Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2029 European Parliament election

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This article lists EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election. [1] [2]

Contents

Seat projections

This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

OrganisationRelease
date
Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others [a] Lead
Der Föderalist7 Oct 2024 [3] 44136417918674962629950
Europe Elects 30 Sep 2024 [4] 46141407318582932731244
Europe Elects31 Aug 2024 [2] 45140447218680922632346
Der Föderalist12 Aug 2024 [5] 44137457719173882531954
2024 European Parliament election 6-9 June 2024 [6] 4613653771887884253352

This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

OrganisationRelease
date
Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others [b] Lead
Europe Elects31 Oct 2024 [7] 8.5%18.3%6.4%10.5%23.4%10.2%10.7%5.1%4%2.9%5.1%
Europe Elects 30 Sep 2024 [4] 8.1%18.9%7.1%9.4%23.6%9.3%9.9%5.2%4.4%3.5%4.7%
Europe Elects31 Aug 2024 [2] 6.7%17.7%6.0%8.4%22.8%9.3%9.1%5.1%3.9%7.8%5.1%
2024 European Parliament election 6-9 June 2024 [8] 6.74%18.82%8.88%10.68%20.80%12.22%9.36% [c] 9.07%3.43%1.98%

Notes

  1. Seats for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  2. Vote share for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  3. As Identity and Democracy group in the 2024 election.

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References

  1. "European Parliament 2024-2029 Constitutive session". European Parliament. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  2. 1 2 3 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  3. Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  4. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  5. Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  6. "European Parliament 2024-2029". European Parliament. 23 July 2024.
  7. "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2 November 2024.
  8. "European Parliament Election 2024". europeelects.eu.