In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.
Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | SNP | Con | Lab | Lib Dems | Green | Reform | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 Dec 2024 | Norstat | The Times | 1,013 | 37% | 14% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 3% | 16 |
1–15 Nov 2024 | Survation | Progress Scotland | 3,016 | 32% | 14% | 27% | 9% | 6% | 10% | – | 5 |
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 | Norstat | The Times | 1,013 | 33% | 15% | 23% | 10% | 6% | 11% | – | 10 |
12 Oct 2024 | Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies | ||||||||||
27 Sep 2024 | Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives | ||||||||||
10–13 Sep 2024 | Survation | Progress Scotland | 2,059 | 31% | 13% | 31% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 2% Alba on 1% Other on 1% | Tie |
5–11 Sep 2024 | Opinium | The Times | 1,028 | 32% | 12% | 25% | 8% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 7 |
27–29 Aug 2024 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,021 | 31% | 12% | 30% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 1% Alba on 1% | 1 |
20–22 Aug 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,011 | 33% | 12% | 30% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 3 |
4 Jul 2024 | 2024 United Kingdom general election | ||||||||||
26–27 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 33% | 14% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 2% Alba on 1% Others on 1% | 1 |
21–25 Jun 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,042 | 37% | 14% | 35% | 8% | – | – | 5% | 2 |
21–25 Jun 2024 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,022 | 33% | 14% | 37% | 8% | 4% | – | 4% Alba on 1% Others on 3% | 4 |
14–18 Jun 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,069 | 36% | 16% | 35% | 7% | – | – | 6% | 1 |
11–14 Jun 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,050 | 34% | 16% | 32% | 8% | 6% | – | 5% | 2 |
3–7 Jun 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,068 | 34% | 13% | 35% | 10% | 5% | – | 4% | 1 |
1–2 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 33% | 17% | 32% | 9% | 2% | 4% | 2% Alba on 2% Others on 0% | 1 |
8–9 May 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,078 | 33% | 15% | 35% | 9% | 3% | – | 4% | 2 |
6–8 May | John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland | ||||||||||
3–8 May 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,080 | 35% | 18% | 35% | 6% | – | – | 5% | Tie |
30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,086 | 34% | 14% | 33% | 9% | 5% | – | 5% | 1 |
26–29 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,043 | 36% | 16% | 32% | 9% | 3% | – | 4% | 4 |
9–12 Apr 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,086 | 35% | 17% | 30% | 10% | 5% | – | 4% | 5 |
6–7 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 34% | 21% | 32% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 2% Alba on 2% | 2 |
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,100 | 34% | 15% | 32% | 9% | 4% | – | 5% | 2 |
10–11 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 35% | 18% | 31% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% Alba on 3% | 4 |
3–4 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 35% | 18% | 33% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 1% Alba on 1% | 2 |
25–31 Jan 2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,005 | 39% | 14% | 30% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 4% Alba on 1% | 9 |
23–25 Jan 2024 | Survation | True North | 1,029 | 35% | 16% | 31% | 8% | 5% | – | 5% Alba on 2% | 4 |
22–25 Jan 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 36% | 16% | 31% | 7% | 5% | – | 5% | 5 |
9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 37% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 5 |
20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,004 | 39% | 15% | 27% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 5% Alba on 3% | 12 |
29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,092 | 34% | 22% | 30% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% Alba on 2% | 4 |
20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 34% | 14% | 32% | 9% | 7% | – | 4% | 2 |
6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 37% | 18% | 33% | 6% | – | – | 5% | 4 |
2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Fabians | 1,028 | 37% | 20% | 29% | 9% | 3% | – | 3% | 9 |
2–5 Oct 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,022 | 35% | 16% | 31% | 7% | 7% | – | 3% | 4 |
4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,094 | 35% | 20% | 29% | 10% | 3% | 1% | – | 6 |
5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institute | 1,004 | 42% | 20% | 26% | 8% | – | – | 5% | 16 |
8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1.103 | 41% | 16% | 28% | 8% | 3% | – | 4% | 13 |
2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 39% | 16% | 30% | 8% | – | 3% | 1% Alba on 1% | 9 |
15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 39% | 16% | 34% | 8% | – | – | 4% | 5 |
3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,086 | 41% | 14% | 31% | 7% | 3% | – | 4% | 10 |
5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 36% | 19% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 1% Alba on 1% | 4 |
1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 33% | 21% | 30% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 1% Alba on 1% | 3 |
23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,891 | 38% | 17% | 33% | 10% | – | – | 3% | 5 |
12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 36% | 13% | 32% | 9% | 7% | – | 3% | 4 |
9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 40% | 16% | 33% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 7 |
9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 27% | 11% | 21% | 6% | 5% | – | 3% | 6 |
3–5 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,395 | 36% | 21% | 29% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% Alba on 1% | 7 |
15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,090 | 42% | 17% | 28% | 7% | 4% | – | 2% Alba on 1% | 14 |
