Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election

Last updated April 27, 2024

In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

Constituency vote

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	SNP	Con	Lab	Lib Dems	Green	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size						Others	Lead
9–12 Apr 2024	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,086	35%	17%	30%	10%	5%	4%	5
6–7 Apr 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	34%	21%	32%	6%	2%	6% Reform UK on 3% Alba on 2%	2
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024	YouGov	N/A	1,100	34%	15%	32%	9%	4%	5%	2
10–11 Mar 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	35%	18%	31%	5%	3%	7% Reform UK on 4% Alba on 3%	4
3–4 Feb 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	35%	18%	33%	8%	3%	4% Reform UK on 3% Alba on 1%	2
25–31 Jan 2024	Ipsos	STV News	1,005	39%	14%	30%	7%	4%	5% Reform UK on 1% Alba on 1%	9
23–25 Jan 2024	Survation	True North	1,029	35%	16%	31%	8%	5%	5% Alba on 2%	4
22–25 Jan 2024	Norstat	The Sunday Times	1,007	36%	16%	31%	7%	5%	5%	5
9–11 Jan 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,040	37%	18%	32%	8%	3%	2% Reform UK on 1%	5
20–26 Nov 2023	Ipsos	STV News	1,004	39%	15%	27%	8%	4%	5% Alba on 3% Reform UK on 1%	12
29–30 Oct 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,092	34%	22%	30%	8%	2%	4% Reform UK on 2% Alba on 2%	4
20–25 Oct 2023	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	34%	14%	32%	9%	7%	4%	2
6–11 Oct 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,002	37%	18%	33%	6%	–	5%	4
2–6 Oct 2023	YouGov	Fabians	1,028	37%	20%	29%	9%	3%	3%	9
2–5 Oct 2023	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,022	35%	16%	31%	7%	7%	3%	4
4–5 Oct 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,094	35%	20%	29%	10%	3%	2% Reform UK on 1%	6
5–14 Sep 2023	Opinium	Tony Blair Institute	1,004	42%	20%	26%	8%	–	5%	16
8–13 Sep 2023	YouGov	The Times	1.103	41%	16%	28%	8%	3%	4%	13
2–4 Sep 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,100	39%	16%	30%	8%	3%	4% Reform UK on 3% Alba on 1%	9
15–18 Aug 2023	Survation	True North	1,022	39%	16%	34%	8%	–	4%	5
3–8 Aug 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,086	41%	14%	31%	7%	3%	4%	10
5–6 Aug 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	36%	19%	32%	8%	2%	2% Alba on 1% Reform UK on 1%	4
1–2 Jul 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,030	33%	21%	30%	10%	2%	3% Reform UK on 2% Alba on 1%	3
23–28 Jun 2023	Survation	N/A	1,891	38%	17%	33%	10%	–	3%	5
12–15 Jun 2023	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,007	36%	13%	32%	9%	7%	3%	4
9–14 Jun 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,018	40%	16%	33%	8%	–	3%	7
9–13 Jun 2023	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	27%	11%	21%	6%	5%	3%	6
3–5 Jun 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,395	36%	21%	29%	8%	2%	3% Reform UK on 2% Alba on 1%	7
15–21 May 2023	Ipsos	STV News	1,090	42%	17%	28%	7%	4%	2% Alba on 1%	14
27 Apr – 3 May 2023	Survation	True North	1,009	39%	19%	30%	9%	–	4%	9
30 Apr – 2 May 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,295	36%	18%	32%	8%	2%	3% Reform UK on 2% Alba on 1%	4
17–20 Apr 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,032	38%	16%	30%	10%	2%	4%	8
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	Survation	N/A	1,001	38%	16%	27%	7%	–	3%	11
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	38%	18%	28%	10%	3%	4% Reform UK on 2%	10
28–31 Mar 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,009	39%	19%	32%	7%	–	3%	7
28–30 Mar 2023	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,089	37%	17%	30%	8%	5%	4%	7
