Opinion polling for the 2021 Portuguese presidential election

Last updated

In the run up to the 2021 Portuguese presidential election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication.

Candidates vote

First round

Graphical summary

Polling

  Exit poll

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa em 2018.jpg Marisa Matias 2015 (cropped).jpg
Joao Ferreira (48951288883) (cropped).jpg
Andre Ventura (Agencia LUSA, Entrevista Presidenciais 2021), cropped.png Ana Gomes.jpg Oth/
Und
Lead
Rebelo de Sousa
PSD, CDS (Inc.)
Matias
BE
Ferreira
CDU
Rans
RIR
Ventura
CHEGA
Gomes
Ind./PS
Mayan
IL
2021 election 24 Jan 202160.74.04.33.011.913.03.247.7
CESOP–UCP 24 Jan 202118,38857–623.5–5.53.5–5.52–49–1213–163–545
ICS/ISCTE 24 Jan 202120,67555.5–60.52.4–5.43.3–6.32.3–5.310.1–14.113.1–17.11.3–3.342.9
Pitagórica 24 Jan 202128,16256.4–60.42.2–6.22.1–6.10.9–4.99.9–13.912.2–16.22.4–5.444.2
Intercampus 24 Jan 202123,58158.8–60.63.1–5.52.9–5.31.6–4.010.1–13.712.7–16.33.0–5.445.2
Eurosondagem 18–21 Jan 20212,53361.86.04.81.710.013.62.148.2
ICS/ISCTE 12–18 Jan 20211,2105866112.514.5243.5
Pitagórica 7–18 Jan 202162965.43.53.91.89.012.34.253.1
Aximage 9–15 Jan 20211,18359.74.35.01.59.715.43.31.144.3
CESOP–UCP 11–14 Jan 20212,001633521014349
Pitagórica 29 Dec 2020–10 Jan 202162966.74.03.22.111.010.82.356.5
Intercampus 4–7 Jan 202160359.36.44.42.09.59.52.26.649.8
Eurosondagem 3–7 Jan 20212,52160.26.65.21.010.114.82.045.4
Pitagórica 22 Dec 2020–3 Jan 202162967.94.32.60.411.411.42.156.5
Pitagórica 17–27 Dec 202062966.54.52.80.810.613.01.753.5
Aximage 19–22 Dec 202081261.45.67.58.015.41.11.046.0
Pitagórica 17–20 Dec 202062968.05.13.50.810.710.91.00.057.1
Intercampus 14–18 Dec 202060358.44.53.310.912.13.27.646.3
Eurosondagem 14–17 Dec 20202,02062.56.75.010.513.32.00.049.2
Pitagórica 10–13 Dec 202062968.96.53.50.29.011.00.90.057.9
CESOP–UCP 4–11 Dec 20201,31568558131055
Aximage 23–26 Nov 202064762.15.92.10.16.616.31.15.845.8
ICS/ISCTE 11–25 Nov 20208026675913-053
Eurosondagem 16–19 Nov 20201,52563.17.25.010.010.11.33.353.0
Intercampus 9–16 Nov 202062256.68.72.310.516.11.64.440.5
Aximage 22–26 Oct 202069462.74.71.60.37.417.21.54.445.5
Eurosondagem 12–15 Oct 20201,07261.08.55.511.010.01.03.050.0
Intercampus 6–11 Oct 202061856.26.12.68.217.21.58.239.0
ICS/ISCTE 14–24 Sep 20208016576812253
Intercampus 4–9 Sep 202061460.36.22.9 [a] 9.414.00.56.746.3
Intercampus 6–11 Aug 202060167.74.22.5 [a] 10.18.76.857.7
Intercampus 8–13 Jul 202062070.84.02.6 [a] 5.09.77.961.1
Aximage 7–8 Jul 20206006541 [a] 7138 [b] 52
Eurosondagem 15–18 Jun 20201,07269.66.94.8 [c] 7.26.94.6 [d] 62.4
Intercampus 9–13 Jun 202061062.65.43.3 [a] 9.810.88.1 [e] 51.8
Intercampus 5–9 May 202062064.54.42.1 [a] 7.48.213.456.3
Eurosondagem 20–23 Apr 20201,04870.77.25.2 [c] 5.58.41.0 [f] 2.0 [g] 62.3
Intercampus 11–17 Feb 202061458.54.62.6 [a] 9.38.816.2 [h] 49.2
Intercampus 19–24 Jan 202061968.57.43.2 [a] 8.712.2 [i] 59.8
Aximage 29 Nov–3 Dec 201960169.63.0 [j] 4.0 [a] 2.93.117.4 [k] 65.6
2016 election 24 Jan 201652.010.13.9 [l] 3.330.7 [m] 29.1

