Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election

Last updated

In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 6 May 2021, to the next election, which can be held no later than 7 May 2026.

Constituency vote

Polling for the next Holyrood election - constituency vote ScotlandC.svg
Polling for the next Holyrood election - constituency vote
Dates
conducted
PollsterClientSample
size
SNP Con Lab Lib Dems Green Alba Ref Others Lead
29 Aug 2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun 2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17832%10%20%10%8%17%3%12
12–18 Jun 2025 Ipsos STV News1,06634%10%23%9%9%1%14%1%11
5 Jun 2025 Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election
27–30 May 2025 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00733%13%19%8%7%0%18%0%14
2–5 May 2025 Survation True North1,02033%11%19%11%5%1%19%0%14
16–22 Apr 2025 Survation Diffley Partnership1,00536%13%22%9%5%1%14%0%14
7–11 Apr 2025 Find Out Now The National1,41735%12%14%12%9%3%12%0%21
26 Mar 2025 Kenny MacAskill is elected leader of the Alba Party
6–13 Mar 2025 Survation Quantum Communications1,01234%12%23%8%4%1%17%0%11
25 Feb3 Mar 2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17833%11%21%7%9%17%1%12
15–20 Jan 2025 Find Out Now Sunday Herald1,33434%13%20%9%9%2%13%0%12
11–14 Jan 2025 Norstat The Times1,02635%15%18%11%6%2%14%0%17
7–13 Jan 2025 Survation Holyrood Sources1,02435%14%22%8%6%2%13%0%13
17–24 Dec 2024 Find Out Now The National1,77435%15%19%9%7%2%11%0%16
4–6 Dec 2024 Norstat The Times1,01337%14%21%10%5%12%3%16
1–15 Nov 2024 Survation Progress Scotland 3,01632%14%27%9%6%10%5
30 Oct1 Nov 2024 Norstat The Times1,01333%15%23%10%6%11%10
12 Oct 2024 Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies
27 Sep 2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep 2024 Survation Progress Scotland2,05931%13%31%8%6%1%9%1%Tie
5–11 Sep 2024 Opinium The Times1,02832%12%25%8%7%12%3%7
27–29 Aug 2024 Survation Scotland in Union1,02131%12%30%9%6%1%9%1
20–22 Aug 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,01133%12%30%8%5%9%2%3
4 Jul 2024 2024 United Kingdom general election
26–27 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,20033%14%34%8%3%1%6%1%1
21–25 Jun 2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,04237%14%35%8%5%2
21–25 Jun 2024 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,02233%14%37%8%4%1%3%4
14–18 Jun 2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,06936%16%35%7%6%1
11–14 Jun 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,05034%16%32%8%6%5%2
3–7 Jun 2024 YouGov N/A1,06834%13%35%10%5%4%1
1–2 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00033%17%32%9%2%2%4%0%1
8–9 May 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,07833%15%35%9%3%4%2
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May 2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,08035%18%35%6%5%Tie
30 Apr3 May 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08634%14%33%9%5%5%1
26–29 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A1,04336%16%32%9%3%4%4
9–12 Apr 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08635%17%30%10%5%4%5
6–7 Apr 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00034%21%32%6%2%2%3%2
25 Mar2 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A1,10034%15%32%9%4%5%2
10–11 Mar 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00035%18%31%5%3%3%4%4
21–28 Feb 2024 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17834%15%32%8%7%4%2
3–4 Feb 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00035%18%33%8%3%3%1%2
25–31 Jan 2024 Ipsos STV News1,00539%14%30%7%4%1%1%3%9
23–25 Jan 2024 Survation True North1,02935%16%31%8%5%2%3%4
22–25 Jan 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00736%16%31%7%5%5%5
9–11 Jan 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,04037%18%32%8%3%1%1%5
20–26 Nov 2023 Ipsos STV News1,00439%15%27%8%4%3%1%2%12
29–30 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09234%22%30%8%2%2%2%4
20–25 Oct 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20034%14%32%9%7%4%2
6–11 Oct 2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00237%18%33%6%5%4
2–6 Oct 2023 YouGov Fabians1,02837%20%29%9%3%3%9
2–5 Oct 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,02235%16%31%7%7%3%4
4–5 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09435%20%29%10%3%1%6
5–14 Sep 2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institute1,00442%20%26%8%5%16
