Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 23 November 2025.

Contents

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Opinion polls before candidate registration

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

Graphical summary

2025

SurveyDate Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Ministra Camila Vallejo, se reune con la presidenta de la camara de diputados, Karol Cariola - 53678671904 (cropped).jpg Tomas Vodanovic, 2022 (cropped).jpg Marco Enriquez-Ominami 2018 (4x3).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Voceria Ministra Camila Vallejo junto a las ministras Carolina Toha, Ana Lya Uriarte y Marcela Rios (cropped).jpg Evelyn Matthei 2023 (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg OtherDK/NR
Jadue
PC
Vallejo
PC
Vodanovic
FA
Enriquez-Ominami
Ind.
Bachelet
PS
Tohá
PPD
Matthei
UDI
Kast
PRCh
Parisi
PDG
Carter
Ind.
Kaiser
Ind.
Atlas Intel [1] 27-31 Jan 20256.1%9.3%5.6%13.1%19.4%8.7%6.1%19%12.7%
Panel Ciudadano [2] 14–15 Jan 20251%2%1%1%7%3%26%11%2%1%7%38%
Cadem [3] 8–10 Jan 20252%3%5%2%23%9%2%10%6%38%
Criteria [4] 6–8 Jan 20253%5%2%11%3%28%10%2%7%11%18%

2024

EncuestaFecha Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Voceria de la Ministra Camila Vallejo - 2023 (cropped).jpg Tomas Vodanovic, 2022 (cropped).jpg Gonzalo Winter Etcheberry.jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Carolina Toha.jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13) (cropped).jpg Evelyn Matthei 2023 (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Marco Enriquez-Ominami 2018 (4x3).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg
Jadue
Vallejo Vodanovic Winter
Bachelet
PS
Tohá
PPD
Piñera
ChV
Matthei
UDI
Kast
PLR
Parisi
PDG
ME-O Carter
Ind.
Kaiser
Ind.
OthersDK/NR
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Frente Amplio (Chile, 2024).svg Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Independent
Cadem [5] 12–14 Jun 20242%3%6%3%20%14%2%1%2%6%41%
Criteria [6] 31 May – 3 Jun 20244%10%3%25%13%3%2%2%38%
Activa [7] 29–31 May 20242,4%5,2%9,8%2,4%26,2%12,1%1,8%2,3%24,2%13,6%
Panel Ciudadano [8] 13–14 May 20246%2%11%5%27%18%4%3%4%3%2%15%
Cadem [9] 8–10 May 20243%1%3%3%24%14%2%1%2%2%8%37%
La Cosa Nostra [10] 24 Apr – 5 May 20247,4%5,1%16,2%10,7%33,6%12,6%1,8%2,0%5,2%5,4%
Feedback [11] 26 Apr – 3 May 20242%2%2%11%5%26%16%2%7%5%21%
Criteria [12] 26–29 Apr 20242%6%10%4%30%12%3%2%2%2%27%
Activa [13] 24–26 Apr 20243,5%7,1%28,5%15,6%2,2%22,7%20,4%
Cadem [14] 17–19 Apr 20243%7%3%24%14%1%1%1%2%6%38%
Cadem [15] 3–5 Apr 20241%3%4%2%25%12%1%1%1%8%42%
Criteria [16] 28 Mar – 1 Apr 20246%7%2%27%15%3%2%3%35%
Activa [17] 27–28 Mar 20244,5%8,1%24,9%11,7%2,5%1,6%2,5%26,6%17,6%
Cadem [18] 13–15 Mar 20241%3%1%4%2%21%12%2%2%2%10%40%
Criteria [19] 1–4 Mar 20245%7%2%31%17%2%4%32%
Activa [20] 28–29 Feb 20243,3%9,5%2,1%26,2%10,6%1,7%1,6%1,6%24.8%18,6%
Panel Ciudadano [21] 23–24 Feb 20246%2%10%4%30%16%4%3%4%3%2%16%
Cadem [22] 14–16 Feb 20241%4%6%2%22%19%1%3%1%8%33%
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)
Activa [23] 25–26 Jan 20245,1%6,8%1,5%11,1%17,8%13,3%1,7%20,7%22,0%
Cadem [24] 10–12 Jan 20241%2%5%2%5%16%14%1%1%8%45%
Criteria [25] 4–8 Jan 20246%10%4%24%17%3%2%2%17%15%

2023

Polling firmDateSample
size
Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Camila Vallejo (noviembre 2022).jpg Izkia Siches' Official Portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg Alvaro Elizalde, Ministro Segegob (cropped).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Ministra Carolina Toha.jpg SEBASTIAN SICHEL 2019 (cropped).jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13).jpg Evelyn Matthei 2023 (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Teresa Marinovic 17 05 2021 (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Pamela Jiles Moreno (2018).jpg OthersBlank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Ind. Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Ind. Ind.
Cadem [15] 8-10 November 20237101544-21917-42-834
Research Chile [26] 22 October 202383217--99222618-22--13
Research Chile22-26 September 202381316--811122817-22--16
Research Chile [27] 3-5 July 202378618--59112322-25016
Cadem [28] 5-7 July 2023705-5.2--5.2--8.613.836.2-3.43.4-
Research Chile [29] 5-7 Jun 202380519--710102218-250
Research Chile [30] 8-10 May 202376519-75212227226111
Cadem [31] [32] 3-5 May 20237031421-413201247 [a] 42
Research Chile [33] 10-12 Apr 2023823164610251214107 [b] 22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano [34] 21-24 Mar 20239121.745.41.56.816.315.72.23.922.1 [c] 20.8
Research Chile [35] 6-8

