Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run-up to the next Slovenian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 24 April 2022, to the present day. The next parliamentary election is scheduled to be held no later than four years since the previous one. [1]

Pollsters

There are three opinion research companies that conduct electoral opinion polling on a regular basis within Slovenia:[ citation needed ]

Graphical summary

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections. Opinion polling for the next Slovenian parliamentary election.svg

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the case of a tie, no figure is shaded. When available, seat projections for 88 out of 90 seats (without seats reserved for minorities) are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font. 46 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Assembly. The dates of when the poll was conducted are given when available, otherwise, the date of publication is listed.

Fieldwork datePolling firmPublisher(s)Sample size Gibanje Svoboda logo.svg SDS logotype.svg Nova Slovenija Logo.svg Socialni demokrati Logo.svg Logo of The Left (Slovenia).svg SLS Konkretno logo.svg ZS Resni.ca logo 2022.png NPDD Piratska stranka slovenije 1.png ND Logo of the Slovenian National Party.svg Vesna-horizontal-header-150.png OthersNoneUnd.Abst.LeadSource
9–11 Dec 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik 70016.023.75.18.16.41.33.32.1 [a] 26.13.87.7 [2]
2–5 Dec 2024Mediana Delo 72414.020.34.76.73.81.63.81.12.10.21.84.62.67.122.92.06.3 [3] [4]
18–21 Nov 2024Mediana POPTV 73715.020.64.07.65.02.00.00.52.50.02.50.41.13.63.86.622.31.75.6 [5]
14–16 Nov 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik 70014.9
20
25.1
34
6.1
8
7.6
10
5.9
8
1.6
0
3.3
4
3.0 [b]
4
28.73.910.2 [6]
4–7 Nov 2024Mediana Delo 72212.421.64.46.05.03.40.22.20.21.20.21.93.92.65.725.41.59.2 [7] [4]
21–24 Oct 2024Mediana POPTV 72511.722.24.56.64.90.80.00.53.21.02.00.52.03.52.710.421.40.910.5 [8]
14–16 Oct 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik 70015.6
21
24.1
33
5.9
8
7.0
9
6.1
9
2.1
0
3.1
4
7.3 [c]
4
24.44.38.5 [9] [10]
4 Oct 2024Parsifal Nova24TV 70013.125.65.17.03.12.72.51.73.76.4 [d] 4.613.710.712.5 [11]
30 Sep–3 Oct 2024Mediana Delo 72416.622.44.96.63.61.30.22.81.71.90.62.03.24.323.41.75.8 [12] [4]
16–19 Sep 2024Mediana POPTV 72015.224.74.55.54.42.50.10.82.11.52.80.81.73.11.26.619.02.59.5 [13]
9–11 Sep 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70017.0
24
24.0
33
6.0
8
8.0
11
5.3
7
2.6
0
3.3
5
3.627.42.87.0 [14] [15]
2–5 Sep 2024Mediana Delo 71815.522.94.96.64.83.10.22.60.92.00.61.32.41.49.318.32.07.4 [16] [4]
20–22 Aug 2024Mediana POPTV 71817.723.64.26.83.81.30.00.21.60.41.80.31.14.20.99.620.61.35.9 [17]
12–14 Aug 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70017.1
23
23.1
31
5.9
8
8.1
11
4.9
7
2.6
3
3.7
5
1.428.44.76.0 [18] [19]
5–8 Aug 2024Mediana Delo 72215.722.65.65.44.72.30.73.21.53.20.60.83.81.54.321.12.46.9 [20] [4]
22–25 Jul 2024Mediana POPTV 71718.022.73.85.83.82.10.10.62.71.62.50.70.53.80.79.418.31.64.7 [21]
15–17 Jul 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70016.1
24
23.0
35
5.9
9
8.3
12
5.1
8
5.932.73.06.9 [22]
2–4 Jul 2024Mediana Delo 73415.822.94.57.03.22.20.43.10.62.20.22.14.90.76.019.93.47.1 [23] [4]
