Opinion polling in Scotland for the next United Kingdom general election

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Politics and polling in Scotland often have a different dynamic to the rest of the UK, ^[1] and polling companies undertake separate polling in Scotland: results of such polls are displayed in this article. The polling companies listed are all members of the British Polling Council ^[2] at the time of polling and abide by its disclosure rules. ^[3] The dates of these opinion polls range from the previous general election on 4 July 2024 to the present.

The next UK general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. The act mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later. ^[4]

Graphical Summary

Polls

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	SNP	Con	LD	Ref	Grn	Alba	Others	Lead
13–19 Jun 2025	YouGov [5]	Scottish Election Study	1,178	19%	29%	10%	11%	22%	7%		1%	7
12–18 Jun 2025	Ipsos [6]	STV	1,066	22%	31%	10%	9%	16%	10%	1%	1%	9
27–30 May 2025	Norstat [7]	The Sunday Times	1,007	20%	31%	12%	8%	21%	7%	1%	1%	10
2–5 May 2025	Survation [8]	True North	1,020	19%	32%	11%	11%	21%	5%			11
16–22 Apr 2025	Survation [9]	Diffley Partnership	1,005	24%	33%	14%	9%	15%	5%			9
15–20 Jan 2025	Find Out Now [10]	Sunday Herald	1,334	18%	32%	12%	9%	17%	6%		5%	14
11–14 Jan 2025	Norstat [11]	The Sunday Times	1,334	18%	32%	13%	11%	17%	6%	2%		14
7–13 Jan 2025	Survation [12]	Holyrood Sources	1,024	24%	33%	14%	9%	15%	4%		1%	9
17–24 Dec 2024	Find Out Now [13]	The National	1,774	20%	34%	13%	9%	15%	6%		2%	14
4–6 Dec 2024	Norstat [14]	The Sunday Times	1,013	20%	31%	14%	9%	15%	6%	3%	1%	11
1–15 Nov 2024	Survation [15]	Progress Scotland	3,016	28%	31%	15%	6%	13%	5%	2%	1%	3
30 Oct – 1 Nov 2024	Norstat [16]	The Sunday Times	1,013	23%	30%	15%	10%	14%	6%	1%	1%	7
27 Sep 2024	Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep 2024	Survation [17]	Progress Scotland	2,059	31%	31%	14%	9%	11%	3%	1%		Tie
5–11 Sep 2024	Opinium [18]	The Sunday Times	1,028	25%	32%	14%	8%	11%	7%		2%	7
20–22 Aug 2024	Norstat [19]	The Sunday Times	1,011	32%	29%	12%	8%	12%	5%	2%	1%	3
4 Jul 2024		2024 General Election Result	–	35.3%	30.0%	12.7%	9.7%	7.0%	3.8%	0.5%	1.6%	5.3

UK polls with Scottish Subset

This section captures data from UK wide polls that have a Scottish sub set, these produce very small sample sizes and should be viewed with caution as the statistical margin of error will be in the region of ±10%. ^[20] The statistical margin of error for full poll with sample of 1000 is typically ±3%. Additional uncertainty arises from the fact that sub-samples may not be correctly weighted to account for demographic variations (age, gender, previous voting intention etc.).

