Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election

Last updated

In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.

Constituency vote

Polling for the next Holyrood election - constituency vote ScotlandC.svg
Polling for the next Holyrood election - constituency vote
Dates
conducted
PollsterClientSample
size
SNP Con Lab Lib Dems Greens Alba Ref Others Lead
24 Oct 2025 Find Out Now Alba PartyTBA35%8%17%10%9%2%16%-17
22 Sep14 Oct2025 Survation The Herald2,04334%10%18%8%7%1%22%1%12
22–25 Sep2025 Norstat The Sunday Times1,01034%10%17%11%7%20%2%14
15–21 Sep2025 Find Out Now The National1,28233%10%14%11%10%2%19%2%14
4–16 Sep2025 Survation Scotland in Union2,05137%11%20%7%5%1%18%17
21 Aug1 Sep2025 More in Common N/A1,10437%12%17%12%5%16%0%20
29 Aug2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17832%10%20%10%8%17%3%12
12–18 Jun2025 Ipsos STV News1,06634%10%23%9%9%1%14%1%11
5 Jun2025 Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election
27–30 May2025 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00733%13%19%8%7%0%18%0%14
2–5 May2025 Survation True North1,02033%11%19%11%5%1%19%0%14
16–22 Apr2025 Survation Diffley Partnership1,00536%13%22%9%5%1%14%0%14
7–11 Apr2025 Find Out Now The National1,41735%12%14%12%9%3%12%0%21
26 Mar2025 Kenny MacAskill is elected leader of the Alba Party
6–13 Mar2025 Survation Quantum Communications1,01234%12%23%8%4%1%17%0%11
25 Feb3 Mar2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17833%11%21%7%9%17%1%12
15–20 Jan2025 Find Out Now Sunday Herald1,33434%13%20%9%9%2%13%0%12
11–14 Jan2025 Norstat The Times1,02635%15%18%11%6%2%14%0%17
7–13 Jan2025 Survation Holyrood Sources1,02435%14%22%8%6%2%13%0%13
17–24 Dec2024 Find Out Now The National1,77435%15%19%9%7%2%11%0%16
4–6 Dec2024 Norstat The Times1,01337%14%21%10%5%12%3%16
1–15 Nov2024 Survation Progress Scotland 3,01632%14%27%9%6%10%5
30 Oct1 Nov2024 Norstat The Times1,01333%15%23%10%6%11%10
12 Oct2024 Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies
27 Sep2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep2024 Survation Progress Scotland2,05931%13%31%8%6%1%9%1%Tie
5–11 Sep2024 Opinium The Times1,02832%12%25%8%7%12%3%7
27–29 Aug2024 Survation Scotland in Union1,02131%12%30%9%6%1%9%1
20–22 Aug2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,01133%12%30%8%5%9%2%3
4 Jul2024 2024 United Kingdom general election
26–27 Jun2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,20033%14%34%8%3%1%6%1%1
21–25 Jun2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,04237%14%35%8%5%2
21–25 Jun2024 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,02233%14%37%8%4%1%3%4
14–18 Jun2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,06936%16%35%7%6%1
11–14 Jun2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,05034%16%32%8%6%5%2
3–7 Jun2024 YouGov N/A1,06834%13%35%10%5%4%1
1–2 Jun2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00033%17%32%9%2%2%4%0%1
8–9 May2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,07833%15%35%9%3%4%2
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,08035%18%35%6%5%Tie
30 Apr3 May2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08634%14%33%9%5%5%1
26–29 Apr2024 YouGov N/A1,04336%16%32%9%3%4%4
9–12 Apr2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08635%17%30%10%5%4%5
6–7 Apr2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00034%21%32%6%2%2%3%2
25 Mar2 Apr2024 YouGov N/A1,10034%15%32%9%4%5%2
10–11 Mar2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00035%18%31%5%3%3%4%4
21–28 Feb2024 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17834%15%32%8%7%4%2
3–4 Feb2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00035%18%33%8%3%3%1%2
25–31 Jan2024 Ipsos STV News1,00539%14%30%7%4%1%1%3%9
23–25 Jan2024 Survation True North1,02935%16%31%8%5%2%3%4
22–25 Jan2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00736%16%31%7%5%5%5
9–11 Jan2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,04037%18%32%8%3%1%1%5
20–26 Nov2023 Ipsos STV News1,00439%15%27%8%4%3%1%2%12
29–30 Oct2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09234%22%30%8%2%2%2%4
20–25 Oct2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20034%14%32%9%7%4%2
6–11 Oct2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00237%18%33%6%5%4
2–6 Oct2023 YouGov Fabians1,02837%20%29%9%3%3%9
2–5 Oct2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,02235%16%31%7%7%3%4
