Opinion polling for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election

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In the run-up to the 2011 Scottish Parliament election, several polling organisations carried out public opinion polling in regards to voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed below. The first figure for each party is for the 1st, first-past-the-post (constituency) vote; the second figure is for the 2nd, proportional representation (regional) vote.

Contents

ARPO, ICM, Ipsos MORI, Populus, TNS-BMRB (formerly TNS System Three) and YouGov were members of the British Polling Council, and abided by its disclosure rules. Progressive Partnership-Scottish Opinion and Panelbase, although members of the Market Research Society, were not members of the BPC and did not publish detailed methodology and findings.

Graphical summary

The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Average 30-day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 30 January 2009 to 4 May 2011 Opinion polling for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election.png
Average 30-day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 30 January 2009 to 4 May 2011

Constituency vote

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election (constituency vote).png

Poll results

Constituency vote (FPTP)
Firm/ClientSurvey end date SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Others
2011 Scottish Parliament election45.39%31.69%13.91%7.93%1.8%
YouGov 4 May 201142%35%11%8%
TNS-BMRB/STV 3 May 201145%27%15%10%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 29 April 201142%34%12%7%5%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 21 April 201145%32%10%8%4%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 15 April 201140%37%11%8%4%
Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail 9 April 201146%36%9%6%
panelbase/The Sunday Times 4 April 201137%37%13%8%
YouGov/The Scotsman (tables) 28 March 201140%39%11%5%5%
TNS-BMRB/STV 27 March 201137%38%15%7%3%
YouGov 18 March 201138%41%10%6%5%
ICM/SNP 15 March 201135%39%12%10%-
Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday 13 March 201137%43%11%5%4%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 2 March 201129%44%12%11%-
YouGov/Greens 22 February 201132%41%15%8%4%
Ipsos MORI 14 February 201137%36%13%10%4%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 10 January 201133%49%9%7%2%
Ipsos MORI 26 November 201031%41%13%11%5%
YouGov/Scotsman 21 October 201034%40%14%8%5%
YouGov/Mail on Sunday 3 September 201029%39%16%11%5%
TNS-BMRB 31 August 201032%42%12%12%2%
Ipsos MORI 19 August 201034%37%11%13%4%
YouGov/SNP 18 August 201035%36%14%12%3%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 August 201032%46%10%11%2%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 1 June 201029%45%13%11%2%
YouGov/Scotsman 4 May 201034%31%14%17%4%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 30 April 201031%33%13%18%5%
Populus/Times 26 April 201031%30%12%23%4%
YouGov/Sky News 23 April 201034%31%12%19%5%
ARPO/Greens 19 April 201027%31%19%19%4%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 16 April 201030%34%14%16%5%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 March 201034%31%14%14%7%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 February 201028%33%16%16%6%
Ipsos MORI 21 February 201036%29%14%15%6%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 4 February 201035%37%13%12%3%
YouGov/SNP 13 January 201035%32%14%13%7%
Ipsos MORI 23 November 200936%32%12%12%8%
YouGov/Daily Telegraph 20 November 200932%33%14%15%6%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 November 200940%32%13%11%5%
YouGov/Greens 28 October 200934%31%16%14%5%
YouGov/SNP 2 September 200936%28%16%14%7%
Ipsos MORI/Holyrood Magazine 31 August 200938%25%15%15%6%
YouGov/Mail on Sunday 28 August 200934%27%16%16%6%
YouGov/Daily Mail 26 August 200933%31%16%16%5%
TNS-BMRB/STV 29 June 200939%32%12%11%7%
YouGov/Sunday Times 4 June 200939%26%14%14%7%
TNS System Three/Sunday Herald 28 April 200932%36%19%9%4%
YouGov/SNP 22 April 200937%30%15%13%5%
YouGov/Sunday Times 13 March 200935%34%14%12%4%
YouGov/Sunday Times 30 January 200938%32%13%12%5%
2007 Scottish Parliament election32.9%32.2%16.6%16.2%

Regional vote

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2011 Scottish Parliament election (regional vote).png

Poll results

Regional vote (AMS)
Firm/ClientSurvey end date SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Green Others
2011 Scottish Parliament election44.04%26.31%12.36%5.2%4.38%
YouGov 4 May 201135%32%13%7%6%3%
TNS-BMRB/STV 3 May 201138%25%16%9%8%4%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 29 April 201135%33%12%6%7%7%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 21 April 201139%29%12%7%7%5%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 15 April 201135%33%12%7%6%7%
Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail 9 April 201138%37%10%9%5%
panelbase/Sunday Times 4 April 201137%32%11%7%5%
YouGov/Scotsman (tables) 28 March 201132%39%12%5%6%6%
TNS-BMRB/STV 27 March 201135%35%14%8%5%3%
YouGov 18 March 201132%39%11%6%5%7%
ICM/SNP 15 March 201134%37%13%9%4%7%
Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday 13 March 201137%44%11%4%2%2%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 2 March 201129%39%11%10%6%5%
YouGov/Greens 22 February 201126%40%15%7%6%5%
Ipsos MORI 14 February 201135%33%13%10%6%3%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 10 January 201133%47%9%7%3%2%
Ipsos MORI 26 November 201032%36%12%8%-10%
YouGov/Scotsman 21 October 201031%36%15%8%6%4%
YouGov/Mail on Sunday 3 September 201026%36%15%12%6%5%
TNS-BMRB 31 August 201030%42%11%12%3%3%
Ipsos MORI 19 August 201029%38%12%12%--
TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 August 201030%42%11%12%3%2%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 1 June 201028%41%12%12%4%3%
YouGov/Scotsman 4 May 201029%30%15%16%5%5%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 30 April 201026%32%15%17%6%5%
Populus/Times 26 April 201029%30%12%22%3%3%
YouGov/Sky News 23 April 201029%28%13%18%6%6%
ARPO/Greens 19 April 201027%21%15%21%8%7%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 16 April 201027%31%15%17%5%5%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 March 201030%31%14%13%5%7%
YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 February 201026%31%17%14%7%6%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 4 February 201030%37%12%12%5%3%
YouGov/Daily Telegraph 20 November 200929%30%14%14%6%8%
TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 November 200937%29%12%12%4%6%
YouGov/Greens 28 October 200929%29%16%14%6%6%
YouGov/SNP 2 September 200930%26%17%12%7%9%
YouGov/Mail on Sunday 28 August 200930%26%16%16%7%5%
YouGov/Daily Mail 26 August 200927%28%17%15%6%7%
TNS-BMRB/STV 29 June 200939%29%10%12%5%5%
YouGov/Sunday Times 4 June 200934%26%14%13%7%7%
TNS System Three/Sunday Herald 28 April 200940%30%13%10%4%7%
YouGov/SNP 22 April 200937%28%15%13%-7%
YouGov/Sunday Times 13 March 200930%32%15%11%5%7%
YouGov/Sunday Times 30 January 200934%28%15%11%6%7%
2007 Scottish Parliament election31.0%29.2%13.9%11.3%4.0%

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