Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2029 European Parliament election

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This article lists EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates as well as national polls for the 2029 European Parliament election. [1] [2]

Contents

Seat projections

This table lists the seat projections for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

361 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority

OrganisationRelease
date		Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others [a] Lead
Der Föderalist1 Jul 2025 [3] 511244473181809936201257
Europe Elects25 Jun 2025 [4] 58130367818381963521253
Der Föderalist22 May 2025 [5] 491304076179791003523949
Europe Elects25 Apr 2025 [6] 581303379176791023724246
Europe Elects29 Mar 2025 [7] 551293385175781033325446
Der Föderalist27 Mar 2025 [8] 521314173177799933241146
Europe Elects28 Feb 2025 [9] 541313485174791043124443
Der Föderalist30 Jan 2025 [10] 481304381185779329241055
Europe Elects25 Jan 2025 [11] 491313685177811042922646
Europe Elects24 Dec 2024 [12] 491313784179761042925648
Der Föderalist2 Dec 2024 [13] 4313141831867310027241255
Europe Elects30 Nov 2024 [14] 531343681183771002924349
Europe Elects31 Oct 2024 [15] 52137348218376982828246
Der Föderalist7 Oct 2024 [16] 44136417918674962629950
Europe Elects30 Sep 2024 [17] 46141407318582932731244
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2024 [2] 45140447218680922632346
Der Föderalist12 Aug 2024 [18] 44137457719173882531954
2024 European Parliament election 6–9 June 2024 [19] 46136537718878842533–52

This table lists the vote share projection for the political groups of the European Parliament. The projections can be based on an aggregation of national european election polls, national election polls and election results from all member states.

OrganisationRelease
date		Ref. The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR PfE ESN NI Others [b] Lead
Europe Elects25 Jun 2025 [20] 10.4%17.2%6.6%9.9%22.4%11.0%10.8%6.4%3.4%1.8%5.2%
Europe Elects25 Apr 2025 [21] 10.3%17.3%6.3%10.3%21.5%10.6%11.2%6.8%3.7%2%4.2%
Europe Elects29 Mar 2025 [22] 9.7%17.3%6.2%10.7%21.7%10.7%11.4%6.3%3.6%2.5%4.4%
Europe Elects28 Feb 2025 [23] 9.3%17.7%6.2%10.8%21.9%10.8%11.4%5.8%3.3%2.8%4.2%
Europe Elects25 Jan 2025 [24] 8.3%17.6%6.7%10.8%22.7%10.9%11.5%5.5%3.2%2.8%5.1%
Europe Elects24 Dec 2024 [25] 8.1%17.6%6.9%10.6%23.0%10.3%11.5%5.3%3.4%3.3%5.4%
Europe Elects30 Nov 2024 [14] 8.7%18.1%6.5%10.2%23.7%10.4%11.1%5.2%3.6%2.5%5.6%
Europe Elects31 Oct 2024 [15] 8.5%18.3%6.4%10.5%23.4%10.2%10.7%5.1%4%2.9%5.1%
Europe Elects30 Sep 2024 [17] 8.1%18.9%7.1%9.4%23.6%9.3%9.9%5.2%4.4%3.5%4.7%
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2024 [2] 6.7%17.7%6.0%8.4%22.8%9.3%9.1%5.1%3.9%7.8%5.1%
2024 European Parliament election 6–9 June 2024 [26] 6.74%18.82%8.88%10.68%20.80%12.22%9.36% [c] Did not exist9.07%3.43%1.98%

Notes

  1. ↑ Seats for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  2. ↑ Vote share for national parties that are not represented in the European Parliament and do not belong to any European party.
  3. ↑ As Identity and Democracy group in the 2024 election.

References

  1. ↑ "European Parliament 2024-2029 Constitutive session". European Parliament. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  2. 1 2 3 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  3. ↑ Müller, Manuel (25 July 2025). "European Parliament seat projection (July 2025): Could the "von der Leyen coalition" lose its majority?". foederalist.eu.
  4. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 6 July 2025.
  5. ↑ Müller, Manuel (22 May 2025). "European Parliament seat projection (May 2025): Far right stronger than ever before – again". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 27 May 2025.
  6. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 3 May 2025.
  7. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 6 April 2025.
  8. ↑ Müller, Manuel (27 March 2025). "European Parliament seat projection (March 2025): Far right stronger than ever, EPP and Liberals suffer setbacks". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 27 May 2025.
  9. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 28 March 2025.
  10. ↑ Müller, Manuel (30 January 2025). "European Parliament seat projection (January 2025): "Patriots" lose ground, Left and Greens make gains". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 27 May 2025.
  11. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 30 January 2025.
  12. ↑ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 7 January 2025.
  13. ↑ Müller, Manuel (5 December 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (December 2024): Socialists in decline, far right at all-time high". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  14. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. 30 November 2024. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  15. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 29 December 2024.
  16. ↑ Müller, Manuel (11 October 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (October 2024): Far right makes further gains, EPP and Greens lose ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 11 October 2024.
  17. 1 2 "European Parliament projection 2024-2029". europeelects.eu. Retrieved 20 October 2024.
  18. ↑ Müller, Manuel (16 August 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (August 2024): EPP continues to gain ground". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 1 September 2024.
  19. ↑ "European Parliament 2024-2029". European Parliament. 23 July 2024.
  20. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 6 July 2025.
  21. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 5 May 2025.
  22. ↑ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 6 April 2025.
  23. ↑ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 28 March 2025.
  24. ↑ "European Parliament projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 30 January 2025.
  25. ↑ "European Union". Europe Elects. Retrieved 7 January 2025.
  26. ↑ "European Parliament Election 2024". europeelects.eu.
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