4–5 Oct2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09435%20%29%10%3%1%6
5–14 Sep2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institute1,00442%20%26%8%5%16
8–13 Sep2023 YouGov The Times1.10341%16%28%8%3%4%13
2–4 Sep2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,10039%16%30%8%1%3%9
15–18 Aug2023 Survation True North1,02239%16%34%8%4%5
3–8 Aug2023 YouGov The Times1,08641%14%31%7%3%4%10
5–6 Aug2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05036%19%32%8%2%1%1%4
1–2 Jul2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,03033%21%30%10%2%1%2%3
23–28 Jun2023 Survation N/A1,89138%17%33%10%3%5
12–15 Jun2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00736%13%32%9%7%3%4
9–14 Jun2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,01840%16%33%8%3%7
9–13 Jun2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20037%15%29%8%7%4%8
3–5 Jun2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,39536%21%29%8%2%1%2%1%7
15–21 May2023 Ipsos STV News1,09042%17%28%7%4%1%1%14
27 Apr3 May2023 Survation True North1,00939%19%30%9%4%9
30 Apr2 May2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,29536%18%32%8%2%1%2%4
17–20 Apr2023 YouGov The Times1,03238%16%30%10%2%4%8
29 Mar3 Apr2023 Survation N/A1,00138%16%27%7%3%11
31 Mar1 Apr2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00038%18%28%10%3%2%4%10
28–31 Mar2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00939%19%32%7%3%7
28–30 Mar2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,08937%17%30%8%5%4%7
27 Mar2023 Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar2023 YouGov Sky News1,00243%15%26%8%4%3%17
7–10 Mar2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,01339%14%31%8%6%2%8
2–5 Mar2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05040%20%29%7%2%2%1%11
17–20 Feb2023 YouGov The Times1,01742%18%28%8%2%3%14
15–17 Feb2023 Survation N/A1,03443%17%29%8%1%1%1%14
15–17 Feb2023 Savanta The Scotsman100843%17%30%8%2%13
10–15 Feb2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study123939%17%28%8%5%3%11
1–7 Feb2023 Survation N/A107043%17%29%7%4%14
23–26 Jan2023 YouGov The Sunday Times1,08844%17%26%7%2%3%18
10–12 Jan2023 Survation True North1,00246%17%27%8%2%19
22 Dec1 Jan2023 Survation Scotland in Union1,02544%16%29%8%1%1%1%15
16–21 Dec2022 Savanta The Scotsman1,04844%18%28%8%3%16
6–9 Dec2022 YouGov The Times1,09050%13%25%7%2%2%25
28 Nov5 Dec2022 Ipsos MORI STV News1,04550%14%24%7%3%3%26
22–25 Nov2022 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,23950%15%23%8%5%
3%
Others on 2%
'Would not vote' on 10%
'Don't know' on 15%
'Refused' on 1%
27
7–11 Oct2022 Panelbase Alba Party1,01845%15%28%6%3%3%17
30 Sep4 Oct2022 YouGov The Times1,06749%13%26%8%4%23
30 Sep4 Oct2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02947%17%25%8%2%22
28–29 Sep2022 Survation Scotland in Union1,01145%14%30%6%4%15
17–19 Aug2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,13345%19%22%8%6%23
29 Jun1 Jul2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01047%17%22%9%3%2%25
23–28 Jun2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02946%18%25%8%4%21
18–23 May2022 YouGov The Times1,11547%18%23%7%2%3%24
5 May2022 Scottish local elections
26 Apr3 May2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01046%18%25%7%4%21
26–29 Apr2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00942%19%24%7%4%4%18
25–31 Mar2022 BMG The Herald1,01244%21%22%8%4%22
24–28 Mar2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,00246%20%25%7%2%21
10–16 Mar2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00846%20%24%7%3%22
24–28 Feb2022 Savanta ComRes The Economist1,86647%21%22%8%2%25
1–4 Feb2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01444%19%22%8%3%3%22
14–18 Jan2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00447%19%22%8%4%25
22–29 Nov2021 Ipsos MORI STV News1,10752%19%17%5%3%4%33
18–22 Nov2021 YouGov The Times1,06048%21%19%7%2%3%27
9–12 Nov2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,78147%20%19%8%4%2%27
22–28 Oct2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00548%20%22%7%3%26
6–10 Sep2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times2,00346%22%18%7%4%3%24
3–9 Sep2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01648%22%20%7%3%26
2–8 Sep2021 Opinium Sky News1,01451%21%18%6%4%30
20 Aug2021Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,28746%24%19%6%3%2%22
6 May2021 2021 Scottish Parliament election [1] 47.7%21.9%21.6%6.9%1.3%N/AN/A0.6%25.8

