Opinion polling for the 2026 Portuguese presidential election

In the run up to the 2026 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Candidates vote

First round

2025

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Gouveia e Melo	Marques Mendes	António José Seguro	António Vitorino	André Ventura	Sampaio da Nóvoa	Mariana Leitão	Catarina Martins	Jerónimo de Sousa	João Ferreira	Inês Sousa Real	André Pestana	Tim Vieira	Joana Amaral Dias	Oth/ Und	Lead
			Ind.	PSD	PS	PS	CH	Ind.	IL	BE	CDU	CDU	PAN	Ind.	Ind.	ADN
Intercampus	4–10 Mar 2025	638	35.6	13.9	7.7	5.6	12.4	—	4.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.6	21.7
Pitagórica	23–26 Feb 2025	400	35.9	25.5	14.1	—	12.9	4.9	2.5	—	1.8	—	0.9	0.6	0.6	0.3	—	10.4
			32.2	24.8	—	20.7	12.1	3.8	2.2	—	1.9	—	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.2	—	7.4
Aximage	23–28 Jan 2025	800	28	11	8	12	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	29 [a]	16
Intercampus	21–26 Jan 2025	638	33.1	14.1	8.3	8.6	9.4	—	—	4.9	—	3.0	—	—	—	—	18.7	19.0
ICS/ISCTE	9–20 Jan 2025	805	25	13	15	—	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	32	9
			25	13	—	14	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	31	9
			24	13	—	—	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47 [b]	7

2022–2024

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Gouveia e Melo	António Costa	Passos Coelho	Paulo Portas	Marques Mendes	Mariana Mortágua	Catarina Martins	Santos Silva	André Ventura	João Ferreira	Paulo Raimundo	Ana Gomes	Cotrim Figueiredo	Durão Barroso	António Guterres	António José Seguro	Mário Centeno	Santana Lopes	Rui Tavares	O/ U	Lead
			Ind.	PS	PSD	CDS	PSD	BE	BE	PS	CH	CDU	CDU	PS	IL	PSD	PS	PS	PS	Ind.	L
Intercampus	21–27 Nov 2024	605	23.2	—	13.9	—	9.8	—	4.0	—	6.6	—	0.9	5.1	3.2	3.2	—	4.7	6.4	1.3	2.4	15.3	9.3
Aximage	6–19 Sep 2024	818	21.0	—	14.7	—	10.6	—	—	5.0	8.8	—	—	7.9	—	—	—	—	8.3	—	—	23.7	6.3
Intercampus	19–26 Jul 2024	609	9.4	—	14.1	4.6	8.1	8.4	—	—	11.4	—	1.5	5.7	4.8	—	19.3	—	4.6	2.4	—	5.7 [c]	5.2
Duplimétrica	6–13 May 2024	800	10	17	13	5	7	—	2	—	5	—	—	3	—	5	13	—	5	—	—	15	4
Intercampus	18–23 Apr 2024	605	8.4	14.7	12.5	2.7	5.7	—	5.9	—	7.7	—	1.3	5.3	2.7	2.9	13.6	—	2.9	1.3	3.5	9.0	1.1
Intercampus	9–14 Sep 2023	614	7.8	8.8	15.8	3.9	6.0	—	5.5	1.5	9.0	—	2.0	3.4	3.3	3.1	14.8	—	3.9	2.0	—	9.3	1.0
Intercampus	3–6 Jul 2023	623	7.9	14.3	13.3	3.2	3.0	—	6.9	1.4	11.4	—	0.8	5.9	3.2	—	15.1	2.7	2.6	1.9	—	6.3	0.8
Intercampus	3–10 Feb 2023	602	10.0	10.6	15.8	—	3.8	4.3	—	3.8	9.5	—	—	6.0	3.8	4.0	13.5	—	—	—	—	14.9 [d]	2.3
Intercampus [e]	15–20 Nov 2022	605	15.9	9.6	15.2	6.3	7.3	4.0	—	5.8	6.1	3.3	—	8.6	2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.8	0.7
Intercampus	6–11 Jul 2022	605	31.7	—	—	10.9	10.4	7.8	—	7.8	6.1	3.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.3	20.8
			—	—	—	18.3	17.4	12.7	—	12.2	—	4.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	34.9	0.9
			—	31.1	—	13.6	16.2	7.8	—	—	—	4.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	27.4	14.9
			—	—	23.1	—	16.5	12.9	—	12.4	—	4.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	30.6	6.6

