The European Parliament election was held between 6 and 9 June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.
Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 election | After reorganisation of groups | 16 July 2024 | 720 | 46 | 136 | 53 | 77 | 188 | 78 | 84 (as PfE) | 33+25 ESN | – |
Dynamic [a] [b] [1] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 40 | 136 | 54 | 80 | 188 | 82 | 64 | 76 | – | |
Baseline [c] [2] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 39 | 136 | 54 | 78 | 177 | 73 | 58 | 48 | 67 | |
PolitPro [3] | 9 June 2024 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 40 | 81 | 174 | 74 | 89 | 43 | 40 | |
Politico Europe [4] | 6 June 2024 | 720 | 32 | 143 | 41 | 75 | 173 | 76 | 67 | 58 | 55 | |
election.de [5] | 6 June 2024 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 58 | 85 | 181 | 82 | 69 | 65 | – | |
Cassandra-odds.com [6] | 5 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 145 | 57 | 89 | 167 | 84 | 73 | 67 | – | |
euobserver [7] | 5 June 2024 | 720 | 43 | 140 | 52 | 79 | 178 | 89 | 63 | 76 | – | |
Europe Elects [8] | 4 June 2024 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | |
Der Föderalist [9] | Baseline [c] | 3 Jun 2024 | 720 | 37 | 136 | 57 | 81 | 172 | 79 | 66 | 50 | 42 |
Dynamic [a] | 720 | 40 | 137 | 58 | 85 | 186 | 80 | 78 | 56 | – | ||
Euronews [10] | 23 May 2024 | 720 | 43 | 135 | 54 | 82 | 181 | 80 | 83 | 62 | – | |
2019 election | After Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 67 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 28 | – |
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – |
Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.
Polling aggregator | Date updated | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 election | 9 June 2024 | 6.7 % | 19.2 % | 8.8 % | 10.4 % | 21.2 % | 12.3 % | 9.0 % | 9.0 % | 3.4 % | ||
PolitPro [11] | 9 June 2024 | 5.6% | 19.3% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | ||
The Economist [12] | 9 June 2024 | 6.0% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 14.0% | ||
Europe Elects [8] | 31 May 2024 | 6.4% | 19.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | ||
2019 election | ||||||||||||
Before Brexit | 26 May 2019 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.
Organisation | Release date | Area | Number of seats | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
election.de [13] | 6 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 58 | 85 | 181 | 82 | 69 | 65 | 43 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [14] | 4 June 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 136 | 55 | 81 | 182 | 79 | 69 | 76 | 4 | 46 |
election.de [15] | 30 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 141 | 57 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 68 | 67 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [16] | 27 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 56 | 86 | 180 | 75 | 68 | 76 | 2 | 42 |
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group. [17] | |||||||||||||
election.de [18] | 23 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 139 | 56 | 87 | 179 | 83 | 80 | 53 | 40 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [19] | 16 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 134 | 54 | 85 | 182 | 83 | 83 | 54 | 2 | 48 |
election.de [20] | 9 May 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 140 | 55 | 89 | 177 | 80 | 84 | 55 | 37 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [21] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 86 | 183 | 86 | 84 | 48 | 1 | 43 |
EM Analytics [22] | 30 April 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 55 | 85 | 176 | 84 | 79 | 62 | 37 | |
Der Föderalist [23] | 26 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 132 | 51 | 86 | 173 | 81 | 83 | 35 | 44 | 41 |
720 | 39 | 134 | 53 | 89 | 181 | 86 | 99 | 39 | 47 | ||||
EM Analytics [24] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 139 | 51 | 86 | 181 | 86 | 77 | 61 | 42 | |
election.de [25] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 52 | 90 | 173 | 80 | 87 | 61 | 35 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [26] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 52 | 84 | 184 | 82 | 84 | 52 | 3 | 45 |
election.de [27] | 8 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 138 | 55 | 86 | 176 | 81 | 85 | 60 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [28] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 47 | 135 | 52 | 87 | 184 | 81 | 82 | 48 | 4 | 49 |
election.de [29] | 22 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 139 | 54 | 89 | 176 | 84 | 83 | 55 | 37 | |
Ipsos for Euronews [30] | 19 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 136 | 55 | 85 | 177 | 76 | 81 | 68 | 41 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [31] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 46 | 135 | 50 | 86 | 183 | 84 | 89 | 43 | 4 | 48 |
Politico Europe [32] | 9 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 48 | 90 | 180 | 87 | 89 | 52 | 39 | |
election.de [33] | 8 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 39 | 142 | 51 | 86 | 171 | 86 | 86 | 59 | 29 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [34] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 140 | 49 | 82 | 181 | 83 | 92 | 44 | 4 | 41 |
Der Föderalist [35] | 26 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 35 | 135 | 48 | 85 | 176 | 78 | 85 | 36 | 42 | 41 |
37 | 137 | 48 | 89 | 183 | 82 | 101 | 43 | 46 | |||||
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [36] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 140 | 48 | 85 | 180 | 83 | 92 | 43 | 6 | 40 |
election.de [37] | 7 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 138 | 49 | 78 | 176 | 88 | 94 | 55 | 38 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [38] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 140 | 51 | 82 | 180 | 80 | 91 | 49 | 5 | 40 |
ECFR [39] | 23 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 44 | 131 | 61 | 86 | 173 | 85 | 98 | 42 | 42 | |
Europe Elects for EURACTIV [40] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 37 | 143 | 50 | 84 | 178 | 80 | 93 | 49 | 6 | 35 |
election.de [41] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 41 | 141 | 45 | 80 | 179 | 86 | 95 | 53 | 38 | |
Politico Europe [42] | 9 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 43 | 86 | 178 | 89 | 96 | 50 | 33 | |
Der Föderalist [43] | 8 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 141 | 45 | 86 | 169 | 75 | 89 | 43 | 39 | 28 |
35 | 143 | 47 | 91 | 177 | 85 | 108 | 34 | 34 | |||||
Europe Elects [44] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 36 | 142 | 49 | 84 | 179 | 81 | 93 | 50 | 6 | 37 |
Politico Europe [45] | 11 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 33 | 145 | 47 | 87 | 175 | 91 | 91 | 51 | 30 | |
Europe Elects [46] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 141 | 52 | 89 | 175 | 82 | 87 | 52 | 4 | 35 |
KAS [47] | 29 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 42 | 143 | 48 | 87 | 171 | 78 | 79 | 41 | 30 | 35 |
Politico Europe [48] | 9 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 143 | 49 | 91 | 179 | 90 | 85 | 45 | 36 | |
Der Föderalist [49] | 6 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 137 | 43 | 90 | 170 | 78 | 76 | 37 | 45 | 33 |
46 | 138 | 47 | 96 | 178 | 89 | 92 | 34 | 40 | |||||
Europe Elects [50] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 45 | 139 | 51 | 92 | 173 | 80 | 76 | 53 | 11 | 34 |
PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party. [51] | |||||||||||||
Politico Europe [52] | 9 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 40 | 151 | 49 | 89 | 172 | 93 | 82 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects [53] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 145 | 52 | 90 | 165 | 86 | 74 | 56 | 10 | 21 |
The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats. [54] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist [55] | 11 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 43 | 147 | 46 | 91 | 162 | 77 | 74 | 36 | 43 | 15 |
45 | 147 | 50 | 96 | 171 | 90 | 89 | 32 | 24 | |||||
705 | 42 | 144 | 46 | 90 | 157 | 77 | 72 | 35 | 41 | 13 | |||
44 | 144 | 50 | 95 | 165 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 21 | |||||
Politico Europe [56] | 7 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 42 | 146 | 46 | 91 | 167 | 93 | 76 | 44 | 21 | |
Europe Elects [57] | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 720 | 38 | 149 | 53 | 90 | 164 | 83 | 75 | 58 | 10 | 15 |
Politico Europe [58] | 9 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 145 | 48 | 89 | 165 | 89 | 77 | 47 | 20 | |
Europe Elects [59] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 45 | 143 | 49 | 90 | 157 | 82 | 82 | 55 | 12 | 14 |
Der Föderalist [60] | 17 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 41 | 136 | 48 | 94 | 160 | 79 | 70 | 36 | 41 | 24 |
43 | 137 | 52 | 99 | 167 | 89 | 87 | 31 | 30 | |||||
Der Föderalist [61] | 22 May 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 137 | 50 | 92 | 162 | 79 | 67 | 33 | 36 | 25 |
50 | 137 | 54 | 99 | 172 | 82 | 83 | 28 | 35 | |||||
Europe Elects [62] | 28 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 141 | 49 | 89 | 163 | 85 | 64 | 51 | 11 | 22 |
Der Föderalist [63] | 27 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 44 | 137 | 42 | 94 | 162 | 78 | 68 | 38 | 42 | 25 |
46 | 141 | 46 | 102 | 170 | 81 | 84 | 35 | 29 | |||||
Der Föderalist [64] | 1 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 135 | 42 | 96 | 168 | 78 | 65 | 37 | 34 | 33 |
52 | 138 | 47 | 103 | 172 | 82 | 80 | 31 | 34 | |||||
Der Föderalist [65] | 6 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 136 | 44 | 93 | 166 | 79 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 30 |
53 | 139 | 50 | 100 | 170 | 83 | 80 | 30 | 31 | |||||
Europe Elects [66] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 142 | 56 | 100 | 158 | 84 | 63 | 46 | 7 | 16 |
Europe Elects [67] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 53 | 106 | 162 | 81 | 66 | 41 | 6 | 27 |
Der Föderalist [68] | 12 Oct 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 127 | 42 | 100 | 169 | 79 | 63 | 35 | 38 | 42 |
54 | 130 | 48 | 108 | 174 | 84 | 80 | 27 | 44 | |||||
Der Föderalist [69] | 20 Aug 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 134 | 47 | 98 | 170 | 75 | 63 | 27 | 39 | 36 |
54 | 137 | 53 | 107 | 175 | 80 | 76 | 23 | 38 | |||||
Der Föderalist [70] | 22 Jun 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 44 | 101 | 165 | 77 | 64 | 31 | 36 | 32 |
56 | 136 | 54 | 106 | 168 | 81 | 79 | 25 | 32 | |||||
Der Föderalist [71] | 25 Apr 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 59 | 139 | 39 | 97 | 157 | 78 | 64 | 37 | 35 | 18 |
60 | 143 | 49 | 102 | 159 | 84 | 76 | 32 | 16 | |||||
Der Föderalist [72] | 1 Mar 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 53 | 139 | 36 | 98 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 45 | 36 | 19 |
55 | 142 | 44 | 105 | 160 | 109 | 62 | 28 | 18 | |||||
Europe Elects [73] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 49 | 152 | 55 | 99 | 158 | 78 | 62 | 35 | 17 | 6 |
Der Föderalist [74] | 4 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 142 | 39 | 99 | 165 | 73 | 62 | 34 | 40 | 23 |
53 | 146 | 43 | 105 | 166 | 102 | 62 | 28 | 20 | |||||
Europe Elects [75] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 55 | 103 | 146 | 81 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 9 |
Der Föderalist [76] | 8 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 144 | 42 | 96 | 155 | 75 | 72 | 36 | 35 | 11 |
52 | 148 | 48 | 107 | 156 | 23 | 120 | 51 | 8 | |||||
Europe Elects [77] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 155 | 51 | 102 | 151 | 81 | 75 | 35 | 5 | 4 |
Europe Elects [78] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 154 | 47 | 94 | 156 | 78 | 75 | 36 | 15 | 2 |
Der Föderalist [79] | 13 Sep 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 141 | 42 | 98 | 160 | 70 | 75 | 33 | 32 | 19 |
56 | 145 | 48 | 107 | 160 | 22 | 116 | 51 | 15 | |||||
Der Föderalist [80] | 21 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 133 | 45 | 97 | 167 | 71 | 74 | 31 | 35 | 34 |
54 | 138 | 49 | 108 | 168 | 23 | 117 | 48 | 30 | |||||
Europe Elects [81] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 55 | 94 | 156 | 75 | 77 | 34 | 18 | 12 |
Europe Elects [82] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 146 | 58 | 92 | 155 | 76 | 74 | 35 | 18 | 9 |
Der Föderalist [83] | 24 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 50 | 125 | 50 | 95 | 167 | 74 | 73 | 33 | 38 | 42 |
52 | 130 | 54 | 109 | 167 | 87 | 74 | 32 | 37 | |||||
Europe Elects [84] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 144 | 56 | 93 | 158 | 75 | 74 | 34 | 19 | 14 |
Europe Elects [85] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 151 | 52 | 93 | 159 | 74 | 74 | 32 | 19 | 8 |
Der Föderalist [86] | 29 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 46 | 96 | 164 | 71 | 73 | 34 | 33 | 28 |
54 | 141 | 49 | 109 | 164 | 85 | 73 | 30 | 23 | |||||
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group. [87] | |||||||||||||
Der Föderalist [88] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 135 | 45 | 94 | 184 | 70 | 71 | 21 | 33 | 49 |
53 | 141 | 48 | 107 | 184 | 73 | 71 | 28 | 49 | |||||
Europe Elects [89] | 5 Jan 2021 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 138 | 47 | 97 | 190 | 73 | 72 | 22 | 11 | 52 |
Der Föderalist [90] | 9 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 52 | 136 | 47 | 93 | 188 | 67 | 73 | 20 | 29 | 52 |
53 | 140 | 40 | 103 | 188 | 73 | 73 | 25 | 48 | |||||
Europe Elects [91] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 48 | 95 | 195 | 68 | 73 | 23 | 12 | 59 |
Europe Elects [92] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 136 | 48 | 93 | 197 | 70 | 74 | 24 | 9 | 61 |
Der Föderalist [93] | 12 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 51 | 127 | 49 | 96 | 193 | 67 | 71 | 21 | 30 | 66 |
52 | 136 | 52 | 102 | 193 | 71 | 71 | 28 | – | 57 | ||||
Europe Elects [94] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 136 | 49 | 95 | 195 | 71 | 77 | 23 | 4 | 59 |
Europe Elects [95] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 134 | 49 | 96 | 196 | 71 | 75 | 24 | 5 | 62 |
Europe Elects [96] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 134 | 49 | 97 | 198 | 70 | 75 | 23 | 5 | 64 |
Europe Elects [97] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 133 | 48 | 97 | 198 | 71 | 77 | 24 | 3 | 65 |
Europe Elects [98] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 135 | 47 | 98 | 197 | 70 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 62 |
Europe Elects [99] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 140 | 46 | 94 | 193 | 72 | 78 | 23 | 4 | 53 |
Europe Elects [100] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 57 | 135 | 51 | 92 | 188 | 72 | 83 | 21 | 6 | 53 |
Europe Elects [101] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 56 | 133 | 55 | 99 | 184 | 68 | 85 | 21 | 6 | 51 |
Europe Elects [102] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 55 | 130 | 53 | 101 | 182 | 70 | 85 | 23 | 6 | 52 |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [103] | |||||||||||||
Europe Elects [104] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU27 | 705 | 54 | 131 | 52 | 102 | 182 | 70 | 86 | 25 | 3 | 51 |
Europe Elects [105] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 53 | 153 | 52 | 103 | 177 | 103 | 82 | 25 | 3 | 24 |
Europe Elects [106] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 49 | 157 | 61 | 107 | 176 | 95 | 80 | 25 | 1 | 19 |
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 151 | 62 | 115 | 175 | 92 | 78 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
Europe Elects [106] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 151 | 63 | 118 | 170 | 87 | 79 | 32 | 3 | 19 |
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 47 | 154 | 64 | 116 | 166 | 89 | 80 | 32 | 3 | 12 |
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 48 | 153 | 65 | 117 | 168 | 85 | 79 | 33 | 3 | 15 |
Europe Elects [106] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 46 | 145 | 74 | 119 | 167 | 64 | 80 | 54 | 2 | 22 |
Redistribution of seats after Brexit | 1 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 705 | 40 | 148 | 68 | 97 | 187 | 62 | 76 | 27 | – | 39 |
2019 European Parliament election | 26 May 2019 | EU28 | 751 | 41 | 154 | 74 | 108 | 182 | 62 | 73 | 57 | – | 28 |
The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.
