Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 23 November 2025.

Contents

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Opinion polls before candidate registration

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

Graphical summary

After the Unity for Chile primary

Polling firmDateSample sizeMargin of error Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Evelyn-Matthei (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast (2024) 4x3 cropped.jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg OtherDK/NA
Jara
UPCh 		Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
UDI 		Kast
PLR 		Kaiser
PNL
Data Influye [1] 1–6 Jul 20251,094±2.9%39%5%15%23%7%7%
Cadem [2] 2–4 Jul 2025703±3.7%26%10%18%22%6%—10%
Criteria [3] 1–3 Jul 20251,002N.A.31%9%18%22%8%—9%
B&W [4] 1-2 Jul 2025929±3.2%39%5%18%25%9%4%
Activa [5] 30 Jun-1 Jul 20251,006±3.1%33.8%8.9%16.8%17.3%4.3%15.3%
Panel Ciudadano [6] 29-30 Jun 20253,873±2%26%7%19%23%9%11%5%
Atlas Intel [7] 27–30 Jun 20253,869±2%38%15.2%18.5%20.2%5.8%2.4%

After the official announcement of candidates

Polling firmDate Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Gonzalo Winter Etcheberry.jpg MARCO ENRIQUEZ-OMINAMI foto campana 2022.jpg Jaime Mulet Martinez.jpg Voceria Ministra Camila Vallejo junto a las ministras Carolina Toha, Ana Lya Uriarte y Marcela Rios (cropped).jpg Alberto Undurraga Vicuna (2022).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Evelyn-Matthei (cropped).jpg Francesca Munoz.jpg Jose Antonio Kast (2024) 4x3 cropped.jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Thellusson-Mayne Nicholls cropped.jpg OtherDK/NA
Jara
PC 		Winter
FA 		ME-O
Ind. 		Mulet
FRVS 		Tohá
PPD 		Undurraga
PDC 		Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
UDI 		Muñoz
PSC 		Kast
PLR 		Kaiser
PNL 		Carter
Ind. 		Mayne-Nicholls
Ind.
Cadem [8] 25–27 Jun 202516%2%——4%—10%10%—24%4%——4%26%
Cadem [9] 17–19 Jun 202513%4%——6%—7%12%—19%6%——4%29%
Cadem [9] 11–13 Jun 202513%4%——6%—5%14%—18%5%——5%30%
Cadem [10] 4–6 Jun 20258%5%——7%—5%16%—17%7%——3%32%
ICSO-UDP [11] 30 May–4 Jun 20257,3%5,5%2,7%0,5%7,8%—5,7%22,8%1%22,6%8,1%—1,8%—15%
Criteria [12] 2–4 Jun 20257%5%——8%—4%24%—20%8%——10%14%
Data Influye [13] 28 May–1 Jun 202511%6%2%—12%—3%17%—16%9%——8%17%
Activa [14] 28–30 May 20257,4%3,6%——6,4%—5,8%21,5%—17,5%7,4%——17,3%13,1%
Cadem [15] 28–30 May 20257%3%——8%—6%19%—16%7%——3%31%
Atlas Intel [16] 21–26 May 20259,9%11%——16,7%—12,1%16,6—15,6%11,2%——6,9%
Cadem [17] 22–23 May 20255%5%——10%—4%17%—16%6%——5%32%
Panel Ciudadano [18] 20 May 20258%7%3%—10%—5%22%—17%9%2%—17%
Cadem [19] 14–16 May 20255%6%——10%—3%17%—17%6%——6%30%
B&W [20] 13-14 May 202513%8%—1%15%—4%20%1%15%17%———7%
Criteria [21] 12–14 May 20255%5%2%—10%—2%26%—17%10%——10%13%
Cadem [22] 7–9 May 20254%6%——12%—4%20%—14%6%—1%5%28%
ICSO-UDP [23] 5–9 May 20256%5%3%0%11%1%5%23%1%19%10%—2%—15%
Cadem [24] 30 Apr–2 May 20256%6%——11%—4%22%—13%10%——5%23%