18–20 Jun 2024Mediana POPTV 80317.621.85.65.03.73.30.30.53.11.21.70.51.64.11.79.815.61.74.2 [24]
17–19 Jun 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70014.6
22
23.8
35
6.1
9
7.2
7
4.9
7
2.7
4
2.4
4
4.229.15.09.2 [25] [26]
9 Jun 2024 2024 European Parliament election 22.1330.617.597.774.817.211.613.972.2210.541.52 [e] 8.48
Fieldwork datePolling firmPublisher(s)Sample size Gibanje Svoboda logo.svg SDS logotype.svg Nova Slovenija Logo.svg Socialni demokrati Logo.svg Logo of The Left (Slovenia).svg SLS Konkretno logo.svg Resni.ca logo 2022.png NPDD Piratska stranka slovenije 1.png ND Logo of the Slovenian National Party.svg Vesna-horizontal-header-150.png OthersNoneUnd.Abst.LeadSource
3–6 Jun 2024Mediana Delo 73419.524.33.65.44.63.03.50.51.80.93.23.47.515.61.84.8 [27]
21–24 May 2024Mediana POPTV 71315.318.85.66.33.21.00.14.10.82.70.71.23.21.210.421.81.73.5 [28]
13–15 May 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70015.4
23
23.4
36
5.9
9
8.1
12
5.0
8
7.729.74.88.0 [29] [30]
7–10 May 2024Mediana Delo 71917.323.15.64.84.82.10.11.90.81.60.32.74.10.67.621.00.35.8 [31]
23–25 Apr 2024Mediana POPTV 72317.423.85.24.94.31.30.22.51.03.10.72.42.91.47.217.33.46.4 [32]
8–10 Apr 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70015.4
24
22.3
35
6.6
11
6.4
10
4.9
8
2.037.05.46.9 [33] [34]
2–4 Apr 2024Mediana Delo 71415.023.05.35.42.91.60.62.80.62.10.22.32.01.77.724.01.08.0 [35]
19–21 Mar 2024Mediana POPTV 71214.321.54.65.62.82.20.81.90.83.10.61.81.11.211.822.22.87.2 [36]
11–14 Mar 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70014.1
24
23.1
39
6.1
10
4.1
7
4.8
8
3.336.58.09.0 [37]
5–7 Mar 2024Mediana Delo 72315.022.94.94.44.41.00.52.70.73.20.92.91.72.08.719.92.77.9 [38] [4]
20–22 Feb 2024Mediana POPTV 72415.121.84.63.04.81.30.12.80.32.90.31.72.41.79.923.42.06.7 [39]
12–14 Feb 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70010.7
18
24.0
42
6.3
11
3.9
7
5.9
10
3.138.47.713.3 [40] [41]
5–8 Feb 2024Mediana Delo 72016.823.75.12.65.31.30.12.40.12.30.31.92.41.66.525.31.86.9 [42] [4]
22–25 Jan 2024Mediana POPTV 71613.723.44.38.75.21.20.01.40.32.50.22.41.12.18.422.51.89.7 [43]
10–11 Jan 2024Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70015.3
23
22.4
34
6.4
10
8.1
12
6.1
9
2.034.45.17.1 [44] [45]
1–4 Jan 2024Mediana Delo 71514.621.74.67.54.42.90.41.31.13.40.31.62.11.06.323.61.67.1 [46] [4]
2024
18–21 Dec 2023Mediana POPTV 71715.624.93.56.45.01.60.02.11.02.20.80.81.03.210.119.81.49.3 [47]
11–14 Dec 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70016.7
25
22.6
34
6.1
10
7.3
11
5.0
8
3.431.17.75.9 [48]
4–7 Dec 2023Mediana Delo 73213.420.84.58.04.71.80.42.60.72.40.63.31.32.28.821.51.97.4 [49] [4]
20–24 Nov 2023Mediana POPTV 71413.422.13.88.43.92.00.22.01.01.50.41.80.50.510.225.22.38.7 [50]
13–15 Nov 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70016.3
25
22.4
34
6.4
9
7.9
12
5.1
8
1.333.07.66.1 [51] [52]
6–9 Nov 2023Mediana Delo 70514.4
22
22.2
35
7.2
7
7.0
10
4.1
6
0.7
0
0.5
0
2.8
4
0.5
0
2.7
4
1.0
0
2.2
0
1.6
0
0.27.423.41.47.8 [53] [54] [4]
17–19 Oct 2023Mediana POPTV 71618.623.75.37.43.41.40.82.51.01.10.11.20.70.38.020.93.25.1 [55]
9–11 Oct 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70020.3
29
21.9
31
7.7
11
7.0
10
4.9
7
2.930.94.61.6 [56] [57]
2–5 Oct 2023Mediana Delo 72318.823.07.27.05.11.60.12.50.31.90.21.41.10.55.420.12.94.2 [58] [4]
