian45%39%8%4%6%
2 DecNOPN/A41%36%11%4%5%
30 NovMORIThe Sunday Times45%37%8%6%8%
30 NovMORIN/A44%39%8%6%5%
28 NovAudience SelectionN/A40%39%9%6%1%
24 NovHarrisThe Observer44%39%9%3%5%
14 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph42.5%36%12.5%4.5%6.5%
10 Nov Glasgow Govan by-election
7 NovNOPN/A45%36%10%4%9%
7 NovMarplanThe Guardian42%42%8%5%Tie
31 OctMORIThe Sunday Times44%39%8%6%5%
31 OctAudience SelectionN/A46%35%7%6%11%
24 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph45.5%34%12.5%5%11.5%
20 OctHarrisThe Observer49%40%7%2%9%
12 OctNOPN/A46%36%9%4%10%
11 OctMarplanN/A45%40%8%2%5%
11 OctMarplanThe Guardian44%40%7%5%4%
10 OctMORIN/A46%39%8%4%7%
29 SepHarrisTV-AM48%36%11%2%12%
26 SepMORIThe Sunday Times44%39%8%6%5%
22 SepHarrisThe Observer47%38%8%5%9%
14 SepMarplanThe Guardian44%42%9%3%2%
14 SepNOPN/A46%38%8%3%8%
12 SepAudience SelectionN/A42%40%8%6%2%
12 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph43%36.5%12.5%5%6.5%
22 AugMORIThe Sunday Times50%36%8%4%14%
15 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph45.5%33.5%10.5%6.5%12.5%
9 AugMarplanThe Guardian45%41%7%4%4%
29 Jul Paddy Ashdown is elected leader of the Social and Liberal Democrats [12] [13]
25 JulNOPN/A46%36%10%4%10%
25 JulMORIThe Sunday Times46%41%8%4%5%
21 JulHarrisThe Observer46%41%9%3%5%
18 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph41.5%39%9%7%2.5%
14 Jul Kensington by-election
12 JulMarplanThe Guardian45%43%6%4%2%
11 JulMORIN/A48%38%7%5%10%
3 JulHarrisTV-AM47%38%9%3%9%
28 JunMORIThe Sunday Times48%38%7%5%10%
28 JunAudience SelectionN/A45%38%8%5%7%
27 JunNOPN/A49%34%10%4%15%
23 JunHarrisThe Observer48%36%9%3%12%
13 JunGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%43%7%4%1%
11 JunMORIN/A47%40%7%4%7%
7 JunMarplanThe Guardian47%42%5%3%5%
4 JunHarrisTV-AM43%40%12%2%3%
1 JunMORIThe Sunday Times44%40%7%6%4%
29 MayAudience SelectionN/A40%43%6%8%3%
23 MayNOPN/A47%37%8%4%10%
19 MayHarrisThe Observer44%41%10%2%3%
16 MayGallupThe Daily Telegraph45%36%8.5%6%9%
10 MayMarplanThe Guardian44%42%7%4%1%
5 May 1988 local elections [14]
2 MayHarrisTV-AM43%38%11%5%
26 AprMORIThe Sunday Times44%42%6%5%1%
21 AprHarrisThe Observer44%39%10%5%5%
18 AprGallupThe Daily Telegraph40.5%41.5%11%4%1%
12 AprMarplanThe Guardian43%42%8%5%1%
11 AprNOPN/A45%36%15%9%
28 MarMORIThe Sunday Times46%37%8%6%9%
24 MarHarrisThe Observer46%39%11%1%7%
21 MarGallupThe Daily Telegraph42%36.5%13%6.5%5.5%
20 MarMORIN/A46%39%6%7%7%
13 MarAudience SelectionN/A45%40%11%5%
8 MarMarplanThe Guardian43%42%14%1%
3 MarThe Liberal Party and the SDP merge to form the Social and Liberal Democrats [15]
3 MarHarrisThe Observer47%36%12%2%11%
1 MarMORIThe Sunday Times46%38%14%8%
29 FebHarrisN/A44%43%12%1%
15 FebGallupThe Daily Telegraph46%36%15%10%
14 FebAudience SelectionN/A45%41%11%4%
9 FebMarplanThe Guardian45%41%8%4%4%
8 FebNOPN/A45%37%14%8%
26 JanMORIThe Sunday Times50%36%12%14%
18 JanGallupThe Daily Telegraph45.5%37%15%7.5%
11 JanNOPN/A47%35%16%12%
11 JanMarplanThe Guardian42%40%17%2%

1987

Survey
end date
PollsterClient Con Lab All Lead
30 DecMORIThe Sunday Times48%36%15%12%
14 DecNOPN/A47%35%15%12%
8 DecMarplanThe Guardian47%37%13%10%
7 DecGallupThe Daily Telegraph46.5%34.5%16%12%
30 NovNOPN/A49%34%15%15%
25 NovMORIThe Sunday Times50%38%11%12%
16 NovGallupThe Daily Telegraph46.5%33%17%13.5%
3 NovNOPN/A45%36%15%9%
26 OctMORIThe Sunday Times47%37%14%10%
19 OctGallupThe Daily Telegraph52%31.5%13.5%20.5%
19 OctMORIN/A50%34%14%16%
13 OctMarplanThe Guardian45%39%13%6%
30 SepMORIThe Sunday Times49%36%12%13%
28 SepNOPN/A50%34%13%16%
21 SepGallupThe Sunday Telegraph48%35.5%14%12.5%
20 SepHarrisThe Observer47%35%16%12%
7 SepGallupThe Daily Telegraph44%33%20%11%
3 SepNOPN/A49%33%16%16%
26 AugMORIThe Sunday Times48%36%14%12%
24 AugNOPN/A48%33%17%15%
17 AugGallupThe Daily Telegraph45.5%35.5%17.5%10%
28 JulMORIThe Sunday Times49%33%17%16%
16 JulHarrisThe Observer48%33%17%15%
13 JulGallupThe Daily Telegraph44.5%33%20.5%11.5%
2 JulHarrisTV-AM42%36%20%6%
1 JulMORIThe Sunday Times49%31%17%18%
29 JunNOPN/A42%33%23%9%
11 Jun 1987 general election 43.3%31.5%23.1%11.8%

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