Opinion polling for UK general elections |
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October 1974 election |
Opinion polls |
1979 election |
Opinion polls |
1983 election |
Opinion polls |
1987 election |
Opinion polls |
1992 election |
Opinion polls |
In the run-up to the 1983 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date ranges for these opinion polls are from the 1979 general election until 6 June 1983.
All data is from UK Polling Report. [1]
Survey end date | Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | All | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 June | 1983 general election | 42.4% | 27.6% | 25.4% | 14.8% | |
8 Jun | Harris | The Observer | 47% | 26% | 25% | 21% |
8 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 47% | 25% | 26% | 21% |
8 Jun | Marplan | The Guardian | 45.5% | 26.5% | 26% | 19% |
8 Jun | NOP | Northcliffe | 46% | 26% | 26% | 20% |
8 Jun | MORI | Evening Standard | 47% | 25% | 26% | 21% |
8 Jun | NOP | Daily Mail | 44% | 28% | 26% | 16% |
7 Jun | Audience Selection | The Sun | 46% | 28% | 24% | 18% |
7 Jun | Marplan | The Guardian | 46% | 23% | 29% | 17% |
6 Jun | Audience Selection | The Sun | 47% | 26% | 25% | 21% |
5 Jun | Harris | The Observer | 45% | 24% | 28% | 17% |
3 Jun | Marplan | Sunday Mirror | 47% | 28% | 23% | 19% |
3 Jun | NOP | The Mail on Sunday | 44% | 27% | 27.5% | 16.5% |
3 Jun | Gallup | The Sunday Telegraph | 47% | 29% | 23% | 18% |
2 Jun | MORI | The Sunday Times | 45.5% | 31.5% | 22% | 14% |
2 Jun | MORI | Daily Express | 45% | 28% | 25% | 17% |
2 Jun | Marplan | The Guardian | 43% | 32% | 23% | 11% |
1 Jun | Harris | TV-Eye | 47% | 30% | 22% | 17% |
1 Jun | MORI | Daily Star | 46% | 28% | 24% | 18% |
31 May | Audience Selection | The Sun | 44% | 32% | 21% | 12% |
31 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 29% | 25% | 15% |
30 May | Audience Selection | TV-AM | 47.5% | 28% | 23% | 19.5% |
30 May | Harris | The Observer | 41% | 30% | 24% | 11% |
27 May | Marplan | Sunday Mirror | 47% | 30% | 21% | 17% |
27 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 49.5% | 31% | 19% | 18.5% |
26 May | MORI | Daily Express | 49% | 31.5% | 18% | 17.5% |
26 May | Marplan | The Guardian | 51% | 29% | 19% | 22% |
25 May | Harris | Thames | 47.5% | 32.5% | 19% | 15% |
25 May | MORI | The Sunday Times | 48% | 33% | 18% | 15% |
25 May | Audience Selection | The Sun | 46% | 30% | 23% | 16% |
24 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 45% | 32% | 21% | 13% |
23 May | Audience Selection | TV-AM | 48% | 33% | 18% | 15% |
23 May | MORI | Daily Star | 45% | 32% | 20% | 13% |
23 May | NOP | Daily Mail | 51% | 33% | 15% | 18% |
23 May | Harris | The Observer | 52% | 33% | 14% | 19% |
20 May | Marplan | Sunday Mirror | 45% | 36% | 18% | 9% |
20 May | MORI | Daily Express | 47% | 34% | 18% | 13% |
19 May | MORI | The Sunday Times | 46% | 37% | 16% | 9% |
18 May | Harris | Thames | 47% | 30% | 21% | 17% |
18 May | NOP | Daily Mail | 45% | 35% | 17% | 10% |
17 May | Audience Selection | The Sun | 49% | 31% | 19% | 18% |
17 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 33% | 21% | 11% |
16 May | MORI | Daily Star | 46% | 33% | 19% | 13% |
16 May | Audience Selection | TV-AM | 44% | 37% | 17% | 7% |
16 May | MORI | Daily Express | 46% | 31% | 21% | 15% |
13 May | The Dissolution of the 48th Parliament and campaigning officially begins | |||||
12 May | MORI | N/A | 49% | 34% | 15% | 15% |
11 May | Harris | Thames | 46% | 32% | 22% | 14% |
11 May | MORI | Daily Star | 52% | 31% | 17% | 21% |
10 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 46% | 31% | 21% | 15% |
9 May | MORI | N/A | 49% | 31.5% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