Regional vote

Polling for the next Holyrood election - regional vote ScotlandListVote2026.svg
Polling for the next Holyrood election - regional vote
Dates
conducted
PollsterClientSample
size
SNP Con Lab Greens Lib Dems Alba Ref Others Lead
24 Oct 2025 Find Out Now Alba PartyTBA21%11%15%16%10%6%16%5
22 Sep14 Oct2025 Survation The Herald2,04329%12%17%10%10%2%20%1%9
22–25 Sep2025 Norstat The Sunday Times1,01029%13%18%8%10%4%18%1%11
15–21 Sep2025 Find Out Now The National1,28225%11%15%15%9%5%16%3%9
4–16 Sep2025 Survation Scotland in Union2,05131%13%18%8%11%2%16%13
21 Aug1 Sep2025 More in Common N/A1,10432%12%16%8%14%16%16
29 Aug2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17829%10%21%10%10%3%18%1%7
12–18 Jun2025 Ipsos STV News1,06626%10%22%15%8%2%16%1%4
5 Jun2025 Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election
27–30 May2025 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00728%15%18%9%10%3%16%10
2–5 May2025 Survation True North1,02029%12%18%9%10%3%20%9
16–22 Apr2025 Survation Diffley Partnership1,00528%16%22%10%9%2%12%6
7–11 Apr2025 Find Out Now The National1,41725%15%15%14%12%7%10%10
26 Mar2025 Kenny MacAskill is elected leader of the Alba Party
6–13 Mar2025 Survation Quantum Communications1,01229%13%20%8%9%3%16%9
25 Feb3 Mar2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17830%13%18%10%8%1%18%1%12
15–20 Jan2025 Find Out Now Sunday Herald1,33427%15%16%13%12%5%11%10
11–14 Jan2025 Norstat The Times1,02630%15%17%10%11%4%13%13
7–13 Jan2025 Survation Holyrood Sources1,02431%14%21%9%10%2%13%10
17–24 Dec2024 Find Out Now The National1,77426%14%17%13%10%6%11%3%9
4–6 Dec2024 Norstat The Times1,01332%16%18%8%10%5%12%1%14
1–15 Nov2024 Survation Progress Scotland 3,01627%15%25%10%9%3%11%2
30 Oct1 Nov2024 Norstat The Times1,01329%14%22%9%9%3%11%7
12 Oct2024 Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies
27 Sep2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep2024 Survation Progress Scotland2,05928%14%26%10%10%3%10%1%2
5–11 Sep2024 Opinium The Times1,02830%12%25%8%8%12%4%5
27–29 Aug2024 Survation Scotland in Union1,02127%12%28%10%10%2%9%0%1
20–22 Aug2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,01128%14%28%8%7%5%9%0%Tie
4 Jul2024 2024 United Kingdom general election
26–27 Jun2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,20027%14%34%8%9%1%6%1%7
21–25 Jun2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,04231%17%29%9%9%4%2
21–25 Jun2024 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,02230%16%34%7%8%2%1%4
14–18 Jun2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,06929%16%29%12%10%5%Tie
11–14 Jun2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,05028%16%27%9%8%5%7%1%1
3–7 Jun2024 YouGov N/A1,06829%14%29%11%9%2%5%2%Tie
1–2 Jun2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00031%15%28%7%9%4%6%0%3
8–9 May2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,07827%14%33%9%9%3%5%1%6
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,08026%18%32%11%10%4%6
30 Apr3 May2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08627%17%28%9%8%4%6%1%1