2025

Polling firmDate Eduardo Artes 2021 - 7 de octubre (cropped).jpg Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Ministra Camila Vallejo, se reune con la presidenta de la camara de diputados, Karol Cariola - 53678671904 (cropped).jpg Tomas Vodanovic, 2022 (cropped).jpg MARCO ENRIQUEZ-OMINAMI foto campana 2022.jpg Jaime Mulet Martinez.jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Voceria Ministra Camila Vallejo junto a las ministras Carolina Toha, Ana Lya Uriarte y Marcela Rios (cropped).jpg Vlado Mirosevic Verdugo (2022).jpg Claudio Orrego sobre fondo negro (Headshot).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Gino Lorenzini Barrios 2017 (4x3).png OtherDK/NA
Artés
PC(AP) 		Jadue
PC 		Jara
PC 		Vallejo
PC 		Vodanovic
FA 		ME-O
Ind. 		Mulet
FREVS 		Bachelet
PS 		Tohá
PPD 		Mirosevic
PL 		Orrego
Ind. 		Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
UDI 		Kast
PLR 		Kaiser
PNL 		Carter
Ind. 		Lorenzini
Ind.
Activa [25] 26–28 Feb 2025—1,7%—1,8%3,6%——15,9%1,9%——1,7%24,3%10,6%9,7%—1,5%13,9%13,4%
Criteria [26] 24-26 Feb 2025———2%3%——18%3%———26%10%11%——15%
Signos [27] 9–14 Feb 2025———2,6%7,8%—1,2%17,3%8,8%——1,8%23,4%10,2%15,8%3,7%—5,7%1,7%
Panel Ciudadano (sólo inmigrantes) [28] 6-7 Feb 2025———1%2%1%—15%2%——2%24%12%13%3%—14%
Cadem [29] 5–7 Feb 2025—1%1%1%4%——12%3%2%—1%20%8%13%——4%30%
Criteria [30] 3–5 Feb 2025———2%3%——13%3%——2%26%9%11%——12%19%
Activa [31] [32] 30–31 Ene 20250,3%—0,4%1,1%2,8%1,5%—12,2%3,2%0,6%0,3%1,1%27,4%9,6%7,7%0,6%3%16%15%
Atlas Intel [33] 27–31 Jan 2025———6,1%9,3%——5,6%13,1%——6,1%19,4%8,7%19%——12.7%
Signos [34] 22–27 Ene 2025———3,9%13,2%——4,2%6,1%——2,8%24,8%11,3%15,3%5,7%—10,6%2,1%
Panel Ciudadano [35] 14–15 Ene 2025—1%—2%1%1%—7%3%——2%26%11%7%1%—38%
Cadem [36] 8–10 Ene 2025———2%3%——5%2%——2%23%9%10%——6%38%
Criteria [37] 6–8 Ene 2025———3%5%2%—11%3%———28%10%7%2%—11%18%

2024

Polling firmDate Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Voceria de la Ministra Camila Vallejo - 2023 (cropped).jpg Tomas Vodanovic, 2022 (cropped).jpg Gonzalo Winter Etcheberry.jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Carolina Toha.jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13) (cropped).jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Marco Enriquez-Ominami 2018 (4x3).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg
Jadue
Vallejo Vodanovic Winter
Bachelet
PS 		Tohá
PPD 		Piñera
ChV 		Matthei
UDI 		Kast
PLR 		Parisi
PDG 		ME-O Carter
Ind. 		Kaiser
Ind. 		OthersDK/NR
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Independent
Cadem [38] 12–14 Jun 20242%3%——6%3%—20%14%2%—1%2%6%41%
Criteria [39] 31 May – 3 Jun 2024—4%——10%3%—25%13%3%2%——2%38%
Activa [40] 29–31 May 20242,4%5,2%——9,8%2,4%—26,2%12,1%1,8%——2,3%24,2%13,6%
Panel Ciudadano [41] 13–14 May 2024—6%2%—11%5%—27%18%4%3%4%3%2%15%
Cadem [42] 8–10 May 2024—3%—1%3%3%—24%14%2%1%2%2%8%37%
La Cosa Nostra [43] 24 Apr – 5 May 2024—7,4%—5,1%16,2%10,7%—33,6%12,6%1,8%2,0%—5,2%5,4%—
Feedback [44] 26 Apr – 3 May 2024—2%2%2%11%5%—26%16%——2%7%5%21%
Criteria [45] 26–29 Apr 20242%6%——10%4%—30%12%3%2%—2%2%27%
Activa [46] 24–26 Apr 2024—3,5%——7,1%——28,5%15,6%—2,2%——22,7%20,4%
Cadem [47] 17–19 Apr 2024—3%——7%3%—24%14%1%1%1%2%6%38%
Cadem [48] 3–5 Apr 20241%3%——4%2%—25%12%1%—1%1%8%42%
Criteria [49] 28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024—6%——7%2%—27%15%3%——2%3%35%
Activa [50] 27–28 Mar 2024—4,5%——8,1%——24,9%11,7%2,5%1,6%—2,5%26,6%17,6%
Cadem [51] 13–15 Mar 20241%3%1%—4%2%—21%12%2%—2%2%10%40%
Criteria [52] 1–4 Mar 2024—5%——7%2%—31%17%—2%——4%32%
Activa [53] 28–29 Feb 2024—3,3%——9,5%2,1%—26,2%10,6%1,7%—1,6%1,6%24.8%18,6%
Panel Ciudadano [54] 23–24 Feb 2024—6%—2%10%4%—30%16%4%3%4%3%2%16%
Cadem [55] 14–16 Feb 20241%4%——6%2%—22%19%1%—3%1%8%33%
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)
Activa [56] 25–26 Jan 2024—5,1%——6,8%1,5%11,1%17,8%13,3%1,7%———20,7%22,0%
Cadem [57] 10–12 Jan 20241%2%——5%2%5%16%14%1%—1%—8%45%
Criteria [58] 4–8 Jan 2024—6%——10%—4%24%17%3%2%2%—17%15%