Date(s) conducted	Pollster	Client	Sample size	Lab	SNP	Con	LD	Ref	Grn	Others	Lead
31 Aug – 1 Sep 2025	YouGov [21]	The Times/Sky News	220	16%	36%	6%	9%	26%	4%	2%	10
22–28 Aug 2025	BMG Research [22]	iPaper	76	16%	26%	20%	14%	19%	5%	1%	7
27 Aug 2025	Find Out Now [23]		120	15%	28%	13%	15%	19%	1%	10%	9
25–26 Aug 2025	YouGov [24]	The Times/Sky News	212	17%	32%	9%	11%	19%	8%	3%	13
20–22 Aug 2025	Opinium [25]	The Observer	139	16%	30%	9%	16%	21%	7%	1%	9
20 Aug 2025	Find Out Now [26]		121	14%	28%	10%	11%	18%	4%	3%	10
17–18 Aug 2025	YouGov [27]	The Times/Sky News	208	16%	38%	10%	10%	19%	3%	3%	19
13–14 Aug 2025	Find Out Now [28]		120	11%	30%	13%	13%	20%	6%	6%	10
10–11 Aug 2025	YouGov [29]	The Times/Sky News	218	11%	37%	11%	13%	19%	4%	5%	18
8–11 Aug 2025	More in Common [30]		127	25%	24%	13%	9%	18%	5%	5%	1
8–11 Aug 2025	Opinium [31]	The Observer	124	14%	39%	10%	9%	24%	4%	1%	15
6 Aug 2025	Find Out Now [32]		124	13%	28%	16%	12%	22%	6%	5%	6
3–4 Aug 2025	YouGov [33]	The Times/Sky News	215	15%	39%	11%	13%	14%	5%	3%	24
1–3 Aug 2025	More in Common [34]		125	15%	29%	17%	8%	24%	7%		5
1–3 Aug 2025	Freshwater Strategies [35]	City AM	57	14%	40%	20%	5%	18%	4%	0%	20
29–31 Jul 2025	BMG Research [36]	iPaper	123	15%	29%	17%	12%	18%	8%	5%	11
30 Jul 2025	Find Out Now [37]		130	17%	26%	11%	10%	21%	5%	5%	5
27–28 Jul 2025	YouGov [38]	The Times/Sky News	192	21%	31%	6%	8%	22%	9%	3%	9
26–28 Jul 2025	More in Common [39]		116	19%	31%	6%	12%	19%	10%	2%	12
23–25 Jul 2025	Opinium [40]	The Observer	127	24%	33%	11%	4%	21%	4%	2%	9
23 Jul 2025	Find Out Now [41]		121	13%	28%	10%	11%	29%	5%	5%	1
20–21 Jul 2025	YouGov [42]	The Times/Sky News	198	17%	34%	11%	9%	21%	6%	2%	13
16 Jul 2025	Find Out Now [43]		119	18%	26%	13%	12%	19%	5%	6%	7
13–14 Jul 2025	YouGov [44]	The Times/Sky News	192	18%	33%	7%	12%	22%	6%	3%	11
11–14 Jul 2025	More in Common [45]		177	20%	31%	10%	15%	20%	3%	1%	11
9–11 Jul 2025	Opinium [46]	The Observer	120	20%	31%	11%	6%	23%	7%	3%	8
9 Jul 2025	Find Out Now [47]		129	17%	24%	12%	11%	25%	8%	2%	1
5–7 Jul 2025	YouGov [48]	The Times/Sky News	219	20%	40%	5%	12%	17%	4%	2%	20
4–7 Jul 2025	More in Common [49]		121	25%	28%	11%	9%	20%	4%	3%	3
4–6 Jul 2025	Freshwater Strategies [50]	City AM	54	23%	30%	14%	10%	19%	3%	1%	7
2 Jul 2025	Find Out Now [51]		128	19%	29%	7%	12%	21%	7%	4%	8
29–30 Jun 2025	YouGov [52]	The Times/Sky News	208	22%	32%	12%	8%	13%	9%	2%	10
27–30 Jun 2025	More in Common [53]		165	17%	30%	12%	8%	20%	7%	6%	10
25–27 Jun 2025	Opinium [54]	The Observer	128	20%	28%	15%	7%	21%	6%	2%	7
25 Jun 2025	Find Out Now [55]		109	14%	37%	9%	11%	16%	8%	5%	21
24–25 Jun 2025	BMG Research [56]	iPaper	73	21%	28%	11%	10%	21%	98	1%	7
22–23 Jun 2025	YouGov [57]	The Times/Sky News	156	17%	39%	6%	10%	19%	6%	2%	20
20–23 Jun 2025	More in Common [58]		107	23%	28%	8%	12%	14%	10%	5%	5
18 Jun 2025	Find Out Now [59]		131	24%	34%	7%	4%	20%	10%	1%	10