26–29 Apr2024 YouGov N/A1,04331%17%28%8%8%3%3%1%3
9–12 Apr2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08628%19%25%9%10%3%4%1%3
6–7 Apr2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00026%17%29%9%9%3%5%2%3
25 Mar2 Apr2024 YouGov N/A1,10029%16%29%9%8%3%5%2%Tie
10–11 Mar2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00028%16%29%9%9%3%5%0%1
21–28 Feb2024 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17831%15%30%11%7%1%4%
1%
UKIP on 0%
All for Unity on 0%
Other on 1%
1
3–4 Feb2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00027%16%29%9%9%3%5%1%2
25–31 Jan2024 Ipsos STV News1,00533%13%31%11%7%1%2%2%2
23–25 Jan2024 Survation True North1,02931%16%29%9%8%3%0%2
22–25 Jan2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00730%19%29%9%7%3%2%1%1
9–11 Jan2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,04025%17%30%11%10%3%4%1%5
20–26 Nov2023 Ipsos STV News1,00433%15%26%10%8%4%1%2%7
29–30 Oct2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09228%21%27%9%8%3%4%1%1
20–25 Oct2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20030%14%30%11%8%4%3%2%Tie
6–11 Oct2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00228%20%29%13%8%2%1
2–6 Oct2023 YouGov Fabians1,02828%19%28%11%7%3%2%1%Tie
2–5 Oct2023 Panelbase Sunday Times1,02229%18%30%12%8%0%*3%1
4–5 Oct2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,09426%19%25%12%12%3%2%1%1
5–14 Sep2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institution1,00435%18%25%8%8%2%3%10
8–13 Sep2023 YouGov The Times1,10333%16%25%11%8%2%3%2%8
2–4 Sep2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,10025%15%30%14%9%4%3%1%5
15–18 Aug2023 Survation True North1,02230%15%30%9%9%5%2%Tie
3–8 Aug2023 YouGov The Times1,08632%14%28%11%8%2%3%2%4
5–6 Aug2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05029%18%30%9%9%2%3%1%1
1–2 Jul2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,03029%19%26%8%12%2%4%1%3
23–28 Jun2023 Survation N/A1,89130%18%29%10%9%2%2%1
12–15 Jun2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00730%17%28%12%8%4%1%2
9–14 Jun2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,01828%18%28%13%11%3%Tie
9–13 Jun2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20030%16%27%8%11%3%1%4%3
3–5 Jun2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,39525%18%25%13%10%3%3%0%Tie
15–21 May2023 Ipsos STV News1,09035%17%27%12%5%2%1%1%8
27 Apr3 May2023 Survation True North1,00932%19%26%10%7%3%2%1%6
30 Apr2 May2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,29525%19%27%13%10%2%2%2%2
17–20 Apr2023 YouGov The Times1,03230%17%26%12%9%2%2%3%4
29 Mar3 Apr2023 Survation N/A1,00132%17%23%8%7%2%2%9
31 Mar1 Apr2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00030%19%24%11%13%2%2%6
28–31 Mar2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00933%18%30%10%7%2%3
28–30 Mar2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,08931%20%27%10%6%5%2%4
27 Mar2023 Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar2023 YouGov Sky News1,00235%16%25%11%8%2%3%1%10