Organisation | Release date | Area | The Left | S&D | G/EFA | Renew | EPP | ECR | ID | NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group. [17] | ||||||||||||
EM Analytics [22] | 30 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.3% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 21.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [107] | 28 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 6.3% | 18.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 22.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% |
EM Analytics [108] | 22 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 22.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [109] | 16 Apr 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 24.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [110] | 28 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 7.7% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 23.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [111] | 18 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 4.8% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [112] | 1 Mar 2024 | EU27 | 5.5% | 18.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [113] | 19 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 22.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [114] | 1 Feb 2024 | EU27 | 6.8% | 18.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects for Euractiv [115] | 15 Jan 2024 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects [116] | 30 Dec 2023 | EU27 | 5.5% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
Europe Elects [117] | 30 Nov 2023 | EU27 | 5.7% | 18.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 22.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Europe Elects [118] | 31 Oct 2023 | EU27 | 5.9% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 22.4% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Europe Elects [119] | 30 Sep 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 19.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 21.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
Europe Elects | 31 Aug 2023 | EU27 | 6.1% | 19.5% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects [120] | 31 Jul 2023 | EU27 | 7.2% | 19.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 20.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
Europe Elects [121] | 28 Jun 2023 | EU27 | 6.9% | 18.7% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
Europe Elects [122] | 31 May 2023 | EU27 | 7.5% | 18.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects [123] | 30 Apr 2023 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Europe Elects [124] | 31 Mar 2023 | EU27 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.6% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects [125] | 28 Feb 2023 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects [126] | 31 Jan 2023 | EU27 | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
Europe Elects [127] | 31 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.1% | 18.7% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 21.1% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects [66] | 7 Dec 2022 | EU27 | 7.2% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
Europe Elects [67] | 1 Nov 2022 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 21.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects [73] | 8 Jan 2022 | EU27 | 6.7% | 20.6% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 20.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects [75] | 7 Dec 2021 | EU27 | 7.0% | 20.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects [77] | 4 Nov 2021 | EU27 | 6.9% | 20.7% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
Europe Elects [78] | 8 Oct 2021 | EU27 | 7.3% | 20.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | Tie |
Europe Elects [81] | 9 Jul 2021 | EU27 | 7.2% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
Europe Elects [82] | 5 Jun 2021 | EU27 | 7.8% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
Europe Elects [99] | 2 May 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 20.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 2.0% |
Europe Elects [100] | 2 Apr 2021 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 21.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group. [87] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects [89] | 2 Mar 2021 | EU27 | 7.9% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 23.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Europe Elects [89] | 2 Feb 2021 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% |
Europe Elects [89] | 31 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.4% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
Europe Elects [91] | 2 Dec 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
Europe Elects [92] | 31 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.6% | 18.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 25.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
Europe Elects [94] | 4 Oct 2020 | EU27 | 7.9% | 17.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 24.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% |
Europe Elects [95] | 31 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.1% | 18.3% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 25.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% |
Europe Elects [96] | 14 Aug 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 25.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% |
Europe Elects [97] | 24 Jul 2020 | EU27 | 8.3% | 17.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 25.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.8% |
Europe Elects [98] | 28 May 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 25.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% |
Europe Elects [99] | 30 Apr 2020 | EU27 | 8.2% | 18.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 25.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% |
Europe Elects [100] | 31 Mar 2020 | EU27 | 8.5% | 18.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% |
Europe Elects [101] | 29 Feb 2020 | EU27 | 9.1% | 18.0% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Europe Elects [102] | 31 Jan 2020 | EU27 | 8.0% | 18.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
The United Kingdom leaves the European Union. [103] | ||||||||||||
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Dec 2019 | EU28 | 8.1% | 18.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 20.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Europe Elects [106] | 30 Nov 2019 | EU28 | 8.0% | 18.4% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Oct 2019 | EU28 | 6.5% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
Europe Elects [106] | 30 Sep 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 0.1% |
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Aug 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 19.0% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
Europe Elects [106] | 31 Jul 2019 | EU28 | 6.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 0.3% |
Europe Elects [106] | 30 Jun 2019 | EU28 | 6.9% | 18.9% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
2019 European Parliament election [128] | 26 May 2019 | EU27 | 7.0% | 18.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
2019 European Parliament election [106] | EU28 | 6.5% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ÖVP EPP | SPÖ S&D | FPÖ ID | Grüne G/EFA | NEOS Renew | KPÖ Left | DNA ECR | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lazarsfeld Society | 3–4 Jun2024 | 2,000 | 19-22 4 | 22-25 5 | 27-30 6 | 8-10 2 | 12-15 3 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 24–28 May2024 | 2,000 | 22 4 | 23 5 | 28 6 | 9 2 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 5 |
Market | 24–28 May2024 | 814 | 22 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 9 2 | 14 3 | 3 0 | 1 0 | — | 3 |
IFDD | 22–24 May2024 | 1,080 | 22 5 | 23 5 | 28 6 | 10 2 | 12 2 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 5 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 17–21 May2024 | 1,000 | 22 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 9 2 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 3 |
Spectra | 13–20 May2024 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 23 5 | 26 5 | 11 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | 2 0 | — | 3 |
IFDD | 15–17 May2024 | 1,000 | 23 5 | 22 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 4 0 | 1 0 | — | 4 |
Peter Hajek | 13–17 May2024 | 1,200 | 23 5 | 23 5 | 30 6 | 10 2 | 10 2 | 3 0 | 1 0 | — | 7 |
OGM | 7–8 May2024 | 1,007 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | 1 0 | 4 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 6–8 May2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 15 3 | 2 0 | 1 0 | — | 5 |
Triple-M | 3–7 May2024 | 800 | 19 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 11 2 | 4 0 | — | 2 0 | 4 |
Market | 22–25 Apr2024 | 842 | 20 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 22–24 Apr2024 | 2,000 | 21 4 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 12 2 | 13 3 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 4 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 1,000 | 21.0 4 | 22.0 5 | 28.2 6 | 13.0 3 | 11.8 2 | 2.1 0 | — | 1.9 0 | 6.2 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 26–28 Feb2024 | 1,000 | 20 4 | 22 5 | 26 5 | 14 3 | 16 3 | 2 0 | — | — | 4 |
Market | 5–7 Feb2024 | 800 | 24 5 | 23 5 | 27 6 | 11 2 | 12 2 | 2 0 | — | 1 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 29–31 Jan2024 | 1,000 | 24 5 | 20 4 | 27 6 | 13 2 | 14 3 | 2 0 | — | — | 3 |
OGM | 22–31 Jan2024 | 2,076 | 22 5 | 21 4 | 26 6 | 14 3 | 12 2 | 2 0 | — | 3 0 | 4 |
IFDD | 25–28 Jan2024 | 1,000 | 21 4 | 24 5 | 27 6 | 14 3 | 9 2 | 3 0 | — | 2 0 | 3 |
Lazarsfeld Society | 11–13 Dec2023 | 1,000 | 22 5 | 22 5 | 30 6 | 13 2 | 9 2 | 2 0 | — | 2 0 | 8 |
Peter Hajek | 22–29 Nov2023 | 1,600 | 23 5 | 24 5 | 30 7 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 3 0 | — | 1 0 | 6 |
IFDD | 1–4 Oct2023 | 837 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 25 5/6 | 14 3 | 8 1 | — | — | 3 0 | Tie |
2019 legislative election | 29 Sep 2019 | – | 37.5 8 | 21.2 5 | 16.2 3 | 13.9 3 | 8.1 1 | 0.7 0 | — | 2.5 0 | 16.3 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 34.6 7 | 23.9 5 | 17.2 3 | 14.1 3 | 8.4 1 | 0.8 0 | — | 1.0 0 | 9.7 |
Projected turnout:
According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.
Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | N‑VA ECR | VB ID | Open Vld Renew | cd&v EPP | Groen G/EFA | Vooruit S&D | PVDA Left | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews [129] | 1,500 | 18.7% 3 | 23.5% 3 | 12.7% 2 | 11.5% 1 | 9.7% 1 | 13.8% 2 | 9.3% 1 | 0.8% 0 | 4.8% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 22.4% 3 | 19.1% 3 | 15.9% 2 | 14.5% 2 | 12.4% 1 | 10.2% 1 | 4.9% 0 | 0.5% 0 | 3.3% |
Date(s) conducted | Polling firm | Publisher | Sample size | PS S&D | Ecolo G/EFA | MR Renew | PTB Left | LE EPP | DéFI NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | Ipsos | Euronews [129] | 1,500 | 26.7% 2 | 12.8% 1 | 22.8% 2 | 19.2% 2 | 11.0% 1 | 2.8% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 3.9% |
26 May 2019 | European election | 26.7% 2 | 19.9% 2 | 19.3% 2 | 14.6% 1 | 8.9% 1 | 5.9% 0 | 4.7% 0 | 6.8% |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample | GERB—SDS EPP | BSPzB S&D | DPS Renew | VMRO ECR | PP–DB Renew-EPP [d] | Revival NI | ITN ECR [e] | Blue Bulgaria ECR | Others | NOTA | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alpha Research | 1-4 June 2024 | 1000 | 25 5 | 7.9 2 | 14.1 3 | — | 15.9 3 | 15.7 3 | 5.9 1 | 2.9 0 | 12.6 [f] | — | 9.1 |
CAM | 1-4 June 2024 | 821 | 26.2 5 | 8.1 2 | 14.1 3 | — | 17.7 4 | 14.8 3 | 5.3 0 | 2.1 0 | — | — | 8.5 |
Sova Haris | 29 May-3 June 2024 | 1000 | 26.4 6 | 8.9 2 | 14.4 3 | — | 15.4 3 | 15.3 3 | 5.6 0 | — | 14 | — | 11 |
Market Links | 22 May-2 June 2024 | 1004 | 28.8 6 | 8.7 2 | 12.4 3 | — | 20.2 4 | 11.4 2 | 3.9 0 | 2.2 0 | 7.4 [g] | 2.1 | 8.6 |
TREND | 11–18 May 2024 | 1003 | 25.9 5 | 8.1 2 | 14.6 3 | 1.2 0 | 16.1 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | 1.8 0 | 12.4 [h] | 5.3 | 9.8 |
Sova Harris | 8–13 May 2024 | 1000 | 28.3 6 | 10.3 2 | 13.3 3 | — | 15.8 3 | 15 3 | 5.2 0 | — | 11.5 | — | 12.5 |
MarketLinks | 29 April–9 May 2024 | — | 29.4 6 | 9.3 2 | 13.1 3 | — | 20.6 4 | 12.3 2 | 2.7 0 | 1.7 0 | 6.4 [i] | 4.2 | 8.8 |
Alpha Research | 28 April–5 May 2024 | 1000 | 25.1 5 | 8.0 2 | 14.4 3 | — | 18.5 4 | 14.8 3 | 4.8 0 | 2.4 0 | 12.0 [j] | — | 6.6 |
Gallup | 22 April–2 May 2024 | 808 | 26.4 5 | 8.2 2 | 14.9 3 | 1.3 0 | 17.5 4 | 14.7 3 | 4.5 0 | 1.4 0 | 11.1 [k] | — | 8.9 |
TREND | 12–19 April 2024 | 1002 | 27.2 5 | 9.4 2 | 15.4 3 | — | 17.2 4 | 15.3 3 | 5.1 0 | — | 10.1 [l] | — | 10.1 |
Gallup | 28 March-5 April 2024 | 805 | 28.7 5 | 10.1 2 | 15.3 3 | — | 18.2 4 | 15.1 3 | 5.5 0 | — | 9.8 | — | 6.2 |
IPSOS | N/A | N/A | 27.1 5 | 8.8 2 | 13.0 2 | — | 20.9 4 | 15.1 3 | 6.1 1 | — | 8.9 [m] | — | 6.2 |
Alpha Research | 1-7 March 2024 | 1000 | 27.0 5 | 10.6 2 | 10.0 2 | — | 23.8 5 | 15.8 3 | 5.9 0 | — | 6.9 | — | 3.2 |
Market Links | 24 February-3 March 2024 | 1058 | 26.4 5 | 9.7 2 | 14.0 3 | — | 22.7 4 | 13.5 3 | 3.8 0 | — | 6.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.4 6 | 23.5 5 | 16.1 3 | 7.1 2 | 5.9 [n] 1 | 1.0 0 | — | — | 2.6 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
Publication date | Polling firm | Sample size | HDZ EPP | SDP S&D | Most ECR | PiP NI | IDS RE | DP ID | M! G/EFA | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 Jun 2024 | Ipsos | 1001 | 31.9 5 | 24.6 4 | 6.1 1 | - | 3.7 0 | 5.8 1 | 6.5 1 | - [o] | 7.7 | 7.3 |
5 Jun 2024 | Promocija plus | 1300 | 28.4 5 | 20.5 4 | 5.7 1 | 3.9 0 | 3.2 0 | 6.9 1 | 7.4 1 | 11.7 [p] 0 | 12.3 | 7.9 |
2 Jun 2024 | 2x1 komunikacije | 1041 | 31.2 5 | 22.0 3 | 7.1 1 | 3.7 0 | 3.8 0 | 8.7 1 | 11.1 2 | - | 11.0 | 9.2 |
25 May 2024 | Ipsos | 990 | 28.5 5 | 17.8 3 | 5.4 1 | 1.8 0 | 3.8 0 | 7.4 1 | 9.9 2 | 12.2 [q] 0 | 14.9 | 10.7 |
4 May 2024 | Promocija plus | 1000 | 30.6 5 | 24.2 4 | 5.4 1 | 2.5 0 | 2.3 0 | 6.7 1 | 7.5 1 | - | - | 6.4 |
17 Apr 2024 | 2024 parliamentary election | – | 34.4 | 25.4 | 8.0 | [r] | 2.3 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 11.2 | - | 9.0 |
26 May 2019 | 2019 European election | – | 27.1 4 | 22.1 4 | 17.6 1 | 13.6 2 | 11.9 1 | – | 1.8 0 | 5.8 | - | 5.0 |
Date | Polling firm | DISY EPP | AKEL Left | ELAM ECR | DIKO S&D | EDEK S&D | DIPA Renew | KOSP G/EFA | APC Left | EP NI | VOLT G/EFA | Fidias NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 June 2024 | Election Results | 24.8 | 21.5 | 11.2 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 19.4 | 0.3 | 3.3 |
27-30 May 2024 | IMR | 26.6 | 28.3 | 13.7 | 10.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.2 | - | 2.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
22-28 May 2024 | CMRC | 28.7 | 27.4 | 14.0 | 12.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | - | 3.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
20-25 May 2024 | RAI Consultants | 27.3 | 25.2 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
13-25 May 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 26.0 | 24.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 4.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 |
20-24 May 2024 | Symmetron | 25.6 | 24.2 | 12.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 4.3 | 2.6 | - | - | 3.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
17-24 May 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.7 | 13.5 | 12.9 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 3.9 | - | - | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
16-22 May 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 25.8 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | - | 5.3 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
9-14 May 2024 | Analytica Market Research | 24.3 | 24.9 | 14.5 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3.7 | - | 3.3 | 3.9 | - | 4.0 | 0.6 |
10-22 Apr 2024 | CMRC | 29.0 | 27.5 | 15.2 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | - | 3.6 | - | 0.7 | 1.5 |
08-19 Apr 2024 | CYMAR Market Research Ltd | 28.1 | 25.0 | 15.6 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.6 | 1.6 | - | - | 3.1 | - | 6.3 | 3.1 |
14–23 Mar 2024 | SIGMA | 28.1 | 28.1 | 15.1 | 13.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | - | - | 2.7 | - | 2.7 | 0 |
20–26 Feb 2024 | Pulse Market Research | 31.3 | 25.8 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.7 | - | - | - | - | 5.5 | 5.5 |
12–16 Feb 2024 | SIGMA | 29.0 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 | - | 1.4 | - | 2.9 | 1.5 |
11 Feb 2024 | Symmetron | 25.3 | 23.9 | 11.3 | 9.0 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 2.8 | - | - | 2.5 | - | 1.5 | 1.7 |
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 | Interview | 31.7 | 31.8 | 15 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 6.8 | - | - | - | - | 1.1 | 0.1 |
22–26 Jan 2024 | L.S.Prime | 26.4 | 26.4 | 13.8 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | - | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 |
03–11 Jan 2024 | IMR | 25.7 | 27.8 | 17.4 | 9.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 4.9 | - | - | 1.8 | - | 3.5 | 2.1 |
30 May | Election 2021 | 27.8% | 22.3% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 3.3% | - | 10.3% | 5.5 | |
26 May | Election 2019 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 3.8% | - | 0.8% | - | - | 3.0% | 1.5 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | SPOLU ECR–EPP | ANO Renew | Piráti G/EFA | STAN EPP | SPD– Trikolóra ID | Stačilo! Left | SOCDEM S&D | Svobodní NI | PaM NI | Zelení EGP | PRO NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7–8 June 2024 | Election result | 22.3 6 | 26.1 7 | 6.2 1 | 8.7 2 | 5.7 1 | 9.6 2 | 1.9 0 | 1.8 0 | 10.3 2 | 1.6 0 | 2.2 0 | 3.9 0 | 3.8 | |
STEM | 22–26 May 2024 | 1,623 | 21.5 6 | 23.1 6 | 9.4 2 | 10.0 3 | 9.5 2 | 8.1 2 | 2.9 0 | 2.7 0 | 4.7 0 | 1.9 0 | 1.8 0 | 4.1 0 | 1.6 |
STEM/MARK | 20–27 May 2024 | 1,398 | 22.3 5 | 26.1 6 | 12.1 3 | 8.1 2 | 7.9 2 | 7.7 2 | 3.6 0 | 2.3 0 | 7.2 1 | 1.4 0 | 1.0 0 | 0.3 0 | 3.8 |
