Opinion polling for the 2025 Chilean presidential election

Last updated

In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 16 November 2025.

Contents

Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.

Second round

Opinion polls for the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. Each point represents a poll, each line is a local regression that represents the two candidates. Encuestas eleccion presidencial de Chile 2025, segunda vuelta (2022-2025).svg
Opinion polls for the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. Each point represents a poll, each line is a local regression that represents the two candidates.
PollsterDate Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en 2025 (cropped).jpg Would not voteDK/NR
Jara
UpCh
Kast
CpCh
Cadem [1] 29 Nov 202534%46%20%
Activa [2] 29 Nov 202531.6%45.2%17.7%5.5%
Panel Ciudadano [3] 28 Nov 202534%50%16%
Criteria [4] 27 Nov 202535%51%14%
Data Influye [5] 22-27 Nov 202534%59%3%14%
Atlas Intel [6] 22-26 Nov 202535%56.9%8.1%
Gallup Marketing & Asesoría [7] 20-26 Nov 202538%59%3%
Pew Research Center [8] 19-26 Nov 202540.4%59.6%
CB [9] 18-23 Nov 202536.7%50.9%12.4%
Criteria [10] 23 Nov 202536%50%14%
Panel Ciudadano [11] 21 Nov 202535%50%15%
ICSO-UDP [12] 18-21 Nov 202534%44%11%11%
Panel Ciudadano [11] 21 Nov 202535%50%15%
Black & White [13] 18–20 Nov 202535%56%9%
Gallup Marketing & Asesoría [14] 17–19 Nov 202539%55%6%
Pew Research Center [15] 17–18 Nov 202538.3%61.7%
Panel Ciudadano [11] 17 Nov 202534%54%12%
First round (16 November 2025)
Cadem13–14 Nov 202535%46%19%
Cadem10–12 Nov 202534%44%22%
Panel Ciudadano6–7 Nov 202533%47%20%
Cadem5–7 Nov 202536%47%17%
Panel Ciudadano [16] 30–31 Oct 202532%46%22%
Atlas Intel [17] 25–30 Oct 202540%46%14%
Criteria [18] 27–29 Oct 202533%51%16%
LCN [19] 19–28 Oct 202544%56%
Cadem [20] 22–24 Oct 202536%48%16%
Panel Ciudadano [21] 22–24 Oct 202532%48%20%
Criteria [22] 21–23 Oct 202535%46%19%
Feedback [23] 18–22 Oct 202534%56%10%
Atlas Intel [24] 15–19 Oct 202539%47%14%
Panel Ciudadano [25] 16–17 Oct 202533%46%21%
Activa [26] 15–17 Oct 202534.0%42.0%16.1%7.8%
Cadem15–17 Oct 202533%49%18%
Criteria14–17 Oct 202536%48%16%
CEP22 Sep–17 Oct 202533%41%11%16%
LCN3–13 Oct 202544%56%
Panel Ciudadano9–10 Oct 202531%46%23%
Cadem8–10 Oct 202536%47%17%
Criteria7–9 Oct 202533%46%21%
Signos Analytics25 Sep–4 Oct 202535.9%44.0%7.2%12.9%
Panel Ciudadano2–3 Oct 202532%49%19%
Criteria30 Sep–2 Oct 202536%47%17%
Panel Ciudadano25–26 Sep 202531%47%22%
LCN17–26 Sep 202546.0%54.0%
Criteria23–25 Sep 202535%44%21%
Panel Ciudadano18–19 Sep 202531%47%22%
Criteria15–17 Sep 202535%46%19%
Panel Ciudadano11–12 Sep 202533%46%21%
Cadem10–12 Sep 202532%43%25%
LCN2–12 Sep 202543.7%55.8%
Criteria11 Sep 202535%46%19%
Panel Ciudadano4–5 Sep 202530%48%22%
Cadem3–5 Sep 202532%42%26%
Criteria2–4 Sep 202536%45%19%
Panel Ciudadano28–29 Aug 202531%46%23%
Activa26–29 Aug 202532.9%37.4%19.9%9.8%
LCN16–28 Aug 202543.7%56.4%
Criteria26–28 Aug 202533%47%20%
Panel Ciudadano21–22 Aug 202531%50%19%
Cadem20–22 Aug 202531%44%25%
Criteria19–21 Aug 202532%50%18%
Activa14–15 Aug 202531.9%40.8%3.7%23.6%
Panel Ciudadano14–15 Aug 202532%48%20%
Criteria12–14 Aug 202535%47%18%
LCN1–10 Aug 202546.5%53.5%
Panel Ciudadano7–8 Aug 202532%50%18%
Cadem6–8 Aug 202534%48%18%
Data Influye30 Jul–3 Aug 202534%41%24%
Cadem30 Jul–1 Aug 202537%49%14%
Activa30 Jul–1 Aug 202533.5%41.1%4.8%20.5%
Panel Ciudadano30–31 Jul 202533%49%18%
Criteria29–31 Jul 202534%45%21%
LCN12–21 Jul 202545.8%54.2%
Criteria15–17 Jul 202534%47%19%
Cadem9–11 Jul 202536%47%17%
Data Influye1–6 Jul 202543.7%43.9%12.4%
Criteria1–3 Jul 202535%42%23%
Panel Ciudadano29–30 Jun 202534%46%20%
Cadem25–27 Jun 202530%50%11%9%
LCN13–21 Jun 202546.2%53.8%
Cadem7–9 May 202530%45%0%25%