19–21 Sep 2023Mediana POPTV 71520.821.04.55.55.90.80.02.81.11.90.30.81.70.87.921.52.20.2 [59]
11–13 Sep 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70022.6
32
20.5
29
8.1
11
6.7
9
5.0
7
1.129.76.42.1 [60] [61]
4–7 Sep 2023Mediana Delo 71524.321.15.86.74.31.30.92.50.32.00.41.91.30.85.518.62.23.2 [62] [4]
22–24 Aug 2023Mediana POPTV 71522.622.34.16.73.92.00.12.40.12.80.80.51.61.17.718.12.60.3 [63]
16–17 Aug 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70023.7
32
23.9
32
6.8
9
6.6
9
4.9
6
1.328.84.00.2 [64] [65]
7–10 Aug 2023Mediana Delo 71022.023.64.56.66.50.90.02.90.31.70.50.91.01.46.318.51.61.6 [66] [4]
17–20 Jul 2023Mediana POPTV 71622.723.26.26.34.31.30.12.80.41.40.11.10.91.58.816.72.20.5 [67]
10–12 Jul 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70026.0
34
20.9
28
6.8
9
7.6
10
5.2
7
2.424.36.95.1 [68] [69]
3–6 Jul 2023Mediana Delo 70623.022.34.85.64.41.00.81.50.72.21.01.91.91.29.315.20.40.7 [70] [4]
20–22 Jun 2023Mediana POPTV 71921.021.86.36.76.11.60.01.90.71.90.50.72.00.55.821.21.30.8 [71]
12–14 Jun 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70025.1
34
20.1
27
6.9
9
8.9
12
4.8
6
2.325.96.05.0 [72] [73]
5–8 Jun 2023Parsifal Nova24TV 72521.520.05.98.86.44.7 [f] 5.212.814.81.5 [74]
5–8 Jun 2023Mediana Delo 71221.820.24.97.03.81.90.22.40.43.30.31.61.50.67.220.01.61.6 [75]
22–25 May 2023Mediana POPTV 71025.620.65.16.13.91.00.72.11.21.40.20.21.21.58.817.82.05.0 [76]
8–10 May 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70024.8
34
21.7
29
6.9
9
7.0
10
4.7
6
3.427.15.13.1 [77] [78]
3–4 May 2023Mediana Delo 71623.820.97.16.05.20.80.12.50.62.00.52.32.50.77.015.00.52.9 [79]
17–20 Apr 2023Mediana POPTV 71724.422.25.76.64.23.10.03.60.72.10.31.31.40.57.713.31.02.2 [80]
11–13 Apr 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70025.1
33
23.1
31
6.7
9
7.2
9
4.5
6
4.724.44.32.0 [81]
3–7 Apr 2023Mediana Delo 70723.023.35.66.25.11.60.51.60.91.70.92.41.50.48.014.41.70.3 [82]
20–23 Mar 2023Mediana POPTV 72123.522.85.16.65.21.40.02.50.01.50.01.61.10.96.118.52.10.7 [83]
13–15 Mar 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70024.9
33
22.9
31
6.9
9
6.6
9
4.6
6
1.626.16.62.0 [84] [85]
6–9 Mar 2023Mediana Delo 71526.821.66.07.24.01.11.22.41.21.70.61.11.00.66.215.10.85.2 [86]
21–23 Feb 2023Mediana POPTV 71726.822.26.45.15.01.10.02.71.71.90.91.01.60.68.212.31.74.6 [87]
9–12 Feb 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70026.1
34
20.1
28
7.1
9
7.1
9
6.2
8
3.224.85.46.0 [88]
6–10 Feb 2023Mediana Delo 70627.619.85.85.46.21.80.03.21.01.80.01.41.61.06.115.27.8 [89]
16–19 Jan 2023Mediana POPTV 71528.320.35.56.13.71.50.41.50.91.91.01.01.41.28.715.30.98.0 [90]
9–12 Jan 2023Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70027.8
33
22.5
27
9.1
11
8.3
10
6.3
7
2.618.84.65.3 [91]
3–5 Jan 2023Mediana Delo 71529.121.75.57.14.60.90.81.81.01.60.41.21.67.612.03.17.4 [92] [93]
2023
19–22 Dec 2022Mediana POPTV 71929.918.68.56.84.91.80.53.11.11.70.91.51.60.54.611.01.911.3 [94]
12–14 Dec 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70029.2
35
21.6
26
8.9
11
8.2
10
5.2
6
1.718.76.57.6 [95] [96]
5–8 Dec 2022Mediana Delo 71834.118.77.26.53.61.30.03.00.31.20.40.81.60.76.011.70.415.4 [97]
21–24 Nov 2022Mediana POPTV 72333.620.16.56.54.22.60.12.21.02.00.72.10.81.34.710.41.013.5 [98]
13 Nov 2022 2022 Slovenian presidential election – second round
7–11 Nov 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70031.3