Phoenix Research | 1–13 May 2024 | 1,018 | 17.5 5 | 27.4 7 | 9.9 2 | 11.5 3 | 6.2 1 | 7.0 2 | 5.0 1 | 1.3 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 4.2 0 | 7.8 1 | 9.9 |
SANEP | 2–7 May 2024 | 1,800 | 19.8 5 | 26.7 7 | 10.6 3 | 9.9 2 | 10.1 3 | 5.9 1 | 3.7 0 | 2.9 0 | 4.8 0 | 0.5 0 | 3.2 0 | 1.9 0 | 6.9 |
STEM/Mark | 28 Mar–8 April 2024 | 1,009 | 20.0 5 | 27.5 7 | 10.1 2 | 10.4 3 | 10.4 2 | 6.7 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.5 0 | 6.0 1 | 0.9 0 | — | 1.9 0 | 7.5 |
Data Collect | 25 Mar 2024 | 20.9 | 27.3 | 10.8 | 9.3 | 10.9 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 6.4 | |
IPSOS | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,517 | 21.6 | 26.3 | 11.3 | 13.4 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 4.9 | — | — | — | 4.7 |
IPSOS | Dec 2023 | TBA | 25.2 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.8 | 1.1 |
STEM/MARK | 23–28 Nov 2023 | 1,010 | 15.0 | 33.8 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 14.7 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 2.9 | — | — | — | 6.0 | 18.8 |
2021 parliamentary election | 8–9 Oct 2021 | – | 27.8 | 27.1 | 15.6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 2.8 [s] | 4.7 | 1.0 | — | 0.9 | 0.7 | |
2019 European election | 24–25 May 2019 | – | 21.8 [t] | 21.2 | 14.0 | 11.7 [u] | 9.1 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 0.7 | — | — | — | 10.6 | 0.6 |
Polling execution | Parties | Alliances | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Renew | A S&D | F G/EFA | O ID | B Renew | C EPP | Ø Left | Å G/EFA | I EPP | M Renew | Æ ECR | Others | AFÅ | BMV | CI |
2024 EP election | 14.7 2 | 15.6 3 | 17.4 3 | 6.4 1 | 7.1 1 | 8.8 1 | 7.0 1 | 2.7 0 | 7.0 1 | 5.9 1 | 7.4 1 | — | 35.7 6 | 27.7 4 | 15.8 2 | ||
Epinion (exit poll) | 9 June | ? | 13.9 2 | 15.4 3 | 18.4 3 | 6.5 1 | 6.9 1 | 7.4 1 | 6.6 1 | 3.3 0 | 7.8 1 | 6.2 1 | 7.6 1 | — | 37.1 6 | 27.0 4 | 15.2 2 |
Verian | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,301 | 11.5 2 | 18.9 3 | 16.6 3 | 7.0 1 | 5.4 0 | 6.8 1 | 6.4 1 | 2.0 0 | 10.5 2 | 5.9 1 | 8.8 1 | — | 37.5 6 | 22.8 3 | 17.3 3 |
Verian | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,301 | 11.5 2 | 18.9 3 | 16.6 3 | 7.0 1 | 5.4 0 | 6.8 1 | 6.4 1 | 2.0 0 | 10.5 2 | 5.9 1 | 8.8 1 | — | 37.5 6 | 22.8 3 | 17.3 3 |
Epinion | 28 May–3 Jun 2024 | 2,085 | 10.8 2 | 17.7 3 | 16.6 3 | 6.4 1 | 4.9 0 | 8.3 1 | 7.8 1 | 4.1 0 | 8.5 2 | 6.0 1 | 8.9 1 | — | 38.4 6 | 21.7 3 | 16.8 3 |
Epinion | 8–14 May 2024 | 2,025 | 12.5 2 | 21.4 4 | 13.1 2 | 7.4 1 | 5.4 1 | 7.1 1 | 6.8 1 | 1.7 0 | 9.9 2 | 4.0 0 | 10.4 1 | — | 36.2 6 | 21.9 3 | 17.0 3 |
Verian | 8–14 May 2024 | 1,565 | 13.6 2 | 18.6 3 | 14.0 3 | 9.6 1 | 4.7 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.2 1 | 1.2 0 | 12.2 2 | 3.9 0 | 9.1 1 | — | 33.8 6 | 22.2 3 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 1,938 | 11.2 2 | 20.1 4 | 14.6 2 | 6.5 1 | 7.0 1 | 6.8 1 | 6.9 1 | 2.3 0 | 12.0 2 | 4.5 0 | 8.1 1 | — | 37.0 6 | 22.7 3 | 18.8 3 |
Epinion | 6–13 Mar 2024 | 1,074 | 12 2 | 24 4 | 14 2 | 7 1 | 5 1 | 5 1 | 7 1 | 3 0 | 9 1 | 7 1 | 7 1 | — | 41 6 | 24 4 | 14 2 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 10.5 2 | 21.0 4 | 12.0 2 | 5.0 0 | 6.0 1 | 6.0 1 | 8.0 1 | 2.0 0 | 13.0 2 | 7.0 1 | 8.5 1 | — | 35.0 6 | 23.5 4 | 19.0 3 |
Epinion | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 1,051 | 11 2 | 22 4 | 12 2 | 7 1 | 6 1 | 6 1 | 7 1 | 1 0 | 10 1 | 7 1 | 9 1 | — | 35 6 | 24 4 | 16 2 |
2022 general election | 13.3 (3) | 27.5 (6) | 8.3 (1) | 2.6 (0) | 3.8 (0) | 5.5 (1) | 5.1 (0) | 3.3 (0) | 7.9 (1) | 9.3 (2) | 8.1 (1) | 5.2 (0) | 39.1 (7) | 26.4 (4) | 13.4 (2) | ||
2021 municipal elections | 21.2 (4) | 28.4 (5) | 7.6 (1) | 4.1 (0) | 5.6 (1) | 15.2 (3) | 7.3 (1) | 0.7 (0) | 1.4 (0) | — | 8.5 (0) | 36.7 (6) | 26.8 (5) | 16.6 (3) | |||
2019 general election | 23.4 (5) | 25.9 (6) | 7.7 (1) | 8.7 (1) | 8.6 (0) | 6.6 (1) | 6.9 (1) | 3.0 (0) | 2.3 (0) | — | 6.9 (0) | 36.6 (7) | 32.0 (5) | 9.0 (1) | |||
2019 EP election | 23.5 (4) | 21.5 3 | 13.2 2 | 10.8 1 | 10.1 2 | 6.2 1 | 5.5 1 | 3.4 0 | 2.2 0 | — | 3.7 0 | — |
Polling execution | Parties | Lead | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() SDE | ![]() Centre | ![]() EKRE ID | ![]() Isamaa EPP | ![]() | EER G/EFA | ![]() | Others | Party | EP group | |||
Norstat | 8–20 May 2024 | 1,471 | 19.1 1 | 19.3 2 | 11.5 1 | 14.2 1 | 21.3 2 | 3.8 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.3 0 | 2.9 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.0 | 4.6 | ||
Kantar Emor | 6–15 May 2024 | 1,471 | 17.2 2 | 23.6 2 | 11.0 1 | 13.6 1 | 14.0 1 | 4.1 0 | 0.9 0 | 7.2 0 | 3.1 0 | 5.4 0 | 6.4 | 9.3 | ||
Norstat | 29 Apr–6 May 2024 | 1,484 | 19.3 2 | 21.4 2 | 9.4 1 | 17.9 1 | 17.1 1 | 3.9 0 | 0.9 0 | 4.5 0 | 3.0 0 | 2.7 0 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
Kantar Emor | 8-17 Apr 2024 | 1,484 | 18.8 2 | 20 2 | 13.8 1 | 13.8 1 | 16.8 1 | 4.7 0 | 1.5 0 | 6 0 | — | 4.5 0 | 1.2 | 12.6 | ||
Norstat | 11-15 Apr 2024 | 3,500 | 20.1 2 | 22.0 2 | 11.0 1 | 17.2 1 | 17.6 1 | 5.0 0 | 1.2 0 | 4.7 0 | — | 1.2 0 | 1.9 | 9.1 | ||
Kantar Emor | 14-20 Mar 2024 | 1,135 | 18.9 2 | 21.4 2 | 13.9 1 | 15.4 1 | 16.7 1 | 5.6 0 | — [v] | 5.9 0 | — | 2.1 0 | 2.5 | 11.4 | ||
2023 parliamentary election | 31.2 3 | 9.3 1 | 15.3 1 | 16.1 1 | 8.2 0 | 13.3 1 | 1.0 0 | 2.3 0 | — | 3.3 0 | 15.1 | 30.4 | ||||
2019 EP election | 26.2 2 | 23.3 2 | 14.4 1 | 12.7 1 | 10.3 1 | 3.2 0 | 1.8 0 | — | — | 8.0 0 | 2.9 | 17.3 | ||||
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | KOK EPP | VIHR G/EFA | SDP S&D | PS ECR | KESK Renew | VAS Left | SFP Renew | KD EPP | LIIK NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taloustutkimus [133] | 29 May–4 June 2024 | 2,111 | 20.6 4 | 9.3 1 | 19.4 3 | 16.4 3 | 11.9 2 | 10.8 2 | 4.2 0 | 4 0 | 1.1 0 | 2.2 0 | 1.2 |
Taloustutkimus [134] | 23–29 Apr 2024 | 2,118 | 21.7 4 | 10.5 2 | 19.7 3 | 14.1 2 | 13.6 2 | 10.5 2 | 4.0 0 | 2.9 0 | 1.0 0 | 2.1 0 | 2.0 |
Verian [135] | 18–25 Mar 2024 | 1,372 | 22 4 | 11 2 | 17 3 | 14 2 | 12 2 | 9 1 | 5 0 | 6 1 | 4 0 | 5 | |
Ipsos [136] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 22.5 4 | 9.0 1 | 20.0 4 | 19.0 3 | 10.5 2 | 8.5 1 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 3.5 0 | 2.5 | |
2023 parliamentary election | 20.8 | 7.0 | 19.9 | 20.1 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | ||
2019 EP election | 20.8 3 | 16.0 3 | 14.6 2 | 13.8 2 | 13.5 2 | 6.9 1 | 6.3 1 | 4.9 0 | 3.1 0 | 4.8 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | LO NI | NPA Left | PCF Left | LFI Left | ND S&D | PS–PP S&D | EELV G/EFA | GE NI | PRG G/EFA [w] | PS diss. | UDMF NI | EAC G/EFA | ÉPT Renew | PP G/EFA | PA Left | Ens. Renew | AR | NE EPP | LR EPP | DLF ECR | UPR NI | LP–VIA ECR | RN ID | REC ECR | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FNC NI | R! NI | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 06–07 Jun2024 | 8,923 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1 [x] | 17 | |
Harris Interactive [ failed verification ] | 05–07 Jun2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [y] | 18 | |
Elabe | 05–07 Jun2024 | 2,001 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 [z] | 16 | |
Ifop | 04–07 Jun2024 | 2,710 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 14.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Odoxa | 05–06 Jun2024 | 1.008 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 3.5 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | [aa] | 17 | |
Ipsos | 05–06 Jun2024 | 1,738 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 9 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 [ab] | 16.5 | |
OpinionWay | 04–06 Jun2024 | 2,182 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 3 | 15 | 1 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 3 [ac] | 18 | |
Cluster17 | 04–06 Jun2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | 0.5 | 13 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 31 | 5.5 | <3 [ad] | 16 | |
OpinionWay | 04–06 Jun2024 | 1,027 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | – | 13 | 6 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4 [ae] | 18 | |
Harris Interactive [ failed verification ] | 04–06 Jun2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [af] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 03–06 Jun2024 | 2,710 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive [ failed verification ] | 04–05 Jun2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [ag] | 17.5 | |
BVA | 03–05 Jun2024 | 1,500 | 1 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 0.5 | 33 | 5 | 3 [ah] | 17 | |
Ifop | 01–05 Jun2024 | 2,724 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
YouGov | 31 May–5 Jun2024 | 1,035 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 4 | – | 1 | – | 1 | – | – | – | 3 | 15 | 1 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Harris Interactive [ failed verification ] | 03–04 Jun2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [ai] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 31 May–04 Jun2024 | 2,734 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 2 | 18 | |
Harris Interactive | 02–03 Jun2024 | 2,130 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | [aj] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 30 May–03 Jun2024 | 2,751 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 18 | |
Elabe | 29–31 May2024 | 1,688 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 1.5 [ak] | 16.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30–31 May2024 | 2,178 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | [al] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 28–31 May2024 | 2,713 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 18 | |
OpinionWay | 28–30 May2024 | 2,149 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 4 [am] | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 28–30 May2024 | 1,165 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 30 | 6 | <3 [an] | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 29–30 May2024 | 2,200 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5.5 | [ao] | 18.5 | |
Ipsos | 27–30 May2024 | 11,430 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33 | 5 | [ap] | 17 | |
Ifop | 26–30 May2024 | 2,700 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
OpinionWay | 28–29 May2024 | 1,008 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 14 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 17 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 May2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 5 | 4 [aq] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 25–29 May2024 | 2,250 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 33.5 | 6.5 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 27–28 May2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4 [ar] | 17 | |
Ifop | 24–28 May2024 | 1,809 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 34 | 6 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–27 May2024 | 2,016 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 1 | 14.5 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 4 [as] | 17.5 | |
Ifop | 23–27 May2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33.5 | 6 | 1 | 17.5 | |
Elabe | 24–25 May2024 | 1,688 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 0.5 | 33 | 5.5 | 2 [at] | 17.5 | |
Odoxa | 23–24 May2024 | 991 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 13.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 34 | 4 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 21–24 May2024 | 1,362 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 17 | |
OpinionWay | 21–24 May2024 | 2,024 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1 | – | <1 | <1 | <1 | <1 | 1 | 15 | <1 | – | 8 | – | <1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 5 [au] | 17 | |
Ifop | 20–23 May2024 | 1,356 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | <0.5 | 15 | 5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 33 | 6 | 1.5 | 17 | |
Cluster17 | 21–22 May2024 | 1,043 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 21–22 May2024 | 1,067 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 13 | 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 16 | |
Ifop | 20–22 May2024 | 1,344 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
Vivavoice | 20–21 May2024 | 1,059 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 6.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–21 May2024 | 1,344 | 1 | <0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 15 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Elabe | 15–17 May2024 | 1,398 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 13 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 15.5 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 3 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 15–17 May2024 | 1,334 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | – | 8 | – | <0.5 | <0.5 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–17 May2024 | 2,014 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 15–16 May2024 | 1,500 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 [av] | 6 | 1 [aw] | 1 | <0.5 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 14–16 May2024 | 2,025 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 13–16 May2024 | 1,338 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 1 | 14.5 | 5.5 | – | <0.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
OpinionWay | 14–15 May2024 | 1,006 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 8 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | – | 7 | – | <1 | 1 | 31 | 8 | 3 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 13–15 May2024 | 1,285 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 May2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16 | |
YouGov | 6–15 May2024 | 1,028 | 1 | <1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 5 | – | <1 [ax] | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 [av] | 6 | – | 2 | 2 | 32 | 6 | 2 | 15 | ||
Ipsos | 13–14 May2024 | 1,530 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 10–14 May2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 10–13 May2024 | 2,294 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
Ifop | 9–13 May2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 1 | 15.5 | |
Ifop | 6–10 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Cluster17 | 6–9 May2024 | 1,208 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | – | 6.5 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 5–9 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1.5 | – | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 6–7 May2024 | 1,029 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | – | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Ifop | 3–7 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1.5 | – | 8 | – | 1 | 1 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 5–6 May2024 | 1,026 | 1 | <1 | 3 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 16 | 1 | – | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 15 | |
Ifop | 2–6 May2024 | 1,325 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1 | – | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 0.5 | 16 | |
Elabe | 30 Apr–3 May2024 | 1,375 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 12 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 30 Apr–3 May2024 | 2,043 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 14 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 15 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 16 | |
Ifop | 30 Apr–3 May2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr2024 | 1,075 | <1 | – | 2 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
Ifop | 29 Apr–2 May2024 | 1,375 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Cluster17 | 29 Apr–1 May2024 | 1,337 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 2 | 15.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 29.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 29–30 Apr2024 | 1,009 | 1 | – | 4 | 7 | <1 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 26–30 Apr2024 | 1,360 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 24–26 Apr2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 9 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2 | 15 | |
Ifop | 25–29 Apr2024 | 1,345 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 14.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
Odoxa | 25–26 Apr2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 15.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
BVA | 25–26 Apr2024 | 1,434 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | – | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 3 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6 | 1 [aw] | 1 | 1 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 14 | |
Ifop | 23–26 Apr2024 | 1,345 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 14 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
OpinionWay | 24–25 Apr2024 | 1,011 | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | <1 | 14 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 2 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
Cluster17 | 23–25 Apr2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1 | 1.5 | 29.5 | 6 | 2 | 13.5 | |
Ifop | 22–25 Apr2024 | 1,350 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 13 | 8 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | <0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
OpinionWay | 23–24 Apr2024 | 1,007 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 18 | 2 | <1 | 6 | – | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