27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 30% | 9% | – | – | 4% | 9 |
30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 36% | 18% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% Alba on 1% | 4 |
17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 38% | 16% | 30% | 10% | 2% | – | 4% | 8 |
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 38% | 16% | 27% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 11 |
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 38% | 18% | 28% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 10 |
28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 32% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 7 |
28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 37% | 17% | 30% | 8% | 5% | – | 4% | 7 |
27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland | ||||||||||
9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 43% | 15% | 26% | 8% | 4% | – | 3% | 17 |
7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 39% | 14% | 31% | 8% | 6% | – | 2% | 8 |
2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 40% | 20% | 29% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 11 |
17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 42% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 2% | – | 3% | 14 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 43% | 17% | 29% | 8% | 1% | – | 2% Alba on 1% | 14 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1008 | 43% | 17% | 30% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 13 |
10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1239 | 39% | 17% | 28% | 8% | 5% | – | 3% | 11 |
1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1070 | 43% | 17% | 29% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 14 |
23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 44% | 17% | 26% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 18 |
10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 46% | 17% | 27% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 19 |
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 44% | 16% | 29% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 1% Alba on 1% | 15 |
16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 44% | 18% | 28% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 16 |
6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 50% | 13% | 25% | 7% | 2% | – | 2% | 25 |
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 50% | 14% | 24% | 7% | 3% | – | 3% | 26 |
22–25 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,239 | 34% | 11% | 17% | 6% | 4% | – | 2% Others on 2% 'Would not vote' on 10% 'Don't know' on 15% 'Refused' on 1% | 17 |
7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,018 | 45% | 15% | 28% | 6% | 3% | – | 3% Alba on 3% | 17 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 49% | 13% | 26% | 8% | – | – | 4% | 23 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 47% | 17% | 25% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 22 |
28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 45% | 14% | 30% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 15 |
17–19 Aug 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 45% | 19% | 22% | 8% | – | – | 6% | 23 |
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 47% | 17% | 22% | 9% | 3% | – | 2% | 25 |
23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 8% | – | – | 4% | 21 |
18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 47% | 18% | 23% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 24 |
5 May 2022 | Scottish local elections | ||||||||||
26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 21 |
26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 42% | 19% | 24% | 7% | 4% | – | 4% | 18 |
25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 44% | 21% | 22% | 8% | – | – | 4% | 22 |
24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 46% | 20% | 25% | 7% | – | – | 2% | 21 |
10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 46% | 20% | 24% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 22 |
24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 25 |
1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 44% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 3% | – | 3% | 22 |
14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 47% | 19% | 22% | 8% | – | – | 4% | 25 |
22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 52% | 19% | 17% | 5% | 3% | – | 4% | 33 |
18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 27 |
9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 47% | 20% | 19% | 8% | 4% | – | 2% | 27 |
22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 48% | 20% | 22% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 26 |
6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 46% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 4% | – | 3% | 24 |
3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 26 |
2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 18% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 30 |
20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats | ||||||||||
16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 46% | 24% | 19% | 6% | 3% | – | 2% | 22 |
6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election [1] | 47.7% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% | N/A | 0.6% | 25.8 |
Dates conducted | Pollster | Client | Sample size | SNP | Con | Lab | Green | Lib Dems | Alba | Reform | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 Dec | Norstat | The Times | 1,013 | 32% | 16% | 18% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 12% | 1% | 14 |
1–15 Nov 2024 | Survation | Progress Scotland | 3,016 | 27% | 15% | 25% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 11% | – | 2 |
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024 | Norstat | The Times | 1,013 | 29% | 14% | 22% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 11% | – | 7 |
12 Oct 2024 | Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies | |||||||||||
27 Sep 2024 | Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives | |||||||||||