First round

Official candidates

Encuestas eleccion presidencial de Chile 2025, primera vuelta (2022-2025).svg
Opinion polls for the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election. Each point represents a poll, each line is a local regression and represents one of the officially registered candidates.
Polling firmDate Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en 2025 (cropped).jpg Evelyn-Matthei (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Marco Enriquez-Ominami 2018 (4x3).jpg Harold Mayne-Nicholls (cropped).jpg Eduardo Artes 2021 - 7 de octubre (cropped).jpg OtherDK/NA
Jara
UpCh
Kast
PRCh
Matthei
ChGU
Kaiser
PNL
Parisi
PDG
Ominami
Ind.
Mayne- Nicholls
Ind.
Artés
Ind.
Start of the two-week polling silence period (2 November 2025)
Panel Ciudadano [27] 30–31 Oct 202526%21%14%14%10%1%3%1%5%5%
Activa [28] 28–31 Oct 202524.9%16.9%11.2%12.2%14.0%1.9%3.4%0.6%6.2%8.7%
Atlas Intel [29] 25–30 Oct 202533.2%16.8%13.9%16.8%14.2%1.0%1.9%0.1%2.0%0.2%
Black & White [30] 28–29 Oct 202530%23%17%20%7%1%3%1%
Criteria [31] 27–29 Oct 202527%23%14%15%9%2%3%1%6%
Data Influye [32] 23–29 Oct 202527%20%11%13%9%2%3%1%7%7%
LCN [33] 17–28 Oct 202533.5%17.7%19.3%19.3%4.5%0.7%4.3%0%
Second presidential debate (26 October 2025)
Cadem [34] 22–24 Oct 202527%20%13%14%11%1%4%1%9%
Panel Ciudadano [35] 22–24 Oct 202525%22%16%13%11%1%2%1%5%4%
Criteria [36] 21–23 Oct 202528%23%13%13%9%2%4%1%7%
Black & White [37] 21–22 Oct 202529%25%19%18%6%0%3%0%
ICSO-UDP [38] 17–21 Oct 202526%24%14%10%9%1%2%0%14%
Atlas Intel [39] 15–19 Oct 202532.7%20.1%13.8%13.4%13.2%0.7%2.1%1.0%2.7%0.4%
Panel Ciudadano [40] 16–17 Oct 202524%23%16%13%9%1%2%1%5%6%
Activa [41] 15–17 Oct 202525.4%18.7%12.6%8.9%10.4%3.0%2.1%0.6%9.8%8.5%
Cadem [42] 15–17 Oct 202526%22%14%12%11%1%4%1%9%
Criteria [43] 14–17 Oct 202529%24%15%12%9%1%3%0%7%
Black & White [44] 14–15 Oct 202530%27%18%16%4%0%3%1%
LCN [45] 3–13 Oct 202536.0%20.7%18.3%16.7%2.3%0.7%4.7%0.7%
Panel Ciudadano [46] 9–10 Oct 202524%25%17%10%8%1%3%1%6%5%
Criteria [47] 7–9 Oct 202526%26%17%10%8%1%3%1%8%
Black & White [48] 7–8 Oct 202531%25%17%14%7%1%4%1%
Signos Analytics [49] 25 Sep–4 Oct 202528.3%24.2%13.8%8.1%8.8%2%1.7%0.5%2.3%10.2%
Panel Ciudadano [50] 2–3 Oct 202527%25%16%11%8%1%2%1%5%4%
Cadem [51] 1–3 Oct 202527%23%15%11%10%1%4%0%9%
Criteria [52] 30 Sep–2 Oct 202527%26%17%10%8%1%4%1%6%