Ifop | 20–24 Apr2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5.5 | 1 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 19–24 Apr2024 | 10,651 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 14 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | <0.5 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 19–23 Apr2024 | 1,335 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 19–22 Apr2024 | 2,319 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 1.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 18–22 Apr2024 | 1,339 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 7 | 0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 16–19 Apr2024 | 1,371 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 8 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 2 | 17.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 31.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14 | |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Apr2024 | 1,021 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | <1 | 13 | 7 | – | <1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 1 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 15–18 Apr2024 | 1,376 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | <0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
OpinionWay | 16–17 Apr2024 | 1,002 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | <1 | 12 | 6 | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 7 | – | 1 | 1 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
Ifop | 13–17 Apr2024 | 1,364 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1.5 | 17.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 15 | |
Ifop | 12–16 Apr2024 | 1,349 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7 | <0.5 | 12 | 7.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 0.5 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Apr2024 | 2,005 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 14 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 16 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
Ifop | 11–15 Apr2024 | 1,326 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 8 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 32.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
Ifop | 9–12 Apr2024 | 1,347 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | <0.5 | 12.5 | 6.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
Ipsos | 10–11 Apr2024 | 1,500 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7 | 0.5 | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 16 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 6.5 | – | 1 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 16 | |
Cluster17 | 9–11 Apr2024 | 1,164 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8.5 | 1 | 12 | 6 | – | 1 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 6 | – | 1.5 | 1.5 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Apr2024 | 1,355 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 8 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 6–10 Apr2024 | 1,343 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 8 | 0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 5–9 Apr2024 | 1,335 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | <0.5 | 12 | 5.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
YouGov | 3–9 Apr2024 | 1,028 | 2 | – | 2 | 5 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 7 | 2 [aw] | – | – | 29 | 9 | 2 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 5–8 Apr2024 | 2,018 | 1 | – | 3 | 9 | – | 12 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1 | 1 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 3.5 | 13 | |
Ifop | 4–8 Apr2024 | 1,343 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 11 | 6.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
OpinionWay | 3–5 Apr2024 | 1,509 | 1 | – | 2 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | <1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | 2 | <1 | 8 | – | 1 | – | 29 | 7 | 2 | 10 | ||
Elabe | 2–4 Apr2024 | 1,504 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 7.5 | – | 12 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 16.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
Harris Interactive | 28–29 Mar2024 | 2,220 | 1 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 13 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 17 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | – | 0.5 | 1 | 31 | 6 | 2.5 | 14 | |
BVA | 27–28 Mar2024 | 1,518 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 7 | – | 11 | 6 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | – | <0.5 | 1 | 20 | 1 | <0.5 | 8 | 3 [aw] | 1 | 1 | 30 | 5.5 | 1 | 10 | |
Harris Interactive | 22–25 Mar2024 | 2,027 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 12 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 | – | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Ifop | 19–20 Mar2024 | 1,112 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 11 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 21 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 0.5 | 9 | |
Harris Interactive | 15–18 Mar2024 | 2,124 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 13 | 7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 18 | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Mar2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | – | 27 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
Cluster17 | 8–9 Mar2024 | 1,016 | 0.5 | – | 3 | 8 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 17 | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | – | 29 | 6 | 2 | 12 | |
Elabe | 5–7 Mar2024 | 1,504 | 2 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 29.5 | 4.5 | 3 | 12.5 |
YouGov | 26 Feb–7 Mar2024 | 1,008 | 1 | – | 2 | 6 | – | 10 | 7 | – | <1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 20 | 1 | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 1–6 Mar2024 | 11,700 | 1 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 11.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | 18 | 0.5 | – | – | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 5 | 1.5 | 13 | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 2,000 | – | – | 3.0 | 7 | – | 12.2 | 8.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.1 | – | – | – | 7.6 | 2.5 | – | – | 30.7 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 12.6 |
Ifop | 29 Feb–1 Mar2024 | 1,348 | 1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | 19 | <0.5 | 1.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10 | ||
BVA | 27–28 Feb2024 | 1,344 | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 7 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | <0.5 | 1.5 | 18 [ay] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Odoxa | 21–22 Feb2024 | 1,005 | 1.5 | – | 1.5 | 6 | – | 11 | 8.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19 [az] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb2024 | 799 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 9.9 | – | 9.9 | 5.6 | – | 2.8 [ax] | – | 2.6 | – | – | 1.4 | 14.5 [ba] | – | 1.3 | – | 4.7 | 3.1 | – | – | 31.5 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 16.0 | ||
OpinionWay | 14–15 Feb2024 | 1,009 | <1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | <1 | 19 | 1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Elabe | 7–9 Feb2024 | 1,426 | 1.5 | – | 2.5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9.5 | – | <0.5 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 2 | 16.5 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | 0.5 | – | 27.5 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
Ifop | 7–8 Feb2024 | 1,356 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 7 | – | 9.5 | 8 | – | 1.5 [ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 19 [az] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 29 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 10 | ||
1 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 8.5 | – | 1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 [ba] | 1 | 1 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1 | <0.5 | 28.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |||||
1 | 3.5 | 8 | – | 10.5 | 8 | – | 1.5 [ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 18 [ay] | 0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | |||||
YouGov | 29 Jan–7 Feb2024 | 1,001 | 1 | – | 2 | 8 | – | 8 | 8 | – | 1 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 19 [bb] | 1 | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 32 | 8 | 3 | 13 | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan2024 | 469 | 2 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 9 | 9 | – | 1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14 | 1 | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 33 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
OpinionWay | 17–18 Jan2024 | 1,019 | 1 | – | 4 | 8 | – | 10 | 6 | – | 2 [ax] | – | 1 | – | – | 1 | 20 | <1 | – | <1 | 8 | 2 | – | – | 27 | 7 | 3 | 7 | |
Ifop | 16–17 Jan2024 | 1,348 | 0.5 | 4 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 7 | – | 1.5 [ax] | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 19 [bb] | <0.5 | 0.5 | <0.5 | 6.5 | 2 | <0.5 | 0.5 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 12 | ||
Harris Interactive | 12–15 Jan2024 | 1,217 | 1 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 1 | – | – | 2 | – | – | 1 | 19 [bb] | 1 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 1.5 | 9 |
Ifop | 12–15 Jan2024 | 875 | 1 | 4 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1 | – | – | – | 20 [bb] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 30 | 6 | 2 | 10 | |
YouGov | 8–15 Jan2024 | 1,004 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | – | 8 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 30 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Cluster17 | 13–14 Jan2024 | 1,209 | 1 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 11 | 8 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18 [bb] | 1 | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 28.5 | 7 | 2 | 10.5 |
Elabe | 10–12 Jan2024 | 1,400 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 7.5 | – | 9.5 | 8.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | 1 | 18 [bc] | 1 | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | – | 28.5 | 5 | 3 | 10.5 |
Ifop | 3–5 Jan2024 | 1,090 | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 9 | – | 3 [ax] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 1.5 | 17 [bc] | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 28 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 11 | ||
Odoxa | 13–14 Dec2023 | 1,004 | 2.5 | – | 3 | 6.5 | – | 9 | 6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21 [bc] | 0.5 | – | – | 9 | 2 | – | – | 31 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
OpinionWay | 13–14 Dec2023 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 6 | – | 10 | 8 | – | 2 [ax] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | <1 | 9 | 3 | – | – | 27 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
Ipsos | 29 Nov–12 Dec2023 | 11,691 | 1.5 | 3 | 7.5 | – | 10.5 | 9.5 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [bc] | 0.5 | – | – | 8 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 6.5 | 2 | 8 | |
Ifop | 8–11 Dec2023 | 1,062 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7 | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 18 [bc] | 1 | – | – | 7.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 12 | |
OpinionWay | 15–16 Nov2023 | – | 2 | – | 3 | 7 | – | 9 | 8 | – | 3 [ax] | – | <1 | – | – | 1 | 19 | <1 | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 7 | 3 | 9 | |
Ipsos | 9–10 Nov2023 | 1,412 | 2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22 [bd] | – | – | – | 6 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 2.5 | 7 | |
2 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 10.5 | 10.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 6.5 | 2 | – | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9 | ||||
Ifop | 12–13 Oct2023 | 1,515 | 1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 2 | – | – | 28 | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
1 | 5 | 9 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 20 [be] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 28 | 5 | 1 | 8 | ||||
Ifop | 30–31 Aug2023 | 1,126 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 9 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 21 [bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 4 | |
2 | 6 | 12 [bf] | 10 | – | – | – | – | 2 | – | – | – | 23 [bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 2 | 2 | ||||||
1 | 5 | 9 [bg] | – | 10 | 8 | – | – | – | – | 1.5 | – | – | – | 21 [bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 1 | 4 | ||||
Cluster17 | 16–19 Aug2023 | 983 | 1.5 | – | 3 | 22.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20.5 [bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23 | 7 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||
1.5 | – | 20.5 | 7.5 | – | 2.5 | – | – | 3 | – | – | 2.5 | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | 23.5 | 7 | 2 | 3 | ||||||
1.5 | – | 25 [bh] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 2.5 | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
1 | – | 25 [bi] | – | 3 | – | – | 4 | – | – | 3 | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3.5 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 23 [bj] | – | 3 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 3 | 21 [bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |||||||
2 | – | 25 [bk] | – | 2.5 | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | 2.5 | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 7 | 4 | – | – | 24 | 7 | 1.5 | 1 | |||||||
Ifop | 4–5 Jul2023 | 1,008 | 1 | 4 | 8 | – | 9 | 9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20 [bc] | – | – | – | 11 | 4 | – | – | 26 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
Ipsos | 16–26 Jun2023 | 10,631 | 1.5 | 4 | 8.5 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 21 [bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3 | 3 | |
2 | 24 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24 [bc] | – | – | – | 10 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 7 | 5 | 1 | ||||||||
1.5 | 5 | 9.5 | – | 15 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23 [bc] | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 25 | 6.5 | 3 | 2 | |||||
Elabe | 19–21 Jun2023 | 1,397 | 1.5 | 2 | 8.5 | – | 9.5 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.5 | – | – | – | 8.5 | 2.5 | – | – | 26 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | |
1.5 | 24.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26 | – | – | – | 9 | 2.5 | – | – | 27 | 5.5 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
Cluster17 | 17–19 May2023 | 1,760 | 2 | 4 | 11 | – | 9 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 [bc] | – | – | – | 7.5 | 3 | – | – | 24 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
2 | 27 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 23 [bc] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 4 | – | – | 25.5 | 7 | 3 | 1.5 | ||||||||
Ifop | 10–11 May2023 | 1,310 | 1 | 5 | 10 | – | 10 | 10 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 19 [bc] | – | – | – | 8 | 3 | – | – | 25 | 6 | 3 | 6 | |
2 | 26 [bl] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22 [bc] | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | – | – | 26 | 6 | 4 | Tie | ||||||||
Harris Interactive | 5–9 May2023 | 1,262 | 2 | 23 [bm] | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3 | 26 | – | – | – | 13 | 2 | – | – | 21 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||
1 | 19 [bm] | 5 | – | 6 | – | – | – | – | 3 | 24 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | ||||||||
1 | 3 | 9 | – | 10 | 11 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | – | – | 12 | 2 | – | – | 20 | 5 | 3 | 3 | ||||
2019 European election | 26 May2019 | – | 0.8 | [bn] | 2.5 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 13.5 | 1.8 [bo] | [bp] | – | 0.1 | [bq] | – | 0.1 | 2.2 | 24.9 [br] | – | – | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 23.3 | – | 7.0 | 0.9 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Union EPP | Grüne G/EFA | SPD S&D | AfD NI | Linke Left | FDP Renew | PARTEI NI | FW Renew | Tiersch. Left | ÖDP G/EFA | FAM EPP | Volt G/EFA | PIRAT G/EFA | BSW NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wahlkreisprognose | 6–7 Jun2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 13.5 | 12.5 | 15.5 | 2.5 | 4.5 | — | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 11.5 | 14.5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 4–6 Jun2024 | 1,300 | 31 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14 | 2.5 | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 11 | 16.5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–6 Jun 2024 | 1,223 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 7 | 13 | 16 |
Ipsos | 29 May–5 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 5 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 8 | 15 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 27 May–1 Jun2024 | 2,000 | 30.5 | 15 | 13.5 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 7.5 | 15.5 |
INSA | 30–31 May 2024 | 1,001 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 11 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,197 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 13 | 15 |
Infratest dimap | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,515 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 23–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | 13 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 May2024 | 2,600 | 31 | 15 | 12.5 | 16 | 3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6.5 | 6.5 | 15 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,247 | 31 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 13 | 16 |
INSA | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,100 | 29 | 13 | 15.5 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 5.5 | 12 |
YouGov | 3–8 May 2024 | 1,247 | 29 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 9 |
Infratest dimap | 29–30 Apr 2024 | 1,323 | 30 | 15 | 14 | 15 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 15 | 15 |
INSA | 25–26 Apr 2024 | 1,202 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 7 | 12 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Apr 2024 | 1,228 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 13 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Apr 2024 | 1,254 | 30 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 12 | 14 |
INSA | 5–8 Apr 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11.5 | 16.5 | 19 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 4 | 9.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 | 12 |