7–10 Mar2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,01332%17%27%12%8%3%5
2–5 Mar2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05029%20%26%10%11%1%3%3
17–20 Feb2023 YouGov The Times1,01735%18%27%9%7%2%2%0%8
15–17 Feb2023 Survation N/A1,03435%18%27%8%8%2%1%0%8
15–17 Feb2023 Savanta The Scotsman100832%16%27%14%9%2%5
15 Feb2023 Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party.
10–15 Feb2023 YouGov Scottish Election Study123933%17%28%11%7%1%3%2%5
1–7 Feb2023 Survation N/A1,00733%17%25%12%7%2%3%8
23–26 Jan2023 YouGov The Sunday Times1,08836%17%26%9%6%4%3%1%10
10–12 Jan2023 Survation True North1,00233%18%25%12%8%2%2%8
22 Dec1 Jan2023 Survation Scotland in Union1,02533%15%26%12%9%2%2%1%7
16–21 Dec2022 Savanta The Scotsman1,04832%18%24%13%10%2%8
6–9 Dec2022 YouGov The Times1,09040%13%24%11%6%3%2%1%16
28 Nov5 Dec2022 Ipsos MORI STV News1,04543%14%21%13%6%1%2%18
22–25 Nov2022 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,23938%15%24%8%12%1%3%0%14
7–11 Oct2022 Panelbase Alba Party1,01837%17%26%9%7%4%0%11
30 Sep4 Oct2022 YouGov The Times1,06738%14%24%12%8%1%1%1%14
30 Sep4 Oct2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02932%19%26%13%8%2%1%6
28–29 Sep2022 Survation Scotland in Union1,01131%14%27%14%9%1%2%1%4
17–19 Aug2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,13338%20%20%9%9%4%18
29 Jun1 Jul2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01041%19%22%7%8%3%19
23–28 Jun2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02933%20%24%13%8%2%1%9
18–23 May2022 YouGov The Times1,11539%18%21%10%8%2%1%1%18
5 May2022 Scottish local elections
26 Apr3 May2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01031%18%23%14%10%1%*
4%*
Other on 1%
8
26–29 Apr2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00936%20%22%10%7%5%14
25–31 Mar2022 BMG The Herald1,01233%20%22%10%8%3%4%11
24–28 Mar2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,00234%19%23%11%8%2%3%11
10–16 Mar2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00834%20%22%13%8%2%1%12
24–28 Feb2022 Savanta ComRes The Economist1,86634%21%20%14%8%2%1%13
1–4 Feb2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01438%21%20%9%8%5%17
14–18 Jan2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00438%18%20%12%9%2%1%18
22–29 Nov2021 Ipsos MORI STV News1,10743%20%15%12%6%1%3%23
18–22 Nov2021 YouGov The Times1,06038%19%19%11%7%1%5%19
9–12 Nov2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,78141%21%18%10%8%2%20
22–28 Oct2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00538%22%20%11%7%1%1%16
6–10 Sep2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times2,00338%23%18%9%8%4%15
3–9 Sep2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01636%23%18%13%7%2%1%13
2–8 Sep2021 Opinium Sky News1,01440%21%16%8%5%10%19
20 Aug2021Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,28738%23%17%9%6%6%15
6 May2021 2021 Scottish Parliament election [1] 40.3%23.5%17.9%8.1%5.1%1.7%0.2%3.2%16.8

See also

Notes

    References

    1. 1 2 "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.