Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April 2027.

Contents

First round

If a candidate receives an absolute majority (50%+1, including blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.

March 2025 onwards

Due to Marine Le Pen's embezzlement conviction, she was barred from running for public office for five years on 31 March 2025.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nathalie Arthaud (LO)
Elabe 30–31 Oct20251,5011%3%12.5%11%4.5%15.5%3%8%2%35%4.5%
1.5%3%13%13%5%7%5%8%2%37.5%4.5%
1%4.5%12.5%5.5%5.5%19.5%4%3%2.5%36.5%6%
1%3%12%6.5%5.5%19%4%5.5%2.5%35%6%
Harris Interactive 7 Oct20251,1241%3%14%12%3%15%10%1%35%6%
1%3%14%14%3%12%11%1%35%6%
Cluster17 30 Sep1 Oct20251,5341%4%14%8%19.5%13%4.5%30%5.5%
1%3%15%15%15%12%3.5%30%5.5%
1%4%15%7.5%19.5%12.5%4%31%5.5%
Ifop 24–25 Sep20251,2101%5%13%7%19%4.5%10%2%34%4.5%
1%3.5%12%15%16%4%9%2%33%4.5%
1.5%4%13%14%10%4%12%2.5%34%5%
1%4%13%16%7%5%13%2%35%4%
2%4%13%16%3%6%13%3%35%5%
Ifop 19–20 May20251,1141%3.5%13%4.5%4.5%21%16%2%31%3.5%
Harris Interactive 19 May20251,0711%3%14%10%3%21%13%30%5%
1%3%14%11%3%15%17%31%5%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr20251,0051%2%3%12%12%4%20%9.5%2%31.5%3%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,1281%2.5%10%4.5%9%2%8%15%2%7.5%2.5%32%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%2.5%22%2%8%2%33%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%3%24%3%2.5%35%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%2.5%22%8%2%33%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%3%14%14%2%33%4%
1.5%13%15%22%9%2.5%33%4%
2%12%10%26%10%3%33%4%
Elabe 2–4 Apr20251,4131%1.5%5.5%10%6%6%23%9%2.5%31.5%4%
1%1.5%4.5%9.5%10.5%3.5%20.5%2.5%8.5%3%31%4%
1.5%2%5.5%10.5%4%4.5%18%4.5%4%35.5%5%
Harris Interactive 31 Mar20251,1621%1%4%13%5%4%25%4%2%36%5%
1%1%4%13%5%4%23%7%2%35%5%

Until March 2025

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ifop 26–27 Mar20251,1191%1%4%12%4%3%25%5%4%36%5%
1%1%3%13%5%3%21%11%3%34%5%
1%1%4%13%5%3%20%8%3%37%5%
1%1%2%13%11%3%20%5%3%35%5%
Ifop 6–9 Dec20241,1011%0.5%3%12%5%4.5%20%1%8%3%38%4%
1%0.5%3%11%7%4%24%1.5%6%3%35%4%
0.5%0.5%3%12%4%4.5%25%1%6%3.5%36%4%
1%0.5%3%12%4%5%26%1.5%6.5%3.5%34%3%
OpinionWay 11–12 Sep20241,0094%10%14%1%26%5%35%5%
1%2%15%31%7%40%4%
3%10%12%1%8%23%5%34%4%
1%2%14%10%25%6%38%4%
4%10%14%1%28%4%35%4%
4%10%14%1%27%4%36%4%
Ifop 6–9 Sep20241,1071%1%6%10%4%6%24%3%5%2%35%3%
1%1%5%10%8%5%22%3%5%2%35%3%
1%1.5%6%9%4%5%27%3%4%2%34%3.5%
0.5%1%6%9.5%7%5%26%2%4%2%34%3%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul20242,4961%2%3%15%14%-3%20%5%2%31%4%
1%1%3%15%14%3%-22%5%2%31%3%
1%2%5%16%6%4%23%5%2%32%4%
1%2%4%17%5%4%-24%5%2%32%4%
Ifop 16–18 Apr20241,0901%2%5%13%3%2%22%2.5%8%2.5%30%9%
1.5%0.5%4.5%14%3%2%26%5%2%33%7%
2%1.5%6%15%5.5%3%12%2%8.5%2%36%6.5%
1.5%1.5%5%16%4.5%2.5%14%2%8%3%35%7%
1%2%4%14%4%3%20%2%7%2%35%6%
1.5%1.5%4.5%13%4.5%2%24%2%5%3%34%5%
1.5%1%5%13%4%2.5%24%2%6%2%33%6%
1%2%5.5%12%8%24%2%5%2%32%6.5%
1.5%2%5%7%3.5%3%26%3%5%2.5%35%6.5%
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 20241,6862%29%25%4.5%3%31%6.5%
3%18%31%5%4%32%7%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb20241,0811.5%1.5%4%14%2%2%22%3%5.5%2.5%36%6%
1.5%1.5%4.5%14%2%2.5%22%3%4.5%2.5%36%6%
Ifop 9–10 Jan20241,1441%2%5%14.5%4%1%24%2.5%6%3%28%9%
0.5%1.5%6%15%3.5%1.5%26%2.5%6%2.5%27%8%
0.5%2%6.5%14%3.5%1.5%23%2.5%6%2%32%6.5%
0.5%1.5%6%13%3%2%25%2.5%5%2%33%6.5%
Ifop 24–25 Oct20231,1791%1%6%14%5%2%19%4%6%3%33%6%
1.5%1.5%6%15%6%2%16%3.5%6%2.5%33%7%
1.5%1%7%15%5.5%2%18%3%6%2.5%32%6.5%
1.5%2%7.5%7%4%2%26%2.5%6%3%32%6.5%
1%2%6%14%4%1%25%2.5%5%2%31%6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep20232,5251%2%6%16%7%5%16%7%2%32%6%
1%2%6%16%8%6%14%7%2%32%6%
1%2%6%16%9%5%11%9%2%33%6%
1%2%6%17%10%7%5%10%3%33%6%
1%2%5%16%8%7%12%8%2%32%7%
1%2%6%17%9%6%9%9%2%33%6%
1%2%6%16%10%6%8%9%3%33%6%
1%2%6%16%5%5%22%5%2%30%6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr20231,0381%3%17%6%2%32%7%23%9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 20231,3201%1%4%16%5%4%24%5%2%30%7%
1%1%5%18%7%5%16%5%2%32%7%
1%1%5%19%8%5%10%7%2%33%8%
1%1%4%17%3%4%24%5%2%31%7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar20231,1051%2.5%5%17%3%1%26%2%5%2.5%29%6%
1%2.5%22%28%2.5%4%3%31%6%
1%2.5%6%20%2%1%18%2.5%6%3%32%6%
0.5%2.5%5%20%3%2%11%2%8%4%35%7%
1%1.5%6.5%20%2%1%9%3%10%3%36%7%
2022 election 10 Apr20220.56%0.76%2.28%21.95%4.63%3.13%2.06%23.15%7.07%