10–13 Sep 2024 | Survation | Progress Scotland | 2,059 | 28% | 14% | 26% | 10% | 10% | 3% | 10% | 1% | 2 |
5–11 Sep 2024 | Opinium | The Times | 1,028 | 30% | 12% | 25% | 8% | 8% | – | 12% | 4% | 5 |
27–29 Aug 2024 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,021 | 27% | 12% | 28% | 10% | 10% | 2% | 9% | 0% | 1 |
20–22 Aug 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,011 | 28% | 14% | 28% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 0% | Tie |
4 Jul 2024 | 2024 United Kingdom general election | |||||||||||
26–27 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 27% | 14% | 34% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 7 |
21–25 Jun 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,042 | 31% | 17% | 29% | 9% | 9% | – | – | 4% | 2 |
21–25 Jun 2024 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,022 | 30% | 16% | 34% | 7% | 8% | 2% | – | 1% | 4 |
14–18 Jun 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,069 | 29% | 16% | 29% | 12% | 10% | – | – | 5% | Tie |
11–14 Jun 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,050 | 28% | 16% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 1 |
3–7 Jun 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,068 | 29% | 14% | 29% | 11% | 9% | 2% | 5% | 2% | Tie |
1–2 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 31% | 15% | 28% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 6% | 0% | 3 |
8–9 May 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,078 | 27% | 14% | 33% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 6 |
6–8 May | John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland | |||||||||||
3–8 May 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,080 | 26% | 18% | 32% | 11% | 10% | – | – | 4% | 6 |
30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,086 | 27% | 17% | 28% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 1 |
26–29 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,043 | 31% | 17% | 28% | 8% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3 |
9–12 Apr 2024 | Norstat | Sunday Times | 1,086 | 28% | 19% | 25% | 9% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3 |
6–7 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 26% | 17% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3 |
25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,100 | 29% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 2% | Tie |
10–11 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 28% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 1 |
3–4 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 27% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2 |
25-31 Jan 2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,005 | 33% | 13% | 31% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2 |
23–25 Jan 2024 | Survation | True North | 1,029 | 31% | 16% | 29% | 9% | 8% | 3% | – | 0% | 2 |
22–25 Jan 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 30% | 19% | 29% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1 |
9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 25% | 17% | 30% | 11% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5 |
20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,004 | 33% | 15% | 26% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 7 |
29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,092 | 28% | 21% | 27% | 9% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 1 |
20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 30% | 14% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | Tie |
6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,002 | 28% | 20% | 29% | 13% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 1 |
2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Fabians | 1,028 | 28% | 19% | 28% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
2–5 Oct 2023 | Panelbase | Sunday Times | 1,022 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 12% | 8% | 0%* | – | 3%* Alba on 0% Other on 2% | 1 |
4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,094 | 26% | 19% | 25% | 12% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1 | |
5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institution | 1,004 | 35% | 18% | 25% | 8% | 8% | 2% | – | 3% | 10 |
8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,103 | 33% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 8 |
2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | 1,100 | 25% | 15% | 30% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 5 | |
15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 30% | 15% | 30% | 9% | 9% | – | 5% | 2% | Tie |
3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,086 | 32% | 14% | 28% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4 |
5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 29% | 18% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1 |
1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 29% | 19% | 26% | 8% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3 |
23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,891 | 30% | 18% | 29% | 10% | 9% | – | 2% | 2% | 1 |
12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 30% | 17% | 28% | 12% | 8% | 4% | – | 1% | 2 |
9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 28% | 18% | 28% | 13% | 11% | – | – | 3% | Tie |
9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 22% | 12% | 20% | 6% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2 |
3–5 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,395 | 25% | 18% | 25% | 13% | 10% | 3% | 3% | 0% | Tie |
15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,090 | 35% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 8 |
27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 6 |
30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 25% | 19% | 27% | 13% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2 |
17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 30% | 17% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4 |
29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 32% | 17% | 23% | 8% | 7% | – | 2% | 2% | 9 |
31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 19% | 24% | 11% | 13% | – | 2% | 2% | 6 |
