Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

Pollster bias

Pollsters

The following table displays the pollsters in alphabetical order which have alleged funding and/or links to political parties:

PollsterAlleged bias or conflict of interestSource(s)
Alapjogokért KözpontStrong links to Fidesz, and receives government funding. [1] [2]
IDEAOne of the key staff members is an advisor to DK. [3] [1]
IránytűReceives funding from Jobbik, and the party is reportedly the company's only client. [1]
Magyar TársadalomkutatóThe company has strong links to Fidesz. [2]
MediánThe company's owner was formerly an SZDSZ member and the pollster is close to the opposition newspaper HVG. [4]
NézőpontStrong links to Fidesz, and receives government funding. [5] [6] [2]
PublicusClose relationship with MSZP. [3] [1]
Real-PR 93The company has strong links to Fidesz. [7]
RepublikonIdentifies as a liberal pollster, and its founder is a former SZDSZ politician. [8] [1]
SzázadvégStrong links to Fidesz, and receives government funding. [5] [9] [1]
Závecz ResearchAssociated with a left-liberal opposition party. [3] [1]

Allegations and attacks against pollsters

In the run-up to the election, pro-Fidesz figures accused pollsters of undermining the government by publishing fake numbers. [10]

In August 2025, Tamás Lánczi  [ hu ], head of the Sovereignty Protection Office  [ hu ] (SZH), claimed that some pollsters (21 Kutatóközpont, IDEA, Medián, Publicus and Republikon) that were showing leads for Tisza were 'abusing' public opinion research and carrying out 'foreign assignments'. [11] To evidence his claims, he pointed to an investigation conducted by the SZH, [12] which has been criticised as 'politically charged' [11] and untrue. [13] [14]

Graphical summary

Total

The graph displays the results of the polls. Those who responded don't know are removed, where relevant. The following graph displays a local regression of all polls.

2026 Hungarian election polls.svg

By affiliation

The following two graphs present the polls that are government-aligned, or independent/opposition-aligned, respectively as per the table above.

Polling

The following table outlines the results of the polls of Hungarian people, asked how they would vote in the upcoming election. The numbers correspond to the percentage of party voters saying they will vote for a particular party; as such, undecided responses are removed.

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. Any party which was not polled is displayed with an en-dash (–). Other parties in bold pass the threshold (5% for one party, 10% for a joint list of two parties, and 15% for a joint list of three or more parties) to be represented in the National Assembly.

