Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2029 European Parliament election

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This article lists EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election. [1] [2]

Contents

Seat projections

This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

OrganisationRelease
date		Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others [a] Lead
Europe Elects25 Jan 2025 [3] 491313685177811042922646
Europe Elects24 Dec 2024 [4] 491313784179761042925648
Der Föderalist2 Dec 2024 [5] 4313141831867310027241255
Europe Elects30 Nov 2024 [6] 531343681183771002924349
Europe Elects31 Oct 2024 [7] 52137348218376982828246
Der Föderalist7 Oct 2024 [8] 44136417918674962629950
Europe Elects30 Sep 2024 [9] 46141407318582932731244
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2024 [2] 45140447218680922632346
Der Föderalist12 Aug 2024 [10] 44137457719173882531954
2024 European Parliament election 6–9 June 2024 [11] 46136537718878842533–52

This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

OrganisationRelease
date		Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others [b] Lead
Europe Elects25 Jan 2025 [12] 8.3%17.6%6.7%10.8%22.7%10.9%11.5%5.5%3.2%2.8%5.1%
Europe Elects24 Dec 2024 [13] 8.1%17.6%6.9%10.6%23.0%10.3%11.5%5.3%3.4%3.3%5.4%
Europe Elects30 Nov 2024 [6] 8.7%18.1%6.5%10.2%23.7%10.4%11.1%5.2%3.6%2.5%5.6%
Europe Elects31 Oct 2024 [7] 8.5%18.3%6.4%10.5%23.4%10.2%10.7%5.1%4%2.9%5.1%
Europe Elects30 Sep 2024 [9] 8.1%18.9%7.1%9.4%23.6%9.3%9.9%5.2%4.4%3.5%4.7%
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2024 [2] 6.7%17.7%6.0%8.4%22.8%9.3%9.1%5.1%3.9%7.8%5.1%
2024 European Parliament election 6–9 June 2024 [14] 6.74%18.82%8.88%10.68%20.80%12.22%9.36% [c] –9.07%3.43%1.98%

Notes

  1. ↑ Seats for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  2. ↑ Vote share for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  3. ↑ As Identity and Democracy group in the 2024 election.

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References

  1. ↑ "European Parliament 2024-2029 Constitutive session". European Parliament. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  2. 1 2 3 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  3. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 30 January 2025.
  4. ↑ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 7 January 2025.
  5. ↑ Müller, Manuel (5 December 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (December 2024): Socialists in decline, far right at all-time high". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  6. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. 30 November 2024. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  7. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  8. ↑ Müller, Manuel (11 October 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (October 2024): Far right makes further gains, EPP and Greens lose ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 11 October 2024.
  9. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  10. ↑ Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  11. ↑ "European Parliament 2024-2029". European Parliament. 23 July 2024.
  12. ↑ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 30 January 2025.
  13. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 7 January 2025.
  14. ↑ "European Parliament Election 2024". europeelects.eu.
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