8–13 Sep 2023 YouGov The Times1.10341%16%28%8%3%4%13
2–4 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,10039%16%30%8%1%3%9
15–18 Aug 2023 Survation True North1,02239%16%34%8%4%5
3–8 Aug 2023 YouGov The Times1,08641%14%31%7%3%4%10
5–6 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05036%19%32%8%2%1%1%4
1–2 Jul 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,03033%21%30%10%2%1%2%3
23–28 Jun 2023 Survation N/A1,89138%17%33%10%3%5
12–15 Jun 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00736%13%32%9%7%3%4
9–14 Jun 2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,01840%16%33%8%3%7
9–13 Jun 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20037%15%29%8%7%4%8
3–5 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,39536%21%29%8%2%1%2%1%7
15–21 May 2023 Ipsos STV News1,09042%17%28%7%4%1%1%14
27 Apr3 May 2023 Survation True North1,00939%19%30%9%4%9
30 Apr2 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,29536%18%32%8%2%1%2%4
17–20 Apr 2023 YouGov The Times1,03238%16%30%10%2%4%8
29 Mar3 Apr 2023 Survation N/A1,00138%16%27%7%3%11
31 Mar1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00038%18%28%10%3%2%4%10
28–31 Mar 2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00939%19%32%7%3%7
28–30 Mar 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,08937%17%30%8%5%4%7
27 Mar 2023 Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and then as First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar 2023 YouGov Sky News1,00243%15%26%8%4%3%17
7–10 Mar 2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,01339%14%31%8%6%2%8
2–5 Mar 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05040%20%29%7%2%2%1%11
17–20 Feb 2023 YouGov The Times1,01742%18%28%8%2%3%14
15–17 Feb 2023 Survation N/A1,03443%17%29%8%1%1%1%14
15–17 Feb 2023 Savanta The Scotsman100843%17%30%8%2%13
10–15 Feb 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study123939%17%28%8%5%3%11
1–7 Feb 2023 Survation N/A107043%17%29%7%4%14
23–26 Jan 2023 YouGov The Sunday Times1,08844%17%26%7%2%3%18
10–12 Jan 2023 Survation True North1,00246%17%27%8%2%19
22 Dec1 Jan 2023 Survation Scotland in Union1,02544%16%29%8%1%1%1%15
16–21 Dec 2022 Savanta The Scotsman1,04844%18%28%8%3%16
6–9 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times1,09050%13%25%7%2%2%25
28 Nov5 Dec 2022 Ipsos MORI STV News1,04550%14%24%7%3%3%26
22–25 Nov 2022 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,23950%15%23%8%5%
3%
Others on 2%
'Would not vote' on 10%
'Don't know' on 15%
'Refused' on 1%
27
7–11 Oct 2022 Panelbase Alba Party1,01845%15%28%6%3%3%17
30 Sep4 Oct 2022 YouGov The Times1,06749%13%26%8%4%23
30 Sep4 Oct 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02947%17%25%8%2%22
28–29 Sep 2022 Survation Scotland in Union1,01145%14%30%6%4%15
17–19 Aug 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,13345%19%22%8%6%23
29 Jun1 Jul 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01047%17%22%9%3%2%25
23–28 Jun 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02946%18%25%8%4%21
18–23 May 2022 YouGov The Times1,11547%18%23%7%2%3%24
5 May 2022 Scottish local elections
26 Apr3 May 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01046%18%25%7%4%21
26–29 Apr 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00942%19%24%7%4%4%18
25–31 Mar 2022 BMG The Herald1,01244%21%22%8%4%22
24–28 Mar 2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,00246%20%25%7%2%21
10–16 Mar 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00846%20%24%7%3%22
24–28 Feb 2022 Savanta ComRes The Economist1,86647%21%22%8%2%25
1–4 Feb 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01444%19%22%8%3%3%22
14–18 Jan 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00447%19%22%8%4%25
22–29 Nov 2021 Ipsos MORI STV News1,10752%19%17%5%3%4%33
18–22 Nov 2021 YouGov The Times1,06048%21%19%7%2%3%27
9–12 Nov 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,78147%20%19%8%4%2%27
22–28 Oct 2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00548%20%22%7%3%26
6–10 Sep 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times2,00346%22%18%7%4%3%24
3–9 Sep 2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01648%22%20%7%3%26
2–8 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News1,01451%21%18%6%4%30
20 Aug 2021Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,28746%24%19%6%3%2%22
6 May 2021 2021 Scottish Parliament election [1] 47.7%21.9%21.6%6.9%1.3%N/AN/A0.6%25.8