27 Mar 2023	Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar 2023	YouGov	Sky News	1,002	43%	15%	26%	8%	4%	3%	17
7–10 Mar 2023	Panelbase	Scot Goes Pop	1,013	39%	14%	31%	8%	6%	2%	8
2–5 Mar 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	40%	20%	29%	7%	2%	3% Reform UK on 2%	11
17–20 Feb 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,017	42%	18%	28%	8%	2%	3%	14
15–17 Feb 2023	Survation	N/A	1,034	43%	17%	29%	8%	1%	2% Alba on 1%	14
15–17 Feb 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1008	43%	17%	30%	8%	–	2%	13
15 Feb 2023	Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party.
10–15 Feb 2023	YouGov	Scottish Election Study	1239	39%	17%	28%	8%	5%	3%	11
1–7 Feb 2023	Survation	N/A	1070	43%	17%	29%	7%	–	4%	14
23–26 Jan 2023	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,088	44%	17%	26%	7%	2%	3%	18
10–12 Jan 2023	Survation	True North	1,002	46%	17%	27%	8%	–	2%	19
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,025	44%	16%	29%	8%	1%	2% Reform UK on 1% Alba on 1%	15
16–21 Dec 2022	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,048	44%	18%	28%	8%	–	3%	16
6–9 Dec 2022	YouGov	The Times	1,090	50%	13%	25%	7%	2%	2%	25
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,045	50%	14%	24%	7%	3%	3%	26
22–25 Nov 2022	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,239	34%	11%	17%	6%	4%	2% Others on 2% 'Would not vote' on 10% 'Don't know' on 15% 'Refused' on 1%	17
7–11 Oct 2022	Panelbase	Alba Party	1,018	45%	15%	28%	6%	3%	3% Alba on 3%	17
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022	YouGov	The Times	1,067	49%	13%	26%	8%	–	4%	23
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	47%	17%	25%	8%	–	2%	22
28–29 Sep 2022	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,011	45%	14%	30%	6%	–	4%	15
17–19 Aug 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,133	45%	19%	22%	8%	–	6%	23
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,010	47%	17%	22%	9%	3%	2%	25
23–28 Jun 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	46%	18%	25%	8%	–	4%	21
18–23 May 2022	YouGov	The Times	1,115	47%	18%	23%	7%	2%	3%	24
5 May 2022	Scottish local elections
26 Apr – 3 May 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,010	46%	18%	25%	7%		4%	21
26–29 Apr 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,009	42%	19%	24%	7%	4%	4%	18
25–31 Mar 2022	BMG	The Herald	1,012	44%	21%	22%	8%		4%	22
24–28 Mar 2022	Survation	Ballot Box Scotland	1,002	46%	20%	25%	7%		2%	21
10–16 Mar 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,008	46%	20%	24%	7%		3%	22
24–28 Feb 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Economist	1,866	47%	21%	22%	8%		2%	25
1–4 Feb 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,014	44%	19%	22%	8%	3%	3%	22
14–18 Jan 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,004	47%	19%	22%	8%		4%	25
22–29 Nov 2021	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,107	52%	19%	17%	5%	3%	4%	33
18–22 Nov 2021	YouGov	The Times	1,060	48%	21%	19%	7%	2%	3%	27
9–12 Nov 2021	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,781	47%	20%	19%	8%	4%	2%	27
22–28 Oct 2021	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,005	48%	20%	22%	7%		3%	26
6–10 Sep 2021	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	2,003	46%	22%	18%	7%	4%	3%	24
3–9 Sep 2021	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,016	48%	22%	20%	7%		3%	26
2–8 Sep 2021	Opinium	Sky News	1,014	51%	21%	18%	6%		4%	30
20 Aug 2021	Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun 2021	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,287	46%	24%	19%	6%	3%	2%	22
6 May 2021	2021 Scottish Parliament election ^[1]			47.7%	21.9%	21.6%	6.9%	1.3%	0.6%	25.8

