This article needs to be updated.(April 2024) |
In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 23 November 2025.
Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.
Potential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.
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Survey | Date | Other | DK/NR | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jadue PC | Vallejo PC | Vodanovic FA | ME-O Ind. | Bachelet PS | Tohá PPD | Matthei UDI | Kast PRCh | Parisi PDG | Carter Ind. | Kaiser Ind. | ||||
Panel Ciudadano [1] | 14–15 Jan 2025 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 3% | 26% | 11% | 2% | 1% | 7% | 38% | |
Cadem [2] | 8–10 Jan 2025 | — | 2% | 3% | — | 5% | 2% | 23% | 9% | 2% | — | 10% | 6% | 38% |
Criteria [3] | 6–8 Jan 2025 | — | 3% | 5% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 28% | 10% | — | 2% | 7% | 11% | 18% |
Encuesta | Fecha | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jadue | Vallejo | Vodanovic | Winter | Bachelet PS | Tohá PPD | Piñera ChV | Matthei UDI | Kast PLR | Parisi PDG | ME-O | Carter Ind. | Kaiser Ind. | Others | DK/NR | ||
Independent | ||||||||||||||||
Cadem [4] | 12–14 Jun 2024 | 2% | 3% | — | — | 6% | 3% | — | 20% | 14% | 2% | — | 1% | 2% | 6% | 41% |
Criteria [5] | 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | — | 4% | — | — | 10% | 3% | — | 25% | 13% | 3% | 2% | — | — | 2% | 38% |
Activa [6] | 29–31 May 2024 | 2,4% | 5,2% | — | — | 9,8% | 2,4% | — | 26,2% | 12,1% | 1,8% | — | — | 2,3% | 24,2% | 13,6% |
Panel Ciudadano [7] | 13–14 May 2024 | — | 6% | 2% | — | 11% | 5% | — | 27% | 18% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 15% |
Cadem [8] | 8–10 May 2024 | — | 3% | — | 1% | 3% | 3% | — | 24% | 14% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 37% |
La Cosa Nostra [9] | 24 Apr – 5 May 2024 | — | 7,4% | — | 5,1% | 16,2% | 10,7% | — | 33,6% | 12,6% | 1,8% | 2,0% | — | 5,2% | 5,4% | — |
Feedback [10] | 26 Apr – 3 May 2024 | — | 2% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 5% | — | 26% | 16% | — | — | 2% | 7% | 5% | 21% |
Criteria [11] | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 2% | 6% | — | — | 10% | 4% | — | 30% | 12% | 3% | 2% | — | 2% | 2% | 27% |
Activa [12] | 24–26 Apr 2024 | — | 3,5% | — | — | 7,1% | — | — | 28,5% | 15,6% | — | 2,2% | — | — | 22,7% | 20,4% |
Cadem [13] | 17–19 Apr 2024 | — | 3% | — | — | 7% | 3% | — | 24% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 38% |
Cadem [14] | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1% | 3% | — | — | 4% | 2% | — | 25% | 12% | 1% | — | 1% | 1% | 8% | 42% |
Criteria [15] | 28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024 | — | 6% | — | — | 7% | 2% | — | 27% | 15% | 3% | — | — | 2% | 3% | 35% |
Activa [16] | 27–28 Mar 2024 | — | 4,5% | — | — | 8,1% | — | — | 24,9% | 11,7% | 2,5% | 1,6% | — | 2,5% | 26,6% | 17,6% |
Cadem [17] | 13–15 Mar 2024 | 1% | 3% | 1% | — | 4% | 2% | — | 21% | 12% | 2% | — | 2% | 2% | 10% | 40% |
Criteria [18] | 1–4 Mar 2024 | — | 5% | — | — | 7% | 2% | — | 31% | 17% | — | 2% | — | — | 4% | 32% |
Activa [19] | 28–29 Feb 2024 | — | 3,3% | — | — | 9,5% | 2,1% | — | 26,2% | 10,6% | 1,7% | — | 1,6% | 1,6% | 24.8% | 18,6% |
Panel Ciudadano [20] | 23–24 Feb 2024 | — | 6% | — | 2% | 10% | 4% | — | 30% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 16% |
Cadem [21] | 14–16 Feb 2024 | 1% | 4% | — | — | 6% | 2% | — | 22% | 19% | 1% | — | 3% | 1% | 8% | 33% |
Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February) | ||||||||||||||||
Activa [22] | 25–26 Jan 2024 | — | 5,1% | — | — | 6,8% | 1,5% | 11,1% | 17,8% | 13,3% | 1,7% | — | — | — | 20,7% | 22,0% |