15–16 Jun 2025	YouGov [60]	The Times/Sky News	196	23%	41%	7%	10%	13%	5%	0%	18
13–16 Jun 2025	More in Common [61]		83	18%	37%	16%	10%	12%	6%	0%	19
11–13 Jun 2025	Opinium [62]	The Observer	117	20%	31%	9%	6%	25%	4%	4%	6
11 Jun 2025	Find Out Now [63]		128	22%	32%	7%	11%	22%	4%	2%	10
10–11 Jun 2025	Survation [64]		142	21%	30%	11%	13%	20%	2%	2%	9
8–9 Jun 2025	YouGov [65]	The Times/Sky News	191	17%	33%	7%	11%	28%	4%		5
6–9 Jun 2025	More in Common [66]		107	19%	33%	5%	13%	23%	6%	0%	10
4 Jun 2025	Find Out Now [67]		96	14%	31%	13%	6%	25%	8%	2%	6
1–2 Jun 2025	YouGov [68]	The Times/Sky News	144	17%	38%	7%	7%	24%	3%	1%	14
30 May – 2 Jun 2025	More in Common [69]		107	24%	25%	12%	12%	18%	9%		1
30 May – 2 Jun 2025	Survation [70]		76	23%	32%	9%	7%	20%	2%	9%	9
28–29 May 2025	BMG Research [71]	iPaper	80	20%	32%	12%	8%	18%	9%	1%	12
28–30 May 2025	Opinium [72]	The Observer	116	19%	33%	9%	13%	20%	4%	2%	13
28 May 2025	Find Out Now [73]		114	13%	26%	12%	9%	32%	4%	1%	6
26–27 May 2025	YouGov [74]	The Times/Sky News	133	17%	23%	13%	12%	24%	7%	4%	1
23–26 May 2025	More in Common [75]		123	16%	24%	16%	10%	24%	4%	4%	Tie
21 May 2025	Find Out Now [76]		108	13%	28%	6%	19%	20%	10%	4%	8
19 May 2025	YouGov [77]	The Times/Sky News	146	19%	28%	8%	19%	18%	11%	0%	9
16–19 May 2025	More in Common [78]		93	16%	26%	12%	14%	23%	8%	2%	3
14–16 May 2025	Opinium [79]	The Observer	113	21%	31%	12%	8%	16%	9%	3%	10
14 May 2025	Find out Now [80]		118	16%	30%	11%	11%	22%	8%	2%	8
11–12 May 2025	YouGov [81]	The Times/Sky News	201	15%	36%	8%	14%	18%	6%	2%	18
10–12 May 2025	More in Common [82]		89	18%	32%	16%	10%	17%	7%	1%	14
7 May 2025	Find out Now [83]		97	9%	34%	10%	18%	21%	9%	0%	13
6 May 2025	YouGov [84]	The Times/Sky News	151	15%	35%	8%	9%	26%	6%	2%	9
3–4 May 2025	More In Common [85]		113	17%	29%	11%	9%	20%	8%	7%	9
30 Apr – 2 May 2025	Opinium [86]	The Observer	122	17%	35%	15%	9%	18%	5%	2%	17
30 Apr – 2 May 2025	Survation [87]		93	33%	35%	9%	14%	5%	2%	3%	2
30 Apr 2025	FindoutNow [88]		93	15%	31%	17%	11%	17%	9%	0%	14
28 Apr 2025	YouGov [89]	The Times/Sky News	147	20%	35%	8%	12%	17%	8%	1%	15
23–25 Apr 2025	Opinium Archived 2025-04-26 at the Wayback Machine [90]	The Observer	138	21%	32%	14%	9%	17%	6%	1%	11
23 Apr 2025	FindoutNow [91]		99	16%	33%	10%	14%	17%	5%	5%	16
21–22 Apr 2025	YouGov [92]	The Times/Sky News	175	14%	32%	9%	11%	23%	8%	4%	9
17–21 Apr 2025	More in Common [93]		111	19%	27%	17%	10%	18%	5%	4%	8
16 Apr 2025	FindoutNow [94]		118	22%	33%	13%	7%	13%	7%	5%	11
13–14 Apr 2025	YouGov [95]	The Times/Sky News	209	16%	40%	11%	10%	18%	5%	1%	22
11–14 Apr 2025	Focaldata [96]		80	26%	29%	25%	6%	7%	4%	3%	3
9 Apr 2025	FindoutNow [97]		136	18%	25%	14%	16%	13%	6%	5%	7
6–7 Apr 2025	YouGov [98]	The Times/Sky News	209	16%	31%	17%	14%	14%	7%	1%	14
2–4 Apr 2025	FindoutNow [99]		120	19%	38%	12%	6%	11%	7%	6%	19
30–31 Mar 2025	YouGov [100]	The Times/Sky News	208	17%	29%	12%	14%	20%	5%	3%	9
