Opinion polling for the 2027 French presidential election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April 2027.

Contents

First round

If a candidate receives an absolute majority (50%+1, including blank and void ballots), the election ends after the first round and the second round does not occur. If a second round occurs, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round. Candidates are listed from left to right based on their party's position on the left-right spectrum; when there are several candidates from one party, then they are ordered alphabetically by their last name.

March 2025 onwards

On 31 March, Marine Le Pen was barred from running for public office for 5 years, following her embezzlement conviction.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nathalie Arthaud
Ifop 19–20 May 20251,1141%3.5%13%4.5%4.5%21%16%2%31%3.5%
Harris Interactive 19 May 20251,0711%3%14%10%3%21%13%30%5%
1%3%14%11%3%15%17%31%5%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,1281%2.5%10%4.5%9%2%8%15%2%7.5%2.5%32%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%2.5%22%2%8%2%33%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%3%24%3%2.5%35%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%2.5%22%8%2%33%4%
1%2.5%10%5%10%3%14%14%2%33%4%
1.5%13%15%22%9%2.5%33%4%
2%12%10%26%10%3%33%4%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 20251,0051%2%3%12%12%4%20%9.5%2%31.5%3%
Elabe 2–4 Apr 20251,4131%1.5%5.5%10%6%6%23%9%2.5%31.5%4%
1%1.5%4.5%9.5%10.5%3.5%20.5%2.5%8.5%3%31%4%
1.5%2%5.5%10.5%4%4.5%18%4.5%4%35.5%5%
Harris Interactive 31 Mar 20251,1621%1%4%13%5%4%25%4%2%36%5%
1%1%4%13%5%4%23%7%2%35%5%

Until March 2025

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ifop 26–27 Mar 20251,1191%1%4%12%4%3%25%5%4%36%5%
1%1%3%13%5%3%21%11%3%34%5%
1%1%4%13%5%3%20%8%3%37%5%
1%1%2%13%11%3%20%5%3%35%5%
Ifop 6–9 Dec 20241,1011%0.5%3%12%5%4.5%20%1%8%3%38%4%
1%0.5%3%11%7%4%24%1.5%6%3%35%4%
0.5%0.5%3%12%4%4.5%25%1%6%3.5%36%4%
1%0.5%3%12%4%5%26%1.5%6.5%3.5%34%3%
OpinionWay 11–12 Sep 20241,0094%10%14%1%26%5%35%5%
1%2%15%31%7%40%4%
3%10%12%1%8%23%5%34%4%
1%2%14%10%25%6%38%4%
4%10%14%1%28%4%35%4%
4%10%14%1%27%4%36%4%
Ifop 6–9 Sep 20241,1071%1%6%10%4%6%24%3%5%2%35%3%
1%1%5%10%8%5%22%3%5%2%35%3%
1%1.5%6%9%4%5%27%3%4%2%34%3.5%
0.5%1%6%9.5%7%5%26%2%4%2%34%3%
Harris Interactive 7–8 Jul 20242,4961%2%3%15%14%-3%20%5%2%31%4%
1%1%3%15%14%3%-22%5%2%31%3%
1%2%5%16%6%4%23%5%2%32%4%
1%2%4%17%5%4%-24%5%2%32%4%
Ifop 16–18 Apr 20241,0901%2%5%13%3%2%22%2.5%8%2.5%30%9%
1.5%0.5%4.5%14%3%2%26%5%2%33%7%
2%1.5%6%15%5.5%3%12%2%8.5%2%36%6.5%
1.5%1.5%5%16%4.5%2.5%14%2%8%3%35%7%
1%2%4%14%4%3%20%2%7%2%35%6%
1.5%1.5%4.5%13%4.5%2%24%2%5%3%34%5%
1.5%1%5%13%4%2.5%24%2%6%2%33%6%
1%2%5.5%12%8%24%2%5%2%32%6.5%
1.5%2%5%7%3.5%3%26%3%5%2.5%35%6.5%
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 20241,6862%29%25%4.5%3%31%6.5%
3%18%31%5%4%32%7%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 20241,0811.5%1.5%4%14%2%2%22%3%5.5%2.5%36%6%
1.5%1.5%4.5%14%2%2.5%22%3%4.5%2.5%36%6%
Ifop 9–10 Jan 20241,1441%2%5%14.5%4%1%24%2.5%6%3%28%9%
0.5%1.5%6%15%3.5%1.5%26%2.5%6%2.5%27%8%
0.5%2%6.5%14%3.5%1.5%23%2.5%6%2%32%6.5%
0.5%1.5%6%13%3%2%25%2.5%5%2%33%6.5%
Ifop 24–25 Oct 20231,1791%1%6%14%5%2%19%4%6%3%33%6%
1.5%1.5%6%15%6%2%16%3.5%6%2.5%33%7%
1.5%1%7%15%5.5%2%18%3%6%2.5%32%6.5%
1.5%2%7.5%7%4%2%26%2.5%6%3%32%6.5%
1%2%6%14%4%1%25%2.5%5%2%31%6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep 20232,5251%2%6%16%7%5%16%7%2%32%6%
1%2%6%16%8%6%14%7%2%32%6%
1%2%6%16%9%5%11%9%2%33%6%
1%2%6%17%10%7%5%10%3%33%6%
1%2%5%16%8%7%12%8%2%32%7%
1%2%6%17%9%6%9%9%2%33%6%
1%2%6%16%10%6%8%9%3%33%6%
1%2%6%16%5%5%22%5%2%30%6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr 20231,0381%3%17%6%2%32%7%23%9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 20231,3201%1%4%16%5%4%24%5%2%30%7%
1%1%5%18%7%5%16%5%2%32%7%
1%1%5%19%8%5%10%7%2%33%8%
1%1%4%17%3%4%24%5%2%31%7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 20231,1051%2.5%5%17%3%1%26%2%5%2.5%29%6%
1%2.5%22%28%2.5%4%3%31%6%
1%2.5%6%20%2%1%18%2.5%6%3%32%6%
0.5%2.5%5%20%3%2%11%2%8%4%35%7%
1%1.5%6.5%20%2%1%9%3%10%3%36%7%
2022 election 10 Apr 20220.56%0.76%2.28%21.95%4.63%3.13%2.06%23.15%7.07%