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
29 Aug–3 Sep 2025 Závecz Research 1,00036511 [a] 6446110
27–31 Aug 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 1,0003625452116
21–27 Aug 2025 Republikon 1,000357101 [a] 10854126
18–19 Aug 2025 Nézőpont 1,000464653818
31 Jul–7 Aug 2025 IDEA 1,500395001 [a] 000 [a] 43014617
1–6 Aug 2025 Publicus 1,000368100 [a] 000 [a] 6346110
23–29 Jul 2025 Republikon 1,000346101 [a] 01654329
1–8 Jul 2025 Republikon 1,000336112 [a] 108443110
30 Jun–2 Jul 2025 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,00049334148
30 Jun–1 Jul 2025 Real-PR 93 1,000474334215
24–27 Jun 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 1,0003456252118
19–27 Jun 2025 Závecz Research 1,50035511 [a] 7446111
23–25 Jun 2025 Publicus 1,00137911 [a] 514427
16–17 Jun 2025 Nézőpont 1,000443743935
3–7 Jun 2025 Medián 1,00036315351115
7 Jun 2025 Momentum Movement (Momentum) announces it will not run in the upcoming parliamentary election. [15]
28 May–3 Jun 2025 Republikon 1,00034610111764319
31 May 2025 Everybody's Hungary People's Party (MMN) announces it will not run in the upcoming parliamentary election. [16]
15–23 May 2025 IDEA 1,50037600100054114417
12–16 May 2025 Publicus 1,00036910000534337
8 May 2025 Ferenc Gyurcsány resigns as leader of the Democratic Coalition (DK) and retires from politics. [17]
9–18 Apr 2025 Republikon 1,50035712310833914
3–9 Apr 2025 Publicus 1,000379201100534114
1–7 Apr 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 1,0003734351214
26 Mar–1 Apr 2025 Republikon 1,00033711401654017
16–25 Mar 2025 Závecz Research 1,0003572140026200402 [b] 5
10–12 Mar 2025 Nézőpont 1,00045419335310
5–11 Mar 2025 Publicus 1,0003992524122
27 Feb–8 Mar 2025 Medián 1,000373644649
1 Dec 2024–28 Feb 2025 Iránytű 6,600394644445
22–26 Feb 2025 Republikon 1,00036711111863812
20–29 Jan 2025 Publicus 3,060379201000534215
14–22 Jan 2025 Republikon 1,00032821321753917
31 Dec 2024–10 Jan 2025 IDEA 1,50036500100073114519
16–18 Dec 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,00049415534215
11–17 Dec 2024 Publicus 1,00036920100534216
9–11 Dec 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047514337310
Dec 2024 Századvég 1,00042513773418
29 Nov-6 Dec 2024 IDEA 1,50037500100163214316
28 Nov-5 Dec 2024 Republikon 1,00031731421853716
25–27 Nov 2024 Real-PR 93 1,0004451733648
20–30 Nov 2024 Závecz Research 1,0003562130017401391 [c] 4
20–26 Nov 2024 Medián 1,2003641064147111
19–22 Nov 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,0004521663738
14–19 Nov 2024 Századvég 1,00040512793515
14–19 Nov 2024 Publicus 1,00038930200533911
11–13 Nov 2024 Nézőpont 1,00046518434212
31 Oct–8 Nov 2024 IDEA 1,50038600100073214113
28 Oct–4 Nov 2024 Medián 1,00039311163467
28–30 Oct 2024 Real-PR 93 1,0004461743539
24–29 Oct 2024 Republikon 1,0003773151083361
Oct 2024 Századvég 1,00043422773419
19 Oct 2024 DK-MSZP-Dialogue (DK–MSZP–Párbeszéd) ceases to exist. [18] [19]
14–17 Oct 2024 Nézőpont 1,00046516335311
11–18 Oct 2024 Publicus 1,00037820211443922
9–15 Oct 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000404121544212
28 Sep–8 Oct 2024 Závecz Research 1,0003972311541351 [c] 4
27 Sep–7 Oct 2024 IDEA 1,50039700200174113712
16–18 Sep 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047816233314