Regional vote

Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	SNP	Con	Lab	Green	Lib Dems	Alba	Others	Lead
Dates conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size							Others	Lead
9–12 Apr 2024	Norstat	Sunday Times	1,086	28%	19%	25%	9%	10%	3%	5% Reform UK on 4%	3
6–7 Apr 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	26%	17%	29%	9%	9%	3%	7% Reform UK on 5%	3
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024	YouGov	N/A	1,100	29%	16%	29%	9%	8%	3%	7% Reform UK on 5% UKIP on 1%	Tie
10–11 Mar 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	28%	16%	29%	9%	9%	3%	5% Reform UK on 5%	1
3–4 Feb 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	27%	16%	29%	9%	9%	3%	6% Reform UK on 5%	2
25-31 Jan 2024	Ipsos	STV News	1,005	33%	13%	31%	11%	7%	1%	4% Reform UK on 2%	2
23–25 Jan 2024	Survation	True North	1,029	31%	16%	29%	9%	8%	3%	3%	2
22–25 Jan 2024	Norstat	The Sunday Times	1,007	30%	19%	29%	9%	7%	3%	3% Reform UK on 2%	1
9–11 Jan 2024	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,040	25%	17%	30%	11%	10%	2%	5% Reform UK on 4%	5
20–26 Nov 2023	Ipsos	STV News	1,004	33%	15%	26%	10%	8%	2%	5% Reform UK on 1%	7
29–30 Oct 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,092	28%	21%	27%	9%	8%	3%	4% Reform UK on 4%	1
20–25 Oct 2023	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	30%	14%	30%	11%	8%	2%	5% Reform UK on 3%	Tie
6–11 Oct 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,002	28%	20%	29%	13%	8%	–	2%	1
2–6 Oct 2023	YouGov	Fabians	1,028	28%	19%	28%	11%	7%	3%	3% Reform UK on 2%	Tie
2–5 Oct 2023	Panelbase	Sunday Times	1,022	29%	18%	30%	12%	8%	3%	0%	1
4–5 Oct 2023	Redfield & Wilton		1,094	26%	19%	25%	12%	12%	3%	3% Reform UK on 2%	1
5–14 Sep 2023	Opinium	Tony Blair Institution	1,004	35%	18%	25%	8%	8%	2%	3%	10
8–13 Sep 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,103	33%	16%	25%	11%	8%	2%	5% Reform UK on 3%	8
2–4 Sep 2023	Redfield & Wilton		1,100	25%	15%	30%	14%	9%	4%	4% Reform UK on 3%	5
15–18 Aug 2023	Survation	True North	1,022	30%	15%	30%	9%	9%	–	7% Reform UK on 5%	Tie
3–8 Aug 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,086	32%	14%	28%	11%	8%	2%	5% Reform UK on 3% UKIP on 1%	4
5–6 Aug 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	29%	18%	30%	9%	9%	2%	4% Reform UK on 3%	1
1–2 Jul 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,030	29%	19%	26%	8%	12%	2%	5% Reform UK on 4%	3
23–28 Jun 2023	Survation	N/A	1,891	30%	18%	29%	10%	9%	–	4% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 1%	1
12–15 Jun 2023	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,007	30%	17%	28%	12%	8%	4%	1%	2
9–14 Jun 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,018	28%	18%	28%	13%	11%	–	3%	Tie
9–13 Jun 2023	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,200	22%	12%	20%	6%	8%	2%	4% Reform UK on 1%	2
3–5 Jun 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,395	25%	18%	25%	13%	10%	3%	3% Reform UK on 3%	Tie
15–21 May 2023	Ipsos	STV News	1,090	35%	17%	27%	12%	5%	2%	2% Reform UK on 1%	8
27 Apr – 3 May 2023	Survation	True North	1,009	32%	19%	26%	10%	7%	3%	3% Reform UK on 2%	6
30 Apr – 2 May 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,295	25%	19%	27%	13%	10%	2%	4% Reform UK on 2%	2
17–20 Apr 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,032	30%	17%	26%	12%	9%	2%	5% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 1%	4
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023	Survation	N/A	1,001	32%	17%	23%	8%	7%	–	4% Reform UK on 2%	9
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,000	30%	19%	24%	11%	13%	–	4% Reform UK on 2%	6
28–31 Mar 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,009	33%	18%	30%	10%	7%	–	2%	3
28–30 Mar 2023	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,089	31%	20%	27%	10%	6%	5%	2%	4
27 Mar 2023	Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar 2023	YouGov	Sky News	1,002	35%	16%	25%	11%	8%	2%	4% Reform UK on 3%	10
7–10 Mar 2023	Panelbase	Scot Goes Pop	1,013	32%	17%	27%	12%	8%	–	3%	5
2–5 Mar 2023	Redfield & Wilton	N/A	1,050	29%	20%	26%	10%	11%	–	4% Reform UK on 1%	3
17–20 Feb 2023	YouGov	The Times	1,017	35%	18%	27%	9%	7%	2%	2% Reform UK on 2%	8
15–17 Feb 2023	Survation	N/A	1,034	35%	18%	27%	8%	8%	2%	1% Reform UK on 1%	8
15–17 Feb 2023	Savanta	The Scotsman	1008	32%	16%	27%	14%	9%	–	2%	5