Regional vote

Polling for the next Holyrood election - regional vote ScotlandListVote2026.svg
Polling for the next Holyrood election - regional vote
Dates
conducted
PollsterClientSample
size
SNP Con Lab Green Lib Dems Alba Ref Others Lead
29 Aug 2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun 2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17829%10%21%10%10%3%18%1%7
12–18 Jun 2025 Ipsos STV News1,06626%10%22%15%8%2%16%1%4
5 Jun 2025 Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election
27–30 May 2025 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00728%15%18%9%10%3%16%10
2–5 May 2025 Survation True North1,02029%12%18%9%10%3%20%9
16–22 Apr 2025 Survation Diffley Partnership1,00528%16%22%10%9%2%12%6
7–11 Apr 2025 Find Out Now The National1,41725%15%15%14%12%7%10%10
26 Mar 2025 Kenny MacAskill is elected leader of the Alba Party
6–13 Mar 2025 Survation Quantum Communications1,01229%13%20%8%9%3%16%9
25 Feb3 Mar 2025 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17830%13%18%10%8%1%18%1%12
15–20 Jan 2025 Find Out Now Sunday Herald1,33427%15%16%13%12%5%11%10
11–14 Jan 2025 Norstat The Times1,02630%15%17%10%11%4%13%13
7–13 Jan 2025 Survation Holyrood Sources1,02431%14%21%9%10%2%13%10
17–24 Dec 2024 Find Out Now The National1,77426%14%17%13%10%6%11%3%9
4–6 Dec 2024 Norstat The Times1,01332%16%18%8%10%5%12%1%14
1–15 Nov 2024 Survation Progress Scotland 3,01627%15%25%10%9%3%11%2
30 Oct1 Nov 2024 Norstat The Times1,01329%14%22%9%9%3%11%7
12 Oct 2024 Alex Salmond, former First Minister and leader of the Alba Party, dies
27 Sep 2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep 2024 Survation Progress Scotland2,05928%14%26%10%10%3%10%1%2
5–11 Sep 2024 Opinium The Times1,02830%12%25%8%8%12%4%5
27–29 Aug 2024 Survation Scotland in Union1,02127%12%28%10%10%2%9%0%1
20–22 Aug 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,01128%14%28%8%7%5%9%0%Tie
4 Jul 2024 2024 United Kingdom general election
26–27 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,20027%14%34%8%9%1%6%1%7
21–25 Jun 2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,04231%17%29%9%9%4%2
21–25 Jun 2024 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,02230%16%34%7%8%2%1%4
14–18 Jun 2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,06929%16%29%12%10%5%Tie
11–14 Jun 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,05028%16%27%9%8%5%7%1%1
3–7 Jun 2024 YouGov N/A1,06829%14%29%11%9%2%5%2%Tie
1–2 Jun 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00031%15%28%7%9%4%6%0%3
8–9 May 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,07827%14%33%9%9%3%5%1%6
6–8 May John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland
3–8 May 2024 Savanta The Scotsman1,08026%18%32%11%10%4%6
30 Apr3 May 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08627%17%28%9%8%4%6%1%1
26–29 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A1,04331%17%28%8%8%3%3%1%3
9–12 Apr 2024 Norstat Sunday Times1,08628%19%25%9%10%3%4%1%3