35
23.8
26
9.7
11
8.3
9
5.8
7
2.714.63.87.5 [99]
7–9 Nov 2022Mediana Delo 71831.022.67.06.04.71.10.62.21.11.50.91.11.21.14.610.00.48.4 [100]
23 Oct 2022 2022 Slovenian presidential election – first round
17–19 Oct 2022Mediana POPTV 72430.017.97.77.45.20.40.23.51.61.11.01.91.21.04.712.22.412.1 [101]
10–14 Oct 2022Parsifal Nova24TV 70524.823.78.26.65.05.44.414.27.81.1 [102]
10–12 Oct 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70029.8
34
24.1
27
9.8
11
8.0
9
6.0
7
1.116.25.05.7 [103]
3–6 Oct 2022Mediana Delo 71929.221.96.45.95.71.31.13.21.11.70.50.80.81.04.511.90.27.3 [104]
26–28 Sep 2022ParsifalPlanet TV72137.429.19.48.65.90.83.22.11.00.8 [g] 8.3 [105]
19–22 Sep 2022Mediana POPTV 72930.917.94.85.64.40.80.63.61.21.21.21.71.41.35.415.42.313.0 [106]
12–15 Sep 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70033.4
37
23.9
27
9.0
10
6.8
8
4.7
6
2.016.83.49.5 [107] [108]
5–8 Sep 2022Mediana Delo 72329.921.78.16.44.92.00.02.71.52.30.31.80.71.21.410.64.38.2 [109]
30 Aug–2 Sep 2022Parsifal Nova24TV 70329.322.57.36.63.64.92.512.111.16.8 [110]
29–31 Aug 2022ParsifalPlanet TV70425.922.44.94.43.00.52.22.61.72.030.43.5 [111]
22–25 Aug 2022Mediana POPTV 72131.423.45.55.05.30.80.03.00.71.60.41.31.01.64.512.02.28.0 [112]
8–10 Aug 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70033.8
39
23.7
28
8.1
9
5.3
6
4.9
6
1.119.33.810.1 [113]
12–14 Jul 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70033.1
40
22.2
26
7.9
9
5.5
7
5.1
6
3.618.44.210.9 [114] [115]
4–7 Jul 2022Mediana Delo 71630.218.96.87.04.72.72.41.12.40.50.51.31.9 [h] 12.74.911.3 [116]
27 Jun 2022The List of Marjan Šarec and the Party of Alenka Bratušek merge with the Freedom Movement
Fieldwork datePolling firmPublisher(s)Sample size Gibanje Svoboda logo.svg SDS logotype.svg Nova Slovenija Logo.svg Socialni demokrati Logo.svg Logo of The Left (Slovenia).svg LMS logo.png PoS Res. Logo of the Party of Alenka Bratusek.svg NPDD Piratska stranka slovenije 1.png ND Logo of the Slovenian National Party.svg Vesna-horizontal-header-150.png OthersNoneUnd.Abst.LeadSource
22–24 Jun 2022Parsifal Nova24TV 72730.322.66.66.83.75.23.213.18.57.7 [117]
20–23 Jun 2022Mediana POPTV 71928.418.96.85.84.12.33.01.91.85.48.64.09.5 [118]
14–16 Jun 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70033.1
40
21.9
26
6.7
8
5.8
7
5.9
7
3.0
0
1.8
0
0.7
0
1.1
0
0.4
0
0.4
0
0.813.54.911.2 [119]
6–9 Jun 2022Mediana Delo 71431.021.47.15.84.22.31.62.01.90.81.61.70.60.80.47.04.49.6 [120]
16–19 May 2022Parsifal Nova24TV 70330.424.88.85.64.84.02.02.73.16.96.88.2 [121]
16–19 May 2022Mediana POPTV 72430.619.74.36.94.12.12.92.91.51.91.71.60.91.32.4 [i] 4.66.810.9 [122]
10–12 May 2022Ninamedia Dnevnik, Večer 70038.4
45
19.9
23
5.8
7
6.0
7
5.5
6
2.5
0
1.7
0
1.3
0
1.0
0
4.68.84.518.5 [123]
9 May 2022 [j] Mediana Delo 36.925.38.56.25.92.92.81.02.70.80.61.01.31.52.738.811.4 [124] [125]
24 April 2022 2022 election results 1,168,54234.523.56.96.74.43.73.42.92.61.71.61.51.51.45.5(31.1)11.0
88412787514
  1. Democrats – 2.1
  2. Democrats – 2.6
  3. Democrats – 3.3
  4. Voice of Pensioners – 3.9, Democratic Party of Pensioners of Slovenia – 2.3
  5. None of The Above – 1.52
  6. Voice of Slovenian Pensioners – 2.1
  7. Source only provides recalculated data.
  8. Healthy Society Movement – 1.7
  9. Healthy Society Movement – 1.2
  10. Publication date