2023

Polling firmDateSample
size		 Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Camila Vallejo (noviembre 2022).jpg Izkia Siches' Official Portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg Alvaro Elizalde, Ministro Segegob (cropped).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Ministra Carolina Toha.jpg SEBASTIAN SICHEL 2019 (cropped).jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13).jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Teresa Marinovic 17 05 2021 (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Pamela Jiles Moreno (2018).jpg OthersBlank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Ind. Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Ind. Ind.
Cadem [59] 8-10 November 20237101544-21917-42-834
Research Chile [60] 22 October 202383217--99222618-22--13
Research Chile22-26 September 202381316--811122817-22--16
Research Chile [61] 3-5 July 202378618--59112322-25016
Cadem [62] 5-7 July 2023705-5.2--5.2--8.613.836.2-3.43.4-
Research Chile [63] 5-7 Jun 202380519--710102218-250
Research Chile [64] 8-10 May 202376519-75212227226111
Cadem [65] [66] 3-5 May 202370314––21-41320124–7 [a] 42
Research Chile [67] 10-12 Apr 202382316––461025121410–7 [b] 22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano [68] 21-24 Mar 20239121.74––5.41.5–6.816.315.7–2.23.9–22.1 [c] 20.8
Research Chile [69] 6-8

Mar 2023

88229––662–251124518 [d] 20
Research Chile [70] 6-7 Feb 202380529––542–251214306 [e] 26
Research Chile [71] 9–10 Jan 202380328–––63–27173431320

2022

Polling firmDateSample
size		 Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Camila Vallejo (noviembre 2022).jpg Izkia Siches' Official Portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg Alvaro Elizalde, Ministro Segegob (cropped).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Ministra Carolina Toha.jpg SEBASTIAN SICHEL 2019 (cropped).jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13).jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en la VI Cumbre Transatlantica - Political Network for Values (32) (cropped).jpg Teresa Marinovic 17 05 2021 (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Pamela Jiles Moreno (2018).jpg OthersBlank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Ind. Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Ind. Ind.
Encuestas Chile [72] 24 Mar –

31 Dec 2022

4,7821100113115121820038
Cadem [73] 28–30 Dec 20227051–––3114913–11–1254
Research Chile [74] 13-15 Dec 20228002.19.5–––5.33.3–20.615.82.53–0.61925
Cadem [75] 26–28 Oct 202270613113215811–511750
Election Results 19 Dec 2021–55.9 [f] 44.1 [g] –––––
21 Nov 202125.8 [f] 11.6 [h] 12.8 [i] 27.912.8––9.1 [j] –

Second round

The following polls were conducted for hypothetical second-round matchups.

Jara vs. Parisi

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh 		Parisi
PDG 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [76] Aug 20–22, 202533%33%34%
Criteria [77] Aug 19–21, 202534%31%35%—
Cadem [78] Aug 6–8, 202536%39%25%
Cadem [79] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202538%38%24%
Cadem [80] Jun 25–27, 202532%44%24%

Jara vs. Matthei

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh 		Matthei
ChV 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [81] Aug 21–22, 202529%44%27%
Cadem [82] Aug 20–22, 202533%40%27%
Criteria [83] Aug 19–21, 202532%42%26%—
Activa [84] Aug 14–15, 202531,2%34,1%4,7%30%
Panel Ciudadano [85] Aug 14–15, 202532%42%26%
Criteria [86] Aug 12–14, 202533%42%25%
LCN [87] Aug 1–10, 202542,6%57,4%—
Panel Ciudadano [88] Aug 7–8, 202532%44%24%
Cadem [89] Aug 6–8, 202537%46%17%
Data Influye [90] Jul 30–Aug 3, 202538%48%13%
Cadem [91] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202537%42%21%
Activa [92] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202529,8%40,4%5,7%24,1%
Panel Ciudadano [93] Jul 30–31, 202532%41%27%
Criteria [94] Jul 29–31, 202534%40%26%
LCN [95] Jul 12–21, 202541,5%58,5%—
Criteria [96] Jul 15–17, 202534%40%26%
Cadem [97] Jul 9–11, 202537%42%21%
Data Influye [98] Jul 1–6, 202541%43%16%
Criteria [99] Jul 1–3, 202535%40%25%
Panel Ciudadano [100] Jun 29–30, 202532%44%24%
Cadem [101] Jun 25–27, 202531%50%9%10%
LCN [102] May 18–24, 202538,0%62,0%—
Cadem [103] May 7–9, 202524%54%0%22%
Cadem [104] Mar 26–28, 202520%60%1%19%
Cadem [105] Mar 5–7, 202517%56%2%25%
Cadem [106] Feb 5–7, 202520%54%1%25%