6–7 Apr 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00026%17%29%9%9%3%5%2%3
25 Mar2 Apr 2024 YouGov N/A1,10029%16%29%9%8%3%5%2%Tie
10–11 Mar 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00028%16%29%9%9%3%5%0%1
21–28 Feb 2024 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,17831%15%30%11%7%1%4%
1%
UKIP on 0%
All for Unity on 0%
Other on 1%
1
3–4 Feb 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00027%16%29%9%9%3%5%1%2
25–31 Jan 2024 Ipsos STV News1,00533%13%31%11%7%1%2%2%2
23–25 Jan 2024 Survation True North1,02931%16%29%9%8%3%0%2
22–25 Jan 2024 Norstat The Sunday Times1,00730%19%29%9%7%3%2%1%1
9–11 Jan 2024 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,04025%17%30%11%10%3%4%1%5
20–26 Nov 2023 Ipsos STV News1,00433%15%26%10%8%4%1%2%7
29–30 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,09228%21%27%9%8%3%4%1%1
20–25 Oct 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20030%14%30%11%8%4%3%2%Tie
6–11 Oct 2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00228%20%29%13%8%2%1
2–6 Oct 2023 YouGov Fabians1,02828%19%28%11%7%3%2%1%Tie
2–5 Oct 2023 Panelbase Sunday Times1,02229%18%30%12%8%0%*3%1
4–5 Oct 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,09426%19%25%12%12%3%2%1%1
5–14 Sep 2023 Opinium Tony Blair Institution1,00435%18%25%8%8%2%3%10
8–13 Sep 2023 YouGov The Times1,10333%16%25%11%8%2%3%2%8
2–4 Sep 2023 Redfield & Wilton 1,10025%15%30%14%9%4%3%1%5
15–18 Aug 2023 Survation True North1,02230%15%30%9%9%5%2%Tie
3–8 Aug 2023 YouGov The Times1,08632%14%28%11%8%2%3%2%4
5–6 Aug 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05029%18%30%9%9%2%3%1%1
1–2 Jul 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,03029%19%26%8%12%2%4%1%3
23–28 Jun 2023 Survation N/A1,89130%18%29%10%9%2%2%1
12–15 Jun 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00730%17%28%12%8%4%1%2
9–14 Jun 2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,01828%18%28%13%11%3%Tie
9–13 Jun 2023 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,20030%16%27%8%11%3%1%4%3
3–5 Jun 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,39525%18%25%13%10%3%3%0%Tie
15–21 May 2023 Ipsos STV News1,09035%17%27%12%5%2%1%1%8
27 Apr3 May 2023 Survation True North1,00932%19%26%10%7%3%2%1%6
30 Apr2 May 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,29525%19%27%13%10%2%2%2%2
17–20 Apr 2023 YouGov The Times1,03230%17%26%12%9%2%2%3%4
29 Mar3 Apr 2023 Survation N/A1,00132%17%23%8%7%2%2%9
31 Mar1 Apr 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,00030%19%24%11%13%2%2%6
28–31 Mar 2023 Savanta The Scotsman1,00933%18%30%10%7%2%3
28–30 Mar 2023 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,08931%20%27%10%6%5%2%4
27 Mar 2023 Humza Yousaf is elected as the leader of the SNP and First Minister of Scotland
9–13 Mar 2023 YouGov Sky News1,00235%16%25%11%8%2%3%1%10
7–10 Mar 2023 Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,01332%17%27%12%8%3%5
2–5 Mar 2023 Redfield & Wilton N/A1,05029%20%26%10%11%1%3%3
17–20 Feb 2023 YouGov The Times1,01735%18%27%9%7%2%2%0%8