28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 33% | 18% | 30% | 10% | 7% | – | – | 2% | 3 |
28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 31% | 20% | 27% | 10% | 6% | 5% | – | 2% | 4 |
27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland | |||||||||||
9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 35% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 10 |
7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 32% | 17% | 27% | 12% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 5 |
2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 29% | 20% | 26% | 10% | 11% | – | 1% | 3% | 3 |
17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 35% | 18% | 27% | 9% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 8 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 35% | 18% | 27% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 8 |
15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1008 | 32% | 16% | 27% | 14% | 9% | – | – | 2% | 5 |
15 Feb 2023 | Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party. | |||||||||||
10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1239 | 33% | 17% | 28% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 5 |
1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,007 | 33% | 17% | 25% | 12% | 7% | – | 2% | 3% | 8 |
23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 36% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 10 |
10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 33% | 18% | 25% | 12% | 8% | – | 2% | 2% | 8 |
22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 33% | 15% | 26% | 12% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 7 |
16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 32% | 18% | 24% | 13% | 10% | – | – | 2% | 8 |
6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 40% | 13% | 24% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 16 |
28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 43% | 14% | 21% | 13% | 6% | 1% | – | 2% | 18 |
22–25 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,239 | 29% | 11% | 18% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 11 |
7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,018 | 37% | 17% | 26% | 9% | 7% | 4% | – | 0% | 11 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 38% | 14% | 24% | 12% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14 |
30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 32% | 19% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 2% | – | 1% | 6 |
28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 31% | 14% | 27% | 14% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4 |
17–19 Aug 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 38% | 20% | 20% | 9% | 9% | – | – | 4% | 18 |
29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 41% | 19% | 22% | 7% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 19 |
23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 33% | 20% | 24% | 13% | 8% | 2% | – | 1% | 9 |
18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 39% | 18% | 21% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 18 |
5 May 2022 | Scottish local elections | |||||||||||
26 Apr – 3 May 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,010 | 31% | 18% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 1%* | – | 4%* Alba on 1% Other on 1% | 8 |
26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 36% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 7% | – | – | 5% | 14 |
25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 33% | 20% | 22% | 10% | 8% | 3% | – | 4% | 11 |
24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 34% | 19% | 23% | 11% | 8% | 2% | – | 3% | 11 |
10–16 Mar 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,008 | 34% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 2% | – | 1% | 12 |
24–28 Feb 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Economist | 1,866 | 34% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 2% | – | 1% | 13 |
1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 38% | 21% | 20% | 9% | 8% | – | – | 5% | 17 |
14–18 Jan 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 38% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 2% | – | 1% | 18 |
22–29 Nov 2021 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,107 | 43% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% | – | 3% | 23 |
18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 38% | 19% | 19% | 11% | 7% | 1% | – | 5% | 19 |
9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,781 | 41% | 21% | 18% | 10% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 20 |
22–28 Oct 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,005 | 38% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 16 |
6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 38% | 23% | 18% | 9% | 8% | – | – | 4% | 15 |
3–9 Sep 2021 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,016 | 36% | 23% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 2% | – | 1% | 13 |
2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 40% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | – | – | 10% | 19 |
20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats | |||||||||||
16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 38% | 23% | 17% | 9% | 6% | – | – | 6% | 15 |
6 May 2021 | 2021 Scottish Parliament election [1] | – | 40.3% | 23.5% | 17.9% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 3.2% | 16.8 |
The 1992 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 9 April 1992, to elect 651 members to the House of Commons. The governing Conservative Party led by the prime minister John Major won a fourth consecutive election victory, with a majority of 21. This would be the last time that the Conservatives would win an overall majority at a general election until 2015 and the last general election to be held on a day which did not coincide with any local elections until 2017. This election result took many by surprise, as opinion polling leading up to the election day had shown a narrow but consistent lead for the Labour Party under leader Neil Kinnock during a period of recession and declining living standards.