Jara vs. Kast

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [107] Aug 21–22, 202531%50%19%
Cadem [108] Aug 20–22, 202531%44%25%
Criteria [109] Aug 19–21, 202532%50%18%—
Activa [110] Aug 14–15, 202531,9%40,8%3,7%23,6%
Panel Ciudadano [111] Aug 14–15, 202532%48%20%
Criteria [112] Aug 12–14, 202535%47%18%
LCN [113] Aug 1–10, 202546,5%53,5%—
Panel Ciudadano [114] Aug 7–8, 202532%50%18%
Cadem [115] Aug 6–8, 202534%48%18%
Data Influye [116] Jul 30–Aug 3, 202534%41%24%
Cadem [117] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202537%49%14%
Activa [118] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202533,5%41,1%4,8%20,5%
Panel Ciudadano [119] Jul 30–31, 202533%49%18%
Criteria [120] Jul 29–31, 202534%45%21%
LCN [121] Jul 12–21, 202545,8%54,2%—
Criteria [122] Jul 15–17, 202534%47%19%
Cadem [123] Jul 9–11, 202536%47%17%
Data Influye [124] Jul 1–6, 202543,7%43,9%12,4%
Criteria [125] Jul 1–3, 202535%42%23%
Panel Ciudadano [126] Jun 29–30, 202534%46%20%
Cadem [127] Jun 25–27, 202530%50%11%9%
Cadem [128] May 7–9, 202530%45%0%25%

Jara vs. Kaiser

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh 		Kaiser
PNL 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [129] Aug 20–22, 202536%30%34%
Cadem [130] Aug 6–8, 202541%35%24%
Cadem [131] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202539%32%29%
LCN [132] Jul 12–21, 202549,3%50,2%—
Cadem [133] Jun 25–27, 202537%31%16%16%
Cadem [134] May 7–9, 202530%37%1%32%

Matthei vs. Kast

PollsterDate Matthei
ChV 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [135] Aug 20–22, 202528%36%36%
Activa [136] Aug 14–15, 202527,1%33,7%8,1%31,1%
Activa [137] Jul 30–Aug 1, 202525,7%31,1%8,0%35,2%
Cadem [138] Jul 9–11, 202531%37%32%
Data Influye [139] Jul 1–6, 202524%28%48%
Panel Ciudadano [140] Jun 29–30, 202532%35%33%
Cadem [141] Jun 25–27, 202534%37%14%15%
Panel Ciudadano [142] May 20, 202532%30%9%29%
Cadem [143] May 7–9, 202544%30%1%25%
Cadem [144] Mar 26–28, 202544%34%2%20%
Cadem [145] Mar 5–7, 202541%31%3%25%
Cadem [146] Feb 5–7, 202543%29%2%26%
Cadem [147] Jan 8–10, 202552%28%2%18%
Cadem [148] Dec 11–13, 202457%21%2%20%
Activa [149] Nov 28–29, 202439,9%29,0%—31,1%
Cadem [150] Nov 27–29, 202454%27%1%18%
Panel Ciudadano [151] Nov 25–26, 202440%24%29%7%
Panel Ciudadano [152] Oct 28–29, 202440%24%31%5%
Panel Ciudadano [153] Sep 16–17, 202444%19%29%7%
Cadem [154] Sep 11–13, 202461%21%2%16%
Cadem [155] Aug 7–9, 202461%22%3%14%
Cadem [156] Jun 12–14, 202452%29%2%17%
Panel Ciudadano [157] Jun 12–13, 202441%23%27%9%
Cadem [158] Apr 3–5, 202456%25%1%18%
Panel Ciudadano [159] Feb 23–24, 202448%23%26%4%

Matthei vs. Kaiser

PollsterDate Matthei
ChV 		Kaiser
PNL 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [160] Jun 25–27, 202548%19%15%18%
Cadem [161] May 7–9, 202548%21%2%29%
Cadem [162] Mar 26–28, 202547%27%1%25%
Cadem [163] Mar 5–7, 202543%32%3%22%
Cadem [164] Feb 5–7, 202550%27%1%22%
Cadem [165] Jan 8–10, 202558%21%1%20%
Cadem [166] Dec 11–13, 202464%13%2%21%

Enríquez-Ominami vs. Matthei

PollsterDate ME-O
Ind. 		Matthei
ChV 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
LCN [167] May 18–24, 202537,0%63,0%—
Cadem [168] Mar 5–7, 202523%51%2%24%
Cadem [169] Nov 27–29, 202421%60%1%18%
Cadem [170] Jun 12–14, 202429%57%2%12%