9–11 Sep 2024 Nézőpont 1,00045635435210
3–10 Sep 2024 Medián 1,00042.93.32.12.30.60.84.03.40.938.94
28 Aug–6 Sep 2024 IDEA 1,50039811210073213415
21–31 Aug 2024 Závecz Research 1,00042820211172331 [c] 9
24–31 Jul 2024 IDEA 1,50041810210163113417
15–17 Jul 2024 Nézőpont 1,0004789529218
4–10 Jul 2024 Medián 1,00042.89.22.80.80.70.77.14.60.530.712.1
3–8 Jul 2024 Republikon 1,0004173041015600311 [d] 10
19–27 Jun 2024 IDEA 1,50041810310163123219
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 4,569,62044.88.03.71.00.90.66.73.60.729.60.415.2
6–8 Jun 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000448317413212
3–5 Jun 2024 Publicus 1,00143154215425118
31 May–5 Jun 2024 Medián 1,5005093154127123
24 May–2 Jun 2024 Závecz Research 1,0004511412153127018
27–29 May 2024 Medián 1,0004875101620129019
27–29 May 2024 Real-PR 93 1,00045101101572281 [e] 17
20–29 May 2024 IDEA 1,5004412400154226218
20–28 May 2024 Századvég 1,00045103111690123022
22–24 May 2024 Alapjogokért Központ 1,00047821116601261 [e] 21
20–22 May 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047911117701241 [e] 23
May 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 4,0005181121450125026
2–10 May 2024 Závecz Research 1,0003917411263126013
25 Apr–4 May 2024 IDEA 1,5003915114112442321218
29 Apr–2 May 2024 Nézőpont 1,0004413110167232222
26–30 Apr 2024 Publicus 1,0004224311422318
26–29 Apr 2024 Medián 1,000459411246122520
22–26 Apr 2024 Republikon 1,000352252206611182 [c] 13
17–19 Apr 2024 Iránytű Archived 24 April 2024 at the Wayback Machine 1,07350103134226124
9–12 Apr 20245393264120233
4–11 Apr 2024 Závecz Research 1,000342241822186219 [c] 12
3326713851437
10 Apr 2024 Péter Magyar announces his bid to run in the European Parliament election with the Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) party. [20]
31 Mar–8 Apr 2024 IDEA 1,50038172161136641521
2–4 Apr 2024 Nézőpont 1,000471341116112213 [f] 34
26 Mar–2 Apr 2024 Republikon 1,0003618527230871011 [c] 20
3416424231751015 [f] 5 [c] 18
28 Mar 2024 DK-MSZP-Dialogue (DK–MSZP–Párbeszéd) is formed. [21]
15 Mar 2024 Péter Magyar announces his political movement, called 'Rise up, Hungarians! (Talpra, Magyarok!)'. [22]
29 Feb–12 Mar 2024 IDEA 1,500421832821773724
6–9 Mar 2024 Medián 1,000461211831381123134
29 Feb–9 Mar 2024 Závecz Research 1,000451942742010410226
4–6 Mar 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,00048940811310113237
26–28 Feb 2024 Nézőpont 1,0004714227224881433
21–28 Feb 2024 Republikon 1,000371753944098103 [c] 20
22–26 Feb 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,2004418219313781226 [g]
4417119215563327 [h]
31 Jan–9 Feb 2024 IDEA 1,500442031712963424
15–20 Jan 2024 Republikon 1,0004319537349824
9–11 Jan 2024 Medián 1,000531121751186242
Jan 2024 Századvég 1,000511111811110915 [e] 40
8–9 Jan 2024 Alapjogokért Központ 1,00051111142211094440
2–5 Jan 2024 Nézőpont 1,0005014218322781236
Dec 2023 Magyar Társadalomkutató 4,0004910204212101032439
18–21 Dec 2023 Real-PR 93 1,00047122163228113335
12–15 Dec 2023 Publicus 1,003461861721144328
30 Nov–13 Dec 2023 IDEA 1,500432031712973423
17–24 Nov 2023 Republikon 1,0004318527459725
31 Oct–16 Nov 2023 IDEA 1,000452031721863425
29 Oct–8 Nov 2023 Závecz Research 1,0004819426431841229
17–24 Oct 2023 Republikon 1,00043185273510725