Second round

Poll results showing how people would vote on hypothetical second round matchups, are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first

2025

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Gouveia e Melo	Marques Mendes	António José Seguro	António Vitorino	André Ventura	Oth/ Und	Lead
			Ind.	PSD	PS	PS	CH
Intercampus	4–10 Mar 2025	638	51.6	28.5	—	—	—	19.9	23.1
			54.5	—	24.5	—	—	21.0	30.0
			57.1	—	—	21.6	—	21.3	35.5
			—	42.4	29.0	—	—	28.6	13.4
			—	44.4	—	26.3	—	29.3	18.1
Pitagórica	23–26 Feb 2025	400	49	37	—	—	—	14	12
			51	—	32	—	—	17	19
			53	—	—	30	—	17	23
			71	—	—	—	13	16	58
			—	—	—	62	20	18	42
			—	—	65	—	18	17	47
			—	65	—	—	17	18	48
			—	43	32	—	—	25	11
			—	45	—	31	—	24	14
Intercampus	21–26 Jan 2025	638	52.5	29.3	—	—	—	18.2	23.2
			55.2	—	24.9	—	—	19.9	30.3
			56.0	—	—	25.2	—	18.8	30.8
			—	44.5	28.8	—	—	26.7	15.7
			—	45.0	—	28.8	—	26.2	16.2
ICS/ISCTE	9–20 Jan 2025	805	43	20	—	—	—	37	23
			45	—	16	—	—	39	29
			45	—	—	16	—	39	29
			53	—	—	—	16	31	37
			40	—	—	—	—	60 [f]	17

2024

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	António José Seguro	António Vitorino	Santos Silva	António Guterres	Ana Gomes	Mário Centeno	Gouveia e Melo	Marques Mendes	Passos Coelho	Leonor Beleza	Paulo Portas	Santana Lopes	Durão Barroso	André Ventura	O/U	Lead
			PS	PS	PS	PS	PS	PS	Ind.	PSD	PSD	PSD	CDS	Ind.	PSD	CH
Pitagórica	28 Dec 2024–5 Jan 2025	400	26	—	—	—	—	—	54	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	20	28
			34	—	—	—	—	—	—	40	—	—	—	—	—	—	26	6
			36	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	46	—	—	—	—	—	18	10
			—	27	—	—	—	—	55	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	18	28
			—	32	—	—	—	—	—	43	—	—	—	—	—	—	25	11
			—	34	—	—	—	—	—	—	49	—	—	—	—	—	17	15
			—	—	—	—	—	32	51	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	17	19
			—	—	—	—	—	42	—	36	—	—	—	—	—	—	22	6
			—	—	—	—	—	42	—	—	44	—	—	—	—	—	14	2
			—	—	—	—	—	—	51	30	—	—	—	—	—	—	19	21
			—	—	—	—	—	—	50	—	32	—	—	—	—	—	18	18
Intercampus	21–27 Nov 2024	605	—	—	—	—	32.0	—	—	44.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	23.4	12.6
			—	—	—	—	37.3	—	—	—	46.5	—	—	—	—	—	16.2	9.2
			—	—	—	—	42.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	31.8	—	—	26.0	10.4
			—	—	—	—	35.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	40.7	—	23.5	4.9
			—	—	—	—	—	39.0	—	35.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	25.4	3.4
			—	—	—	—	—	39.9	—	—	39.5	—	—	—	—	—	20.5	0.4
			—	—	—	—	—	52.5	—	—	—	—	—	21.3	—	—	26.2	31.2
			—	—	—	—	—	45.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	29.4	—	25.6	15.6
			—	—	—	—	—	—	49.3	30.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	20.3	19.0
			—	—	—	—	—	—	50.8	—	31.8	—	—	—	—	—	17.3	19.0
			—	—	—	—	—	—	59.1	—	—	—	—	19.8	—	—	21.1	39.3
			—	—	—	—	—	—	52.4	—	—	—	—	—	28.6	—	19.0	23.8
Aximage	6–19 Sep 2024	818	—	—	—	—	—	34	—	33	—	—	—	—	—	—	33	1
			—	—	—	—	—	—	47	28	—	—	—	—	—	—	25	19
			—	—	—	—	—	56	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	22	22	34
			—	—	—	—	—	43	—	—	35	—	—	—	—	—	22	8
			—	—	—	—	—	—	51	—	28	—	—	—	—	—	21	23
			—	—	—	—	—	29	38	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	33	9
			—	—	19	—	—	—	48	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	33	29
			—	—	—	—	21	—	54	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	25	33
Intercampus	19–26 Jul 2024	609	—	—	—	56.7	—	—	33.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.1	23.5
			—	—	—	55.6	—	—	—	34.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	9.5	20.7
			—	—	—	58.0	—	—	—	—	34.7	—	—	—	—	—	7.3	23.3
			—	—	—	66.1	—	—	—	—	—	21.7	—	—	—	—	12.2	44.4
			—	—	—	66.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6	—	—	—	10.6	44.2
			—	—	—	69.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.4	—	—	11.4	49.8
			—	—	—	—	36.7	—	52.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	10.7	16.0
			—	—	—	—	33.4	—	—	55.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.6	21.6
			—	—	—	—	42.4	—	—	—	48.8	—	—	—	—	—	8.8	6.4
			—	—	—	—	48.3	—	—	—	—	37.8	—	—	—	—	13.9	10.5
			—	—	—	—	49.9	—	—	—	—	—	36.9	—	—	—	13.2	13.0
			—	—	—	—	52.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	33.2	—	—	14.3	19.3
			—	—	—	—	—	40.2	46.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	13.0	6.6
			—	—	—	—	—	37.1	—	48.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	14.5	11.3
			—	—	—	—	—	48.4	—	—	41.1	—	—	—	—	—	10.5	7.3
			—	—	—	—	—	56.5	—	—	—	27.0	—	—	—	—	16.5	29.5
			—	—	—	—	—	56.0	—	—	—	—	29.4	—	—	—	14.6	26.6
			—	—	—	—	—	57.8	—	—	—	—	—	25.9	—	—	16.3	31.9
			—	—	—	—	—	—	48.8	40.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	11.0	8.6
			—	—	—	—	—	—	51.9	—	37.6	—	—	—	—	—	10.5	14.3
			—	—	—	—	—	—	63.7	—	—	23.9	—	—	—	—	12.4	39.8
			—	—	—	—	—	—	61.1	—	—	—	27.3	—	—	—	11.6	33.8
			—	—	—	—	—	—	68.1	—	—	—	—	19.8	—	—	12.1	48.3

