Opinion polling for the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

Pollster bias

The following table displays the pollsters which have alleged funding and links to the political parties:

PollsterAlleged biasSource
21 KutatóközpontThe company has strong ties to the liberal political segment [1]
Alapjogokért KözpontThe company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them [2]
IDEAThe company has strong ties to DK [3]
IránytűThe company has strong ties to Jobbik [4]
Magyar TársadalomkutatóThe company has strong ties to Fidesz [5]
MediánThe company has some ties to the liberal political segment, but is generally considered to be unbiased and mostly accurate [6]
NézőpontThe company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them [7] [8]
PublicusThe company has strong ties to the liberal political segment [3]
Real-PR 93The company has strong ties to Fidesz [9]
RepublikonThe company has strong ties to the liberal political segment [10]
SzázadvégThe company has strong ties to Fidesz, and is given budget money to conduct research for them [7] [11]
Závecz ResearchThe company has strong ties to MSZP [3]

Party polling

Graphical summary

The graph and the table show the support of the parties as a percentage of those voters, who have chosen a party. Those who did not reply or could or would not choose, are ignored.

2026 Hungarian election polls.svg

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. Other parties in bold pass the threshold (5% for one party, 10% for a joint list of two parties, and 15% for a joint list of three or more parties) to be represented in the National Assembly. Any party which was not polled is displayed with an en-dash (–).