29 Sep–13 Oct 2023 IDEA 1,800451931811952626
Sep 2023 Medián 1,00046122165131075234
18–25 Sep 2023 Republikon 1,00042185283410824
8–18 Sep 2023 Závecz Research 1,000461942643105127
16 Sep 2023 Péter Márki-Zay's Everybody's Hungary People's Party (MMN) officially becomes a party. [23]
28 Aug–8 Sep 2023 IDEA 1,800451921822106526
7 Sep 2023 Gábor Vona's Second Reform Era Party (2RK) officially becomes a party. [24]
4–6 Sep 2023 Nézőpont 1,000511020852298341
24–29 Aug 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,500421541971485427
16–23 Aug 2023 Republikon 1,000421742104410725
20 Aug 2023 Péter Jakab's On the People's Side (NP) officially becomes a party. [25]
28 Jul–9 Aug 2023 IDEA 1,80046202182296526
14–25 Jul 2023 Republikon 1,0004418529448626
28 Jun–19 Jul 2023 IDEA 1,80048202182286328
26–30 Jun 2023 Publicus 80746.021.49.57.13.61.21.26.02.02.024.6
19–23 Jun 2023 Republikon 1,0004616529457630
25 May–10 Jun 2023 IDEA 1,80048202182286328
26–31 May 2023 Medián 1,0004914118432792035
27 Apr–19 May 2023 IDEA 1,80048193182296229
15–17 May 2023 Nézőpont 1,00051162195363435
28 Apr–5 May 2023 Závecz Research 1,00050194264273331
21–28 Apr 2023 Republikon 1,0004817527448531
25 Mar–13 Apr 2023 IDEA 1,80049202181295329
Mar 2023 Századvég 1,00045.510.21.11.19.12.32.310.212.55.735.3
27–29 Mar 2023 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,000521221643281040
20–24 Mar 2023 Republikon 1,00047205283483027
25 Feb–16 Mar 2023 IDEA 1,80048192272196429
28 Feb–8 Mar 2023 Závecz Research 1,000491851643193131
21–27 Feb 2023 Medián 1,000511412952266137
20–22 Feb 2023 Nézőpont 1,000521221542299240
10–15 Feb 2023 Republikon 1,00047206363573027
30 Jan–15 Feb 2023 IDEA 1,80048203262195428
31 Dec 2022–11 Jan 2023 IDEA 1,80048202363195328
2–6 Jan 2023 Republikon 1,00045206265493025
2–4 Jan 2023 Nézőpont 1,00056142162364642
12–16 Dec 2022 Publicus 1,00248.015.37.11.27.15.92.41.24.04.72.032.7
9–15 Dec 2022 Medián 1,000501221852387238
12–14 Dec 2022 Real-PR 93 1,0005113216611072138
29 Nov–12 Dec 2022 IDEA 1,800471933641104328
23–28 Nov 2022 Republikon 1,000461862644104028
14–22 Nov 2022 Závecz Research 1,00050175165383233
28 Oct–8 Nov 2022 IDEA 1,80052193253184333
19–24 Oct 2022 Republikon 1,000481762843102031
15–21 Oct 2022 Medián 1,00050.611.71.31.36.52.62.62.69.19.12.638.9
17–19 Oct 2022 Nézőpont 1,00054.218.34.10.06.14.12.04.26.12.037.2
29 Sep–9 Oct 2022 IDEA 1,80051202264193231
14–22 Sep 2022 Závecz Research 1,00052155265382237
31 Aug–9 Sep 2022 IDEA 1,80050172363295333
29–31 Aug 2022 Nézőpont 1,00052.811.92.00.09.95.92.06.77.9040.9
25–30 Aug 2022 Publicus 1,00048.013.87.51.38.83.72.51.35.05.03.034.2
20 Aug 2022 Péter Jakab founds a new movement called On the People's Side (NP) [26]
27 Jul–7 Aug 2022 IDEA 1,80051172266195134
20–22 Jul 2022 Publicus 1,00444.012.07.21.28.47.22.41.27.26.02.032.0
9–20 Jul 2022 IDEA 1,80054142265196140
11–13 Jul 2022 Nézőpont 1,00056.38.81.81.88.87.01.85.28.80.047.5
20–22 Jun 2022 Nézőpont 1,00057.99.81.61.66.56.51.66.38.10.048.1
29 Apr–9 May 2022 IDEA 1,80057122276184145
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,00060115155381149
26–30 Apr 2022 Medián 1,00060721831376252
20–24 Apr 2022 Republikon 1,00055125496342043
3 Apr 2022 National Election 5,651,05754.134.45.93.32.319.7