Enríquez-Ominami vs. Kast

PollsterDate ME-O
Ind. 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [171] Nov 27–29, 202431%46%1%22%
Cadem [172] Jun 12–14, 202437%49%1%13%

Parisi vs. Matthei

PollsterDate Parisi
PDG 		Matthei
ChV 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [173] Jun 25–27, 202537%39%11%13%
Cadem [174] May 7–9, 202524%48%1%27%

Parisi vs. Kast

PollsterDate Parisi
PDG 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [175] Jun 25–27, 202529%41%13%17%

Other scenarios

In addition to the second-round scenarios mentioned previously, pollsters conducted surveys with other possible pairings of presidential pre-candidates who later decided not to participate in the election or lost their pact's primary election.

PollsterDate Bachelet
PS 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [176] Feb 5–7, 202537%45%2%16%
Cadem [177] Jan 8–10, 202543%47%0%10%
Cadem [178] Dec 11–13, 202439%51%1%9%
Criteria [179] Nov 29–Dec 2, 202432%44%24%
Activa [180] Nov 28–29, 202431,8%46,4%—21,8%
Cadem [181] Nov 27–29, 202434%50%1%15%
Panel Ciudadano [182] Nov 25–26, 202430%47%17%6%
Panel Ciudadano [183] Oct 28–29, 202431%47%17%5%
Panel Ciudadano [184] Sep 16–17, 202431%47%15%7%
Cadem [185] Sep 11–13, 202438%54%1%7%
Cadem [186] Aug 7–9, 202445%49%1%5%
Criteria [187] Aug 1–5, 202433%45%22%
Criteria [188] Jun 28–Jul 1, 202435%43%22%
Cadem [189] Jun 12–14, 202442%49%0%9%
Panel Ciudadano [190] Jun 12–13, 202428%45%20%7%
Cadem [191] Apr 3–5, 202439%53%0%8%
Panel Ciudadano [192] Feb 23–24, 202432%46%17%5%
Panel Ciudadano [193] Dec 20–21, 202328%45%22%5%
PollsterDate Bachelet
PS 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Criteria [194] Nov 29–Dec 2, 202437%36%27%
Activa [195] Nov 28–29, 202436,7%39,8%—23,5%
Cadem [196] Nov 27–29, 202444%39%2%15%
Panel Ciudadano [197] Nov 25–26, 202434%39%21%6%
Panel Ciudadano [198] Oct 28–29, 202435%40%20%5%
Panel Ciudadano [199] Sep 16–17, 202435%33%23%8%
Cadem [200] Sep 11–13, 202449%38%2%11%
Cadem [201] Aug 7–9, 202452%38%2%8%
Criteria [202] Aug 1–5, 202440%34%26%
Criteria [203] Jun 28–Jul 1, 202442%32%26%
Cadem [204] Jun 12–14, 202448%42%1%9%
Panel Ciudadano [205] Jun 12–13, 202434%39%19%8%
Cadem [206] Apr 3–5, 202446%39%1%14%
Panel Ciudadano [207] Feb 23–24, 202433%43%19%6%
Panel Ciudadano [208] Dec 20–21, 202336%41%19%4%
PollsterDate Bachelet
PS 		Carter
Ind. 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [209] Jun 12–13, 202433%30%26%11%
PollsterDate Bachelet
PS 		Orrego
Ind. 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [210] Sep 16–17, 202436%15%36%13%
PollsterDate Frei
DC 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [211] Feb 5–7, 202525%50%1%24%
Cadem [212] Jan 8–10, 202529%55%0%16%
Cadem [213] Dec 11–13, 202429%57%1%13%
PollsterDate Lagos W.
PPD 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [214] Feb 5–7, 202520%53%1%26%
PollsterDate Marcel
Ind. 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [215] Feb 5–7, 202522%55%1%22%
Cadem [216] Sep 11–13, 202418%67%1%14%
Cadem [217] Aug 7–9, 202422%65%2%11%
PollsterDate Marcel
Ind. 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [218] Sep 11–13, 202432%42%3%23%
Cadem [219] Aug 7–9, 202434%43%3%20%
PollsterDate Matthei
UDI 		Carter
Ind. 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [220] Jun 12–13, 202446%15%30%9%
PollsterDate Mirosevic
PL 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [221] Mar 5–7, 202517%57%2%24%
Cadem [222] Nov 27–29, 202416%62%1%21%
PollsterDate Mirosevic
PL 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [223] Nov 27–29, 202422%47%1%30%
PollsterDate Orrego
Ind. 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [224] Feb 5–7, 202529%47%1%23%
Cadem [225] Jan 8–10, 202535%53%1%11%
Cadem [226] Dec 11–13, 202433%56%1%10%
Activa [227] Nov 28–29, 202425,4%47,2%—27,4%
Cadem [228] Nov 27–29, 202431%53%2%24%
Panel Ciudadano [229] Nov 25–26, 202422%48%21%9%
Panel Ciudadano [230] Oct 28–29, 202411%51%29%9%
Panel Ciudadano [231] Sep 16–17, 202411%52%25%13%
PollsterDate Orrego
Ind. 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Activa [232] Nov 28–29, 202431,6%39,9%—28,6%
Cadem [233] Nov 27–29, 202440%43%0%17%