Leadership polls

Approval ratings

The table below lists the evolution of public opinion on the president's performance in office.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa
ApproveDisapproveNo opinionNet
Intercampus 4–7 Jan 202160368.013.718.254.3
Pitagórica 22 Dec 2020–3 Jan 20216296562959
Pitagórica 17–27 Dec 20206296382955
Aximage 19–22 Dec 202081262221640
Pitagórica 17–20 Dec 20206296482856
Intercampus 14–18 Dec 202060361.816.421.845.4
Pitagórica 10–13 Dec 20206296972462
Eurosondagem 7–10 Dec 20201,02072.75.521.867.2
Aximage 23–26 Nov 20206477491765
Intercampus 9–16 Nov 202062259.516.624.042.9
Eurosondagem 2–5 Nov 20201,01171.54.524.067.0
Aximage 22–26 Oct 202069460221838
Eurosondagem 5–8 Oct 20201,01071.75.223.166.5
ICS/ISCTE 14–24 Sep 202080172.111.816.160.3
Aximage 12–15 Sep 202060364211543
Eurosondagem 7–10 Sep 20201,02271.04.524.566.5
Intercampus 4–9 Sep 202061467.613.119.454.5
Intercampus 6–11 Aug 202060172.29.917.962.3
UCP–CESOP 13–18 Jul 20201,4828710377
Intercampus 9–13 Jul 202062072.38.918.963.4
Aximage 5–8 Jul 202062461221739
Eurosondagem 29 Jun–2 Jul 20201,02570.84.424.866.4
Intercampus 9–13 Jun 202061073.311.015.762.3
Aximage 5–8 Jun 202060575.08.416.666.6
Eurosondagem 1–4 Jun 20201,02171.65.023.466.6
Pitagórica 16–24 May 2020802881276
Intercampus 5–9 May 202062075.08.716.366.3
Eurosondagem 4–7 May 20201,00572.05.722.366.3
Pitagórica 15–26 Apr 2020605871374
Intercampus 9–14 Apr 202062376.66.916.569.7
Eurosondagem 29 Mar–2 Apr 20201,00871.55.523.066.0
Marktest 24–25 Mar 202050574.813.212.061.6
Pitagórica 13–21 Mar 2020605851570
Intercampus 13–19 Mar 202061163.714.521.849.2
Aximage 7–10 Mar 202068064.112.723.251.4
Eurosondagem 1–5 Mar 20201,01170.75.224.165.5
Aximage 14–18 Feb 202083964.111.024.953.1
Intercampus 11–17 Feb 202061469.39.621.159.7
Eurosondagem 2–6 Feb 20201,02072.16.521.465.6
ICS/ISCTE 22 Jan–5 Feb 20208008541181
Intercampus 19–24 Jan 202061971.410.118.561.3
Aximage 9–12 Jan 202064062.79.228.153.5
Eurosondagem 5–9 Jan 20201,01072.07.021.065.0
Intercampus 12–17 Dec 201960674.68.417.066.2
Eurosondagem 8–12 Dec 20191,01971.06.222.864.8
Intercampus 20–26 Nov 201960476.28.914.967.3
Eurosondagem 17–21 Nov 20191,01172.17.720.264.4
Intercampus 22–28 Oct 201960476.55.917.670.6
Intercampus 2–11 Sep 201980181.16.512.474.6
Eurosondagem 1–5 Sep 201960170.76.722.664.0
Pitagórica 12–24 Aug 20191,525871374
Aximage 20–27 Jul 20191,35478.815.65.663.2
Aximage 12–15 Jul 201960169.513.916.655.6
Pitagórica 8–14 Jul 201980092884
Eurosondagem 7–11 Jul 20191,01171.98.319.863.6
Aximage 13–19 Jun 201960565.818.216.047.6
Eurosondagem 2–6 Jun 20191,00871.08.520.562.5
UCP–CESOP 16–19 May 20191,88295590
Pitagórica 10–19 May 2019605891178.0
Aximage 3–8 May 201960065.717.117.248.6
Pitagórica 3–13 Apr 201960591982
Eurosondagem 7–11 Apr 20191,01970.08.121.961.9
Aximage 30 Mar–1 Apr 201960265.819.314.946.5
Eurosondagem 10–14 Mar 20191,02069.09.022.060.0
Aximage 5–10 Feb 201960267.124.28.742.9
Eurosondagem 2–9 Jan 20191,01071.06.522.564.5
Aximage 4–7 Jan 201960874.317.08.757.3
Aximage 7–11 Dec 201860277.711.510.866.2
Eurosondagem 7–14 Nov 20181,01871.87.021.264.8
Aximage 9–12 Nov 201860379.411.88.867.6
Aximage 1–3 Oct 201860179.511.39.268.2
Eurosondagem 5–12 Sep 20181,00873.08.718.364.3