5 May | 1983 local elections [2] | |||||
25 Apr | MORI | N/A | 45% | 30% | 23% | 15% |
23 Apr | MORI | N/A | 46% | 33% | 21% | 13% |
12 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 34% | 22% | 9% |
11 Apr | MORI | N/A | 40.5% | 35% | 22.5% | 5.5% |
24 Mar | Darlington by-election | |||||
23 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 28% | 28% | 15% |
21 Mar | MORI | N/A | 39.5% | 28.5% | 29% | 10.5% |
16 Mar | MORI | N/A | 42% | 28% | 27% | 14% |
9 Mar | MORI | N/A | 41% | 27% | 30% | 11% |
26 Feb | MORI | N/A | 39% | 26% | 34% | 5% |
24 Feb | Bermondsey by-election | |||||
23 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 46% | 32% | 21% | 14% |
14 Feb | MORI | N/A | 43.5% | 32.5% | 22% | 11% |
9 Feb | MORI | N/A | 45% | 32% | 21% | 13% |
26 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 36% | 19% | 8% |
17 Jan | MORI | N/A | 44% | 31.5% | 22.5% | 12.5% |
12 Jan | MORI | N/A | 44% | 35% | 20% | 9% |
Survey end date | Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | All | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 35% | 21% | 7% |
13 Dec | MORI | N/A | 41% | 34.5% | 22% | 6.5% |
2 Dec | Glasgow Queen's Park by-election | |||||
24 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 35% | 21% | 8% |
15 Nov | MORI | N/A | 42% | 34.5% | 21.5% | 7.5% |
10 Nov | MORI | N/A | 42% | 33% | 23% | 9% |
28 Oct | Birmingham Northfield and Peckham by-elections | |||||
26 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 32% | 23% | 11% |
25 Oct | MORI | N/A | 40.5% | 29% | 27% | 11.5% |
20 Oct | 1982 Northern Ireland Assembly election [3] | |||||
12 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 33% | 23% | 9% |
16 Sep | Gower by-election | |||||
13 Sep | MORI | N/A | 44% | 30.5% | 23% | 13.5% |
31 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 30% | 27% | 12% |
16 Aug | MORI | N/A | 44.5% | 26.5% | 27.5% | 17% |
31 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 30% | 23% | 14% |
12 Jul | MORI | N/A | 46.5% | 27.5% | 24% | 19% |
2 Jul | Roy Jenkins is elected leader of the Social Democratic Party [4] | |||||
30 Jun | MORI | N/A | 45% | 31% | 22% | 14% |
24 Jun | Coatbridge and Airdrie by-election | |||||
23 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 51% | 24% | 23% | 27% |
14 Jun | MORI | N/A | 45% | 25% | 28.5% | 16.5% |
14 Jun | The Falklands War ends [5] | |||||
3 Jun | Mitcham and Morden by-election | |||||
31 May | MORI | N/A | 48% | 28% | 24% | 20% |
27 May | Beaconsfield by-election | |||||
26 May | MORI | N/A | 51% | 25% | 23% | 26% |
23 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 48% | 31% | 20% | 17% |
16 May | MORI | N/A | 41.5% | 28% | 29% | 12.5% |
16 May | MORI | N/A | 48% | 33% | 17% | 15% |
6 May | 1982 United Kingdom local elections [6] | |||||
5 May | MORI | N/A | 38% | 32% | 28% | 6% |
30 Apr | MORI | N/A | 44% | 30% | 24% | 14% |
30 Apr | MORI | N/A | 43% | 30% | 25% | 13% |
24 Apr | MORI | N/A | 39% | 32% | 27% | 7% |
21 Apr | MORI | N/A | 36% | 30% | 31% | 5% |
14 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 33% | 34% | 30% | 1% |
12 Apr | MORI | N/A | 31.5% | 29% | 37% | 5.5% |
2 Apr | The Falklands War begins [7] | |||||
31 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 35% | 30% | 33% | 2% |
25 Mar | Glasgow Hillhead by-election | |||||
15 Mar | MORI | N/A | 31.5% | 33% | 33% | Tie |
4 Mar | Belfast South by-election | |||||
28 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 34% | 34% | 30% | Tie |
15 Feb | NOP | Daily Mail | 27.5% | 34% | 36% | 2% |
5 Feb | MORI | N/A | 41% | 36% | 21% | 5% |
31 Jan | MORI | N/A | 30% | 33% | 34% | 1% |
25 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 29% | 30% | 40% | 10% |