Forsa | 12–13 Mar 2024 | 1,008 | 34 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 3 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 18 |
INSA | 8–11 Mar 2024 | 2,100 | 28.5 | 11 | 16 | 20 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 | 2.5 | 2 | — | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 8.5 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,613 | 29 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4 [bs] | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–29 Feb 2024 | 1,900 | 31.5 | 16 | 12 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | 7.5 | 4.5 | 15.5 |
Stack Data Strategy | 17–22 Feb 2024 | 980 | 25.5 | 9.8 | 16.5 | 15.1 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 1.3 | 1.2 | 9.3 | 3.4 | 9.0 |
INSA | 8–12 Feb 2024 | 2,101 | 27 | 10.5 | 16 | 22 | 4.5 | 3 | 1 | 3.5 | 3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 5 |
Portland | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 555 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 11–18 Jan 2024 | 1,440 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 4.5 | 5 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 1–7 Dec 2023 | 1,440 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 3 | 6 |
INSA | 31 Jul 2023 | 1,001 | 26 | 15 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 7–14 Jul 2023 | 1,040 | 23 | 13.5 | 15 | 22 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 15–16 Dec 2022 | 1,100 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5 | 1 |
Wahlkreisprognose | 24–26 Feb 2022 | 1,722 | 22 | 19.5 | 22.5 | 12.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.5 | 0.5 |
2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.2 | 14.7 | 25.7 | 10.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.2 | — | 0.4 | 0.4 | — | 2.9 | 1.6 |
2019 European election | 26 May 2019 | – | 28.9 | 20.5 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | — | 3.8 | 8.4 |
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ND EPP | SYRIZA Left | PASOK S&D | KKE NI | XA [bt] NI | EL ECR | MeRA25 Left | PE NI | R NI | Antarsya NI | SP NI | NIKI NI | FL PfE | NA Left | DIMO Renew | KOS G/EFA | PAT NI | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 28.3 | 14.9 | 12.8 | 9.3 | – | 9.3 | 2.5 | 3.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 13.4 |
GPO/Parapolitika [137] | 4–7 Jun 2024 | 1,200 | 32.3 | 16.1 | 12.9 | 8.5 | – | 8.8 | 2.4 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.2 |
Pulse RC/Skai [138] | 4–6 Jun 2024 | 1,169 | 31.3 | 16.2 | 12.8 | 7.8 | – | 8.4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.1 |
MRB/Open [139] | 4–6 Jun 2024 | 1,212 | 31.5 | 16.0 | 12.4 | 8.0 | – | 8.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.5 |
Interview/Political [140] | 30 May–6 Jun 2024 | 2,755 | 30.0 | 17.2 | 11.4 | 7.2 | – | 8.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12.8 |
Marc/AΝΤ1 [141] | 3–5 Jun 2024 | 1,205 | 33.0 | 16.6 | 11.7 | 7.8 | – | 8.4 | 2.8 | 4.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.4 |
Good Affairs/To Vima [142] | 2–5 Jun 2024 | 2,048 | 32.1 | 16.7 | 12.1 | 8.1 | – | 8.0 | 2.5 | 2.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.4 |
Metron Analysis/Mega [143] | 28 May–5 Jun 2024 | 1,606 | 32.0 | 15.5 | 12.0 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.5 |
Alco/Alpha [144] | 2–4 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 31.1 | 15.2 | 12.7 | 8.0 | – | 8.6 | 3.5 | 3.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.9 |
Prorata/Attica [145] | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 32.4 | 13.7 | 13.2 | 9.3 | – | 9.3 | 2.8 | 4.4 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18.7 |
Interview/Politic [146] | 30 May–3 Jun 2024 | 2,005 | 33.8 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 7.8 | – | 7.8 | 4.4 | 2.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.1 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [147] | 29 May–1 Jun 2024 | 1,201 | 33.0 | 16.2 | 12.3 | 8.0 | – | 9.0 | 2.6 | 3.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.8 |
Marc/Proto Thema [148] | 29–31 May 2024 | 1,003 | 34.5 | 16.7 | 11.9 | 7.3 | – | 8.4 | 2.7 | 4.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.8 |
Pulse RC/Skai [149] | 27–30 May 2024 | 1,203 | 32.0 | 16.5 | 13.0 | 7.5 | – | 8.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.5 |
MARC/ANT1 [150] | 27–30 May 2024 | 1,207 | 33.4 | 16.5 | 11.8 | 7.6 | – | 8.8 | 3.0 | 4.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.9 |
GPO/Star [151] | 27–29 May 2024 | 1,200 | 33.1 | 16.2 | 13.2 | 8.2 | – | 8.4 | 2.0 | 3.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica [152] | 22–28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 33.3 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 11.2 | – | 8.5 | 1.7 | 3.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 20.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega [153] | 20–24 May 2024 | 1,311 | 31.0 | 15.7 | 12.9 | 7.9 | – | 7.3 | 3.3 | 4.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.3 |
Good Affairs/Dailypost [154] | 18–25 May 2024 | 1,000 | 31.1 | 16.3 | 11.1 | 7.8 | – | 8.1 | 1.6 | 3.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 14.8 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [155] | 15–16 May 2024 | 1,006 | 33.3 | 15.5 | 12.1 | 8.3 | – | 9.9 | 2.3 | 3.8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.8 |
GPO/Parapolitika [156] | 13–16 May 2024 | 1,200 | 33.3 | 15.6 | 13.2 | 8.6 | – | 8.6 | 2.2 | 3.2 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 17.7 |
Alco/Alpha [157] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.5 | 16.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | — | 10.0 | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 16.5 |
Pulse RC/Skai [158] | 13–15 May 2024 | 1,104 | 33.0 | 16.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | — | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.1 | — | 1.2 | 2.8 | 17.0 |
MARC/ANT1 [159] | 10–15 May 2024 | 1,209 | 33.8 | 15.2 | 12.2 | 8.0 | — | 8.3 | 3.0 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | — | — | 3.3 | 18.6 |
MRB/Open [160] | 10–14 May 2024 | 1,100 | 32.3 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | — | 9.9 | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.4 | — | — | 2.2 | 16.3 |
Interview/Politic [161] | 8–13 May 2024 | 2,405 | 33.3 | 17.2 | 12.2 | 6.7 | — | 7.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | — | — | 3.4 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 2.6 | — | — | 11.8 | 16.1 |
Good Affairs/To Vima [162] | — | — | 31.8 | 16.1 | 11.8 | 8.3 | — | 10.3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | — | — | — | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | — | 15.7 | |
Marc/Proto Thema [163] | 18–25 Apr 2024 | 1,049 | 33.4 | 14.7 | 11.4 | 8.5 | — | 9.8 | 2.4 | 5.4 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 18.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika [164] | 17–22 Apr 2024 | 1,400 | 33.6 | 16.3 | 13.5 | 8.8 | — | 9.1 | 2.1 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.4 | 3.4 | — | 2.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 2.8 | 17.3 |
Metron Analysis/Mega [165] | 10–16 Apr 2024 | 1,304 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 12.0 | 9.8 | — | 8.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | — | — | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 2.8 | 16.9 |
Prorata/Attica [166] | 5–10 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 9.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.3 | 4.6 | — | — | 1.7 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | — | 3.0 | 14.5 |
Opinion Poll/Action 24 [167] | 8–10 Apr 2024 | 1,006 | 32.1 | 15.0 | 12.4 | 8.5 | — | 10.7 | 1.3 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 17.1 |
Interview/Politic [168] [169] | 4–8 Apr 2024 | 2,355 | 27.7 | 16.1 | 12.7 | 6.9 | — | 11.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — | 1.2 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.2 | 11.6 |
Alco/Alpha [170] | 2–5 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 29.9 | 14.3 | 13.3 | 9.4 | — | 9.6 | 2.3 | 4.1 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.5 | 15.6 |
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos [171] | 1–4 Apr 2024 | 1,008 | 31.8 | 14.1 | 13.0 | 9.4 | — | 10.3 | — | 4.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 3.5 | — | 4.0 | — | — | — | 6.6 | 17.7 |
GPO/Parapolitika [172] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33.4 | 15.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 | — | 9.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.2 | 2.2 | — | — | 3.3 | 17.5 |
MRB/Open [173] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 8.1 | — | 9.9 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | — | 2.1 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 1.6 | — | — | 2.3 | 15.6 |
Pulse RC/Skai [174] | 1–3 Apr 2024 | 1,105 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 12.5 | 8.5 | — | 9.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | — | — | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | — | — | 2.9 | 18.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [175] | 15–20 Mar 2024 | 1,010 | 34.4 | 13.4 | 12.5 | 9.4 | — | 10.1 | 1.9 | 2.9 | — | — | 2.5 | 4.3 | — | 2.9 | 2.8 | — | — | 2.8 | 21.0 |
Metron Analysis/Mega [176] | 12–19 Mar 2024 | 1,317 | 31.4 | 15.1 | 13.0 | 10.1 | — | 9.7 | 1.9 | 4.3 | — | 0.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | — | 1.7 | 16.3 |
Good Affairs/To Vima [177] | 12–14 Mar 2024 | 3,229 | 30.8 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 8.2 | — | 9.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.6 | — | 2.5 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.5 | 17.7 |
Marc/Proto Thema [178] | 11–14 Mar 2024 | 1,086 | 36.2 | 13.4 | 12.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.6 | 2.8 | — | 2.6 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.7 | 22.8 |
GPO/Star [179] | 11–13 Mar 2024 | 1,200 | 34.8 | 14.3 | 13.9 | 9.5 | — | 8.0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — | — | 1.8 | 3.4 | — | 3.0 | 2.6 | — | — | 3.5 | 20.5 |
Interview/Politic [180] | 7–11 Mar 2024 | 2,250 | 29.1 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 7.1 | — | 12.0 | — | 2.5 | — | — | 1.8 | 4.6 | — | 4.9 | — | — | — | 11.3 | 14.7 |
Alco/Alpha [181] | 1–6 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 32.8 | 12.7 | 14.1 | 10.8 | — | 7.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.5 | — | 3.4 | — | — | — | 4.0 | 18.7 |
Ipsos/Euronews [182] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 35.0 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 9.0 | — | 8.7 | <3.0 | 3.2 | — | — | 2.9 | 4.0 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.9 | 21.4 |
Pulse RC/Skai [183] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 | 1,106 | 35.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 9.0 | — | 8.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.0 | 4.0 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 3.5 | 21.5 |
GPO/Parapolitika [184] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 14.4 | 10.7 | — | 8.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.4 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 3.2 | 22.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [185] | 21–27 Feb 2024 | 1,504 | 33.9 | 11.9 | 13.9 | 10.1 | — | 10.2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | — | — | 2.7 | 4.2 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.7 | 20.0 |
Opinion Poll/Action24 [186] | 13–16 Feb 2024 | 1,004 | 34.3 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 9.4 | — | 9.5 | 2.4 | 3.7 | — | — | 2.7 | 3.8 | — | 3.3 | — | — | — | 3.8 | 19.7 |
Interview/Politic [187] | 6–12 Feb 2024 | 2,155 | 33.3 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 8.3 | — | 9.1 | — | 2.6 | — | — | 2.1 | 5.1 | — | 5.1 | — | — | — | 9.7 | 19.1 |
Alco/Alpha [188] | 1–7 Feb 2024 | 1,201 | 34.5 | 12.6 | 15.0 | 11.2 | — | 7.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.9 | — | 2.6 | — | — | — | 4.3 | 19.5 |
GPO/Star [189] | 20–25 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 38.8 | 14.0 | 14.2 | 9.6 | — | 7.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | — | — | 2.2 | 3.3 | — | 3.0 | — | — | — | 2.4 | 24.6 |
MRB/Open [190] | 22–24 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.1 | 12.1 | 12.1 | 9.3 | — | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.0 | — | — | 2.8 | 3.7 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 4.8 | 24.0 |
Marc/Ant1 [191] | 17–23 Jan 2024 | 1,092 | 37.1 | 12.6 | 16.8 | 9.4 | — | 7.0 | 2.9 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.4 | — | — | — | 2.6 | 20.3 |
Interview/Politic [192] | 10–15 Jan 2024 | 2,388 | 31.5 | 14.1 | 14.2 | 10.8 | — | 8.0 | — | 2.3 | — | — | 2.6 | 5.2 | — | 4.1 | — | — | — | 7.2 | 17.3 |
Prorata/Attica [193] | 5–9 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 36.6 | 12.8 | 15.9 | 11.0 | — | 6.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | — | — | 3.7 | 3.7 | — | 3.7 | — | — | — | 1.8 | 20.7 |
Alco/Alpha [194] | 2–5 Jan 2024 | 1,002 | 35.3 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 11.3 | — | 6.9 | 2.4 | 3.3 | — | — | 3.2 | 3.3 | — | 2.7 | — | — | — | 3.6 | 21.0 |
Interview/Politic [195] | 4–8 Dec 2023 | 2,356 | 34.0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 7.9 | — | 7.6 | — | 3.0 | — | — | 2.3 | 3.8 | — | 2.9 | — | — | — | 7.9 | 17.9 |
GPO/Parapolitika [196] | 5–7 Dec 2023 | 1,000 | 41.7 | 12.1 | 13.5 | 10.3 | — | 6.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | — | — | 3.4 | 2.4 | — | 3.7 | — | — | — | 2.3 | 28.3 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 33.1 | 23.8 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.0 [bu] | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.5 [bv] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.7 | 9.3 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Fidesz-KDNP PfE | Momentum Renew | DK S&D | MSZP S&D | P G/EFA | LMP G/EFA | Jobbik NI | MMN EPP | Our Homeland ESN | MKKP G/EFA | MEMO EPP | NP NI | 2RK NI | TISZA EPP | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Publicus | 3–5 June 2024 | 1,001 | 43 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 2 | – | 5 | 4 | – | – | – | 25 | 1 | 18 | ||
Medián | 27-29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | – | – | 1 | 29 | – | 19 | ||
IDEA | 20–29 May 2024 | 1,500 | 44 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 2 | 18 | ||
Társadalomkutató | May 2024 | 4,000 | 51 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | – | 1 | 25 | – | 26 | ||
Real-PR 93 | 27-29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 1 | 10 | – | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | – | 2 | 28 | – | 17 | ||
Alapjogokért Központ | 22-24 May 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | – | 1 | 26 | – | 21 | ||
Századvég | 20-28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | – | – | 1 | 23 | – | 22 | ||
Nézőpont | 20-22 May 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | – | 1 | 24 | – | 23 | ||
Závecz Research | 2–10 May 2024 | 1,000 | 39 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | – | – | 1 | 26 | 0 | 13 | ||
IDEA | 25 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,500 | 40 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | – | 2 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 19 | ||
Nézőpont | 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 | 1,000 | 48 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | – | 0 | 3 | 21 | – | 27 | ||
Publicus | 26–30 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 42 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | 2 | – | – | – | 23 | – | 18 | ||
Medián | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 45 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 1 | 2 | 25 | – | 20 | ||
Iránytű | 17–19 Apr 2024 | 1,073 | 50 | 3 | 10 | – | 1 | – | 3 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 26 | 1 | 24 | ||
9–12 Apr 2024 | 53 | 3 | 9 | – | 2 | – | 6 | 4 | – | – | 1 | 20 | 2 | 33 | ||||
Závecz Research | 4–11 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 3 | 1 | – | 8 | 5 | – | – | – | 14 | 3 | 7 | ||
Nézőpont | 2–4 Apr 2024 | 1,000 | 47 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | – | 2 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 34 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,025 | 47.6 13 | 7.2 1 | 16.5 4 | – | – | 2.6 0 | 2.8 0 | 3.0 0 | 9.6 2 | 4.2 0 | 2.0 0 | – | – | – | 4.7 | 31.1 |
Nézőpont | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,000 | 47 13 | 7 1 | 14 3 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 4 0 | 8 2 | 8 2 | – | 1 0 | 4 0 | – | – | 33 |
21 Kutatóközpont | 22–26 Feb 2024 | 1,200 | 44 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | – | 1 | 2 | – | – | 26 [bw] |
44 | 9 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | – | 3 | 3 | – | – | 27 [bx] | |||
Republikon | Jun 2023 | – | 46 | 7 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 6 | – | 9 | 4 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 | |
Nézőpont | 15–17 May 2023 | 1,000 | 51 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | – | 6 | 3 | – | – | – | – | 4 | 35 |
Závecz Research | 28 Apr–5 May 2023 | 1,000 | 46 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | – | 7 | 3 | – | – | – | – | – | 27 |
Nézőpont | 2–4 Jan 2023 | 1,000 | 56 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | – | 4 | – | – | – | – | 6 | 42 |
2022 parliamentary election | 3 Apr 2022 | – | 54.1 | 34.4 | 5.9 | 3.3 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 1.3 | 19.7 | ||||||
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | – | 52.6 | 9.9 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 6.3 | – | 3.3 | 2.6 | – | – | – | – | 0.4 | 36.5 |
Exit poll
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Sample size | Lega ID | PD S&D | M5S NI | FI EPP | NM EPP | FdI ECR | AVS Left–G/EFA | PTD [by] Left | SUE | A Renew | DSP NI | Italexit NI | Libertà NI | Others | Lead | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
+E Renew | IV Renew | |||||||||||||||||
8–9 Jun2024 | Consorzio Opinio | – | 8–10 | 21–25 | 10–14 | 8.5–10.5 | 26–30 | 5–7 | 1–3 | 3.5–5.5 | 2.5–4.5 | – | – | 0–2 | 0–3 | 9–1 | ||