Panel Ciudadano [234] Nov 25–26, 202428%40%24%8%
Panel Ciudadano [235] Oct 28–29, 202419%37%35%9%
Panel Ciudadano [236] Sep 16–17, 202421%33%34%12%
PollsterDate Tohá
PPD 		Matthei
UDI 		No votaríaUndecided/No answer
LCN [237] May 18–24, 202542,8%57,2%—
Panel Ciudadano [238] May 20, 202521%44%24%11%
Cadem [239] May 7–9, 202527%53%1%19%
Criteria [240] Mar 31–Apr 2, 202524%51%25%
Cadem [241] Mar 26–28, 202526%58%2%14%
Criteria [242] Mar 10–12, 202524%45%31%
Cadem [243] Mar 5–7, 202524%51%3%22%
Cadem [244] Feb 5–7, 202525%51%2%22%
Cadem [245] Jan 8–10, 202523%61%1%15%
Cadem [246] Dec 11–13, 202421%62%1%16%
Activa [247] Nov 28–29, 202418,4%51,4%—30,2%
Cadem [248] Nov 27–29, 202423%59%1%17%
Panel Ciudadano [249] Nov 25–26, 202419%50%23%8%
Cadem [250] Sep 11–13, 202426%61%1%12%
Cadem [251] Aug 7–9, 202430%59%3%8%
Criteria [252] Aug 1–5, 202418%51%31%
Criteria [253] Jun 28–Jul 1, 202423%47%30%
Cadem [254] Jun 12–14, 202424%60%1%15%
Cadem [255] Apr 3–5, 202428%62%0%10%
Panel Ciudadano [256] Feb 23–24, 202419%57%20%4%
Panel Ciudadano [257] Dec 20–21, 202317%51%26%6%
PollsterDate Tohá
PPD 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
LCN [258] May 18–24, 202547,7%52,3%—
Cadem [259] May 7–9, 202538%42%1%19%
Criteria [260] Mar 31–Apr 2, 202531%42%27%
Cadem [261] Mar 26–28, 202533%46%1%20%
Criteria [262] Mar 10–12, 202530%42%28%
Cadem [263] Mar 5–7, 202539%49%1%11%
Activa [264] Nov 28–29, 202423,7%41,2%—35,1%
Cadem [265] Nov 27–29, 202431%46%1%22%
Panel Ciudadano [266] Nov 25–26, 202423%41%28%8%
Cadem [267] Sep 11–13, 202433%43%2%22%
Cadem [268] Aug 7–9, 202442%42%2%14%
Criteria [269] Aug 1–5, 202427%35%38%
Criteria [270] Jun 28–Jul 1, 202429%34%37%
Cadem [271] Jun 12–14, 202434%50%1%15%
Cadem [272] Apr 3–5, 202436%47%1%16%
Panel Ciudadano [273] Feb 23–24, 202422%45%26%6%
Panel Ciudadano [274] Dec 20–21, 202325%44%25%6%
PollsterDate Tohá
PPD 		Kaiser
PNL 		No votaríaUndecided/No answer
LCN [275] May 18–24, 202552,7%47,3%—
Cadem [276] May 7–9, 202541%37%1%21%
Criteria [277] Mar 31–Apr 2, 202531%32%37%
Cadem [278] Mar 26–28, 202538%38%2%22%
Criteria [279] Mar 10–12, 202528%33%39%
Cadem [280] Mar 5–7, 202532%40%28%
PollsterDate Vallejo
PC 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [281] Sep 11–13, 202423%66%1%10%
Cadem [282] Aug 7–9, 202426%63%1%10%
Cadem [283] Jun 12–14, 202426%61%1%12%
Cadem [284] Apr 3–5, 202423%65%0%12%
Panel Ciudadano [285] Feb 23–24, 202421%52%22%5%
Panel Ciudadano [286] Dec 20–21, 202319%50%25%6%
PollsterDate Vallejo
PC 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [287] Sep 11–13, 202430%46%2%22%
Cadem [288] Aug 7–9, 202435%46%3%16%
Cadem [289] Jun 12–14, 202432%51%2%15%
Cadem [290] Apr 3–5, 202431%50%0%19%
Panel Ciudadano [291] Feb 23–24, 202422%47%25%6%
Panel Ciudadano [292] Dec 20–21, 202325%46%24%5%
PollsterDate Vodanovic
PS 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [293] Mar 5–7, 202515%56%2%28%
PollsterDate Vodanovic
FA 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [294] Mar 5–7, 202532%49%0%19%
Cadem [295] Feb 5–7, 202529%49%1%21%
Criteria [296] Nov 29–Dec 2, 202423%41%36%
Activa [297] Nov 28–29, 202429,7%47,4%—22,9%
Cadem [298] Nov 27–29, 202420%59%1%20%
Panel Ciudadano [299] Nov 25–26, 202426%47%19%8%
Panel Ciudadano [300] Oct 28–29, 202430%45%19%6%
Cadem [301] Aug 7–9, 202425%61%2%12%
Cadem [302] Apr 3–5, 202421%64%0%15%
PollsterDate Vodanovic
FA 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Criteria [303] Nov 29–Dec 2, 202434%32%34%
Activa [304] Nov 28–29, 202435,7%34,9%—29,4%
Cadem [305] Nov 27–29, 202429%46%0%25%
Panel Ciudadano [306] Nov 25–26, 202429%39%23%9%
Panel Ciudadano [307] Oct 28–29, 202434%39%21%6%
Cadem [308] Aug 7–9, 202438%43%2%17%
Cadem [309] Apr 3–5, 202431%47%1%21%
PollsterDate Winter
FA 		Matthei
UDI 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
LCN [310] May 18–24, 202539,3%60,7%—
Cadem [311] May 7–9, 202523%55%0%22%
Cadem [312] Mar 26–28, 202520%59%1%20%
PollsterDate Winter
FA 		Kast
PRCh 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [313] May 7–9, 202528%45%27%
PollsterDate Winter
FA 		Kaiser
PNL 		Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [314] May 7–9, 202525%37%38%