Coalition scenario polling

The following table outlines that the former United for Hungary parties would run in an alliance again in the next election. The numbers correspond to the percentage of party voters saying they will vote for a particular party; as such, undecided responses are removed. The same formatting as the main polling table applies.

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 4,569,62044.814.26.73.60.729.60.415.2
Mar 2023 Századvég 1,00047.728.410.212.52.2 [i] 19.3
27–29 Mar 2023 Nézőpont 1,0005126128325
12–16 Dec 2022 Publicus 1,00248414427
9–15 Dec 2022 Medián 1,0004734109013
25–30 Aug 2022 Publicus 1,00048405438
20–22 Jul 2022 Publicus 1,00444426522
Jun 2022 Századvég 1,00053.726.39.58.42.127.4
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,000603171129
19–21 Apr 2022 Nézőpont 1,000563453222
3 Apr 2022 National Election 5,651,05754.134.45.93.32.319.7

Seat projections

The table includes the chances of each party and minority (German and Roma) organizations mandate gain, referring to the percentage results of various polls. Other parties in bold are represented in the National Assembly.

100 seats in the National Assembly are needed for a majority, while 133 seats are needed for a two-thirds supermajority to amend the constitution of Hungary.

Date
Polling firm
/Projection by
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH Das Wappen der Ungarndeutschen.png ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png ORÖ NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg Majority
4 Sep 2025 Vox Populi 64000000061000012829
7560000007150001056
11600000006100007617
27 Aug 2025 Nézőpont 11700000007150006918
12 Aug 2025 Vox Populi 63700000051000012324
29 Jul 2025 Vox Populi 66600000071000011920
12100000000100007722
11200000000100008613
16 Jul 2025 Mandiner 10900000000100008910
2 Jul 2025 Választási földrajz 81000000071010010910
1 Jul 2025 Vox Populi 61000000061000013132
78000000091000011112
70500000071000011617
11100000007100008012
27 Jun 2025 Nézőpont 1080000000810000829
18 Jun 2025 Vox Populi 62000000051000013132
7360000006100001078
5 Jun 2025 Választási földrajz 65000000001000013334
31 May 2025 Vox Populi 73600000001000011920
80100000000100001089
6 May 2025 Vox Populi 8370000008100001001
911000000001000097Hung
7 Apr 2025 Vox Populi 71000000001000012728
81700000061500099Hung
8470000006100001012
12800000008100006229
96900000001000093Hung
13 Mar 2025 Választási földrajz 73000000070000011920
12 Mar 2025 Vox Populi 82000000061000011011
85600000071600094Hung
8580000005100001001
1020000000710000893
72500000061000011516
13900000000100005940
13500000000100006336
11800000007170006619
11900000007100007220
89700000071000095Hung
4 Mar 2025 Vox Populi 7770000007150001023
16 Dec 2024 Nézőpont 12160000000100007122
10 Jun 2024 Nézőpont 13510 [j] 00008100004536 [k]
3 Apr 2023 Nézőpont 14830 [l] 12180049
3 Apr 2022 National Election 13557610N/A [m] 36

Regional polling

This section includes poll results conducted in particular regions and cities.

Budapest

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OtherLead
29 Aug–3 Sep 2025 Závecz Research 1,000225129
30 Jun–1 Jul 2025 Real-PR 93 1,000314918
19–27 Jun 2025 Závecz Research 1,500245329
16–17 Jun 2025 Nézőpont 1,00037436
3–7 Jun 2025 Medián 1,00026601534
24 Oct 2024–3 Jun 2025 Republikon 1,200211311311664827
25–27 Nov 2024 Real-PR 93 1,000285022
20–30 Nov 2024 Závecz Research 1,000213918
28–30 Oct 2024 Real-PR 93 1,00033429
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 799,80933.112.37.90.41.40.54.45.90.932.80.30.3
Local Elections 792,29228.716.65.010.2 [n] 3.87.90.227.30.31.4
4–6 June 2024 Publicus 1,0422423716 [n] 192011
23–25 May 2024 Medián 1,0002920511 [n] 38245
17–22 May 2024 Medián 1,000312367 [n] 4121618
Aug–Nov 2023 IDEA 1,307362333111217102113
29 Oct–8 Nov 2023 Závecz Research 1,0003022741656558
10–28 Jul 2023 Republikon 1,500352175124514514
12–14 Dec 2022 Real-PR 93 1,0003844 [l] 6
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,500421725
3 Apr 2022 National Election 950,73940.947.84.15.22.06.8

Budapest XIV.

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
13–19 May 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 8002743585326
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 59,29829.312.09.70.31.50.54.06.40.935.20.35.9
3 Apr 2022 National Election 65,93937.351.63.75.61.914.4

Debrecen

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 85,32240.76.23.30.40.80.56.33.40.737.50.33.2
13–18 Oct 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,0004113111321210102228
28 Jan–1 Feb 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000431321173117330
3 Apr 2022 National Election 111,88050.837.36.13.72.113.5

Győr

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
25–31 Mar 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 8003633564711
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 59,29840.67.03.20.71.50.55.23.30.736.90.43.7
3 Apr 2022 National Election 71,29550.237.55.83.62.912.7

Diaspora polling

This section includes poll results conducted in particular outside of Hungary.

Country/areaFieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
Flag of Romania.svg Romania
(Cluj-Napoca)
Jun 2025 SoDiSo Research [o] 96.0<1.0<1.0<1.0<1.0<1.0<1.0<1.01.7<1.0<1.0<1.01.4<1.094.3
Diaspora9 Jun 2024 EP Election 59,29090.00.80.90.20.30.22.01.00.14.40.185.6
Diaspora3 Apr 2022 National Election 268,76693.94.11.60.60.389.8

Electoral district polling

This section includes poll results conducted in particular constituencies. Due to the boundaries of some constituencies changing, the results do not include the previous elections in some places as, where they have been changed, they are not comparable.

