2026 Berlin state election

Last updated

2026 Berlin state election
Flag of Berlin.svg
  2023 20 September 20262031 
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Party CDU SPD Greens
Last election52 seats, 28.2%34 seats, 18.4%34 seats, 18.4%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
 
Party Left AfD BSW
Last election22 seats, 12.2%17 seats, 9.1%0 seats, 0%

Government before election

Wegner senate
CDU–SPD

Elected Government

TBD

The next election to the 20th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin is scheduled for 20 September 2026 for a legislative period of five years. Due to the repeat election for the Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus in 2023, in which members were elected only for the remainder of the 19th legislative period, the original 2021 election date remained decisive for determining the timing of the next regular election.

Contents

Election date

Unless the parliament decides to dissolve earlier, the election for the 20th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin will take place on 20 September 2026. Article 54 of the Berlin Constitution stipulates that a regular election must occur no earlier than 56 months and no later than 59 months after the start of the Abgeordnetenhaus's legislative period. [1] The 19th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin was constituted on November 4, 2021. [2] [3]

Electoral system

The Abgeordnetenhaus is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 78 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 52 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation, distributed in each of Berlin's twelve boroughs. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Abgeordnetenhaus is 130 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Abgeordnetenhaus; parties that fall below this threshold are excluded from the Abgeordnetenhaus. However, parties which win at least one single-member constituency are exempt from the threshold and will be allocated seats proportionally, even if they fall below 5%. [4]

Background

In the 2023 Berlin repeat state election With 28% of votes, the opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) grew by over ten percentage points and emerged as the largest party by a wide margin, the first time it had done so since 1999. All three governing parties declined; the SPD suffered its worst result in over a century with 18.4%, and only barely remained ahead of the Greens by a margin of 53 votes. The Left also slipped to 12%. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) recorded a small upswing to 9%, while the Free Democratic Party (FDP) fell to 4.6% and lost all their seats. Overall, the incumbent government retained a reduced majority. The CDU claimed a mandate to govern given its first-place result, while mayor Franziska Giffey committed to remaining in government. The Left called for a renewal of the outgoing coalition. [5]

After various talks between parties, the SPD and CDU voted at the beginning of March to begin negotiations for a grand coalition. CDU leader Kai Wegner was approved as mayor on 27 April after three rounds of voting. [6] [7]

Parties

The table below lists parties previously represented in the 19th Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.

NameIdeology2023 result
Votes (%)Seats
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany

Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands

Christian democracy 28.2%
52 / 147
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany

Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands

Social democracy 18.4%
35 / 147
Grüne Alliance 90/The Greens

Bündnis 90/Die Grünen

Green politics 18.4%
34 / 147
Linke The Left

Die Linke

Democratic socialism 12.2%
20 / 147
AfD Alternative for Germany

Alternative für Deutschland

Right-wing populism 9.1%
16 / 147

Opinion polls

2026 Berlin state election polling.svg

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CDU SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP BSW OthersLead
Infratest dimap 12–16 Jun 20251,14825141519134106
INSA 13–20 May 20251,00024171513133787
Federal Parliament Election 23 Feb 202518.315.116.819.915.23.86.64.21.6
Infratest dimap 14–18 Nov 20241,1792712206154797
INSA 1–7 Jul 20241,00026181571241268
European Parliament election 9 Jun 202417.613.219.67.311.64.38.717.72.0
Infratest dimap 18–22 Apr 20241,17427152010123677
INSA 22–29 Jan 20241,000291617101341112
Infratest dimap 12–16 Oct 20231,15929151910154810
INSA 18–26 Sep 20231,00026171810145108
Wahlkreisprognose 25 Jul2 Aug 20231,00024.51616.513.51649.58
INSA 27 Mar3 Apr 20231,0003018181195912
2023 state election 12 Feb 2023N/A28.218.418.412.29.14.69.09.8

West Berlin

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CDU SPD Grüne Linke AfD FDP OthersLead
Infratest dimap 12–16 Oct 20233117208134711
2023 state election 12 Feb 202331.119.919.89.06.87.06.411.2

East Berlin

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CDU Linke SPD Grüne AfD FDP OthersLead
Infratest dimap 12–16 Oct 202326121418173108
2023 state election 12 Feb 202324.316.616.416.412.23.710.40.2

References

  1. "Verfassung von Berlin - Abschnitt III: Die Volksvertretung". www.berlin.de (in German). 3 January 2024. Archived from the original on 20 July 2025. Retrieved 8 August 2025.
  2. "Berliner Abgeordnetenhaus konstituiert sich". www.rbb24.de (in German). 5 November 2021. Retrieved 8 August 2025.
  3. "Abgeordnetenhaus: Berliner Wahl wohl am 20. September 2026". Der Tagesspiegel Online (in German). ISSN   1865-2263 . Retrieved 8 August 2025.
  4. "Elections". Berlin.de (in German). 19 January 2022. Retrieved 30 October 2022.
  5. "Berlin: Conservatives projected to win repeated vote". Deutsche Welle . 13 February 2023.
  6. "CDU board votes for coalition negotiations with SPD". Rundfunk Berlin-Brandenburg (in German). 2 March 2023.
  7. "Ex-insurance salesman elected unlikely mayor of Berlin". France 24. 27 April 2023. Retrieved 27 April 2023.