Studio Público [53] 26–30 Sep 202537.5%23.9%11.9%14.7%5.1%0.8%3.1%0%1.1%1.9%
Panel Ciudadano [54] 25–26 Sep 202525%25%16%10%9%2%3%0%5%5%
Cadem [55] 24–26 Sep 202526%23%17%11%9%1%5%0%8%
Activa [56] 23–26 Sep 202523.9%17.8%11.7%10.1%11.8%1.4%2.8%0.7%11.3%8.5%
Data Influye [57] 22–26 Sep 202527%26%15%8%7%1%5%1%6%4%
La Cosa Nostra [58] 17–26 Sep 202537.7%22.2%18.2%13.8%2.8%1.0%4.0%0.7%
Criteria [59] 23–25 Sep 202530%24%14%10%9%2%3%1%7%
ICSO-UDP [60] 22–25 Sep 202527.0%24.6%12.2%9.6%9.6%1.1%4.8%0.5%10.6%
Black & White [61] 23–24 Sep 202530%26%19%11%6%1%4%1%3%
Data Veritas [62] 17–20 Sep 202532.4%22.2%17.1%15.2%7.5%0.1%3.2%0.5%1.9%
Panel Ciudadano [63] 18–19 Sep 202523%25%17%9%10%1%4%1%5%5%
Cadem [64] 17 Sep 202526%24%16%9%11%1%5%1%7%
Black & White [65] 16–17 Sep 202528.9%25.9%19.7%12.2%4.3%0.7%5.5%0.9%0.6%1.5%
Criteria [66] 15–17 Sep 202529%25%16%10%8%1%3%1%7%
Panel Ciudadano [67] 11–12 Sep 202524%24%16%10%9%2%4%1%5%5%
Criteria [68] 11 Sep 202529%27%13%10%7%2%3%1%8%
Atlas Intel [69] 10–14 Sep 202538.9%24.7%11.8%9.0%14.5%0%1.2%
Cadem [70] 10–12 Sep 202526%25%18%8%11%1%3%1%7%
Black & White [71] 10–11 Sep 202525.7%31.6%17.9%8.7%7.1%0.9%4.0%0.9%1.5%1.8%
Signos Analytics [72] 9–14 Sep 202528.3%25.4%13.8%6.8%9%1.5%1.2%0.3%2.5%11.2%
LCN [73] 2–12 Sep 202536.2%24.7%20.2%11.8%2.2%1.2%3.2%0.7%
First presidential debate (10 September 2025)
Panel Ciudadano [74] 4–5 Sep 202524%27%18%6%10%2%2%1%10%
Cadem [75] 3–5 Sep 202528%26%16%8%11%1%2%1%7%
Criteria [76] 2–4 Sep 202529%27%17%9%7%1%2%0%8%
Black & White [77] 2–3 Sep 202531.9%27.9%18.2%9.6%5.1%1.6%1.8%0.6%1.2%2.2%
Data Influye [78] 27–31 Aug 202527%22%13%6%6%2%2%1%9%13%
Panel Ciudadano [79] 28–29 Aug 202524%28%14%7%10%2%2%0%5%8%
Cadem [80] 27–29 Aug 202526%27%14%8%11%3%2%0%9%
Activa [81] 26–29 Aug 202532.2%25.4%17.1%7.2%11,1%3.4%1.6%2.0%
24.6%19.4%13.1%5.5%8.5%2.6%1.2%1.5%10.5%13.1%
LCN [82] 16–28 Aug 202536.0%25.2%17.3%11.8%4.3%1.3%3.5%0.5%
Criteria [83] 26–28 Aug 202527%28%14%8%9%2%2%1%9%
Black & White [84] 26–27 Aug 202532.0%29.9%14.7%10.8%4,.5%1.7%1.9%0.9%2.0%1.0%
Atlas Intel [85] 20–25 Aug 202533.2%21.6%18.7%9.2%15.8%1.5%
Panel Ciudadano [86] 21–22 Aug 202525%28%14%8%9%2%1%1%6%6%
Cadem [87] 20–22 Aug 202527%28%14%7%11%1%1%1%9%
Criteria [88] 19–21 Aug 202528%30%14%8%8%2%2%1%7%
Black & White [89] 19–20 Aug 202530%35%14%11%5%0%2%0%2%1%

Opinion polls before candidate registration

Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.