20–24 May2024 | SWG | 2,000 | 8.6 | 22.0 | 14.7 | 8.6 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.3 | |||||
25–25 May2024 | Noto | 1,000 | 9.0 | 20.5 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 28.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.5 | |||||
22–23 May2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.8 | 22.0 | 14.5 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 5.0 | |||||
21–22 May2024 | Eumetra | 800 | 8.7 | 21.1 | 16.2 | 8.9 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 6.0 | |||||
22–23 May2024 | Termometro | 3,900 | 9.0 | 19.6 | 15.7 | 8.5 | 26.8 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7.2 | ||||
19–23 May2024 | Quorum | 1,604 | 9.0 | 20.3 | 15.9 | 8.5 | 27.2 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 6.9 | ||||
19–23 May2024 | EMG | 2,000 | 9.3 | 20.9 | 15.7 | 7.9 | 26.9 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 6.0 | |||||||
20–21 May2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.6 | 22.5 | 15.4 | 9.2 | 26.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | ||||
19–21 May2024 | Cluster 17 | 1,051 | 8.7 | 20.8 | 15.5 | 8.2 | 26.9 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 7.1 | |||
20–21 May2024 | Bidimedia | 1,190 | 9.1 | 21.2 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 6.0 | ||||
17–22 Apr2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.9 | 8.4 | 26.8 | 4.3 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 6.8 | |||
17–19 Apr2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.2 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 7.6 | 27.8 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 7.3 | ||||
17–18 Apr2024 | Demos | 1,005 | 8.5 | 20.2 | 16.4 | 8.0 | 28.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | ||||||
16–18 Apr2024 | Termometro Politico | 4,100 | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 27.5 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 7.8 | |||
16–17 Apr2024 | Eumetra | 8.5 | 19.7 | 16.4 | 8.3 | 27.4 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 7.7 | ||||
10–15 Apr2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.6 | 19.4 | 16.0 | 8.4 | 27.2 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 7.8 | |||
13 Apr2024 | Tecnè | 7.9 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 10.1 | 27.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 5.5 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 7.5 | |||||
8–12 Apr2024 | Ixè | 1,000 | 8.0 | 19.9 | 16.4 | 8.4 | 26.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 6.4 | 6.7 | ||||
9–11 Apr2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,700 | 8.8 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 8.0 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 8.3 | |||
8–9 Apr2024 | Demopolis | 2,000 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 8.7 | 27.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 7.0 | ||||
3–8 Apr2024 | SWG | 1,200 | 8.8 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 7.8 | 26.9 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 7.1 | |||
8 Apr2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.6 | 8.5 | 26.9 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 7.2 | ||||
5 Apr2024 | EMG | – | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 7.0 | ||||
4–5 Apr2024 | Quorum | 801 | 7.5 | 19.8 | 16.0 | 7.8 | 27.7 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 1.6 | 4.7 | 7.9 | ||||
2–4 Apr2024 | EMG | 1,000 | 7.8 | 20.2 | 16.7 | 9.0 | 27.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | |||||
28–30 Mar2024 | BiDiMedia | 2,000 | 8.3 | 20.2 | 16.6 | 7.1 | 27.1 | 4.4 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 6.9 | |||
27 Mar2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 17.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 8.2 [bz] | |||
8.7 | 19.5 | 17.5 | 8.3 | 0.6 | 27.9 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 8.5 [ca] | ||||||
19–25 Mar2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.0 | 20.5 | 16.1 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 27.5 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7.0 | |
20 Mar2024 | Ipsos | – | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
19 Mar2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 9.0 [bz] | ||||
7.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 10.0 [ca] | |||||||
11 Mar2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.7 | 19.7 | 17.2 | 7.7 | 0.7 | 28.0 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 8.3 [bz] | ||||
8.6 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 8.2 | 0.4 | 28.7 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 8.5 [ca] | |||||||
7 Mar2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 16.5 | 7.5 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 7.5 [bz] | ||||
7.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 29.0 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.5 [ca] | |||||||
23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | Ipsos | 1,503 | 8.2 | 19.0 | 17.4 | 8.2 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 7.1 | 8.0 | |||||
28 Feb–1 Mar2024 | Quorum | 803 | 8.1 | 19.9 | 15.9 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 27.1 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 7.2 | |||
28 Feb2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.6 | 19.6 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 27.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.0 [bz] | ||||
8.7 | 20.0 | 17.2 | 8.5 | 1.2 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 8.1 [ca] | |||||||
26–28 Feb2024 | Bidimedia | 1,000 | 8.5 | 20.0 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 0.8 | 28.1 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 8.1 | |
25–28 Feb2024 | Cluster17 | 1,022 | 9.1 | 19.7 | 16.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 27.3 | 4.6 | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 7.6 | |
20–22 Feb2024 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 8.3 | 18.3 | 17.0 | 7.9 | 1.1 | 28.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 9.9 | |
17–22 Feb2024 | Stack Data Strategy | 944 | 8.7 | 19.9 | 15.5 | 6.6 | 0.9 | 27.1 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 7.3 | ||
21 Feb2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 18.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 27.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 8.0 | ||||
30 Jan–1 Feb2024 | Termometro Politico | 3,800 | 9.4 | 19.6 | 16.2 | 6.8 | 29.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 9.5 | ||
30–31 Jan2024 | Demopolis | – | 9.0 | 20.0 | 15.8 | 7.2 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 3.8 | 8.1 | 8.0 | |||||
24–31 Jan2024 | Portland | 502 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 10.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 [cb] | 7.0 | |||
24–27 Jan2024 | BiDiMedia | 1,000 | 9.0 | 19.3 | 16.1 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 28.6 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 9.3 | |
25–26 Jan2024 | Quorum | 803 | 9.3 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 6.5 | 1.6 | 28.4 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 6.4 | 9.2 | |||
22–24 Jan2024 | Winpoll | 1,000 | 9.1 | 21.5 | 14.6 | 7.8 | 27.8 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 5.3 [cc] | 6.3 | |||
12–22 Jan2024 | Euromedia | 800 | 8.4 | 19.5 | 17.8 | 7.5 | 0.3 | 28.5 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 | 9.0 [bz] | |||
8.2 | 19.0 | 18.1 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 29.3 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 9.3 [ca] | ||||||
16 Jan2024 | Noto | – | 8.0 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 [cd] | ||||
6.5 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 32.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 12.0 [ca] | |||||||
15–16 Jan2024 | Tecnè | 800 | 8.4 | 19.8 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 29.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.2 | 9.2 [bz] | |||||||
8.3 | 19.5 | 15.6 | 9.3 | 29.3 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 11.0 | 9.8 [ca] | ||||||||||
4 Jan2024 | IZI | 1,068 | 9.3 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 7.4 | 27.1 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 7.6 | |||||
30 Dec–4 Jan2024 | Lab2101 | 1,000 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 16.2 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 29.4 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 9.6 | |||
26 May2019 | 2019 European election | – | 34.3 | 22.7 | 17.1 | 8.8 | 6.4 | 4.1 [ce] | 3.1 | – | – | 0.9 | – | – | 4.5 | 7.6 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | SF Left | FF Renew | FG EPP | GP G/EFA | Lab S&D | SD | PBP–S | Aon | II | O/I [cf] |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [197] | 1,161 | 17.4 | 17.7 | 18 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 5 [cg] | – [ch] | 23 |
22 May 2024 | Red C/Business Post [198] | 1,021 | 21 | 14 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | – [ch] | 25 [ci] |
15 May 2024 | Ipsos B&A/Irish Times [199] | 1,500 | 16 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 21 |
7 May 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [200] | 1,633 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | – [ch] | 24 |
7 April 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [201] | 1,334 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | – [ch] | 17 |
7 February 2024 | Ireland Thinks/The Journal [202] | 1,255 | 26 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | – [ch] | – [ch] | 19 |
8 February 2020 | 2020 general election | — | 24.5 | 22.2 | 20.9 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | – [cj] | 13.5 |
24 May 2019 | 2019 EP election | — | 11.7 | 16.6 | 29.6 | 11.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | – [cj] | – [cj] | 24.1 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | Andrews (FF) | L. Boylan (SF) | Doherty (FG) | Ó Riordáin (Lab) | Cuffe (GP) | Smith (S–PBP) | Daly (I4C) | Gibney (SD) | N. Boylan (II) | Doolan (SF) | Considine (Aon) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024 [203] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 496 | 14.1 | 11.2 | 15 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 4.8 | 8.3 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 12.5 |
15 May 2024 [199] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 |
7 May 2024 [204] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 457 [205] | 17 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | Flanagan (Ind) | Walsh (FG) | Cowen (FF) | Chambers (FF) | Carberry (FG) | Gildernew (SF) | Mullooly (II) | MacManus (SF) | Blaney (FF) | Casey (Ind) | Tóibín (Aon) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024 [203] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 614 | 12.1 | 12.5 | 10.5 | 5.3 | 7 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 7.5 | 20.5 |
15 May 2024 [199] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 |
7 May 2024 [204] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 631 [205] | 10 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 21 |
Last date of polling | Polling firm / Commissioner | Sample size | Kelly (FG) | Kelleher (FF) | Funchion (SF) | Ní Mhurchú (FF) | Gavan (SF) | Hourigan (Lab) | McNamara (Ind) | Mullins (FG) | Blighe (IF) | O'Sullivan (GP) | Wallace (I4C) | Doyle (SD) | Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
31 May 2024 [203] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 660 | 18.5 | 14.4 | 9.5 | 4.6 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 10.5 |
15 May 2024 [199] | Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times | 500 | 23 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 |
7 May 2024 [204] | Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent | 643 [205] | 14 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | JV EPP | S S&D | NA ECR | LA Renew | Par! Renew | ZZS | AS | JKP | PRO G/EFA | TZV | CP | TVS | S! | LPV | SV | AJ | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SKDS/LTV [206] | March 2024 | 1.505 | 16.6 (1) | 10.1 (1) | 17.1 (2) | 8.9 (1) | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.1 (1) | 3.5 | 9.6 (1) | 0.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 6.4 (1) | 8.2 (1) | 3.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
SKDS/LTV [207] | 10-14 February 2024 | 1,505 | 17.9 (2) | 9.1 (1) | 16.5 (1) | 9.2 (1) | 0.6 | 4.0 | 7.4 (1) | 3.5 | 8.9 (1) | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 7.5 (1) | 6.6 (1) | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
2019 election | 25 May 2019 | – | 26.4 (2) | 17.6 (2) | 16.5 (2) | 12.5 (1) | 5.6 (0) | 5.0 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6.8 (1) [ck] | 0.2 | 8.7 |
Pollster | Fieldwork dates | Sample size | TS–LKD EPP | LVŽS G/EFA | DP NI | LSDP S&D | LP Renew | LRLS Renew | LRP | PLT | DSVL G/EFA | Others [cl] | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Baltijos tyrimai | 10-21 April 2024 | 1,020 | 14.3 2 | 11.6 1 | 8.9 1 | 27.1 3 | 4.1 0 | 6.6 1 | 5.1 1 | 2.7 0 | 13.3 2 | 6.5 [cm] 0 | 12.8 |
2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election | 1,133,561 | 25.77 (4) | 18.07 (3) | 9.77 (1) | 9.58 (1) | 9.45 (1) | 7.04 (1) | 3.28 (0) | 2.06 (0) | – | 9.22 (0) | 7.70 | |
2019 European Parliament election | 1,259,954 | 19.74 3 | 12.56 2 | 8.99 1 | 15.88 2 | – | 6.59 1 | 2.36 0 | 1.92 0 | – | 31.96 2 | 3.86 |
No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | DP Renew | CSV EPP | Greens G/EFA | LSAP S&D | ADR ECR | Pirate G/EFA | Lénk Left | Volt G/EFA | KPL | DK | Fokus | Others |
2023 general election [208] | 19.1 (2) | 29.3 (3) | 8.3 (0) | 18.2 (1) | 9.6 (0) | 6.7 (0) | 3.6 (0) | 0.2 (0) | 0.5 (0) | 1.4 (0) | 2.6 (0) | — | ||
2023 municipal elections [209] | 19.8 (1) | 26.5 (2) | 11.6 (1) | 21.9 (2) | 20.3 (0) | |||||||||
2019 EP election [210] | 21.4 (2) | 21.1 (2) | 18.9 (1) | 12.2 (1) | 10.0 (0) | 7.7 (0) | 4.8 (0) | 2.1 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 0.5 (0) | — |
It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together or excluded in polls by Maltese media houses.
Polling firm | Sample size | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ABBA | ![]() | IND/ Others | Lead | Not voting [cn] | Don't know/ Invalid [cn] | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 May–04 June 2024 | L-Orizzont [co] | 1,800 | 50.9 | 40.1 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 10.8 | 31 | 33 Invalid | |||
22 May–04 June 2024 | MaltaToday [cp] | 1,007 | 43.3 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | - | - | 6.2 | 4.8 | – | |
3–10 May 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 49.4 | 41.7 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 30.6 | – | ||||
6–10 May 2024 | It-Torċa [cq] | 1,000 | 51.5 | 40.3 | 5.1 | 4.1 | 11.2 | 31 | ||||
15–24 April 2024 | MaltaToday | 656 | 50.7 | 44.2 | 5.1 | 6.5 | 29 | |||||
1–13 April 2024 | Esprimi | 600 | 45.4 | 38.0 | 3.2 | 13.4 | 7.4 | – | 41.0 | |||
7 March - 21 March 2024 | MaltaToday | 657 | 52.8 | 42.6 | 4.6 | 10.2 | 23.4 | – | ||||
27 Feb – 12 Mar 2024 | Esprimi/Times of Malta | 600 | 52.4 | 39.3 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 33 | |||||
26 Jan–05 Feb 2024 | MaltaToday | 647 | 47.9 | 41.0 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 37.5 | |||||
26 Mar 2022 | 2022 Maltese general election | – | 55.1 | 41.7 | n/a | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 13.4 | 24.4 | 2.9 |
25 May 2019 | 2019 European Parliament election in Malta | – | 54.3 | 37.9 | 3.17 | 2.7 [cr] | 0.5 [cs] | n/a | 1.2 | 16.4 | 27.3 | 2.6 |
Exit poll
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Total | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew | CDA EPP | FvD NI | D66 Renew | SGP ECR | CU EPP | PvdD Left | 50PLUS Renew | PVV ID | SP Left | Volt G/EFA | BBB EPP | NSC EPP | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D | GL G/EFA | |||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 6 Jun2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | [211] | |
Peil.nl | 5 Jun2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [212] | |
Ipsos | 3–5 Jun2024 | 2,030 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | Tie | [213] | |
Ipsos | 24–27 May2024 | 2,048 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | [214] | |
I&O Research | 17–21 May2024 | 2,141 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | [215] | |
Peil.nl | 17–18 May2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [216] | |
I&O Research | 10–14 May2024 | 2,102 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | Tie | [215] | |
Peil.nl | 3–4 May2024 | – | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Tie | [217] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr2024 | 2,182 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | [218] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar2024 | 1,586 | 31 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | [215] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 1,890 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | [219] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 29 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | – | – | 1 |
Exit poll
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | GL–PvdA | VVD Renew | CDA EPP | FvD NI | D66 Renew | SGP ECR | CU EPP | PvdD Left | 50PLUS Renew | PVV ID | SP Left | Volt G/EFA | JA21 ECR | BBB EPP | NSC EPP | Others | Lead | Ref | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PvdA S&D | GL G/EFA | ||||||||||||||||||||
Ipsos | 6 Jun2024 | – | 21.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 17.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | – | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.9% | [220] | |
Ipsos | 3–5 Jun2024 | 2,030 | 19.5% | 13.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 21.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | – | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | [221] | |
Ipsos | 24–27 May2024 | 2,048 | 20.3% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 22.7% | 3.2% | 6.3% | – | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | [222] | |
I&O Research | 17–21 May2024 | 2,141 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | – | 23.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | [215] | |