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2022 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg OthersLead
22–26 Feb 2025 Republikon 1,00036711111863812
20–29 Jan 2025 Publicus 3,060379201000534215
14–22 Jan 2025 Republikon 1,00032821321753917
31 Dec 2024–10 Jan 2025 IDEA 1,50036500100073114519
16–18 Dec 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,00049415534215
11–17 Dec 2024 Publicus 1,00036920100534216
9–11 Dec 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047514337310
Dec 2024 Századvég 1,00042513773418
29 Nov-6 Dec 2024 IDEA 1,50037500100163214316
28 Nov-5 Dec 2024 Republikon 1,00031731421853716
25–27 Nov 2024 Real-PR 93 1,0004451733648
20–30 Nov 2024 Závecz Research 1,0003562130017401391 [a] 4
20–26 Nov 2024 Medián 1,2003641064147111
19–22 Nov 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,0004521663738
14–19 Nov 2024 Századvég 1,00040512793515
14–19 Nov 2024 Publicus 1,00038930200533911
11–13 Nov 2024 Nézőpont 1,00046518434212
31 Oct–8 Nov 2024 IDEA 1,50038600100073214113
28 Oct–4 Nov 2024 Medián 1,00039311163467
28–30 Oct 2024 Real-PR 93 1,0004461743539
24–29 Oct 2024 Republikon 1,0003773151083361
Oct 2024 Századvég 1,00043422773419
19 Oct 2024 DK–MSZP–Dialogue Alliance (DK–MSZP–Párbeszéd) ceases to exist. [12] [13]
14–17 Oct 2024 Nézőpont 1,00046516335311
11–18 Oct 2024 Publicus 1,00037820211443922
9–15 Oct 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000404121544212
28 Sep–8 Oct 2024 Závecz Research 1,0003972311541351 [b] 4
27 Sep–7 Oct 2024 IDEA 1,50039700200174113712
16–18 Sep 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047816233314
9–11 Sep 2024 Nézőpont 1,00045635435210
3–10 Sep 2024 Medián 1,00042.93.32.12.30.60.843.40.938.94
28 Aug–6 Sep 2024 IDEA 1,50039811210073213415
21–31 Aug 2024 Závecz Research 1,00042820211172331 [c] 9
24–31 July 2024 IDEA 1,50041810210163113417
15–17 Jul 2024 Nézőpont 1,0004789529218
4–10 Jul 2024 Medián 1,00042.89.22.80.80.70.77.14.60.530.712.1
3–8 Jul 2024 Republikon 1,0004173041015600311 [d] 10
19–27 Jun 2024 IDEA 1,50041810310163123219
9 Jun 2024 EP Election 4,569,62044.828.033.700.990.870.646.713.590.6829.600.3715.22
6–8 Jun 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,000448317413212
3–5 Jun 2024 Publicus 1,00143154215425118
31 May–5 Jun 2024 Medián 1,5005093154127123
24 May–2 Jun 2024 Závecz Research 1,0004511412153127018
27–29 May 2024 Medián 1,0004875101620129019
27–29 May 2024 Real-PR 93 1,00045101101572281 [e] 17
20–29 May 2024 IDEA 1,5004412400154226218
20–28 May 2024 Századvég 1,00045103111690123022
22–24 May 2024 Alapjogokért Központ 1,00047821116601261 [f] 21
20–22 May 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047911117701241 [g] 23
May 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 4,0005181121450125026
2–10 May 2024 Závecz Research 1,0003917411263126013
25 Apr–4 May 2024 IDEA 1,5003915114112442321218
29 Apr–2 May 2024 Nézőpont 1,0004413110167232222
26–30 Apr 2024 Publicus 1,0004224311422318
26–29 Apr 2024 Medián 1,000459411246122520
22–26 Apr 2024 Republikon 1,000352252206611182 [h] 13
17–19 Apr 2024 Iránytű 1,07350103134226124
9–12 Apr 20245393264120233
4–11 Apr 2024 Závecz Research 1,000342241822186219 [i] 12
3326713851437
10 Apr 2024 Péter Magyar announces his bid to run in the European Parliament election with the Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) party. [14]
31 Mar–8 Apr 2024 IDEA 1,50038172161136641521
2–4 Apr 2024 Nézőpont 1,00047134111611221334
26 Mar–2 Apr 2024 Republikon 1,0003618527230871011 [j] 20
34164242317510155 [k] 18
28 Mar 2024 DK–MSZP–Dialogue Alliance (DK–MSZP–Párbeszéd) is formed. [15]
15 Mar 2024 Péter Magyar announces his political movement, called 'Rise up, Hungarians! (Talpra, Magyarok!)'. [16]
29 Feb–12 Mar 2024 IDEA 1,500421832821773724
6–9 Mar 2024 Medián 1,000461211831381123134
29 Feb–9 Mar 2024 Závecz Research 1,000451942742010410226
4–6 Mar 2024 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,00048940811310113237
26–28 Feb 2024 Nézőpont 1,0004714227224881433
21–28 Feb 2024 Republikon 1,000371753944098103 [l] 20
22–26 Feb 2024 21 Kutatóközpont 1,2004418219313781226 [m]
4417119215563327 [n]
31 Jan–9 Feb 2024 IDEA 1,500442031712963424
15–20 Jan 2024 Republikon 1,0004319537349824
9–11 Jan 2024 Medián 1,000531121751186242
Jan 2024 Századvég 1,000511111811110915 [o] 40
8–9 Jan 2024 Alapjogokért Központ 1,00051111142211094440
2–5 Jan 2024 Nézőpont 1,0005014218322781236
Dec 2023 Magyar Társadalomkutató 4,0004910204212101032439
18–21 Dec 2023 Real-PR 93 1,00047122163228113335
12–15 Dec 2023 Publicus 1,003461861721144328
30 Nov–13 Dec 2023 IDEA 1,500432031712973423
17–24 Nov 2023 Republikon 1,0004318527459725
31 Oct–16 Nov 2023 IDEA 1,000452031721863425
29 Oct–8 Nov 2023 Závecz Research 1,0004819426431841229
17–24 Oct 2023 Republikon 1,00043185273510725
29 Sep–13 Oct 2023 IDEA 1,800451931811952626
Sep 2023 Medián 1,00046122165131075234
18–25 Sep 2023 Republikon 1,00042185283410824
8–18 Sep 2023 Závecz Research 1,000461942643105127
16 Sep 2023 Péter Márki-Zay's Everybody's Hungary People's Party (MMN) officially becomes a party. [17]
28 Aug–8 Sep 2023 IDEA 1,800451921822106526
7 Sep 2023 Gábor Vona's Second Reform Era Party (2RK) officially becomes a party. [18]
4–6 Sep 2023 Nézőpont 1,000511020852298341
24–29 Aug 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,500421541971485427
16–23 Aug 2023 Republikon 1,000421742104410725
20 Aug 2023 Péter Jakab's On the People's Side (NP) officially becomes a party. [19]
28 Jul–9 Aug 2023 IDEA 1,80046202182296526
14–25 Jul 2023 Republikon 1,0004418529448626
28 Jun–19 Jul 2023 IDEA 1,80048202182286328
26–30 Jun 2023 Publicus 8074621.49.57.13.61.21.262224.6
19–23 Jun 2023 Republikon 1,0004616529457630
25 May–10 Jun 2023 IDEA 1,80048202182286328
26–31 May 2023 Medián 1,0004914118432792035
27 Apr–19 May 2023 IDEA 1,80048193182296229
15–17 May 2023 Nézőpont 1,00051162195363435
28 Apr–5 May 2023 Závecz Research 1,00050194264273331
21–28 Apr 2023 Republikon 1,0004817527448531
25 Mar–13 Apr 2023 IDEA 1,80049202181295329
Mar 2023 Századvég 1,00045.510.21.11.19.12.32.310.212.55.735.3
27–29 Mar 2023 Magyar Társadalomkutató 1,000521221643281040
20–24 Mar 2023 Republikon 1,00047205283483027
25 Feb–16 Mar 2023 IDEA 1,80048192272196429
28 Feb–8 Mar 2023 Závecz Research 1,000491851643193131
21–27 Feb 2023 Medián 1,000511412952266137
20–22 Feb 2023 Nézőpont 1,000521221542299240
10–15 Feb 2023 Republikon 1,00047206363573027
30 Jan–15 Feb 2023 IDEA 1,80048203262195428
31 Dec 2022–11 Jan 2023 IDEA 1,80048202363195328
2–6 Jan 2023 Republikon 1,00045206265493025
2–4 Jan 2023 Nézőpont 1,00056142162364642
12–16 Dec 2022 Publicus 1,0024815.37.11.27.15.92.41.244.7232.7
9–15 Dec 2022 Medián 1,000501221852387238
12–14 Dec 2022 Real-PR 93 1,0005113216611072138
29 Nov–12 Dec 2022 IDEA 1,800471933641104328
23–28 Nov 2022 Republikon 1,000461862644104028
14–22 Nov 2022 Závecz Research 1,00050175165383233
28 Oct–8 Nov 2022 IDEA 1,80052193253184333
19–24 Oct 2022 Republikon 1,000481762843102031
15–21 Oct 2022 Medián 1,00050.611.71.31.36.52.62.62.69.19.12.638.9
17–19 Oct 2022 Nézőpont 1,00054.218.34.10.06.14.12.04.26.12.037.2
29 Sep–9 Oct 2022 IDEA 1,80051202264193231
14–22 Sep 2022 Závecz Research 1,00052155265382237
31 Aug–9 Sep 2022 IDEA 1,80050172363295333
29–31 Aug 2022 Nézőpont 1,00052.811.92.00.09.95.92.06.77.9040.9
25–30 Aug 2022 Publicus 1,0004813.87.51.38.83.72.51.355.0334.2
20 Aug 2022 Péter Jakab, the former president of Jobbik, founds a new movement called the On the People's Side Movement (NP) [20]
27 Jul–7 Aug 2022 IDEA 1,80051172266195134
20–22 Jul 2022 Publicus 1,0044412.07.21.28.47.22.41.27.26.0232.0
9–20 Jul 2022 IDEA 1,80054142265196140
11–13 Jul 2022 Nézőpont 1,00056.38.81.81.88.87.01.85.28.8047.5
20–22 Jun 2022 Nézőpont 1,00057.99.81.61.66.56.51.66.38.1048.1
29 Apr–9 May 2022 IDEA 1,80057122276184145
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,00060115155381149
26–30 Apr 2022 Medián 1,00060721831376252
20–24 Apr 2022 Republikon 1,00055125496342043
3 Apr 2022 National Election 5,651,05754.1334.445.883.272.2819.69