Preferred candidate

Poll results showing public opinion on who would be the best candidate for each political side, are shown in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first.

Right-wing

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	Marques Mendes	Passos Coelho	Rui Rio	André Ventura	Paulo Portas	Santana Lopes	Cotrim Figueiredo	O/U	Lead
			PSD	PSD	PSD	CH	CDS	Ind.	IL
Aximage	6–19 Sep 2024	818 [g]	39	37	—	—	—	—	—	22	2
Aximage	14–18 Sep 2023	804	19.8	19.5	13.0	11.3	11.2	7.0	6.0	12.2	0.3

Left-wing

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	António Guterres	António José Seguro	António Vitorino	Ana Gomes	Mário Centeno	Elisa Ferreira	Santos Silva	Francisco Assis	Francisco Louçã	João Ferreira	O/U	Lead
			PS	PS	PS	PS	PS	PS	PS	PS	BE	CDU
Pitagórica	23–26 Feb 2025	400 [h]	—	56	44	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	12
Intercampus	21–26 Jan 2025	638 [h]	—	24.9	21.3	14.4	—	7.1	—	—	—	—	32.3	3.6
Aximage	6–19 Sep 2024	818 [h]	—	—	—	14	41	—	18	—	—	—	27	23
Aximage	14–18 Sep 2023	804	34	—	—	19	12	—	8	6	9	5	7	15

Leadership polls

Main article: Opinion polling on the Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa presidency

Notes

1. Durão Barroso- 9%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 20%:
2. Mário Centeno- 17%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 30%:
3. Leonor Beleza - 0.9%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 4.8%:
4. Rui Moreira- 4.7%; Francisco Assis - 0.5%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 9.7%:
5. Voters were asked which candidate they prefer.
6. Mário Centeno- 23%; Others/Neither/Would not vote - 37%:
7. Which candidate should the Social Democratic Party (PSD) support?
8. Which candidate should the Socialist Party (PS) support?

External links

• ERC - Official publication of polls