15 Feb 2023	Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party.
10–15 Feb 2023	YouGov	Scottish Election Study	1239	33%	17%	28%	11%	7%	1%	5% Reform UK on 3%	5
1–7 Feb 2023	Survation	N/A	1,007	33%	17%	25%	12%	7%	–	5% Reform UK on 2%	8
23–26 Jan 2023	YouGov	The Sunday Times	1,088	36%	17%	26%	9%	6%	3%	4% Reform UK on 3%	10
10–12 Jan 2023	Survation	True North	1,002	33%	18%	25%	12%	8%	–	4% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 1%	8
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,025	33%	15%	26%	12%	9%	2%	3% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 1%	7
16–21 Dec 2022	Savanta	The Scotsman	1,048	32%	18%	24%	13%	10%	–	2%	8
6–9 Dec 2022	YouGov	The Times	1,090	40%	13%	24%	11%	6%	3%	3% Reform UK on 2%	16
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,045	43%	14%	21%	13%	6%	1%	2%	18
22–25 Nov 2022	YouGov	Scottish Elections Study	1,239	29%	11%	18%	6%	9%	1%	2% Reform UK on 2% 'Would not vote' on 8% 'Don't know' on 15% 'Refused' on 1%	11
7–11 Oct 2022	Panelbase	Alba Party	1,018	37%	17%	26%	9%	7%	4%	0%	11
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022	YouGov	The Times	1,067	38%	14%	24%	12%	8%	1%	2% Reform UK on 1%	14
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	32%	19%	26%	13%	8%	2%	1%	6
28–29 Sep 2022	Survation	Scotland in Union	1,011	31%	14%	27%	14%	9%	1%	3% Reform UK on 2% UKIP on 1%	4
17–19 Aug 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,133	38%	20%	20%	9%	9%	–	4%	18
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,010	41%	19%	22%	7%	8%	–	3%	19
23–28 Jun 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,029	33%	20%	24%	13%	8%	2%	1%	9
18–23 May 2022	YouGov	The Times	1,115	39%	18%	21%	10%	8%	2%	2% Reform UK on 1%	18
5 May 2022	Scottish local elections
26 Apr – 3 May 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,010	31%	18%	23%	14%	10%	3%	1%	8
26–29 Apr 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,009	36%	20%	22%	10%	7%	–	5%	14
25–31 Mar 2022	BMG	The Herald	1,012	33%	20%	22%	10%	8%	3%	4%	11
24–28 Mar 2022	Survation	Ballot Box Scotland	1,002	34%	19%	23%	11%	8%	2%	3%	11
10–16 Mar 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,008	34%	20%	22%	13%	8%	2%	1%	12
24–28 Feb 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Economist	1,866	34%	21%	20%	14%	8%	2%	1%	13
1–4 Feb 2022	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,014	38%	21%	20%	9%	8%	–	5%	17
14–18 Jan 2022	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,004	38%	18%	20%	12%	9%	2%	1%	18
22–29 Nov 2021	Ipsos MORI	STV News	1,107	43%	20%	15%	12%	6%	1%	3%	23
18–22 Nov 2021	YouGov	The Times	1,060	38%	19%	19%	11%	7%	1%	5%	19
9–12 Nov 2021	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,781	41%	21%	18%	10%	8%	–	2%	20
22–28 Oct 2021	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,005	38%	22%	20%	11%	7%	1%	1%	16
6–10 Sep 2021	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	2,003	38%	23%	18%	9%	8%	–	4%	15
3–9 Sep 2021	Savanta ComRes	The Scotsman	1,016	36%	23%	18%	13%	7%	2%	1%	13
2–8 Sep 2021	Opinium	Sky News	1,014	40%	21%	16%	8%	5%	0%	10%	19
20 Aug 2021	Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun 2021	Panelbase	The Sunday Times	1,287	38%	23%	17%	9%	6%	–	6%	15
6 May 2021	2021 Scottish Parliament election ^[1]		–	40.3%	23.5%	17.9%	8.1%	5.1%	1.7%	3.4%	16.8

Notes

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In the run-up to the general election on 8 June 2017, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1987 Navarrese regional election</span>

The 1987 Navarrese regional election was held on Wednesday, 10 June 1987, to elect the 2nd Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 1987 European Parliament election.

Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns well over 240 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

At various dates in the run up to the 2019 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

In the run-up to the 2021 Senedd election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

References

1 2 "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.

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[2021SPE-1] 1 2 "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.

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