Coalition polling

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2022 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png OthersLead
Mar 2023 Századvég 1,00047.728.410.212.52.2 [p] 19.3
27–29 Mar 2023 Nézőpont 1,0005126128325
12–16 Dec 2022 Publicus 1,00248414427
9–15 Dec 2022 Medián 1,0004734109013
25–30 Aug 2022 Publicus 1,00048405438
20–22 Jul 2022 Publicus 1,00444426522
Jun 2022 Századvég 1,00053.726.39.58.42.127.4
25 Apr–4 May 2022 Závecz Research 1,000603171129
19–21 Apr 2022 Nézőpont 1,000563453222
3 Apr 2022 National Election 5,651,05754.1334.445.883.272.2819.69

Preferred prime minister

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample size Orbán Dobrev Toroczkai Donáth Márki-Zay Magyar Other/Don't KnowLead
15-17 July 2024 Nézőpont 10004974192030
27-29 March 2023 Alapjogokért Központ 100058182440
13-15 Feb 2023 Nézőpont 10004913762536

Seat projections

Fieldwork
date
Polling firm Fidesz 2015.svg 2022 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH Das Wappen der Ungarndeutschen.png ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg Majority
20-29 Jan 2025 Publicus 871100000051095Hung
14-22 Jan 2025 Republicon 811000000071595Hung
31 Dec 2024–10 Jan 2025 IDEA 78500000061010910
9–11 Dec 2024 Nézőpont 12160000000107122
27–29 Mar 2023 Nézőpont 148301218049
3 Apr 2022 National Election 13557610036

Regional polling

Budapest

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2022 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP Logo of the Respect and Freedom Party.svg Others/No preferenceLead
28–30 Oct 2024 Real-PR 93 3342259
9 Jun 2024 Local Elections 792,29228.6916.624.9810.153.817.8927.340.521.35
4–6 June 2024 Publicus 1,0422423716 [q] 192011
23–25 May 2024 Medián 1,0002920511 [r] 38245
17–22 May 2024 Medián 1,000312367 [s] 4121618
Aug–Nov 2023 IDEA 362333111217102113
Sep 2023 Republikon 352175124514514
3 Apr 2022 National Election 40.8447.844.115.192.027.00