Aximage 1–2 Sep 201860379.010.510.568.5
Aximage 13–16 Jul 201860080.58.810.771.7
Eurosondagem 4–11 Jul 20181,01172.58.319.264.2
Aximage 9–12 Jun 201860284.06.59.577.5
Aximage 5–9 May 201860087.04.98.182.1
Eurosondagem 3–9 May 20181,00873.09.018.064.0
Aximage 8–12 Apr 201860186.04.89.281.2
Eurosondagem 8–14 Mar 20181,01072.08.119.963.9
Aximage 2–5 Mar 201860588.24.47.483.8
Aximage 3–6 Feb 201860387.35.57.281.8
Eurosondagem 14–17 Jan 20181,01871.88.220.063.6
Aximage 6–9 Jan 201860087.04.88.282.2
Eurosondagem 6–12 Dec 20171,01771.78.719.663.0
Aximage 1–4 Dec 201760384.86.98.377.9
Eurosondagem 8–15 Nov 20171,01070.07.522.562.5
Aximage 4–6 Nov 201760084.18.17.876.0
Aximage 14–17 Oct 201760387.06.07.081.0
Eurosondagem 4–11 Oct 20171,01169.17.123.862.0
Eurosondagem 31 Aug–6 Sep 20171,00772.010.317.761.7
Aximage 29–30 Aug 201759787.46.26.481.2
Eurosondagem 27 Jul–2 Aug 20171,01171.09.519.561.5
Aximage 6–11 Jul 201760487.85.66.682.2
Eurosondagem 28 Jun–5 Jul 20171,00870.79.819.560.9
Aximage 7–11 Jun 201760189.24.95.984.3
Eurosondagem 1–7 Jun 20171,01070.09.420.660.6
Eurosondagem 3–10 May 20171,00569.08.522.560.5
Aximage 5–8 May 201760388.14.47.583.7
Eurosondagem 30 Mar–5 Apr 20171,00371.711.716.660.0
Aximage 2–4 Apr 201760088.83.97.384.9
Eurosondagem 1–8 Mar 20171,01172.013.814.258.2
Aximage 4–6 Mar 201760888.24.47.483.8
Aximage 5–8 Feb 201760192.62.84.689.8
Eurosondagem 1–8 Feb 20171,01769.014.017.055.0
Eurosondagem 5–11 Jan 20171,01070.013.116.956.9
Aximage 6–9 Jan 201760392.93.04.189.9
Eurosondagem 7–14 Dec 20161,01668.011.220.856.8
Aximage 2–4 Dec 201660592.83.14.189.7
UCP–CESOP 19–22 Nov 2016977905585
Eurosondagem 2–9 Nov 20161,01170.713.715.657.0
Aximage 31 Oct–1 Nov 201660192.23.04.889.2
Eurosondagem 6–12 Oct 20161,01069.411.019.658.4
Aximage 1–3 Oct 201660891.22.95.988.3
Eurosondagem 7–14 Sep 20161,00971.013.315.757.7
Aximage 2–5 Sep 201660391.13.15.888.0
Eurosondagem 26 Jul–2 Aug 20161,00570.012.517.557.5
Aximage 15–17 Jul 201660691.03.15.987.9
Eurosondagem 30 Jun–6 Jul 20161,02368.613.118.355.5
Eurosondagem 1 Jun–7 Jun 20161,02570.013.616.456.4
Aximage 30 May–1 Jun 201660687.94.57.683.4
Eurosondagem 5–11 May 20161,03168.412.119.556.3
Aximage 7–9 May 201660092.43.64.088.8
Eurosondagem 7–13 Apr 20161,02668.012.519.555.5
Aximage 2–3 Apr 201660187.96.25.981.7

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 With Jerónimo de Sousa as candidate from the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU).
  2. Adolfo Mesquita Nunes: 2%
  3. 1 2 With Arménio Carlos as candidate from the Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU).
  4. Miguel Albuquerque: 2.5%; Adolfo Mesquita Nunes: 2.1%
  5. Paulo Portas: 2.8%; Others/Undecided: 5.3%
  6. With João Cotrim de Figueiredo as candidate from the Liberal Initiative (IL).
  7. André Silva (PAN): 2.0%
  8. Cristina Ferreira: 2.4%; Carlos César (PS): 1.3%; Others/Undecided: 12.5%
  9. Carlos César (PS): 1.6%; Others/Undecided: 10.6%
  10. With Francisco Louçã as candidate from the Left Bloc (BE).
  11. Pedro Santana Lopes (Alliance): 1.0%; Others/Undecided: 16.4%
  12. In 2016, the CDU candidate for the Presidency was Edgar Silva.
  13. In 2016, the second most voted candidate was António Sampaio da Nóvoa with 22.9%.