The 1970 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 18 June 1970. It resulted in a surprise victory for the Conservative Party under leader Edward Heath, which defeated the governing Labour Party under Prime Minister Harold Wilson. The Liberal Party, under its new leader Jeremy Thorpe, lost half its seats. The Conservatives, including the Ulster Unionist Party (UUP), secured a majority of 30 seats. This general election was the first in which people could vote from the age of 18, after passage of the Representation of the People Act the previous year, and the first UK election in which party affiliations of candidates were put on the ballots.
Scottish independence is the idea of Scotland regaining its independence and once again becoming a sovereign state, independent from the United Kingdom. The term Scottish independence refers to the political movement that is campaigning to bring it about.
The 2010 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday 6 May 2010, to elect Members of Parliament to the House of Commons. The election took place in 650 constituencies across the United Kingdom under the first-past-the-post system. The election resulted in a large swing to the opposition Conservative Party led by David Cameron similar to that seen in 1979, the last time a Conservative opposition had ousted a Labour government. The governing Labour Party led by the prime minister Gordon Brown lost the 66-seat majority it had previously enjoyed, but no party achieved the 326 seats needed for a majority. The Conservatives won the most votes and seats, but still fell 20 seats short. This resulted in a hung parliament where no party was able to command a majority in the House of Commons. This was only the second general election since the Second World War to return a hung parliament, the first being the February 1974 election. This election marked the start of Conservative government for the next 14 years.
The 2009 European Parliament election was the United Kingdom's component of the 2009 European Parliament election, the voting for which was held on Thursday 4 June 2009. The election was held concurrently with the 2009 local elections in England. In total, 72 Members of the European Parliament were elected from the United Kingdom using proportional representation.
In the run-up to the general election of 2010, several polling organisations carried out opinion polling in regards to voting intention in Great Britain. Results of such polls are displayed below.
In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
There are five types of elections in the United Kingdom: elections to the House of Commons of the United Kingdom, elections to devolved parliaments and assemblies, local elections, mayoral elections, and Police and Crime Commissioner elections. Within each of those categories, there may also be by-elections. Elections are held on Election Day, which is conventionally a Thursday, and under the provisions of the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022 the timing of general elections can be held at the discretion of the prime minister during any five-year period. All other types of elections are held after fixed periods, though early elections to the devolved assemblies and parliaments can occur in certain situations. The five electoral systems used are: the single member plurality system (first-past-the-post), the multi-member plurality, the single transferable vote, the additional member system, and the supplementary vote.
The 2014 European Parliament election was the United Kingdom's component of the 2014 European Parliament election, held on Thursday 22 May 2014, coinciding with the 2014 local elections in England and Northern Ireland. In total, 73 Members of the European Parliament were elected from the United Kingdom using proportional representation. England, Scotland and Wales use a closed-list party list system of PR, while Northern Ireland used the single transferable vote (STV).
Survation is a polling and market research agency based in London, England. Survation have been conducting research surveys since 2010. Surveys are conducted via telephone, online panel and face to face as well as omnibus research for a broad range of clients including television, newspapers, charities, lobby groups, trade unions, law firms and political parties. Damian Lyons Lowe is the company founder and Chief Executive.
The 2015 United Kingdom general election was held on Thursday, 7 May 2015 to elect 650 members of Parliament (MPs) to the House of Commons. The Conservative Party, led by prime minister David Cameron, won an unexpected majority victory of ten seats; they had been leading a coalition government with the Liberal Democrats. It was the last general election to be held before the UK voted to leave the European Union (EU) in June 2016.
In the run-up to the general election on 8 June 2017, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations. This article concerns the nearly 300 polls carried out since the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. Polling conducted before the referendum can be found here. Polls listed here, except as noted, are by members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
Opinion polling for the 2019 general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.
At various dates in the run up to the 2019 general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.
In the run-up to the 2021 Senedd election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The opinion polls listed range from the previous election on 12 December 2019 to the election on Thursday, 4 July 2024.
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.
This article collates polling conducted for various geographical regions, including polls of individual constituencies. Polling covering all of the UK or Great Britain are collated in the article Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election.