After the Unity for Chile primary

Polling firmDateSample sizeMargin of error Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Evelyn-Matthei (cropped).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en 2025 (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg OtherDK/NA
Jara
UPCh
Parisi
PDG
Matthei
UDI
Kast
PLR
Kaiser
PNL
Data Influye [90] 1–6 Jul 20251.094±2.9%39%5%15%23%7%7%
Cadem [91] 2–4 Jul 2025703±3.7%26%10%18%22%6%10%
Criteria [92] 1–3 Jul 20251,002N.A.31%9%18%22%8%9%
B&W [93] 1-2 Jul 2025929±3.2%39%5%18%25%9%4%
Activa [94] 30 Jun-1 Jul 20251,006±3.1%33.8%8.9%16.8%17.3%4.3%15.3%
Panel Ciudadano [95] 29-30 Jun 20253,873±2%26%7%19%23%9%11%5%
Atlas Intel [96] 27–30 Jun 20253,869±2%38%15.2%18.5%20.2%5.8%2.4%

After the official announcement of candidates

Polling firmDate Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Gonzalo Winter Etcheberry.jpg MARCO ENRIQUEZ-OMINAMI foto campana 2022.jpg Jaime Mulet Martinez.jpg Voceria Ministra Camila Vallejo junto a las ministras Carolina Toha, Ana Lya Uriarte y Marcela Rios (cropped).jpg Alberto Undurraga Vicuna (2022).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Evelyn-Matthei (cropped).jpg Francesca Munoz.jpg Jose Antonio Kast en 2025 (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Thellusson-Mayne Nicholls cropped.jpg OtherDK/NA
Jara
PC
Winter
FA
ME-O
Ind.
Mulet
FRVS
Tohá
PPD
Undurraga
PDC
Parisi
PDG
Matthei
UDI
Muñoz
PSC
Kast
PLR
Kaiser
PNL
Carter
Ind.
Mayne-Nicholls
Ind.
Cadem [97] 25–27 Jun 202516%2%4%10%10%24%4%4%26%
Cadem[ citation needed ]17–19 Jun 202513%4%6%7%12%19%6%4%29%
Cadem[ citation needed ]11–13 Jun 202513%4%6%5%14%18%5%5%30%
Cadem [98] 4–6 Jun 20258%5%7%5%16%17%7%3%32%
ICSO-UDP [99] 30 May–4 Jun 20257.3%5.5%2.7%0.5%7.8%5.7%22.8%1%22.6%8.1%1.8%15%
Criteria[ citation needed ]2–4 Jun 20257%5%8%4%24%20%8%10%14%
Data Influye [100] 28 May–1 Jun 202511%6%2%12%3%17%16%9%8%17%
Activa [101] 28–30 May 20257.4%3.6%6.4%5.8%21.5%17.5%7.4%17.3%13.1%
Cadem [102] 28–30 May 20257%3%8%6%19%16%7%3%31%
Atlas Intel [103] 21–26 May 20259.9%11%16.7%12.1%16.615,6%11.2%6.9%
Cadem [104] 22–23 May 20255%5%10%4%17%16%6%5%32%
Panel Ciudadano [105] 20 May 20258%7%3%10%5%22%17%9%2%17%
Cadem [106] 14–16 May 20255%6%10%3%17%17%6%6%30%
B&W [107] 13-14 May 202513%8%1%15%4%20%1%15%17%7%
Criteria [108] 12–14 May 20255%5%2%10%2%26%17%10%10%13%
Cadem [109] 7–9 May 20254%6%12%4%20%14%6%1%5%28%
ICSO-UDP [110] 5–9 May 20256%5%3%0%11%1%5%23%1%19%10%2%15%
Cadem [111] 30 Apr–2 May 20256%6%11%4%22%13%10%5%23%