28–31 Mar 2025	More in Common [101]		116	19%	24%	22%	11%	17%	6%	0%	2
26–28 Mar 2025	Opinium [102]	The Observer	120	14%	38%	12%	7%	21%	2%	4%	17
26–27 Mar 2025	BMG [103]	iPaper	101	23%	36%	15%	9%	11%	3%	2%	13
26 Mar 2025	FindoutNow [104]		126	12%	34%	12%	9%	16%	12%	5%	18
22–24 Mar 2025	More in Common [105]		107	21%	29%	19%	9%	20%	3%	0%	8
23–24 Mar 2025	YouGov [106]	The Times/Sky News	203	15%	32%	11%	11%	13%	9%	6%	17
19–21 Mar 2025	Opinium [107]	The Observer	130	20%	30%	11%	13%	21%	2%	3%	9
16–17 Mar 2025	YouGov [108]	The Times/Sky News	201	23%	30%	13%	11%	15%	7%	1%	7
14–17 Mar 2025	DeltaPoll [109]		171	21%	38%	19%	6%	9%	5%	1%	17
12 Mar 2025	FindoutNow [110]		140	16%	33%	13%	6%	23%	4%	3%	10
9–10 Mar 2025	YouGov	The Times/Sky News	199	16%	31%	17%	12%	15%	7%	2%	14
7–10 Mar 2025	More in Common		119	28%	26%	18%	7%	16%	%	1%	2
5–7 Mar 2025	Opinium	The Observer	125	21%	32%	9%	7%	22%	7%	3%	10
5 Mar 2025	FindoutNow		130	22%	31%	16%	10%	15%	6%	1%	9
02–3 Mar 2025	YouGov	The Times	193	21%	32%	13%	11%	16%	6%		11
28 Feb – 2 Mar 2025	More in Common		193	24%	27%	12%	15%	17%	5%		3
26 Feb 2025	FindoutNow		138	15%	31%	12%	11%	24%	7%	1%	7
23–24 Feb 2025	YouGov	The Times	210	17%	39%	15%	10%	14%	4%	1%	22
21–24 Feb 2025	More in Common		108	17%	29%	18%	11%	19%	7%		10
19–21 Feb 2025	Opinium	The Observer	119	17%	36%	11%	12%	16%	6%	2%	19
19 Feb 2025	FindoutNow		102	26%	30%	8%	14%	10%	8%	5%	4
16–17 Feb 2025	YouGov		212	22%	34%	8%	7%	22%	6%		12
14–18 Feb 2025	More in Common		199	22%	31%	13%	12%	18%	3%		9
11–14 Feb 2025	YouGov	The Times	193	21%	32%	13%	11%	16%	6%		11
9–10 Feb 2025	YouGov		107	23%	27%	14%	10%	22%	3%	1%	3
7–10 Feb 2025	More in Common		107	17%	38%	10%	12%	19%	3%	1%	19
5–7 Feb 2025	Opinium	The Observer	124	15%	36%	12%	6%	23%	5%	3%	13
5–6 Feb 2025	Find Out Now		117	18%	30%	10%	14%	18%	9%	3%	12
2–3 Feb 2025	YouGov	Sky News	215	15%	34%	13%	13%	17%	5%	4%	17
28–29 Jan 2025	BMG		104	27%	35%	10%	8%	12%	5%	3%	8
25 Jan 2025	YouGov [111]		147	21%	34%	11%	13%	17%	4%		13
22–23 Jan 2025	Whitestone Insight		136	22%	32%	11%	12%	11%	9%	2%	10
20 Jan 2025	YouGov [112]		159	16%	36%	14%	13%	16%	5%		20
17–20 Jan 2025	More in Common		124	24%	26%	13%	12%	16%	4%		2
13 Jan 2025	YouGov [113]		147	23%	33%	14%	8%	18%	7%		10
6–8 Jan 2025	More in Common [ permanent dead link ]		124	20%	30%	18%	10%	17%	3%		8
8 Jan 2025	Find Out Now		102	18%	35%	10%	12%	15%	7%	1%	17
8–10 Jan 2025	Opinium		125	25%	28%	11%	10%	16%	5%	4%	3
30 Dec – 3 Jan 2025	Deltapoll	Mail on Sunday	104	17%	32%	12%	14%	17%	8%		15

See also

• List of political parties in Scotland
• Next United Kingdom general election in Scotland
• Opinion polling on Scottish independence
• Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
• Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
• Polling in Scotland for 2024 United Kingdom general election

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