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97 seats in the current Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt (83 plus overhang and leveling seats) 44 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election to elect the 9th Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt will be held no later than 6 September 2026. [1]
According to Article 43 of the State Constitution, the state election must take place between the 58th and 62nd month after the start of the legislative period, unless the period is terminated early. The legislative period of the state parliament elected on 6 June 2021 began with its first session on 6 July 2021. Consequently, possible election dates initially included all Sundays and public holidays between 10 May and 6 September 2026. In May 2025, the state parliament designated 6 September 2026, thus the last possible day, as the election date. [1]
The State Parliament of Saxony-Anhalt consists of at least 83 members, though this number may increase due to overhang and compensatory mandates. Of these, 41 members are directly elected in constituencies, while the remaining seats are allocated to parties based on their state lists. Each voter has two votes: a first vote (Erststimme) to elect a constituency representative and a second vote (Zweitstimme) to select a party’s state list, which determines the proportional distribution of seats in the parliament. The allocation of seats is governed by the Hare/Niemeyer method, with only parties receiving at least 5% of the valid second votes considered for proportional distribution. The State Election Committee oversees the process, first determining the total second votes cast for each state list. Seats are then distributed as follows:
In the 2021 Saxony-Anhalt state election, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) emerged again as the strongest party. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) experienced slight losses but remained the second-largest force. Contrary to pre-election predictions of a tight race between the CDU and AfD, the CDU secured a 16-percentage-point lead over the AfD.
The Left Party (Die Linke) also recorded losses, achieving 11% of the vote. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) suffered its worst result in Saxony-Anhalt's history. The Free Democratic Party (FDP), with 6.4% of the vote, returned to the state parliament after a decade-long absence. The Greens secured 5.9%, narrowly retaining their parliamentary representation.
Following the election, due to a fragile 49/97 majority "Grand Coalition" between the CDU and SPD alone, the FDP was included, and the CDU, SPD, and FDP formed a black-red-yellow coalition, with same political colors as in the German flag, thus known as the "Germany Coalition", and consisting of all the three factions that were represented in the West-Germany-only Bundestag from 1961 to 1983.
Reiner Haseloff (CDU) was re-elected as Minister-President and head of the state government, though he secured a majority of votes only in the second ballot. The coalition government holds a clear majority in the state parliament, commanding 56 of the 97 seats.
# | Name | Ideology | 2021 result | |||
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Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
1 | CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands | Christian democracy | 37.1% | 40 / 97 | |
2 | AfD | Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland | Right-wing populism | 20.8% | 23 / 97 | |
3 | Left | Die Linke Die Linke | Left-wing populism | 11.0% | 12 / 97 | |
4 | SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands | Social democracy | 8.4% | 9 / 97 | |
5 | FDP | Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei | Classical liberalism | 6.4% | 7 / 97 | |
6 | Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen | Green politics | 5.9% | 6 / 97 | |
Since the June 2021 state election, there were the September 2021 and February 2025 German federal elections, with polls for the Next German federal election being more frequent than on state level.
The Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) split from the Left in late 2023, and was third strongest party on state level in the 2024 European election, but it narrowly failed to enter the Bundestag in the 2025 federal snap election. The FDP dropped out also, and polls well under the 5% threshold nationwide and in Saxony-Anhalt.
Reiner Haseloff announced on 7 August 2025 that he will not run anymore in 2026.
With only three very different parties polling above 10% for a year now, and possibly all others failing to enter the parliament, chances are that the CDU will be forced into a first time coalition with the Left to keep the AfD out, according to "Firewall against the far-right in Germany" (Brandmauer) policy. On the other hand, the AfD might not only be able to be part of a government for the first time, but even as a one party government, which is rather unusual in modern Germany, see de:Alleinregierung for examples.
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CDU | AfD | Linke | SPD | FDP | Grüne | BSW | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Infratest dimap | 28 Aug – 2 Sep 2025 | 1,167 | 27 | 39 | 13 | 7 | – | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
INSA | 10–17 Jun 2025 | 1,000 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
Federal election | 23 Feb 2025 | – | 19.2 | 37.1 | 10.8 | 11.0 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 17.9 |
INSA | 8–13 Jan 2025 | 1,000 | 32 | 31 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 1 |
INSA | 21–28 Oct 2024 | 1,000 | 32 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 5 | 2 |
INSA | 24 Jun – 5 Jul 2024 | 1,000 | 29 | 29 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 | Tie |
INSA | 3–11 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 31 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 1 |
EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | – | 22.8 | 30.5 | 4.8 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 15.0 | 11.8 | 7.7 |
INSA | 10–17 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 32 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 21–29 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 28.5 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4 | 4.5 | 23 | 4.5 | 1 |
34.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 5.5 | – | 9.5 | 2 | |||
INSA | 16–23 Oct 2023 | 1,000 | 32 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 5 | – | 9 | 1 |
INSA | 21–26 Jun 2023 | 1,000 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | – | 10 | 2 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 16–28 May 2023 | 732 | 37 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 4 | – | 5 | 11 |
INSA | 6–13 Mar 2023 | 1,000 | 35 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 7 | – | 7 | 9 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–13 Jan 2023 | 982 | 31.5 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 4.5 | 4.5 | – | 10.5 | 5.5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–15 Jun 2022 | 1,000 | 33 | 23 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 6 | – | 9 | 10 |
Infratest dimap | 17–22 Feb 2022 | 1,161 | 33 | 20 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 5 | – | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | 33 | 20 | 9 | 19 | 6.5 | 5 | – | 7.5 | 13 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 21.0 | 19.6 | 9.6 | 25.4 | 9.5 | 6.5 | – | 8.4 | 4.4 |
2021 state election | 6 Jun 2021 | – | 37.1 | 20.8 | 11.0 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 5.9 | – | 10.4 | 16.3 |