2025

Polling firmDate Eduardo Artes 2021 - 7 de octubre (cropped).jpg Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Live Especial Mujeres Comite Politico, Ministra Jannette Jara (cropped).jpg Ministra Camila Vallejo, se reune con la presidenta de la camara de diputados, Karol Cariola - 53678671904 (cropped).jpg Tomas Vodanovic, 2022 (cropped).jpg MARCO ENRIQUEZ-OMINAMI foto campana 2022.jpg Jaime Mulet Martinez.jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Voceria Ministra Camila Vallejo junto a las ministras Carolina Toha, Ana Lya Uriarte y Marcela Rios (cropped).jpg Vlado Mirosevic Verdugo (2022).jpg Claudio Orrego sobre fondo negro (Headshot).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en diciembre de 2024.jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Gino Lorenzini Barrios 2017 (4x3).png OtherDK/NA
Artés
PC(AP)
Jadue
PC
Jara
PC
Vallejo
PC
Vodanovic
FA
ME-O
Ind.
Mulet
FREVS
Bachelet
PS
Tohá
PPD
Mirosevic
PL
Orrego
Ind.
Parisi
PDG
Matthei
UDI
Kast
PLR
Kaiser
PNL
Carter
Ind.
Lorenzini
Ind.
Activa [112] 26–28 Feb 20251.7%1.8%3.6%15.9%1.9%1.7%24.3%10.6%9.7%1.5%13.9%13.4%
Criteria [113] 24-26 Feb 20252%3%18%3%26%10%11%15%
Signos [114] 9–14 Feb 20252.6%7.8%1.2%17.3%8.8%1.8%23.4%10.2%15.8%3.7%5.7%1.7%
Panel Ciudadano (sólo inmigrantes) [115] 6-7 Feb 20251%2%1%15%2%2%24%12%13%3%14%
Cadem [116] 5–7 Feb 20251%1%1%4%12%3%2%1%20%8%13%4%30%
Criteria [117] 3–5 Feb 20252%3%13%3%2%26%9%11%12%19%
Activa [118] [119] 30–31 Jan 20250.3%0.4%1.1%2.8%1.5%12.2%3.2%0.6%0.3%1.1%27,4%9.6%7.7%0.6%3%16%15%
Atlas Intel [120] 27–31 Jan 20256.1%9.3%5.6%13.1%6.1%19.4%8.7%19%12.7%
Signos [121] 22–27 Jan 20253.9%13.2%4.2%6.1%2.8%24.8%11.3%15l3%5.7%10.6%2,1%
Panel Ciudadano [122] 14–15 Jan 20251%2%1%1%7%3%2%26%11%7%1%38%
Cadem [123] 8–10 Jan 20252%3%5%2%2%23%9%10%6%38%
Criteria [124] 6–8 Jan 20253%5%2%11%3%28%10%7%2%11%18%

2024

Polling firmDate Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Voceria de la Ministra Camila Vallejo - 2023 (cropped).jpg Tomas Vodanovic, 2022 (cropped).jpg Gonzalo Winter Etcheberry.jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Carolina Toha.jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13) (cropped).jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en diciembre de 2024.jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Marco Enriquez-Ominami 2018 (4x3).jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Johannes Kaiser (BCN) (cropped).jpg
Jadue
Vallejo Vodanovic Winter
Bachelet
PS
Tohá
PPD
Piñera
ChV
Matthei
UDI
Kast
PLR
Parisi
PDG
ME-O Carter
Ind.
Kaiser
Ind.
OthersDK/NR
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Independent
Cadem [125] 12–14 Jun 20242%3%6%3%20%14%2%1%2%6%41%
Criteria [126] 31 May – 3 Jun 20244%10%3%25%13%3%2%2%38%
Activa [127] 29–31 May 20242,4%5,2%9,8%2,4%26,2%12,1%1,8%2,3%24,2%13,6%
Panel Ciudadano [128] 13–14 May 20246%2%11%5%27%18%4%3%4%3%2%15%
Cadem [129] 8–10 May 20243%1%3%3%24%14%2%1%2%2%8%37%
La Cosa Nostra [130] 24 Apr – 5 May 20247,4%5,1%16,2%10,7%33,6%12,6%1,8%2,0%5,2%5,4%
Feedback [131] 26 Apr – 3 May 20242%2%2%11%5%26%16%2%7%5%21%
Criteria [132] 26–29 Apr 20242%6%10%4%30%12%3%2%2%2%27%
Activa [133] 24–26 Apr 20243,5%7,1%28,5%15,6%2,2%22,7%20,4%
Cadem [134] 17–19 Apr 20243%7%3%24%14%1%1%1%2%6%38%
Cadem [135] 3–5 Apr 20241%3%4%2%25%12%1%1%1%8%42%
Criteria [136] 28 Mar – 1 Apr 20246%7%2%27%15%3%2%3%35%
Activa [137] 27–28 Mar 20244,5%8,1%24,9%11,7%2,5%1,6%2,5%26,6%17,6%
Cadem [138] 13–15 Mar 20241%3%1%4%2%21%12%2%2%2%10%40%
Criteria [139] 1–4 Mar 20245%7%2%31%17%2%4%32%
Activa [140] 28–29 Feb 20243,3%9,5%2,1%26,2%10,6%1,7%1,6%1,6%24.8%18,6%
Panel Ciudadano [141] 23–24 Feb 20246%2%10%4%30%16%4%3%4%3%2%16%
Cadem [142] 14–16 Feb 20241%4%6%2%22%19%1%3%1%8%33%
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February)
Activa [143] 25–26 Jan 20245,1%6,8%1,5%11,1%17,8%13,3%1,7%20,7%22,0%
Cadem [144] 10–12 Jan 20241%2%5%2%5%16%14%1%1%8%45%
Criteria [145] 4–8 Jan 20246%10%4%24%17%3%2%2%17%15%