I&O Research | 10–14 May2024 | 2,102 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | – | 22.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | [215] | |
I&O Research | 12–15 Apr2024 | 2,182 | 18.7% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | – | 22.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | [218] | |
I&O Research | 22–25 Mar2024 | 1,586 | 18.6% | 14.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | – | 25.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | – | 6.5% | [223] | |
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar2024 | 1,890 | 16.0% | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | – | 22.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | – | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | [219] | |
Portland | 24–31 Jan2024 | 535 | 17% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 25% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 12% | 2% | 8% | [224] | |
2019 election | 23 May 2019 | – | 19.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | – | – | – | 1.6% | 4.4% |
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | United Right ECR | Third Way EPP–Ren. | Civic Coalition EPP–G/EFA–Ren. | The Left S&D | Confederation NI | There is One Poland NI | Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy NI | PolExit NI | Others | Don't know | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Law and Justice | Kukiz'15 | New Left | Left Together | |||||||||||||
SLD | Spring | |||||||||||||||
IPSOS (Late Poll) | 10 June | 35.7 20 | 7.3 4 | 37.4 20 | 6.6 3 | 11.8 6 | 0.8 0 | 0.3 0 | 0.1 0 | 1.7 | ||||||
IPSOS | 9 June | 33.9 19 | 8.2 4 | 38.2 21 | 6.6 3 | 11.9 6 | 0.8 0 | 0.3 0 | 0.1 0 | 4.3 | ||||||
Pollster / Republika | 6–7 Jun 2024 | 1,083 | 33 | 11 | 34 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | |||||||
OGB | 4–7 Jun 2024 | 800 | 36.04 18 | 7.54 5 | 37.45 20 | 5.01 4 | 11.49 6 | 0.59 0 | 0.15 0 | 1.73 0 | 1.41 | |||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 6 Jun 2024 | – | 30.5 | 9.6 | 31.5 | 8.1 | 9.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 10.0 | 1.0 | |||||
Pollster / "SE.pl" | 5–6 Jun 2024 | 1,031 | 31.63 | 11.65 | 34.86 | 8.94 | 10.72 | 2.20 | 3.23 | |||||||
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 4–6 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 29 | 10 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | |||||
ewybory.eu | 17 May–6 Jun 2024 | 5,709 | 33.7 | 10.9 | 33.3 | 9.6 | 10.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | |||||
Opinia24 / Gazeta Wyborcza | 4–5 Jun 2024 | 1,001 | 29.8 19 | 8.9 5 | 32.1 20 | 7.7 4 | 9 5 | 3.6 0 | 8.9 | 2.3 | ||||||
Opinia24 / TVN | 4–5 Jun 2024 | 1,000 | 32 | 9 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | ||||
CBOS | 20 May–5 Jun 2024 | 1,038 | 28.9 | 11.4 | 33.4 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 5.3 | 4.5 | |||||
IPSOS / TVP | 3–4 June 2024 | – | 29.2 16 | 10.9 6 | 34.5 20 | 8.0 4 | 13.6 7 | 2.6 0 | 0.6 0 | 5.3 | ||||||
IBRiS / Onet | 3 Jun 2024 | 1,067 | 31.3 18 | 11.6 7 | 33.1 19 | 8.2 4 | 9.0 5 | 0.2 0 | 6.6 | 1.8 | ||||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 3 Jun 2024 [ct] | – | 30.1 | 10.7 | 29.5 | 8.0 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 10.0 | 0.6 | |||||
Research Partner | 31 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,073 | 32.1 20 | 9.0 5 | 31.5 19 | 6.5 4 | 9.4 5 | 2.9 0 | 0.1 0 | 8.5 | 0.6 | |||||
CBOS | 20 May–2 Jun 2024 | 1,038 | 29 | 12 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | |||||
United Surveys / WP.pl | 24–26 May 2024 | 1,000 | 30.8 | 10.8 | 32.4 | 7.8 | 11.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 5.9 | 1.6 | ||||
IPSOS / TVP | 22–25 May 2024 | 1,000 | 30 | 9 | 29 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | ||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 20 May 2024 [cu] | – | 30.0 | 10.1 | 30.8 | 8.1 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 10.1 | 0.8 | |||||
Opinia24 | 13–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29 | 8 | 31 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2 | ||||||
United Surveys / DGP, RMF | 10–12 May 2024 | 1,000 | 32.7 19 | 12.6 7 | 30.3 17 | 9.6 5 | 8.6 5 | 0.9 0 | 0.0 [225] 0 | 0.2 0 | 5.1 | 2.4 | ||||
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM | 26 Apr–9 May 2024 | 1,096 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | |||||
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat | 7–8 May 2024 | 1,000 | 29.3 | 12.1 | 28.3 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 1.5 | 9.2 | 1.0 | ||||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 6–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | 30.6 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 9.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 | 10.9 | 0.2 | ||||||
29 Apr 2024 | Confederation announces There is One Poland candidates on their lists. [226] | |||||||||||||||
OGB | 22–25 Apr 2024 | 804 | 32.66 18 | 13.81 7 | 33.21 18 | 5.57 3 | 12.30 7 | 2.45 0 | 0.55 | |||||||
Ipsos / Euronews | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 1,000 | 29.2 | 16.5 | 31.3 | 8.4 | 13.9 | 2.1 | ||||||||
Opinia24 / TOK FM | 26–28 Feb 2024 | 1,002 | 22 | 11 | 31 | 11 | 10 | 3 [cv] | 11 | 9 | ||||||
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska | 2–13 Feb 2024 | 2,027 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 33.5 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | ||||||
Portland Communications | 24–31 Jan 2024 | 632 | 29 | 16 | 35 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 6 | |||||||
Parliamentary election | 15 Oct 2023 | 21,596,674 [cw] | 35.38 | 14.40 | 30.70 | 8.61 | 7.16 | 1.63 | 1.86 | – | 0.28 | 4.68 | ||||
Parliamentary election | 13 Oct 2019 | 18,678,457 [cx] | 43.59 | 8.55 | 27.40 | 12.56 | 6.81 | – | 0.78 | – | 0.31 | 16.19 | ||||
European election | 26 May 2019 | 13,647,311 [cy] | 45.38 27 | 3.69 0 | 38.47 22 | 6.06 3 | 1.24 0 | 4.55 0 | – | – | 0.06 | 0.54 | 6.91 | |||
Exit poll
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | O | Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |||||||||||||
S&D | EPP | EPP | NI | PfE | Left | Left | G/EFA | G/EFA | Renew | ||||||
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 36.6 | 32.1 8 | 31.1 7 | 9.8 2 | 4.3 1 | 4.1 1 | 1.2 0 | 3.8 0 | 9.1 2 | 4.5 0 | 1.0 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 9 Jun 2024 | 14,185 | 37–40 | 28–34 6/8 | 28–33 6/8 | 8–12 2/3 | 3–5 0/1 | 3–5 0/1 | 1–2 0 | 3–5 0/1 | 8–12 2/3 | — | 0.5 | ||
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris | 9 Jun 2024 | 15,839 | 36.7 | 29.2–33.6 7/8 | 28.4–32.8 7/8 | 7.5–10.9 2/3 | 2.8–5.8 0/1 | 2.8–5.8 0/1 | 0.4–2.0 0 | 2.9–5.9 0/1 | 8.1–11.5 2/3 | 3.3–6.3 0 | 0.8 | ||
Pitagórica | 9 Jun 2024 | 24,619 | 35.5–41.5 | 27.7–33.7 6/8 | 26.0–32.0 6/8 | 6.6–12.6 2/3 | 3.0–7.0 0/1 | 2.0–6.0 0/1 | 0.7–2.7 0 | 2.5–6.5 0/1 | 8.3–12.3 2/3 | — | 1.7 | ||
Intercampus | 9 Jun 2024 | 19,502 | 38–42 | 27.2–33.2 6/8 | 26.9–32.9 6/8 | 7.5–11.5 2/3 | 3.1–6.1 0/1 | 2.3–5.3 0/1 | 0.3–2.3 0 | 3.0–6.0 0/1 | 8.3–12.3 2/3 | 2.8–8.8 0 | 0.3 | ||
Intercampus [cz] | 29 May–4 Jun 2024 | 604 | ? | 27.5 7 | 28.3 7 | 13.7 3 | 6.6 1 | 2.9 0 | 3.5 0 | 5.1 1 | 10.4 2 | 2.0 0 | 0.8 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 27 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,552 | ? | 33 7/9 | 31 6/8 | 12 2/4 | 4 0/1 | 4 0/1 | 1 0 | 4 0/1 | 8 1/2 | 3 0 | 2 | ||
Aximage | 17–22 May 2024 | 801 | 55.3 | 30.6 7/8 | 26.6 6 | 15.5 4 | 6.3 1 | 3.5 0 | 1.6 0 | 5.2 1 | 7.5 1/2 | 3.2 0 | 4.0 | ||
Intercampus [da] | 12–20 May 2024 | 609 | ? | 23.1 5 | 22.0 5 | 18.1 4 | 9.2 2 | 3.7 0 | 4.0 1 | 6.9 1 | 12.0 3 | 1.0 0 | 1.1 | ||
CESOP–UCP | 13–18 May 2024 | 965 | ? | 30 6/8 | 31 6/8 | 15 3/4 | 5 1 | 5 1 | 1 0 | 5 1 | 6 1/2 | 2 0 | 1 | ||
Duplimétrica | 6–13 May 2024 | 800 | ? | 34 9 | 32 8 | 10 2 | 3 0 | 3 0 | 1 0 | 3 0 | 9 2 | 5 0 | 2 | ||
ICS/ISCTE | 27 Apr–8 May 2024 | 1,001 | ? | 32 8 | 26 6 | 18 4 | 5 1 | 4 1 | 2 0 | 2 0 | 4 1 | 7 0 | 6 | ||
Intercampus [db] | 18–23 Apr 2024 | 605 | ? | 33.4 8 | 28.2 7 | 13.0 3 | 7.4 1 | 3.3 0 | 1.3 0 | 5.8 1 | 4.4 1 | 3.3 0 | 5.2 | ||
Aximage | 12–16 Apr 2024 | 805 | 58.0 | 31.3 7/8 | 24.8 6 | 18.4 4 | 5.9 1 | 4.1 1 | 1.8 0 | 3.6 0/1 | 5.8 1 | 4.3 0 | 6.5 | ||
2024 legislative elections | 10 Mar 2024 | — | 59.8 | 28.0 (7) | 28.8 (7) | 18.1 (5) | 4.4 (1) | 3.2 (0) | 1.9 (0) | 3.2 (0) | 4.9 (1) | 7.5 (0) | 0.8 | ||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 29.6 8 | 31.0 8 | 3.4 0 | – | 14.2 3 | 4.4 1 | 2.3 0 | 2.1 0 | 3.6 0 | 4.5 1 | 4.9 0 | 1.4 |
2022 legislative elections | 30 Jan 2022 | — | 51.5 | 41.4 (10) | 29.1 (7) | 1.6 (0) | 0.0 (0) | 7.2 (1) | 4.4 (1) | 4.3 (1) | 1.6 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 4.9 (1) | 4.7 (0) | 12.3 |
2019 legislative elections | 6 Oct 2019 | — | 48.6 | 36.3 (10) | 27.8 (7) | 4.2 (1) | 0.2 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 9.5 (2) | 6.3 (1) | 3.3 (0) | 1.1 (0) | 1.3 (0) | 8.8 (0) | 8.5 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 30.7 | 33.4 9 | 21.9 6 | 6.2 1 | 1.5 0 | 9.8 2 | 6.9 2 | 5.1 1 | 1.8 0 | 0.9 0 | 12.5 0 | 11.5 | |
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CNR | PUSL S&D | AUR+ | ADU | PRO S&D | UDMR EPP | AER | AD ECR | S.O.S. NI | REPER Renew | Others | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PNL EPP | PSD S&D | PNȚCD ECR | AUR ECR | FD EPP | PMP EPP | USR Renew | PER NI | PV G/EFA | |||||||||||
INSCOP | 20 - 25 May 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | 1.3 | 17.5 | 14.1 | — | 6.0 | — | — | — | 4.4 | 1.3 | 11.7 [227] | 26.2 | ||||
Sociopol | 17–22 May 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 2 | — | 21 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 [dc] | 24 | |||
CSPS | 7–15 May 2024 | 2,613 | 27 | — | — | 34 | 25 | — | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
INSCOP | 12–20 April 2024 | 1,100 | 46.6 | 1.5 | — | 16.7 | 13.8 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | — | 4.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | 29.9 | |||
CSPS | 1-7 April 2024 | 4,085 | 27.2 | — | — | 30.2 | 23.4 | — | 4.8 | — | — | — | 2.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 3 | |||
Sociopol | 26 March-2 April 2024 | 1,002 | 47 | 5 | — | 23 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |||
CURS | 19-28 March 2024 | 1,067 | 53 | 4 | — | 14 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 5 | 39 | |||
CSPS | 17-29 March 2024 | 2,088 | 37 | — | — | 27 | 21 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | 10 | |||
Euractiv | March 2024 | — | 42 | — | — | 25 | 14 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | |||
Ipsos | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 970 | 42.4 | 3.0 | — | 20.7 | 14.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | — | — | — | 5.9 | — | 5.2 | 21.7 | |||
INSCOP | 22-29 Feb 2024 | 1,100 | 43.7 | — | — | 20.6 | 13.7 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 | — | 6.4 | 0.9 | 3.7 | 23.1 | ||||
Sociopol | Feb 2024 | – | 42 | 1 | — | 28 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 [dd] | 14 | |||
17 | 31 | 1 | — | 24 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 [de] | 14 | |||||
INSOMAR | Feb 2024 | 1,030 | 40.8 | 1.5 | — | 30.5 | 11.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 7.5 [df] | 10.3 | |||
Avangarde | 19–20 Feb 2024 | 950 | 20 | 31 | — | — | 18 | 15 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 1 | 11 | ||
CURS | 3–14 Feb 2024 | 1,067 | 20 | 31 | 2 | — | 20 | 13 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 [dg] | 11 | ||
60m.ro | 20 Jan 2024 | 927 | 16 | 28 | — | — | 30 | 17 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2 | ||
INSCOP | 16-24 Jan 2024 | 1,100 | 18.8 | 29.5 | — | — | 18.4 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 3.5 | — | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 10.7 | |||
CURS | 15–27 Jan 2024 | 1,082 | 19 | 30 | 3 | — | 21 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 9 | ||
Avangarde | 8-22 Jan 2024 | 1,150 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 10 | ||
INSOMAR | Jan 2024 | 1,050 | 21 | 25 | — | — | 22 | — | 2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 9 [dh] | 3 |
Sociopol | Jan 2024 | – | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 [di] | 6 | ||
CIRA | Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 20 | 30 | — | — | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | — | 5 | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | 10 |
CURS | 26–30 Dec 2023 | 852 | 19 | 31 | 4 | — | 19 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 2 | 12 |
Mercury Research | 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 | 1,227 | 16 | 26 | 0 | — | 19 | 22 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | ||
16 | 28 | 1 | — | 19 | 2 | 4 | 15 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | |||
Avangarde | 20–28 Sep 2023 | 994 | 21 | 31 | — | — | 19 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 5 | — | — | — | 5 | — | 1 | 10 |
LARICS | 11–25 Sep 2023 | 1,003 | 22.9 | 31.5 | 1.0 | — | 14.6 | — | 4.4 | 15.2 | — | 3.2 | — | — | — | 4.7 | — | 2.4 | 8.6 |
INSOMAR | 28–31 Aug 2023 | 1,030 | 15 | 25 | 2 | — | 27 | 3 | 3 | 7 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 10 | 2 |
2020 parliamentary election | 6 Dec 2020 | 6.058.625 | 25.2 | 28.9 | 1.0 | — | 9.1 | — | 4.9 | 15.4 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | — | — | 4.1 | 3.7 |
2019 election | 26 May 2019 | 9.069.822 | 27.0 | 22.5 | — | — | 5.8 | 22.4 | 6.4 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 6.6 | 4.5 |
Fieldwork date | Polling firm | Publisher(s) | Sample size | SDS EPP | SLS (Gregorčič) EPP | ZS NI | SD S&D | NSi EPP | Levica Left | DeSUS EDP | DD NI | GS Renew | Resni.ca NI | PPS G/EFA | Vesna (Prebilič) G/EFA | NOT NI | Logar NI | Rupar NI | Others | None | Und. | Abst. | Lead | Source |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3–6 Jun 2024 | Ninamedia | Dnevnik | 629 | 25.1 | 6.4 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 19.5 | 5.4 | – | 13.1 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5.6 | [228] | |
3–5 Jun 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 734 | 20.5 3 | 6.0 0 | 1.5 0 | 6.5 1 | 7.8 1 | 4.4 0 | 1.9 0 | 18.4 3 | 3.9 0 | – | 7.7 1 | 1.5 0 | – | – | 19.9 | 2.1 | [229] | ||||
21–24 May 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 713 | 17.9 4 | 3.0 0 | 2.6 0 | 9.1 1 | 6.0 1 | 4.1 0 | 1.4 0 | 12.8 2 | 5.5 0 | – | 8.1 1 | 0.9 0 | – | – | 0.1 0 | 4.0 | 14.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | [230] | |
13–16 May 2024 | Ninamedia | Dnevnik | 1,000 | 27.4 3 | 4.4 0 | 3.6 0 | 11.5 1 | 7.9 1 | 5.7 0 | 2.8 0 | 17.6 2 | 3.2 0 | – | 14.0 1 | 1.7 0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.8 | [231] | |
23–25 Apr 2024 | Mediana | POPTV | 723 | 21.7 | 3.3 | – | 5.7 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 15.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 7.1 | 0.9 | – | – | 0.2 | 4.3 | 14.7 | 4.2 | 6.2 | [232] | |
22–25 Apr 2024 | Parsifal | Nova24TV | 863 | 24.5 | 2.8 | – | 6.8 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 12.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.7 | – | – | – | 0.1 | 5.7 | 18.7 | 7.2 | 12.0 | [233] | |
5–7 Mar 2024 | Mediana | Delo | 723 | 20.7 | 2.4 | – | 6.4 | 6.2 | 4.5 | – | – | 13.0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 | – | – | 2.7 | 1.7 | 6.4 | 18.6 | 4.3 | 7.7 | [234] |
4–7 Dec 2023 | Ninamedia | – | 700 | 14.6 | 3.7 | – | 11.4 | 6.3 | 4.0 | – | – | 11.6 | – | – | 8.3 | – | 12.4 | 0.9 | – | – | 19.7 | 7.1 | 2.2 | [235] |
24 April 2022 | 2022 parliamentary election | – | – | 23.48 | 3.41 | 6.69 | 6.86 | 4.46 | 0.66 | 1.70 | 40.23 [dj] | 2.86 | 1.63 | 1.35 | — | — | — | 6.13 | (29.04) | 16.75 | ||||
26 May 2019 | 2019 election | – | – | 26.25 | 2.22 | 18.66 | 11.12 | 6.43 | 5.67 | 0.53 | 19.46 [dk] | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.67 | (71.11) | 6.79 |
Polling firm | Date | Sample size | PS Renew | Democrats EPP | Smer NI | ĽSNS NI | Život NI | SNS ID | KDH EPP | SASKA ECR | KÚ ECR | OĽaNO EPP | ZĽ EPP | MA EPP | SR ID | Hlas NI | Republika NI | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ipsos [236] | 30 May–4 Jun 2024 | 1,225 | 21.9 4 | 5.2 1 | 24.6 4 | 1.0 0 | 3.2 0 | 6.3 1 | 5.7 1 | 1.5 0 | 4.4 0 | 5.1 1 | — | 11.2 2 | 8.7 1 | 1.2 [dl] | 2.7 | ||
NMS [237] | 30 May–3 Jun 2024 | 1,020 | 23.2 5 | 3.3 0 | 22.1 4 | 0.7 0 | 3.1 0 | 5.0 1 | 6.4 1 | 1.2 0 | 3.2 0 | 3.7 0 | — | 11.9 2 | 11.0 2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | ||
Median [238] | 21–27 May 2024 | 640 | 20.6 | 4.9 | 22.5 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 7.2 | 7.0 | — | 6.6 | 3.3 | — | 14.0 | 9.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | ||
Ipsos [239] | 14–21 May 2024 | 414 | 23.5 4 | 3.4 0 | 24.4 4 | 1.7 0 | 4.0 0 | 7.1 1 | 5.7 1 | — | 5.3 1 | 4.8 0 | — | 10.3 2 | 9.0 2 | 0.8 | 0.9 | ||
NMS [240] | 9–13 May 2024 | 1,020 | 23.4 5 | 3.5 0 | 17.3 4 | 0.9 0 | 3.0 0 | 4.8 0 | 7.4 1 | 1.6 0 | 4.8 0 | 3.1 0 | — | 11.2 2 | 12.6 3 | 6.3 [dm] | 6.1 | ||
AKO [241] | 7–14 May 2024 | 1,000 | 25.6 4 | 3.4 0 | 17.6 3 | 1.0 0 | 5.2 1 | 7.0 1 | 6.7 1 | 0.6 0 | 2.7 0 | 3.7 0 | — | 14.4 3 | 8.5 2 | 3.6 | 8.0 | ||
NMS [242] | 18–24 April 2024 | 1,010 | 24.3 5 | 4.4 0 | 19.8 4 | 0.7 0 | 3.2 0 | 4.6 0 | 7.0 1 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 0 | 2.9 0 | — | 12.0 3 | 10.7 2 | 5.8 [dn] | 4.5 | ||
AKO [243] | 9–16 April 2024 | 1,000 | 27.2 5 | 2.7 0 | 15.2 3 | 1.0 0 | 4.1 0 | 6.7 1 | 6.5 1 | 0.8 0 | 3.2 0 | 5.0 1 | — | 14.2 3 | 7.5 1 | 5.9 [do] | 12.0 | ||
Ipsos [244] | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,502 | 24.6 5 | 2.3 0 | 26.7 5 | 2.1 0 | 4.8 0 | 8.2 2 | 4.6 0 | 4.9 0 | 2.4 0 | — | 11.8 2 | 6.4 1 | 1.2 | 2.1 | |||
2023 elections | 30 Sep 2023 | 2,967,896 | 17.96 | 2.21 | 22.95 | 0.84 | 5.63 | 6.82 | 6.32 | 8.90 | 4.39 | 2.93 | 14.70 | 4.75 | 1.60 | 4.99 | |||
2020 elections | 29 Feb 2020 | 2,881,511 | 6.97 | 18.29 | 7.97 | 3.16 | 4.65 | 6.22 | 25.03 | 5.77 | 3.91 | 8.24 | — | — | 9.34 | 6.74 | |||
2019 elections | 25 May 2019 | 985,680 | 20.11 4 | 15.72 3 | 12.07 2 | 2.07 0 | 4.09 0 | 9.70 2 | 9.62 2 | 3.85 0 | 5.26 1 | — | 4.96 0 | 3.23 0 | — | — | 9.32 | 4.29 |
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font.