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  2. ↑ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  3. ↑ Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
  4. ↑ Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  5. ↑ Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  6. 1 2 Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
  7. ↑ José Antonio Kast
  8. ↑ Yasna Provoste
  9. ↑ Sebastián Sichel
  10. ↑ Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)

References

  1. ↑ "Carrera presidencial, gobierno, economía y tendencias" (PDF). Tú Influyes. 9 July 2025.
  2. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de julio - N°599" (PDF). Cadem. 6 July 2025.
  3. ↑ "Agenda Criteria Julio 2025" (PDF). Criteria Research. 6 July 2025.
  4. ↑ S.A.P, El Mercurio (2025-07-04). "B&W: Jara se impondría en primera vuelta (39%) y Matthei ganaría en cualquier escenario si pasa al balotaje". Emol (in Spanish). Retrieved 2025-07-05.
  5. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano". Somos Activa. Retrieved 2025-07-03.
  6. ↑ Ciudadano, Panel (2025-07-02). "Jara arriba, Parisi sólido y Mayne-Nicholls apareciendo: así quedó la nueva torta presidencial". Panel Ciudadano (in Spanish). Retrieved 2025-07-04.
  7. ↑ "Latam Pulse Chile. Junio 2025" (PDF). AtlasIntel (in Spanish). 8 July 2025.
  8. ↑ "Insight CHILE" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2025-06-30.
  9. 1 2
  10. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de junio - N°595" (PDF). Cadem. 8 June 2025.
  11. ↑ "Los cuidados: ternuras y cansancios" [Care: tenderness and tiredness](PDF) (in Spanish). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2025-06-12.
  12. ↑
  13. ↑ "Temor en Chile. primarias y presidencial, gobierno, economía y tendencias" (PDF). Tú Influyes. 4 June 2025.
  14. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, mayo 2025, segunda quincena - N°106" (PDF). Activa Research. 2 June 2025.
  15. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Quinta semana de mayo - N°594" (PDF). Cadem. 1 June 2025.
  16. ↑ "Latam Pulse Chile. Mayo 2025" (PDF). Atlas Intel. 30 May 2025.
  17. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Cuarta semana de mayo - N°593" (PDF). Cadem. 25 May 2025.
  18. ↑ "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Kaiser cae ocho puntos en dos meses y Kast se consolida segundo" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 22 May 2025.
  19. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de mayo - N°592" (PDF). Cadem. 18 May 2025.
  20. ↑ Dínamo, El. "Encuesta Black & White: Kaiser, Kast y Tohá disputan paso a segunda vuelta, mientras Matthei sigue liderando carrera presidencial". El Dínamo | Noticias de Chile y el mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 2025-05-18.
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  22. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de mayo - N°591" (PDF). Cadem. 11 May 2025.
  23. ↑ "Serie "Clima Social". Capítulo 1: Rabias y Temores. Mayo 2025" (PDF). Instituto de Investigación en Ciencias Sociales - UDP. 15 May 2025.
  24. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de mayo - N°590" (PDF). Cadem. 4 May 2025.
  25. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, febrero 2025, segunda quincena - N°103" (PDF). Activa Research. 3 March 2025.
  26. ↑ "Agenda Criteria Marzo 2025" (PDF). 2 March 2025.
  27. ↑ "Encuesta Signos: Bachelet y Kaiser sacan cuentas alegres, Matthei se mantiene y Kast se hunde". 17 February 2025.
  28. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano: Presidenciales 2025. Voto migrante" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 8 February 2025.
  29. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de febrero - N°578" (PDF). Cadem. 10 February 2025.
  30. ↑ "Agenda Criteria, febrero 2025" (PDF). Criteria Research. 9 February 2025.
  31. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano: Matthei sigue favorita, Bachelet alcanza 2° lugar y Kaiser le pisa los talones a Kast". biobiochile.cl. 2 February 2025.
  32. ↑ "Estudio Especial presidenciales 2025. Posicionamiento Figuras políticas" (PDF). activasite.com. 2 February 2025.
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  34. ↑ "Encuesta Signos: Kaiser supera a Kast en opción presidencial, y se desfonda imagen del Poder Judicial". adprensa.cl. 30 January 2025.
  35. ↑ "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: radiografía al fenómeno Kaiser y la amenaza que representa para Kast" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 19 January 2025.
  36. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de enero - N°574" (PDF). Cadem. 12 January 2025.
  37. ↑ "Agenda Criteria, enero 2025" (PDF). Criteria Research. 12 January 2025.
  38. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de junio - N°544" (PDF). Cadem. 16 June 2024.
  39. ↑ "Agenda Criteria, junio 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 5 June 2024.
  40. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, mayo 2024, segunda quincena - N°94" (PDF). Cadem. 3 June 2024.
  41. ↑ "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: especial inmigrantes" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 17 May 2024.
  42. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de mayo - N°539" (PDF). Cadem. 12 May 2024.