2023

Polling firmDateSample
size
Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Camila Vallejo (noviembre 2022).jpg Izkia Siches' Official Portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg Alvaro Elizalde, Ministro Segegob (cropped).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Ministra Carolina Toha.jpg SEBASTIAN SICHEL 2019 (cropped).jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13).jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en diciembre de 2024.jpg Teresa Marinovic 17 05 2021 (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Pamela Jiles Moreno (2018).jpg OthersBlank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Ind. Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Ind. Ind.
Cadem [146] 8-10 November 20237101544-21917-42-834
Research Chile [147] 22 October 202383217--99222618-22--13
Research Chile22-26 September 202381316--811122817-22--16
Research Chile [148] 3-5 July 202378618--59112322-25016
Cadem [149] 5-7 July 2023705-5.2--5.2--8.613.836.2-3.43.4-
Research Chile [150] 5-7 Jun 202380519--710102218-250
Research Chile [151] 8-10 May 202376519-75212227226111
Cadem [152] [153] 3-5 May 20237031421-413201247 [a] 42
Research Chile [154] 10-12 Apr 2023823164610251214107 [b] 22
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano [155] 21-24 Mar 20239121.745.41.56.816.315.72.23.922.1 [c] 20.8
Research Chile [156] 6-8 Mar 202388229662251124518 [d] 20
Research Chile [157] 6-7 Feb 202380529542251214306 [e] 26
Research Chile [158] 9–10 Jan 2023803286327173431320

2022

Polling firmDateSample
size
Daniel Jadue, 2017 (cropped).jpg Camila Vallejo (noviembre 2022).jpg Izkia Siches' Official Portrait, 2022 (cropped).jpg Alvaro Elizalde, Ministro Segegob (cropped).jpg Michelle Bachelet, 2020 1.1 (cropped).jpg Ministra Carolina Toha.jpg SEBASTIAN SICHEL 2019 (cropped).jpg Sebastian Pinera en La Moneda 2022 (13).jpg Evelyn Matthei Fornet (2).jpg Jose Antonio Kast en diciembre de 2024.jpg Teresa Marinovic 17 05 2021 (cropped).jpg Franco Parisi Fernandez (2013) 4x3 cropped.jpg Rodolfo Carter, alcalde de La Florida durante una reunion (cropped).jpg Pamela Jiles Moreno (2018).jpg OthersBlank vote /
Undecided
Jadue Vallejo Siches Elizalde Bachelet Tohá Sichel Piñera Matthei Kast Marinovic Parisi Carter Jiles
Partido Comunista de Chile.svg Ind. Emblem of the Socialist Party of Chile.svg Partido por la Democracia emblema.svg Chile Vamos corto.png UDI 2017 (recorte).svg Partido Republicano (Chile, 2019).svg Ind. Ind.
Encuestas Chile [159] 24 Mar –

31 Dec 2022

4,7821100113115121820038
Cadem [160] 28–30 Dec 202270513114913111254
Research Chile [161] 13-15 Dec 20228002.19.55.33.320.615.82.530.61925
Cadem [162] 26–28 Oct 202270613113215811511750
Election Results 19 Dec 202155.9 [f] 44.1 [g]
21 Nov 202125.8 [f] 11.6 [h] 12.8 [i] 27.912.89.1 [j]

Other polling

The following polls were conducted for hypothetical second-round matchups.

Jara vs. Parisi

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh
Parisi
PDG
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [163] 20–22 Aug 202533%33%34%
Criteria [164] 19–21 Aug 202534%31%35%
Cadem [165] 6–8 Aug 202536%39%25%
Cadem [166] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 202538%38%24%
Cadem [167] 25–27 Jun 202532%44%24%