Bács-Kiskun OEVK 3

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
Jul 2025 Fidesz internal poll 50047.72.60.60.32.28.31.436.40.611.3
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 36,06450.47.41.91.10.40.47.62.40.527.20.623.2
3 Apr 2022 National Election 44,54058.430.06.42.31.928.4

Békés OEVK 3

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
14–16 Jul 2025 TISZA internal poll 4348431Tie
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 37,15449.06.52.01.10.50.77.42.20.629.60.419.4
3 Apr 2022 National Election 44,15755.432.67.32.22.622.8

Borsod-Abaúj-Zemplén OEVK 5

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
Jul 2025 Fidesz internal poll 50049.72.52.70.01.3 [a] 2.40.74.20.835.30.514.4
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 44,06855.76.41.71.70.60.57.11.70.423.90.323.2
3 Apr 2022 National Election 45,10661.028.85.71.72.832.2

Budapest OEVK 4

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
28 Mar–4 Apr 2025 Medián 80021222566245
9 Jun 2024 EP Election N/A [p]
3 Apr 2022 National Election N/A [p]

Budapest OEVK 6

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
Jul 2025 Fidesz internal poll 50028.97.84.12.24.7 [a] 2.71.73.06.438.00.48.1
17–21 Jul 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 80025441057132
9 Jun 2024 EP Election N/A [p]
3 Apr 2022 National Election N/A [p]

Jász-Nagykun-Szolnok OEVK 2

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
July 2025 Fidesz internal poll 50045.95.31.11.51.5 [a] 3.11.76.62.729.21.416.7
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 38,10448.26.22.32.80.60.56.42.20.629.90.318.3
3 Apr 2022 National Election 47,17359.730.36.02.11.929.4

Pest OEVK 13  [ hu ]

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
Jul 2025 Fidesz internal poll 50050.33.30.51.1 [a] 1.70.47.72.730.81.719.5
9 Jun 2024 EP Election N/A [p]
3 Apr 2022 National Election N/A [p]

Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg OEVK 5  [ hu ]

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2025 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
Jul 2025 Fidesz internal poll 50047.73.51.00.10.6 [a] 2.00.15.30.738.50.59.2
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 42,41762.15.20.71.50.40.46.81.10.321.00.341.1
3 Apr 2022 National Election 45,76168.223.46.11.01.344.8

Prime Minister polling

Hungary

The following table outlines the preferred Prime Minister amongst Hungarians.

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size Orbán Dobrev Donáth Márki-Zay Toroczkai Magyar Others/Don't KnowLead
27–31 Apr 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 10003036336
Jul 2025 Századvég 1000417534137
1–7 Apr 2025 21 Kutatóközpont 10003337304
10–12 Mar 2025 Nézőpont 1000467 [q] 5281418
15–17 Jul 2024 Nézőpont 1000497 [q] 419 [q] 2030
27–29 Mar 2023 Alapjogokért Központ 10005818 [q] 2440
13–15 Feb 2023 Nézőpont 10004913 [q] 6 [q] 72536

Diaspora

The following table outlines the preferred Prime Minister among the Hungarian diaspora.

Country/areaFieldwork datePolling firmSample size Orbán Magyar Others/Don't KnowLead
Flag of Romania.svg Romania
(Cluj-Napoca)
Jun 2025 SoDiSo Research [o] 89.04.96.184.1

Suitability as Prime Minister

The following table outlines the perceived suitability of party leaders to be Prime Minister.

Viktor Orbán

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size Orbán
Yes check.svgX mark.svgBlue question mark (italic).svgNet
Jun 2025 Medián 1,00037533−16
Jun 202452444+8

Klára Dobrev

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size Dobrev
Yes check.svgX mark.svgBlue question mark (italic).svgNet
Jun 2025 Medián 1,00026677−41
Jun 2024 [q] 216910−48

Péter Magyar

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size Magyar
Yes check.svgX mark.svgBlue question mark (italic).svgNet
Jun 2025 Medián 1,00053434+10
Jun 2024 [q] 345511−21