18 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 27.5% | 29.5% | 39.5% | 10% |
Survey end date | Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | All | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 Dec | MORI | N/A | 23% | 23.5% | 50.5% | 27% |
14 Dec | NOP | N/A | 27% | 29% | 43% | 14% |
3 Dec | MORI | N/A | 30.5% | 34.3% | 33.1% | 1.2% |
1 Dec | NOP | N/A | 27% | 27% | 44% | 17% |
1 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 28.6% | 32.1% | 37.1% | 5% |
26 Nov | Crosby by-election | |||||
16 Nov | NOP | N/A | 26.5% | 29% | 42% | 13% |
6 Nov | MORI | N/A | 29.2% | 38.2% | 30.6% | 7.6% |
27 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 27% | 31% | 40% | 9% |
26 Oct | NOP | N/A | 29.5% | 28% | 40% | 12% |
22 Oct | Croydon North West by-election | |||||
8 Oct | MORI | N/A | 32.1% | 40.4% | 24.7% | 8.3% |
28 Sep | MORI | N/A | 28% | 42% | 28% | 14% |
18 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 27% | 38% | 33% | 5% |
14 Sep | NOP | N/A | 32% | 36.5% | 29% | 7.5% |
11 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 33.5% | 37.4% | 27.7% | 3.9% |
20 Aug | Fermanagh & South Tyrone second by-election | |||||
17 Aug | NOP | N/A | 28% | 38.5% | 32.5% | 6% |
7 Aug | MORI | N/A | 31.6% | 42.1% | 24.3% | 10.5% |
31 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 30% | 39% | 29% | 9% |
16 Jul | Warrington by-election | |||||
13 Jul | NOP | N/A | 30% | 40.5% | 26.5% | 10.5% |
9 Jul | MORI | N/A | 31.5% | 41.2% | 24.2% | 9.7% |
30 Jun | MORI | N/A | 30% | 36% | 31% | 6% |
22 Jun | MORI | N/A | 31% | 39% | 28% | 8% |
16 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37% | 39% | 22% | 2% |
15 Jun | NOP | N/A | 29.5% | 37.5% | 30.5% | 8% |
5 Jun | MORI | N/A | 37.7% | 39.3% | 20.8% | 1.6% |
30 May | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 35% | 39% | 24% | 4% |
11 May | MORI | N/A | 32% | 35.5% | 29% | 3.5% |
11 May | NOP | N/A | 38% | 41% | 19% | 3% |
7–20 May | 1981 United Kingdom local elections [8] | |||||
7 May | MORI | N/A | 30.9% | 39.3% | 26.6% | 8.4% |
27 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 30% | 38% | 29% | 8% |
13 Apr | NOP | N/A | 30% | 34.5% | 33% | 4.5% |
9 Apr | Fermanagh & South Tyrone by-election | |||||
3 Apr | MORI | N/A | 35.9% | 42.1% | 19.5% | 6.2% |
26 Mar | The Social Democratic Party is formed [9] | |||||
23 Mar | MORI | N/A | 33% | 41% | 25% | 8% |
23 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 28% | 38% | 32% | 10% |
16 Mar | NOP | N/A | 30% | 34% | 32% | 4% |
2 Mar | NOP | N/A | 37% | 41.1% | 16.5% | 4.1% |
13 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 34.5% | 50.9% | 12.2% | 16.4% |
11 Feb | MORI | N/A | 36% | 35.5% | 26.5% | 0.5% |
24 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 35% | 45% | 17% | 10% |
19 Jan | NOP | N/A | 33% | 46.5% | 18.5% | 13.5% |
9 Jan | MORI | N/A | 35.4% | 51.2% | 11.9% | 15.8% |
Survey end date | Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | Lib | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 32% | 56% | 11% | 24% |
15 Dec | NOP | N/A | 35% | 47.5% | 14.5% | 12.5% |
4 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37.2% | 47.7% | 12.6% | 10.5% |
17 Nov | MORI | N/A | 36.5% | 47% | 15% | 10.5% |
11 Nov | NOP | N/A | 38% | 47% | 13% | 9% |
10 Nov | Michael Foot becomes leader of the Labour Party [10] | |||||
7 Nov | MORI | N/A | 39.4% | 46.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
31 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 36% | 50% | 13% | 14% |
20 Oct | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 43% | 13.5% | 3% |
6 Oct | NOP | N/A | 40% | 43% | 13.5% | 3% |
2 Oct | MORI | N/A | 39.8% | 47.6% | 11% | 7.8% |