Debrecen

Fieldwork datePolling firmSample
size
Fidesz 2015.svg 2022 logo of the Democratic Coalition (Hungary).svg Flag of the Hungarian Socialist Party.svg Parbeszed - A Zoldek Partja.png Momentum Movement logo.svg JOBBIK LOGO 2024.png Lehet Mas a Politika logo.svg Mindenki Magyarorszaga Mozgalom logo.png MH ALAP Kutyi nyakkendos teljesalakos 01.png NP 2RK Others/No preferenceLead
13–18 Oct 2023 21 Kutatóközpont 1,0003210111021288222222
3 Apr 2022 National Election 145,75956.0235.854.111.172.8420.17

Notes

  1. Socialist and Democrats – 1
  2. Socialist and Democrats – 1
  3. Socialist and Democrats – 1
  4. Socialist and Democrats – 1, Solution Movement – 0
  5. Solution Movement – 1
  6. Solution Movement – 1
  7. Solution Movement – 1
  8. Socialists and Democrats – 1
  9. Socialists and Democrats – 1
  10. Socialists and Democrats – 1
  11. Socialists and Democrats – 1
  12. Socialists and Democrats – 1
  13. without leaders
  14. with leaders
  15. Solution Movement – 1
  16. Party of Normal Life – 1.1, Solution Movement – 1.1
  17. On a joint list with the Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest
  18. On a joint list with the Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest
  19. On a joint list with the Association with Dávid Vitézy for Budapest

References

  1. Nemzet, Magyar (3 June 2023). "Jól keresett a bukott kampányévben a Momentum- és Karácsony-közeli 21 Kutatóközpont" (in Hungarian).
  2. "Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 13 February 2023. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  3. 1 2 3 Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (2. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  4. Nemzet, Magyar (17 February 2023). "Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet". Feléleszti a Jobbik az Iránytű Intézetet (in Hungarian). Retrieved 15 March 2024.
  5. "Négy éven belül harmadszor buktak nagyot a magyar közvélemény-kutatók, de miért? | G7 - Gazdasági sztorik érthetően" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  6. Bálint, Pongrácz (22 April 2022). "Ki mögött ki áll? – A hazai közvélemény-kutatók hátterének feltáró elemzése (1. rész) | Transzparens Újságírásért Alapítvány" (in Hungarian). Retrieved 13 February 2024.
  7. 1 2 "Az illegális pártfinanszírozás rendszere – ahogy a résztvevők látják, 1. rész: "…egy részét le is fogják nyúlni"". Szabad Európa (in Hungarian). 30 January 2023. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  8. "Milliókat kaptak az Európai Parlamenttől Fidesz-közeli szervezetek | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 13 February 2023. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  9. Ágota, Bozai (6 February 2022). "Felvétel készült a közvélemény-kutatásnak álcázott befolyásoló kampányról Somogyban". Magyarnarancs.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  10. "Horn Gábor és az SZDSZ-es "politechnikum"" (in Hungarian). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 11 July 2023.
  11. "Üstökösszerű karriert futott be a közbeszerzési piacon 2010 óta a Századvég-csoport | atlatszo.hu" (in Hungarian). 8 June 2016. Retrieved 16 May 2023.
  12. "Gyurcsány Ferenc: 2026-ban mind a 106 választókerületben állítunk jelöltet". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 19 October 2024. Retrieved 19 October 2024.
  13. Júlia, Kozics (19 October 2024). "Megválasztották az MSZP új elnökét". index.hu (in Hungarian). Retrieved 14 November 2024.
  14. "A Tisztelet és Szabadság Párttal indul a júniusi választáson Magyar Péter". telex (in Hungarian). 10 April 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2024.
  15. "Közös EP- és fővárosi listát állít a DK, az MSZP és a Párbeszéd". telex (in Hungarian). 28 March 2024. Retrieved 26 April 2024.
  16. "Magyar Péter elindítja a Talpra, magyarok közösséget, és politikai pártot szervez". telex (in Hungarian). 15 March 2024. Retrieved 10 April 2024.
  17. "Megtartotta alapító kongresszusát Márki-Zay Péter pártja". hvg.hu (in Hungarian). 16 September 2023.
  18. "Vona Gábor pártot alapít". 24.hu (in Hungarian). 7 September 2023.
  19. "Jakab Péter bejelentette, hogy párttá alakult a Nép Pártján Mozgalom". telex.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2023.
  20. "Jakab Péter: A Nép Pártján Mozgalom a mai napon megalakult". index.hu (in Hungarian). 20 August 2022.