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Polled despite its announcement that it would not run in the upcoming election.
  2. SzocDem (Socialist and Democrats) – 2
  3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 SzocDem (Socialist and Democrats) – 1
  4. SzocDem (Socialist and Democrats) – 1, MEMO – 0
  5. 1 2 3 4 MEMO – 1
  6. 1 2 This poll was conducted prior to Péter Magyar's announcement he would work with TISZA. The poll prompted for Magyar Péter pártja (Péter Magyar's party) instead.
  7. without leaders
  8. with leaders
  9. MEMO – 1.1, NÉP (Party of Normal Life) – 1.1
  10. The three-party alliance, due to domestic electoral rules, would have not got any mandates in reality with its EP Election result if it had been a national one.
  11. According to the results of EP Election if it had been a national one.
  12. 1 2 If the former EM parties run together again in the next election.
  13. The organization ran in 2014 and 2018 but did not in 2022.
  14. 1 2 3 4 On a joint list with Vitézy Dáviddal Budapestért Egyesület (Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest).
  15. 1 2 This poll could not be independently verified. [27] [28]
  16. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Due to boundary changes, results are not directly comparable.
  17. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Did not serve as party leader when the poll took place.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "Europe Elects: Truth in Polling - Hungary". Europe Elects. Retrieved 24 May 2025.
  2. 1 2 3 "Négy éven belül harmadszor buktak nagyot a magyar közvélemény-kutatók, de miért? | G7 - Gazdasági sztorik érthetően" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (2. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  4. Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (1. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  5. 1 2 "Az illegális pártfinanszírozás rendszere – ahogy a résztvevők látják, 1. rész: "…egy részét le is fogják nyúlni"". Szabad Európa (in Hungarian). 30 January 2023. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  6. "Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 13 February 2023. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  7. Ágota, Bozai (6 February 2022). "Felvétel készült a közvélemény-kutatásnak álcázott befolyásoló kampányról Somogyban". Magyarnarancs.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 29 May 2023.
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  9. "Üstökösszerű karriert futott be a közbeszerzési piacon 2010 óta a Századvég-csoport | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 8 June 2016. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  10. "Gerrymandered districts, manipulated polls: Orbán's party banks on local races to win 2026 elections". Atlatszo. 25 August 2025. Retrieved 31 August 2025.
  11. 1 2 "Lánczi Tamás megírta vádiratát az összes közvélemény-kutató ellen, amely szerint nem vezet a Fidesz". hvg.hu (in Hungarian). 11 August 2025. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  12. Munkatársunktól (11 August 2025). "Külföldi megbízás külföldi pénzből: közvélemény-kutatókat vizsgált a Szuverenitásvédelmi Hivatal". Külföldi megbízás külföldi pénzből: közvélemény-kutatókat vizsgált a Szuverenitásvédelmi Hivatal (in Hungarian). Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  13. "Bajban lehet a kormány, ha már a közvélemény-kutatók elleni hergelésbe kezdett". hvg.hu (in Hungarian). 22 August 2025. Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  14. Népszava. "21 Kutatóközpont: Lánczi Tamás állítása hazugság". Népszava (in Hungarian). Retrieved 22 August 2025.
  15. "Nem indul a Momentum a 2026-os országgyűlési választáson". telex (in Hungarian). 7 June 2025. Retrieved 7 June 2025.
  16. "Márki-Zay pártja nem indul a választáson". 444 (in Hungarian). 1 June 2025. Retrieved 1 June 2025.
  17. "Telex: Gyurcsány Ferenc lemond minden posztjáról, és a közélettől is visszavonul". telex.hu. Retrieved 16 May 2025.
  18. "Gyurcsány Ferenc: 2026-ban mind a 106 választókerületben állítunk jelöltet". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 19 October 2024. Retrieved 19 October 2024.
  19. Júlia, Kozics (19 October 2024). "Megválasztották az MSZP új elnökét". index.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 14 November 2024.
  20. "A Tisztelet és Szabadság Párttal indul a júniusi választáson Magyar Péter". telex (in Hungarian). 10 April 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2024.
  21. "Közös EP- és fővárosi listát állít a DK, az MSZP és a Párbeszéd". telex (in Hungarian). 28 March 2024. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
  22. "Magyar Péter elindítja a Talpra, magyarok közösséget, és politikai pártot szervez". telex (in Hungarian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2024.
  23. "Megtartotta alapító kongresszusát Márki-Zay Péter pártja". hvg.hu (in Hungarian). 16 September 2023.
  24. "Vona Gábor pártot alapít". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 7 September 2023.
  25. "Jakab Péter bejelentette, hogy párttá alakult a Nép Pártján Mozgalom". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2023.
  26. "Jakab Péter: A Nép Pártján Mozgalom a mai napon megalakult". index.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2022.
  27. "Az RMDSZ házi alapítványa rendelt egy felmérést, propaganda lett belőle a fideszes médiában". transtelex (in Hungarian). 11 June 2025. Retrieved 2 July 2025.
  28. Today, Hungary (12 June 2025). "Fidesz Maintains Stronghold among Transylvanian Hungarians, New Poll Suggests". Hungary Today. Retrieved 2 July 2025.