Second round

This round occurs if no candidate earns an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) in the first round (50%+1). The two candidates who receive the most votes in the first round move on to the second round with the candidate who receives the most votes being declared the winner.

Philippe vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Edouard Philippe a Chalons-en-Champagne en 2023. (cropped).jpg Jordan Bardella - Strasbourg European Parliament September 2022 (Cropped).jpg
Philippe
HOR
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,12850%50%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 20251,00554%46%

Philippe vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Edouard Philippe a Chalons-en-Champagne en 2023. (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Philippe
HOR
Le Pen [a]
RN
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 20251,00554%46%
Ifop 20–24 Apr 20241,08149%51%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 20241,08150%50%

Attal vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Gabriel Attal 2025 (cropped).jpg MEP Jordan Bardella.jpg
Attal
RE
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,12848%52%

Attal vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Gabriel Attal 2025 (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Attal
RE
Le Pen [a]
RN
Ifop 20–24 Apr 20241,08147%53%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 20241,08149%51%

Mélenchon vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jean-Luc Melenchon 2022 (cropped).jpg MEP Jordan Bardella.jpg
Mélenchon
LFI
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,12833%67%

Mélenchon vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jean-Luc Melenchon 2022 (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Mélenchon
LFI
Le Pen [a]
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 20241,68635%65%
Ifop 31 Jan1 Feb 20241,08136%64%

Ruffin vs. Le Pen

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Francois Ruffin (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Ruffin
PD  [ fr ]
Le Pen [a]
RN
Cluster17 2–5 Apr 20241,68650%50%

Retailleau vs. Bardella

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Bruno Retailleau - Ministre de l'Interieur francais (cropped).jpg MEP Jordan Bardella.jpg
Retailleau
LR
Bardella
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,12847%53%

Scenario polling

Generic candidates

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Generic EXG
Generic LFI
Generic NFP
Generic PS/PP
Generic ENS
Generic DIV
Generic LR
Generic UDR
Generic DLF
Generic RN
Generic REC!
Harris Interactive 24–25 Apr 20251,0353%26%19%1%10%2%2%34%3%
2%8%20%18%1%10%2%2%34%3%
3%16%13%17%1%10%1%2%34%3%

Le Pen runs

On 31 March, Marine Le Pen was barred from running for public office for 5 years, following her embezzlement conviction.

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Ifop 19–20 May 20251,1141%3%13.5%4.5%5%21%16%2%31%3%
Harris Interactive 19 May 20251,0711%3%14%10%3%21%12%31%5%
1%3%15%11%3%15%16%31%5%
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,1280.5%2%10%5.5%10%21%9%2%32%4%
Odoxa 23–24 Apr 20251,0051%2%3%12%11.5%3%20.5%10%2%32%3%
Elabe 2–4 Apr 20251,4131%2%6%10%5.5%5.5%23.5%8%3%32%3.5%
0.5%2%5%9.5%10.5%4%24%4.5%3%33.5%3.5%
1%2%5.5%11%4%6%18%10%3%36%3.5%

Second round

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Edouard Philippe a Chalons-en-Champagne en 2023. (cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Philippe
HOR
Le Pen [a]
RN
Ifop/Hexagone 11–18 Apr 20259,12852%48%

Re-run of the 2022 election

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct 20231,5800.5%0.5%5%17.5%2%5%24.5%3%3.5%3%29.5%6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 20231,0051%1%5%19%2%4%23%3%3%2%32%5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 20231,8080.5%1%4%18.5%1.5%5%23%2.5%3.5%2.5%31%7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 20231,1050.5%1%5%17%2%5%25%1.5%4%2%31%6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 20222,1510.5%1%3%20%1%5%30%2.5%3%2.5%25.5%6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 20221,1250.5%1%3%17%2%6%29%1.5%3%2%30%5%
2022 election 10 Apr 20220.56%0.76%2.28%21.95%1.74%4.63%27.85%3.13%4.78%2.06%23.15%7.07%

Second round

Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention Emmanuel Macron in 2019(cropped).jpg Marine Le Pen VIVA 24 (cropped).jpg
Macron [b]
RE
Le Pen [a]
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 20231,00546%54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 20231,80845%55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 20222,15151.5%48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 20221,12553%47%
2022 election 24 Apr 202228.01%58.55%41.45%

Footnotes

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Le Pen is currently not eligible after her 2025 conviction.
  2. 1 2 Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

References