15–17 Feb 2023 Survation N/A1,03435%18%27%8%8%2%1%0%8
15–17 Feb 2023 Savanta The Scotsman100832%16%27%14%9%2%5
15 Feb 2023 Nicola Sturgeon announces her intention to resign as First Minister and leader of the Scottish National Party.
10–15 Feb 2023 YouGov Scottish Election Study123933%17%28%11%7%1%3%2%5
1–7 Feb 2023 Survation N/A1,00733%17%25%12%7%2%3%8
23–26 Jan 2023 YouGov The Sunday Times1,08836%17%26%9%6%4%3%1%10
10–12 Jan 2023 Survation True North1,00233%18%25%12%8%2%2%8
22 Dec1 Jan 2023 Survation Scotland in Union1,02533%15%26%12%9%2%2%1%7
16–21 Dec 2022 Savanta The Scotsman1,04832%18%24%13%10%2%8
6–9 Dec 2022 YouGov The Times1,09040%13%24%11%6%3%2%1%16
28 Nov5 Dec 2022 Ipsos MORI STV News1,04543%14%21%13%6%1%2%18
22–25 Nov 2022 YouGov Scottish Elections Study1,23938%15%24%8%12%1%3%0%14
7–11 Oct 2022 Panelbase Alba Party1,01837%17%26%9%7%4%0%11
30 Sep4 Oct 2022 YouGov The Times1,06738%14%24%12%8%1%1%1%14
30 Sep4 Oct 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02932%19%26%13%8%2%1%6
28–29 Sep 2022 Survation Scotland in Union1,01131%14%27%14%9%1%2%1%4
17–19 Aug 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,13338%20%20%9%9%4%18
29 Jun1 Jul 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01041%19%22%7%8%3%19
23–28 Jun 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,02933%20%24%13%8%2%1%9
18–23 May 2022 YouGov The Times1,11539%18%21%10%8%2%1%1%18
5 May 2022 Scottish local elections
26 Apr3 May 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01031%18%23%14%10%1%*
4%*
Other on 1%
8
26–29 Apr 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,00936%20%22%10%7%5%14
25–31 Mar 2022 BMG The Herald1,01233%20%22%10%8%3%4%11
24–28 Mar 2022 Survation Ballot Box Scotland1,00234%19%23%11%8%2%3%11
10–16 Mar 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00834%20%22%13%8%2%1%12
24–28 Feb 2022 Savanta ComRes The Economist1,86634%21%20%14%8%2%1%13
1–4 Feb 2022 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,01438%21%20%9%8%5%17
14–18 Jan 2022 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00438%18%20%12%9%2%1%18
22–29 Nov 2021 Ipsos MORI STV News1,10743%20%15%12%6%1%3%23
18–22 Nov 2021 YouGov The Times1,06038%19%19%11%7%1%5%19
9–12 Nov 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,78141%21%18%10%8%2%20
22–28 Oct 2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,00538%22%20%11%7%1%1%16
6–10 Sep 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times2,00338%23%18%9%8%4%15
3–9 Sep 2021 Savanta ComRes The Scotsman1,01636%23%18%13%7%2%1%13
2–8 Sep 2021 Opinium Sky News1,01440%21%16%8%5%10%19
20 Aug 2021Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats
16–24 Jun 2021 Panelbase The Sunday Times1,28738%23%17%9%6%6%15
6 May 2021 2021 Scottish Parliament election [1] 40.3%23.5%17.9%8.1%5.1%1.7%0.2%3.2%16.8

See also

Notes

    References

    1. 1 2 "Full votes and seats by party etc - SPE21". Electoral Management Board for Scotland. 9 May 2021. Archived from the original on 2 August 2021. Retrieved 2 August 2021.