Mar 2023

88229662251124518 [d] 20
Research Chile [36] 6-7 Feb 202380529542251214306 [e] 26
Research Chile [37] 9–10 Jan 2023803286327173431320

2022

Polling firmDateSample
size
Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Camila Vallejo (noviembre 2022).jpg Izkia Siches' Official Portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg Alvaro Elizalde, Ministro Segegob (cropped).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Ministra Carolina Toha.jpg SEBASTIAN SICHEL 2019 (cropped).jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13).jpg Evelyn Matthei 2023 (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Teresa Marinovic 17 05 2021 (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Pamela Jiles Moreno (2018).jpg OthersBlank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Ind. Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Ind. Ind.
Encuestas Chile [38] 24 Mar –

31 Dec 2022

4,7821100113115121820038
Cadem [39] 28–30 Dec 202270513114913111254
Research Chile [40] 13-15 Dec 20228002.19.55.33.320.615.82.530.61925
Cadem [41] 26–28 Oct 202270613113215811511750
Election Results 19 Dec 202155.9 [f] 44.1 [g]
21 Nov 202125.8 [f] 11.6 [h] 12.8 [i] 27.912.89.1 [j]

See also

Notes

  1. Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  2. Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  3. Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
  4. Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  5. Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  6. 1 2 Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
  7. José Antonio Kast
  8. Yasna Provoste
  9. Sebastián Sichel
  10. Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)

References

  1. "Latam Pulse: Chile | January 2025 | AtlasIntel". atlasintel.org. Retrieved 2025-02-12.
  2. "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Radiography of the Kaiser Phenomenon and Its Threat to Kast" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 19 January 2025.
  3. "Public Plaza Cadem. Second Week of January - No. 574" (PDF). Cadem. 12 January 2025.
  4. "Criteria Agenda, January 2025" (PDF). Criteria Research. 12 January 2025.
  5. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de junio - N°544" (PDF). Cadem. 16 June 2024.
  6. "Agenda Criteria, junio 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 5 June 2024.
  7. "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, mayo 2024, segunda quincena - N°94" (PDF). Cadem. 3 June 2024.
  8. "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: especial inmigrantes" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 17 May 2024.
  9. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de mayo - N°539" (PDF). Cadem. 12 May 2024.
  10. Rojas, Matías (12 May 2024). "Bachelet asoma en carrera presidencial: ya superaría a Kast según encuesta de La Cosa Nostra". El Desconcierto.
  11. "Percepciones y expectativas sobre la situación del país" (PDF). Feedback Research. 10 May 2024.
  12. "Agenda Criteria, mayo 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 2 May 2024.
  13. "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, abril 2024, segunda quincena - N°93" (PDF). Activa Research. 29 April 2024.
  14. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de abril - N°536" (PDF). Cadem. 21 April 2024.
  15. 1 2 "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de abril - N°534" (PDF). Cadem. 7 April 2024.
  16. "Agenda Criteria, abril 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 3 April 2024.
  17. "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, marzo 2024, segunda quincena - N°92" (PDF). Activa Research. 1 April 2024.
  18. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de marzo - N°531" (PDF). Cadem. 17 March 2024.
  19. "Agenda Criteria, marzo 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 6 March 2024.
  20. "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, febrero 2024, segunda quincena - N°91" (PDF). Activa Research. 3 March 2024.
  21. "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Matthei se despega de Kast y llega al 30% de preferencias presidenciales" (PDF). EX-Ante. 25 February 2024.
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  27. "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  28. "AmericaElige/status/1680738255677816844". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
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  30. "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
  31. "Encuesta Plaza Pública Primera Semana de Mayo" (PDF). Plaza Publica Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
  32. "José Antonio Kast lidera la preferencia presidencial espontánea con 20%, seguido por Evelyn Matthei con 13%". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
  33. Research Chile. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Abril 2023" (PDF).
  34. "Pulso Ciudadano Marzo". Somos Activa. Retrieved 2023-04-07.
  35. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Marzo 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
  36. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Febrero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
  37. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Enero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile. 16 January 2023.
  38. "Encuesta 'Futuros Presidenciales' (Año 2022)". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-01-27.
  39. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Quinta semana de diciembre - N°468" (PDF). Cadem. 1 January 2023.
  40. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Diciembre" (PDF). 19 December 2022.
  41. "Plaza Pública Cadem. Cuarta semana de octubre - N°459" (PDF). Cadem. 30 October 2022.