30 Sep | MORI | N/A | 34% | 50% | 15% | 16% |
29 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37% | 46% | 15% | 9% |
15 Sep | NOP | N/A | 35.5% | 45% | 16.5% | 9.5% |
5 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 46.3% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
18 Aug | NOP | N/A | 38.5% | 44% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
1 Aug | MORI | N/A | 38.1% | 47.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% |
31 Jul | MORI | N/A | 37% | 48% | 13% | 11% |
27 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 37% | 47% | 13% | 10% |
14 Jul | NOP | N/A | 40% | 43.5% | 14% | 3.5% |
3 Jul | MORI | N/A | 41% | 46.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
26 Jun | Glasgow Central by-election | |||||
23 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 41% | 43% | 13% | 2% |
16 Jun | NOP | N/A | 40.5% | 45% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
6 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 43% | 43.3% | 11.7% | 0.3% |
19 May | NOP | N/A | 39% | 43.5% | 15.5% | 4.5% |
1 May | MORI | N/A | 41.4% | 46.5% | 10.7% | 5.1% |
1 May | 1980 United Kingdom local elections [11] | |||||
28 Apr | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 39% | 44% | 14% | 5% |
14 Apr | NOP | N/A | 36.5% | 45% | 15% | 8.5% |
11 Apr | MORI | N/A | 35.5% | 49.6% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
28 Mar | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 46% | 9% | 4% |
17 Mar | NOP | N/A | 37% | 49.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
13 Mar | Southend East by-election | |||||
5 Mar | MORI | N/A | 35.7% | 51.9% | 11.2% | 16.2% |
29 Feb | MORI | N/A | 38% | 46% | 13% | 8% |
25 Feb | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 38% | 46% | 14% | 8% |
11 Feb | NOP | N/A | 37.5% | 42% | 18% | 4.5% |
8 Feb | MORI | N/A | 37.2% | 50.3% | 10.7% | 13.1% |
19 Jan | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 39% | 47% | 12% | 8% |
14 Jan | NOP | N/A | 36% | 45% | 16% | 9% |
4 Jan | MORI | N/A | 40.1% | 48.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% |
Survey end date | Pollster | Client | Con | Lab | Lib | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 43% | 14% | 3% |
13 Dec | South West Hertfordshire by-election | |||||
10 Dec | NOP | N/A | 38% | 42% | 18% | 4% |
6 Dec | MORI | N/A | 42.1% | 46.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
2 Dec | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40% | 45% | 13% | 5% |
12 Nov | NOP | N/A | 39% | 43.5% | 15.5% | 4.5% |
9 Nov | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 40.9% | 47.2% | 10% | 6.3% |
15 Oct | NOP | N/A | 40.5% | 45% | 12.5% | 4.5% |
6 Oct | MORI | N/A | 44.9% | 46% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
30 Sep | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 41% | 46% | 11% | 5% |
27 Sep | Manchester Central by-election | |||||
17 Sep | NOP | N/A | 40.5% | 45% | 12% | 4.5% |
2 Sep | MORI | N/A | 42.8% | 47.3% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
31 Aug | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 43% | 12% | 1% |
13 Aug | NOP | N/A | 41.5% | 44% | 12.5% | 2.5% |
5 Aug | MORI | N/A | 43.1% | 45.4% | 9.5% | 2.3% |
31 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
16 Jul | NOP | N/A | 41% | 46% | 11.5% | 5% |
7 Jul | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 44.2% | 45.5% | 8.2% | 1.3% |
18 Jun | Gallup | The Daily Telegraph | 42% | 43.5% | 12% | 1.5% |
7 Jun | 1979 European Parliament election [12] | |||||
3 May | 1979 United Kingdom local elections [13] | |||||
3 May | 1979 general election | 43.9% | 36.9% | 13.8% | 7% |
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