  43. ↑ Rojas, Matías (12 May 2024). "Bachelet asoma en carrera presidencial: ya superaría a Kast según encuesta de La Cosa Nostra". El Desconcierto.
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  45. ↑ "Agenda Criteria, mayo 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 2 May 2024.
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  47. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de abril - N°536" (PDF). Cadem. 21 April 2024.
  48. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de abril - N°534" (PDF). Cadem. 7 April 2024.
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  84. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano: Jara (26%) continues to lead for the first round but would fall to Kast and Matthei in the second". emol.cl. August 17, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
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  291. ↑ "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Matthei pulls away from Kast and reaches 30% of presidential preferences" (PDF). EX-Ante. February 25, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  292. ↑ "Panel Ciudadano UDD. Presidential 2025" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. December 24, 2023. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  293. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Third week of March - N°584" (PDF). Cadem. March 23, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  294. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Third week of March - N°584" (PDF). Cadem. March 23, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  295. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. First week of February - N°578" (PDF). Cadem. February 10, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  296. ↑ "Agenda Criteria, December 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. December 4, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  297. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano of Activa Research, November 2024, second fortnight - N°100" (PDF). Activa Research. December 2, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  298. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Fourth week of November - N°568" (PDF). Cadem. December 1, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  299. ↑ "Matthei continues to lead presidential preference and Vodanovic positions himself as a leader" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. December 1, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  300. ↑ "Post-election presidential poll: Matthei's advantage in 1st and 2nd round, and Vodanovic takes off in the presidential race" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. November 1, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  301. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Second week of August - N°552" (PDF). Cadem. August 11, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  302. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. First week of April - N°534" (PDF). Cadem. April 7, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  303. ↑ "Agenda Criteria, December 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. December 4, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  304. ↑ "Pulso Ciudadano of Activa Research, November 2024, second fortnight - N°100" (PDF). Activa Research. December 2, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  305. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Fourth week of November - N°568" (PDF). Cadem. December 1, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  306. ↑ "Matthei continues to lead presidential preference and Vodanovic positions himself as a leader" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. December 1, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  307. ↑ "Post-election presidential poll: Matthei's advantage in 1st and 2nd round, and Vodanovic takes off in the presidential race" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. November 1, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  308. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Second week of August - N°552" (PDF). Cadem. August 11, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  309. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. First week of April - N°534" (PDF). Cadem. April 7, 2024. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  310. ↑ González, Antonio (May 29, 2025). "“La Cosa Nostra” poll: in the second round Matthei wins everything and Tohá only prevails against Kaiser". BioBioChile. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  311. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Second week of May - N°591" (PDF). Cadem. May 11, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  312. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Fourth week of March - N°585" (PDF). Cadem. March 30, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  313. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Second week of May - N°591" (PDF). Cadem. May 11, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
  314. ↑ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Second week of May - N°591" (PDF). Cadem. May 11, 2025. Retrieved August 30, 2025.
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