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In the run up to the 2022 Slovenian parliamentary election, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovenia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2018 Slovenian parliamentary election, held on 3 June, to the present day. The next parliamentary election was held on 24 April 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Slovenian parliamentary election</span>

Parliamentary elections were held in Slovenia on 24 April 2022 to elect all 90 members of the National Assembly.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2019 European Parliament election in Slovenia</span> 2019 election of members of the European parliament for Slovenia

2019 European Parliament elections were held in Slovenia on 26 May 2019.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 European Parliament election in Slovenia</span>

The 2024 European Parliament election in Slovenia was held on 9 June 2024 as part of the 2024 European Parliament election. This was the fifth European Parliament election held in Slovenia, and the first to take place after Brexit.

The 14th Government of Slovenia was formed following the resignation of Prime Minister of the 13th Government Marjan Šarec in January 2020. Janez Janša of Slovenian Democratic Party formed a coalition with Modern Centre Party, New Slovenia, and Democratic Party of Pensioners of Slovenia. The government was confirmed on 13 March 2020, amidst the COVID-19 pandemic.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Andrej Vizjak</span> Slovenian politician (born 1964)

Andrej Vizjak is a Slovenian politician. Between 2004 and 2008 he served as Minister of Economy in the 8th Government of Slovenia, and between 2012 and 2013 as Minister of Labour, Family and Social Affairs in the 10th Government of Slovenia. From 2020 to 2022 he was Minister of the Environment and Spatial Planning in the 14th Government of Slovenia.

The Freedom Movement is a social-liberal political party in Slovenia. It was founded on 26 January 2022, as the successor of the extraparliamentary Green Actions Party (Z.DEJ). At the January congress, Robert Golob was elected as the party's first president and the party received its new identity and name.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Slovenian presidential election</span>

Presidential elections were held in Slovenia on 23 October 2022. Incumbent President Borut Pahor was ineligible to run for a third consecutive term due to term limits.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">15th Government of Slovenia</span> 15th Government of Slovenia, headed by Robert Golob

15th Government of Slovenia was formed by Robert Golob following the 2022 Slovenian parliamentary election. Robert Golob, leader of the Freedom Movement, was nominated as Prime Minister, and was approved as such on 25 May. The government has the largest number of ministries after the 1st Government of Slovenia.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Matjaž Han</span> Slovenian politician (born 1971)

Matjaž Han is a Slovenian politician. He currently serves as the Minister of Economy, Tourism and Sport since 1 June 2022. Prior to his appointment as minister, he was a Member of the National Assembly of the Republic of Slovenia since 2004 and a long-time leader of the Social Democrats' parliamentary group. He was elected as President of the Social Democrats in April 2024.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">9th National Assembly of Slovenia</span>

The 9th National Assembly of the Republic of Slovenia was elected during the presidency of Borut Pahor. It was elected during the legislative election held on 24 April 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Mateja Čalušić</span> Slovenian politician

Mateja Čalušić is a Slovenian politician. She serves as the minister of agriculture, forestry and food of the Republic of Slovenia since January 2024.

The Democrats is a Slovenian political party founded by Anže Logar, a long-time member of the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) and former foreign minister. The party's founding congress took place on 16 November 2024 in Maribor, where Logar was elected president of the party.

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