Jara vs. Matthei

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh
Matthei
ChV
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [168] 21–22 Aug 202529%44%27%
Cadem [169] 20–22 Aug 202533%40%27%
Criteria [170] 19–21 Aug 202532%42%26%
Activa [171] 14–15 Aug 202531,2%34,1%4,7%30%
Panel Ciudadano [172] 14–15 Aug 202532%42%26%
Criteria [173] 12–14 Aug 202533%42%25%
LCN [174] 1–10 Aug 202542,6%57,4%
Panel Ciudadano [175] 7–8 Aug 202532%44%24%
Cadem [176] 6–8 Aug 202537%46%17%
Data Influye [177] 30 Jul – 3 Aug 202538%48%13%
Cadem [178] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 202537%42%21%
Activa [179] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 202529,8%40,4%5,7%24,1%
Panel Ciudadano [180] 30–31 Jul 202532%41%27%
Criteria [181] 29–31 Jul 202534%40%26%
LCN [182] 12–21 Jul 202541,5%58,5%
Criteria [183] 15–17 Jul 202534%40%26%
Cadem [184] 9–11 Jul 202537%42%21%
Data Influye [185] 1–6 Jul 202541%43%16%
Criteria [186] 1–3 Jul 202535%40%25%
Panel Ciudadano [187] 29–30 Jun 202532%44%24%
Cadem [188] 25–27 Jun 202531%50%9%10%
LCN [189] 18–24 May 202538,0%62,0%
Cadem [190] 7–9 May 202524%54%0%22%
Cadem [191] 26–28 Mar 202520%60%1%19%
Cadem [192] 5–7 Mar 202517%56%2%25%
Cadem [193] 5–7 Feb 202520%54%1%25%

Jara vs. Kaiser

PollsterDate Jara
UpCh
Kaiser
PNL
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [194] 20–22 Aug 202536%30%34%
Cadem [195] 6–8 Aug 202541%35%24%
Cadem [196] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 202539%32%29%
LCN [197] 12–21 Jul 202549,3%50,2%
Cadem [198] 25–27 Jun 202537%31%16%16%
Cadem [199] 7–9 May 202530%37%1%32%

Matthei vs. Kast

PollsterDate Matthei
ChV
Kast
PRCh
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [200] 20–22 Aug 202528%36%36%
Activa [201] 14–15 Aug 202527,1%33,7%8,1%31,1%
Activa [202] 30 Jul – 1 Aug 202525,7%31,1%8,0%35,2%
Cadem [203] 9–11 Jul 202531%37%32%
Data Influye [204] 1–6 Jul 202524%28%48%
Panel Ciudadano [205] 29–30 Jun 202532%35%33%
Cadem [206] 25–27 Jun 202534%37%14%15%
Panel Ciudadano [207] 20 May 202532%30%9%29%
Cadem [208] 7–9 May 202544%30%1%25%
Cadem [209] 26–28 Mar 202544%34%2%20%
Cadem [210] 5–7 Mar 202541%31%3%25%
Cadem [211] 5–7 Feb 202543%29%2%26%
Cadem [212] 8–10 Jan 202552%28%2%18%
Cadem [213] 11–13 Dec 202457%21%2%20%
Activa [214] 28–29 Nov 202439,9%29,0%31,1%
Cadem [215] 27–29 Nov 202454%27%1%18%
Panel Ciudadano [216] 25–26 Nov 202440%24%29%7%
Panel Ciudadano [217] 28–29 Oct 202440%24%31%5%
Panel Ciudadano [218] 16–17 Sep 202444%19%29%7%
Cadem [219] 11–13 Sep 202461%21%2%16%
Cadem [220] 7–9 Aug 202461%22%3%14%
Cadem [221] 12–14 Jun 202452%29%2%17%
Panel Ciudadano [222] 12–13 Jun 202441%23%27%9%
Cadem [223] 3–5 Apr 202456%25%1%18%
Panel Ciudadano [224] 23–24 Feb 202448%23%26%4%

Matthei vs. Kaiser

PollsterDate Matthei
ChV
Kaiser
PNL
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [225] 25–27 Jun 202548%19%15%18%
Cadem [226] 7–9 May 202548%21%2%29%
Cadem [227] 26–28 Mar 202547%27%1%25%
Cadem [228] 5–7 Mar 202543%32%3%22%
Cadem [229] 5–7 Feb 202550%27%1%22%
Cadem [230] 8–10 Jan 202558%21%1%20%
Cadem [231] 11–13 Dec 202464%13%2%21%

Enríquez-Ominami vs. Matthei

PollsterDate ME-O
Ind.
Matthei
ChV
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
LCN [232] 18–24 May 202537,0%63,0%
Cadem [233] 5–7 Mar 202523%51%2%24%
Cadem [234] 27–29 Nov 202421%60%1%18%
Cadem [235] 12–14 Jun 202429%57%2%12%

Enríquez-Ominami vs. Kast

PollsterDate ME-O
Ind.
Kast
PRCh
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [236] 27–29 Nov 202431%46%1%22%
Cadem [237] 12–14 Jun 202437%49%1%13%

Parisi vs. Matthei

PollsterDate Parisi
PDG
Matthei
ChV
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [238] 25–27 Jun 202537%39%11%13%
Cadem [239] 7–9 May 202524%48%1%27%

Parisi vs. Kast

PollsterDate Parisi
PDG
Kast
PRCh
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [240] 25–27 Jun 202529%41%13%17%

Other scenarios

In addition to the second-round scenarios mentioned previously, pollsters conducted surveys with other possible pairings of presidential pre-candidates who later decided not to participate in the election or lost their pact's primary election.