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() ![]() | ![]() | AR | ![]() ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | SALF | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 EP election | 9 Jun 2024 | — | 46.4 | 30.2 20 | 34.2 22 | 0.7 0 | 3.3 2 | 9.6 6 | 4.9 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.6 1 | [dp] | 0.8 0 | 4.7 3 | 4.6 3 | 4.0 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 1] | 30 Apr–9 Jun 2024 | 4,612 | ? | 28.7 19/20 | 34.5 23/25 | 1.0 0 | 4.2 2/3 | 10.5 6/7 | 4.2 2/3 | 2.3 1 | 1.4 0/1 | [dp] | – | 6.3 3/4 | 2.9 1/2 | 5.8 |
Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA [p 2] | 24 May–8 Jun 2024 | 12,000 | ? | 30.2 20/22 | 32.4 21/23 | 1.0 0 | 4.4 2/3 | 10.4 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 2.1 1 | 1.6 1 | [dp] | – | 6.3 3/4 | 3.9 2/3 | 2.2 |
40dB/Prisa [p 3] | 6 Jun 2024 | 800 | ? | 29.7 20 | 32.4 22 | ? 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 10.3 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 2.4 1 | 1.6 0/1 | [dp] | – | 6.0 3/4 | 3.1 1/2 | 2.7 |
Metroscopia [p 4] | 3–6 Jun 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 32.6 22/23 | 0.4 0 | 4.9 3 | 10.1 6/7 | 4.5 3 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 | [dp] | – | 5.4 3/4 | 3.6 2 | 2.5 |
KeyData/Público [p 5] | 3 Jun 2024 | ? | 51.5 | 30.0 20 | 33.9 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.7 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.4 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.7 1 | [dp] | – | 6.1 4 | 2.8 1 | 3.9 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 6] | 2–3 Jun 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 30.2 20 | 34.4 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.9 2 | 10.3 7 | 4.4 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.6 1 | [dp] | – | 6.2 4 | – | 4.2 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 7] | 1–3 Jun 2024 | 1,422 | ? | 30.2 21 | 32.9 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.5 6 | 4.2 2 | 2.5 1 | 1.7 1 | [dp] | 1.2 0 | 5.9 4 | 2.5 1 | 2.7 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 8] | 27 May–3 Jun 2024 | 3,535 | ? | 30.3 20/21 | 33.2 22/23 | ? 0 | 4.1 2/3 | 10.5 6/7 | 4.3 2/3 | 1.9 1 | 1.4 0/1 | [dp] | – | 6.0 4 | 3.4 2 | 2.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 9] | 30 May–2 Jun 2024 | 630 | ? | 29.3 20 | 34.1 23 | 0.9 0 | 3.7 2 | 10.1 7 | 3.8 2 | 2.8 1 | 1.6 1 | [dp] | – | 6.3 4 | 2.7 1 | 4.8 |
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 10] | 29–31 May 2024 | 2,060 | ? | 29.5 20/21 | 33.8 22/23 | ? 0 | 3.5 2 | 10.3 6/7 | 4.5 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.7 1 | [dp] | – | 5.9 3/4 | 2.3 1 | 4.3 |
Target Point/El Debate [p 11] | 29–31 May 2024 | 1,003 | ? | 31.0 20/21 | 33.5 22/23 | ? 0 | 3.9 2 | 8.9 5/6 | ? 3 | 2.4 1 | ? 1 | [dp] | – | 6.0 4 | 2.9 1/2 | 2.5 |
GESOP/Prensa Ibérica [p 12] | 27–31 May 2024 | 630 | ? | 31.5 21/22 | 32.0 21/22 | 0.9 0 | 4.4 2/3 | 8.1 5/6 | 5.0 3 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 | [dp] | – | 5.8 3/4 | 3.7 1/2 | 0.5 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 13] | 27–31 May 2024 | 1,000 | 50.8 | 29.2 20 | 35.0 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.9 6/7 | 4.9 3 | 2.8 1 | 1.9 1 | [dp] | – | 6.4 4 | 2.2 1 | 5.8 |
ElectoPanel/Electomanía [p 14] | 25–31 May 2024 | 3,109 | ? | 30.0 20 | 33.5 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.3 2 | 9.2 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.5 1 | 2.0 1 | [dp] | 1.3 0 | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 3.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 15] | 24–31 May 2024 | 3,948 | ? | 29.7 19/21 | 32.7 21/23 | 0.8 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 11.0 6/7 | 3.8 2 | 1.9 1 | 1.3 0/1 | [dp] | – | 6.9 4/5 | 3.5 2 | 3.0 |
Hamalgama Métrica/VozPópuli [p 16] | 23–31 May 2024 | 1,000 | ? | 29.6 20 | 35.1 23 | 0.9 0 | 3.5 2 | 10.2 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.5 1 | ? 1 | [dp] | – | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 5.5 |
40dB/Prisa [p 17] [p 18] | 28–30 May 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 33.2 22/23 | 1.0 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 10.7 7 | 4.8 3 | 2.1 1 | 1.4 0/1 | [dp] | – | 5.6 3/4 | 2.5 1/2 | 3.1 |
GAD3/ABC [p 19] | 27–30 May 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 29.8 20 | 34.9 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.5 2 | 9.7 6 | 4.8 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.9 1 | [dp] | – | 5.9 3/4 | 2.4 1 | 5.1 |
CIS [p 20] [p 21] | 27–30 May 2024 | 7,491 | ? | 31.6–33.2 | 28.3– 30.5 | 0.7– 1.2 | 3.6– 3.9 | 9.9– 11.0 | 3.7– 4.1 | 1.5– 1.6 | 1.0– 1.3 | [dp] | – | 5.4– 7.1 | 4.9– 5.7 | 2.7– 3.3 |
Metroscopia [p 22] | 28–29 May 2024 | 1,000 | 50 | 29.5 20/21 | 33.6 22/23 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 10.1 6/7 | 4.7 3/4 | 2.3 1 | 1.8 1 | [dp] | – | 5.9 3/4 | 3.1 2 | 4.1 |
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia [p 23] | 23–29 May 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 30.1 20 | 34.5 24 | 0.7 0 | 3.8 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.0 2 | 2.3 1 | 2.1 1 | [dp] | – | 6.4 4 | 2.6 1 | 4.4 |
DYM/Henneo [p 24] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,004 | ? | 30.8 20/21 | 34.4 23 | 1.3 0 | 3.3 2 | 10.4 6/7 | 4.2 2/3 | 2.4 1 | 1.2 1 | [dp] | 1.5 0/1 | 5.9 4 | 2.8 1 | 3.6 |
Celeste-Tel/Onda Cero [p 25] [p 26] | 23–28 May 2024 | 1,100 | 49.7 | 29.3 20 | 34.9 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.9 6 | 4.8 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.8 1 | [dp] | 1.1 0 | 6.3 4 | 1.9 1 | 5.6 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 27] | 25–26 May 2024 | 503 | ? | 29.4 20 | 34.8 24 | 1.4 0 | 3.3 2 | 10.7 7 | 4.5 2 | 2.7 1 | 1.4 0 | [dp] | – | 6.3 4 | 2.0 1 | 5.4 |
KeyData/Público [p 28] | 25 May 2024 | ? | 54.0 | 28.7 19 | 35.8 24 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 2 | 10.6 7 | 4.6 3 | 2.3 1 | 1.5 0 | [dp] | – | 7.4 4 | 2.7 1 | 7.1 |
Data10/OKDiario [p 29] | 22–24 May 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 29.6 20 | 35.4 24 | 0.9 0 | 2.9 1 | 10.4 7 | 4.7 3 | 2.5 1 | 1.7 1 | [dp] | – | 6.4 4 | – | 5.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset [p 30] | 21–24 May 2024 | 1,002 | ? | 31.4 21 | 34.5 23 | 0.7 0 | 3.0 2 | 9.3 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.5 1 | [dp] | – | 5.7 3 | 2.7 1 | 3.1 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 31] | 20–24 May 2024 | 1,000 | 54.3 | 27.9 19 | 36.1 24/25 | ? 0 | 3.0 2 | 9.0 6 | 5.2 3 | 2.9 1/2 | 2.2 1 | [dp] | – | 6.8 4 | 1.2 0 | 8.2 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 32] | 20–24 May 2024 | 2,137 | ? | 30.2 19/20 | 35.1 24/25 | 0.8 0 | 3.6 2 | 9.7 6/7 | 3.6 2 | 2.4 1 | 1.3 0/1 | [dp] | – | 7.0 4/5 | 2.6 1/2 | 4.9 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 33] | 18–24 May 2024 | 1,500 | ? | 29.1 20 | 33.7 23 | 1.0 0 | 3.1 2 | 8.7 6 | 5.3 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.1 1 | [dp] | 1.3 0 | 5.8 4 | 1.8 1 | 4.6 |
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 34] | 21–23 May 2024 | 1,640 | ? | 28.7 19/20 | 34.1 23/24 | ? 0 | 3.4 2 | 9.6 6 | 4.5 3 | 2.6 1 | 1.9 1 | [dp] | 1.3 0/1 | 6.7 4 | 2.2 1 | 5.4 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 35] | 17–19 May 2024 | 519 | ? | 28.8 19 | 36.9 25 | 0.9 0 | 3.2 2 | 10.4 7 | 5.1 3 | 2.4 1 | 1.3 0 | [dp] | – | 7.0 4 | 0.8 0 | 8.1 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 36] | 13–17 May 2024 | 1,000 | 58.9 | 27.2 18/19 | 36.3 24/25 | ? 0 | 2.8 1/2 | 9.4 6 | 4.9 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.1 1 | [dp] | – | 7.7 5 | 1.4 0/1 | 9.1 |
ElectoPanel/El Plural [p 37] | 12–17 May 2024 | 1,250 | ? | 28.6 20 | 34.3 25 | 0.9 0 | 2.5 1 | 7.7 5 | 5.4 3 | 4.0 2 | 2.4 1 | [dp] | 1.3 0 | 5.9 4 | 1.1 0 | 5.7 |
CIS (Logoslab) [dq] [p 38] | 8–17 May 2024 | 6,434 | ? | 30.5 20/21 | 33.0 21/22 | 1.5 0/1 | ? 2/3 | ? 7 | ? 2/3 | ? 1 | ? 1 | [dp] | – | ? 3/4 | ? 2 | 2.5 |
CIS [p 39] [p 40] | ? | 32.8– 35.2 21/24 | 27.9– 30.2 18/20 | 1.8– 2.6 1/2 | 4.4– 5.4 2/3 | 8.6– 10.1 5/6 | 3.9– 5.0 2/3 | 2.2– 3.0 1/2 | 1.1– 1.6 0/1 | [dp] | – | 5.9– 7.2 4 | 2.9– 3.8 1/2 | 4.9– 5.0 | ||
Cluster17/Agenda Pública [p 41] | 14–16 May 2024 | 1,511 | ? | 26.4 17/18 | 35.4 24 | 1.2 0/1 | 3.4 2 | 8.8 6 | 5.6 3 | 2.6 1 | 2.0 1 | [dp] | 1.4 0/1 | 6.6 4 | 3.8 2 | 9.0 |
40dB/Prisa [p 42] [p 43] | 10–13 May 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 30.1 20/21 | 33.5 22/23 | 1.1 0 | 4.0 2/3 | 12.6 8/9 | 4.6 3 | 2.2 1 | 1.9 1 | [dp] | – | 5.7 3/4 | – | 3.4 |
Simple Lógica/elDiario.es [p 44] [p 45] | 1–9 May 2024 | 1,131 | ? | 29.9 20 | 36.4 24 | ? 0 | 2.0 1 | 10.9 7 | 4.8 3 | 2.2 1 | 1.1 0 | [dp] | – | 8.0 5 | – | 6.5 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 46] | 30 Apr–4 May 2024 | 1,279 | ? | 26.7 18 | 39.2 26 | 1.2 0 | 3.0 2 | 10.3 7 | 5.4 3 | 2.3 1 | 1.4 1 | [dp] | – | 6.4 4 | 0.3 0 | 12.5 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 47] | 24–30 Apr 2024 | 2,120 | ? | 28.9 19 | 35.7 23 | 0.8 0 | 3.1 2 | 11.9 7 | 4.1 2 | 2.0 1 | 1.8 1 | [dp] | – | 9.5 6 | – | 6.8 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 48] | 9–12 Apr 2024 | 2,550 | ? | 26.3 17 | 38.1 25 | 1.7 1 | 2.4 1 | 10.9 7 | 6.1 4 | 2.6 1 | 1.8 1 | [dp] | – | 6.7 4 | – | 11.8 |
GAD3/Mediaset [p 49] | 18–21 Mar 2024 | 1,017 | ? | 26.5 18/19 | 37.8 25/26 | 0.3 0 | 3.5 2 | 9.2 6 | 4.4 3 | 2.7 1 | 2.4 1 | [dp] | – | 7.2 4 | – | 11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 50] | 5–9 Mar 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 24.5 16 | 40.1 26 | 0.9 0 | 1.9 1 | 10.6 7 | 4.9 3 | 3.0 2 | 1.2 0 | [dp] | – | 9.3 6 | – | 15.6 |
Ipsos/Euronews [p 51] [p 52] | 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 | 2,000 | ? | 28.6 19 | 37.7 25 | ? 0 | 2.4 1 | 10.4 6 | 3.8 2 | 2.5 1 | 2.0 1 | [dp] | – | 9.7 6 | – | 9.1 |
GAD3/ABC [p 53] | 26–29 Feb 2024 | 1,005 | ? | 27.1 18 | 38.4 26 | ? 0 | 3.0 2 | 8.6 6 | 4.3 2 | 2.7 1 | 2.4 1 | [dp] | – | 7.3 5 | – | 11.3 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 54] | 5–9 Feb 2024 | 2,900 | ? | 28.1 18 | 38.3 25 | ? 0 | 1.0 0 | 11.7 7 | 3.2 2 | 3.4 2 | 1.5 1 | [dp] | – | 10.2 6 | – | 10.2 |
NC Report/La Razón [p 55] | 12–18 Jan 2024 | 1,000 | 61.5 | 28.3 18 | 37.5 25 | 0.4 0 | 1.7 1 | 10.4 6 | 3.0 2 | 3.3 2 | 2.1 1 | [dp] | – | 9.1 6 | – | 9.2 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 56] | 25–31 Dec 2023 | 2,309 | ? | 28.5 19 | 37.1 24 | 1.1 0 | 3.3 2 | 11.0 7 | 3.2 2 | 4.4 2 | 1.3 0 | [dp] | – | 8.8 5 | – | 8.6 |
Sigma Dos/El Mundo [p 57] | 15–26 Dec 2023 | 2,992 | ? | 29.2 19 | 38.1 25 | 0.2 0 | 2.6 1 | 11.8 7 | 2.8 1 | 2.3 1 | 2.0 1 | [dp] | – | 10.1 6 | – | 8.9 |
SocioMétrica/El Español [p 58] | 20–24 Nov 2023 | 2,109 | ? | 29.2 19 | 36.8 25 | 1.1 0 | 2.0 1 | 10.2 6 | 4.2 2 | 5.1 3 | 1.3 0 | [dp] | – | 8.0 5 | – | 7.6 |
2023 general election | 23 Jul 2023 | — | 66.6 | 31.7 (20) | 33.1 (21) | – | [dp] | 12.4 (7) | 3.9 (2) | 1.7 (1) | 1.6 (1) | [dp] | 0.7 (0) | 12.3 (7) | – | 1.4 |
November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | — | 66.2 | 28.0 (18) | 20.8 (13) | 6.8 (4) | 12.9 (8) | 15.1 (10) | 5.3 (3) | 2.2 (1) | 2.8 (1) | 2.4 (1) | 0.9 (0) | – | – | 7.2 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | — | 60.7 | 32.9 21 | 20.2 13 | 12.2 8 | 10.1 6 | 6.2 4 | 5.6 3 | 4.5 3 | 2.8 1 | 1.3 0 | 1.3 0 | – | – | 12.7 |
Polling execution | Parties | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | V Left | S S&D | MP G/EFA | C Renew | L Renew | M EPP | KD EPP | SD ECR | Oth. | Lead |
Demoskop | 23 May–1 Jun 2024 | 3,222 | 10.0 2 | 25.2 6 | 11.3 3 | 5.7 1 | 3.1 0 | 18.0 4 | 5.5 1 | 18.6 4 | 2.7 0 | 6.6 |
Novus | 2–29 May 2024 | 2,325 | 10.0 2 | 29.4 7 | 11.0 2 | 4.7 1 | 5.1 1 | 15.5 4 | 3.8 0 | 19.1 4 | 1.3 0 | 10.3 |
Verian | 22–28 May 2024 | 1,000 | 9.5 2 | 25.1 6 | 10.6 2 | 4.9 1 | 4.7 1 | 17.2 4 | 5.4 1 | 19.6 4 | 3.1 0 | 5.5 |
Demoskop | 11–20 May 2024 | 2,994 | 8.7 2 | 27.5 7 | 9.8 2 | 4.6 1 | 2.8 0 | 18.5 4 | 3.9 0 | 19.9 5 | 4.3 0 | 7.6 |
Ipsos | 7–19 May 2024 | 1,646 | 7.6 2 | 29.6 7 | 10.8 3 | 3.6 0 | 4.7 1 | 19.1 4 | 3.9 0 | 17.8 4 | 2.9 0 | 10.5 |
Demoskop | 24 Apr–7 May 2024 | 3,970 | 8.7 2 | 28.5 6 | 9.2 2 | 4.6 1 | 3.2 0 | 17.3 4 | 4.4 1 | 19.9 5 | 4.2 0 | 8.6 |
Verian | 25–30 Apr 2024 | 1,900 | 8.8 2 | 29.7 7 | 9.5 2 | 4.5 1 | 3.7 0 | 18.3 4 | 4.2 1 | 17.2 4 | 4.2 0 | 11.4 |
Novus | 1–28 Apr 2024 | 2,311 | 8.5 2 | 31.1 8 | 10.3 2 | 3.6 0 | 3.8 0 | 17.7 4 | 3.5 0 | 18.8 5 | 2.6 0 | 12.3 |
Indikator Opinion | 28 Mar – 22 Apr 2024 | 6,943 | 8.1 2 | 32.3 8 | 9.7 2 | 4.6 1 | 3.3 0 | 19.0 4 | 2.3 0 | 18.6 4 | 2.1 0 | 12.9 |
Ipsos | 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 | 1,003 | 9.6 2 | 30.4 6 | 8.3 2 | 7.0 1 | 4.7 1 | 16.4 4 | 4.5 1 | 17.5 4 | 1.5 0 | 12.9 |
Novus | 19 Feb – 3 Mar 2024 | 504 | 7.3 2 | 32.4 7 | 8.0 2 | 4.6 1 | 3.3 0 | 18.1 4 | 4.2 1 | 20.5 4 | 1.7 0 | 11.9 |
2022 general election | 11 Sep 2022 | – | 6.8 1 | 30.3 7 | 5.1 1 | 6.7 1 | 4.6 1 | 19.1 4 | 5.3 1 | 20.5 5 | 1.5 0 | 9.8 |
2019 EP election | 26 May 2019 | – | 6.8 1 | 23.5 5 | 11.5 3 | 10.8 2 | 4.1 1 | 16.8 4 | 8.6 2 | 15.3 3 | 2.5 0 | 6.7 |