Second round

This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) in the first round (50%+1). The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.

Philippe vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Edouard Philippe a Chalons-en-Champagne en 2023. (cropped).jpg Jordan Bardella - Strasbourg European Parliament September 2022 (Cropped).jpg
Philippe
HOR
Bardella
RN
Odoxa 23–24 Apr20251,00554%46%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,12850%50%

Attal vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Gabriel Attal 2025 (close crop).jpg MEP Jordan Bardella.jpg
Attal
RE
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,12848%52%

Mélenchon vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jean-Luc Melenchon 2022 (cropped).jpg MEP Jordan Bardella.jpg
Mélenchon
LFI
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,12833%67%

Retailleau vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Bruno Retailleau - Ministre de l'Interieur francais (cropped).jpg MEP Jordan Bardella.jpg
Retailleau
LR
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,12847%53%

Scenario polling

Generic candidates

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Generic EXG
Generic LFI
Generic NFP
Generic PS/PP
Generic ENS
Generic DIV
Generic LR
Generic UDR
Generic DLF
Generic RN
Generic REC!
Harris Interactive 24–25 Apr20251,0353%26%19%1%10%2%2%34%3%
2%8%20%18%1%10%2%2%34%3%
3%16%13%17%1%10%1%2%34%3%

Le Pen runs

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Elabe 30–31 Oct20251,5011.5%3%11.5%12%4.5%12.5%5%8%2.5%34%6.5%
Harris Interactive 7 Oct20251,1241%3%14%12%3%16%10%1%34%6%
1%3%14%14%3%12%11%2%34%6%
Cluster17 30 Sep1 Oct20251,5341.5%3%15%15%12%14%3.5%30.5%5.5%
Ifop 24–25 Sep20251,2101%3%12%15%16%5%9%2%33%4%
Ifop 19–20 May20251,1141%3%13.5%4.5%5%21%16%2%31%3%
Harris Interactive 19 May20251,0711%3%14%10%3%21%12%31%5%
1%3%15%11%3%15%16%31%5%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr20251,0051%2%3%12%11.5%3%20.5%10%2%32%3%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,1280.5%2%10%5.5%10%21%9%2%32%4%
Elabe 2–4 Apr20251,4131%2%6%10%5.5%5.5%23.5%8%3%32%3.5%
0.5%2%5%9.5%10.5%4%24%4.5%3%33.5%3.5%
1%2%5.5%11%4%6%18%10%3%36%3.5%

Second round

Philippe vs. Le Pen
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Edouard Philippe a Chalons-en-Champagne en 2023. (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Philippe
HOR
Le Pen [a]
RN
Odoxa 23–24 Apr20251,00554%46%
Ifop 20–24 Apr20241,08149%51%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr20259,12852%48%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb20241,08150%50%
Attal vs. Le Pen
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Gabriel Attal 2025 (close crop).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Attal
RE
Le Pen [a]
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr20241,08147%53%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb20241,08149%51%
Mélenchon vs. Le Pen
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jean-Luc Melenchon 2022 (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Mélenchon
LFI
Le Pen [a]
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 20241,68635%65%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb20241,08136%64%
Ruffin vs. Le Pen
Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Francois Ruffin (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Ruffin
PD  [ fr ]
Le Pen [a]
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 20241,68650%50%

Re-run of the 2022 election

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct20231,5800.5%0.5%5%17.5%2%5%24.5%3%3.5%3%29.5%6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr20231,0051%1%5%19%2%4%23%3%3%2%32%5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr20231,8080.5%1%4%18.5%1.5%5%23%2.5%3.5%2.5%31%7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar20231,1050.5%1%5%17%2%5%25%1.5%4%2%31%6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov20222,1510.5%1%3%20%1%5%30%2.5%3%2.5%25.5%6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct20221,1250.5%1%3%17%2%6%29%1.5%3%2%30%5%
2022 election 10 Apr20220.56%0.76%2.28%21.95%1.74%4.63%27.85%3.13%4.78%2.06%23.15%7.07%

Second round

Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention Emmanuel Macron in 2019(cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Macron [b]
RE
Le Pen [a]
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr20231,00546%54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr20231,80845%55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov20222,15151.5%48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct20221,12553%47%
2022 election 24 Apr202228.01%58.55%41.45%

Footnotes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Le Pen is currently not eligible after her 2025 conviction.
  2. 1 2 Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

References