PollsterDate Bachelet
PS
Matthei
UDI
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [241] 5–7 Feb 202537%45%2%16%
Cadem [242] 8–10 Jan 202543%47%0%10%
Cadem [243] 11–13 Dec 202439%51%1%9%
Criteria [244] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 202432%44%24%
Activa [245] 28–29 Nov 202431,8%46,4%21,8%
Cadem [246] 27–29 Nov 202434%50%1%15%
Panel Ciudadano [247] 25–26 Nov 202430%47%17%6%
Panel Ciudadano [248] 28–29 Oct 202431%47%17%5%
Panel Ciudadano [249] 16–17 Sep 202431%47%15%7%
Cadem [250] 11–13 Sep 202438%54%1%7%
Cadem [251] 7–9 Aug 202445%49%1%5%
Criteria [252] 1–5 Aug 202433%45%22%
Criteria [253] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 202435%43%22%
Cadem [254] 12–14 Jun 202442%49%0%9%
Panel Ciudadano [255] 12–13 Jun 202428%45%20%7%
Cadem [256] 3–5 Apr 202439%53%0%8%
Panel Ciudadano [257] 23–24 Feb 202432%46%17%5%
Panel Ciudadano [258] 20–21 Dec 202328%45%22%5%
PollsterDate Bachelet
PS
Kast
PRCh
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Criteria [259] 29 Nov – 2 Dec 202437%36%27%
Activa [260] 28–29 Nov 202436,7%39,8%23,5%
Cadem [261] 27–29 Nov 202444%39%2%15%
Panel Ciudadano [262] 25–26 Nov 202434%39%21%6%
Panel Ciudadano [263] 28–29 Oct 202435%40%20%5%
Panel Ciudadano [264] 16–17 Sep 202435%33%23%8%
Cadem [265] 11–13 Sep 202449%38%2%11%
Cadem [266] 7–9 Aug 202452%38%2%8%
Criteria [267] 1–5 Aug 202440%34%26%
Criteria [268] 28 Jun – 1 Jul 202442%32%26%
Cadem [269] 12–14 Jun 202448%42%1%9%
Panel Ciudadano [270] 12–13 Jun 202434%39%19%8%
Cadem [271] 3–5 Apr 202446%39%1%14%
Panel Ciudadano [272] 23–24 Feb 202433%43%19%6%
Panel Ciudadano [273] 20–21 Dec 202336%41%19%4%
PollsterDate Bachelet
PS
Carter
Ind.
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [274] 12–13 Jun 202433%30%26%11%
PollsterDate Bachelet
PS
Orrego
Ind.
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [275] 16–17 Sep 202436%15%36%13%
PollsterDate Frei
DC
Matthei
UDI
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [276] 5–7 Feb 202525%50%1%24%
Cadem [277] 8–10 Jan 202529%55%0%16%
Cadem [278] 11–13 Dec 202429%57%1%13%
PollsterDate Lagos W.
PPD
Matthei
UDI
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [279] 5–7 Feb 202520%53%1%26%
PollsterDate Marcel
Ind.
Matthei
UDI
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [280] 5–7 Feb 202522%55%1%22%
Cadem [281] 11–13 Sep 202418%67%1%14%
Cadem [282] 7–9 Aug 202422%65%2%11%
PollsterDate Marcel
Ind.
Kast
PRCh
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [283] 11–13 Sep 202432%42%3%23%
Cadem [284] 7–9 Aug 202434%43%3%20%
PollsterDate Matthei
UDI
Carter
Ind.
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Panel Ciudadano [285] 12–13 Jun 202446%15%30%9%
PollsterDate Mirosevic
PL
Matthei
UDI
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [286] 5–7 Mar 202517%57%2%24%
Cadem [287] 27–29 Nov 202416%62%1%21%
PollsterDate Mirosevic
PL
Kast
PRCh
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [288] 27–29 Nov 202422%47%1%30%
PollsterDate Winter
FA
Kaiser
PNL
Would not voteUndecided/No answer
Cadem [289] 7–9 May 202525%37%38%

See also

Notes

  1. Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  2. Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
  3. Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
  4. Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  5. Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
  6. 1 2 Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
  7. José Antonio Kast
  8. Yasna Provoste
  9. Sebastián Sichel
  10. Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)

References

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