Cadem [23] | 10–12 Jan 2024 | 1% | 2% | — | — | 5% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 14% | 1% | — | 1% | — | 8% | 45% |
Criteria [24] | 4–8 Jan 2024 | — | 6% | — | — | 10% | — | 4% | 24% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 2% | — | 17% | 15% |
Polling firm | Date | Sample size | Others | Blank vote / Undecided | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jadue | Vallejo | Siches | Elizalde | Bachelet | Tohá | Sichel | Piñera | Matthei | Kast | Marinovic | Parisi | Carter | Jiles | |||||
Ind. | Ind. | Ind. | ||||||||||||||||
Cadem [14] | 8-10 November 2023 | 710 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - | 2 | 19 | 17 | - | 4 | 2 | - | 8 | 34 | ||
Research Chile [25] | 22 October 2023 | 832 | 1 | 7 | - | - | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - | 2 | 2 | - | - | 13 |
Research Chile | 22-26 September 2023 | 813 | 1 | 6 | - | - | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - | 2 | 2 | - | - | 16 |
Research Chile [26] | 3-5 July 2023 | 786 | 1 | 8 | - | - | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - | 2 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
Cadem [27] | 5-7 July 2023 | 705 | - | 5.2 | - | - | 5.2 | - | - | 8.6 | 13.8 | 36.2 | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | - | ||
Research Chile [28] | 5-7 Jun 2023 | 805 | 1 | 9 | - | - | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - | 2 | 5 | 0 | ||
Research Chile [29] | 8-10 May 2023 | 765 | 1 | 9 | - | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | ||
Cadem [30] [31] | 3-5 May 2023 | 703 | 1 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 1 | - | 4 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 4 | – | 7 [a] | 42 |
Research Chile [32] | 10-12 Apr 2023 | 823 | 1 | 6 | – | – | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 10 | – | 7 [b] | 22 |
Activa/Pulso Ciudadano [33] | 21-24 Mar 2023 | 912 | 1.7 | 4 | – | – | 5.4 | 1.5 | – | 6.8 | 16.3 | 15.7 | – | 2.2 | 3.9 | – | 22.1 [c] | 20.8 |
Research Chile [34] | 6-8 Mar 2023 | 882 | 2 | 9 | – | – | 6 | 6 | 2 | – | 25 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8 [d] | 20 |
Research Chile [35] | 6-7 Feb 2023 | 805 | 2 | 9 | – | – | 5 | 4 | 2 | – | 25 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 [e] | 26 |
Research Chile [36] | 9–10 Jan 2023 | 803 | 2 | 8 | – | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | 27 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
Polling firm | Date | Sample size | Others | Blank vote / Undecided | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jadue | Vallejo | Siches | Elizalde | Bachelet | Tohá | Sichel | Piñera | Matthei | Kast | Marinovic | Parisi | Carter | Jiles | |||||
Ind. | Ind. | Ind. | ||||||||||||||||
Encuestas Chile [37] | 24 Mar – 31 Dec 2022 | 4,782 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
Cadem [38] | 28–30 Dec 2022 | 705 | 1 | – | – | – | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | – | 1 | 1 | – | 12 | 54 |
Research Chile [39] | 13-15 Dec 2022 | 800 | 2.1 | 9.5 | – | – | – | 5.3 | 3.3 | – | 20.6 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 3 | – | 0.6 | 19 | 25 |
Cadem [40] | 26–28 Oct 2022 | 706 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | – | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 50 |
Election Results | 19 Dec 2021 | – | 55.9 [f] | 44.1 [g] | – | – | – | – | – | |||||||||
21 Nov 2021 | 25.8 [f] | 11.6 [h] | 12.8 [i] | 27.9 | 12.8 | – | – | 9.1 [j] | – |
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